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Quarterly Stock GuideSpring 2014
EARNINGS EDITION: SCREENS YOU NEED FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO TO BLOSSOM
Call (800) 424-9033 between 8:00am and 7:00pm ET to speak with a product coach
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Stock GuideEarnings Edition, Spring 2014
With the first quarter of 2014 at a close, the focus has once again shifted to earnings. The most recent correction has caused many leading stocks to begin a new base-building phase. Many breakouts occur due to gap ups created by favorable earnings releases, which will be the highlighted theme in this quarter’s Stock Guide.
In this spring edition of the Stock Guide, we interview O’Neil Portfolio Manager Charles Harris regarding his thoughts on earnings season and how he handles the volatility of an earnings release. In addition, he’ll discuss how he manages his positions with regard to gap up and gap downs to help you better navigate earnings season.
The stock screens created for this edition focus on the best fundamental companies with respect to earnings and revenue growth, which are the primary drivers of stock price appreciation. Additionally, there is a stock screen that looks for companies that surpassed their earnings estimates that may prove to be a catalyst for a move upwards in price.
Best returns,
Your MarketSmith Team
Don’t miss MarketSmith President Scott O’Neil’s monthly webinar on current market conditions. Register at MarketSmith.com/webinars
Stock Guide Chart Legend
1. 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate Over 20% Per Year
2. Company Name
3. Industry Group Classification
4. Datablock Containing the Following Information:
a. Short Interest Value and Percent Change
b. Options Availability and Exchange
c. 50-Day Ratio of Daily Up Volume to Daily Down Volume
d. Ex-Dividend Date
e. Current Yield
5. Ticker or Trading Symbol
6. Top 5 Stocks in Group
7. Primary Exchange
8. Industry Group Relative Strength Rating
9. Common Shares Outstanding (in Millions)
10. Web Address
11. Active stock (NASDAQ only)
12. Floating Supply (in Millions)
13. Datablock Containing the Following Information:
a. 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate
b. Best RS Line & Rating Factor
c. Earnings Per Share Rank (EPS Rank)
d. Current Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio
e. High and Low Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratios
14. Datablock Containing the Following Information:
a. Debt Percentage
b. New CEO in Last 2 Years
c. Timeliness Rating
d. Accumulation/Distribution Rating
e. SMR Rating
15. Average Daily Volume Over Last 50 Trading Days
16. Datablock Containing the Following Information:
a. Stock Price Relative to Book Value
b. Inventory Turnover
c. Research and Development % of Total Sales
d. Return on Equity Percentage
e. Cash Flow Per Share From Operations
17. Convertible Issues
18. Warrants Outstanding
19. Closing Price
20. % Off High
21. Datablock Containing the Following Information
a. Mutual Fund Sponsorship
b. Bank Sponsorship
c. Management Ownership
d. Alpha
e. Beta
22. Composite Rating
23. Arithmetic Price Scale
24. Key High and Low Price Points
25. 50-Day Moving Average Price Line
26. 200-Day Moving Average Price Line
27. Relative Strength Rating
28. Relative Strength Compared to S&P 500
29. Article in Major Publication
30. *Indicates 2nd Highest Weekly Volume in Last 12 Months
31. *Indicates Highest Weekly Volume in Last Year or Volume 100% or More Above ADV
32. Volume Scale
33. Earnings % Change
34. Qtrly EPS Compared to EPS Same Qtr Last Year (<> denotes pretax, non-recurring items included)
35. Insider Buying/Selling
36. Qtrly Sales Compared to Sales Same Qtr Last Year
37. 50-Day Average Daily Volume
38. High and Low P/E Ratio for the Quarter
39. Dividend Change
40. Security Announcement
41. Cash Dividend for the Quarter
42. *Indicates Earnings Expected to Report Within 4 Weeks
43. *Indicates Earnings Were Reported in Last 2 Weeks
44. Volume Peaks (in Hundreds)
45. Stock Dividend or Split
46. Daily High, Low, and Closing Prices
47. Line Indicates Beginning of Calendar Quarter
48. Indicator for Canadian Dollars
49. Datablock Containing the Following Information:
a. Fiscal Year End
b. Annual Operating Earnings (<> denotes pretax, non-recurring items included)
c. Calendar Year High/Low Prices
d. Earnings Per Share Estimates
e. EPS Estimates % Change
f. Estimate Revision
50. Business Summary
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
17 31AUG
14 28SEP
11 25OCT 9 23
NOV 6 20
DEC 4 18
QTR 1
JAN 10 1 15 29
FEB12 26
MAR12 26
QTR 2
APR 9 23
MAY 7 21
JUN 4 18
QTR 3
JUL 2
XYZ CORP (XYZ) NASDAQ*BLDG-A/C & HEATING PRDS aaon.com
17.1 SHRS / 12.2 FLT / AVG VOL 85,500 $24.13(OH ) -4%
MANUFACTURES HEATING, VENTILATION AND AIR CONDITION EQUIP- MENT FOR THE INDUSTRIAL/CONSTRUCTION/COMMERCIAL MARKETS.
5/10 TO REPURCHASE 5% OF COMMON STOCK OUTSTANDING.
SHORT INT 24.3 DAYS -3%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.0
CBOE
EX-DIV 6/ 8YIELD 1.5%
GROWTH RATE +31%EARNINGS STAB 13EPS RANK 63PE 16 ( 1.0XS&P)5 YR PE 9- 31
DEBT 0%NEW CEOTIMELINESS B
7/10
ACC/DIST DSMR RATING B
3.50 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 7.5XR&D 13.6%RET ON EQUITY 26%CASH FLOW $2
FUNDS 40%BANKS 8%MGMT 29%ALPHA 0.03BETA 0.98
COMPOSITE RATINGIPO 7/7/07 $ 5.00 (C) (W) 82
EPS DUE 8/10
PRICESCALE
GROUP REL STR 82 RS EPSSmithAO AOS 81 95Watsco WSO 76 82Lennox LII 75 85
EARNINGS HI LO(DEC)$ $04 0.39 14 9
05 0.60 13 906 0.90 19 1107 1.22 23 1608 1.60 23 1209 1.62 22 1410 1.38 EST -15%11 1.62 EST +17%
«
QUARTER ENDED JUN 30, 09 0.43 VS 0.43 0% 68.6 VS 74.8 -8%$ 0.18 13X -- 9X
QUARTER ENDED SEP 30, 09 0.45 VS 0.47 -4% 58.5 VS 79.3 -26% N/A 13X -- 11X
QUARTER ENDED DEC 31, 09 0.36 VS 0.35 +3% 54.2 VS 60.2 -10%$ 0.18 12X -- 11X
QUARTER ENDED MAR 31, 10 0.30 VS 0.39 -23% 49.3 VS 64.0 -23% N/A 14X -- 12X
16
18
20
22
24
400 600 1000
VOLUME(00)
22.32
18.00
20.63
18.49 18.64
22.00
20.72
25.11
21.50
22.41
17704 5376
84
R S LINEVS SP500
CANADIANQTR 4
FORBES06/04/10DIV
INCPSO
2/1
* *
* *
ACTIVE
1 2 3 5 6 8 119 10 13 1514 16 17 18 19 20
21
4 7 12
23
24
25
26
27
28293031
32
33
35 3439 363840 3741
44
42
43
46
47
48
49
50
22
45
Table of ContentsStock Guide Legend . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Market Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
How to Handle Earnings Season . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Spring 2014 Screens*
Strong Revenue Growth 9
Sanchez Energy Corp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Arris Group Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ARRS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Gaslog Ltd . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .GLOG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .CBI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Michael Kors Holding Ltd . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .KORS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Questcor Pharmaceuticals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .QCOR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Powerful Earnings Growth 13
Gaslog Ltd . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .GLOG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Plains GP Holdings LP CL A . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . PAGP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Sanchez Energy Corp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Allison Transmission Holding . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ALSN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Applied Materials Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .AMAT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Southwest Airlines Co . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .LUV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
EPS Surprise 17
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .CBI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Gentherm Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .THRM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Legg Mason Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .LM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Magna Intl Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .MGA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Dow Chemical Co . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .DOW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Lyondellbasell Ind A NV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .LYB . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on April 4, 2014.
