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8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
1/53
S TAT E O F S M A L L B U S I N E S S R E P O R T
F A L L 2 0 11
By Dr. John K. Paglia
Denney Academic Chair and Associate Professor of Finance
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
2/53
Certifcate in Financial Management or te Famil Ofce, Marc 19-21, 201
Managing and Building Wealth Through Eective Financial Management, Oversight, andMaking Inormed Investment Decisions
Gain evaluation skills necessary to oversee and manage the fnancial and budgetary aspects as you lea
to make inormed and suitable investment decisions.
Certifcate in Private Capital Markets, April 18-20, 2012
Building Wealth by Making Better Investment and Financial Decisions
Developed by Dr. John Paglia in association with his ground-breaking research in the Pepperdine
Private Capitals Market Project, this program provides the in-depth critical analysis and evaluation skills
necessary or success within the private capital markets.
Online Executive Certifcate in Financial Planning
An independent, sel-study, online education program designed to ulfll the education
requirement to sit or the CFP Certifcation Examination.
Certifcate in Innovative Leadersip wit Dr. Larr Cox, Spring 2012
Creating the Future o Organizations through Leading with Creativity and Innovation
A highly experiential, hands-on workshop dedicated to creating leaders who consistently and systematical
produce innovative solutions to the challenges acing businesses today. The certifcate is ideal or
business leaders and executives seeking to become Intrapreneurs.
For more inormation, visit: ttp://bscool.pepperdine.edu/programs/executive-education
or contact Racel Williams at [email protected]
Master te leader in ou.
In addition to our nationally-ranked business degree programs, Pepperdines GraziadSchool o Business and Management oers a growing selection o executive workshops an
non-degree certiicate programs so you can master the leader in you.
OUR EXECUTIVE EDUCATION AND CERTIFICATE PROGRAMS
CERTIFYYOUR SUCCESS.
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |1
TABLEOFCONTENTS
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT.............................................................................................3
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS......................................................................................................................................3
FOREWORD.......................................................................................................................................................5
STATEOFSMALLBUSINESS................................................................................................................................7
ProfileofRespondents..........................................................................................................................7
NationalSurveyFindings......................................................................................................................13
StatebyStateSurveyFindings.............................................................................................................42
ABOUTTHEAUTHOR.........................................................................................................................................44
INDEXOFTABLES..............................................................................................................................................46
INDEXOFFIGURES............................................................................................................................................46
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
4/53Master te leader in ou.
EARN A CERTIFICATE
IN PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS
Designed or business owners and proessionals employed within the fnance,
banking, investment, mergers and acquisitions, valuation, management
consulting, legal, and accounting felds
Learn in-depth critical analysis and evaluation skills necessary or successully
operating a business within the private capital markets
Overview o Private Capital Markets Theory and Sources o Capital
The Role o Intermediaries
Angel Investments, Venture Capital, and other Early Stage
Financing Sources
Senior Debt, Cash Flow Based, Asset Based Lending and Factoring
Mezzanine and Private Equity Capital
Determining the Cost o Capital Using The Pepperdine Private Cost o
Capital Model
CPA, MCLE, CFP Continuing Education Credit Available
REGISTER: bschool.pepperdine.edu/cipcm
Building wealt b making better investment and fnancing decisions.
PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITy
GRAzIADIO SChOOL
OF BUSINESS
AND MANAGEMENT
6100 Center Drive
Los Angeles, CA 90045
For more inormation, visit:
ttp://bscool.pepperdine.edu/ci
or contact Rachel Williams at
NOVEMBER 14-16, 2011
and
APRIL 18-20, 2012
The Certifcate in Private Capital Markets (CIPCM) is a 3-day curriculum-based training program developed by Dr. John Paglia in association with
his ground-breaking research, Pepperdine Private Capital Market Project.
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |3
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT
SeniorResearcherJOHNPAGLIA,PhD,MBA,CPA,CFA
ResearchSupportIRINASHAYKHUTDINOVA,MBA
ExecutiveOfficerMICHAELSIMS
AdvisortoProjectRACHELWILLIAMS
PublicRelationsF.DOUGLASSGORE
KPPUBLICAFFAIRS
DesignR&RPARTNERS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ThisresearchwasmadepossiblebythegenerousfundingfromtheDenneyEndowedProfessorship.
PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITY
DeanLindaA.Livingstone,PhD
AssociateDean
David
M.
