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St Albans Analyst Half Day Event5 July 2018
1
AGENDA FOR TODAY
2
Time Activity Who
12:30 Arrivals All
12:45 Lunch Steve Ager, Development chef
13:15 Agenda, introduction & objectives Gavin Darby, Chief Executive Officer
13:30 UK strategy Alex Whitehouse, UK Managing Director
13:45 UK innovation Yilmaz Erceyes, UK Marketing Director
14:00 Consumer insights & trends Paul Chapman, Director of consumer insights
14:15 Customer relationship building Ellie Krupa, UK Grocery Sales Director
14:35 Q&A All
15:00 Group 1 - PRISM (15 mins)- Coffee break (15 mins)
15:00 Group 2 - Coffee break (15 mins)- PRISM (15 mins)
15:30 International strategy Jette Andersen, International Managing Director
15:50 Q&A & Closing remarks Gavin Darby
16:15 Depart
3
Gavin DarbyChief Executive Officer
THE BOARD’S STRATEGY: BUILDING BUSINESS, DELEVERAGING AND ACCELERATING VALUE CREATION
£
Drive revenue growth Cost control & efficiency
Cash generation
Net debt/EBITDA below 3.0x by March
2020
Accelerating shareholder value
creation
Keep building business
4
KEY STRATEGIC INITIATIVES DRIVE STRONGEST REVENUE GROWTH IN FY17/18 FOR OVER FIVE YEARS
5
+3.6%
H2 & Q4 Revenue growth
Trading profit Net debt
£123m
+5.1%
+5.3%
+7.0%3.56x
Net debt/EBITDA
FY17/18 Full year results
£496m
↓£27m
FYRevenue growth
6
LEADING EBITDA MARGINS AND STRONG CASH GENERATIONResulting in continued Net debt reduction
17.0%
EBITDA % SalesLeading EBITDA margins for
UK food manufacturers
Net debt reduction (£m)£89m Net debt reduction over last 3 years
585
11 523 27
496
51
534
Net debtFY14/15
DebtreductionFY15/16
Net debtFY15/16
DebtreductionFY16/17
Net debtFY16/17
DebtreductionFY17/18
Net debtFY17/18
Premier Foods debt levels are the lowest since it became a public Company
7
Alex WhitehouseUK Managing Director
UK BUSINESS OVERVIEW
8
• £758.1m Sales, 92.5% of group sales
• 80.6% branded, 19.4% non branded, includes Knighton Foods
• Operate in 5 key ambient grocery categories including cake
• Strong portfolio of well known & well loved brands
• Present in 95% of UK households
• Market leader in all categories
• 10 manufacturing plants
• 2 distribution & logistics centres – moving to 1 later this year
• 3 dedicated R&D facilities
• Employ approximately 4,000 people
MARKET LEADING BRANDS
9
Categories
Flavourings & Seasonings
Position
Quick Meals, Snacks & Soups
Ambient Desserts
Cooking Sauces & Accompaniments
Ambient Cakes
Share Penetration
1
1
1
1
1
43% 74%
31% 46%
36% 58%
16% 54%
22% 63%
Brands
Sources: Category position & market share: IRI 52 w/e 31 March 2018; Penetration: Kantar Worldpanel 52 w/e 25 March 2018
OUR UK STRATEGYSame strategy introduced at the Lifton capital markets day 2016
10
Drive sustainable category & brand growth
Supply chain excellence to create P&L space
Optimise promotional investment
Outstanding instore execution
Customer partnerships
People development investment
1
5
3
4
2
6
11
Our Brands
Consumers Customers
OUR BRANDS, CONSUMERS & CUSTOMERS
OUR RETAILER PROPOSITION
12
2
Big, well known brands, loved by customers
Virtual reality merchandising capabilities for shopper research & to
assist in range reviews
Expertise: In consumers & shoppers in our categories
Flexibility: The flexibility of a small local manufacturer
Scale: The scale of a large manufacturer
A category value generating NPD programme
1
5
3
4
2
6
MAJORITY OF BRANDS NOW IN GROWTH ….. BUT STILL WORK TO DO ON AMBROSIA & SHARWOODS
13
FY17/18 H2 Revenue growth% movement year on year
(4.3%)
13.0%
2.2%3.8%
3.0%
(1.6%)
4.0%
(1.9%)
Ambrosia Batchelors Bisto Cadbury LoydGrossman
Mr Kipling Oxo Sharwood's
Majority of brands now in good growth as a result of brand renovation/ innovation strategy
Mr Kipling relaunched April 2018 and now growing strongly
Ambrosia held back last year due to changes in pricing and sizing to recover input cost inflation
Sharwood’s holding share in the very competitive cooking sauces category. Good work on innovation pipeline yet to come to market
SALES FROM INNOVATION
14
Innovation as % UK branded salesTargeting 10% of UK branded sales
1.6%
3.0%3.6%
5.1%
6.4%
10.0%
FY13/14 FY14/15 FY15/16 FY16/17 FY17/18 Target
THE BRANDS WE FOCUSED ON FIRST CONTINUE TO GROW….
