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High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn

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Page 1: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

High SchoolAP StatsSki lii

Hayward CornmunitySchool District715-634-2619

#HurricaneStrongMade with PasterMyWall corn

Page 2: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review
Page 3: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

AP Statistics Exam Review Course

eek 1 Checklist

Unit 1: One Variable DataD Watch and take notes on Video 1.1 Types of DisplaysD Watch and take notes on Video 1 .2 Describing a DistributionD Complete 2015 Free Response Question #1 and score using videoD Complete Unit 1 Practice Multiple Choice

Complete and score Unit 1 Practice Free Response Question

Unit 2: Two Variable DataD Watch and take notes on Video 2.1 Describing a RelationshipD Watch and take notes on Video 2.2 Predictions and ResidualsE1 Complete 2017 Free Response Question #1 and score using videoD Complete Unit 2 Practice Multiple ChoiceEl Complete and score Unit 2 Practice Free Response Question

Unit 3: Sampling and ExperimentsEl Watch and take notes on Video 3.1 Sampling Methods and IssuesEl Watch and take notes on Video 3.2 Experimental DesignEl Complete 2016 Free Response Question #3 and score using videoEl Complete Unit 3 Practice Multiple ChoiceEl Complete and score Unit 3 Practice Free Response Question

Week 1 Track Your Progress

Practice Multiple Choice Score Practice Free Response Question Score

Unit 1 (out of 10) Unit 1 (out of 4)

Unit 2 (out of 10) Unit 2 (out of 4)

Unit 3 (out of 10) Unit 3 (out of 4)

4. STATS MEDIC

Page 4: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

L••-

— .

Week 2 Checklist

Unit 4: Probability

D Watch and take notes on Video 4.1 General Probability

D Watch and take notes on Video 4.2 Binomial Distributions

E1 Watch and take notes on Video 4.3 Transforming and Combining Random Variables

D Watch and take notes on Video 4.4 Normal Distribution Calculations

D Watch and take notes on Video 4.5 Geometric Distributions

D Complete 2017 Free Response Question #3 and score using video

D Complete Unit 4 Practice Multiple Choice

D Complete and score Unit 4 Practice Free Response Question

Unit 5: Sampling Distributions

U Watch and take notes on Video 5.1 Introduction to Sampling Distributions

U Watch and take notes on Video 5.2 Sampling Distributions for One Population

U Watch and take notes on Video 5.3 Sampling Distributions for Two Populations

U Complete 2010 Free Response Question #2 and score using video

U Complete Unit 5 Practice Multiple Choice

U Complete and score Unit 5 Practice Free Response Question

Unit 6: Confidence Intervals

U Watch and take notes on Video 6.1 One Sample Confidence Intervals

U Watch and take notes on Video 6.2 Two Sample Confidence Intervals

U Complete 2017 Free Response Question #2 and score using video

U Complete Unit 6 Practice Multiple Choice

U Complete and score Unit 6 Practice Free Response Question

Week 2 Track Your Progress

Practice Multiple Choice Score Practice Free Response Question Score

Unit 4 (out of 20) Unit 4 (out of 4)

Unit 5 (out of 10) Unit 5 (out of 4)

Unit 6(out of 20) Unitó(out of 4)

.+ STATS MEDIC

Page 5: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

j..

...................—.........

Week 3 Checklist

6nit 7: Significance TestsD Watch and take notes on Video 7.1 One Sample Significance TestsEJ Watch and take notes on Video 7.2 Two Sample Significance TestE Watch and take notes on Video 7.3 Difference of Means or Mean of Differences?D Watch and take notes on Video 7.4 Chi-square Tests

Watch and take notes on Video 7.5 Inference for Linear RegressionD Watch and take notes on Video 7.6 Type I and Type II Errors + PowerE1 Complete 2015 Free Response Question #4 and score using videoE Complete 2017 Free Response Question #5 and score using videoEJ Complete Unit 7 Practice Multiple ChoiceE Complete and score Unit 7 Practice Free Response Question

Getting Ready for the AP Exam!E Watch and take notes on Video: Name That Significance TestU Watch and take notes on Video: Using Your Calculator on the AP Stats ExamU Watch and take notes on Video: Know Your AP Stats Formula SheetU Watch and take notes on Video: How to CRUSH the AP Stats Free ResponseU Watch and take notes on Video: How to Survive the Investigative TaskU Watch and take notes on Video: Top 10 AP Stats Exam Tips

Full Length Practice ExamU Complete the Practice Exam Multiple Choice QuestionsU Complete the Practice Exam Free Response QuestionsU Grade the Practice Exam

Week 3 Track Your Progress

Practice Multiple Choice Score Practice Free Response Question Score

LUnit 7 (out of 20) Unit 7 (out of 4)

.1. STATS MEDIC

Page 6: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Practice Exam

Section I Multiple Choice

Number correct(out of 40)

x 1.2500=Section I Score

Section II Free Response

Question 1

Question 2

Question 3

Question 4

Question 5

Question 6

(out of 4)

(outof4)

(outof4)

(out of 4)

(outof4)

(outof4)

xl.8750 =

_________

xl.8750 =

________

xl.8750 =

_________

xl.8750 =

_________

xl.8750 =

________

x3.1250

_________

Sum =

Section H Score

.

