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CoppellIndependentSchool District

Demographic Update

Spring 2018

Economic Conditions – DFW Area (December 2017)

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UnemploymentRate

-0.5%

99,800 new jobsNational rate 1.2%

Job Growth

2.8%3,202 more

starts than 4Q16

AnnualHome Starts

33,262

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission & Metrostudy

U.S. 3.9%Texas 3.7%

DFW MSA 3.2%Coppell 2.8%

New34%

Resale64%

Foreclosure1%

REO Sale1%

2017 DistrictHome Sales

by Type

Coppell ISD Home Sales 2017 Home Sales by Transaction Type

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• Coppell ISD had 1,160 home sales in 2017, and roughly 34% were of new homes• The average sale price in 2017 for a new home in CISD was $535,873• The average sale price in 2017 for an existing home in CISD was $416,607

Rank District Name Annual Starts Annual Closings VDL Future1 Frisco ISD 2,486 2,729 4,488 5,6282 Prosper ISD 2,890 2,692 6,351 24,7853 Denton ISD 2,037 1,883 2,651 32,5834 Dallas ISD 2,041 1,854 1,733 7,3395 Northwest ISD 1,748 1,847 1,941 31,8646 Little Elm ISD 1,473 1,258 1,227 3,4367 Lewisville ISD 1,141 1,188 1,943 4,4858 Rockwall ISD 968 961 1,862 8,2919 Eagle Mt.‐Saginaw ISD 1,181 925 1,377 19,26510 McKinney ISD 788 863 1,626 8,08411 Forney ISD 1,120 850 1,595 13,94912 Keller ISD 707 816 651 1,69813 Wylie ISD 813 759 1,164 3,99614 Mansfield ISD 654 710 1,018 6,83615 Allen ISD 711 707 1,406 1,20816 Midlothian ISD 768 611 1,331 19,55017 Fort Worth ISD 587 606 824 5,03418 Garland ISD 411 578 390 4,06519 Crowley ISD 653 537 996 12,58420 Waxahachie ISD 574 511 754 9,44621 Coppell ISD* 407 481 328 60522 Plano ISD 563 445 979 2,28823 Aledo ISD 546 414 1,169 15,05624 Anna ISD 497 409 361 4,65225 HEB ISD 465 393 593 4,386

DFW New Home Ranking Report

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ISD Ranked by Annual Closings – 4Q17

*Based on additional TD Research

New Housing Activity

• Coppell ISD had more than 400 new home starts for the third consecutive year• Within the district there were more than 480 new home closings in 2017• New home inventory is low at 4.6 month’s supply due to the large amount of

closings in the 4th quarter of 20175

Coppell ISD

Starts 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Closings 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20171Q 27 22 29 78 126 101 1Q 20 15 22 88 96 992Q 29 25 41 89 97 128 2Q 24 31 21 67 103 1223Q 46 23 83 158 145 108 3Q 26 30 26 80 162 1124Q 20 30 66 114 93 70 4Q 33 22 20 107 122 148

Total 122 100 219 439 461 407 Total 103 98 89 342 483 481

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180Starts Closings

Annual Closings Distribution

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Top 5 Subdivisions ‐ 4Q17 (Ranked by Annual Closings)

Rank SubdivisionAnnual Closings VDL Future

1 Parkside West 163 199 1062 Bridges at Las Colinas 107 1 03 Parkside East 97 9 04 East Lake 27 0 05 Westhaven (Town Center) 27 72 0

TOTALS 421 281 106

Vacant Developed Lots

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Top 5 Subdivisions ‐ 4Q17 (Ranked by Vacant Developed Lots)

Rank SubdivisionAnnual Closings VDL Future

1 Parkside West 163 199 1062 Westhaven (Town Center) 27 72 03 Red Hawk Villas 7 17 04 Kyra Court 0 17 05 Parkside East 97 9 0

TOTALS 294 314 106

Future Lots

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Top 5 Subdivisions ‐ 4Q17 (Ranked by Future Inventory)

Rank SubdivisionAnnual Closings VDL Future

1 Stonegate 0 0 2062 Southaven 0 0 2033 Parkside West 163 199 1064 Blackberry Farm Addition 0 0 805 Petterson Addition 0 0 7

TOTALS 163 199 602

New Home Activity by Elementary Zone

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Highest activity in the category

Second highest activity in the category

Third highest activity in the category

Elementary Zone Annual Starts

Quarterly Starts

Annual Closings

Quarterly Closings Inventory VDL Futures

AUSTIN 5 3 9 0 5 17 203COTTONWOOD CREEK 26 8 26 7 3 6 0DENTON CREEK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0LAKESIDE 1 0 2 0 1 0 80LEE 240 37 270 82 92 200 312MOCKINGBIRD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0PINKERTON 90 10 108 39 35 13 3TOWN CENTER 39 9 54 13 13 72 0VALLEY RANCH 0 0 0 0 0 0 0WILSON 6 3 12 7 5 20 7