15
+0%
Latest NPD
-1%
+2%
+2%
Source: IRI
Brand Growth
MAT March 2016*
Brand Growth
MAT March 2018
* - Since Capital markets day, July 2016
MOST RECENTLY FOCUS HAS BEEN ON BATCHELORS
16
-10% +9%
Key Driver: Launch of Batchelors Pots Range
Launched
Feb 17
Launched
June 17
Launched
Jan 18
Launched
April 18
Source: IRI
Brand Growth
MAT March 2016
Brand Growth
MAT March 2018
……. AND ON MR KIPLING
17
Brand Growth
MAT March 2016
-3%
Brand Growth
MAT March 2018
-4%
Key Drivers of growth since brand relaunch in March 2018:
New packaging design
New TV New products Great execution
Brand Growth
Since Relaunch(March 2018)
+7%
Source: IRI
THE FORMULA WORKS ACROSS THE BRANDED PORTFOLIO
18
-12% +36%
Key Drivers:
Updated core products, more modern recipes, updated graphics
New format
Ready to eat pots Further extensions into desserts
Source: IRI
Brand Growth
MAT March 2016
Brand Growth
MAT March 2018
….. AND SALT IS NO EXCEPTION (!)
19
-16% +5%
Key Drivers:
Modernisation of core range New formats Flavoured salts
Source: IRI
Brand Growth
MAT March 2016
Brand Growth
MAT March 2018
20
Yilmaz ErceyesUK Marketing Director
HOW WE GROW OUR BRANDS
Strengthen Core Innovation
ContemporisingBrand’s core ranges
New products that meet unmet
consumer needs
Growth
Market leading growthdriving category value
21
STRENGTHENING OUR BRANDS’ CORE
Bring out and celebrate our brands’ strong equities
Evolve with modern consumer needs/trends
Establish an emotional connection with
consumers
22
DELIVERING STRONG RESULTSFollowing brand relaunch
-3.0%
6.9%
7.9%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
52we 12we 4we
Mr Kipling Value Sales Growth YoY
Source IRI
23
CONSUMER FOCUSED APPROACH TO INNOVATION
Insight Innovation Execution
Building in depth consumer
understanding
Developing new products that make
consumers lives easier
Supporting with outstanding in-store
execution
24
BATCHELORS TURNAROUND
Strong heritage
Iconic taste & texture
High loyalty & repeat rates
Icons reimagined to fit with modern consumer
need of ultimate convenience / on the go
snacking
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
Batchelor’s Value Sales Growth YoY
Source IRI
25
STRATEGY WORKS ACROSS OUR PORTFOLIO
Strengthen Core Innovation Growth
26
FY17/18Double-digit %
Turnovergrowth
AVERAGE INNOVATION SIZE INCREASING AND ABOVE MARKET AVERAGE SUCCESS RATE
27
Av. Size of Premier Foods NPD – Growth Index
25
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Total Market Premier Foods
