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Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23 rd September 2015 Recorded Crime Region and Most Similar Group 12m to Jul-15 -v- 12m to Jul-14

Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

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Page 1: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT

Strategic Scrutiny Meeting23rd September 2015

Recorded Crime

Region and Most Similar Group

12m to Jul-15 -v- 12m to Jul-14

Page 2: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTAll Recorded CrimeThe Constabulary, Region and Most Similar Group

Earlier Period Later Period

Aug-13 to Jul-14 Aug-14 to Jul-15 Numeric Percentage

3,457,749 3,644,139 + 186,390 + 5.4%

453,414 483,812 + 30,398 + 6.7%

54,365 52,915 - 1,450 - 2.7%

23,390 25,891 + 2,501 + 10.7%

186,743 211,945 + 25,202 + 13.5%

94,838 92,090 - 2,748 - 2.9%

94,078 100,971 + 6,893 + 7.3%

743,913 777,662 + 33,749 + 4.5%

94,838 92,090 - 2,748 - 2.9%

85,234 89,812 + 4,578 + 5.4%

93,143 95,859 + 2,716 + 2.9%

68,664 77,240 + 8,576 + 12.5%

69,077 73,987 + 4,910 + 7.1%

65,896 66,221 + 325 + 0.5%

112,541 108,913 - 3,628 - 3.2%

154,520 173,540 + 19,020 + 12.3%

Number of forces in England & Wales with an increase in this category 36

Nottinghamshire

Humberside

Kent

West Yorkshire

Northumbria

England & Wales

North West Region

Cheshire

Cumbria

Greater Manchester

Lancashire

Merseyside

Most Similar Group

Lancashire

South Wales

South Yorkshire

AreasChange

Page 3: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTVictim Based CrimeThe Constabulary, Region and Most Similar Group

Earlier Period Later Period

Aug-13 to Jul-14 Aug-14 to Jul-15 Numeric Percentage

3,070,007 3,240,922 + 170,915 + 5.6%

403,094 431,082 + 27,988 + 6.9%

48,359 46,517 - 1,842 - 3.8%

20,169 22,247 + 2,078 + 10.3%

168,528 190,094 + 21,566 + 12.8%

87,277 85,407 - 1,870 - 2.1%

78,761 86,817 + 8,056 + 10.2%

673,978 706,728 + 32,750 + 4.9%

87,277 85,407 - 1,870 - 2.1%

74,490 77,636 + 3,146 + 4.2%

85,417 87,735 + 2,318 + 2.7%

59,877 69,069 + 9,192 + 15.4%

62,028 66,494 + 4,466 + 7.2%

59,903 60,812 + 909 + 1.5%

103,655 101,656 - 1,999 - 1.9%

141,331 157,919 + 16,588 + 11.7%

Number of forces in England & Wales with an increase in this category 36

Nottinghamshire

Humberside

Kent

West Yorkshire

Northumbria

England & Wales

North West Region

Cheshire

Cumbria

Greater Manchester

Lancashire

Merseyside

Most Similar Group

Lancashire

South Wales

South Yorkshire

AreasChange

Page 4: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTHigh Impact Acquisitive CrimeThe Constabulary, Region and Most Similar Group

Earlier Period Later Period

Aug-13 to Jul-14 Aug-14 to Jul-15 Numeric Percentage

255,650 240,017 - 15,633 - 6.1%

35,554 34,770 - 784 - 2.2%

2,909 2,540 - 369 - 12.7%

703 784 + 81 + 11.5%

19,269 18,631 - 638 - 3.3%

5,370 5,426 + 56 + 1.0%

7,303 7,389 + 86 + 1.2%

50,021 48,722 - 1,299 - 2.6%

5,370 5,426 + 56 + 1.0%

4,081 3,842 - 239 - 5.9%

8,343 7,410 - 933 - 11.2%

3,150 3,637 + 487 + 15.5%

5,311 4,636 - 675 - 12.7%

4,579 4,347 - 232 - 5.1%

6,932 5,854 - 1,078 - 15.6%

12,255 13,570 + 1,315 + 10.7%

South Yorkshire

North West Region

Cheshire

Cumbria

Greater Manchester

England & Wales

AreasChange

Lancashire

16

Northumbria

Nottinghamshire

Humberside

Kent

West Yorkshire

Number of forces in England & Wales with an increase in this category

Merseyside

Most Similar Group

Lancashire

South Wales

Page 5: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTViolence Against The PersonThe Constabulary, Region and Most Similar Group

