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Stephen M. Shellman Curriculum Vitae
February 2016
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Strategic Analysis Enterprises, Inc.
108 Bluffs Circle
Williamsburg, VA 23185
Email: [email protected]
Voice: 757-253-7511
College of William & Mary
Williamsburg, VA 23187-8795
Email: [email protected]
Web: http://smshel.people.wm.edu/
Voice: 757-291-9559
Education
Degrees
2003 Ph.D. Political Science. Florida State University. December.
Dissertation: Taking Turns: A Theory and Model of Government-
Dissident Interactions. Awarded Best Dissertation by Peace Science
Society International (2004) for world-wide dissertations completed on
peace and conflict studies for the 2002-2004 period.
2000 M.S. Political Science. Florida State University. April.
1997 B.A. Political Science. University of Georgia. August.
Additional Training
2003 Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (EITM) II. University of
Michigan. June 15 – July 12.
2001 Summer Program in Quantitative Methods of Social Research, Inter-
university Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR). University
of Michigan. July-August.
2002 Winter Institute on Event Data Analysis. Texas A&M University. January 7-
11.
1996 Study Abroad Program. Globis, The Center for the Study of Global Issues.
Verona, Italy. June – August.
Current Positions
Current Appointments
2008- President, CEO, and Chief Scientist. Strategic Analysis Enterprises (SAE),
Inc.
2008- Research Scientist, Institute for the Theory & Practice of International
Relations, College of William & Mary.
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Current Directorships
2007- Creator & Director, Violent Intranational Political Conflict and Terrorism
(VIPCAT) Research Laboratory. Supervise & manage students depending on
the time of year and projects in-house. Located within the Institute for the
Theory & Practice of International Relations, College of William & Mary.
Consulting
2008- Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE).
Participating agencies include: The Joint Staff, Office of the Secretary of
Defense, Director of Defense Research & Engineering (DDRE), Strategic
Command, Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), Defense Threat Reduction
Agency (DTRA), Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), and Department of
Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate (DHS S&T).
2009- Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment, Social Science Modeling & Analysis Cell,
Office of Secretary of Defense, Department of Defense Research &
Engineering, Reaction Technology Office.
Previous Positions
2005-08 Assistant Professor. University of Georgia. Department of International
Affairs.
2005-08 Faculty Associate. College of William & Mary. Department of Government.
2007-08 Director, Center for International Trade & Security Student Programs,
University of Georgia.
2003-05 Visiting Assistant Professor. College of William & Mary. Department
of Government.
2000-03 Instructor. Florida State University. Department of Political Science.
Previous Fellowships & Scholarships
2005-8 Co-Creator & Co-Director (with Gregory Miller), Summer Workshop On
Teaching about Terrorism (SWOTT).
2006-08 START Post-Doctoral Research Fellow, National Consortium for the Study of
Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism, Center of Excellence of the U.S.
Department of Homeland Security, University of Maryland:
http://www.start.umd.edu/, August-July.
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2004-05 Terrorism & Counter-Terrorism Academic Fellowship. Foundation for
Defense of Democracies. Included program on Terrorism & Counter-
Terrorism at the Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies, Tel Aviv University. Tel
Aviv, Israel, May 29 – June 8.
2007- Research Fellow, Artificial Intelligence Center, University of Georgia:
http://www.ai.uga.edu/.
2001 Clifford C. Clogg Scholarship to attend the ICPSR Summer Program in
Quantitative Methods of Social Research. Awarded by the American Political
Science Association’s Political Methodology Section.
Publications Books
2009 Taking Turns: A Theory and Model of Government-DissidentInteractions.
Saarbrucken: VDM Verlag Dr. Muller. ISBN: 978-3-369-18384-9.
Peer Reviewed Research Articles
2013 “An Empirical Assessment of the Role of Emotions and Behavior in Conflict
using Automatically Generated Data.” with Sean O’Brien. All Azimuth: A Journal
of Foreign Policy and Peace, 2(2): 31-46.
2013 "Shifting Sands: Explaining and Predicting Phase Shifts by Dissident
Organizations." With Brian Levey and Joseph Young. Journal of Peace
Research 50(3): 319-336.
2012 “State of the Practice and Art in Sentiment Analysis.” With Michael
Covington and Marci Zangrilli. In Dylan D. Schmorrow and Denise M.