TOTALS 407 70 481 148 154 328 605

District Housing Overview

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Active Subdivision Future Subdivision

• Coppell ISD has approx. 330 lots available to build on• The district has more than 600 future lots planned• Groundwork is underway on nearly 310 lots

Residential ActivityCypress Waters

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Cypress Waters• Developer estimates 10,000 housing units at build-out• 761 apartment units have been constructed to date• The Sound Apartments Phase 1 (540 units) under

construction, first units available 1Q18• Groundwork on Phase 2 of The Sound started late 2017• Developer projects adding approx. 500 additional units

between late 2018- late 2019• Single family removed from updated concept plan• Full build out is estimated to take 20-30 years• Split between Austin and Lee Elementary Existing

multi-family

The Sound Phase 1 & 2

Residential ActivityParkside West and Parkside East

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Carrollton-Farmers Branch ISD

Parkside West• 638 total lots• 106 future lots• 251 homes occupied• 48 U/C• 199 VDL• Groundwork underway on Phase 2B

(final 106 lots) homes starting fall 2018• Built 163 homes in 2017 • $400K - $650K• Lee Elementary

Parkside East• 249 total lots• 227 homes occupied• 6 U/C• 9 VDL• Built nearly 100 homes in 2017• Expected built out mid 2018• $400K - $650K• Pinkerton Elementary

Residential ActivityStonegate & Bridges at Las Colinas

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Stonegate• 206 total future lots• First lots delivering by end 1Q18• Pre-sales underway• First residents expected summer 2018• Built out by Fall of 2020• $495K - $585K• Lee Elementary

Bridges at Las Colinas• 399 total lots• 388 occupied• 3 U/C• 10 VDL• Built out by mid 2018• $475K-$680K• Lee Elementary

Carrollton-Farmers Branch ISD

Residential ActivityRed Hawk Villas

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Red Hawk Villas• 51 total lots• 31 occupied• 2 U/C• 17 VDL• $550K- $865K• Building 3-5 homes per year• Wilson Elementary

Future Residential ActivitySouthaven (aka. West Cell)

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Carrollton-Farmers Branch ISD

Southaven• 203 total future lots• Sold to new development company• Rezoning approved March 2017• Austin Elementary

Ten Year ForecastBy Grade Level

*Yellow box = largest grade per year*Green box = second largest grade per year

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• Coppell ISD will likely exceed 13,000 students by 2019• 5 year growth = 1,136 students• 2022/23 enrollment = 13,750 students• 10 year growth = 1,385 students• 2027/28 enrollment = 13,999 students

Year (Oct.) EE Pre‐K K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th TotalTotal 

Growth% 

Growth2013/14 49 139 742 784 861 843 873 901 896 874 901 924 894 869 814 11,3642014/15 40 122 739 791 830 899 910 930 963 930 900 927 889 871 829 11,570 206 1.8%2015/16 50 153 740 803 841 889 949 940 957 973 960 945 928 880 873 11,881 311 2.7%2016/17 98 167 826 821 862 928 896 985 1,031 997 1,003 1,039 962 892 863 12,370 489 4.1%2017/18 44 207 807 899 857 926 947 951 1,047 1,062 1,018 1,058 996 936 859 12,614 244 2.0%2018/19 44 207 808 876 946 900 964 993 1,017 1,087 1,104 1,108 1,034 956 911 12,955 341 2.7%2019/20 44 207 809 868 912 983 926 1,007 1,065 1,058 1,122 1,175 1,089 989 928 13,182 227 1.8%2020/21 44 207 822 883 915 956 1,024 965 1,082 1,107 1,094 1,212 1,144 1,048 958 13,461 279 2.1%2021/22 44 207 824 889 912 945 987 1,060 1,040 1,112 1,153 1,177 1,185 1,098 1,017 13,650 189 1.4%2022/23 44 207 842 889 912 943 973 1,024 1,126 1,078 1,152 1,234 1,136 1,138 1,052 13,750 99 0.7%2023/24 44 207 863 910 908 940 966 999 1,083 1,157 1,118 1,235 1,200 1,092 1,111 13,833 84 0.6%2024/25 44 207 869 932 936 939 967 999 1,052 1,113 1,201 1,201 1,200 1,153 1,057 13,870 36 0.3%2025/26 44 207 880 930 958 970 965 1,001 1,052 1,082 1,154 1,261 1,149 1,152 1,093 13,898 28 0.2%2026/27 44 207 890 948 955 992 998 999 1,052 1,083 1,122 1,230 1,218 1,104 1,110 13,952 54 0.4%2027/28 44 207 901 959 974 988 1,019 1,034 1,052 1,083 1,124 1,196 1,188 1,170 1,060 13,999 47 0.3%