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
4 Market Charts
S & P 500 INDEXCLOSE 1865.09
1687.18
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
AVERAGE
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
1687.181687.181687.18
MOVING MOVING MOVING
1687.181687.181687.18
1550
1600
1650
1700
1750
1800
1850
1900
DAILY VOLUME AND 50-DAY AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME LINE
300 M
550 M
900 M
1.5 B
421721724102713291511842062392612281431173195
APRMARFEBJAN 2014DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAYAPR
NASDAQ COMPOSITECLOSE 4127.72
4371.71
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
4371.71
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
4371.71
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
4371.71
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE
3150
3250
3350
3450
3550
3650
3750
3850
3950
4050
4150
4250
4350
DAILY VOLUME AND 50-DAY AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME LINE
700 M
1.3 B
1.8 B
2.8 B
421721724102713291511842062392612281431173195
APRMARFEBJAN 2014DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAYAPR
5
With the volatility of earnings season, we never know how a company will report or how the market will react to earnings. That’s why an important part of portfolio management involves reviewing your stock holdings before earnings are reported and determining a plan of action for any scenario.
To learn more about the how to manage your portfolio during earnings season, we turned to O’Neil Data Systems Vice President and Portfolio Manager, Charles Harris. Charles joined William O’Neil + Company as a Data Research Analyst in 1997 and has been a portfolio manager since 2000. He participates in numerous research projects, including model book studies, and speaks at various IBD workshops.
Q: What specific things do you focus on during earnings season?I focus on the potential collective impact of several earnings reports on my overall portfolio. You cannot just look at one stock in a vacuum. Since anything can happen going into earnings, I tend to trim positions, especially if I’m heavily concentrated in a number of stocks and they’re all reporting earnings around the same time. I know that if things don’t go my way, I can get hurt especially if I’m on margin. From my own experiences, [stocks] all tend to fall at the same time, so portfolio management rules take precedence over your individual stock rules. If you cannot take the pain from a worst case scenario [all stocks gapping down on earnings], then you should scale back your positions. When you scale your exposure back, your worst case scenario becomes the fact that you’ll make less money than you could have if the stock responds well and I think that’s better than risking the chance of losing big if the stock responds poorly.
Q: What types of rules do you have to help you determine whether you’ll hold a position though an earnings release?My number one rule is that I need a profit cushion on the position. I’ll never buy a stock going into earnings. Assuming you own a position and doing well on the stock, I try to let the chart action dictate my decisions pre-earnings release. Earnings can go either way. Typically, if a stock is running up into earnings at new highs, I’m more likely to trim that position on the way up before they report because there may be more risk involved. If a stock has already pulled back into a logical support area, I have more confidence that it will work out.
Q: Are you looking for anything in particular from an earnings release? Like a big earnings surprise? Or increased guidance? To have conviction in a stock, it has to have great fundamentals and a compelling story. Fundamentally, the best case scenario is when the company beats estimates on top and
How to Handle Earnings Season
MarketSmith Education Tips
Spring 2014 marketsmith.com
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
MarketSmith Education Tips6
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Spring 2014 marketsmith.com
7
bottom line and then raises its guidance for the next quarter and year. If a company beats earnings but guides its estimates lower, that’s usually a negative. The market looks for more future earnings growth because it projects forward. Due to that, I’ll have more conviction if the company misses its current earnings, but raises its future guidance. If the company insiders are bullish on the company’s future, then there’s probably a good reason for its long term prospects.
Q: If you have an existing position and stock has a major gap up, how do you handle it?If I have a big position, I will typically trim my position into strength and look to reenter the stock at a better price if it corrects. Sometimes gap ups lead to bigger moves going forward. If it gaps up from an extended standpoint, then I’m more apt to sell. If the stock has been consolidating for awhile, and then gaps up, I’d be more likely to add to the position.
Q: If you have an existing position and the stock has a major gap down, how do you handle it?Normally, I’d like to see how the stock acts throughout the day. Ideally, the worst part of the day would be in the morning when the stock shakes out before coming back throughout the rest of the day. If it gaps down, but does not find any support and is looking to break lower, then I’ll be quick to pull the trigger to start scaling out of the position. Even if it eventually moves up later [in the coming weeks], you’ll capitulate and sell well before it rebounds. A gap down below a major support area, like the 50-day moving average, is a conviction killer.
Q: If you don’t have an existing position, how do you handle a major gap up on a big leading stock?I’ll buy a partial position during the gap up day. As the stock moves down a bit from its intraday highs, I’ll start to scale into the position more. If it stock moves up higher throughout the day, I’ll stick with my existing partial position. Over the coming days/weeks, I’ll try and add on a pullback to the 10-day moving average. If the stock doesn’t correct, I’ll need to wait for a little consolidation area before I get too aggressive with the position.
MarketSmith Education Tips
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
MarketSmith Education Tips8
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9
Visit marketsmith.com/learn/stockguide to load the criteria for this and other Stock Guide screens directly into your MarketSmith screener.
All screen results are computer-generated and were run on April 4, 2014. This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.
Strong Revenue Growth
Finds stocks with strong revenue growth.
Prices may be driven by earnings, but earnings are driven by
sales. Having strong demand for products and services is the
foundation a company needs to build up its fundamental
characteristics, like earnings, return on equity, and profit
margins; it all starts as revenue. Companies with strong or
even accelerating sales growth are worth keeping on your
watch list.
