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Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division Tom Melcher and Paul Ferrin | MDE School Finance Division January 30, 2019 m‘ DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division Tom Melcher and Paul Ferrin | MDE School Finance Division January 30, 2019

Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

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Page 1: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula

House Education Finance Division

Tom Melcher and Paul Ferrin | MDE School Finance Division

January 30, 2019

m‘ DEPARTMENTOF EDUCATION

Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding TrendsState Special Education Aid Formula

House Education Finance Division

Tom Melcher and Paul Ferrin | MDE School Finance Division

January 30, 2019

Page 2: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Topics

1/29/2019 2

1) Trends:

• Enrollment

• Expenditures

• Funding

2) State Special Education Aid Formula:

• ”Old Formula” under 2012 statutes

• Education Finance Working Group recommendations, November 2012

• 2013 legislation

• “New Formula” effective in FY 2016

• Impact of new formula

• Concerns/issues with new formula and potential solutions

1) Trends:Enrollment

Expenditures

Funding

2) State Special Education Aid Formula:- ”Old Formula” under 2012 statutes

1/29/2019

Education Finance Working Group recommendations, November 2012

2013 legislation

”New Formula” effective in FY 2016

Impact of new formula

Concerns/issues with new formula and potential solutions

Page 3: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment, Birth–21(Unduplicated December 1 Child Count – Public and Nonpublic Shared Time)

31/29/2019

Special Education Enrollment, Birth—21(Unduplicated December 1 Child Count— Public and Nonpublic Shared Time)

160,000147,605

140,000 130,886127,863

121,507 4* ' '120,000 _115,844

128,983100,000 125,606

80,000l

60,000

40,000

20,0002,318 2,257 1,903

FY 03 FY 07 FY 11 FY 15 FY 19

1/29/2019 I Nonpublic Shared Time I Public 3

Page 4: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment as Percent of Total EnrollmentPublic School Students, Birth—21

41/29/2019

Special Education Enrollment as Percent of Total EnrollmentPublic School Students, Birth—21

17. oM 16.3%16.0%

15.0%

14.0%

13.0%

12.0%

11.0%

10.0%

9.0%

8.0%1/29/2019 FY 03 FY 07 FY 11 FY 15 FY 19 4

Page 5: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment by District Type, FY 12 and FY 19Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

51/29/2019

Special Education Enrollment by District Type, FY 12 and FY 1‘Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

m

845,000 § g" g40,000 :9, p: fir;

H35,000 3‘30,000 q

Q cn Ln rq 8 '3 a :120900 To? T}: 5T5 3 a o15,000 AH =t fiQL—wr10 000 H1 00 g, E

I L“ (YT q:

5’°°° Ilj\ a a o o o a x

Q?» Q 0 $3, 00 00 00 {06,6 {90(OK. ,\ ’0 qql‘ 1"" LN‘ ()0 O

’ 0 0 Q ‘9'\‘9 ’0 0 =6 0 ° , e

QC} 0&0 {0% (0% x9 (0% ’58“

e 0° c,$

1/29/2019 I FY 12 I FY 19 5

Page 6: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment as Percent of Total Enrollment By District TypePublic School Students, Birth–21, FY 12 and FY 19

61/29/2019

Special Education Enrollment as Percent of Total Enrollment By District TypPublic School Students, Birth—21, FY 12 and FY 19

1/29/2019

21.0%

19.0% 184%o 155% 17.2% 17_0% 16.8%

171M 15.5% o 1 2? 15.900 14.8%) 5. o 14.9% 14.2%

15.0%) 1.3-9 0 o _

13 0‘7 13.5%: 13.2%. 0

11.0%

9.0%

7.0%

5.0%

(5&9 [\0 0‘) 7’1) ’1" 1’8" 06b

, c” $0 0 <50 0% ‘0

\\ ‘0 ’3’ <2, 0 K.o 0‘ ‘1° ,9 x» Q;Q’bQ \) ‘00 0° ‘0 Q&

4:9 ‘9 6" $ é,“ $0® 6‘

IFY12 IFY19

Page 7: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Percent of Resident Special Education Students Enrolled Elsewhere by District Type(Enrolled in Another District, Charter School, Intermediate District, or Cooperative)

Public School Students, Birth–21, FY 12 and FY 19

71/29/2019

Percent of Resident Special Education Students Enrolled Elsewhere by District Type(Enrolled in Another District, Charter School, Intermediate District, or Cooperative)

Public School Students, Birth—21, FY 12 and FY 19

35.0%

30.0%

25.0%

20.0% - 20'10

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

25.6%

21.0% 21.1% 21-5°18.

16.1% 16.3%

1E’I?_| 121

Minneapolis Suburban - Suburban - Nonmetro Nonmetro Nonmetro<— St Paul Inner Outer >2,000 1,000 - 1,000

2,000

1/29/2019 I FY 12 I FY 19 7

Page 8: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Resident Special Education Students Enrolled Elsewhere as Percent of Total(Enrolled in Another District, Charter School, Intermediate District, or Cooperative)

Public School Students, Birth–21, FY 12 and FY 19

81/29/2019

Resident Special Education Students Enrolled Elsewhere as Percent of Total(Enrolled in Another District, Charter School, Intermediate District, or Cooperative)

Public School Students, Birth—21, FY 12 and FY 19

O7.0%: 6.5%

6.0%

50% _ 4.6% 4.6%3.9%O4'06 3.5% 3-

3.1% 3.102.873.0% 2.6%

2.0% 1.9? 2.1%

1.0% I I

0.0% — 1 .Minneapolis - Suburban - Suburban - Nonmetro Nonmetro Nonmetro <

St Paul Inner Outer >2,000 1,000 — 2,000 1,0001/29/2019 I FY 12 I FY 19 8

Page 9: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment by AgePublic School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

FY 12 and FY 19

91/29/2019

Special Education Enrollment by AgePublic School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

FY12 and_FY 1912,000

10,000 9014 AI ”--“

/—/’/9,548 ~N538,000 ,’ “‘- ,

6,000 ,I

I,

3,951/4,000 ,'

II

2,000 ,’I

615/ \{30

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021Age

Child

Coun

t

1/29/2019 ---FY 12 —FY 19 9

Page 10: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Enrollment by Primary Disability, FY 19Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

101/29/2019

Special Education Enrollment by Primary Disability, FY 1‘Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