Nicholson, Eds. Advances in Design for Cross-Cultural Activities Part I. CRC
Press, 399-408.
2010 “Disaggregating Actors in Intrastate Conflict” with Clare Hatfield & Maggie
Mills. Journal of Peace Research 47(1): 83-90.
2009 “Methodological Developments in Nationalism, Ethnicity and Migration
Research.” with Victor Asal. International Studies Association Conpendium.
2008 “The New School of Political Conflict & Terror: From Attributes to Behavior
& Why Policymakers Will Care.” with Will H. Moore. Perspectives on
Terrorism 2(12): 3-10.
2008 “Coding Disaggregated Intrastate Conflict: Machine Processing the Behavior
of Substate Actors Over Time and Space.” Political Analysis 16(4): 464-77.
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2008 “Supporting the Bomb: A Survey of Iranian Public Opinion.” with Christine
Fair. Contemporary Security Policy 25(3).
2008 “Consenting to a Child’s Jihad.” with Victor Asal & Christine Fair. Studies
in Conflict & Terrorism 31(11).
2007 “Whither Will They Go? A Global Study of Refugees’ Destinations, 1965-
1995” with Will H. Moore. International Studies Quarterly 51(4).
2007 “Predicting Risk Factors Associated with Forced Migration: An Early
Warning Model of Haitian Flight.” with Brandon Stewart. Civil Wars, 9(2):
174-99.
2007 “Political Persecution or Economic Deprivation? A Time-Series Analysis of
Haitian Migration to the United States” with Brandon Stewart. Conflict
Management & Peace Science 24(2): 121-37.
2007 “Process Matters: Conflict & Cooperation in Sequential Government-
Dissident Interactions.” Security Studies 15(4): 563-99.
2006 “Refugee or Internally Displaced? To Where Should One Flee?” with Will H.
Moore. Comparative Political Studies 39(5): 599-622.
2006 “Do Simulations Enhance Student Learning? An Empirical Evaluation of
an IR Simulation.” with Kürşad Turan. Journal of Political Science
Education 2(1): 19-32.
2006 “Leaders & Their Motivations: Explaining Government-Dissident Conflict-
Cooperation Processes.” Conflict Management & Peace Science 23(1): 73-90.
2004 “Fear of Persecution: Forced Migration, 1952-1995.” with Will H.
Moore. Journal of Conflict Resolution 48(5): 723-745.
2004 “Time Series Intervals and Statistical Inference: The Effects of Temporal
Aggregation on Event Data Analysis.” Political Analysis 12(1): 97-104.
2004 “Measuring the Intensity of Intranational Political Interactions Event
Data: Two Interval-Like Scales.” International Interactions 30(2): 109-
141.
2001 “The Two Presidencies 1984-1998: A Replication and Extension.” with
Scot Schraufnagel. Presidential Studies Quarterly 31(4): 699-707.
Peer Reviewed Teaching/Instructional Articles
2006 “Confronting Global Issues: A Multi-purpose IR Simulation.” with Kürşad
Turan. Simulation & Gaming 37(1): 98-123.
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2003 “Acute Crisis in Cyprus: A Multilateral Bargaining Simulation.” with
Kürşad Turan. Simulation & Gaming 34(2): 281-291.
2001 “Active Learning in Comparative Politics: A Mock German Election
and Coalition Formation Simulation.” PS: Political Science and Politics
34(4): 827-34.
Other US Government/Department of Defense Publications:
2014 “Meaning Making Regarding Threat Narrative Based on Discourse
Analysis.” With Laurie Fenstermacher, Lawrence Kuznar, Mariah Yager. In
Advances in Cross Cultural Decision Making.” Edited by Sae Schatz, Joseph
Cohn, and Denise Nicholson. ISBN: 978-1-4951-2095-4.
2014 “Sentiment & Discourse Analysis: Theory, Extraction, and Application.”
Stephen M. Shellman, Michael Covington, and Marcia Zangrilli. In Socio-
Cultural Analysis with the Reconnaissance, Surveillance, and Intelligence
Paradigm, ed. Charles Ehlschlaeger. Topical Strategic Multi-Layer
Assessment (SMA) and U.S. Army Engineer Research Development Center
(ERDC) Multi-Agency/Multi-Disciplinary White Papers in Support of
National Security Challenges.