Sales % Chg Company Name (Symbol) Industry Group Last Year Page
Sanchez Energy Corp (SN) Oil&Gas-US Expl&Prod 628 10
Arris Group Inc (ARRS) Telecom-Cable/Satl Eqp 167 10
Gaslog Ltd (GLOG) Transportation-Ship 129 11
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co (CBI) Bldg-Heavy Construction 102 11
Michael Kors Holding Ltd (KORS) Apparel-Clothing Mfg 68 12
Questcor Pharmaceuticals (QCOR) Medical-Ethical Drugs 57 12
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
10
SANCHEZ ENERGY CORP(SN ) NYSE 52.0 SHRS / 42.7 FLT / AVG VOL1.05MIL $29.55(OH -10%)OIL&GAS-U S EXPL&PROD sanchezenergycorp.comENGAGED IN THE EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF OIL AND GAS IN GONZALES, ZAVALA, FAYETTE AND OTHER COUNTIES IN SOUTH TEXAS
12/13 JOSEPH DEDOMINIC TO RESIGN AS COO, EFFECTIVE BEGINNING OF JANUARY, 2014.
SHORT INT 6.2 DAYS -15%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.0EX-DIVYIELD
GROWTH RATEEARNINGS STABEPS RANK 84PE 32 (1.9XS&P)5 YR PE 32 - 325
DEBT 69%NEW CEOTIMELINESS BACC/DIST BSMR RATING A
1.79 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO.R&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 9%CASH FLOW $4.1
FUNDS 36%BANKS 0%MGMT 18%ALPHA 0.12BETA 1.28
22.42
24.61 24.58
30.92
32.96
17.02
20.40
22.71
26.3126.31
84
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O+O
-O+O-OPO
PPO
+O+O
-O
15
20
25
30
PRICE SCALE
95COMPOSITE RATING$22.00IPO 12/14/1108$ -0.04 $09 -0.0610 -0.0911 0.10 26 1612 0.22 25 1613 0.97 30 1714 1.39EST +43% ↑15 1.96EST +41% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOPenn VA PVA 99 50Matador MTDR 98 78ClayWEgy CWEI 98 72US Energy USEG 98 63Diamondbck FANG 97 78
GROUP REL STR 73 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.13 VS 0.04 +225%31.0 VS 7.7 +306%N/A 103X-- 74X
0.17 VS 0.01 +160059.1 VS 6.3 +835%N/A 87X-- 58X
0.36 VS 0.13 +177%94.2 VS 12.5 +654%N/A 77X-- 43X
0.27 VS 0.05 +440%130.1 VS 16.7 +679%N/A 64X-- 32X
EPS DUE 5/7 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
134K
450K
1.4M
ARRIS GROUP INC(ARRS) NASDAQ 142.4 SHRS / 139.5 FLT / AVG VOL2.08MIL $27.32(OH -13%)TELECOM-CABLE/SATL EQP arrisi.comMANUFACTURES FIBER-OPTIC/COAXIAL CABLES, HEADENDS, ROUTERS, GATEWAYS, AND MODEMS FOR VOICE, DATA AND VIDEO NETWORKS.
2/14 EXPECTS Q1 2014 ADJUSTED EARNINGS OF $0.42 TO $0.47 PER DILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES OF $1.17 BIL TO $1.21 BIL.
SHORT INT 2.1 DAYS -1%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 0.8EX-DIVYIELD
GROWTH RATE +7%EARNINGS STAB 19EPS RANK 91PE 17 (1.0XS&P)5 YR PE 8 - 19
DEBT 128%NEW CEOTIMELINESS BACC/DIST BSMR RATING A
2.95 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 15.6XR&D 11.8%RET ON EQUITY 20%CASH FLOW $2.08
FUNDS 43%BANKS 0%MGMT 2%ALPHA 0.12BETA 1.28
17.5517.07 17.27
27.83
31.4230.64
16.02
14.0714.79
15.5416.34
24.95
26.69
93
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O+O10
15
20
25
30
PRICE SCALE
98COMPOSITE RATING(C)08$ 0.77 $ 10 409 1.01 13 510 0.85 13 811 0.81 14 912 0.93 15 1013 1.66 24 1414 2.09EST +26% ↑15 2.50EST +20% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOShoreTel n SHOR 93 78CalAmp CAMP 92 58WirlssTel WTT 89 95Audiocodes AUDC 86 75Harris HRS 86 57
GROUP REL STR 35 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.38 VS 0.19 +100%353.7 VS 302.9 +17%N/A 19X-- 17X
0.38 VS 0.25 +52%1000 VS 349.3 +186%N/A 19X-- 12X
0.38 VS 0.22 +73%1067 VS 357.4 +199%N/A 14X-- 12X
0.54 VS 0.28 +93%1199 VS 344.0 +249%N/A 17X-- 12X
EPS DUE*4/24 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
600K
1.6M
4M
Strong Revenue Growth
Spring 2014 marketsmith.com
11
*GASLOG LTD(GLOG) NYSE 72.4 SHRS / 22.4 FLT / AVG VOL880316 $24.68(OH -3%)TRANSPORTATION-SHIP gaslogltd.comOWNS, OPERATES AND/OR MANAGES A FLEET OF 12 LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS (LNG) CARRIERS.
1/14 PRIVATELY PLACED 2,317,460 COMMON SHARES, FOR $15.75 PER SHARE.
SHORT INT .8 DAYS -23%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.3EX-DIV 3/6YIELD 1.9%
GROWTH RATE +35%EARNINGS STAB 32EPS RANK 98PE 40 (2.3XS&P)5 YR PE 40 - 81
DEBT 38%NEW CEO 1/13TIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING B
2.96 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO.151.3XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 6%CASH FLOW $0.95
FUNDS 10%BANKS 0%MGMT 51%ALPHA 0.18BETA 1.23
13.9614.55
15.2915.91 16.23
17.82
22.65
11.92 12.2012.99
14.0215.00
16.11
20.29
96
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
PO
PPODIVINC
10
15
20
25
PRICE SCALE
99COMPOSITE RATING$14.00IPO 3/30/1208$ -0.38 $09 0.0710 0.1511 0.2512 0.18 13 813 0.62 17 1114 1.24EST+100% ↓15 1.66EST +34% ↓
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOStarBulk n SBLK 96 71TsakosE TNP 95 46KnghtT VLCCF 95 38DHT Hldgs DHT 94 57Frontlne FRO 93 41
GROUP REL STR 78 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.05 VS 0.05 0%21.8 VS 16.6 +31%$0.11 75X-- 67X
0.11 VS 0.04 +175%33.0 VS 16.7 +97%$0.11 78X-- 66X
0.18 VS 0.06 +200%43.2 VS 16.9 +155%$0.11 81X-- 53X
0.28 VS 0.03 +833%59.3 VS 18.3 +224%$0.12 64X-- 41X
EPS DUE 5/15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
80K
300K
1.2M
CHICAGO BRIDGE & IRON CO(CBI) NYSE 107.3 SHRS / 105.2 FLT / AVG VOL1.09MIL $86.07(OH -3%)BLDG-HEAVY CONSTRUCTION cbi.comPROVIDES CONSTRUCTION AND RELATED SERVICES TO HYDROCARBON, OIL AND GAS, CHEMICAL, POWER, WATER AND METALS INDUSTRIES.