Traumatic Brain Injury, 03% Severely Multiply Impaired, 1.0%

Developmentally Delayed, 13.1% \_\

[ Speech/Language , 15.5%

/ Dev. Cognitive: Mild-Moderate, 3.7%

Dev. Cognitive: Severe-\/ Profound, 1.3%

Physically Impaired,

’//

11%/---"“" Deaf/Hard-of—Hearing,

1.7%

Autistic SpectrumDisorders, 13.9%

Visually Impaired,0.3%

Other HealthDisabilities, 13.6%.} . . .Specnflc Learning

Disability, 22.9%Deaf-Blind, 0.1%K

-

1/29/2019 Emotional/Behavioral Disorder, 11.4%/ 10

Page 11: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Primary Disabilities with Largest Enrollment Growth, FY 13, FY 16 and FY 19Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

111/29/2019

'rimary Disabilities with Largest Enrollment Growth, FY 13, FY 16 and FY 1‘Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

16,81

4

—20,

056

—29

_14,

928

—15

,967

”‘T—

17,648

—20,

485

0—

16,759

—19,

390

40_

17,17

1~P

—18,

786

—14,

984

A _\ 1‘0 6 \‘9

48‘ A V‘ \ O(J \I \ Q Q\

<2 «‘7‘ 6 <9(.1 V Q?\ V ‘3‘ \<0 V‘ \r\ ‘2 V V‘’K O Q~ (I(a, <9 \ \v <3 0'K 99$ ‘9‘

9—? 9/

1/29/2019 I FY 13 I FY 16 I FY 19 11

Page 12: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Other Primary Disabilities with Growing Enrollment, FY 13, FY 16 and FY 19Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

121/29/2019

Other Primary Disabilities with Growing Enrollment, FY 13, FY 16 and FY 1‘Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

NN

HN

00

H N B CD a 3..:3 e a: E~ "a a\ s \ N h N m m N\—l H \—I q- 00I <r 3 8 8 Q :l ‘3 El 3

o b b . b ¢o ~\$90 56“ 53’ o‘“ If \0‘

I Q, \0¢°° Q Q '5‘ ~2~ .0® @ Q I \\3’ \ \ Q K {b‘o\ \‘\ \\‘\ 6° 9’Q99 §§2 . 90% ‘38} 66°

9Q Aé 4‘ ,5\\ 06‘95% QQ’ «‘3’

~\(9%1/29/2019 I FY 13 I FY 16 I FY 19 12

Page 13: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Primary Disabilities with Declining Enrollment, FY 13, FY 16 and FY 19Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth–21

131/29/2019

'rimary Disabilities with Declining Enrollment, FY 13, FY 16 and FY 1'Public School and Nonpublic Shared-Time Students, Birth—21

7,000 m8m‘ 8 0‘7;

6,000 3 <1;—Ln

7 ‘5,000

4,000

3,000 § 8 8g ill a N‘ 3 01LO LO \—|

2,000 F? F; H“ — "

Physically Impaired Dev. Cognitive: Severe- Dev. Cognitive: Mild-Profound Moderate

1/29/2019 IFY 13 IFY 16 IFY 19 13

Page 14: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Expenditures Eligible for State and Federal Special Education Aid by Expenditure Type, FY 18 ($2.390 Billion)

141/29/2019

Expenditures Eligible for State and Federal Special Education Aidby Expenditure Type, FY 18 ($2.390 Billion)

Sp Ed Transp, 9.9%

4I Salary, 60.7%

1/29/2019 14

Alt. Delivery of Specialized Other Transp, 13%Instr. Services (ADSIS), 2.5%> lOther Sp Ed Program, 2.4%

Fringe, 20.2%

Contracted, 2.6%

Page 15: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Expenditures Eligible for State and Federal Special Education Aid including Transportation and ADSIS ($ in Billions FY 03 –FY 18)

151/29/2019

Expenditures Eligible for State and Federal Special Education Aidincluding Transportation and ADSIS (S in Billions FY 03 —FY 18)

2.600

2.400

2.200

2.000

1.800

1.600

1.400

1.200

1.000

0.800FY 03 FY 06 FY 09 FY 12 FY 15 FY 18

1/29/2019 --Current Dollars —2018 $ (CPI) 15

Page 16: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Expenditures Eligible for State and Federal Special Education Aid Breakdown of Special Education program, ADSIS and Transportation Costs

$ in Millions FY 06, FY 12 and FY 18)

161/29/2019

Expenditures Eligible for State and Federal Special Education AidBreakdown of Special Education program, ADSIS and Transportation Costs

Sin Millions FY06, FY 12 and FY 18)

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000 —-

500 —

FY 06 FY 12 FY 18

1/29/2019 l Sp Ed Program I ADSIS l Transportation 16

Page 17: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Average Special Education Expenditure per Special Education StudentEligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS

171/29/2019

Average Special Education Expenditure per Special Education StudentEligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS

16,000

15,000

14,000

13,000

12,000

11,000

10,000

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000FY 03 FY 06 FY 09 FY 12 FY 15 FY 18

1/29/2019 - - Current Dollars —2019 S (CPI) 17

Page 18: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Average Special Education Expenditure per Special Education Student by District TypeEligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS: FY 07, FY 12, FY 18

181/29/2019

' Average Special Education Expenditure per Special Education Student by District TypeEligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS: FY 07, FY 12, FY 18

1/29/2019

512

85 42

1’}A) 5

—13.

0/—

14.0,0

—1

‘43

11o 0;

—11,2

887954,

\

42,_

10,09»

06_

12,—

14,

—12

,755

—14,

6556

_10

,501

—11

.310

—12

,583

_8,4

70_

9,12

_10,

40

6’»

V3 ’0 00

‘e ’0 00

<2 6%

4, °o 0’83‘»

o04

450a; O ‘50

00’16 o 0’0

a; O

”6

IFYO7 IFY 12

14_

8.939

f‘_

11,63

7

503 8,51

I

_9,6

{00—

7o

r

—17,

997

3130

—12,

Fl

14,

—45,

208

—29,

507"

—35,

311

_11.