2013 "Strategic Analysis Enterprises (SAE), Inc. Sentiment Analysis." Stephen M.
Shellman. In Human Social Culture Behavior Modeling Program Newsletter,
US Department of Defense, 14.
2010 “Instant Data, Just Add Dictionaries: Political Analysis Using Automated
Event Data and Sentiment Coding.” With Phil Schrodt. In Human Social
Culture Behavior Modeling Program Newsletter, US Department of Defense,
6 (Summer).
2010 “Analyzing Political and Social Regional Stability with Statistics: Challenges
and Opportunities.” With Victor Asal. In Perspectives on Political and Social
Regional Stability Impacted by Global Crises - A Social Science Context.” US
Government White Paper, US Department of Defense. Edited by Hriar
Cabayan, Office of Secretary of Defense, et. al.
2009 “The Effects of Counter-Terror: Empirical Political Dynamics.” With Victor
Asal. In Protecting the Homeland from International and Domestic Terrorism
Threats., US Government Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment White Paper,
US Department of Defense. Edited by Laurie Fenstermacher, Larry Kuznar,
Tom Rieger, and Anne Speckhard.
2008 “An Integrated Statistical Modeling Approach for Predicting Rare Events:
Statistical Analysis of WMD Terrorism.” With Larry Kuznar, Victor Asal,
Karl Rethmeyer, Krishna Pattipati, & Robert Popp. In Anticipating Rare
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Events: Can Acts of Terror, Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction or Other
High Profile Acts Be Anticipated? A Scientific Perspective on Problems,
Pitfalls and Prospective Solutions, US Government White Paper, US
Department of Defense. Edited by Nancy Chesser, November.
2006 “Quantifying Violence and Nonviolence: Terrorism & Political Violence
Datasets.” E-Extreme Electronic Newsletter of the European
Consortium for Political Research Standing Group on Extremism &
Democracy. http://webhost.ua.ac.be/extremismanddemocracy/newsletter/
News7_4.htm.
Published Syllabus
2001 “Introduction to Comparative Politics.” In A View Into The Classroom:
Syllabi by Award Winning Teachers. Sue Davis, ed. American Political
Science Association: 135-144.
Published Datasets
2015 Boschee, Elizabeth; Lautenschlager, Jennifer; O'Brien, Sean; Shellman,
Steve; Starz, James; Ward, Michael, 2015, "ICEWS Coded Event Data",
http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/28075, Harvard Dataverse, V4.
2015 Lautenschlager, Jennifer; Shellman, Steve; Ward, Michael, 2015,
"ICEWS Event Aggregations", http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/28117,
Harvard Dataverse, V3.
2015 Lustick, Ian; O'Brien, Sean; Shellman, Steve; Siedlecki, Timothy; Ward,
Michael, 2015, "ICEWS Events of Interest Ground Truth Data Set",
http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/28119, Harvard Dataverse, V3.
2015 Boschee, Elizabeth; Lautenschlager, Jennifer; Shellman, Steve;
Shilliday, Andrew, 2015, "ICEWS Dictionaries",
http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/28118, Harvard Dataverse, V2.
Technology Transitions
2015 “Worldwide Integrated Crisis Early Warning System (WICEWS).”
Trasitioned data, tools, forecasting models, and software to support US
Strategic Command’s (USSTRATCOM) Integrated Strategic Planning and
Analysis Network (ISPAN) program of record. ISPAN supports
USSTRATCOM’s new responsibilities for global strike, missile defense and
information operations, in addition to their traditional role of nuclear
deterrence. The system is used by COCOMS, the IC, the Department of
State, and various government agencies to anticipate, track, and respond to
stability challenges.
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2013 “Integrated Crisis Early Warning System (ICEWS).” Trasitioned data, tools,
forecasting models, and software to monitor, assess, and forecast national
and international crises. ICEWS provided USPACOM and USSOUTHCOM
Combatant Commanders capability to anticipate, track, and respond to
stability challenges.
Pending Transitions
2016 “SAE Text Analysis Suite” with focus on “Discourse Analysis” tools.
National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC) & Air Force Global
Strike Command (AFGSC).