Section I Score+

Section II Score Composite Score

4’ STATS MEDIC

.

Composite Score

Composite Score AP Score]

70—100 5

57—69 4

44—56 3

33—43 2

0—32 1

Page 7: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Stats Medic AP Stats Exam Review — Videos and Practice Problems

Unit 1: One Variable Data1 .1 Types of Displays Unit 1 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (10)

1 .2 Describing a Distribution Unit 1 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

Unit 1 AP Free Response (2015 #1)

Unit 2: Two Variable Data2.1 Describing a Relationship Unit 2 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (10)

2.2 Predictions and Residuals Unit 2 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

Unit 2 AP Free Response (2017 #1)

Unit 3: Sampling and Experiments3.1 Sampling Methods and Issues Unit 3 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (10)

3.2 Experimental Design Unit 3 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

Unit 3 AP Free Response (2016 #3)

Unit 4: Probability4.1 General Probability Unit 4 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (20)

4.2 Binomial Distributions Unit 4 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

4.3 Transforming and Combining Random Variables Unit 4 AP Free Response (2017 #3)

4.4 Normal Distribution Calculations

4.5 Geometric Distributions

Unit 5: Sampling Distributions5.1 Introduction to Sampling Distributions Unit 5 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (10)

5.2 Sampling Distributions for One Population Unit 5 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

5.3 Sampling Distributions for Two Populations Unit 5 AP Free Response (2010 #2)

Unit 6: Confidence Intervals6.1 One Sample Confidence Intervals Unit 6 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (20)

6.2 Two Sample Confidence Intervals Unit 6 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

Unit 6 AP Free Response (2017 #2)

Unit 7: Significance Tests7.1 One Sample Significance Tests Unit 7 Stats Medic Practice Multiple Choice (20)7.2 Two Sample Significance Tests Unit 7 Stats Medic Practice Free Response

7.3 Difference of Means OR Mean of Differences? Unit 7 AP Free Response (2015 #4)

7.4 Chi-square Tests Unit 7 AP Free Response (201 7 #5)

7.5 Inference for Linear Regression

7.6 Type 1 and Type 2 Errors + Power

+ STATS MEDIC

Page 8: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Getting Ready for the AP Exam! .

4’ STATS MEDIC

Name That Significance Test Stats Medic Full Length Practice Exam

Using Your Calculator on the AP Stats Exam Multiple Choice (40)

Know Your AP Stats Formula Sheet Free Response (6)

How to CRUSH the AP Stats Free Response

How to Survive the Investigative Task

Top 10 AP Stats Exam Tips

Page 9: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

.1.

Stat

sM

edic

AP

Exam

Rev

iew

Cou

rse

—D

iagn

ostic

Tes

t

1.A

coll

ege

prof

esso

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nduc

ted

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rvey

inor

der

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sess

how

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hm

oney

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ing

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ors

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ater

ial

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pare

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all

othe

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ajor

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odo

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cted

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ple

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ents

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ach

stud

ent

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ano

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hey

wer

eth

enas

ked

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hth

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eria

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atof

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imum

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eate

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em

edia

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)T

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ater

ials

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dle

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ter

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abili

tyof

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dle

50%

for

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nurs

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ors.

(D)

The

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ian

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urse

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eria

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over

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mor

eth

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edia

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ater

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(E)

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alth

at17

stud

ents

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ing

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ors

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17st

uden

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2.In

orde

rto

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cted

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ese

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citie

s.

iJb

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itts

burg

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030

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500

600

700

800

900

1000

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100

200

300

400

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600

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800

900

1000

Hom

eP

rice

(in

thou

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sam

ple

are

with

in$1

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40of

the

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,000

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ast

$100

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ety

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Page 10: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

3.T

hese

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ente

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80%

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%

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(A)

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e

$500

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hase

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set

affe

ctth

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lue

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eth

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ners

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ting

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ld,

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epr

ice

drop

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real

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cts

50ho

mes

that

are

curr

entl

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sted

for

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als

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asso

ciat

ion

betw

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x=

the

num

ber

ofda

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me

ison

the

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ket

andy

the

curr

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ngpr

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($)

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Page 11: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

0...

7.C

erta

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rm

anuf

actu

rers

inst

all

aga

uge

that

tells

the

driv

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wm

any

mile

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eyca

ndr

ive

until

they

will

run

Out

of

gas.

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udy

was

conduct

edto

test

the

accu

racy

ofth

ese

gaug

es.