% of NPD in Market After 2 Years
100
194
224
0
50
100
150
200
250
15/16 16/17 17/18
Source: PF Financial Data Source: Kantar
28
Paul ChapmanInsights Director
PREMIER FOODS INSIGHT STRATEGY IS BASED ON A FLEXIBLE MODULAR APPROACH
EvaluationValidationQualificationUnderstandingExploration
Focused Investment
29
WE SEEK TO UNDERSTAND THE MACRO TRENDS INFLUENCING UK CONSUMERS
30
Household occasions | Number of people present
44.5
34.0
10.5
11.0
1 person 2 people 3 people 4+ people
198033%
201443.9%
201342.8%
MODERN DAY CONVENIENCE IS BECOMING MORE ABOUT EASE OF PREPARATION RATHER THAN SPEED
31
Drivers of evening meal food consumption:% change in servings vs 2014
Easy to Prepare +9%Quick to Prepare -2%
Source: Kantar Worldpanel
AS A RESULT CONSUMERS ARE PREPARED TO ENGAGE A LITTLE MORE IN THE COOKING PROCESS THAN THEY WERE PREVIOUSLY
1) Cold (46%)
-1.1% YoY Change
2) Oven Cooked (13%)
+1.3% YoY Change
3) Grilled/Toasted (11%)
-1.1% YoY Change
4) Heated on Hob (10%)
-0.9% YoY Change
5) Microwaved (8%)
-1.4% YoY Change
6) Boiled/Steamed (7%)
-1.6% YoY Change
7) Fried (5%)
+2.1% YoY Change
8) Stir Fry (0.6%)
-1.4% YoY Change
Source: Kantar Worldpanel, In home consumption
9) Barbecued (0.1%)
+8.4% YoY Change
32
Health & Nutrition Convenience Snacking/On The Go Indulgence
THIS APPROACH HAS IDENTIFIED 4 PLATFORMS FOR OUR STRATEGIC INNOVATION DEVELOPMENT
33
Health & Nutrition Convenience Snacking/On The Go Indulgence
THIS APPROACH HAS IDENTIFIED 4 PLATFORMS FOR OUR STRATEGIC INNOVATION DEVELOPMENT
34
KEY DRIVER OF SUCCESS IS A SIGNIFICANT ENGAGEMENT PROGRAM PUTTING CONSUMERS AT THE HEART OF OUR INNOVATION PROCESS
35
• c. 52,000 consumers spoken to over the last 3 years on innovation-related topics
• c. 80 focus groups run across our categories
• 12 x Co-creation workshops run with consumers
Online Community
Focus Group
BASES Quant
Consumer Product Tasting
EthnographyAccompanied
Shopping
Virtual Reality & Eye
Tracking
Shopper Insight
Packaging Research
KEY DRIVER OF SUCCESS IS A SIGNIFICANT ENGAGEMENT PROGRAM PUTTING CONSUMERS AT THE HEART OF OUR INNOVATION PROCESS
36
• Initial qualitative research into the category showed Batchelors had potential to extend into pots.
• Concept tested through Nielsen bases with n=200+ consumers to assess appeal and likely volumes.
• Product sensory test with n=80 to ensure the Super Noodle taste is delivered in a new format.
• In aisle insight through customer marketing to deliver excellence in on shelf execution.