3/14 CO/CHIYODA RCVD ABOUT $6 BIL CONTRACT FROM CAMERON LNG TO CONSTRUCT CAMERON LIQUEFACTION PROJECT IN HACKBERRY.
SHORT INT 2.4 DAYS +0%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 0.9EX-DIV 3/19YIELD 0.3%
GROWTH RATE +12%EARNINGS STAB 24EPS RANK 91PE 18 (1.0XS&P)5 YR PE 2 - 21
DEBT 69%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING A
3.94 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 66.2XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 28%CASH FLOW $6.58
FUNDS 29%BANKS 3%MGMT 2%ALPHA 0.06BETA 1.44
64.9163.46
61.95
80.14
83.42
50.41
56.0457.73
72.7470.76
83
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-O
DIVINC
-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O40
50
60
70
80
90
PRICE SCALE
96COMPOSITE RATING(W)08$ 3.02 $ 63 509 1.79 21 410 2.04 33 1611 2.55 45 2312 3.14 47 3213 4.91 83 4414 5.22EST +6% ↓15 5.96EST +14% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOAbengoa B ABGB 98 78Hill Intl HIL 96 40Argan n AGX 92 97MasTec MTZ 91 79TutorPerin TPC 89 33
GROUP REL STR 80 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.82 VS 0.60 +37%2251 VS 1201 +87%$0.05 20X-- 16X
1.04 VS 0.75 +39%2850 VS 1299 +119%$0.05 20X-- 16X
1.12 VS 0.84 +33%2992 VS 1446 +107%$0.05 19X-- 16X
1.91 VS 0.95 +101%3000 VS 1537 +95%$0.05 21X-- 18X
EPS DUE*5/2 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
400K
900K
2.5M
Strong Revenue Growth
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
12
*MICHAEL KORS HLDGS LTD(KORS) NYSE 203.9 SHRS / 183.5 FLT / AVG VOL3.11MIL $89.54(OH -11%)APPAREL-CLOTHING MFG michaelkors.comMARKETS LUXURY APPAREL, ACCESSORIES AND FOOTWEAR UNDER THE MICHAEL KORS AND MICHAEL MICHAEL KORS NAMES
2/14 EXPECTS Q4 FY14 EARNING OF $0.63 TO $0.65 PER DILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES OF $790 MIL TO $800 MIL.
SHORT INT 2.1 DAYS +13%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.4EX-DIVYIELD
GROWTH RATE +113%EARNINGS STAB 22EPS RANK 99PE 32 (1.8XS&P)5 YR PE 27 - 68
DEBT 0%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST DSMR RATING A
17.44 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 9.6XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 53%CASH FLOW $2.26
FUNDS 37%BANKS 1%MGMT 10%ALPHA 0.14BETA 1
57.72
66.18
78.62
83.1384.58
101.04
51.63
56.15
60.08
70.59
78.59
74.11
86
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O+O
-O
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PRICE SCALE
98COMPOSITE RATING$20.00IPO 12/15/1108$ 0.32 $09 0.0710 0.2111 0.38 27 1712 0.87 58 2513 1.97 84 4914 3.12EST +58% ↑15 3.85EST +23% ↑
EARNINGS (MAR) HI LOUnderArmou UA 93 97GIIIAppare GIII 90 94Kate Spade KATE 89 33Hallwood HWG 87 63Hanesbrnd HBI 86 64
GROUP REL STR 74 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.50 VS 0.21 +138%597.2 VS 380.0 +57%N/A 45X-- 32X
0.61 VS 0.34 +79%640.9 VS 414.9 +54%N/A 38X-- 29X
0.71 VS 0.49 +45%740.3 VS 532.9 +39%N/A 35X-- 30X
1.11 VS 0.64 +73%1012 VS 636.8 +59%N/A 35X-- 31X
EPS DUE 5/29 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
1.6M
5M
13M
*QUESTCOR PHARMACEUTICALS(QCOR) NASDAQ 60.8 SHRS / 56.5 FLT / AVG VOL2.38MIL $67.87(OH -15%)MEDICAL-ETHICAL DRUGS questcor.comDEVELOPS PRESCRIPTION DRUGS TO TREAT AUTOIMMUNE AND INFLAMMATORY DISEASES.
6/13 ACQUIRED RIGHTS TO DEVELOP SYNACTHEN AND SYNACTHEN DEPOT IN THE U.S. FROM NOVARTIS AG/UNIT, FOR $60 MIL.
SHORT INT 6.8 DAYS -3%OPTIONS ON AM/NYUP/DOWN 1.0EX-DIV 4/15YIELD 1.8%
GROWTH RATE +74%EARNINGS STAB 36EPS RANK 99PE 13 (0.7XS&P)5 YR PE 6 - 50
DEBT 0%NEW CEOTIMELINESS BACC/DIST CSMR RATING A
25.49 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 67.3XR&D 6.7%RET ON EQUITY 120%CASH FLOW $5.62
FUNDS 50%BANKS 1%MGMT 6%ALPHA 0.31BETA 1.1
42.50
50.20
70.5574.76
70.17
80.25
26.80
33.00
53.3356.25
49.37 47.71
59.85 58.89
93
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O
DIVINC
-O-O-O-O-O10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
PRICE SCALE
99COMPOSITE RATING08$ 0.51 $ 9 309 0.40 9 310 0.60 15 411 1.27 45 1212 3.33 58 1713 5.48 74 2414 7.05EST +29% ↓15 7.77EST +10% ↓
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOHorizonPhr HZNP 99 46IsoRay n ISR 99 16ForestLabs FRX 98 72FuriexPhar FURX 98 16Depomed DEPO 97 78
GROUP REL STR 98 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.76 VS 0.61 +25%135.1 VS 96.0 +41%N/A 11X-- 9X
1.35 VS 0.69 +96%184.6 VS 112.5 +64%$0.25 14X-- 8X
1.68 VS 0.97 +73%236.4 VS 140.3 +68%$0.25 18X-- 12X
1.67 VS 1.09 +53%242.9 VS 160.5 +51%$0.30 17X-- 10X
EPS DUE*4/30 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
800K
2.5M
6.5M
Strong Revenue Growth
13
Visit marketsmith.com/learn/stockguide to load the criteria for this and other Stock Guide screens directly into your MarketSmith screener.
All screen results are computer-generated and were run on April 4, 2014. This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.
Powerful Earnings Growth
Designed to find stocks with the largest earnings growth and future growth expectations.
Earnings are the single most important factor that affects a
stock’s price. During earnings season, run this screen to find
the companies putting up the big numbers, making them
great candidates for the next rally. Pay close attention to
stocks with triple-digit earnings growth and strong future
estimates, as they are usually well-positioned for a strong
upwards move in price.
