©2016Ipsos 1

StatesoftheNa+on10.24.2016

IpsosPollConductedforReuters

©2016Ipsos.Allrightsreserved.ContainsIpsos'ConfidenAalandProprietaryinformaAonandmaynotbedisclosedorreproducedwithoutthepriorwriFenconsentofIpsos.

©2016Ipsos 2

ThesearefindingsfromanIpsospollconductedfor date

Sept30-Oct20,2016

Forthesurvey,

asampleof

29,135Americans

18+

ages

w e r e i n t e r v i e w e d o n l i n e

StatesoftheNa+onPollIPSOSPOLLCONDUCTEDFORREUTERS

©2016Ipsos 3

•  ThedatawereweightedtotheU.S.currentpopulaAondata.•  StaAsAcalmarginsoferrorarenotapplicabletoonlinepolls.•  Allsamplesurveysandpollsmaybesubjecttoothersourcesoferror,including,butnotlimitedtocoverageerrorandmeasurementerror.

•  Figuresmarkedbyanasterisk(*)indicateapercentagevalueofgreaterthanzerobutlessthanonehalfofonepercent.

•  Wherefiguresdonotsumto100,thisisduetotheeffectsofrounding.

•  Toseemoreinforma1ononthisandotherReuters/Ipsospolls,pleasevisit:

Reuters.com/stateso.hena1on

StatesoftheNa+onPollIPSOSPOLLCONDUCTEDFORREUTERS

©2016Ipsos 4

StatesoftheNa+onPollLIKELYVOTERS

©2016Ipsos 5

StatesoftheNa+onPollLIKELYVOTERS

STATE SAMPLECONFIDENCECLINTONTRUMPDK/OTR

Alabama 773 High 38% 52% 10%Alaska 49 — — —Arizona 675 Tossup 43% 45% 12%Arkansas 464 High 34% 53% 13%California 1013 High 64% 26% 10%Colorado 575 Low 45% 41% 14%ConnecAcut 647 High 53% 35% 12%Delaware 226 Moderate 48% 34% 18%Florida 879 Low 48% 44% 8%Georgia 826 High 41% 49% 10%Hawaii 177 — — —Idaho 287 High 35% 51% 14%Illinois 530 High 57% 28% 15%Indiana 666 High 38% 49% 13%Iowa 537 Low 46% 43% 11%Kansas 517 High 38% 50% 12%Kentucky 791 High 41% 52% 7%Louisiana 612 High 35% 51% 14%Maine 242 Moderate 48% 39% 13%Maryland 533 High 53% 29% 18%MassachuseFs 648 High 57% 25% 18%Michigan 853 Low 45% 41% 14%Minnesota 553 High 44% 32% 24%Mississippi 367 High 37% 52% 11%Missouri 611 High 37% 48% 15%Montana 160 High 32% 51% 17%

STATE SAMPLECONFIDENCE CLINTON TRUMPDK/OTH

Nebraska 326 High 35% 47% 18%Nevada 562 Low 48% 43% 9%NewHampshire 262 Low 45% 39% 16%NewJersey 906 High 53% 32% 15%NewMexico 239 High 51% 35% 14%NewYork 886 High 54% 30% 16%NorthCarolina 755 Low 47% 43% 10%NorthDakota 130 — — — —Ohio 2687 Tossup 43% 43% 14%Oklahoma 589 High 36% 51% 13%Oregon 824 High 46% 37% 17%Pennsylvania 1022 High 49% 39% 12%RhodeIsland 207 — — — —SouthCarolina 671 Moderate 44% 51% 5%SouthDakota 141 High 33% 50% 17%Tennessee 636 High 35% 44% 21%Texas 758 High 39% 52% 9%DC 133 — — — —Utah 508 High 29% 41% 30%Vermont 85 — — — —Virginia 821 High 49% 37% 14%Washington 724 Low 46% 42% 12%WestVirginia 324 High 39% 56% 5%Wisconsin 646 Low 45% 42% 13%Wyoming 82 — — — —

©2016Ipsos 6

StatesoftheNa+onIPSOSPOLLCONDUCTEDFORREUTERS

SURVEYMETHODOLOGYThepollisconductedenArelyonline,usingtheapproachdescribedinourstandardpoliAcaltrackingsurvey.Weuseasamplingapproachthatincludesamixofrespondentsfrompre-screenedpanelsandnon-panelrespondentsrecruitedonline,inreal-Ame.InlinewithindustrypracAce,someoftheserespondentsareawardedpointsforparAcipaAng.Thosepointscanberedeemedforvariousrewards.ThequesAonsincludedintheStatesoftheNaAonPollaresimple:standarddemographics;ourPartyIDquesAon;ourLikelihoodofVoAngquesAon;andourVoteIntenAonquesAon.Thesamplecomprisesdatafromthreeseparatesurveys:ourstandardtrackingsurvey(about2,500interviews/week)withtwoaddiAonalsurveysthatareconductedaspartofIpsos’otheronlinesurveysystems(about6,000-7,000interviews/weekeach),totalingupto16,000aweek.ThesurveyquesAonsandorderareidenAcalforallsurveys.

©2016Ipsos 7

ABOUTIPSOSIpsosranksthirdintheglobalresearchindustry.Withastrongpresencein87countries,Ipsosemploysmorethan16,000peopleandhastheabilitytoconductresearchprogramsinmorethan100countries.FoundedinFrancein1975,Ipsosiscontrolledandmanagedbyresearchprofessionals.TheyhavebuiltasolidGrouparoundamulA-specialistposiAoning–MediaandadverAsingresearch;MarkeAngresearch;ClientandemployeerelaAonshipmanagement;Opinion&socialresearch;Mobile,Online,OfflinedatacollecAonanddelivery.

IpsosislistedonEurolist–NYSE–Euronext.ThecompanyispartoftheSBF120andtheMid-60indexandiseligiblefortheDeferredSeFlementService(SRD).

ISINcodeFR0000073298,ReutersISOS.PA,BloombergIPS:FP

www.ipsos.com

GAMECHANGERSAtIpsoswearepassionatelycuriousaboutpeople,markets,brandsandsociety.WedeliverinformaAonandanalysisthatmakesourcomplexworldeasierandfastertonavigateandinspiresourclientstomakesmarterdecisions.

Webelievethatourworkisimportant.Security,simplicity,speedandsubstanceappliestoeverythingwedo.

ThroughspecialisaAon,weofferourclientsauniquedepthofknowledgeandexperAse.LearningfromdifferentexperiencesgivesusperspecAveandinspiresustoboldlycallthingsintoquesAon,tobecreaAve.

BynurturingacultureofcollaboraAonandcuriosity,weaFractthehighestcalibreofpeoplewhohavetheabilityanddesiretoinfluenceandshapethefuture.

“GAMECHANGERS”–ourtagline–summarisesourambiAon.