Online Community
Focus Group
BASES Quant
Consumer Product Tasting
EthnographyAccompanied
Shopping
Virtual Reality &
Eye Tracking
Shopper Insight
Packaging Research
We invest in leading edge insight generation capabilities that helps us be on top of key trends & deliver innovation that delights modern consumers
Portfolio with strong brand equities providing the platform for growth
Strategic & methodical approach to grow our brands
Consumer is at the heart of everything we do
Our strategy works across our brand portfolio regardless of size & category
Our strategy is delivering industry leading results
SUMMARY
37
38
Ellie Krupa
UK Grocery Sales Director
39
Our Brands
Consumers Customers
SALES AMBITIONS FOCUS ON A TRIPLE WINMutual gains for Premier Foods, our customers and our consumers
REASONS WHY OUR CUSTOMERS WANT TO WORK WITH US
40
2
Big, well known brands, loved by customers
Virtual reality merchandising capabilities for shopper research & to
assist in range reviews
Expertise: In consumers & shoppers in our categories
Flexibility: The flexibility of a small local manufacturer
Scale: The scale of a large manufacturer
A category value generating NPD programme
1
5
3
4
2
6
BUILDING COLLABORATIVE PLANS WITH CUSTOMERS REQUIRES STRONG INSIGHT, EXPERTISE & CROSS FUCTIONAL WORKINGThree teams working together to be successful with our customers
41
2
Strategic account management
Category management Customer marketing
CATEGORY MANAGEMENTThrough our category expertise we understand how to grow our categories
42
2
Three ways to grow a category
Attract more peopleinto the category
1Encourage shoppers to
buy more often
2 Trading shoppers up to increase value and
driving mix
3
CATEGORY MANAGEMENT: INSIGHT INTO ACTIONIt’s about more than just great products
43
2
• Macro store layout• Fixture flow• Multiple formats
• Shopper need states • Sales performance• Profitability
• Off shelf display• Incrementality• Complementary products
Space & store layout Range Promotions
44
2
WORKING CROSS FUNCTIONALLY INTERNALLY & EXTERNALLY WE BUILD PLANS FOR GROWTH TOGETHER
Strategic alignment
Building the plan based on insights
Executing the plan
Reviewing the plan
STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT AND FLEXIBILITYAn example of Sharwood’s sauces about to launch instore
• Category value growth through premiumisation
• Grow share of 2 person meal occasions
• Under-trade in ‘Meal for Tonight’ in convenience
Category value growth through premiumisation
Extend into pre-family consumers
Extend brand distribution & market share outside of main store
Customer strategic priority Premier strategic priority
Why is Premier a
great partner?
Manufacturing scale &
capability
Brand, product &insights expertise
Agile &flexible business
concept tostore in 6months
45
Observing shopper behaviour
Filming
See through the eyes of our shoppersEyetracking
“What are they doing” vs “What are they saying”
SHOPPER UNDERSTANDING: INDUSTRY LEADING INSIGHTSBlending methodologies to deliver enhanced shopper understanding
- Biggest ever study of its kind undertaken within grocery- Observed shoppers across 14 categories and 3 store
formats- Provided a unique picture as to how and why UK
shoppers act
Outputs have driven our thinking and insights on:- SRP and pack design- Product flow on fixture- Marketing communications - Store and fixture layout
Filmed interviewsFacial recognition
“What are they seeing?” “How are they feeling?”
46
47
21. Staple categories
• Stable volumes regardless of promotional activity
• Promotions don’t bring in new consumers
• E.g. Toilet roll, Bleach
2. Expandable categories
• Consumers more sensitive to promotions
• Getting the right balance is crucial
• Promotions temporarily bring in new consumers
• E.g. cakes, cooking sauces
• We extensively model & analyse promotional activity
• Identify key promotional dynamics and predictive algorithms
• Optimal discount to maximise margin is c.30%
• Can be influenced by type of display
Category expandability Volume uplifts Optimal discount
WE WORK TOGETHER WITH OUR CUSTOMERS USING INSIGHTS TO MAXIMISE JOINT ROI OF PROMOTIONS
- Promoted volume
- Non-promoted volume
Before Cannibalisation
After Cannibalisation
Sales
Cash margin
48
2
WORKING CROSS FUNCTIONALLY INTERNALLY & EXTERNALLY WE BUILD PLANS FOR GROWTH TOGETHER
Strategic alignment
Building the plan based on insights