Ten Year ForecastBy Elementary Campus

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• Lee Elementary is expected to enroll more than 900 students by 2018 and more than 1,000 by 2019

• Coppell ISD is expected to add 100 elementary students next fall

*Yellow box = enrollment exceeds stated campus capacity

HISTORY October ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSCampus Name Capacity 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28

Austin Elementary 600 712 712 736 754 777 783 792 812 828 842 856 868Cottonwood Creek Elementary 600 537 499 472 444 422 425 399 408 411 413 416 421Denton Creek Elementary 600 531 466 431 405 387 381 373 383 396 405 409 410Lakeside Elementary 600 473 530 528 510 512 518 505 500 498 499 510 519Lee Elementary 740 734 820 923 1,019 1,094 1,153 1,217 1,237 1,282 1,327 1,367 1,406Mockingbird Elementary 600 538 514 499 485 467 462 445 453 456 453 452 456Pinkerton Elementary 400 393 421 442 474 470 464 456 448 445 444 445 458Town Center Elementary 600 550 577 596 589 616 601 571 550 532 530 530 529Valley Ranch Elementary 600 632 626 633 605 584 582 564 546 545 548 556 563Wilson Elementary 600 483 473 478 471 487 499 512 500 500 494 492 496ELEMENTARY TOTALS 5,583 5,638 5,738 5,756 5,816 5,868 5,834 5,837 5,893 5,955 6,033 6,126Elementary Absolute Change 218 55 100 18 60 52 ‐34 3 56 62 78 93Elementary Percent Change 4.06% 0.99% 1.77% 0.31% 1.04% 0.89% ‐0.58% 0.05% 0.96% 1.05% 1.31% 1.54%

Ten Year ForecastBy Middle School & High School Campus

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• Coppell Middle School West is currently over stated capacity• Total middle school enrollment is expected to reach 3,200 students by 2018• Coppell 9th Grade Center is opening in Fall 2018

*Yellow box = enrollment exceeds stated campus capacity

History  Oct. ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

Campus Name Capacity 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28Coppell Middle School East 1,000 982 973 936 943 951 980 995 966 948 914 923 935Coppell Middle School North 1,050 940 949 959 983 986 967 957 945 941 878 843 830Coppell Middle School West 1,500 1,109 1,205 1,313 1,319 1,346 1,358 1,404 1,447 1,477 1,496 1,491 1,494MIDDLE SCHOOL TOTALS 3,031 3,127 3,208 3,245 3,283 3,305 3,356 3,358 3,366 3,288 3,257 3,259Middle School Absolute Change 142 96 81 37 38 22 51 2 8 ‐78 ‐31 2Middle School Percent Change 4.92% 3.17% 2.59% 1.15% 1.17% 0.67% 1.54% 0.06% 0.24% ‐2.32% ‐0.94% 0.06%Coppell High School 9th Grade Campus  1,200 0 0 983 1,072 1,082 1,058 1,116 1,113 1,081 1,141 1,109 1,076Coppell High School 3,600 3,431 3,532 2,626 2,709 2,880 3,019 3,044 3,125 3,130 3,114 3,153 3,138New Tech High School 500 325 317 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 3,756 3,849 4,009 4,181 4,362 4,477 4,560 4,638 4,611 4,655 4,662 4,614High School Absolute Change 131 93 160 172 181 115 82 79 ‐28 44 7 ‐48High School Percent Change 3.61% 2.48% 4.16% 4.30% 4.32% 2.65% 1.83% 1.73% ‐0.59% 0.96% 0.15% ‐1.02%DISTRICT TOTALS 12,370 12,614 12,955 13,182 13,461 13,650 13,750 13,833 13,870 13,898 13,952 13,999District Absolute Change 489 244 341 227 279 189 99 84 36 28 54 47District Percent Change 4.12% 1.97% 2.70% 1.75% 2.11% 1.41% 0.73% 0.61% 0.26% 0.20% 0.39% 0.34%

Summary

• Coppell’s unemployment rate is currently under 3%.

• The average new home sale price within the district is more than $535,000.

• The district started and closed more than 400 new homes for the third straight year.

• Over 500 new multi-family units are under construction within Cypress Waters.

• CISD can expect an increase of approximately 1,140 students during the next 5 years.

• CISD is projected to enroll nearly 14,000 students by 2027.

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