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State Programme for Water
Resources Management and
Kazakhstan’s Transition
to Green Economy
Август 203 г.
Annual Meeting of EUWI EECCA Working Group - Geneva, 24 June 2014 -
Mukhtar Zhakenov,
Deputy Director, Water and Biological Resources Department
Ministry of Environment and Water Resources of the Republic of
Kazakhstan
Concept for Transition of the Republic of
Kazakhstan to Green Economy
• Approved by Decree of the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan No.
577 of 30 May 2013 as a tool to ensure sustainable development of the
country
• Green Economy (GE) is defined as that with high living standards for the
population and environmentally-friendly and efficient use of natural
resources
• Seven key areas for transition to green economy: 1. Sustainable use of water resources
2. Sustainable and productive agriculture
3. Energy saving and enhanced energy efficiency
4. Development of electric power sector, increasing the share of renewable energy
5. Sustainable waste management
6. Air pollution abatement
7. Conservation and efficient management of ecosystems
• Establishment of the national Council for Transition to Green Economy
(chaired by the Prime-Minister of the Republic of Kazakhstan) 1
2
Water stress in Kazakhstan: by 2040, deficit will amount to about 12
bn m3 and will become a major impediment to future growth
Bn m3 a year
Country-level water supply and demand
2020 2030 2040
Economic demand for
water resources
Sustainable, available,
reliable resources
Available and sustainable resources could be used to satisfy economic demand without risk for environment and regardless of climate change
Decrease in transboundary rivers flow is expected
3
2012
Water stress …
Source: Water Resources Committee – General Chart, UNDP, Charting Our Water Future (2010), analysis performed by a working group.
Water stress has been growing and it might become a major limitation for economic development (opportunity cost is expected to amount to USD 7-8 bn a year) and an environmental threat if no drastic measures are taken to enhance water use efficiency and increase water supply volumes
16
4
19
5
22
25
2
4
6
6
12
18
13
3
5
~12
7
20
23
21
In the baseline scenario, economic demand for water resources will increase by 1.6% a year
The increase in demand reflects an increase by 50% in irrigation and increase in water use by housing and utility services sector and industry
1
Possible resources2
1 Difference between two scenarios: а) countries limit increase in water use as per agreements and 2) countries use amounts above standards. Glacier runoff stability has been called into question; water availability could go down considerably in 2040.
Accelerated melting of glaciers caused by climate change has become an additional source of water supply since early 1980s
Such unforeseen “one-off” source is not renewable, and its volume might decrease by 2040
2
Additional resources from
transboundary rivers1
3
Water consumption will go up by 56% by 2040 in baseline scenario
if no measures to enhance water use efficiency are taken
Water Use Increase Rate1
Bn m3 a year
Water Use in the Housing and Utility Services Sector
Increase in water consumption given average annual population growth by 1%
Share of urban population will go up to 73% which will result in increase by 35% of water consumption by population
Water Use by Industrial Sector
Water use by industrial sector will go up by 35% by 2040 in response to increase in output by 4% a year
The largest increase in water consumption is expected in oil and gas production and processing sector, mining sector, transport, and electric power generation
Water Use by Agriculture
Water use by agriculture will grow due to increase in total irrigated areas to 2.1 mln ha by 2040
CAGR
1.6%
1.1%
1.9%
1,9
2,1
2,4
2,6
0,6
0,5
+1.6% a year
2040
24.6
21,1
0,9
2030
21.8
18,6
0,8
2020
18.8
16,0
2012
15.8
13,4
4
Projected water deficit could be reduced by 9.5 bn m3 by improving
water use efficiency and renovating water infrastructure
3,4
2,5
2,8
1,6
1,1
National infrastructure development (megaprojects)
Review of agricultural crops range
Soil irrigation and cultivation efficiency
Retrofitting irrigation systems
Efficient use in the housing and utility services sector and by industries
12,2
Retrofitting canals and water mains
Total deficit
12.2
0,8
~890 ~416 ~1171 Capital expenditure, bn KZT
~800-900 ~718
Water saving, bn m3 per year
Retrofitting ▪ canals ▪ water
reservoirs ▪ water mains
▪ Retrofitting irrigation systems
▪ Drip irrigation ▪ Sprinkling ▪ Boardless
cultivation
▪ Retrofitting networks, pumping stations, drinking water treatment systems
Main activities
5
All three key user groups could potentially reduce losses and
enhance water use efficiency
Current level of losses
Minimal technical losses
Water supply sources
Mains
Distribution canals
Pipes
Water-using utilities
Water-using industries
Agricultural users
Irrigation systems
11%
5%
40%*
5%*
25%*
10%*
20%
10%
10%
5%
30%
10%
45%
15%
Total Losses, percent
Minimal Technical Losses, percent User Type
Agriculture
Industry
Utility services sector
66 27
40 19
58 19
* For municipal and industrial users, “home-stretch” losses include inefficient water use
Total Capacity, km3 a year
11,2
0,9
0,3
6
Poor quality of infrastructure requires additional investment
Distribution canals (communal property and ownerless infrastructure)
7,9
Water mains (owned by the republic)
11,1 40
38
Canal length 1,000 km
