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Tugas statistik multivariat semester genap 2013/2014
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Berikut ini dilakukan survei terhadap 130 responden mengenai pengaruh umur, jenis kelamin serta tingkat pendapatan responden terhadap keputusan dalam pembelian mobil.Variabel Dependen:Y= Keputusan pembelian mobil oleh responden0: Tidak membeli mobil1: Membeli mobilVariabel Dependen:X1= Usia respondenX2= Jenis kelamin responden0: Pria1: WanitaX3 = Tingkat pendapatan responden0: Berpendapatan Rendah1: Berpendapatan Sedang-TinggiBerikut adalah hasil output dari pengolahan data tersebut menggunakan SPSSLogistic Regression
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted CasesaNPercent
Selected CasesIncluded in Analysis130100.0
Missing Cases0.0
Total130100.0
Unselected Cases0.0
Total130100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original ValueInternal Value
Tidak Membeli Mobil0
Membeli Mobil1
Block 0: Beginning Block
Classification Tablea,b
ObservedPredicted
Keputusan Membeli MobilPercentage Correct
Tidak Membeli MobilMembeli Mobil
Step 0Keputusan Membeli MobilTidak Membeli Mobil760100.0
Membeli Mobil540.0
Overall Percentage58.5
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
BS.E.WalddfSig.Exp(B)
Step 0Constant-.342.1783.6871.055.711
Variables not in the Equation
ScoredfSig.
Step 0VariablesUmur5.0501.025
Jenis_Kelamin4.7581.029
Pendapatan.8731.350
Overall Statistics10.8473.013
Block 1: Method = Enter
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Chi-squaredfSig.
Step 1Step11.2023.011
Block11.2023.011
Model11.2023.011
Model Summary
Step-2 Log likelihoodCox & Snell R SquareNagelkerke R Square
1165.275a.083.111
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
StepChi-squaredfSig.
14.5508.804
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Keputusan Membeli Mobil = Tidak Membeli MobilKeputusan Membeli Mobil = Membeli MobilTotal
ObservedExpectedObservedExpected
Step 111211.16622.83414
21212.61954.38117
3108.94334.05713
487.62944.37112
577.68965.31113
646.65985.34112
776.26355.73712
876.14566.85513
964.93667.06412
1033.95098.05012
Classification Tablea
ObservedPredicted
Keputusan Membeli MobilPercentage Correct
Tidak Membeli MobilMembeli Mobil
Step 1Keputusan Membeli MobilTidak Membeli Mobil601678.9
Membeli Mobil332138.9
Overall Percentage62.3
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
BS.E.WalddfSig.Exp(B)95% C.I.for EXP(B)
LowerUpper
Step 1aUmur-.100.0474.5751.032.905.826.992
Jenis_Kelamin.853.3834.9481.0262.3471.1074.976
Pendapatan.526.4241.5401.2151.692.7373.881
Constant2.5651.8072.0141.15612.995
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: Umur, Jenis_Kelamin, Pendapatan.
Casewise List
CaseSelected StatusaObservedPredictedPredicted GroupTemporary Variable
Keputusan Membeli MobilResidZResid
1ST .360T-.360-.751
2ST .457T-.457-.917
3ST .274T-.274-.615
4SM**.457T.5431.091
5ST .360T-.360-.751
6SM**.408T.5921.206
7ST .481T-.481-.963
8SM**.481T.5191.038
9ST .255T-.255-.585
10ST .338T-.338-.714
11SM**.432T.5681.147
12SM**.338T.6621.400
13SM .531M.469.939
14SM**.457T.5431.091
15ST**.531M-.531-1.064
16ST .408T-.408-.829
17ST .408T-.408-.829
18SM .580M.420.850
19SM**.432T.5681.147
20SM**.432T.5681.147
21ST .408T-.408-.829
22ST .338T-.338-.714
23SM .580M.420.850
24SM**.481T.5191.038
25SM .513M.487.974