Live Military Experiments
2015 “Forecasting Conflict & Estimating Effects of Courses of Action Using Near-
Real Time Social Media and Group-Level Discourse Data & Models.” Joint
Interagency Field Experimentation (JIFX) Event. Department of
Transportation’s Maritime Administration facility, Alameda, CA. February
9-13. Conducted live experiments with respect to integrated scenarios
developed in conjunction with the Air Force Research Lab and JIFX.
Software Developed
2009- Strategic Analysis Enterprises (SAE) Text Analysis Suite: Four-part software
suite to analyze text; Co-Developed with Michael Covington, Marcia
Zangrilli, and Brian Levey. Owned by SAE, Inc.
Taxis: Classifies electronic documents by subject
Praxis: Generates dyadic events data from electronic texts
Pathos: Generates dyadic sentiment/emotions data from electronic
texts (social media, blogs, etc.)
Logos: Calculates “discourse” markers and codes “rhetoric” from
electronic texts.
2008 PERICLES: Developed prototype of multi-lingual event data extractor; Can
be expanded to any language, proof of concept focused on Arabic, Spanish,
and English.
Contracts & Grants (>$12M Raised as PI)
Federal
2014-15 Army Research Laboratory ($1,538,075). Data to Decisions.
2013-16 Air Force Research Laboratory Phase II SBIR ($750,000). Automated
Discourse Analysis.
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2012 Air Force Research Laboratory Phase I SBIR ($150,000). Automated
Discourse Analysis.
2012 Air Force Research Laboratory ($270,000). Modeling the Reciprocal Effects of
Emotions and Behavior.”
2012-13 Office of Naval Research ($839,000). “Worldwide Integrated Crisis Early
Warning System (W-ICEWS).”
2012-13 Office of Naval Research ($1.2M). “Subregional Modeling of Political Conflict
and Instability.”
2010-13 Office of Naval Research ($697,000). “Turning Text into Behavioral Processes
and Public Support: Supporting the Next Generation of Conflict Analysis.”
2009-11 Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Subcontracted
through Lockheed Martin ($1.8M). “Integrated Crisis Early Warning System
(ICEWS) – Phase III.”
2009-11 National Science Foundation Grant ($467,000), NSCC/SA: Terror, Conflict
Processes, Organizations, & Ideologies: Completing the Picture. DOD-NSF
Minerva Initiative (NSF: BCS-0904921).
2009-11 Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Subcontracted
through Lockheed Martin ($625,000). “Integrated Crisis Early Warning
System (ICEWS) – Phase II.”
2009-10 Strategic Command & Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL). PMESII
Correlates of Phase Changes Project, Phase II ($170,000).
2008-09 Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency ($300,000). Automated
Sentiment Analysis. August 15 – February 15.
2008-09 Strategic Command & Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL). PMESII
Correlates of Phase Changes Project, Phase I ($325,000).
2008 Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Subcontracted
through Lockheed Martin ($75,000). Supplement to “Integrated Crisis Early
Warning System (ICEWS) – Phase I.”
2007-08 Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Subcontracted
through Lockheed Martin ($225,000). “Integrated Crisis Early Warning
System (ICEWS) – Phase I.”
2007-09 National Science Foundation Grant ($177,000), SES-0721618. Domestic
Terrorism & Political Violence: Empirical Models of Government & Dissident
Tactics and Strategies in South & Southeast Asia.
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2006-08 National Science Foundation Grant ($12,500), SES-0619997. Research
Experience for Undergraduates (REU) Supplement: Modeling
Intranational Conflict-Cooperation Processes.
2007-08 Department of Homeland Security, Science & Technology Directorate Grant
($170,000). "Educating the Next Generation of Terrorism &
Homeland Security Specialists: A Summer Workshop for Faculty and
Graduate Students." Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller & Stephen M.
Shellman.
2005-08 National Science Foundation Grant ($95,000), SES-0516545 & SES-0452769.
Project Civil Strife: Multi-Actor Models of Intranational Conflict &
Cooperation.
2005-06 Fulbright Award ($16,000). Czech Republic. Declined.
2004 National Science Foundation Travel Grant ($500). Annual meeting of the
Midwest Political Science Association. Chicago, Illinois, April. PI: Rob
Franzese.
2002-04 National Science Foundation Grant ($7,900), SES-0214287. Doctoral
Dissertation Research in Political Science: Taking Turns: A Theory and A
Model of State-Dissident Interactions.