Smith,
PhD
MarkW.S.Chun,PhD,Director,CenterforAppliedResearch
DianneKing
MichaelStamper
DarleneKiloglu
RogerLotho
JuanMena
JingZhang
DorisJones
DUN&BRADSTREETCREDIBILITYCORP.
JeffreyStibel,ChairandChiefExecutiveOfficer
AaronStibel,SeniorVicePresident,Technology
JudyHackett
ErikSimon
BrendaJames
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |4
SURVEYDESIGN,DISTRIBUTION,ANDOTHERSUPPORT
RobertT.Slee
MichaelMcGregor
TimRhine
BarryD.Yelton
EverettWalker
SamirDesai
RichardJ.Crosby
LeonardLanzi
GrayDeFevere
JanHanssen
RobertZielinski
KevinD.Cantrell
ScottJones
Deidre
A.
Brennan
EricNath
GuntherHofmann
MichaelPainter
JamesA.Nelson,MD
JohnDavis
LarryGilson
AndrewSpringer
JeriHarmon
LetitiaGreen
GloriaGuenther
StevenBrandt
DatT.Do
AndyWilson
YingpingHuang
JasonBaum
JasonKumpf
HalSpice
JanePak
RalphAdams
EricWilliams
DanDeeney
JohnGraham
JeffNagleGregHowath
NevenaOrbach
JohnDmohowski
BradTriebsch
GaryW.Clark
M.ToddStemler
PatrickGeorge
SeanSamet
MarkWalker
KellySzejko
KevinHalpin
AndreSuskavcevic
ChrisM.Miller
BrianCove
JeffThomas
JohnLonergan
RobBrougham
BrettPalmer
GaryLaBranche
JamieSchneier
TroyFukumoto
DennisGano
LinhXavierVuong
ChrisdeVries
TuckerHerring
MichaelNall
SimonJames,PhD
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |5
FOREWORD
Too Small To Borrow
ByJOHNPAGLIA
October 3, 2011 marked the three year anniversary of President George W. Bush signing into law the
TroubledAssetReliefProgram(TARP)whichauthorizedtheU.S.Governmenttopurchaseassetsandequityfrom
financial institutions to strengthen the financial sector. In addition to stabilizing the market and protecting
taxpayers,theprogramalsoaimedtoencourage lendingtoresumetolevelsbeforethefinancialcrisis.Whilethe
programhasbeenhelpfulovertheshortterm inhelpingfinancialinstitutions,themajorcriticismofgovernment
stimulusefforts
is
that
they
have
done
little
to
make
credit
available
especially
for
small
businesses.
SincethepassageofTARPadditionalstepshavebeentakentohelpsmallbusinesses.PresidentObama
highlightedtheimportanceofsmallbusinessesintheUnitedStateswhenhesignedtheSmallBusinessJobsActin
September 2010; Now this is important because small businesses produce most of the new jobs in this
country. Theyare theanchorsofour Main Streets. Theyarepart of thepromise ofAmerica the idea that if
youvegotadreamandyourewillingtoworkhard,youcansucceed. Thatswhatleadsaworkertoleaveajobto
becomeherownboss. Thatswhatpropelsabasement inventortosellanewproductoranamateurchefto
openarestaurant. Itsthispromisethathasdrawnmillionstoourshoresandmadeoureconomytheenvyofthe
world.
ThePresidentspointsarespoton,yetthesmallbusinesseconomycontinuestosputter.Smallbusinesses
are not only the anchor on Main Street, but they are also the anchor of our economy. According to the Small
Business Administration, small businesses represent 99.7% of all employer firms and employ more than half of
privatesectoremployeesintheUS.Theyalsoserveasthemajorjobcreationforceinournation.Infact,overthe
past15yearssmallbusinesseshavegenerated64percentofthenetnewjobgrowth.IntermsofGrossDomestic
Product,smallbusinessescreatemorethanhalfofthenationsnonfarmGDP.
ThePepperdinePrivateCapitalMarketsProjectStateofSmallBusinessReportgivescapitalprovidersand
policymakersauniquelookathowsmallbusinessesarefaring. Acomprehensivesolutiontooureconomiccrisis
mustincludeinputfromsmallbusinessesaswellasmembersoftheprivatecapitalcommunity.