26ST .439T-.439-.884
27SM .657M.343.722
28ST .488T-.488-.976
29SM .563M.437.882
30ST**.538M-.538-1.079
31ST**.587M-.587-1.192
32ST**.513M-.513-1.026
33SM .634M.366.759
34ST .390T-.390-.800
35SM .634M.366.759
36ST**.513M-.513-1.026
37SM .538M.462.927
38SM .634M.366.759
39SM .721M.279.622
40ST**.538M-.538-1.079
41ST**.611M-.611-1.253
42SM .611M.389.798
43SM .538M.462.927
44SM .634M.366.759
45ST**.611M-.611-1.253
46ST .463T-.463-.929
47ST .488T-.488-.976
48SM**.367T.6331.314
49ST**.657M-.657-1.385
50SM .563M.437.882
51SM**.241T.7591.773
52SM**.463T.5371.077
53SM .657M.343.722
54ST .463T-.463-.929
55ST .488T-.488-.976
56SM**.390T.6101.250
57ST**.611M-.611-1.253
58ST .488T-.488-.976
59ST**.563M-.563-1.134
60SM .679M.321.687
61SM**.367T.6331.314
62SM**.463T.5371.077
63SM .513M.487.974
64ST**.794M-.794-1.963
65SM .538M.462.927
66ST**.611M-.611-1.253
67ST**.513M-.513-1.026
68ST**.679M-.679-1.455
69ST .344T-.344-.724
70SM**.488T.5121.024
71ST**.538M-.538-1.079
72SM**.439T.5611.132
73ST .194T-.194-.490
74ST .245T-.245-.569
75ST .194T-.194-.490
76ST .194T-.194-.490
77ST .227T-.227-.541
78SM**.227T.7731.847
79ST .227T-.227-.541
80ST .245T-.245-.569
81ST .194T-.194-.490
82ST .245T-.245-.569
83ST .194T-.194-.490
84ST .164T-.164-.444
85ST .227T-.227-.541
86ST .425T-.425-.860
87ST .450T-.450-.904
88ST .310T-.310-.670
89ST .269T-.269-.606
90SM .667M.333.706
91ST .354T-.354-.740
92ST .269T-.269-.606
93ST .198T-.198-.497
94ST .289T-.289-.637
95ST .401T-.401-.818
96ST .289T-.289-.637
97ST .332T-.332-.704
98ST .269T-.269-.606
99ST .401T-.401-.818
100ST .450T-.450-.904
101ST .168T-.168-.450
102ST .354T-.354-.740
103ST .289T-.289-.637
104SM**.214T.7861.915
105SM**.231T.7691.822
106ST .269T-.269-.606
107SM**.250T.7501.734
108ST .269T-.269-.606
109SM**.310T.6901.493
110ST .310T-.310-.670
111SM**.450T.5501.106
112SM**.269T.7311.649
113SM**.269T.7311.649
114ST .425T-.425-.860
115SM**.310T.6901.493
116ST .269T-.269-.606
117SM .574M.426.862
118ST .377T-.377-.778
119SM**.425T.5751.163
120SM**.354T.6461.351
121ST .332T-.332-.704
122ST .250T-.250-.577
123SM**.450T.5501.106
124SM**.401T.5991.223
125SM**.401T.5991.223
126ST .214T-.214-.522
127ST .269T-.269-.606
128ST .354T-.354-.740
129SM**.401T.5991.223
130SM**.401T.5991.223
a. S = Selected, U = Unselected cases, and ** = Misclassified cases.
1. DeterminasiRata-rata dari kedua R-square (Cox&Snell R-Square dan Nagelkerke R-Square) pada model summary adalah sebesar (9,7%)Berarti, kemampuan variabel independen menjelaskan variabel dependen sebesar 9,7%. Sisanya 90,3% dijelaskan oleh variabel lain.2. Uji Hosmer-Lemeshow H0: Model estimasi signifikan fitH1: Model estimasi tidak signifikan fitSignificant value 0,897 > 0,05.Berarti H0 diterima, model estimasi signifikan fit, layak digunakan.3. Classification DataKetepatan data dalam estimasi fit sebesar 62,3%4. Uji Signifikan variabelH01 umur tidak berpengaruh terhadap keputusan responden membeli mobilH11 umur responden berpengaruh terhadap keputusan responden membeli mobilH02 Jenis Kelamin responden tidak berpengaruh terhadap keputusan responden membeli mobilH12 Jenis Kelamin responden berpengaruh terhadap keputusan responden membeli mobilH03 Tingkat pendapatan responden tidak berpengaruh terhadap keputusan responden dalam membeli mobilH13 Tingkat pendapatan responden berpengaruh terhadap keputusan responden dalam membeli mobilX1= 4,575, significant value 0,032