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DR. NOR AZAH SAMAT DR. NOR AZAH SAMAT Department of Mathematics Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris

SMS6014 Chapter 1 Introduction to Probability and Statistics

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  • DR. NOR AZAH SAMATDepartment of MathematicsUniversiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris

  • Representation of the Sample Space

    Example 1.1: Draw the Venn and Tree diagrams for the experiment of tossing a coin twice.

    Venn DiagramTree Diagram

  • Example 1.2:

  • Probability of an event-given an experiment and sample space S, the objective of probability is to assign to each event A a number P(A), called the probability of the event A, which will give a precise measure of the chance that A will occur.

    -Probability: is a numerical measure of a likelihood that a specific event will occur.

    Basic properties of probability

    1)For any event A, .

    .

    If is a finite or infinite sequence of mutually exclusive events of S, then

  • Example 1.3:

    An experiment has four possible outcomes: A, B, C, D, that are mutually exclusive. Explain why the following assignments of probabilities are not permissable.

    P(A)=0.23, P(B)=0.46, P(C)=0.35, P(D)=0.10

    P(A)=2/11, P(B)=6/11, P(C)=3/11, P(D)=1/11

  • Probabilities of individual outcomes

    If A is an event in a discrete sample space S, then P(A) equals the sum of the probabilities of the individual outcomes comprising A.

    Example 1.4If we flip a coin twice, what is the probability of getting at most one head?

  • If an experiment can result in any one of N different equally likely outcomes, and if n of these outcomes together constitute event A, then the probability of event A:

  • Example 1.5: Find the probability of obtaining an even number in one roll of a die.

    Solution:

  • Exercises 1.1:

    (1)

    (2)

    (3)

  • Example 1.6:

  • Example 1.7:

  • Example 1.8:

  • Example 1.9:

  • Example 1.10:

  • Example 1.11:

  • Exercises 1.2:

    (1)

    (2)

    (3)

  • Exercises 1.2 (continue):

    (4)

  • Example 1.12:

  • Example 1.13:

  • Example 4.15:

  • Example 4.16:

  • Exercises 1.3:

    (1)

    (2)

  • Exercises 1.3 (continue):

    (3)

    *