Executing the plan
Reviewing the plan
Consumer Insight: Convenience key
opportunity for growth
Customer Insight:QMS Category &
Batchelor’s brand share strength in this
customer
Shopper Insight: Shoppers more than twice as likely to buy
new products vs rest of major multiples*
52% of shoppers openly
shop on impulse*
Strategic alignment
*IGD Shopper Vista
STRATEGIC ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT, CATEGORY MANAGEMENT AND CUSTOMER MARKETING WORKING EXAMPLE
Building the plan based on insights
49
Major customer collaboration - Year 1
First to market launches of Batchelors Supernoodles
and Pasta ‘n’ Sauce Pots
1 million units of Batchelors Supernoodles
sold in first 10 days of launch
Category growth of +11.7%, +£8.2m RSV
PF delivered 65% of this growth*
Customer Award for Best new Grocery launch 2017
Category Insight:Range and fixture vision &
macro space insight to deliver growth on growth
in Year 3
Further category growth opportunity from
innovation
*Kantar Worldpanel 52 we 31 December 2017
Executing the plan Reviewing the plan Strategic alignment
50
STRATEGIC ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT, CATEGORY MANAGEMENT AND CUSTOMER MARKETING WORKING EXAMPLE
Major customer collaboration - Year 2
Continued support of year 2 innovation
More ‘First for new’ and customer exclusive innovation
Implementation of range and space plans
Executing the plan
51
STRATEGIC ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT, CATEGORY MANAGEMENT AND CUSTOMER MARKETING WORKING EXAMPLE
Major customer collaboration - Year 3
BRINGING THE FIXTURE TO LIFEVirtual merchandising capability helping to visualise category potential
52
2
53
Jette R. AndersenManaging Director -
International
INTERNATIONAL SENIOR LEADERSHIP TEAMTotal of 48 people; a true international team of 29 non British from 20 countries
5454
Managing DirectorJette R Andersen
Finance DirectorSarah McGlenn
Operations DirectorHannah Dickinson
Marketing DirectorSteven Greaves
Sales DirectorShaf Dinmahomed
Head of HR*Lorraine Craven
Development Director - Cake
Kevin Holmes
Country Manager -Ireland
Alison Healey
* Shared with corporate functions
2 15 9 14
6
INTRODUCTION TO INTERNATIONALInstrumental to the growth of the Group over the last 3 years
55
Creation of International SBU end 2014 Moved from an export and trading business based out of UK to be a category led
business with front line in market sales teams Have delivered 3 years of continuous Growth Are steadily increasing our proportion of Group Turnover Are a major contributor to recovery of manufacturing overheads
% DC margins
3238
48
61
FY14/15 FY15/16 FY16/17 FY17/18
+92%
£m
PURPOSE & STRATEGY
5656
A consumer centric business which is an engine for sustainable and profitable growth, delivering incremental value to shareholders and all
stakeholders
GOING DEEPER IN GROCERYTo be the category growth driver and challenger within 2-3 ambient grocery
categories in our high investment markets
EXPAND WITH CAKELaunch Mr Kipling and Cadbury cake across a number of new markets to
become a catalyst for category growth
OUR WORKING PHILOSOPHY
5757
We think Local -Consumers -Shoppers -
Customers with our brands
We are agile and have a can do attitude in an efficient way
Be cash & profit generating
Utilise spare capacity and
enable overhead recovery in our
factories
Be gross margin enhancing to the
Group
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS BY GEOGRAPHY & BRANDFY17/18
58
International revenue by brandInternational revenue by geography
Australia
Ireland
Europe
North America
Others
Cadbury
Sharwood's
Bisto
Mr Kipling
Ambrosia
Batchelors
Oxo
Others
MARKET EXPANSION & SEGMENTATION MODELRigorous & quantification approach to assess target markets
5959
Coca-Cola Index
Big Mac Index Retail
Consolidation
Ease of Doing Business
Quality of life Index
GDP Growth Projections
Purchasing Power & Disposable
Salary
CakeConsumption,
Spend & Market Value
Cost of Media Spend
Choc Confectionery & Cake
Market Growth
Priority Markets, Market Share,
Aided AwarenessKey metrics analysed
across chosen territories
1
Key metrics index scored and weighted
2
Target market chosen
3
MARKET STRATEGY AND PRIORITISATIONSegmentation based on size of prize, efficiency of investment and time horizon of delivery
6060
Ireland, Australia, Middle East (KSA & UAE),
USA and South Africa.
