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Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere. Andriy Olenko La Trobe University, Australia Monash Workshop on Numerical Differential Equations and Applications February 13, 2020 The talk is based on joint results with P. Broadbridge, D. Omari (La Trobe), V. Anh (QUT, Swinburne), N. Leonenko (Cardiff, UK), A.D. Kolesnik (Institute of Mathematics, Moldova), Y.G Wang (UNSW) A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 1 / 32

Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

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Page 1: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Stochastic partial differential equationson the sphere.

Andriy Olenko

La Trobe University, Australia

Monash Workshop on Numerical Differential Equations andApplications

February 13, 2020

The talk is based on joint results with

P. Broadbridge, D. Omari (La Trobe), V. Anh (QUT, Swinburne), N. Leonenko (Cardiff,UK), A.D. Kolesnik (Institute of Mathematics, Moldova), Y.G Wang (UNSW)

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 1 / 32

Page 2: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

TALK OUTLINE

1 Introduction to CMB data

2 Spherical random fields

3 Evolution of CMB: SPDEs

4 Numerical studies

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 2 / 32

Page 3: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

TALK OUTLINE

1 Introduction to CMB data

2 Spherical random fields

3 Evolution of CMB: SPDEs

4 Numerical studies

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 2 / 32

Page 4: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

TALK OUTLINE

1 Introduction to CMB data

2 Spherical random fields

3 Evolution of CMB: SPDEs

4 Numerical studies

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 2 / 32

Page 5: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

TALK OUTLINE

1 Introduction to CMB data

2 Spherical random fields

3 Evolution of CMB: SPDEs

4 Numerical studies

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 2 / 32

Page 6: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Introduction to CMB data

Image credit: NASA / WMAP Science Team

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 3 / 32

Page 7: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

CMB is the remnant heat left over from the Big Bang;

Predicted by Ralph Alpher and Robert Herman in 1948;

Observed by Arno Penzias and Robert Wilson in 1965;

Hundreds of cosmic microwave background experiments have beenconducted to measure CMB;

Most detailed space mission to date was conducted by the EuropeanSpace Agency, via the Planck Surveyor satellite (in the range offrequencies from 30 to 857 GHz).

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 4 / 32

Page 8: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Missions

Image credit: https://jgudmunds.wordpress.com

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 5 / 32

Page 9: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Next Generation Missions

Next Generation Explorer: CMB-S4

(Sponsored by Simons Foundations, NSF and US Department of Energy)

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 6 / 32

Page 10: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

What does CMB data look like?

13.77 billion year old temperature fluctuations that correspond to theseeds that grew to become the galaxiesCurrent CMB data are at 5 arcminutes resolution on the sphere.Contains 50,331,648 data collected by Planck mission.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 7 / 32

Page 11: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Research directions

Direction 1: Stochastic modelling and developing new sphericalinference tools: high frequency asymptotics, Minkowskifunctionals, Renyi functions

Direction 2: Evolution of CMB: SPDEs

Direction 3: Practical statistical analysis of CMB data: Rpackage rcosmo

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 8 / 32

Page 12: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Research directions

Direction 1: Stochastic modelling and developing new sphericalinference tools: high frequency asymptotics, Minkowskifunctionals, Renyi functions

Direction 2: Evolution of CMB: SPDEs

Direction 3: Practical statistical analysis of CMB data: Rpackage rcosmo

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 9 / 32

Page 13: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Spherical random fields

The standard statistical model for CMB is an isotropic random field on thesphere S2

T = T (θ, ϕ) = Tω(θ, ϕ) : 0 ≤ θ < π, 0 ≤ ϕ < 2π, ω ∈ Ω .

CMB can be viewed as a single realization of this random field.

We consider a real-valued second-order spherical random field T that iscontinuous in the mean-square sense. The field T can be expanded in themean-square sense as a Laplace series

T (θ, ϕ) =∞∑l=0

l∑m=−l

almYlm(θ, ϕ),

where Ylm(θ, ϕ) represents the complex spherical harmonics.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 10 / 32

Page 14: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

The random coefficients alm in the Laplace series can be obtained throughinversion arguments in the form of mean-square stochastic integrals

alm =

∫ π

0

∫ 2π

0T (θ, ϕ)Y ∗lm(θ, ϕ) sin θdθdϕ.