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |6
Keyfindingsfromthereportinclude:
1. Overallbusinessconditionsaredecliningandnotexpectedtoimprove:TheFall2010reportindicated
thatnearly42%ofprivatelyheldbusinessesownersreportedthateconomicconditionsimprovedoverthe
previoussixmonths.WhilethatnumberincreasedintheSpring2011reportto51%,theFall2011report
hasshown
astrong
drop
off
of
in
the
number
of
businesses
only
19%
of
respondents
who
say
businessconditionsimprovedovertheprevioussixmonths.Lookingahead,just29%expectan
improvementinbusinessconditionsoverthenexttwelvemonthsversus25%whoexpectacontinued
deterioration.
2. Thereisanaspirationtohire:TheFall2011surveyofmorethan10,600smallbusinessesnationwide
indicatedthat44%ofrespondentsplantohireinthenextsixmonths. Ofthosethatdoplantohire,sales
andmarketingskillsareingreatestdemand(47.8%)followedbyskilledlabor(41.6%)and
service/customerservice(38.8%).
3. Economicuncertaintybiggestimpedimenttogrowth:Nearly38%ofrespondentsbelievethateconomic
uncertaintyisthelargestinhibitortogrowth.26%ofrespondentssaidaccesstocapitaland25%saidthat
governmentregulationsandtaxesarethenumberoneissuefacingsmallbusinesses.
4. Improvingaccess
to
capital
will
help
create
jobs:
Companies
with
less
than
$5
million
in
revenue
were
clearinthePepperdinestudythatofthosepoliciesmostlikelytoleadtojobcreationin2012,increased
accesstocapitalwasnumberone(36.0%)followedbytaxincentives(22.5%),andregulatoryreform
(17.8%). 47.2%ofrespondentssaidaccesstobankloansdeclinedfromsixmonthsagoversus10.3%who
sayitincreased.
5. Businessesthatarelookingtohirebelievetrainingisneeded:Oftheprivatelyheldbusinessesthatare
lookingtohire,48%indicatethatsalesandmarketingskillsaretheirprimaryfocuswhile42%of
respondentsarelookingforskilledlabor82%ofrespondentsbelievethattheywillneedtotrainthose
theyhire.
ThecurrentpolicyresponsetotheGreatRecessionandtumultuousglobaleconomyisvitallyimportanttothe
successof
small
businesses
and
our
nation.
Through
the
Pepperdine
Private
Capital
Markets
Project
State
of
Small
BusinessReportwegainedimportantinsightthatwillfacilitateimprovedcommunicationbetweensmallbusiness
owners,capitalprovidersandpolicymakers.Wehopethatthisinformationwillunderscoretheimportanceof
privatelyheldbusinessesinAmericaseconomyandwillhelpguidefutureeconomicpolicy.
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |7
STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSOfthe10,637privatelyheldbusinessesthatrespondedtothesurvey,24%hadbusinessesthatinvolvedcustomergoods
andservices,21%wereinthemanufacturing,constructionandengineeringindustry,and17%wereinwholesaleand
distribution.Approximately62%ofbusinesseshaveannualrevenueslessthan$1million.Nearly91%ofbusinessowners
reporthavingtheenthusiasmtoexecutegrowthstrategies,yetjust49%reporthavingthenecessaryfinancialresources
tosuccessfullyexecutegrowthstrategies.Otherfindingsinclude:
Nearly35%ofrespondentstriedtoraiseoutsidefundinginthelast12months.Oftherespondentswhowereseeking
financinginthelast12months,approximately54%anticipatedtoraiselessthan$100,000incapital.Approximately53%
ofrespondentsreportedthattheywereseekingbankloansorcreditcardfinancingasasourceoffunding,followedby
friendsandfamily(16%).Ofallfinancingoptions,bankloansemergedasthefinancingsourcewithhighestwillingness
forsmallbusinesstouse(72%),followedbyangelfinancing(35%)andassetbasedlending(33%).However,resultsalso
showedthatof2,595smallbusinessesthatsoughtbankloansoverthepast12months,just50%weresuccessful.Survey
resultsindicatedthatbusinessownerswhoraisedcapitalonaveragecontactedtwobanksandinvestedclosetoseven
fulldaysfortheprocesstosuccessfullyobtainfinancing.
Nearlyhalfofsmallbusinesses(44%)areplanningtohireadditionalworkers.Approximately60%ofrespondents
indicatedtheAmericanJobsActwillnotchangetheirhiringplansforthenext12months.Accordingtorespondents
employertaxcreditsandpayrolltaxcutsarethemostlikelyprovisionsoftheAmericanJobsacttohaveinfluenceon
plansto
hire
in
the
next
twelve
months.