EPS % Chg Company Name (Symbol) Industry Group Last Qtr Page
Gaslog Ltd (GLOG) Transportation-Ship 833 14
Plains GP Holdings LP CL A (PAGP) Oil&Gas-Transprt/Pipelne 700 14
Sanchez Energy Corp (SN) Oil&Gas-US Expl&Prod 440 15
Allison Transmission Holding (ALSN) Auto/Truck-Original Eqp 283 15
Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) Elec-Semiconductor Equip 283 16
Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) Transportation-Airline 267 16
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
14
*GASLOG LTD(GLOG) NYSE 72.4 SHRS / 22.4 FLT / AVG VOL880316 $24.68(OH -3%)TRANSPORTATION-SHIP gaslogltd.comOWNS, OPERATES AND/OR MANAGES A FLEET OF 12 LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS (LNG) CARRIERS.
1/14 PRIVATELY PLACED 2,317,460 COMMON SHARES, FOR $15.75 PER SHARE.
SHORT INT .8 DAYS -23%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.3EX-DIV 3/6YIELD 1.9%
GROWTH RATE +35%EARNINGS STAB 32EPS RANK 98PE 40 (2.3XS&P)5 YR PE 40 - 81
DEBT 38%NEW CEO 1/13TIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING B
2.96 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO.151.3XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 6%CASH FLOW $0.95
FUNDS 10%BANKS 0%MGMT 51%ALPHA 0.18BETA 1.23
13.9614.55
15.2915.91 16.23
17.82
22.65
11.92 12.2012.99
14.0215.00
16.11
20.29
96
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
PO
PPODIVINC
10
15
20
25
PRICE SCALE
99COMPOSITE RATING$14.00IPO 3/30/1208$ -0.38 $09 0.0710 0.1511 0.2512 0.18 13 813 0.62 17 1114 1.24EST+100% ↓15 1.66EST +34% ↓
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOStarBulk n SBLK 96 71TsakosE TNP 95 46KnghtT VLCCF 95 38DHT Hldgs DHT 94 57Frontlne FRO 93 41
GROUP REL STR 78 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.05 VS 0.05 0%21.8 VS 16.6 +31%$0.11 75X-- 67X
0.11 VS 0.04 +175%33.0 VS 16.7 +97%$0.11 78X-- 66X
0.18 VS 0.06 +200%43.2 VS 16.9 +155%$0.11 81X-- 53X
0.28 VS 0.03 +833%59.3 VS 18.3 +224%$0.12 64X-- 41X
EPS DUE 5/15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
80K
300K
1.2M
PLAINS GP HLDGS LP CL A(PAGP) NYSE 135.8 SHRS / 40.7 FLT / AVG VOL721834 $28.83(OH -1%)OIL&GAS-TRANSPRT/PIPELNE paagp.comOWNS 21% LIMITED PARTNER INTERESTS IN PLAINS AAP LP--OWNS 2% GENERAL PARTNER INTERESTS IN PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINESHORT INT 4 DAYS +1%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.6EX-DIVYIELD 1.7%
GROWTH RATE +14%EARNINGS STAB 27EPS RANK 84PE 263 (15.4XS&P)5 YR PE 538 - 676
DEBT 699%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST ASMR RATING
16.98 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 37.2XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 3%CASH FLOW $0.65
FUNDS 47%BANKS 0%MGMT 69%ALPHA N/ABETA N/A
23.85
27.04
28.54
22.03
24.38
82
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
+O+O
IPO$22.00
20
22
24
26
28
30
PRICE SCALE
88COMPOSITE RATING$22.00IPO 10/16/1308$0910 0.01 $11 0.0112 0.0213 0.10 27 2114 0.52EST+420% ↓15 0.62EST +19% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOCheniereEn LNG 95 11Phillips 6 PSXP 94 69Tallgrass TEP 94 37EQTMidstrm EQM 93 92EnlikMidst ENLC 93 2
GROUP REL STR 91 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.01 VS 0.01 0%10620 VS 9218 +15%N/A N/A
0.01 VS 0.01 0%10295 VS 9786 +5%N/A N/A
0.01 VS 0.01 0%10703 VS 9354 +14%N/A N/A
0.08 VS 0.01 +700%10631 VS 9439 +13%N/A 676X-- 538X
EPS DUE 1/1 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
400K
1.9M
8.5M
Powerful Earnings Growth
Spring 2014 marketsmith.com
15
SANCHEZ ENERGY CORP(SN ) NYSE 52.0 SHRS / 42.7 FLT / AVG VOL1.05MIL $29.55(OH -10%)OIL&GAS-U S EXPL&PROD sanchezenergycorp.comENGAGED IN THE EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF OIL AND GAS IN GONZALES, ZAVALA, FAYETTE AND OTHER COUNTIES IN SOUTH TEXAS
12/13 JOSEPH DEDOMINIC TO RESIGN AS COO, EFFECTIVE BEGINNING OF JANUARY, 2014.
SHORT INT 6.2 DAYS -15%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 1.0EX-DIVYIELD
GROWTH RATEEARNINGS STABEPS RANK 84PE 32 (1.9XS&P)5 YR PE 32 - 325
DEBT 69%NEW CEOTIMELINESS BACC/DIST BSMR RATING A
1.79 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO.R&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 9%CASH FLOW $4.1
FUNDS 36%BANKS 0%MGMT 18%ALPHA 0.12BETA 1.28
22.42
24.61 24.58
30.92
32.96
17.02
20.40
22.71
26.3126.31
84
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O+O
-O+O-OPO
PPO
+O+O
-O
15
20
25
30
PRICE SCALE
95COMPOSITE RATING$22.00IPO 12/14/1108$ -0.04 $09 -0.0610 -0.0911 0.10 26 1612 0.22 25 1613 0.97 30 1714 1.39EST +43% ↑15 1.96EST +41% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOPenn VA PVA 99 50Matador MTDR 98 78ClayWEgy CWEI 98 72US Energy USEG 98 63Diamondbck FANG 97 78
GROUP REL STR 73 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.13 VS 0.04 +225%31.0 VS 7.7 +306%N/A 103X-- 74X
0.17 VS 0.01 +160059.1 VS 6.3 +835%N/A 87X-- 58X
0.36 VS 0.13 +177%94.2 VS 12.5 +654%N/A 77X-- 43X
0.27 VS 0.05 +440%130.1 VS 16.7 +679%N/A 64X-- 32X
EPS DUE 5/7 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
134K
450K
1.4M
*ALLISON TRANSMISSION HLD(ALSN) NYSE 183.7 SHRS / 174.6 FLT / AVG VOL1.07MIL $30.00(OH -4%)AUTO/TRUCK-ORIGINAL EQP allisontransmission.comMANUFACTURES FULLY-AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSIONS AND HYBRID PROPULSION SYSTEMS FOR MEDIUM/HEAVY-DUTY VEHICLES
12/13 Q4 2013 INCLUDES A $3.2 MIL CHARGE FOR TECHNOLOGY-RELATED INVESTMENTS AND PUBLIC OFFERING EXPENSE.