Canals in unsatisfactory condition, in percent
Length and condition of canals
40% of water supplying infrastructure requires retrofitting worth about KZT 925 bn (USD 6.2 bn)
Transferring the infrastructure into management by proposed national operators or external companies should be considered so that facilities and canals are maintained in a satisfactory condition
No coating, in percent
56
27
Total cost, KZT bn
260
665
7
Required investment in drinking water supply and municipal wastewater
treatment infrastructure
Total investment, 2014-2040, KZT tln
Total investment in WSS
Rehabilitation of wastewater treatment infrastructure
Extension of wastewater treatment infrastructure
Total investment in wastewater treatment –related infrastructure
Extension of infrastructure to get drinking water
Total investment in drinking water-related infrastructure
Rehabilitation of infrastructure to get drinking water
Drinking water Wastewater
Key assumptions and targets
100-percent coverage of urban population by water supply and wastewater treatment by 2020
Rural population coverage by water supply at 80% and by wastewater treatment by 20% by 2020 (coverage by water supply at 100% and by wastewater treatment by 50% in 2040)
60% of water supply facilities and 70% of wastewater treatment facilities should be retrofitted
0.261
0.713 0.811
3.613
2.541
2.802 0.98
Sustainable Use of Water Resources
Thus, limited water resources and expected water stress could become a major impediment to
future growth in Kazakhstan
The Concept for transition to GE provides for measures and mechanisms to:
А) Reduce water stress:
- Water saving in agriculture which currently uses 2/3 of abstracted water (will use 6.5-7 bn
m3 by 2030)
- Enhancing water use efficiency in the industrial sector (by 25%) and in the community
amenities sector (by 10%), meaning water saving at some 1.5-2 bn m3 and 100 mln m3 a
year, respectively, by 2030
B) Enhance availability and reliability of water supply (by 4.5-5 km3 a year):
- Improving the sharing & allocation of transboundary rivers flow (negotiations, agreements)
- Constructing water reservoirs to manage the flow
- Sustainable use of ground water resources
- Rehabilitation and development of irrigation mains, water supply from water-abundant to
water-scarce regions in the country
- Water resources pollution abatement & control
C) Improve water resources policy and management framework nationally and at basin level:
- Water use limits, water prices and tariffs, new requirements and standards, etc.
- Development of the State Water Resources Management Programme until 2040 with
clear goals, objectives, implementation stages, and financing
8
State Programme for Water Resources Management
in Kazakhstan
Approved by Decree of the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan No. 786 of 4
April 2014 as a tool to address the above challenges and issues
The Programme’s main goal is to ensure water security to Kazakhstan by
enhancing water resources management efficiency
Goals:
1. Secure water supply to the population, environment, and economic sectors
through water saving measures and by increasing the amount of available water
resources
2. Enhance water resources management efficiency
3. Ensure conservation and protection of aquatic ecosystems
Sources and amounts of financing
• Estimated amounts in 2014-2040: KZT 8.2 tln, of which KZT 5.4 tln from the
republican and local budgets and KZT 2.8 tln out of extrabudgetary funds.
• Estimated amounts of financing from the republican and local budgets until 2020 are
KZT 3.3 tln and they will be adjusted as budgets are drawn up for the period concerned
9
Programme Targets
Targets (by 2020):
1. Reduce water use per unit of real GDP by 33% versus 2012 level
2. Ensure additional surface water resources (some 0.6 km3 )
3. Share of households and other water users with permanent access to
centralized drinking water supply systems is at least 100% in urban areas and at
least 80% in rural settlements
4. Share of water users with access to sanitation systems is at least 100% in urban
areas and at least 20% in rural settlements
5. Satisfy the annual water demand of 39 km3 for maintaining ecosystems
(environmental flow) and navigation
Respective targets by 2040 have also been set
10
11
Changes in Water Sector Management in Kazakhstan to Enhance
Efficiency, Consistent with Best International Practices
To-date State Programme for WRM
MoEnv&WR
▪ State water policy making
▪ Transboundary negotiations
▪ Water resources control and regulation
WRC
▪ Infrastructure planning, construction
and management
National water companies
WR Committee
▪ State water policy making
▪ Transboundary
negotiations
▪ Water resources control
and regulation
▪ Infrastructure construction
12
The State Programme’s Key Management Decisions and
Economic Tools
▪ Establish an inter-agency Council to coordinate water resources management
▪ Strengthen the functions and powers of basin inspectorates
▪ Set up two national companies for water infrastructure management
▪ Set up a full-fledged water department or water institute in a University, and respective training programmes
▪ Identify and eliminate subsidies impeding enhancement of water use efficiency, especially in agriculture
▪ Increase tariffs for all user categories to encourage efficient water use and recover investment in system renovation
Implementation of the State Programme will be a major contribution to the
implementation of Kazakhstan’s Development Strategy and transition to Green Economy
Thank you!