Nearly
38%
of
respondents
believe
economic
uncertainty
is
the
number
one
issuesmallbusinessesfacetoday,followedbyaccesstocapital(26%),andgovernmentregulationsandtaxes(25%).
Accordingtosmallbusinesses,ofthosepoliciesmostlikelytoleadtojobcreationin2012,increasedaccesstocapital
emergedasnumberone(34%)followedbytaxincentives(24%),andregulatoryreform(19%).Thestudyshowedthatof
thosethatdoplantohire,salesandmarketingskillsareingreatestdemand(48%)followedbyskilledlabor(42%)and
service/customerservice(38%).Also,82%ofcompaniesplanningtohireindicatetheydneedtotrainthosetheyhire.
Only19%ofrespondentsbelievethatgeneralbusinessconditionsimprovedinthelastsixmonthscomparedto51%
surveyedinFebruary/March2011.
ProfileofRespondents
Theprivatelyheldbusinesssurveyresultsweregeneratedfrom10,637participants.Thelocationsofbusinessesare
distributedoverallregionsoftheUnitedStates.
Figure 1. Respondents Distribution by State
less than or equal to 50
51 - 100
101 - 200
201 - 300
301 - 400
401 - 500
501 - 1000
more than 1000
CA
OR
WA
MTND MN
ID
WY
SD
NV
UT
AZ
CO
NM
TX
NE
KS
OK AR
LA
MS AL
FL
GA
TNSC
NC
VAWV
KYMO
IL
IA
WIMI
INOH
MD
PANJ
NY
ME
NHVT
MA
RI
CT
HI
AK
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
10/53
Businesses
constructio
Approxima
Approxima
8
9
PEPPER
2011|
involvedinco
nandenginee
tely29%ofbu
tely68%ofthe
1
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16%
3%
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9%8%
2%1% 0
INEPRIVATEC
EPPERDINEUNIV
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inesshaveless
respondentsa
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PITALMARKET
ERSITYGRAZIADI
ndservicesac
Figure 2. D
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Figure 3. N
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Figure 4.
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ountedfor24
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TEOFSMALLB
INESSANDMANA
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ployees
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8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
11/53
Approxima
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Approxima
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Approxima
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8%
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PEPPER
2011|
tely62%ofres
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tely47%ofres
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INEPRIVATEC
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Fig
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PITALMARKET
ERSITYGRAZIADI
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etincomeless
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urrentlynotfin
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USINESSREPOR
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$5milli
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$0 $1
$500,0
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TFALL2011
tsReserved. |9
23%reporting
enegativenet
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0,000
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lion $50milli
than$100mi
00,000
00 $1million
ion $10milli
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8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
12/53
Approxima
financingf
0%10%20%30%40%
50%60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0%
10%20%30%40%50%60%
PEPPER
2011|P
tely51%ofpri
llowedby23
Figure 8.
Figure 9.
Figure 10.
1%
23%
3% 42%
8%
36%
INEPRIVATEC
EPPERDINEUNIVE
atelyheldbus
ofbusinesses
Current So
Current Sou
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PITALMARKET
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inesseswithan
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rces of Fina
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PROJECT|ST
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nualrevenues
reditcardfina
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TFALL2011
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illion
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8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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0%
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2011|P
Figure 11.
Figure 12.
Figure 13.
5%
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52%
36%
Bank
loan
No
financi
55%
30
INEPRIVATEC
EPPERDINEUNIVE
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urrent Sou
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8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
14/53
Theaverag
0%10%20%
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PEPPER
2011|P
igure 14. C
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INEPRIVATEC
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rivateequity
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ic Revenues
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e Size Grea
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over the la
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TFALL2011
sReserved. |12
0 Million
0 Million
% 7%
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Other
2%5% 6
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
15/53
Theaverag
National
Approxima
Amongthe
successful,
0%
5%
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20%
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20%
40%
60%
80%
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PEPPER
2011|P
eexpectedcha
Figure
SurveyFintely
35%
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INEPRIVATEC
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igure 19. Ca
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ptedto
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Attem
PROJECT|ST
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rganic Rev
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Contacted
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enues in the
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In
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USINESSREPOR
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Next 12 Mo
12 months
bankloanand
nd79%ofthe
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6%
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crease
Yes
No
2%
30%
TFALL2011
sReserved. |13
nths
50%were
weresuccess
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Figure
Econ
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5. The Num
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conomicunce
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y Revenue
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izes
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|STATEOFSMALLBUSINESSREPORTFALL2011
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved. |40
Mostofrespondentsindicatedslightlyincreasedunitsales,decreasedaccesstocapital,decreasedappetiteforrisk,and
worsenedgeneralbusinessconditions.