SHORT INT 1 DAYS -27%OPTIONS ONUP/DOWN 0.9EX-DIV 2/27YIELD 1.6%
GROWTH RATE +54%EARNINGS STAB 39EPS RANK 98PE 35 (2.0XS&P)5 YR PE 19 - 47
DEBT 185%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING C
3.83 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 12.1XR&D 5.0%RET ON EQUITY 12%CASH FLOW $2.07
FUNDS 14%BANKS 0%MGMT 4%ALPHA 0.06BETA 0.99
24.5024.85
27.48
25.92
28.15
31.27
20.67
21.95 22.08 22.09
23.62
25.71
26.41
28.60
80
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-OSO
PSO
-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-OSO
PSO
-O-O-O-O-O-OSO
PSO
-O-O-O-O20
25
30
PRICE SCALE
94COMPOSITE RATING$23.00IPO 3/15/1208$ -1.81 $09 -1.7910 0.1611 0.5612 0.69∆ 25 1513 0.88∆ 28 2014 1.15EST +31% ↑15 1.41EST +23% ↓
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOStrattec STRT 97 96Gentherm THRM 96 99Meritor MTOR 96 79Tower TOWR 94 78Cooper-Std CPS 93 25
GROUP REL STR 92 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.15∆ VS 0.31∆ -52%457.4 VS 601.9 -24%$0.06 35X-- 23X
0.26∆ VS 0.15∆ +73%512.1 VS 559.4 -8%$0.12 46X-- 30X
0.24∆ VS 0.17∆ +41%466.3 VS 493.5 -6%$0.12 47X-- 35X
0.23∆ VS 0.06 +283%491.0 VS 487.0 +1%$0.12 41X-- 33X
EPS DUE*4/29 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
98K
400K
1.6M
Powerful Earnings Growth
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
16
APPLIED MATERIALS INC(AMAT) NASDAQ 1,211.1 SHRS / 1,199.0 FLT / AVG VOL15.05MIL $20.25(OH -4%)ELEC-SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIP appliedmaterials.comMANUFACTURES DEPOSITION, INSPECTION AND ETCHING AND CLEANING EQUIPMENT USED IN IC AND FLAT PANEL DISPLAY FABRICATION.
8/13 NAMED MICHAEL R. SPLINTER EXECUTIVE CHRMN, EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 1, 2013.
SHORT INT 5.4 DAYS +2%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 1.6EX-DIV 5/20YIELD 2.0%
GROWTH RATE +9%EARNINGS STAB 82EPS RANK 89PE 27 (1.6XS&P)5 YR PE 7 - 350
DEBT 27%NEW CEO 9/13TIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING B
3.46 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 5.6XR&D 17.6%RET ON EQUITY 10%CASH FLOW $0.94
FUNDS 46%BANKS 1%MGMT 0%ALPHA 0.1BETA 1.19
15.18
16.09
16.78
18.18 18.08
12.65
14.6214.85
16.41 16.40
85
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-O
WALL.SJ 9/25/13
-O-O
WALL.SJ 8/16/13
-O-O-O-O12
14
16
18
20
22
PRICE SCALE
95COMPOSITE RATING08$ 0.87 $ 21 709 -0.05 14 810 0.88 14 1011 1.30 16 912 0.75 13 913 0.59 18 1114 1.07EST +81% ↓15 1.36EST +27% ↑
EARNINGS (OCT) HI LOAmtech ASYS 98 46UltraClean UCTT 96 72LTXCrednc LTXC 90 7ATMI ATMI 87 85CVDEquip CVV 87 31
GROUP REL STR 68 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.16 VS 0.27 -41%1973 VS 2541 -22%$0.09 23X-- 17X
0.18 VS 0.24 -25%1975 VS 2343 -16%$0.10 32X-- 23X
0.19 VS 0.06 +217%1988 VS 1646 +21%$0.10 40X-- 30X
0.23 VS 0.06 +283%2190 VS 1573 +39%$0.10 39X-- 28X
EPS DUE 5/16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,13 QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,13 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,14
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
5M
13M
35M
*SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO(LUV) NYSE 702.0 SHRS / 695.0 FLT / AVG VOL7.99MIL $23.81(OH -2%)TRANSPORTATION-AIRLINE southwest.comPROVIDES PREDOMINANTLY POINT-TO-POINT, HIGH-FREQUENCY SHORTHAUL DOMESTIC AIRLINE SERVICE TO 96 CITIES IN 41 STATES
8/12 LAURA H. WRIGHT TO RETIRE AS CFO, EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 20, 2012.
SHORT INT 2.4 DAYS +28%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 1.1EX-DIV 3/4YIELD 0.7%
GROWTH RATE +27%EARNINGS STAB 40EPS RANK 97PE 21 (1.3XS&P)5 YR PE 12 - 73
DEBT 30%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING C
2.28 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 37.8XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 11%CASH FLOW $2.39
FUNDS 44%BANKS 1%MGMT 0%ALPHA 0.16BETA 1.18
14.56 14.24
18.98
22.10
12.58 12.65
17.73
95
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O+O-O-O-O-O-O-O10
15
20
25
PRICE SCALE
99COMPOSITE RATING(C)08$ 0.40 $ 16 709 0.19 11 410 0.74 14 1011 0.43 13 712 0.56 10 713 1.12 19 1014 1.39EST +24% ↑15 1.61EST +16% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOHawHldgs HA 97 59SpiritAir SAVE 96 99DeltaAir DAL 95 98AlaskaAir ALK 92 92American A AAL 92 78
GROUP REL STR 96 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.07 VS -0.02#+450%4083 VS 3990 +2%$0.01 24X-- 19X
0.38 VS 0.36 +6%4643 VS 4616 +1%$0.04 24X-- 20X
0.34 VS 0.13 +162%4545 VS 4309 +5%$0.04 22X-- 19X
0.33 VS 0.09 +267%4428 VS 4173 +6%$0.04 25X-- 19X
EPS DUE*4/25 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
1.8M
3.5M
7M
Powerful Earnings Growth
17
Visit marketsmith.com/learn/stockguide to load the criteria for this and other Stock Guide screens directly into your MarketSmith screener.
All screen results are computer-generated and were run on April 4, 2014. This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.
EPS Surprise
Focuses on stocks that beat earnings estimates in the most recent quarter.
Beating earnings estimates can provide a potential catalyst
for a price move upwards, since the company is performing
better than projected. This can lead to analysts revising their
price targets higher and pushing the stock price up even
more.