The field is isotropic if

Ealma∗l ′m′ = δl

′l δ

m′m Cl , −l ≤ m ≤ l , −l ′ ≤ m′ ≤ l ′.

Thus, E|alm|2 = Cl , m = 0,±1, ...,±l .

The series C1,C2, ...,Cl , ... is called the angular power spectrum of theisotropic random field T (θ, ϕ).

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 11 / 32

Page 15: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Random spherical hyperbolic diffusion

The papers

Anh, V., Broadbridge, P., Olenko, A., Wang, Y. (2018) Onapproximation for fractional stochastic partial differential equations onthe sphere. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 32, 2585-2603.

Broadbridge, P., Kolesnik, A.D., Leonenko, N., Olenko, A. (2019)Random spherical hyperbolic diffusion. Journal of Statistical Physics.177, 889-916.

Broadbridge, P., Kolesnik, A.D., Leonenko, N., Olenko, A., Omari, D.(2020) Analysis of spherically restricted random hyperbolic diffusion,arXiv:1912.08378, will appear in Entropy.

investigated three SPDEs with random initial condition given by CMB.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 12 / 32

Page 16: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Model 1:

The fractional SPDE on S2

dX (t, x) + ψ(−∆S2)X (t, x) = dBH(t, x), t ≥ 0, x ∈ S2,

where the fractional diffusion operator

ψ(−∆S2) := (−∆S2)α/2(I −∆S2)γ/2

is given in terms of Laplace-Beltrami operator ∆S2 on S2.BH(t, x) is a fractional Brownian motion on S2 with Hurst indexH ∈ [1/2, 1).

This equation is solved under the initial condition X (0, x) = u(t0, x),where u(t0, x), t0 ≥ 0, is the solution of the fractional stochastic Cauchyproblem at time t0:

∂u(t, x)

∂t+ ψ(−∆S2)u(t, x) = 0

u(0, x) = T0(x).

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 13 / 32

Page 17: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Model 2:

The hyperbolic diffusion equation

1

c2

∂2q(x, t)

∂t2+

1

D

∂q(x, t)

∂t= ∆q(x, t), x ∈ R3, t ≥ 0, D > 0, c > 0,

subject to the random initial conditions:

q(x, t)|t=0 = η(x),∂q(x, t)

∂t

∣∣∣∣t=0

= 0,

where ∆ is the Laplacian in R3 and η(x) = η(x, ω), x ∈ R3, ω ∈ Ω is therandom field.

We investigated TH(x, t), x ∈ S2, t > 0, which is a restriction of thespatial-temporal hyperbolic diffusion field q(x, t) to the sphere S2.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 14 / 32

Page 18: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Model 3:

Hyperbolic diffusion equation on the sphere

1

c2

∂2u(θ, ϕ, t)

∂t2+

1

D

∂u(θ, ϕ, t)

∂t= k2∆(θ,ϕ) u(θ, ϕ, t),

θ ∈ [0, π), ϕ ∈ [0, 2π), t > 0,

where ∆(θ,ϕ) is the Laplace-Beltrami operator on the sphere

∆(θ,ϕ) =1

sin θ

∂θ

(sin θ

∂θ

)+

1

sin2 θ

∂2

∂ϕ2

The random initial conditions are determined by the isotropic random fieldon the sphere

u(θ, ϕ, t)∣∣t=0

= T (θ, ϕ),

∂u(θ, ϕ, t)

∂t

∣∣∣∣t=0

= 0.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 15 / 32

Page 19: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Theorem 1

The random solution u(θ, ϕ, t) of the initial value problem is

u(θ, ϕ, t) = exp

(−c2t

2D

) ∞∑l=0

l∑m=−l

Ylm(θ, ϕ)ξlm(t), t ≥ 0,

where

ξlm(t) =

√4π

2l + 1almY

∗l0(0)[Al(t) + Bl(t)]

are stochastic processes with

Al(t) =

[cosh (tKl) +

c2

2DKlsinh (tKl)