Table 1. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today Versus Six Months Ago
CharacteristicsDecreased
significantlyDecreased
slightly
Stayedabout
thesame
Increasedslightly
Increasedsignificantly
%increase
%decrease
Netincrease/decrease
Unit sales13% 16% 26% 28% 16% 44% 29% 15%
Prices of labor andmaterials 1% 4% 31% 43% 21% 64% 4% 60%
Net income13% 22% 27% 28% 10% 38% 35% 3%
Inventory levels8% 20% 50% 17% 5% 22% 27% -5%
Capital expenditures12% 12% 45% 22% 9% 31% 24% 7%
Opportunities for growth11% 16% 28% 30% 15% 45% 27% 18%
Access to bank loans28% 16% 44% 10% 3% 12% 44% -31%
Access to equity capital29% 17% 45% 7% 2% 10% 46% -36%
Prices of your productsor services 3% 11% 46% 34% 6% 40% 14% 27%
Time to collectreceivables 3% 7% 50% 27% 13% 40% 10% 30%
Number of employees5% 12% 60% 21% 3% 24% 16% 8%
Competition2% 12% 52% 23% 11% 34% 14% 20%
General businessconditions 14% 28% 39% 16% 3% 19% 43% -24%
Appetite for risk12% 20% 45% 18% 5% 23% 33% -10%
Probability of businessclosure 15% 16% 48% 14% 7% 21% 31% -9%
Time worrying abouteconomy 4% 6% 32% 26% 31% 57% 11% 46%
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Participantsofthesurveybelievealmostallgeneralbusinesscharacteristicswillincreaseslightlyinthenext12months.
However,mostoftherespondentsexpectdecreasesinaccesstocapital.
Table 2. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations Over the Next 12 Months
CharacteristicsDecreased
significantlyDecreased
slightly
Stayedabout
thesame
Increasedslightly
Increasedsignificantly
%increase
% decreaseNet
increase/decrease
Unit sales3% 7% 23% 45% 21% 66% 10% 56%
Prices of labor andmaterials 1% 2% 32% 54% 11% 65% 3% 62%
Net income4% 11% 24% 44% 17% 61% 15% 46%
Inventory levels3% 11% 53% 25% 7% 33% 14% 18%
Capital expenditures 6% 9% 45% 31% 9% 39% 15% 24%
Opportunities for growth5% 10% 27% 39% 20% 59% 14% 45%
Access to bank loans13% 10% 52% 20% 5% 25% 23% 2%
Access to equity capital13% 11% 53% 17% 6% 23% 24% -1%
Prices of your productsor services 1% 5% 44% 44% 5% 49% 7% 42%
Time to collectreceivables 2% 7% 63% 22% 7% 28% 9% 20%
Number of employees2% 4% 49% 39% 6% 45% 6% 39%
Competition1% 8% 58% 25% 8% 32% 10% 22%
General businessconditions 7% 19% 45% 25% 4% 29% 25% 4%
Appetite for risk8% 13% 52% 22% 6% 28% 21% 7%
Probability of businessclosure 15% 17% 53% 9% 5% 15% 32% -18%
Time worrying abouteconomy 6% 11% 47% 20% 16% 37% 17% 20%
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StatebyStateSurveyFindings
Amongthestateswith100ormorerespondentsthestateofWisconsinhasthehighestrevenuegrowthinthelast12
months(4.35%),whereasthestateofAlabamahasthehighestnegativechangetorevenues(11.31%).Thestateof
Kansashasthehighestrevenuegrowthexpectationforthenext12months(12.33%),whereasthestateofAlabamahas
theleastrevenuegrowthexpectation(2.65%).ThestateofLouisianahasthehighest bankloansuccessrate(75%),
whereasNevadahasthelowestrateofonly27%.53%ofrespondentsfromUtahareplanningtohireadditionalworkers
inthe
next
six
months,
whereas
only
35%
of
respondents
from
South
Carolina
are
expecting
to
expand
amount
of
employeesinthenextsixmonths.