EPS Vs Est Company Name (Symbol) Industry Group Last Q % Page
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co (CBI) Bldg-Heavy Construction 64.7 18
Gentherm Inc (THRM) Auto/Truck-Original Eqp 60 18
Legg Mason Inc (LM) Finance-Investment Mgmt 56.1 19
Magna Intl Inc (MGA) Auto/Truck-Original Eqp 51.3 19
Dow Chemical Co (DOW) Chemicals-Basic 51.2 20
Lyondellbasell Ind A NV (LYB) Chemicals-Basic 50.7 20
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
18
CHICAGO BRIDGE & IRON CO(CBI) NYSE 107.3 SHRS / 105.2 FLT / AVG VOL1.09MIL $86.07(OH -3%)BLDG-HEAVY CONSTRUCTION cbi.comPROVIDES CONSTRUCTION AND RELATED SERVICES TO HYDROCARBON, OIL AND GAS, CHEMICAL, POWER, WATER AND METALS INDUSTRIES.
3/14 CO/CHIYODA RCVD ABOUT $6 BIL CONTRACT FROM CAMERON LNG TO CONSTRUCT CAMERON LIQUEFACTION PROJECT IN HACKBERRY.
SHORT INT 2.4 DAYS +0%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 0.9EX-DIV 3/19YIELD 0.3%
GROWTH RATE +12%EARNINGS STAB 24EPS RANK 91PE 18 (1.0XS&P)5 YR PE 2 - 21
DEBT 69%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING A
3.94 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 66.2XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 28%CASH FLOW $6.58
FUNDS 29%BANKS 3%MGMT 2%ALPHA 0.06BETA 1.44
64.9163.46
61.95
80.14
83.42
50.41
56.0457.73
72.7470.76
83
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-O
DIVINC
-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O-O40
50
60
70
80
90
PRICE SCALE
96COMPOSITE RATING(W)08$ 3.02 $ 63 509 1.79 21 410 2.04 33 1611 2.55 45 2312 3.14 47 3213 4.91 83 4414 5.22EST +6% ↓15 5.96EST +14% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOAbengoa B ABGB 98 78Hill Intl HIL 96 40Argan n AGX 92 97MasTec MTZ 91 79TutorPerin TPC 89 33
GROUP REL STR 80 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.82 VS 0.60 +37%2251 VS 1201 +87%$0.05 20X-- 16X
1.04 VS 0.75 +39%2850 VS 1299 +119%$0.05 20X-- 16X
1.12 VS 0.84 +33%2992 VS 1446 +107%$0.05 19X-- 16X
1.91 VS 0.95 +101%3000 VS 1537 +95%$0.05 21X-- 18X
EPS DUE*5/2 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
400K
900K
2.5M
*GENTHERM INC(THRM) NASDAQ 35.2 SHRS / 33.8 FLT / AVG VOL528980 $34.96(OH -5%)AUTO/TRUCK-ORIGINAL EQP gentherm.comMANUFACTURES ELECTRONIC VARIABLE TEMPERATURE CLIMATE CONTROL SYSTEMS FOR AUTOMOBILE AND TRUCK OEMS.
4/14 ACQUIRED GLOBAL THERMOELECTRIC, PROVIDES INDUSTRIAL THERMOELECTRIC GENERATOR SYS/REMOTE POWER, TERMS UNDISCLOSED.
SHORT INT 2.3 DAYS -24%OPTIONS ON NY/PHUP/DOWN 1.7EX-DIVYIELD
GROWTH RATE +79%EARNINGS STAB 63EPS RANK 99PE 27 (1.6XS&P)5 YR PE 13 - 389
DEBT 17%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST ASMR RATING A
5.30 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 11.2XR&D 7.5%RET ON EQUITY 23%CASH FLOW $1.81
FUNDS 35%BANKS 5%MGMT 4%ALPHA 0.23BETA 1.37
19.16 19.6420.70
25.25
27.0928.11
13.63
17.05 16.52
22.84
96
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O-O-O-O-O10
20
30
40
PRICE SCALE
99COMPOSITE RATING(C)08$ 0.16 $ 21 209 0.03 9 210 0.44 11 611 0.65 18 1012 0.66 17 1013 1.29 27 1214 1.39EST +8% ↑15 1.63EST +17% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOStrattec STRT 97 96Meritor MTOR 96 79Tower TOWR 94 78Cooper-Std CPS 93 25Lydall LDL 91 99
GROUP REL STR 92 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.34 VS 0.18 +89%148.1 VS 129.5 +14%N/A 26X-- 16X
0.23 VS 0.18 +28%160.5 VS 136.2 +18%N/A 25X-- 20X
0.32 VS 0.14 +129%171.2 VS 141.1 +21%N/A 26X-- 19X
0.40 VS 0.15 +167%182.3 VS 148.2 +23%N/A 26X-- 20X
EPS DUE 5/7 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
104K
250K
650K
EPS Surprise
Spring 2014 marketsmith.com
19
LEGG MASON INC(LM ) NYSE 119.1 SHRS / 104.8 FLT / AVG VOL1.34MIL $47.27(OH -4%)FINANCE-INVESTMENT MGMT leggmason.comPROVIDES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT AND RELATED SERVICES TO INDIVIDUALS AND INSTITUTIONS, COMPANY-SPONSORED MUTUAL FUNDS
3/14 TO ACQUIRE QS INVESTORS, PROVIDER OF CUSTOMIZED SOLUTIONS AND GLOBAL QUANTITATIVE EQUITIES, TERMS UNDISCLOSED.
SHORT INT 7.4 DAYS +5%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 1.0EX-DIV 3/11YIELD 1.1%
GROWTH RATE +4%EARNINGS STAB 9EPS RANK 82PE 16 (0.9XS&P)5 YR PE 7 - 16
DEBT 27%NEW CEO 2/13TIMELINESS AACC/DIST ASMR RATING C
1.17 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO.R&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 7%CASH FLOW $3.39
FUNDS 45%BANKS 1%MGMT 11%ALPHA 0.05BETA 1.74
32.46
37.0435.85 35.33
40.66
45.75
29.61 29.28
32.11 32.44
38.1539.60
88
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O25
30
35
40
45
50
PRICE SCALE
89COMPOSITE RATING(C)08$ 6.09 $ 75 1109 -8.70 33 1010 2.23 37 2411 2.94 37 2212 2.77∆ 29 2213 2.61 44 2514 2.33EST -11% ↓15 2.67EST +15% ↓
EARNINGS (MAR) HI LOValue Lin VALU 94 37WaddllReed WDR 91 95PzenaInv n PZN 91 87Silvercres SAMG 88 41Blackstone BX 87 68
GROUP REL STR 34 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.52 VS 0.88 -41%667.8 VS 648.6 +3%$0.11 11X-- 9X
0.68 VS 0.64 +6%670.4 VS 630.7 +6%$0.13 14X-- 10X
0.85 VS 0.75 +13%669.9 VS 640.3 +5%N/A 14X-- 12X
1.03 VS 0.70 +47%720.1 VS 673.9 +7%$0.26 16X-- 12X
EPS DUE*4/30 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
400K
900K
1.9M
*MAGNA INTL INC(MGA) NYSE 223.6 SHRS / 221.4 FLT / AVG VOL659478 $97.55(OH -2%)AUTO/TRUCK-ORIGINAL EQP magna.comMANUFACTURES AUTOMOTIVE SYSTEMS, ASSEMBLIES, MODULES, COMPONENTS AND COMPLETE VEHICLES FOR AUTOMOTIVE OEM'S.
