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South Public Transport Corridor
North Public Transport Corridor
2016
C3
2017
C8
Roll-Out of IRPTN
...
Existing Movement
RoadRail + Stations
2018
C1
2018
C2
RAIL2022
C7
C5
2025
C4
C8
2027
C6
ULT.
Aligning Budgets to Integration Zones
Zones:• Categorisation of spaces and formulation of
metropolitan integrated development programs for each type of space.
• Integrated programmes tailored to the different kinds of areas.
• 3 Zones proposed: – Dense Urban – Suburban– Non-Urban
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
Three Integration Zones
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
• Dense Urban contains around 50% of population, bulk of economic activity
• Needs to be densified
• Big investments in mixed use type development & support infra
• Place to rapidly grow economy & serve maximum number of people
Planning Projects
Status of Plans
ApprovedCurrent
• Well aligned with Dense Urban IZ
• Focused on ToD, densification etc
• Moving into implementation
• Integrating townships into the movement & economic system
• Revitalising township nodes & stimulating economic development
• Supporting transit-oriented development
Urban Network Strategy (NDPG) Precincts / Nodes /
Hubs
Urban Network Elements
NodesRailConnectorsSecondary Connectors
Activity Corridor
Town CentresIndustrial AreasTourism NodesTownship NodesRural Nodes
Economic Programmes incl NDPG
• Well aligned with Dense Urban IZ where bulk of spend is occuring but also serving other areas
• Range of intervention types
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
EconomicDurban Investment Dashboard
• Predominantly private sector development proposals
• Mostly within close proximity to N2 and N3
• eThekwini cannot afford to roll out new infra without carefully considering ROI and the efficient use of the infrastructure
• Need to resolve infra phasing plan
• Infra financing solutions required
• Developer contributions policy
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
HousingAll Current & Proposed Projects
Project Type
GreenfieldsIn-Situ UpgradeRural
• Bulk of informal settlements on edge of Dense Urban IZ- many of which to be formalised in-situ
• Most Greenfields sites also on edge of Dense Urban IZ. Northern projects well located to airport growth corridor
• Some well located greenfields- here densification is crucial
• Need for more densification projects in CBDs
•Critical that National brings in a densification subsidy & that we give more emphasis to social & rental housing
Housing Prioritisation Model: Proposed In Situ Upgrades & RuralOverlaid on Integration Zones
Housing Project Priority
LowestMiddleHighest
Integration ZonesDense UrbanSuburbanNon-Urban
Housing Project Priority
LowestMiddleHighest
Housing Prioritisation Model: Proposed GreenfieldsOverlaid on Integration Zones
Integration ZonesDense UrbanSuburbanNon-Urban
Housing Project Priority
LowestMiddleHighest
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
HousingIdentified Mega / Catalytic
Projects
• All very well located and show the direction in which Human Settlement projects need to move (i.e mixed use/income, higher density)
• Typologies and funding models become critical
• Institutional issues around higher density lower income housing (body corporates etc) critical
• Good partnerships with private sector
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
Economic, Housing Catalytic Projects & PT
In or Near Implementation
• Nice spatial proximity between Housing and Economic projects
• Well positioned to PT trunks
• Good mix of development types which means we have revenue-absorbing and revenue-generating elements in the same project- makes for financial viability.
•The integration/alignment of dept programs & projects is key & the proper scheduling of funds on the Capital Budget will allow integrated implementation
Social Node Hierarchy
• Nodes are modeled in best locations to afford highest accessibility to catchments
• High Order facilities (high thresholds) must be located in metro or sub-metro nodes. High foot traffic supports public transport and economic development
•Guide facilities into clusters to better serve residents
• Co-ordinate municipal, provincial & state budgets
• Deal with Backlogs & New Growth
• Operational pressures
Existing BacklogsFacility % Pop not
served within standards
CHC 82% Children’s Homes 72% Clinics 62% Grade R 59% Home Affairs Offices 56% Level 1 Hospitals 56% Homes for the Aged 43% Service Centers and Clusters 43% Secondary schools 35% Libraries 30% Labour Offices 21% Grades 1 to 7 Primary schools 20% Courts 17% Fire Stations 13% Social Dev. Offices 12% Pay Points 10% Sizakala Centres 7% Sportfields 1% Parks ? SAPS Stations & Contact Points ?
