South Africa’s Climate Change

Near-term Priority Flagship Programmes

Human Settlements Round Table On For Innovation And Transformative

Technologies

The Canvas Riversands – Fourways

29 May 2019

South Africa’s 3rd

National Communication• 1931-2015: South Africa has warmed by 2°C/

century or even higher for some parts of the

country since 1931

• 2016-2035: Warming is projected to range

between 0.5 to 1°C at most locations

• 2040-2060: The western to central interior

regions are projected to warm by 2 - 3 °C

• 2080-2099: Temperature increases of more

than 4°C are likely over the entire interior

3

A Sobering Reality for South Africa

• The Climate Change Flagship Programmes of the National Climate Change Response Policy are South Africa’s response to implementing climate action at a national scale

• The Climate Change Flagship programmes are implementation programmes, and represent the leading climate action committed to or already underway

• The programmes provide a coordination and consolidating mechanism the implementation of projects or groups of projects to national-scale implementation

Transitioning to a Low carbon and

Climate Resilient Economy and Society

To champion implementation of climate action beyond pilot initiatives

Accelerated implementation of high impact, large-scale catalytic climate action

Climate Change Flagship Programmes Goals

• South Africa has a well-developed base to effect climate change mitigation and adaptation

• The Climate Change Flagship Programmes respond to the three key challenges facing

South Africa and other countries as global efforts to address climate change intensify:

Demonstrating the course of actions needed to respond to climate change

Attracting resources at the scale required to enable meaningful transformation

Igniting national-scale action at the speed required to respond to climate change

Climate Change Flagship Programmes and

South Africa’s Climate Change Response

South Africa’s NDC

National GCF Country Programme

CLIMATE CHANGE

FLAGSHIP PROGRAMMES

South Africa’s GCF Country

Programme and Investment

Framework

South Africa’s Portfolio of

Nationally Appropriate

Mitigation Actions (NAMAs)

South Africa’s Nationally

Determined Contribution

South Africa’s NAMA Portfolio

Climate Change Flagship Programmes

Milestones

Operationalisation of the National Climate Change Response Policy

Deepening Impact of Climate Change Flagship Programmes

Expanding Existing Climate Flagship Programmes

Building New Climate Change Flagship Programmes

Catalysing Economy-wide Investment and Articulating the Investment Case for Large-Scale Climate Action

2011 2013 2015 2017

Phases 2 and 3 Phase 4Phase 1

2019

Scaling-up Pathways for Climate Change

Flagship Programmes

Continued implementation of existing successful policies and measures

Policy alignment and integration intervention

Consolidation of existing climate-relevant

programmes

Improving the operational effiiciency and impact of exisitng policies and measures

Scaled up rollout of existing successful

policies and measures

Demonstration scale programmes to full-scale

measures

Determining the requirements for

upscaling and development of scaling

plans

Packaging of measures into investment grade

programmes

Implementation of proven “no regrets" policies and

measures in the immediate and near term

Pilot scale to demonstration and full-scale implementation

Defining and assessing scalability of existing and

new measures

Building programmes by grouping, harmonising and

related measures

Climate Change Flagship Programmes to 2030

Agriculture, Food Systems and Food Security

Energy Efficiency and Energy Demand

Management

Carbon Capture and Storage

Land, Oceans, Biodiversity and Ecosystems

Low Carbon, Climate Resilient Built

Environment, Communities and Human Settlements

Low Carbon, Climate Resilient Transport

Systems

Renewable Energy Waste Management Water Conservation and

Water Demand Management

Deepening the Impact of Existing Flagship

Programmes

• Energy Efficiency in Public Infrastructure and Buildings

• Diversion Of Municipal Solid Waste From Landfill

• Tsamaya Sustainable Urban Transport NAMA

• Rainwater Harvesting Strategy Development

Expanding Existing Flagship Programmes

• Small-scale Embedded Energy Generation:

• Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies:

• Wastewater Biogas Generation For Electricity

Building New Flagship Programmes

• Green Utilities Management for Building Sector Buildings

• Smart Homes Campaign –Residential Green Buildings:

• Development of a Green Rating tool for Existing Residential Buildings

• Agriculture, Food Systems and Food Security

Climate Change Flagship Programmes to

2030

Beneficiaries of Climate Change Flagship

Programmes Pipeline Development

Sector Role in Programme Implementation

• National,

provincial and

local government

• Coordinate programme development

• Anchor supply chains and stimulate demand at scale

• Incentivise the supply of required services to meet demand for

low carbon/climate resilience

• Private sector

• Civil society

• Partner in programme conceptualization and implementation

• Beneficiaries as providers of relevant services

• Anchor supply chains and stimulate demand at scale

Enable Lead

South Africa’s NDC Programming through

Climate Change Flagship Programmes

Identify and Document Opportunity

Accelerate Readiness (prefeasibility level

readiness)

Demonstrate scale (market size, climate

impact)

Attract Investment for Implemenation

Deliver and Operationalise Programme

Implementation

Achieve Scale (Continuous Delivery of

Relevant Projects)

Institutionalise Programme Development and Implementation Readiness

Achieve Transformation towards a Low Carbon Resilient Economy and Society

Low

High

Full Investment

Proposal &

Business Plan

Prefeasibility

Report

Concept Note

Full Feasibility Report

Scoping Report

3

4

5

6

1 Commissioning and Full-scale Deployment

2Refining & Detailing

Implementation/ Delivery

Models

Assessing viable project

ideas for preferred

options

Project Criteria: Flagship

Programme Fit & Climate

change Impact

Market

Refine optional operation scenario

Select preferred options

Define project potential

Generate project ideas

Imp

lem

enta

tio

n R

ead

ines

s

Climate Change Flagship Programmes: Pipeline

and Investment/ Implementation Readiness

6 Y

ears

+

The SMARTHOME Campaign

• Market factors, competitive landscape, regulations and best practice were explored.

• Identified the perceived barriers and drivers of a rating tool in the South African

market and how the former can be mitigated and the latter developed.

• 4 target audiences identified and the communication is structured to foreground the

unique benefit in terms of living in the certified SMARTHOME for each.

Emerging Urban Renter (22-34)

Emerging Aspirant Home Buyers (29-40 Years)

Existing Home Owner (34+)

Pioneering Estate Agent & Principals (24 - 34)

The SMARTHOME Campaign Positioning

1 Do not talk or focus on “green” conscience.

2 Make benefits tangible & functional.[‘Save your pocket &

save the planet.’]

3 Simplify edge understanding focusing on water & energy

consumption & measurability

4 Emphasise relationship between individual behaviour

change + technology

5 Focus communication in digital & social media realms,

and enable 3rd party advocacy through experiences.

6 Concept of ‘smart’ - resonates with target group as a

technology that has function and emotional benefits.

Climate Change Implementation Partners

Reitumetse Molotsoane

Department of Environmental Affairs

Directorate: Climate Change Mitigation Response Analysis

rmolotsoane@environment.gov.za