]1

l≤√

D2k2+c2−Dk2Dk

and

Bl(t) =

[cos(tK ′l)

+c2

2DK ′lsin(tK ′l)]

1l>

√D2k2+c2−Dk

2Dk

.A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 16 / 32

Page 20: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

The covariance function of the random solution u(θ, ϕ, t) is given by

R(cos Θ, t, t ′) = Cov(u(θ, ϕ, t), u(θ′, ϕ′, t ′)) = exp

(− c2

2D(t + t ′)

)

×(4π)−1∞∑l=0

(2l + 1)ClPl(cos Θ)[Al(t)Al(t′) + Bl(t)Bl(t

′)],

where Θ = ΘPQ is the angular distance between the points (θ, ϕ) and(θ′, ϕ′) and Pl(·) is the l-th Legendre polynomial, i.e.

Pl(x) =1

2l l!

d l

dx l(x2 − 1)l .

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Page 21: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Convergence study of approximate solutions

The approximation of truncation degree L ∈ N to the solution is

uL(θ, ϕ, t) = exp

(−c2t

2D

) L−1∑l=0

l∑m=−l

Ylm(θ, ϕ)ξlm(t).

Theorem 2

For t > 0 the truncation error is bounded by

‖u(θ, ϕ, t)− uL(θ, ϕ, t)‖L2(Ω×S2) ≤ C

( ∞∑l=L

(2l + 1)Cl

)1/2

.

Moreover, for L >√D2k2+c2−Dk

2Dk it holds

‖u(θ, ϕ, t)− uL(θ, ϕ, t)‖L2(Ω×S2) ≤ C exp

(−c2t

2D

)( ∞∑l=L

(2l + 1)Cl

)1/2

.

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Page 22: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Corollary 3

Let the angular power spectrum Cl , l = 0, 1, 2, ... of the random fieldT (θ, ϕ) from the initial condition decay algebraically with order α > 2, i.e.Cl ≤ C · l−α for all l ≥ l0. Then,

(i) for L > max(l0,√D2k2+c2−Dk

2Dk ) the truncation error is bounded by

‖u(θ, ϕ, t)− uL(θ, ϕ, t)‖L2(Ω×S2) ≤ C exp

(−c2t

2D

)L−

α−22 ,

(ii) for any ε > 0 it holds

P(|u(θ, ϕ, t)− uL(θ, ϕ, t)| ≥ ε

)≤

C exp(−c2t/D

)Lα−2ε2

,

(iii) for all θ ∈ [0, π), ϕ ∈ [0, 2π) and t > 0 it holds

|u(θ, ϕ, t)− uL(θ, ϕ, t)| ≤ L−β P− a.s.,

where β ∈(0, α−3

2

)and α > 3.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 19 / 32

Page 23: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Holder continuity of solutions and their approximations

Theorem 4

Let u(θ, ϕ, t) be the solution to the initial value problem and the angularpower spectrum Cl , l = 0, 1, 2, ... of the random field from the initialcondition satisfies

∞∑l=0

(2l + 1)3Cl <∞.

Then there exists a constant C such that for all t > 0 it holds

‖u(θ, ϕ, t + h)− u(θ, ϕ, t)‖L2(Ω×S2) ≤ Ch, when h→ 0+,

where the constant C depends only on the parameters c , D and k .

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Page 24: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Corollary 5

If the assumptions of Theorem 4 hold true, then there exists a constant CL

such that for all t > 0 it holds

‖uL(θ, ϕ, t + h)− uL(θ, ϕ, t)‖L2(Ω×S2) ≤ CLh, when h→ 0+,

where the constant CL depends only on the parameters c , D and k .

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Page 25: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Theorem 6

Let u(θ, ϕ, t) be the solution to the initial value problem and the angularpower spectrum Cl , l = 0, 1, 2, ... of the random field from the initialcondition satisfies

∞∑l=0

(2l + 1)1+2γCl <∞, γ ∈ [0, 1].