Higher Order Backlogs
Higher Order Backlogs – North
CBD
Higher Order Backlogs – South
CBD
Project examples
The BEPP promotes integrated planning, budgeting & implementation
Project examples that reflect integrated planning, budgeting and implementation
- Mnini MPCC- Mpumalanga- Cornubia- Etc
Benefits:- Residents receive a better product- We look better in eyes of the public/electorate- Savings are achieved through higher utilisation levels- The private sector invests (increasing employment creation as well as
rates revenue- which allows us to fund our social programme)
MNINI THUSONG CENTRE
• Craft & Trader Stalls
• LED Support Centre
• Community Hall
• Government Offices
Sizakhala centre, home affairs,
pension pay out, social welfare,
SAPS, Post Office, labour, shared
office space for: DED, DOT
Transport, SEDA
Wastewater Masterplan 2012/13Ultimate Wastewater Treatment Systems with Integration Zones
showing Current Spare Treatment Capacity (Ml/day) in each System
Integration ZonesDense UrbanSuburbanNon-Urban
Ecodev Projects: LayoutsPriority Economic Developments
1. DTP & Surrounds North
Watershed
Ecodev Projects: OutcomesPriority Economic Developments
1. DTP & Surrounds North(Trade Zone 2, Inyaninga Phase 1, Inyaninga Phase 2, uShukela)
New Economic Development: 248ha
Amounts per Year (Rm)
14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19
Anticipated Spend on Infrastructure:All Agencies 1.7 52.2 168.4 247.9 46.8
Anticipated Spend on Infrastructure:eThekwini Only 0.0 44.5 116.4 193.3 46.8
Currently on eThekwini MTEF 0.2 50.0 0.0 20.0 0.0
Gap on MTEF -0.2 -5.5 116.4 173.3 46.8
Flags: Compensation Land / Effluent Discharge Licence
Ecodev Projects: Outcomes5 Priority Economic Developments
Development Summary
Developable
Area (ha)
Cost of Bulks (Rm)
Bulks Cost (Rm) / ha
Anticipated Rates (Rm) /
Annum
eThekwini Shortfall on
15/16, 16/17
DTP North 248 557 2.2 730 111
DTP South 180 406# 2.3 310 74.0
Cornubia 132 862 6.5* 460 100
Hammarsdale 159 421** 2.6 190 82
367# Excludes secondary road network (ETA to develop framework).* Also provides services for 3 500 dwelling units.** Includes R140m WWTW expansion to service wider catchment.
R1.3bn anticipated rates return per year is fully realised over 20 years.Annual rates increase @ R68m per
year (for 40ha development)
Priority Economic DevelopmentsLikely “40ha per Year” Scenario with Rates Return
Cumulative Rates if Ring-fenced
Based on anticipated rates return per year of R68mill, we have R340mill pa capital to pay for infrastructure
Straw Dog: Roll-Out of Developments based on 40 ha per year(20ha Industrial / 20ha Commercial)
2015 2020 2025 2030
Dube Trade Zone Precinct
Hammarsdale – Old Industrial
Hammarsdale – Keystone
Inyaninga Phase 1
Cottonlands / Action Group
Cornubia Business Hub
N2 Business Estate
Cornubia Town Center
Marshall Dam Mixed Use
uShukela
Inyaninga Phase 2
DTP Support Zone 2
Industrial Projects
Commercial Projects
Priority Economic Developments: Likely “40ha per Year” Scenario Gap Analysis
Synopsis of Catalytic Projects
Big Bang, One-Offs, Big Impact at Sub-Metropolitan, Metropolitan, City-Region, Provincial, National or Continental Scales
Mega-scaleorStimulate a chain of new projectsorBe in highly strategic places
Should be on PT corridors or national trade routes
Land Uses – Economic, Mixed or Social Uses
Catalytic Projects by Project Cycle
Implementation
Preparation
Note
Implementation needs a different level of effort, intervention, and management structure from Preparation