141

\e, e (bC0 <5- '3’

2; K?‘8‘ ‘°é’b

0Q(JO

IFY 18 18

Page 19: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Expenditure per Student by Primary DisabilityHighest Cost/Student (eligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS)

191/29/2019

Primary Disability FY 07 FY 18

Dev. Cognitive: Severe-Profound 46,321 49,018

Visually Impaired 23,140 26,399

Physically Impaired 28,095 25,189

Dev. Cognitive: Mild-Moderate 17,854 24,427

Deaf-Blind 8,451 23,993

Emotional/Behavioral Disorder 16,634 21,988

Severely Multiply Impaired 9,851 19,615

Special Education Expenditure per Student by Primary DisabilityHighest Cost/Student (eligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS)

Primary Disability FY 07 FY 18Dev. Cognitive: Severe-Profound 46,321 49,018Mallylmpaired 23,140 26,399Physically Impaired 28,095 25,189mfognitive: Mild-Moderate 17,854 24,427Ef-Blind 8,451 23,993mtional/Behavioral Disorder 16,634 21,988Severely Multiply Impaired 9,851 19,615

1/29/2019 19

Page 20: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Expenditure per Student by Primary DisabilityLower Cost/Student (eligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS)

201/29/2019

Primary Disability FY 07 FY 18

Deaf/Hard-of-Hearing 16,327 18,240

Autistic Spectrum Disorders 11,695 16,045

Developmentally Delayed 11,134 13,265

Specific Learning Disability 8,818 10,914

Speech/Language 6,739 7,202

Traumatic Brain Injury 4,956 8,320

Other Health Disabilities 4,253 7,254

Special Education Expenditure per Student by Primary DisabilityLower Cost/Student (eligible for State and Federal Funds, excluding Transportation and ADSIS)

Primary Disability FY 07 FY 18Eaf/Hard-of-Hearing 16,327 18,2flAutistic Spectrum Disorders 11,695 16,045DeyelopmentallyDelayed 11,134 13,265Specific Learning Disability 8,818 10,914Speech/Language 6,739 7,202Traumatic Brain Injury 4,956 8,320Other Health Disabilities 4,253 7,254

1/29/2019 20

Page 21: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Salary Breakdown by Personnel TypeState and Federal Funds, FY 07 and FY 18

211/29/2019

Special Education Salary Breakdown by Personnel TypeState and Federal Funds, FY 07 and FY 18

50.0%

45.0%

40.0% -

35.0%

30.0%

25.0%

20.0%

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

0.0%Teacher Admin Other Licensed Non-Licensed

1/29/2019 I FY 07 I FY 18 21

Page 22: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Salary Breakdown by Personnel Type and District TypeState and Federal Funds FY 18

221/29/2019

Teacher Admin Oth Licensed Nonlicensed

Minneapolis - St Paul 41.7% 1.8% 35.8% 20.7%

Suburban - Inner 43.0% 4.7% 31.5% 20.8%

Suburban - Outer 41.8% 4.4% 30.8% 23.0%

Nonmetro >2,000 43.1% 2.4% 26.3% 28.2%

Nonmetro 1,000 - 2,000 43.1% 1.3% 23.2% 32.4%

Nonmetro < 1,000 43.1% 0.7% 22.3% 33.9%

Charter 29.7% 4.5% 28.2% 37.6%

Special Education Salary Breakdown by Personnel Type and District TypeState and Federal Funds FY 18

Teacher Admin 0th Licensed NonlicensedMinneapolis - St Paul 41.7% 1.8%i 35.8%| 20.7%Suburban - Inner 43.0% 4.7% 31.5% 20.8%Suburban - Outer 41.8% 4.4% 30.8% 23.0%Nonmetro >2,000 43.1% 2.4% 26.3% 28.2%Nonmetro 1,000 - 2,000 43.1% 1.3% 23.2% 32.4%Nonmetro <1,000 43.1% 0.7% 22.3% 33.9%Charter 29.7% 4.5% 28.2% 37.6%

1/29/2019 22

Page 23: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Funding Trends, FY 03–FY 23Federal Aid, State Aid and Cross Subsidy – Current $ in Millions

November 2018 Forecast

1/29/2019 23

Special Education Funding Trends, FY O3—FY 23Federal Aid, State Aid and Cross Subsidy — Current S in Millions

November 2018 Forecast

3,5003,077

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

(‘0 Ln N Ch H "'3 Ln N 0‘ PI mo o O o H PI PI PI H N NO O O O O O O O O O ON N N N N N N N N N N>- >- >- >- >- >- >- >- >- >- >-u. u. u. u. u. u. u. u. u. u. u.

1/29/2019 I FEderal Aid I State Aid - Cross SUbSidy 23

Page 24: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Cross Subsidy, FY 03–FY 23 Total and State Portion—(if Federal Funding Covered 40% of Excess Cost)

Current $ (Millions)

1/29/2019 24

Special Education Cross Subsidy, FY O3—FY 23Total and State Portion—(if Federal Funding Covered 40% of Excess Cost)

Current S (Millions)

1,000900 sex

800700600

(I)

_§ 500E 400.5 \m 300 ’,”333\ ,_ ,---~

200 :I .‘~--.’ --’ fl)“ --_----_---

v" 230 239 213 236 ‘W 24:: 235 239 237100 155

_ m "n '\ cn F' 00' In rx on H mo o o o \—| H F. H H N No o o o o o o o o o oN N N N N N N N N N N

t a a a a 5 t a t t a—Total Cross Subsidy

1/29/2019 --State Portion (Remainder if Federal Aid Covered 40% of Cost) 24

Page 25: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Funding Trends, FY 03–FY 23State and Federal Aid as Percent of Special Education Cost

1/29/2019 25

Special Education Funding Trends, FY O3—FY 23State and Federal Aid as Percent of Special Education Cost

80.0% o 73.9% 70 87 72.1%70 0% 69.0%, ‘.-°°-. 68.4% ,_,,.'..°......--' .000... 61.8%..'00 'o.o°°...."...O .. ..60.0% -\. o 66.2%

59.8%50.0%

50.5%40.0%

30.0%

20.0% 10.1%11 3% ’-‘

---------‘------.-

0.0%m m f‘ (D Fl m Ln 7‘- 0‘ Fl mC) O O 0 Fl Fl \—| PI PI N NO o O O O O O O O O oN N N N N N N N N N N>- >- >- >- >- >- >- >- >- >- >-LL LL LL LL LL LL LL LL LL LL LL

1/29/2019 —State _ _ Federa| o o o Tota| 25

Page 26: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Cross Subsidy per ADM, FY 03–FY 23 Total and State Portion—(if Federal Funding Covered 40% of Excess Cost)

Adjusted for Inflation (FY 19 $)

1/29/2019 26

Special Education Cross Subsidy per ADM, FY O3—FY 23Total and State Portion—(if Federal Funding Covered 40% of Excess Cost)

Adjusted for Inflation (FY 19 S)

1,000868 2:9; 876900 830 ""V —-—-—

800

700

2 600oE 500OD.

V’- 400

300 ~_ _--- - - - - .