Then, there exists a constant C such that for all t > 0 it holds

MSE(u(θ, ϕ, t)− u(θ′, ϕ′, t)) ≤ C∞∑l=0

Cl (2l + 1)1+2γ (1− cos Θ)γ ,

where Θ is the angular distance between (θ, ϕ) and (θ′, ϕ′) and theconstant C depends only on the parameters c , D and k .

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 22 / 32

Page 26: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Short and long memory

The random field u(θ, ϕ, t) is short memory if∫ +∞

0|R(cos Θ, t + h, t)|dh < +∞

for all t and Θ ∈ [0, π].If the integral is divergent, the field has long memory.

Let G (·) be a spectral measure of the initial condition field, i.e. itscovariance function has the form

Cov(T (θ, ϕ),T (θ, ϕ)) = R(cos Θ) =

∫ ∞0

sin(2µ sin Θ2 )

2µ sin Θ2

G (dµ).

Theorem 7

The random field u(θ, ϕ, t) has short-memory if and only if µ−2G (dµ) isintegrable in a neighbourhood of the origin.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 23 / 32

Page 27: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Numerical studies

Scaled CMB angular power spectra for c = 1, D = 1 and k = 0.01 at timet ′ = 0, 0.02 and 0.04.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 24 / 32

Page 28: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Covariance for c = 1, D = 1 and k = 0.01 at time lag t ′ and angulardistance Θ.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 25 / 32

Page 29: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Figure: Error field of theapproximation with L = 200 to thesolution with c = 1, D = 1 andk = 0.01 at time t ′ = 0.04.

Figure: Error field of theapproximation with L = 400 to thesolution with c = 1, D = 1 andk = 0.01 at time t ′ = 0.04.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 26 / 32

Page 30: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Difference of the mean L2(Ω× S2)-errors and their upper bound for c = 1,D = 1 and k = 0.1 at t ′ = 10.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 27 / 32

Page 31: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Sensitivity to parameters

Figure: Difference of the meanL2(Ω× S2)-errors and their upperbound for c = 1 and k = 0.1 at t ′ = 10.

Figure: Difference of the meanL2(Ω× S2)-errors and their upperbound for c = 1 and D = 1 at t ′ = 10.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 28 / 32

Page 32: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

R package rcosmo

The first R package for statistical analysis of CMB and HEALPix data.The package has more than 100 different functions.

https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rcosmo

D.Fryer, M.Li, A.Olenko. (2019) rcosmo: R Package for Analysis ofSpherical, HEALPix and Cosmological Data, arxiv 1907.05648

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Page 33: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

Directions for future research

Study sharpness of the obtained upper bounds.

Develop statistical estimators of equations’ parameters and studytheir properties.

Extend the methodology to tangent vector fields on the sphere.

Extend the methodology to tensor random fields on the sphere.

Add new functions to rcosmo.

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Page 34: Stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere.users.monash.edu/~jdroniou/MWNDEA/slides/slides-olenko.pdf · Stochastic partial di erential equations on the sphere. Andriy

References

NASA/IPAC Infrared Science Archive hosted by Caltechhttp://irsa.ipac.caltech.edu/data/Planck/release_2/

Akrami, Y. et al.: Planck 2018 results. I, Overview, and thecosmological legacy of Planck, Astron. Astrophys. arXiv:1807.06205(2018)

Marinucci, D., Peccati, G.: Random Fields on the Sphere.Representation, Limit Theorems and Cosmological Applications.Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2011)

Lang, A., Schwab, C.: Isotropic Gaussian random fields on the sphere:regularity, fast simulation and stochastic partial differential equations.Ann. Appl. Probab. 25, 3047-3094 (2015)

Lan, X., Xiao, Y.: Regularity properties of the solution to a stochasticheat equation driven by a fractional Gaussian noise on S2. J. Math.Anal. Appl. 476 (1), 27-52 (2019).

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This research was supportedunder ARC Discovery ProjectsDP160101366.

A.Olenko SPDEs on sphere 32 / 32