Earlier Period Later Period

Aug-13 to Jul-14 Aug-14 to Jul-15 Numeric Percentage

671,104 842,126 + 171,022 + 25.5%

84,027 108,101 + 24,074 + 28.7%

10,487 12,309 + 1,822 + 17.4%

5,605 6,922 + 1,317 + 23.5%

33,317 45,782 + 12,465 + 37.4%

20,587 22,023 + 1,436 + 7.0%

14,031 21,065 + 7,034 + 50.1%

140,740 172,610 + 31,870 + 22.6%

20,587 22,023 + 1,436 + 7.0%

17,181 21,507 + 4,326 + 25.2%

13,728 17,104 + 3,376 + 24.6%

11,076 14,548 + 3,472 + 31.3%

14,352 17,577 + 3,225 + 22.5%

12,744 14,299 + 1,555 + 12.2%

28,069 29,673 + 1,604 + 5.7%

23,003 35,879 + 12,876 + 56.0%

Number of forces in England & Wales with an increase in this category 42

Nottinghamshire

Humberside

Kent

West Yorkshire

Northumbria

England & Wales

North West Region

Cheshire

Cumbria

Greater Manchester

Lancashire

Merseyside

Most Similar Group

Lancashire

South Wales

South Yorkshire

AreasChange

Page 6: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTAll Sexual OffencesThe Constabulary, Region and Most Similar Group

Earlier Period Later Period

Aug-13 to Jul-14 Aug-14 to Jul-15 Numeric Percentage

68,606 96,253 + 27,647 + 40.3%

8,541 11,940 + 3,399 + 39.8%

1,014 1,277 + 263 + 25.9%

516 767 + 251 + 48.6%

3,646 5,473 + 1,827 + 50.1%

1,834 2,240 + 406 + 22.1%

1,531 2,183 + 652 + 42.6%

14,349 20,926 + 6,577 + 45.8%

1,834 2,240 + 406 + 22.1%

1,558 1,798 + 240 + 15.4%

1,690 2,776 + 1,086 + 64.3%

1,283 2,470 + 1,187 + 92.5%

1,264 2,101 + 837 + 66.2%

1,456 1,732 + 276 + 19.0%

2,436 2,829 + 393 + 16.1%

2,828 4,980 + 2,152 + 76.1%

Number of forces in England & Wales with an increase in this category 42

Nottinghamshire

Humberside

Kent

West Yorkshire

Northumbria

England & Wales

North West Region

Cheshire

Cumbria

Greater Manchester

Lancashire

Merseyside

Most Similar Group

Lancashire

South Wales

South Yorkshire

AreasChange

Page 7: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTRacially/Religiously Aggravated OffencesThe Constabulary, Region and Most Similar Group

Earlier Period Later Period

Aug-13 to Jul-14 Aug-14 to Jul-15 Numeric Percentage

30,998 38,151 + 7,153 + 23.1%

4,739 5,974 + 1,235 + 26.1%

497 551 + 54 + 10.9%

154 192 + 38 + 24.7%

2,434 3,323 + 889 + 36.5%

504 392 - 112 - 22.2%

1,150 1,516 + 366 + 31.8%

5,200 6,080 + 880 + 16.9%

504 392 - 112 - 22.2%

715 969 + 254 + 35.5%

495 566 + 71 + 14.3%

566 707 + 141 + 24.9%

485 599 + 114 + 23.5%

308 288 - 20 - 6.5%

714 627 - 87 - 12.2%

1,413 1,932 + 519 + 36.7%

Number of forces in England & Wales with an increase in this category 33

Nottinghamshire

Humberside

Kent

West Yorkshire

Northumbria

England & Wales

North West Region

Cheshire

Cumbria

Greater Manchester

Lancashire

Merseyside

Most Similar Group

Lancashire

South Wales

South Yorkshire

AreasChange

Page 8: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTHMIC – Delivery

Select Force 20 Period Starts 41 Period Ends 52

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

All

Cri

me

Vic

tim

-Bas

ed C

rim

e

Vio

len

ce A

gain

st T

he

Pers

on

Ho

mic

ide

Mo

st S

erio

us

Vio

len

ce

Vio

len

ce W

ITH

Inju

ry

Vio

len

ce W

ITH

OU

T In

jury

Sexu

al O

ffe

nce

s (A

ll)