2001-02 National Science Foundation Grant ($49,000). SES-0099313. Modeling Flows
of Refugees and Internally Displaced Persons. PI: Will H. Moore; Co-PI
Stephen Shellman.
Pending Federal
2016-17 Air Force Research Laboratory Commercialization Readiness Program:
Science and Technology Transition Program ($500,000). Automated
Discourse Analysis Tools for NASIC/AFGSC.
2016-19 Office of Naval Research ($1.5M). “Rigorous Effects Assessment Framework.”
Course of Action Analysis and Planning
Extramural
2008-09 Foundation for Defense of Democracies ($180,000). Summer Workshop On
Teaching about Terrorism (SWOTT). Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller &
Stephen M. Shellman.
2007-08 Foundation for Defense of Democracies ($180,000). Summer Workshop On
Teaching about Terrorism (SWOTT). Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller &
Stephen M. Shellman.
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2006-07 National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism
(START) Grant to supplement SWOTT ($7,500), Homeland Security Center
at the University of Maryland. Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller &
Stephen M. Shellman.
2006-07 College of Behavioral and Social Sciences, University of Maryland ($2,000).
Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller & Stephen M. Shellman.
2007-08 National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to
Terrorism (START) Fellowship ($4,000), Homeland Security Center at the
University of Maryland.
2006-07 National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to
Terrorism (START) Fellowship ($5,000), Homeland Security Center at the
University of Maryland.
2006-07 United States Institute of Peace ($5,000). Support for Iran’s Nuclear
Weapons Program, Support for Domestic Terrorism in Pakistan, & The
Influence of Family on Jihadi Commitments.
2006-07 Foundation for Defense of Democracies Gift ($180,000). Summer Workshop
On Teaching about Terrorism (SWOTT). Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller
& Stephen M. Shellman.
2006 International Studies Association Workshop Grant ($5,000). Why Groups
Turn to Terror. PIs: Victor H. Asal & Stephen M. Shellman.
2005-06 Foundation for Defense of Democracies Grant ($80,000). Summer Workshop
On Teaching about Terrorism (SWOTT). Project Directors: Gregory D. Miller
& Stephen M. Shellman.
2004-05 American Political Science Association Small Research Grant ($1,600).
Modeling Forced Migration and Repatriation Processes: A Time Series Case
Study Approach.
Research Presentations
Invited Presentations
2012 "Forecasting Political Violence in Africa." B. Levey, P. Bentley and S.
Shellman. Presented at the Robert S. Strauss Center and U.S. Africa
Command, Climate Change and African Political Stability (CCAPS) conference
on Evolving Dynamics of Security in Africa: Assessing Diplomacy,
Development, and Defense Responses, University of Texas, Austin, TX.
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2011 Human, Cultural, Social, and Behavioral Open House, CTTSO & ONR,
September 12-13. Automated Sentiment Analysis, Event Coding, and
Forecasting Models of Political Conflict.
2010 The Minerva Initiative, National Defense University, September 16.
2009 "Fingerprinting Leading Indicators of WMD Terrorism." Kuznar, L.A., R.
Popp, V. Asal, K. Rethemayer, K. Pattipati, S. Shellman, Proceedings of the
2009 AAAI Spring Symposium, Stanford University, Stanford, CA.
2008 “PERICLES: A New Multi-Lingual Events Coder.” Presented at the
“Overcoming the Information Challenge in Federated Analysis: From
Concept to Practice” Workshop, sponsored by United States Department of
Defense (DOD), Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD), Director of Defense
Research and Engineering (DDR&E), Rapid Reaction Technology Office
(RRTO), Joint Staff (J3), US Strategic Command (STRATCOM), Global
Innovation and Strategy Center (GISC), US Special Operations Command
(SOCOM), United States Army Intelligence and Security Command (INSCOM),
August 27-28.
2008 “Project Civil Strife: Machine Coded Event Data.” Presented at the
Operating within the Human Dimension: the Collection/Analysis
Challenge conference, sponsored by DOD (Joint Staff,
STRATCOM/GISC, DDRE, OUSDI, AS&C) and DHS, April 24-25.
2008 “The Rational Terrorist.” Terrorism Symposium, Shorter College, Rome,
GA, March 4.
2008 “Modeling Terror & Repression.” Presented at the Modeling &
Visualizing Conflict Conference, sponsored by the United States
Department of Defense, Strategic Command, and Department of
Homeland Security. January 23-25.