Europe, Hong Kong,Canada, New Zealand
Asia (India & China online), Nigeria, Preferred Trading
houses
China, India Thailand, Middle East GCC,
Singapore, Caribbean Rest of Middle East, Rest of
Asia, Africa Sub-sahara
High investment markets Medium investment markets Trading markets
Strategy
Investment style
Route to market
Current markets
Potential future markets
Category leadership Category role Trading role
Invest for growth Pay as you go Net price
Direct to retail partnerships Direct to retail/Distributors Trading houses
Note: Investment refers to sales, marketing and logistics resources as opposed to capital investment
RESOURCED TO BE LOCAL IN HIGH INVESTMENT MARKETSSales teams in the markets with market expertise supported by International team operating out of the UK
61
In market teams in: Ireland, USA, South Africa, UAE, Australia. New Zealand & Canada to come in next months
UK based functions: Operations, Marketing, Category, Finance, Customer Service, Business Development, HR, Sales management & Europe
15
33
x7
WIN LOCALLY WITH CONSUMERS, SHOPPERS & RETAILERSBut utilising the same framework and methodology as we do in the UK
6262
Creating brand love with Consumers
Retailers People
Category data / insights Innovation program
Retailers/CustomersConsumer & shopper led category approach
LEVERAGING THE UK MANUFACTURING FOOTPRINTFrom Barnsley to Brisbane and Moreton to Melbourne….
Handballing
Transfer to pallets
Factory
Week 1 PF warehouse/
freezer
Storewarehouse/freezer
In market stock holding warehouse/ freezer
Product on shelfin market
Container yard/freezer
63
Sea freight
In market container yard/freezer
Retailer warehouse/freezer
2
3
6-9
7-108-12
8-12
OUR BRANDS & CATEGORIES IN MARKETSWant to be the category growth driver and challenger in 2-4 categories in each market
64
Australia
Ireland
USA
Canada
South Africa
Middle East(UAE & KSA)
In market
Launch planned
White space
AUSTRALIA+81% revenue growth driven by a wide mix of initiatives
65
Cake market share
100%distribution
29new SKUs launched
Cakedriving growth
6.6mConsumersreached by Mr Kipling campaign
- Sharwood’s, Mr Kipling & Cadbury 100% distributed in Coles & Woolworth
▪ Batchelors SOUPA launched in March 2018 with 12 SKUs
▪ 8 seasonal and 5 AYR SKUs on Cake
▪ 4 on Sharwood’s
▪ Cake growth +81% and reaching 9.6% MAT to 25/3/2018
▪ Penetration of cake +50% at 22.4% MAT to 25/3/2018
▪ Reached 28% of the Australian population
▪ 173k Mr Kipling samples
▪ 250k participated in the campaign
88.1 81.9
7.7 8.2
89.1 84.1
15.9 11.7
T. Ambient Cakes T. Private Label T. Cadbury T. Mr Kipling
Penetration YA Penetration
88.1 81.9
7.7 8.2
89.1 84.1
15.9 11.7
T. Ambient Cakes T. Private Label T. Cadbury T. Mr Kipling
Penetration YA Penetration
Penetration
SUMMARY
66
Increased importance to the Group’s growth over recent years in line with the purpose of Business Unit
Utilising spare capacity of Group factories enabling overhead recovery
Strategy of going deeper and increasing penetration in high investment markets, expanding to new territories via cake and strategic partnership with Mondelez International
Rigorous route to market process ensuring winning strategy & implementation when entering new markets
Replicating what good looks like from the UK but with the local consumer, category and customer at heart
Local team in high investment markets supported by a truly and diverse international team in the UK making the difference
Q&A67
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
Certain statements in this presentation are forward looking statements. By their nature,forward looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties or assumptions thatcould cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or impliedby those statements. Forward looking statements regarding past trends or activitiesshould not be taken as representation that such trends or activities will continue in thefuture. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements.
Please note that any disclosures or statements referring to pro forma results provided inthis presentation have not been subject to audit or review by the Company’s auditors.
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