Ra

pe

Oth

er S

exu

al O

ffen

ces

Ro

bb

ery

(All)

Ro

bb

ery

(Bus

ines

s)

Ro

bb

ery

(Pe

rson

al)

The

ft O

ffen

ces

Bu

rgla

ry (

All)

Bu

rgla

ry (

Dw

elli

ng)

Bu

rgla

ry (

Oth

er)

Veh

icle

Off

enc

es

The

ft f

rom

a V

ehic

le

The

ft o

f a

Veh

icle

Veh

icle

Inte

rfer

ence

Sho

plif

tin

g

The

ft f

rom

th

e P

erso

n

Bic

ycle

The

ft

All

Oth

er

The

ft O

ffen

ces

Cri

min

al D

am

age

& A

rso

n

Cri

min

al D

am

age

Ars

on

Oth

er C

rim

es

Aga

inst

Soc

iety

Pu

blic

Ord

er

Off

en

ces

Po

sse

ssio

n o

f W

eap

on

s O

ffen

ces

Dru

g O

ffen

ces

Dru

gs (

Tra

ffic

kin

g)

Dru

gs (

Po

sse

ssio

n)

Mis

cella

ne

ous

Cri

mes

Aga

inst

So

ciet

y

Ra

cial

ly/R

elig

iou

sly

Agg

rava

ted

Off

ence

s

Page 9: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTHMIC – Direction

Select Force 20 Earlier 12M Ends 40 Later 12M Ends 52

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

All

Cri

me

Vic

tim

-Bas

ed C

rim

e

Vio

len

ce A

gain

st T

he

Pers

on

Ho

mic

ide

Mo

st S

erio

us

Vio

len

ce

Vio

len

ce W

ITH

Inju

ry

Vio

len

ce W

ITH

OU

T In

jury

Sexu

al O

ffe

nce

s (A

ll)

Ra

pe

Oth

er S

exu

al O

ffen

ces

Ro

bb

ery

(All)

Ro

bb

ery

(Bus

ines

s)

Ro

bb

ery

(Pe

rson

al)

The

ft O

ffen

ces

Bu

rgla

ry (

All)

Bu

rgla

ry (

Dw

elli

ng)

Bu

rgla

ry (

Oth

er)

Veh

icle

Off

enc

es

The

ft f

rom

a V

ehic

le

The

ft o

f a

Veh

icle

Veh

icle

Inte

rfer

ence

Sho

plif

tin

g

The

ft f

rom

th

e P

erso

n

Bic

ycle

The

ft

All

Oth

er

The

ft O

ffen

ces

Cri

min

al D

am

age

& A

rso

n

Cri

min

al D

am

age

Ars

on

Oth

er C

rim

es

Aga

inst

Soc

iety

Pu

blic

Ord

er

Off

en

ces

Po

sse

ssio

n o

f W

eap

on

s O

ffen

ces

Dru

g O

ffen

ces

Dru

gs (

Tra

ffic

kin

g)

Dru

gs (

Po

sse

ssio

n)

Mis

cella

ne

ous

Cri

mes

Aga

inst

So

ciet

y

Ra

cial

ly/R

elig

iou

sly

Agg

rava

ted

Off

ence

s

Page 10: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT

Scrutiny Meeting

Recorded Crime

Priority Crimes

Page 11: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTAll Recorded CrimeThe Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 96,957 3 Yr Mean 35,383 3 Yr Mean 28,394 3 Yr Mean 33,065

2014-15 92,629 2014-15 34,892 2014-15 25,708 2014-15 32,029

Last 12 months 92,458 Last 12 months 34,855 Last 12 months 25,191 Last 12 months 32,412

Est 2015-16 92,344 Est 2015-16 34,656 Est 2015-16 24,757 Est 2015-16 32,924

and and and and

a REDUCTION OF 4.8% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 2.1% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 12.8% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 0.4% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 0.3% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 0.7% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 3.7% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 2.8% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