200 271 258 242100

- m L“ I"~ Ch Fl «1 Ln I"~ as \—l anO C) O C) H H H H H N NO O O O O O O O O O ON N N N N N N N N N N

I E I E I E E E E E E

—Total Cross Subsidy per ADM1/29/2019 - - State Portion (Remainder if Federal Aid Covered 40% of Cost) 25

Page 27: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

Special Education Cross Subsidy per ADMby District Type, FY 13, FY 15 and FY 17

Adjusted for Inflation (FY 19 $)

1/29/2019 27

DAreD.V.MSbUSSSOVIICn.mtaCudE.mCeD.S

by District Type, FY 13, FY 15 and FY 17Adjusted for Inflation(FY19 S)

1,600

27

I“00

I FY 2013 I FY 2015 I FY 20171/29/2019

Page 28: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

State Special Education Funding“Old Formula” (2012 Statutes)

1/29/2019 28

• In effect through FY 15.

• Initial aid = 68% of eligible salaries +

52% of the difference between contracted service cost and

applicable general education revenue + (plus)

47% of special supplies and equipment.

• Excess cost aid = 75% of the difference between:

• The sum of the district’s reimbursable expenditures not funded with initial aid and tuition payments for services eligible for initial aid, - (minus)

• The sum of 4.36% of the district’s general education revenue and the district’s tuition receipts for services eligible for initial aid.

• Fringe benefit costs were not eligible for funding.

State Special Education Funding“Old Formula” (2012 Statutes)

In effect through FY 15.

Initial aid = 68% of eligible salaries +

52% of the difference between contracted service cost and

applicable general education revenue + (plus)

47% of special supplies and equipment.

Excess cost aid = 75% ofthe difference between:

° The sum ofthe district’s reimbursable expenditures not funded with initial aid andtuition payments for services eligible for initial aid, - (minus)

° The sum of 4.36% of the district’s general education revenue and the district’stuition receipts for services eligible for initial aid.

Fringe benefit costs were not eligible for funding.1/29/2019 28

Page 29: Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and …...Special Education Enrollment, Expenditure and Funding Trends State Special Education Aid Formula House Education Finance Division

State Special Education Funding“Old Formula” (2012 Statutes)

1/29/2019 29

• Legislation enacted in 1995 capped the state total initial aid and excess cost aid beginning in FY 1996 and based the aid calculations on second prior year data.

• Legislation enacted in 2003 eliminated inflation of the cap beginning in FY 04, creating a significant decrease in state aid as a percent of costs between FY 04 and FY 07.

• Legislation enacted in 2007 increased the cap significantly by fixed dollar amounts for FY 08–FY 11, and changed the aid calculations to use current year data. Beginning in FY 12, the cap was increased each year by 4.6%, and adjusted by the ratio of state total ADM in the current year to state total ADM in the prior year.

• The cap resulted in proration of initial aid and excess cost aid using a “statewide adjustment factor”.

• For FY 15, proration rates were 88.3% for initial aid and 67.6% for excess cost aid.

State Special Education Funding”Old Formula” (2012 Statutes)

Legislation enacted in 1995 capped the state total initial aid and excess cost aid beginning in FY1996 and based the aid calculations on second prior year data.

Legislation enacted in 2003 eliminated inflation of the cap beginning in FY 04, creating asignificant decrease in state aid as a percent of costs between FY 04 and FY 07.

Legislation enacted in 2007 increased the cap significantly by fixed dollar amounts for FY 08—FY11, and changed the aid calculations to use current year data. Beginning in FY 12, the cap wasincreased each year by 4.6%, and adjusted by the ratio of state total ADM in the current year tostate total ADM in the prior year.

The cap resulted in proration of initial aid and excess cost aid using a ”statewide adjustmentfactor”.

For FY 15, proration rates were 88.3% for initial aid and 67.6% for excess cost aid.

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Special Education FundingEducation Finance Working Group (2012)

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• MDE Commissioner Cassellius convened an Education Finance Working Group in June 2012.

• The working group was charged with developing a comprehensive set of school finance reforms, including special education finance.

• Membership on the working group consisted of parents, school officials, teachers, business representatives and members of the public and was determined by the commissioner.

• The working group held seven working meetings beginning on June 25, 2012, followed by 11 community outreach meetings throughout the state.

• Recommendations were adopted by two-thirds vote at the final meeting of the working group on November 27, 2012.

Special Education FundingEducation Finance Working Group (2012)

° MDE Commissioner Cassellius convened an Education Finance Working Group inJune 2012.

° The working group was charged with developing a comprehensive set of schoolfinance reforms, including special education finance.

° Membership on the working group consisted of parents, school officials, teachers,business representatives and members of the public and was determined by thecommissioner.

° The working group held seven working meetings beginning on June 25, 2012,followed by 11 community outreach meetings throughout the state.

° Recommendations were adopted by two-thirds vote at the final meeting of theworking group on November 27, 2012.

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Special Education FundingEducation Finance Working Group Recommendations (November 2012)

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• Increase state special education aid by $150—$200 Million per year to reduce cross subsidies.

• Replace the old formula with a new formula to include the following changes:

• Eliminate the statewide cap on state special education aid, to reduce cross subsidies and make funding more predictable;

• Make all special education costs not funded with federal aid (including fringe benefits) eligible for state aid, to improve the equity of special education aid allocations;

• Calculate aid using prior year data, to improve predictability;

• Allocate a portion of the aid based on student data, to begin aligning special education funding with general education funding (as done in most other states), to improve equity by making the funding per student by primary disability more comparable among districts; and,

• Require the serving school district or charter school (excluding intermediate districts, cooperatives and charter schools with more than 70% of enrolled students with IEPs) to cover 10% of unfunded costs for open-enrolled students, to more equitably share cross subsidies between the resident and serving districts and provide an incentive for program efficiency in the nonresident serving district.

Special Education FundingEducation Finance Working Group Recommendations (November 2012)

° Increase state special education aid by $150—$200 Million per year to reduce cross subsidies.

° Replace the old formula with a new formula to include the following changes:

Eliminatethe statewide cap on state special education aid, to reduce cross subsidies and make funding morepredictable;

Make all special education costs not funded with federal aid (includingfringe benefits) eligible for state aid, toimprove the equity of special education aid allocations;

Calculate aid using prior year data,to improve predictability;

Allocatea portion ofthe aid based on student data,to begin aligningspecial educationfunding with generaleducation funding (as done in most other states), to improve equity by making the funding per student by primarydisability more comparableamong districts; and,

Require the serving school district or charter school (excluding intermediate districts, cooperativesand charterschools with more than 70% of enrolled students with IEPs) to cover 10% of unfunded costs for open-enrolledstudents, to more equitably share cross subsidies between the resident and serving districts and provide an incentivefor program efficiency in the nonresident serving district.