2007 “How Have You Killed Lately? A Substitution Model of Terrorist Tactics
In India 1980-2005.”* Columbia University International Politics
Seminar, April 19. http://www.iserp.columbia.edu/workshops/cuips.html.
*Also presented in the Department of Political Science at the University
of South Carolina. February 2.
2006 “Project Civil Strife: Political Violence and Terrorism Events Data Sets.”
American Political Science Association (APSA) Short Course on Conflict
Data. Sponsored by the APSA Task Force on Political Violence & Terrorism.
Philadelphia, PA, August 30.
2001 “Modeling Refugee and Internally Displaced Person Flows.” Will H.
Moore and Stephen M. Shellman. Presented at the United Nations High
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Commission for Refugees (UNHCR), Statistics Division. Geneva,
Switzerland. June 11.
National & Regional Conference Presentations (1999-2012)
2014 “Meaning Making Regarding Threat Narrative Based on Discourse
Analysis.” With Laurie Fenstermacher, Lawrence Kuznar, Mariah Yager.
Cross Cultural Decision Making Conference. Poland, July 2014.
2012 Cross Cultural Decision Making Conference, San Francisco, CA. July.
Three presentations: (1)State of the Art and Practice in Automated
Sentiment Analysis, (2) Countering the Adversary, and (3) Improving ICEWS
Forecasting Models Using Ensemble Methods.
2011 “Countering the Adversary: Effective Policies or a DIME a Dozen? Stephen M.
Shellman, Brian Levey, and Hans Leonard. Presented at the Human, Social,
Cultural, and Behavioral (HSCB) Focus 2011 Conference, Sponsored by the
Combatting Terrorism Technology Support Office and the Office of Naval
Research. *Also presented at the American Political Science Association
Meetings in September 2010.
2010 “Modeling Dynamic Violence: Integrating Events Data Analysis and Agent-Based
Modeling.” Michael Findley, Stephen M. Shellman, and Josesph Young.
American Political Science Association Meetings.
2008 “Nickel & DIMEing the Adversary: Does it work or PMESII them off?” with
Brandon M Stewart and Cale D. Horne. Presented at International Studies
Association annual meeting in San Francosco, March 27.
2008 “Supporting the Bomb: A Survey of Iranian Public Opinion.” with Christine
Fair, and Cale Horne. Presented at International Studies Association annual
meeting in San Francosco, March 26.
2007 “Regional Sticks: The Effects of President’s Rule on Regional Terrorism in
India, 1980-2005.” with Victor H. Asal. Presented at the Peace Science
Society’s annual meeting, University of South Carolina, November 3.
2007 “Separation & Aggregation: How Our Theoretical & Operational Choices
Affect the Inferences We Draw from Models of Civil Strife.” with Clare
Hatfield & Maggie Mills. Presented at the annual meeting of the
International Studies Association, Chicago, Illinois, February 28-March 3.
2007 “Consenting to Jihad: Insights from Pakistan.” with Victor Asal & Christine
Fair. Presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies
Association, Chicago, Illinois, February 28-March 3.
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2006 “Tipping Points & Turning Points: When Do States Care about Terrorism?”
with Gregory D. Miller. Presented at the American Political Science
Association’s annual convention, September.
2006 “Media Generated Data: The Effects of Source Bias on Event Data Analysis.”
with Brandon Stewart & Andrew Reeves. Prepared for the International
Studies Association annual convention, March 22-25.
2006 “Predicting Risk Factors Associated with Forced Migration: An Early
Warning Model of Haitian Flight.” with Brandon Stewart. Prepared for the
International Studies Association annual convention, March 22-25.
2006 “Split Personality: The Jammu & Kashmir Liberation Front’s Turn Away
from Terror.” with Nitya Singh. Prepared for the Turn to Terror Workshop,
sponsored by the International Studies Association, March 21.
2004 “Leaders, Motivations, and Sequences: Modeling Government-Dissident
Cooperation and Conflict.” Annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science
Association, Chicago, Illinois. April.
2004 “Whither Will They Go? Modeling Directed-Dyadic Refugee Flows 1964-96.”
Will H. Moore and Stephen M. Shellman. Annual meeting of the Midwest
Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois. April.
2003 “Three Decades of Forced Migration: An Empirical Assessment.” Will H.
