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“SPoRTers” at WFO Melbourne
• Dave Sharp – [email protected]
• Pete Blottman – [email protected]
• Tony Cristaldi - Satellite Apps F/[email protected]
• Matthew Volkmer – AWIPS/GFE [email protected]
SPoRT “Milestones” at MLB• Spring 2007 – CIRA 10km blended TPW product; GOES 4km aviation products (fog depth, low cloud base)
• Fall 2008 – MODIS 1km and 4km data ingested into AWIPS
• Fall 2009 – Assimilation of MODIS SST data into locally run mesoscale model (3km and 9km WRF)
• Winter 2009/10 – Evaluation of MODIS FOG product (Dearth of cases!)
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL945 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2008
.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT...SFC OBS SHOW A BIT OF AN UNUSUAL ORIENTATION TO THE SFC/LOW LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH NOW APPEARS TO BE ORIENTED FROM AROUND THETAMPA BAY AREA SEWD TO NR LAKE OKEE AND THEN SUA/PBI. WITH THERIDGE AXIS PRETTY MUCH SOUTH OF THE AREA...SFC WINDS ARE GENERALLYLIGHT SSW-SW ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. WINDS FROM ABOUT 1-2KM OFF THEDECK UP INTO THE MID LEVELS REMAIN NW/WNW...OWING TO THE THE WEAKMID LEVEL TROUGH ALONG/OFFSHORE THE FL EAST COAST. H50 TEMPS HAVECOOLED A GOOD 1-2C OVER THE AREA SINCE MON...WHICH HAS STEEPENEDLOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND REDUCED THE VOTD TO THE L-M50S.
PWATS ACROSS THE AREA ARE AVGING 1.8" GIVE OR TAKE. 10Z XMR RAOBSHOWED ~2.2" OWING TO SATURATED CONDS FROM ABOUT 860-560MB...WHICHI'M NOT BUYING INTO...UNLESS THE 15Z RAOB CONFIRMS THIS (DOUBTFULSINCE NEITHER THE GOES OR CIRA TPW PRODUCTS SHOWED SUCH HIGHVALUES.
WOW!!!
MODIS passes over ECFL4 passes per day, but often times only 2 passes have NADIR close enough to provide useful high-resolution imagery (more often AQUA?)
Typical pass times (+/- 30 minutes)…
• TERRA: 04, 17 UTC
• AQUA: 07, 19 UTC
Generally better GS/shelf waterdelineation compared to GSST
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDANATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL1038 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NM
AMZ500-292030-SYNOPSIS FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NM-1038 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008
.SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF CENTRAL FLORIDAWILL DRIFT EAST TODAY. MEANWHILE...A BROAD LOW PRESSURE TROUGHNEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY AS IT LIFTS NORTH-NORTHEAST TOWARD FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMCHANCES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH TOMORROW.
.GULF STREAM HAZARDS...NONE.
THE APPROXIMATE LOCATION OF THE WEST WALL OF THE GULF STREAMBASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AS OF MONDAY SEPTEMBER 29 AT 5 AM...
43 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF PONCE INLET.31 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF PORT CANAVERAL.21 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF SEBASTIAN INLET.13 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF FORT PIERCE INLET.10 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF SAINT LUCIE INLET.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL441 AM EDT TUE MAR 10 2009 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-102000-COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-INLAND VOLUSIA- NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER- OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERNBREVARD-441 AM EDT TUE MAR 10 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...VISIBILITY MAY BE RESTRICTED WEST OF THE TITUSVILLE AREA THISMORNING DUE TO A SMOLDERING BRUSH FIRE ABOUT TWO MILES WEST OFINTERSTATE 95. MOTORISTS MAY EXPERIENCE SUDDEN REDUCTIONS INVISIBILITY THROUGH 11 AM.
Analysis & Modeling Activities at WFO Melbourne ~ Benefits of Satellite Data Assimilation
For over a decade, our primary interest has been frequently updated depictions of the current atmospheric state (e.g., 15-minute ADAS), and rapid refresh updates of numerical predictions (e.g., WRF-EMS). These are often employed for Tactical Weather & Incident Support Operations, such as severe local storm events and Haiti Earthquake recovery activities.
Hot start WRF-EMS model runs with LAPS and ADAS 2-way 9km / 3km ARW nest, 8 times per day Incident support, 5km domain over Hispaniola, 4 times per day
Improved surface water temperatures MODIS vs. 8km GOES data
Improved land surface information LIS surface data vs. model background
We look forward to more frequent LIS updates to support MLB rapid update strategy.
Analysis & Modeling Activities at WFO Melbourne ~ Benefits of Satellite Data Assimilation
Analysis & Modeling Activities at WFO Melbourne ~ Benefits of Satellite Data Assimilation
Other Modeling Interests:• Atmospheric Dispersion (HySPLIT)• Atmosphere / Ocean coupled wave models (WABED, SWAN)• Ensemble runs (temporal)
Future:• Moveable domain high resolution runs (Incident support services)• Lightning initiation• Ensemble runs (Physics option dependent)
Total Lightning Information Use LDAR(II) since 1994; total lightning signal
Severe Storm Discernment Aviation Products & Services Incident support; public statements
Courtesy NASA/KSC & 45th WS Separate workstation; aging hardware; data line available through the end of the shuttle program
A desire to have (near) real-time processed data ported to AWIPS (like WFO Huntsville)
Data feed through MSFC to SRH to MLB Want to keep raw data feed (somehow) to retain temporal resolution and vertical resolution; display solution still to be determined.
Total Lightning Information
Lightning Jump Source Densities
Tornado Outbreak of February 22-23,1998
Collaborative/local modifications/improvements
Scales:SST K – > FTPW from mm – > inFog depth from m – > ft
Color enhancement tables – SST/TPW
“SPoRTers” at WFO Melbourne
• Dave Sharp – [email protected]
• Pete Blottman – [email protected]
• Tony Cristaldi - Satellite Apps F/[email protected]
• Matthew Volkmer – AWIPS/GFE [email protected]