92,344 34,656 24,757 32,924

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

All Crime

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

96,957 92,629 92,458 92,34490,000

91,000

92,000

93,000

94,000

95,000

96,000

97,000

98,000

35,383 34,892 34,855 34,65620,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

28,000

30,000

32,000

34,000

36,000

28,394 25,708 25,191 24,75720,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

28,000

30,000

32,000

34,000

36,000

33,065 32,029 32,412 32,92420,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

28,000

30,000

32,000

34,000

36,000

Page 12: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTVictim Based CrimeThe Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 87,780 3 Yr Mean 31,999 3 Yr Mean 25,691 3 Yr Mean 30,008

2014-15 85,463 2014-15 32,272 2014-15 23,418 2014-15 29,773

Last 12 months 85,868 Last 12 months 32,532 Last 12 months 23,130 Last 12 months 30,206

Est 2015-16 86,171 Est 2015-16 32,501 Est 2015-16 22,789 Est 2015-16 30,873

and and and and

a REDUCTION OF 1.8% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 1.6% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 11.3% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 2.9% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

an INCREASE OF 0.8% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 0.7% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 2.7% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 3.7% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

86,171 32,501 22,789 30,873

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Victim-Based Crime

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

87,780 85,463 85,868 86,17184,000

84,500

85,000

85,500

86,000

86,500

87,000

87,500

88,000

31,999 32,272 32,532 32,50119,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

31,000

33,000

25,691 23,418 23,130 22,78919,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

31,000

33,000

30,008 29,773 30,206 30,87319,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

31,000

33,000

Page 13: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTHigh Impact Acquisitive CrimeThe Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 4,850 3 Yr Mean 1,962 3 Yr Mean 1,404 3 Yr Mean 1,592

2014-15 5,614 2014-15 2,459 2014-15 1,498 2014-15 1,657

Last 12 months 5,444 Last 12 months 2,461 Last 12 months 1,343 Last 12 months 1,640

Est 2015-16 5,558 Est 2015-16 2,508 Est 2015-16 1,290 Est 2015-16 1,754

and and and and

an INCREASE OF 14.6% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 27.8% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 8.1% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 10.2% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 1.0% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 2.0% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 13.9% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 5.8% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

5,558 2,508 1,290 1,754

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

High Impact Acquisitive Crime

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

4,850 5,614 5,444 5,5584,400

4,600

4,800

5,000

5,200

5,400

5,600

5,800

1,962 2,459 2,461 2,5080

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1,404 1,498 1,343 1,2900

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1,592 1,657 1,640 1,7540

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Page 14: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTBurglary (Dwelling)The Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 4,285 3 Yr Mean 1,745 3 Yr Mean 1,174 3 Yr Mean 1,366

2014-15 5,130 2014-15 2,307 2014-15 1,315 2014-15 1,508

Last 12 months 4,983 Last 12 months 2,295 Last 12 months 1,187 Last 12 months 1,501

Est 2015-16 5,086 Est 2015-16 2,333 Est 2015-16 1,137 Est 2015-16 1,609

and and and and

an INCREASE OF 18.7% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 33.7% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 3.2% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 17.8% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 0.9% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 1.1% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 13.5% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 6.7% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

5,086 2,333 1,137 1,609

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Burglary (Dwelling)

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

4,285 5,130 4,983 5,0863,800

4,000

4,200

4,400

4,600

4,800

5,000

5,200

1,745 2,307 2,295 2,3330

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1,174 1,315 1,187 1,1370

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1,366 1,508 1,501 1,6090

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Page 15: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTRobbery (Personal)The Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 565 3 Yr Mean 181 3 Yr Mean 192 3 Yr Mean 191

2014-15 509 2014-15 165 2014-15 187 2014-15 157

Last 12 months 490 Last 12 months 174 Last 12 months 165 Last 12 months 151

Est 2015-16 508 Est 2015-16 185 Est 2015-16 163 Est 2015-16 160

and and and and

a REDUCTION OF 10.0% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 2.1% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 14.9% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 16.2% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 0.1% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 12.0% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 12.6% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 2.0% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

508 185 163 160

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Robbery (Personal)

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

565 509 490 508440

460

480

500

520

540

560

580

181 165 174 1850

50

100

150

200

250

192 187 165 1630

50

100

150

200

250

191 157 151 1600

50

100

150

200

250

Page 16: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTSerious Assault (Domestic)The Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 207 3 Yr Mean 76 3 Yr Mean 46 3 Yr Mean 84