Moore and Stephen M. Shellman. Annual meeting of the International
Studies Association. Portland, Oregon. February.
2002 “Refugee or Internally Displaced Person? To Where Should One Flee?” Will
H. Moore and Stephen M. Shellman.** “Forced Migration, Global Security,
and Humanitarian Assistance.” The Center for Comparative Immigration
Studies (CCIS), University of California, San Diego. December 3.
2002 **Also presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies
Association, New Orleans, Louisiana. March 23-27.
2001 “Responding to Outcomes: A Dynamic Model of State-Dissident Interactions
in Latin America.” Stephen M. Shellman. Peace Science Society
(International), Emory University, Atlanta. October 26-28.
2001 “Modeling Refugee and Internally Displaced Person Flows.” Will H. Moore
and Stephen M. Shellman. Identifying Wars: Systematic Conflict Research
and Its Utility in Conflict Resolution and Prevention Conference, jointly
sponsored by the Department of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala
University, the International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO), and the
Development Economics Research Group (DECRG) at the World Bank,
Uppsala, Sweden. June 8-9.
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2001 “Taking Turns: A Sequential Model of Dissident Responses to State
Repression in Nigeria, 1983-1992.” Annual meeting of the International
Studies Association, Chicago, Illinois. February 21-25.
2000 “Measuring the Intensity of Intranational Political Interactions Events Data:
Two Interval-Level Scales.” Annual meeting of the Peace Science Society
(International), Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut. October 27-29.
1999 “National Power and The Determination of GATT Dispute Outcomes.”
Annual meeting of the International Studies Association - South, Lexington,
Kentucky. November 12-14.
Research Awards
2004 Walter Isard Award for Best Dissertation in Peace Science, 2002-2004.
Awarded by the Peace Science Society (International), November 13.
1999 First Runner-Up Graduate Student Paper Award, International Studies
Association – South Conference, Lexington, Kentucky, November 12-14.
“National Power and The Determination of GATT Dispute Outcomes.”
Teaching & Mentoring Experience
Graduate Courses Taught
2006 Comparative Political Violence (UGA)
Graduate Courses I Assisted with
2001-02 Political Science Data Analysis (FSU)
Quantitative Analysis (FSU)
Advanced Quantitative Analysis (FSU)
Graduate Student Advising
2006-7 Brad McAllister, University of Georgia, Placed at University of St. Andrews,
Scotland.
Matthew Fuhrmann, University of Georgia, Placed at the University of
South Carolina.
Bryan Early, University of Georgia, SUNY-Albany.
Undergraduate Courses Taught
2000-07 Honors Seminar: Advanced Research in Political Violence & Terrorism
Honors Seminar: Introduction to Scientific Research in International
Affairs (UGA)
Seminar: Violent Intranational Political Conflict (W&M)
Seminar: Advanced Research in Political Violence & Terrorism (W&M; UGA)
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Political Science Research Methods (FSU)
Terrorism (UGA)
Introduction to Global Issues (UGA)
Introduction to International Politics (W&M)
Introduction to Comparative Politics (FSU)
Introduction to Social Science Data Analysis (W&M)
Workshops for Undergraduates
2007-8 Director, Event Data Analysis Workshop, Department of International
Affairs, University of Georgia, November 20 & February 3.
2006-7 Director, Event Data Analysis Workshop, Department of International
Affairs, University of Georgia, November 5, 19, and January 14.
Undergraduate Study Abroad Programs
2000 Instructor, Introduction to Comparative Politics, University of Costa Rica,
July-August.
Undergraduate Honors Thesis Mentoring
2012 Committee Member, Department of Government, College of William & Mary.
2008 Chair, Two students, Department of International Affairs, University of
Georgia.
2007 Committee Member, Department of International Affairs, University of
Georgia.
2005 Committee Member, Department of Government. College of William & Mary.
Other Undergraduate Student Mentoring & Advising
2007-08 Faculty Research Mentor, Roosevelt Institution at the University of Georgia.
2007-08 Research Mentor, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and
Responses to Terrorism, Center of Excellence of the U.S. Department of
Homeland Security, University of Maryland: http://www.start.umd.edu/,
Undergraduate Research Program, August-July. Mentored two student
fellows.