Table3.StatesRankedbyRevenueGrowthfor12MonthsEndedSept.16,2011
StateRevenue growth for
the year endedSept. 16, 2011
Revenue growthexpectation for the
next 12 monthsBank-loan success Plan to hire
Rate Rank Rate Rank Rate Rank Rate Rank
Wisconsin 4.35% 1 7.23% 22 70% 2 43% 19
Ohio 3.02% 2 7.38% 20 54% 10 52% 2
Kansas 2.16% 3 12.33% 1 66% 3 41% 22
Oregon 1.47% 4 8.75% 7 44% 22 36% 28
Massachusetts 1.24% 5 6.50% 27 54% 11 45% 11
Indiana 1.02% 6 6.48% 28 60% 5 46% 7
Minnesota 0.90% 7 7.95% 11 47% 19 42% 20
Washington 0.73% 8 7.78% 14 38% 26 45% 13
Michigan 0.71% 9 6.58% 26 63% 4 43% 17
Louisiana 0.43% 10 6.87% 24 75% 1 41% 23
Missouri 0.20% 11 11.68% 2 58% 7 37% 27
Virginia 0.09% 12 7.76% 15 48% 17 49% 3
Texas -0.99% 13 7.93% 12 52% 13 48% 5
California -1.01% 14 6.69% 25 41% 23 45% 12
Pennsylvania -1.04% 15 7.44% 19 56% 9 39% 25
North Carolina -1.37% 16 8.54% 9 39% 25 39% 24
New York -1.60% 17 9.18% 5 47% 20 48% 4
Colorado -1.72% 18 7.11% 23 48% 18 45% 8
Illinois -1.94% 19 7.34% 21 58% 8 43% 18
Florida -3.06% 20 7.80% 13 44% 21 43% 16
Tennessee -3.29% 21 7.53% 18 58% 6 45% 10
Utah -3.56% 22 9.23% 4 36% 28 53% 1
Arizona -3.92% 23 8.68% 8 37% 27 45% 9
New Jersey -4.25% 24 10.33% 3 51% 14 42% 21
Maryland -4.43% 25 8.14% 10 53% 12 43% 15
Georgia -4.70% 26 7.63% 17 40% 24 46% 6
South Carolina -5.68% 27 9.15% 6 48% 15 35% 29
Nevada -6.06% 28 7.72% 16 27% 29 45% 14
Alabama -11.31% 29 2.65% 29 48% 15 39% 26
Average -1.5% 7.9% 50.3% 43.5%
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Amongthestateswithfewerthan100ofrespondentsthestateofNorthDakotahasthehighestrevenuegrowthinthe
last12months(11.79%),whereasthestateofMontanahasthehighestnegativechangetorevenues(8.58%).The
commonwealthofPuertoRicohasthehighestrevenuegrowthexpectationforthenext12months(15.50%),whereas
thestateofWyominghastheleastrevenuegrowthexpectationforthenext12months(2.48%).ThestatesofMaineand
SouthDakotahavethehighest bankloansuccessrates(90%),whereasDistrictofColumbiahasthelowestrateofonly
22%.Approximately62%ofrespondentsfromPuertoRicoareplanningtohireadditionalworkersinthenextsixmonths,
whereasonly8%ofrespondentsfromWyomingareexpectingtoexpandamountofemployeesinthenextsixmonths.Table4.RevenueGrowthChangeandExpectation,LoanSuccessRates,andHiringPercentagesbyStates
withFewerThan100ResponsesState
Revenue growthfor the year ended
Sept. 16, 2011
Revenue growthexpectation for the
next 12 months
Bank-loansuccess
Plan to hire
Alaska -3.98% 6.93% 67% 21%
Arkansas 8.11% 8.54% 56% 45%
Connecticut 1.51% 11.10% 52% 42%Delaware -6.28% 9.24% 88% 45%
District of Columbia -2.55% 12.91% 22% 49%
Hawaii -4.27% 5.57% 40% 43%
Idaho -2.38% 4.68% 38% 48%
Iowa 2.20% 6.66% 79% 40%
Kentucky 1.38% 13.05% 71% 44%
Maine -2.72% 2.87% 90% 38%
Mississippi -8.52% 10.43% 50% 32%
Montana -8.58% 7.89% 65% 33%
Nebraska -6.27% 3.21% 70% 44%
New Hampshire 6.28% 14.95% 55% 38%
New Mexico -5.98% 6.10% 45% 45%
North Dakota 11.79% 5.79% 60% 50%
Oklahoma 3.30% 4.78% 62% 54%
Puerto Rico -7.91% 15.50% 50% 62%
Rhode Island -0.18% 13.60% 50% 24%
South Dakota -3.25% 9.29% 90% 37%
Vermont 8.33% 11.19% 75% 53%
West Virginia -5.96% 4.09% 50% 50%
Wyoming -2.46% 2.48% 75% 8%
Average -1.23% 8.30% 60.89% 41.03%
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ABOUTTHEAUTHOR
JohnPaglia,PhD,MBA,CPA,CFA
AssociateProfessorofFinanceandSeniorResearcher
PepperdinePrivateCapitalMarkets
Dr.Paglia,aformerJulianVirtueandDenneyProfessorshiprecipient,isanassociateprofessoroffinanceat
PepperdineUniversityanddirectsthePepperdinePrivateCapitalMarketsProject.Hehasover10yearsof
universityteachingexperienceinfinance,performsbusinessvaluationsforprivatelyheldcompanies,andhas
testifiedasanexpertoneconomicdamageandvaluationmatters.