2014-15 187 2014-15 57 2014-15 51 2014-15 79

Last 12 months 144 Last 12 months 44 Last 12 months 38 Last 12 months 62

Est 2015-16 130 Est 2015-16 33 Est 2015-16 36 Est 2015-16 61

and and and and

a REDUCTION OF 37.2% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 56.5% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 22.6% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 27.9% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 30.5% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 42.0% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 30.2% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 23.3% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

130 33 36 61

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Serious Assault (Domestic)

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

207 187 144 1300

50

100

150

200

250

76 57 44 330

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

46 51 38 360

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

84 79 62 610

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTSerious Assault (Non-Domestic)The Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 686 3 Yr Mean 252 3 Yr Mean 182 3 Yr Mean 250

2014-15 675 2014-15 230 2014-15 192 2014-15 253

Last 12 months 591 Last 12 months 201 Last 12 months 156 Last 12 months 234

Est 2015-16 597 Est 2015-16 207 Est 2015-16 156 Est 2015-16 234

and and and and

a REDUCTION OF 13.0% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 17.7% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 14.2% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 6.4% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 11.6% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 9.9% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 18.7% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 7.6% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

597 207 156 234

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Serious Assault (Non-Domestic)

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

686 675 591 597540

560

580

600

620

640

660

680

700

252 230 201 2070

50

100

150

200

250

300

182 192 156 1560

50

100

150

200

250

300

250 253 234 2340

50

100

150

200

250

300

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTRapeThe Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 416 3 Yr Mean 137 3 Yr Mean 126 3 Yr Mean 153

2014-15 625 2014-15 216 2014-15 147 2014-15 262

Last 12 months 711 Last 12 months 264 Last 12 months 176 Last 12 months 271

Est 2015-16 779 Est 2015-16 277 Est 2015-16 191 Est 2015-16 310

and and and and

an INCREASE OF 87.2% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 102.4% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 52.0% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 102.5% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

an INCREASE OF 24.6% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 28.4% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 30.3% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 18.3% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

779 277 191 310

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Rape

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

416 625 711 7790

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

137 216 264 2770

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

126 147 176 1910

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

153 262 271 3100

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTBusiness CrimeThe Constabulary and BCUs

Crimes Crimes Crimes Crimes

3 Yr Mean 9,410 3 Yr Mean 3,198 3 Yr Mean 2,830 3 Yr Mean 3,359

2014-15 9,390 2014-15 3,177 2014-15 2,805 2014-15 3,408

Last 12 months 9,404 Last 12 months 3,157 Last 12 months 2,785 Last 12 months 3,462

Est 2015-16 9,350 Est 2015-16 3,040 Est 2015-16 2,752 Est 2015-16 3,553

and and and and

a REDUCTION OF 0.6% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 4.9% on the 3yr mean a REDUCTION OF 2.8% on the 3yr mean an INCREASE OF 5.8% on the 3yr mean

represents represents represents represents

a REDUCTION OF 0.4% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 4.3% on 2014-15 a REDUCTION OF 1.9% on 2014-15 an INCREASE OF 4.3% on 2014-15

The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of The 2015-16 Year-End Estimate of

9,350 3,040 2,752 3,553

CORA (V15) - Scrutiny Meeting Charts

Business Crime

The Constabulary East Division South Division West Division

Select Category

9,410 9,390 9,404 9,3504,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

3,198 3,177 3,157 3,0400

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2,830 2,805 2,785 2,7520

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

3,359 3,408 3,462 3,5530

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

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PROTECT

Scrutiny Meeting

Crime Outcomes

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTCrime Outcomes - Force LevelFor Every 100 Crimes Recorded Sep-14 to Aug-15

Select Area

Select Period

Sep-14 to Aug-15

Select Crime Categories

43.8321.8149.80

98.61

81.90

58.88

64.72

67.65

CORA (V15) - Outcomes Bar Chart

TOTAL

41.92 12.75 9.51 0.53

17.35 0.2059.03 0.69 38.19 0.69

16.49 1.20

15.91 0.28

49.09 0.84

25.72 1.18

36.68 11.32 10.40 0.48

Rape

20.90 5.24

31.43 0.82

53.81 1.18Serious Assault (Non-Domestic)