2005-08 Faculty Research Mentor, Center for Undergraduate Research Opportunities
Apprentice Program (CURO-AP). Mentored and funded 9 different CURO-
APs for 2005-2008.
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2006-2008 Faculty Research Mentor, CURO Symposium, University of Georgia.
Sponsored 12 students over 3 years who completed their own research
projects and presented them at the symposium each year.
2006-07 Faculty Research Mentor, Center for Undergraduate Research Opportunities
(CURO) Summer Research Fellowships. Mentored 2 fellows each summer.
2006-07 Honors Faculty Mentor, University of Georgia Honors Faculty Mentor
Network.
2004-07 Faculty Advisor, Foundation for the Defense of Democracies Student
Terrorism Fellows. Mentored 8 students over three years.
2006 Research Mentor, Honors Research Independent Study. Department of
International Affairs. University of Georgia. Mentored 3 Honors students.
2005 Faculty Research Mentor & Grant Advisor, College of William & Mary.
Mentored two different students who obtained research grants.
Teacher Training Programs
1998 Advanced Teaching Certificate, Program for Instructional Excellence (PIE),
Florida State University, August.
Teaching Presentations
2005-7 “Quantitative Approaches to Teaching & Researching Political Violence &
Terrorism” Stephen M. Shellman. Summer Workshop On Teaching about
Terrorism (SWOTT).
University of Oklahoma. July 14, 2007.
Morehouse College. June 21, 2007.
College of William & Mary. June 17, 2006.
College of William & Mary July 19, 2005.
2005-7 “Terrorism Simulations for the Classroom” Stephen M. Shellman. Summer
Workshop On Teaching about Terrorism (SWOTT).
University of Oklahoma. July 17, 2007.
University of Maryland. June 6, 2007.
Morehouse College. June 21, 2007.
University of Georgia. July 22, 2006.
College of William & Mary. June 17, 2006.
College of William & Mary. July 19, 2005.
2005 “Active Learning in International Relations.” Stephen M. Shellman & Kürşad
Turan. American Political Science Association Conference on Teaching and
Learning. Washington, DC. February 19-21.
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Teaching Awards
2007 Nominee, Russell Teaching Award, University of Georgia.
2004 Nominee, Rowman & Littlefield Award for Innovative Teaching in Political
Science.
2001 Campus-wide Outstanding Teaching Assistant Award, Florida State
University.
2002 International Who’s Who of Professional Educators, Who’s Who Historical
Society.
Professional Service Conference Service
2005-7 Director (with Gregory Miller), Summer Workshop On Teaching about
Terrorism (SWOTT).
College of William & Mary, July 12-20, 2005.
College of William & Mary, June 10-18, 2006.
University of Georgia, July 15-23, 2006.
University of Maryland START Center, June 4-12, 2007.
Morehouse College, June 16-24, 2007.
University of Oklahoma, July 10-18, 2007.
2007 Panel Chair, The Causes of Civil War II Panel, International Studies
Association Annual Convention, February 28-March 3.
2007 Discussant, The Causes of Civil War II Panel, International Studies
Association Annual Convention, February 28-March 3.
2006 Panel Chair, The Causes of Forced Migration. International Studies
Association Annual Convention, March 22-25.
2004 Discussant, Theoretical Synthesis and the Study of IO: Bridging Rationalist
and Constructivist Divides. Carnegie Foundation for International Peace.
Washington, D.C., February 6-7.
Grant Referee
2007-2013 US National Science Foundation
Manuscript Referee
2002-13 American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review,
British Journal of Political Science, Conflict Management & Peace Science,
Comparative Political Studies, International Studies Quarterly, Journal of
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Peace Research, Journal of Political Science Education, Journal of Politics,
Science, Security Studies.
University Service
2007-08 Committee Member, Computing and Technology Committee, University of
Georgia.
2006-07 Director, Department of International Affairs Undergraduate Research
Colloquium, University of Georgia.
2006-08 Co-Director (with Maurits Van derVeen), Department of International
Affairs Lecture Series in connection with Globis. I also funded part of the
series with external resources.
2006-07 Committee Member, Science & Technology Committee, University of
Georgia.
2006-07 Honors Faculty Mentor, University of Georgia Honors Faculty Mentor
Network (http://www.uga.edu/honors/mentor/index.html).
Other Professional Awards
2011 Who's Who in America 2011