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Special Education Funding2013 Legislative Session

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• Governor Dayton recommended adoption of the working group recommendations beginning in FY 15, with appropriation increases of $125.8 Million for FY 15, $158.9 Million for FY 16, and $167.2 Million for FY 17.

• Neither the House nor the Senate included the governor’s recommendations in their E-12 education bills, but the final legislation included a portion of the governor’s recommendations:

• A temporary cross-subsidy reduction aid was created for FY 14 and FY 15 only, based on the governor’s recommendation to allocate a portion of special education aid based on student data, funded at $11 Million for FY 14 and $27.3 Million for FY 15.

• A scaled-down version of the governor’s recommendations for a new special education funding formula was enacted beginning in FY 16, funded with an increase of $38.1 Million over the base for FY 16 and $41 Million over the base for FY 17.

• The governor’s recommendation to require the serving school district or charter school to cover 10% of unfunded costs for open-enrolled students was enacted for FY 15 and later.

Special Education Funding2013 Legislative Session

° Governor Dayton recommended adoption of the working group recommendations beginning inFY 15, with appropriation increases of $125.8 Million for FY 15, $158.9 Million for FY 16, and$167.2 Million for FY 17.

° Neither the House nor the Senate included the governor’s recommendations in their E-12education bills, but the final legislation included a portion of the governor’s recommendations:

° A temporary cross-subsidy reduction aid was created for FY 14 and FY 15 only, based on thegovernor’s recommendation to allocate a portion of special education aid based on student data,funded at $11 Million for FY 14 and $27.3 Million for FY 15.

- A scaled-down version of the governor’s recommendations for a new special education fundingformula was enacted beginning in FY 16, funded with an increase of $38.1 Million over the base forFY 16 and $41 Million over the base for FY 17.

° The governor’s recommendation to require the serving school district or charter school to cover 10%of unfunded costs for open-enrolled students was enacted for FY 15 and later.

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Special Education Funding2013 Legislative Session

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To move the special education funding formula in the direction of the governor’s recommendations with a budget increase of about 25% of the governor’s recommendation, the formula enacted in 2013 made the following changes from the governor’s recommendations:

• Instead of calculating Initial Aid based solely on a student-driven formula, the Initial Aid is calculated using the least of a student-driven formula (with a lower aid percentage than recommended by the governor), a cost-driven formula based on old formula expenditures (excluding fringe benefits), or a cost-driven formula based on total nonfederal expenditures (including fringe benefits).

• Instead of calculating excess cost aid based solely on total nonfederal expenditures (including fringe benefits), excess cost aid is based on the greater of that formula (with a lower reimbursement percentage), or an excess cost formula based on old formula expenditures.

• A hold-harmless was added to ensure that no district will receive less than it would have received under the old formula based on FY 2016 data, and an individual district growth cap was added to limit a district’s increase per ADM over what it would have received under the old formula.

Special Education Funding2013 Legislative Session

To move the special education funding formula in the direction of the governor’s recommendationswith a budget increase of about 25% of the governor’s recommendation, the formula enacted in2013 made the following changes from the governor’s recommendations:

- Instead of calculating Initial Aid based solely on a student-driven formula, the Initial Aid is calculatedusing the least of a student-driven formula (with a lower aid percentage than recommended by thegovernor), a cost-driven formula based on old formula expenditures (excluding fringe benefits), or a cost-driven formula based on total nonfederal expenditures (including fringe benefits).

- Instead of calculating excess cost aid based solely on total nonfederal expenditures (including fringebenefits), excess cost aid is based on the greater of that formula (with a lower reimbursementpercentage), or an excess cost formula based on old formula expenditures.

- A hold-harmless was added to ensure that no district will receive less than it would have received underthe old formula based on FY 2016 data, and an individual district growth cap was added to limit adistrict’s increase per ADM over what it would have received under the old formula.

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Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics (FY 2016 and later): Initial Aid and Excess Cost Aid

(Calculated using Prior Year Data)

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Initial Aid equals the sum of 100% of special transportation cost plus the least of:

• 56% of the amount generated by a student-driven formula based on total ADM, number of students enrolled by primary disability, and statewide average cost per student by primary disability category;

• 62% of old formula cost (excluding fringe benefits); or,

• 50% of total nonfederal cost (including fringe benefits).

Excess Cost Aid equals the greater of:

• 62% of the difference between the old formula cost not reimbursed with initial aid and 2.5% of the product of the district’s general education revenue and the ratio of $5,831 to the prior year formula allowance; or,

• 56% of the difference between the total nonfederal cost not reimbursed with initial aid and 7% of the product of the district’s general education revenue and the ratio of $5,831 to the prior year formula allowance.

Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics (FY 2016 and later): Initial Aid and Excess Cost Aid

(Calculated using Prior Year Data)

Initial Aid equals the sum of 100% of special transportation cost plus the least of:

° 56% of the amount generated by a student-driven formula based on total ADM, number of studentsenrolled by primary disability, and statewide average cost per student by primary disability category;

° 62% of old formula cost (excluding fringe benefits); or,

° 50% of total nonfederal cost (including fringe benefits).

Excess Cost Aid equals the greater of:

° 62% of the difference between the old formula cost not reimbursed with initial aid and 2.5% of theproduct of the district’s general education revenue and the ratio of $5,831 to the prior year formulaallowance; or,

° 56% of the difference between the total nonfederal cost not reimbursed with initial aid and 7% of theproduct of the district’s general education revenue and the ratio of $5,831 to the prior year formulaallowance.

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Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics: Student-Driven Formula Calculations

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Student-driven funding = 56% of the sum of:

1) Census-based funding for higher-incidence, lower-cost primary disabilities

= Total ADM x (base rate + poverty adjustment + district size adjustment)

= Total ADM x ( $450 + $400 x free and reduced-price lunch concentration + .008 x total ADM)

2) Child count-based funding for lower-incidence, higher-cost primary disabilities

= $10,400 x child count for autism spectrum disorders, developmental delay, and severely multiply impaired

+ $18,000 x child count for deaf and hard-of-hearing and emotional or behavioral disorders

+ $27,000 x child count for developmentally cognitive mild-moderate, developmentally cognitive severe-profound, physically impaired, visually impaired, and deafblind

The amount computed above is adjusted for inflation at 4.6% per year for FY 17 and later.

Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics: Student-Driven Formula CalculationsL

Student-driven funding = 56% of the sum of:

1) Census-based funding for higher-incidence, lower-cost primary disabilities

= Total ADM x (base rate + poverty adjustment + district size adjustment)

= Total ADM x ( $450 + $400 x free and reduced-price lunch concentration + .008 x total ADM)

2) Child count-based funding for lower-incidence, higher-cost primary disabilities

= $10,400 x child count for autism spectrum disorders, developmental delay, and severely multiplyimpaired

+ $18,000 xchild count for deaf and hard-of—hearing and emotional or behavioral disorders

+ $27,000 x child count for developmentally cognitive mild-moderate, developmentally cognitive severe-profound, physically impaired, visually impaired, and deafblind

The amount computed above is adjusted for inflation at 4.6% per year for FY 17 and later.1/29/2019 35

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Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics: Tuition Adjustments

(Calculated using Current Year Data)

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• For students placed by the resident district in a cooperative or intermediate district, or enrolled in a charter school with at least 70% special education students, 100% of the unfunded special education cost is added to the special education aid for the serving cooperative/school and subtracted from the aid for the resident district.

• For students open enrolling to another district or to a charter school with less than 70% special education students, 90% of the unfunded special education cost is added to the special education aid for the serving district/school and subtracted from the aid for the resident district.

• These are known as “tuition adjustments” because historically, the intermediate/cooperative/charter school/nonresident serving district would bill the resident district for its unreimbursed costs.

• For FY 17, special education tuition adjustments totaled about $207 Million statewide.

• Districts may elect to use some of their federal special education aid to pay tuition bills rather than having the tuition deducted from their state special education aid, as long as they continue to meet federal Maintenance of Effort (MOE) requirements.

Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics: Tuition Adjustments

(Calculated using Current Year Data)

° For students placed by the resident district in a cooperative or intermediate district, or enrolled in acharter school with at least 70% special education students, 100% ofthe unfunded special educationcost is added to the special education aid for the serving cooperative/school and subtracted from theaid for the resident district.

° For students open enrolling to another district or to a charter school with less than 70% specialeducation students, 90% of the unfunded special education cost is added to the special education aidfor the serving district/school and subtracted from the aid for the resident district.

° These are known as ”tuition adjustments” because historically, the intermediate/cooperative/charterschool/nonresident serving district would bill the resident district for its unreimbursed costs.

° For FY 17, special education tuition adjustments totaled about $207 Million statewide.

° Districts may elect to use some of their federal special education aid to pay tuition bills rather thanhaving the tuition deducted from their state special education aid, as long as they continue to meetfederal Maintenance of Effort (MOE) requirements.

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Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics: Hold Harmless and Growth Cap

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• A hold harmless provision is included to ensure that no district will receive less aid than it would have received under the old formula for FY 16, adjusted in later years for inflation and enrollment change.

• 70 districts received hold-harmless aid in FY 17 totaling $6.1 Million

• A district-specific growth cap is included, which limits the increase a district can receive over what it would have received under the old formula for FY 16 to $80 per ADM. For later years, the base for the cap is adjusted for inflation and enrollment change in the district, and the limit over the adjusted base is increased to $100 per ADM in FY 17, with an annual increase of $40 per ADM in later years.

• 124 districts were limited by the growth cap in FY 17, with the reduction to aid totaling $21.8 Million

Special Education FundingNew Formula Mechanics: Hold Harmless and Growth Cap

F ¥

° A hold harmless provision is included to ensure that no district will receive less aidthan it would have received under the old formula for FY 16, adjusted in lateryears for inflation and enrollment change.

° 70 districts received hold-harmless aid in FY 17 totaling $6.1 Million

° A district-specific growth cap is included, which limits the increase a district canreceive over what it would have received under the old formula for FY 16 to $80per ADM. For later years, the base for the cap is adjusted for inflation andenrollment change in the district, and the limit over the adjusted base is increasedto $100 per ADM in FY 17, with an annual increase of $40 per ADM in later years.

' 124 districts were limited by the growth cap in FY 17, with the reduction to aidtotaling $21.8 Million

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Special Education FundingHold Harmless and Growth Cap Adjustments for FY 17 and Later

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• FY 16 is the base for later years. (Old formula aid is not calculated for FY 17 and later.)

• Hold harmless guarantee for FY 17 and later =

• FY 16 hold harmless guarantee, increased annually by 4.6% for inflation, x (times)

• The ratio of district total ADM for the current year to district total ADM for FY 16.

• Aid cap for FY 17 and later =

• Hold harmless guarantee, as adjusted above, plus aid increase limit of $100/ADM for FY 17, with $40 per ADM added each year thereafter.

Special Education FundingHold Harmless and Growth Cap Adjustments for FY 17 and Later

¥ + #

° FY 16 is the base for later years. (Old formula aid is not calculated for FY 17 and later.)

° Hold harmless guarantee for FY 17 and later =

° FY 16 hold harmless guarantee, increased annually by 4.6% for inflation, x (times)

° The ratio of district total ADM for the current year to district total ADM for FY 16.

° Aid cap for FY 17 and later =

° Hold harmless guarantee, as adjusted above, plus aid increase limit of SlOO/ADMfor FY 17, with $40 per ADM added each year thereafter.

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Impact of New FormulaFY 17 New Formula Aid by Category as Percent of FY 17 Special Education Cost

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Initial & Excess

Cost Aid

Tuition Adj -

State

Tuition-

Fed Funds

Hold

Harmless

Growth

Cap Net Total

Totals 61.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% -1.0% 61.5%#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!