Business Crime

Shoplifting

17.44 0.28

NFA Outcomes

All CrimeBurglary (Dwelling)Robbery (Personal)Serious Assault (Domestic)

Per 100 Recorded Crimes

Crimes in each Outcome GroupCourt & Caution

Other Action

Outcome

Evidential

Difficulty

5.58 0.04

Rape

The Constabulary

All Crime

Burglary (Dwelling)

Robbery (Personal)

Serious Assault (Domestic)

Serious Assault (Non-Domestic)

Business Crime

Shoplifting0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0

Rape

Shoplifting

Business Crime

Serious Assault (Non-Domestic)

Serious Assault (Domestic)

Robbery (Personal)

Burglary (Dwelling)

All Crime

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTCrime Outcomes – All CrimeForce Level Time Series

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Court & Caution Other Action Evidential Difficulty NFA

The dotted lines are linear trend lines through each data series

The percentage is the outcome ratio for that type of outcome taken in isolation

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTCrime Outcomes – All CrimeForce Level Time Series – 12 MRT

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Court & Caution Other Action Evidential Difficulty NFA

The dotted lines are linear trend lines through each data series

The percentage is the outcome ratio for that type of outcome taken in isolation

Page 24: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT

Scrutiny Meeting

Anti-Social Behaviour

and

Attendance at Grade 1 Incidents

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTThe ConstabularyASB Time Series

1 Force

1 ASB

MONTH INCIDENTS MONTH INCIDENTS

Apr-13 6,912 Apr-15 6,702

May-13 7,731 May-15 6,755

Jun-13 8,253 Jun-15 7,116

Jul-13 9,942 Jul-15 7,265

Aug-13 9,088 Aug-15 7,275

Sep-13 7,103 Sep-15 0

Oct-13 6,977 Oct-15 0

Nov-13 6,134 Nov-15 0

Dec-13 5,328 Dec-15 0

Jan-14 5,230 Jan-16 0

Feb-14 4,965 Feb-16 0

Mar-14 6,236 Mar-16 0

Apr-14 6,554

May-14 6,925

Jun-14 7,152

Jul-14 8,089

Aug-14 6,799

Sep-14 7,001

Oct-14 6,533

Nov-14 5,857

Dec-14 4,959

Jan-15 5,211

Feb-15 5,182

Mar-15 6,056

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

6,733 7,328 7,703 9,016 7,944 7,052 6,755 5,996 5,144 5,221 5,074 6,146

6,702 6,755 7,116 7,265 7,275 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Estimates

Actual

The Table below shows the estimates for each month (the blue line in the chart) and the actual numbers recorded. The blue line in the chart represents an

estimated number of ASB incidents for each

calendar month based on the average

number of incidents recorded in each month

over the last two years

Click on the drop-down arrows on the right-hand edges of the combo boxes and choose from the lists that appear.SELECT ASB TYPE All Anti-Social Behaviour

SELECT AREA The Constabulary

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

Ap

r-1

3

Ma

y-1

3

Jun

-13

Jul-

13

Au

g-1

3

Sep

-13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3

De

c-13

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Ma

r-14

Ap

r-1

4

Ma

y-1

4

Jun

-14

Jul-

14

Au

g-1

4

Sep

-14

Oct

-14

No

v-1

4

De

c-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Ma

r-15

Ap

r-1

5

Ma

y-1

5

Jun

-15

Jul-

15

Au

g-1

5

Sep

-15

Oct

-15

No

v-1

5

De

c-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Ma

r-16

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTThe ConstabularyGrade 1 - Emergency Response – PASS

1

1

Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

93.6% 93.6% 94.4% 93.6% 92.5% 93.9% 93.9% 93.6% 93.3% 94.1% 94.3% 93.5% 92.1%

89.8% 91.7% 89.7% 89.5% 89.5% 89.1% 88.7% 89.3% 89.1% 91.2% 90.6% 90.8% 89.3%

91.9% 92.2% 92.2% 92.3% 91.9% 90.8%

The blue columns represent the number of incidents whilst the black line with yellow markers represent the % of incidents attended within the threshold of the grade selected

(Grade 1 = 15 Mins, Grade 2 = 1 Hr, Grade 3 = 48 Hrs). The red dashed line represents the 90% level. Please note that the PASS figures DO NOT include incidents with a

disposal code within the Admnistration theme.