Catalytic Projects in, near Implementation
31
105 Bn Private Investments 35 Bn Public140 Bn Total Investments 3 Bn Rates p.a.
205,000 Permanent Jobs 55,000 Homes, half via subisidies 9.50 Million sqm Lettable Floor
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
Summary # 1 Catalytic Projects in, near Implementation
32
ProjectLettable
Floor SpaceRes Units Proj Val
Private as %
DTP 3,715,714 0 31.82 93%Point Infill, Waterfront & Cruise Terminal 750,000 0 15.50 97%Greater Cornubia 1,626,429 40,000 37.63 62%Keystone Commercial 504,529 0 4.39 92%Centrum Site & Municipal Complex 750,000 6,000 19.80 67%Inyaninga 2,116,626 8,000 20.73 94%C3 TBD TBD 7.00 TBD
C2 TBD TBD 2.00 TBD
Warwick Redevelopment TBD TBD 0.50 TBD
Back of Port TBD TBD 6.94 TBD
King Edward Node 0.00 652.00 0.49 50%Subtotal 9,463,297 54,652 146.80 78%
Summary # 2 Catalytic Projects in, near Implementation
33
Project Proj ValPublic Fund
ShortfallRates Perma Jobs
DTP 31.82 2.10 1.29 120,980Point Infill, Waterfront & Cruise Terminal 15.50 0.50 0.61 7,500Greater Cornubia 37.63 8.92 0.73 48,389Keystone Commercial 4.39 0.35 0.10 14,415Centrum Site & Municipal Complex 19.80 1.50 0.29 14,286Inyaninga 20.73 TBD 0.37 60,475C3 7.00 7.00 TBD TBD
C2 2.00 2.00 TBD TBD
Warwick Redevelopment 0.50 0.25 TBD TBD
Back of Port 6.94 TBD TBD TBD
King Edward Node 0.49 0.24 TBD TBD
Subtotal 146.80 22.86 3.39 266,045
Budget alignment with Catalytic Projects
Table 2a: Catalytic Projects "In or Near Implementation" 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Back of Port 1.0 1.0 5.0
Bridge City Intermodal 157.0 143.0 41.0
Rail Corridor C2 - Bridge City to Umlazi 10.0 10.0 0.0
Road Corridor C3 - Bridge City to Pinetown 447.5 401.3 436.9
Centrum 33.6 95.0 280.1
DTP & Surrounds 52.0 75.7 78.1
Greater Cornubia 409.3 298.0 327.0
Keystone 3.5 27.6 98.5
Point 3.6 0.7 1.0
Warwick 17.3 16.8 20.0
King Edward Node 0.0 0.0 0.0
Table 3Northern Aqueduct 90.0 90.0 91.4Western Aqueduct 355.4 300.0 228.5
Catalytic Projects in Preparation
35
10 Bn Private Investments10 Bn Private Investments18 Bn Public18 Bn Public28 Bn Total Investments28 Bn Total Investments
36,000 Homes, 36,000 Homes, mostly thru subisidiesmostly thru subisidies1.07 Million sqm 1.07 Million sqm Lettable Floor SpaceLettable Floor Space
Integration Zones
Dense UrbanSuburbanNon Urban
What have we achieved on the BEPP?
• Set up Municipal Spatial Integration Forum• Emergence of a single narrative• Alignment of sectoral plans although lots of historical commitments etc• Agreement on Integration Zones • Agreement on Catalytic Projects that are ‘game changers’ as they are financially
sustainable • Dedicated resources for Catalytic Projects• Partnerships emerging with the private sector• Catalytic Projects introduced as a separate line item in Capital Budget • Spatial budgeting being introduced• Support at top management level & agreement that the BEPP be institutionalised in
the CMs Office (under CSO)• ICDG Planning projects will produce a pipeline of ‘good’ capital projects• ICDG KPIs taking shape- the right mix of rationalised strategic KPIs• More partners coming on board:realise the BEPP is a good vision
Challenges – Uncertain IGR Budgets
JOINT IGR PLANNING & BUDGETING IS NOT YET WELL ESTABLISHED
Affects Core Infrastructure such as Interchanges, Bridges, National and Provincial Roads within the Metro
Critically Affects Economic Projects
Significantly Affects Sustainable Human Settlements for the whole range of Social Facilities
Challenges – Key Environmental Approvals
WATER USE LICENCES & CONVERSION FROM AGRIC
• Additional capacity needed in Treatment Works in order for development applications to be approved. Water Use Licences take too long to be issued by DWS- 300 days
• Coastal Discharge permits from DEA create further delays.
• New requirements of hydrological studies for WULAs and Dispersion studies for discharge permits are further complicating matters
• River Classification that doesn’t factor in the Cost of Infrastructure required to maintain River Classes is a real risk to eThekwini as Classes will be gazetted. Letter to DG.
• The conversion of agricultural land to other uses, mostly the case when it comes to development, is tightly controlled by Act 70 of 1970
BEPP 2015/16 - Review of built environment strategy
Key shifts:- eThekwini needs to further improve the integration of the grants & their integrated
spatial impact to achieve BEPP & SDF outcomes
- eThekwini needs more emphasis given to spatial budgeting of its overall Capital Budget
- Need to reflect Catalytic Project as dedicated items on our Capital Budget.
- Support from DWS on fast tracking WULAs especially for catalytic projects
- Agreement from DWS re: proposed process prior to gazetting of river classes
- Support for densification & informal settlement upgrading from DoHS. We havent solved the dilemma of how to fund pro-poor multi-storey hsg.
- Support from provincial DoT for road improvements on provincial network
- Support from national & provincial social facility depts for implementing the outcomes of the DPSA study
- Although have good partnerships on specific projects (eg THD, Toyota etc) we need to expand these to grow eThekwini
Questions