5/13 EXPECTS 2013 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES OF ABOUT $1.4 BILLION.
SHORT INT 1.9 DAYS -31%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 1.4EX-DIV 3/12YIELD 1.6%
GROWTH RATE +47%EARNINGS STAB 53EPS RANK 96PE 14 (0.8XS&P)5 YR PE 7 - 79
DEBT 1%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST BSMR RATING B
2.31 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 13.5XR&D N/ARET ON EQUITY 18%CASH FLOW $12.83
FUNDS 34%BANKS 2%MGMT 1%ALPHA 0.13BETA 1.07
82.58
88.76 88.98
98.25
54.37
75.45
80.85
75.76
81.72
92.52
88
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PRICE SCALE
98COMPOSITE RATING(C)08$ 1.69∆ $ 40 1109 -1.33 25 910 4.37 52 2511 4.85 62 3012 5.74 50 3213 7.23 88 4914 7.94EST +10% ↑15 9.24EST +16% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOStrattec STRT 97 96Gentherm THRM 96 99Meritor MTOR 96 79Tower TOWR 94 78Cooper-Std CPS 93 25
GROUP REL STR 92 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
1.59 VS 1.46 +9%8361 VS 7666 +9%$0.32 10X-- 9X
1.78 VS 1.48 +20%8962 VS 7727 +16%$0.32 12X-- 9X
1.53 VS 1.13 +35%8338 VS 7411 +13%$0.32 14X-- 12X
2.33 VS 1.67 +40%9174 VS 8033 +14%$0.32 14X-- 12X
EPS DUE 5/10 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500
VOLUME
300K
650K
EPS Surprise
Spring 2014marketsmith.com
20
*DOW CHEMICAL CO(DOW) NYSE 1,215.8 SHRS / 1,191.5 FLT / AVG VOL9.60MIL $48.69(OH -4%)CHEMICALS-BASIC dow.comMANUFACTURES PLASTIC, CHEMICAL AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS FOR THE GLOBAL FOOD, TRANSPORTATION AND OTHER MARKETS.
1/14 TO REPURCHASE ADDITIONAL $3.0 BIL WORTH OF COMMON STOCK OUTSTANDING.
SHORT INT 3.2 DAYS -5%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 1.1EX-DIV 3/27YIELD 3.0%
GROWTH RATE +21%EARNINGS STAB 37EPS RANK 93PE 20 (1.2XS&P)5 YR PE 5 - 228
DEBT 63%NEW CEOTIMELINESS AACC/DIST CSMR RATING C
2.20 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 6.8XR&D 3.1%RET ON EQUITY 14%CASH FLOW $4.98
FUNDS 39%BANKS 2%MGMT 1%ALPHA 0.09BETA 1.22
36.00
41.0841.74
44.99
50.96
29.81
31.65
38.04 38.16 38.42
41.82
87
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O
DIVINC
WALL.SJ 12/3/13
-O-O-O25
30
35
40
45
50
PRICE SCALE
87COMPOSITE RATING(C)08$ 1.79 $ 42 1409 0.58 29 510 1.97 34 2211 2.54 42 2012 1.90 36 2713 2.48 44 2914 2.93EST +18% ↑15 3.46EST +18% ↓
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOGulfResrc GURE 95 75Methanx MEOH 91 99WestlakeCh WLK 86 99Lyndelbase LYB 83 94Huntsman HUN 83 84
GROUP REL STR 59 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
0.69 VS 0.61 +13%14383 VS 14719 -2%$0.32 19X-- 16X
0.64 VS 0.55 +16%14577 VS 14513 0%$0.32 18X-- 16X
0.50 VS 0.42 +19%13734 VS 13637 +1%$0.32 20X-- 16X
0.65 VS 0.33 +97%14386 VS 13917 +3%$0.32 21X-- 18X
EPS DUE*4/25 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
3M
6.5M
14M
*LYONDELLBASELL IND A NV(LYB) NYSE 546.6 SHRS / 464.6 FLT / AVG VOL3.66MIL $89.03(OH -3%)CHEMICALS-BASIC lyondellbasell.comNETHERLANDS-BASED MANUFACTURER OF POLYPROPYLENE COMPOUNDS, PROPYLENE OXIDE, POLYETHYLENE, ETHYLENE AND PROPYLENE.
5/13 NAMED ROBERT G. GWIN NON-EXE VICE CHRMN, EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY, REPLACING MARVIN O. SCHLANGER WHO WILL STEP DOWN.
SHORT INT 2.2 DAYS +28%OPTIONS ON AM/MSUP/DOWN 1.3EX-DIV 2/27YIELD 2.7%
GROWTH RATE +37%EARNINGS STAB 37EPS RANK 94PE 13 (0.8XS&P)5 YR PE 4 - 26
DEBT 46%NEW CEOTIMELINESS BACC/DIST DSMR RATING B
3.90 X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 8.5XR&D 0.3%RET ON EQUITY 33%CASH FLOW $8.95
FUNDS 40%BANKS 1%MGMT 1%ALPHA 0.08BETA 1.28
69.4571.33
75.67
79.34 79.34
82.97
91.94
55.02
66.3567.52
74.51 74.37
83
QTR 2QTR 1QTR 4
QTR 3
-O
DIVINCSO
PSO
-O-O-O-O-O-O-O+O
-O-O
DIVINC
50
60
70
80
90
PRICE SCALE
81COMPOSITE RATING(W)(C)08$ -12.97 $09 -2.84∆10 3.55 32 1311 5.01 45 2112 5.26 57 3013 6.79 80 5514 7.38EST +9% ↑15 8.26EST +12% ↑
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LOGulfResrc GURE 95 75Methanx MEOH 91 99DowChm DOW 87 93WestlakeCh WLK 86 99Huntsman HUN 83 84
GROUP REL STR 59 RS EPS
42172172410271329151184206239261228143117319APRMARFEBJAN 14DECNOVOCTSEPAUGJULJUNMAY
EARNINGS $SALES MIL. $DIVIDEND-PE
1.56 VS 1.07 +46%10669 VS 11734 -9%$0.40 14X-- 11X
1.60 VS 1.65 -3%11103 VS 11248 -1%$0.50 12X-- 10X
1.51 VS 1.36 +11%11152 VS 11273 -1%$0.50 13X-- 11X
2.11 VS 1.15 +83%11138 VS 11097 0%$0.60 14X-- 12X
EPS DUE*4/26 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,13 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,13 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,13 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,13
R S LINE VS SP500 VOLUME
1.3M
2.5M
5M
EPS Surprise
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