2013/2014

2014/2015

2015/2016: YTD

SELECT GRADE

% of Incidents attended within

Threshold (15 Mins)

SELECT AREA The Constabulary Click on the drop-down arrows on the right-hand edges of the combo

boxes and choose from the lists that appear

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Ap

r-1

3

Ma

y-1

3

Jun

-13

Jul-

13

Au

g-1

3

Sep

-13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3

De

c-13

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Ma

r-14

Ap

r-1

4

Ma

y-1

4

Jun

-14

Jul-

14

Au

g-1

4

Sep

-14

Oct

-14

No

v-1

4

De

c-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Ma

r-15

Ap

r-1

5

Ma

y-1

5

Jun

-15

Jul-

15

Au

g-1

5

Sep

-15

Oct

-15

No

v-1

5

De

c-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Ma

r-16

Page 27: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTThe ConstabularyGrade 1 - Emergency Response – Time To Arrive

1

1

Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

8.8 8.7 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.6 8.5 8.4 9.3 8.5 9.0 8.5 8.8

9.6 9.0 10.3 10.4 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.5 9.7 9.1 9.8 9.3 9.4

9.0 9.1 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.1

SELECT GRADE 1 - Emergency Response

Click on the drop-down arrows on the right-hand edges of the combo boxes

and choose from the lists that appear

SELECT AREA The Constabulary

2015/2016: YTD

The blue columns represent the number of incidents whilst the pink proportion represents the number of incidents that were not attened or had 'no time' recorded. The black

line with yellow markers represent the average Time To Arrive of incidents attended within the grade selected. The red line represents the threshold level (Grade 1 = 15 Mins,

Grade 2 = 60 Mins, Grade 3 = 48 Hrs). Please note that these PASS figures DO NOT include incidents with a disposal code within the Admnistration theme.

Average Time to Arrive:

Grade 1 - Emergency Response

(Threshold (15 Mins)

2013/2014

2014/2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Ap

r-1

3

Ma

y-1

3

Jun

-13

Jul-

13

Au

g-1

3

Sep

-13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3

De

c-13

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Ma

r-14

Ap

r-1

4

Ma

y-1

4

Jun

-14

Jul-

14

Au

g-1

4

Sep

-14

Oct

-14

No

v-1

4

De

c-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Ma

r-15

Ap

r-1

5

Ma

y-1

5

Jun

-15

Jul-

15

Au

g-1

5

Sep

-15

Oct

-15

No

v-1

5

De

c-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Ma

r-16

T

I

M

E

Page 28: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT

Scrutiny Meeting

Satisfaction

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTThe Constabulary – User SatisfactionFour Groups Combined

1 1

8 1 1

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

88.0% 88.3% 88.5% 88.2% 88.1% 88.1% 87.8% 87.5% 87.0% 86.8% 86.5% 86.5%

86.1% 85.6% 85.1% 84.9% 84.9% 84.1% 83.9% 83.7% 83.2% 82.8% 82.7% 82.5%

82.3% 82.0% 82.1% 81.9% 81.7%

Aspect EXPERIENCE Satisfaction Demographic

Time Series - Any Demographic Group - No Comparison

Area The Constabulary User Group Select the demographic you wish to display in the chart

2013-14

2014-15

2015-16

12MRT Results

The blue columns

represent the twelve-

month rolling result for

the selected parameters.

The result for each

month is given in the

chart and also in the

table below the chart.

The blue dashed line is a

linear regression line

that defines the linear

trend through all the

known results. Reading

off the value represented

by the right hand end of

the line provides an

estimate of what the

satisfaction level will be

for the selected

parameters at the end of

the current year.