MPLS & ST PAUL 63.9% -13.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% 50.7%

OTHER METRO, INNER 61.3% -10.7% 0.1% 0.1% -1.5% 50.7%

OTHER METRO, OUTER 62.3% -6.9% 0.1% 0.0% -1.2% 55.5%

NONMET>=2K 60.3% -4.9% 0.2% 0.6% -1.3% 56.1%

NONMET 1K-2K 62.1% -6.0% 0.2% 0.2% -0.9% 56.5%

NONMET < 1K 61.7% -6.5% 0.2% 1.8% -1.4% 57.2%

CHARTER 54.2% 41.5% 0.6% n/a n/a 96.2%

COOPS 55.4% 60.7% 1.4% n/a n/a 117.5%

Impact of New FormulaFY 17 New Formula Aid by Category as Percent of FY 17 Special Education Cost

Initial & Excess Tuition Adj -' Tuition- Hold GrowthCost Aid State Fed Funds Harmless Cap Net Total

Totals 61.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3%] -1.0% 61.5%

MPLS & ST PAUL_ 63.9% -13.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% ,, 50.7%OTHER METRO, INNER 61.3% -10.7% 0.1% 0.1% -1.5% 50.7%OTHER METRO, OUTER 62.3% -6.9% 0.1% 0.0% -1.2% 55.5%NONMET>=2K 60.3% -4.9% 0.2% 0.6% -1.3% 56.1%NONMET 1K-2K 62.1% -6.0% 0.2% 0.2% -0.9% 56.5%NONMET < 1K 61.7% -6.5% 0.2% 1.8% -1.4% 57.2%CHARTER 54.2% 41.5% 0.6% n/a n/a 96.2%COOPS 55.4% 60.7% 1.4% n/a n/a 117.5%

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Impact of New FormulaFY 17 Increase in Aid per ADM over Old Formula by District Type

Percent of Districts by Increase Level

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Hold

Harmless

Not on Hold

Harmless or

Growth Cap

Increase

Limited by

Cap ($100)

STATE TOTAL 21% 42% 37%

MPLS & ST PAUL 0% 0% 100%

OTHER METRO, INNER 8% 46% 46%

OTHER METRO, OUTER 6% 47% 47%

NONMET>=2K 10% 52% 38%

NONMET 1K-2K 12% 57% 32%

NONMET < 1K 32% 33% 35%

Impact of New FormulaFY 17 Increase in Aid per ADM over Old Formula by District Type

Percent of Districts by Increase Level‘,

Not on Hold IncreaseHold Harmless or | Limited by

Harmless Growth Cap l Cap($100)

STATE TOTAL 21% 42% 37%MPLS & ST PAUL 0%5 0% 100%9TH ER METRO, INNER 8%' 46% 46%OTHER METRO, OUTER 6%' 47% 47%l\IONMET>=2K 10%' 52% 38%fiONMET 1K-2K 12%' 57% 32%

029/2019 NONMET < 1K 32%' 33% 35% 4o

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsFunding Level and the Cross Subsidy

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• Funding is not sufficient to stop the growth of the cross subsidy.

• Assuming special education expenditures increase at the rate projected in the November 2018 forecast:

• To hold the average cross subsidy per ADM constant at the FY 19 level of $830, an increase of $78 Million in state appropriations for the FY 20–FY 21 biennium would be needed.

• To buy down the average cross subsidy by $50 per ADM in FY 20 and an additional $50 per ADM in FY 21, an increase of $200 Million in state appropriations for the FY 20–FY 21 biennium would be needed.

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsFunding Level and the Cross Subsidy

° Funding is not sufficient to stop the growth of the cross subsidy.

° Assuming special education expenditures increase at the rate projected inthe November 2018 forecast:

- To hold the average cross subsidy per ADM constant at the FY 19 levelof $830, an increase of $78 Million in state appropriations for the FY20—FY 21 biennium would be needed.

° To buy down the average cross subsidy by $50 per ADM in FY 20 and anadditional $50 per ADM in FY 21, an increase of $200 Million in stateappropriations for the FY 20—FY 21 biennium would be needed.

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsPupil-Driven Portion of Initial Aid Calculation

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• The rates used in the pupil-driven portion of the initial aid formula are out of date.

• The current rates are based on FY 11 data (the latest available when the formula was enacted in 2013), adjusted for inflation at 4.6% per year.

• Minnesota Statutes, section 125A.76, subdivision 2d., requires MDE to:

• Annually calculate the state average special education expenditure per December 1 child count for the prior fiscal year by primary disability area and provide that information to all districts; and,

• By January 15 of each odd-numbered year, identify options for aligning assignment of disability areas to costs categories, and adjusting rates for each cost category based on the latest data, and submit these options to the education finance committees of the Legislature.

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsPupil-Driven Portion of Initial Aid Calculation

- The rates used in the pupil-driven portion of the initial aid formula are out of date.

° The current rates are based on FY 11 data (the latest available when the formula was enacted in2013), adjusted for inflation at 4.6% per year.

° Minnesota Statutes, section 125A.76, subdivision 2d., requires MDE to:

° Annually calculate the state average special education expenditure per December 1 childcount for the prior fiscal year by primary disability area and provide that information to alldistricts; and,

° By January 15 of each odd-numbered year, identify options for aligning assignment ofdisability areas to costs categories, and adjusting rates for each cost category based on thelatest data, and submit these options to the education finance committees of the Legislature.

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsPupil-Driven Portion of Initial Aid Calculation

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• The findings of the FY 18 cost study call for the following changes:

• No changes in assignment of disability categories to cost levels.

• The following changes in formula rates per student:

• From $10,400 to $13,000 for cost level 2 (autism, developmental delay, severely multiply impaired)

• From $18,000 to $18,300 for cost level 3 (Deaf and hard-of-hearing, emotional-behavioral disorders)

• From $27,000 to $25,400 for cost level 4 (developmentally cognitive, physically impaired, visually impaired, deaf-blind)

• Implementing this change (with no other changes in the current formula) would increase total special education aid by an estimated $2 Million per year ($7.7 M increase in initial aid offset by $4.4 M reduction in excess cost aid and $1.3 M in savings on growth cap and hold harmless).

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsPupil-Driven Portion of Initial Aid Calculation

° The findings of the FY 18 cost study call for the following changes:

° No changes in assignment of disability categories to cost levels.

° The following changes in formula rates per student:

- From $10,400 to $13,000 for cost level 2 (autism, developmental delay, severely multiply impaired)

- From $18,000to $18,300 for cost level 3 (Deaf and hard-of—hearing, emotional-behavioral disorders)

- From $27,000 to $25,400 for cost level 4 (developmentally cognitive, physically impaired, visuallyimpaired, deaf-blind)

° Implementing this change (with no other changes in the current formula) would increase totalspecial education aid by an estimated $2 Million per year ($7.7 M increase in initial aid offset by$4.4 M reduction in excess cost aid and $1.3 M in savings on growth cap and hold harmless).

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsHold Harmless and Growth Cap

1/29/2019 44

By using FY 16 as a base year, the hold harmless and growth cap are unfair to districts where FY 16 costs were unusually low, or that have large cost increases in later years that are beyond their control. In general, this is a bigger problem for smaller districts where special education costs are more variable from year to year than for larger districts.