HisworkonthePepperdinePrivateCapitalMarketsProjectthefirstsimultaneous,comprehensive,andon
goinginvestigationofthemajorprivatecapitalmarketsegmentshasresultedinover20,000report
downloadsinmorethan60countriesandhasearnedhimthe2011GeorgeAward,whichisgiventotheone
facultymemberannuallywhobestleveragesthebusinesscommunitytomakeadifferenceintheclassroom.
HisresearchhasappearedintheWallStreetJournal,CNBC,USAToday,andtheNewYorkTimes,beenpublishedinanumberofjournalsandbeenpresentedatdomesticandinternationalconferences.Dr.Paglia
holdsaPhDinfinance,anMBA,aBSinfinance,andisaCertifiedPublicAccountant(CPA)andChartered
FinancialAnalyst(CFA)Charterholder.
Contact:
ABOUTPEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYS
GRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT
Foundedonthecorevaluesofintegrity,stewardship,courage,andcompassion,PepperdineUniversitys
GraziadioSchoolofBusinessandManagementhasbeendevelopingvaluescenteredleadersandadvancing
responsiblebusinesspracticesince1969.Studentfocused,experiencedriven,andgloballyoriented,the
GraziadioSchooloffersfullyaccreditedMBA,masterofscience,andbachelorscompletionbusinessprograms.
Moreinformationfoundat:bschool.pepperdine.edu/newsroom
8/3/2019 Small Business PPCMP Business Fall 101111 01
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ExpEriEncE LEarning at
C-LeveL
Graziadio School of Business and Management
Master the Leader in You bschool.pepperdine.edu/c-level
thee ExcLusivE lb oe of he wol
mo befl loo whee ome of he o
be lee ome oehe o le.
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How o tHink b he oe who foe
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tHE prEsidEnts and kEy ExEcutivEs MBa
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INDEXOFTABLES
Table1.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayVersusSixMonthsAgo.40
Table2.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsOvertheNext12Months..41
Table3.StatesRankedbyRevenueGrowthfor12MonthsEndedSept.16,201142
Table4. RevenueGrowthChangeandExpectation,LoanSuccessRates,andHiringPercentagesbyStateswith
Fewerthan100Responses..43
INDEXOFFIGURES
Figure1.RespondentsDistributionbyState................................................................................................................7
Figure2.DescriptionofEntity......................................................................................................................................8
Figure3.NumberofEmployees....................................................................................................................................8
Figure4.OwnershipRole..............................................................................................................................................8
Figure5.AnnualRevenues...........................................................................................................................................9
Figure6.NetIncome.....................................................................................................................................................9
Figure7.
Current
Sources
of
Financing
.........................................................................................................................
9
Figure8.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSizeLessThan$1Million.............................................................10
Figure9.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSize$1Million $5Million...........................................................10
Figure10.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSize$5Million $10Million.......................................................10
Figure11.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSize$10Million $25Million.....................................................11
Figure12.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSize$25Million $50Million.....................................................11
Figure13.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSize$50Million $100Million...................................................11
Figure14.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSize$100Million $500Million.................................................12
Figure15.CurrentSourcesofFinancing,RevenueSizeGreaterThan$500Million.......