87

.8%

88

.0%

88

.3%

88

.5%

88

.2%

88

.1%

88

.1%

87

.8%

87

.5%

87

.0%

86

.8%

86

.5%

86

.5%

86

.1%

85

.6%

85

.1%

84

.9%

84

.9%

84

.1%

83

.9%

83

.7%

83

.2%

82

.8%

82

.7%

82

.5%

82

.3%

82

.0%

82

.1%

81

.9%

81

.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ma

r-1

3

Apr

-13

May

-13

Jun-

13

Jul-

13

Aug

-13

Sep-

13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3

Dec

-13

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Ma

r-1

4

Apr

-14

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-

14

Aug

-14

Sep-

14

Oct

-14

No

v-1

4

Dec

-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Ma

r-1

5

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-

15

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct

-15

No

v-1

5

Dec

-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Ma

r-1

6

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTThe Constabulary – User SatisfactionAnti-Social Behaviour

1 8

8 1 1

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

77.8% 77.1% 76.9% 77.1% 77.1% 76.3% 76.5% 75.9% 75.5% 75.3% 75.2% 75.4%

75.9% 76.3% 76.5% 76.2% 75.7% 75.5% 75.7% 75.9% 76.3% 75.7% 76.1% 76.1%

75.8% 75.5% 75.4% 75.2% 75.9%

Aspect EXPERIENCE Satisfaction Demographic

Time Series - Any Demographic Group - No Comparison

Area The Constabulary User Group Select the demographic you wish to display in the chart

2013-14

2014-15

2015-16

12MRT Results

The blue columns

represent the twelve-

month rolling result for

the selected parameters.

The result for each

month is given in the

chart and also in the

table below the chart.

The blue dashed line is a

linear regression line

that defines the linear

trend through all the

known results. Reading

off the value represented

by the right hand end of

the line provides an

estimate of what the

satisfaction level will be

for the selected

parameters at the end of

the current year.

77

.8%

77

.8%

77

.1%

76

.9%

77

.1%

77

.1%

76

.3%

76

.5%

75

.9%

75

.5%

75

.3%

75

.2%

75

.4%

75

.9%

76

.3%

76

.5%

76

.2%

75

.7%

75

.5%

75

.7%

75

.9%

76

.3%

75

.7%

76

.1%

76

.1%

75

.8%

75

.5%

75

.4%

75

.2%

75

.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ma

r-1

3

Apr

-13

May

-13

Jun-

13

Jul-

13

Aug

-13

Sep-

13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3

Dec

-13

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Ma

r-1

4

Apr

-14

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-

14

Aug

-14

Sep-

14

Oct

-14

No

v-1

4

Dec

-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Ma

r-1

5

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-

15

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct

-15

No

v-1

5

Dec

-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Ma

r-1

6

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PROTECT STRATEGIC SCRUTINY

PROTECTThe ConstabularyOverall Confidence in the Constabulary

Select Area

Select Aspect

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

87.5% 88.2% 88.4% 88.6% 88.6% 88.4% 88.1% 88.2% 88.1% 88.3% 88.8% 89.0%

88.9% 89.0% 89.2% 89.5% 89.4% 90.1% 90.5% 90.9% 91.4% 91.5% 91.2% 91.1%

91.3% 90.5% 90.4% 90.4% 90.9%

Confidence File - Time Series Bar Chart

The Constabulary

Overall Confidence

12MRT Results

2013-14

2014-15

2015-16

The blue columns represent the twelve-month rolling results for the selected parameters. The percentages are

the proportions of all survey respondents who were fairly or very confident in the aspect of service specified.

87

.1%

87

.5%

88

.2%

88

.4%

88

.6%

88

.6%

88

.4%

88

.1%

88

.2%

88

.1%

88

.3%

88

.8%

89

.0%

88

.9%

89

.0%

89

.2%

89

.5%

89

.4%

90

.1%

90

.5%

90

.9%

91

.4%

91

.5%

91

.2%

91

.1%

91

.3%

90

.5%

90

.4%

90

.4%

90

.9%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

Mar

-13

Ap

r-1

3

May

-13

Jun-

13

Jul-

13

Au

g-1

3

Se

p-1

3

Oct

-13

Nov

-13

De

c-1

3

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Mar

-14

Ap

r-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-

14

Au

g-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Oct

-14

Nov

-14

Dec

-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Mar

-15

Ap

r-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-

15

Au

g-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Oct

-15

Nov

-15

Dec

-15

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Mar

-16

Page 32: Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015lancashire-pcc.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/20150923... · PROTECT Strategic Scrutiny Meeting 23rd September 2015 Recorded Crime

PROTECT

Strategic Scrutiny Meeting

23rd September 2015