Potential solutions include:

1. Eliminating (or increasing) the growth cap

• Based on the November 2018 forecast, eliminating the growth cap would cost $24.7 Million for the FY 20—FY 21 biennium.

2. Eliminating or phasing out the use of a base year and replacing the hold harmless and growth cap with a guarantee that the sum of the initial and excess cost aid (prior to tuition adjustments) will be at least a minimum percentage of current year costs, and no more than a maximum percentage of current year costs (e.g., 50% - 65%).

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsHold Harmless and Growth Cap

By using FY 16 as a base year, the hold harmless and growth cap are unfair to districts where FY 16costs were unusually low, or that have large cost increases in later years that are beyond theircontrol. In general, this is a bigger problem for smaller districts where special education costs aremore variable from year to year than for larger districts.

Potential solutions include:

1. Eliminating (or increasing) the growth cap

° Based on the November 2018 forecast, eliminatingthe growth cap would cost $24.7 Millionfor the FY 20—FY21 biennium.

2. Eliminating or phasing out the use of a base year and replacingthe hold harmless and growth cap with a guaranteethat the sum of the initial and excess cost aid (prior to tuition adjustments) will be at least a minimum percentage ofcurrent year costs, and no more than a maximum percentage of current year costs (e.g., 50% - 65%).

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsTuition Billing

1/29/2019 45

The resident district has little opportunity to control the cost of special education services provided to its students who open enroll out of the district, and the tuition bills are often higher than what the district’s unfunded costs would be had it served these students within the district.

• Under the new formula, the resident district is responsible for covering 90% of the unfunded special education costs for resident students open enrolling to another district or to most charter schools.

• The resident district is responsible for 100% of the unfunded special education cost for resident students open enrolling in a charter school where at least 70% of the enrolled students have an Individualized Education Program (IEP).

• This raises the question of whether 90% is the appropriate share of unfunded costs for the resident district to cover, and if the resident district share should be lower, and whether the difference should be picked up by the state or the servicing district or charter school.

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsTuition Billing

The resident district has little opportunity to control the cost of specialeducation services provided to its students who open enroll out of thedistrict, and the tuition bills are often higher than what the district’sunfunded costs would be had it served these students within the district.

° Under the new formula, the resident district is responsible for covering 90% of theunfunded special education costs for resident students open enrolling to anotherdistrict or to most charter schools.

° The resident district is responsible for 100% of the unfunded special education cost forresident students open enrolling in a charter school where at least 70% of the enrolledstudents have an Individualized Education Program (IEP).

° This raises the question of whether 90% is the appropriate share of unfunded costs forthe resident district to cover, and ifthe resident district share should be lower, andwhether the difference should be picked up by the state or the servicing district orcharter school.

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsComplexity and Lack of Predictability

1/29/2019 46

The new formula is complex, making it difficult for districts to budget accurately.

• Budgeting was especially difficult in FY 16 because it was the first year of a new formula and the base for the hold harmless and growth cap calculations had not yet been established.

• The uncertainty was at its greatest in the Monticello district, where the change to the new funding formula was combined with a change from a host district structure to a joint powers cooperative in the same year.

• While the formula remains complex for later years, funding is much more predictable for FY 17 and later:

• Initial and excess cost aid are calculated using prior year data, so actual aid can be calculated accurately as soon as prior year data for the district are cleaned up.

• The hold harmless and growth cap are based on final FY 16 data, adjusted for ADM change and inflation. Districts generally have a good handle ADM projections.

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsComplexity and Lack of Predictability

The new formula is complex, making it difficult for districts to budget accurately.

° Budgeting was especially difficult in FY 16 because it was the first year of a new formula andthe base for the hold harmless and growth cap calculations had not yet been established.

° The uncertaintywas at its greatest in the Monticello district, where the change to the new fundingformulawas combined with a change from a host district structure to a joint powers cooperative in the same year.

° While the formula remains complex for later years, funding is much more predictable for FY17 and later:

° Initial and excess cost aid are calculated using prior year data, so actual aid can be calculated accurately assoon as prior year data for the district are cleaned up.

° The hold harmless and growth cap are based on final FY 16 data, adjusted for ADM change and inflation.Districts generally have a good handle ADM projections.

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Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsComplexity and Lack of Predictability

1/29/2019 47

Use of prior year data for initial and excess cost aid calculations together with current year data for tuition billing has contributed to the lack of predictability.

• The resident district doesn’t have a good sense of how accurate the tuition billing estimates used for current aid payment are, since those are calculated by MDE based on estimates of current year data submitted by the serving district, charter school or cooperative.

• The serving district/charter school/cooperative has not always put a priority on accurate reporting of estimated current year costs, since the bulk of the aid is based on prior year data. As a result, estimated tuition bills used for current aid payments have often been inaccurate, and when actual data is reported, the final tuition bills swing wildly from the estimates, throwing the resident district’s budget out of balance.

Potential solutions include:

• Using current year data for the initial and excess cost aid calculations to simplify the formula and stabilize tuition billing by ensuring a stronger focus on accurate reporting of current year estimates during the school year; and,

• Better training of district and charter school staff who report the data to MDE.

Concerns/Issues with New Formula and Potential SolutionsComplexity and Lack of Predictability

Use of prior year data for initial and excess cost aid calculations together with current year datafor tuition billing has contributed to the lack of predictability.

° The resident district doesn’t have a good sense of how accurate the tuition billing estimates used for currentaid payment are, since those are calculated by MDE based on estimates of current year data submitted by theserving district, charter school or cooperative.

° The serving district/charter school/cooperative has not always put a priority on accurate reporting ofestimated current year costs, since the bulk of the aid is based on prior year data. As a result, estimatedtuition bills used for current aid payments have often been inaccurate, and when actual data is reported, thefinal tuition bills swing wildlyfrom the estimates, throwing the resident district’s budget out of balance.

Potential solutions include:

° Using current year data for the initial and excess cost aid calculationsto simplify the formula and stabilizetuition billing by ensuring a stronger focus on accurate reporting of current year estimates during the schoolyear; and,

° Better training of district and charter school staff who report the data to MDE.1/29/2019 47

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Thank you!

Tom Melcher Paul Ferrin

[email protected] [email protected]

651-582-8828 651-582-8864

1/29/2019 48

m‘ DEPARTMENTOF EDUCATION

Thankyou!

Tom Melcher Paul Ferrin

elcher . state.mn.us Paul.Ferrin . state. ‘

651-582-8828 51-582-8864 /\\

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