Eac

hdr

iver

was

assi

gned

ace

rtai

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uge

read

ing

until

empt

yto

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chfo

r.W

hen

thei

rca

ran

noun

ced

itha

dth

atm

any

mile

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mai

ning

until

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y,th

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reth

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dist

ance

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eled

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fter

they

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s,th

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port

edth

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ceth

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ive

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iles)

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ge

read

ing

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wer

eas

sign

ed(in

mile

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pute

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auge

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ere

gres

sion

line

used

for

pred

icti

ngth

eac

tual

dist

ance

that

can

bedr

iven

base

don

the

gaug

ere

adin

g.

(A)

Slop

e=

1.18

89.

The

pred

icte

ddi

stan

ceth

edr

iver

sw

ere

able

todr

ive

incr

ease

sby

1.18

89m

iles

for

each

addi

tion

alm

ilere

port

edby

the

gaug

e.(B

)S

lope

=0.

0457

.T

hepr

edic

ted

dist

ance

the

driv

ers

wer

eab

leto

driv

ein

crea

ses

by0.

0457

mile

sfo

rea

chad

diti

onal

mile

repo

rted

byth

ega

uge.

(C)

Slo

pe=

—0.

7928

.T

hepr

edic

ted

dist

ance

the

driv

ers

wer

eab

leto

driv

ed

ecre

ases

by0.

7928

mile

sfo

rea

chad

diti

onal

mile

repo

rted

byth

ega

uge.

(D)

Slo

pe=

1.18

89.

For

each

addi

tion

alm

ilere

port

edby

the

gaug

e,th

edr

iver

sw

ere

able

todr

ive

anad

diti

onal

1.18

89m

iles.

(E)

Slo

pe=

0.04

57.

For

each

addi

tion

alm

ilere

port

edby

the

gaug

e,th

edr

iver

sw

ere

able

todr

ive

anad

diti

onal

0.04

57m

iles.

8.A

wel

l-ba

lanc

edst

ock

mar

ket

port

folio

will

oft

enex

peri

ence

anex

pone

ntia

lgr

owth

.A

part

icul

arin

vest

orw

itha

wel

l-ba

lanc

edst

ock

mar

ket

port

foli

ore

cord

sth

epo

rtfo

lio

bala

nce

ever

ym

onth

,in

thou

sand

sof

doll

ars,

from

the

dat

eof

inve

stm

ent.

The

roug

hly

expo

nent

ial

grow

thca

nbe

tran

sfor

med

toa

line

arm

odel

bypl

otti

ngth

ena

tura

llo

gof

the

bala

nces

vers

usti

me,

inm

onth

s,w

here

t=

0re

pres

ents

the

date

the

mon

eyw

asin

vest

ed.

The

linea

rre

gres

sion

equa

tion

for

the

tran

sfor

med

data

is

In(b

alan

ce)=

5.55

0+

0.05

2t.

Usi

ngth

iseq

uati

on,

wha

tis

the

pred

icte

dba

lanc

eof

the

port

foli

oaf

ter

2ye

ars

(24

mon

ths)

?

(A)

$5,6

54

(B)

$6,7

98

(C)

$285

431

(D)

S89

6053

(E)

$948

,464

9.A

tC

entr

alH

igh

Sch

ool,

28%

ofth

est

uden

tsar

eF

resh

men

,26

%ar

eS

opho

mor

es,

24%

are

Juni

ors,

and

22%

are

Sen

iors

.T

hest

ud

ent

man

ager

ofth

esc

hool

new

spap

erw

ould

like

toco

nduc

ta

surv

eyto

esti

mat

eth

epr

opor

tion

ofea

chcl

ass

that

plan

sto

atte

nd

the

upco

min

gF

ootb

all

gam

e.S

hesu

gges

tssu

rvey

ing

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

0st

uden

ts,

but

spec

ific

ally

byse

lect

ing

rand

omsa

mpl

esof

28F

resh

men

,26

Sop

hom

ores

,24

Juni

ors,

and

22S

enio

rs.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

atr

uest

atem

ent

abo

ut

this

sam

plin

gpr

oced

ure?

(A)

Thi

sis

asi

mpl

era

ndom

sam

ple

beca

use

stud

ents

ofev

ery

clas

sha

vean

equa

lch

ance

of

bein

gse

lect

ed.

(B)

Thi

sis

acl

uste

rra

ndom

sam

ple

beca

use

ther

ear

e4

grou

psof

stud

ents

that

are

tobe

sele

cted

.

(C)

Thi

sis

aco

nven

ienc

esa

mpl

ebe

caus

eon

ly10

0st

uden

tsar

esu

rvey

ed,

whi

chis

am

anag

eabl

esi

ze.

(D)

Thi

sis

ast

rati

fied

rand

omsa

mpl

ebe

caus

ea

sep

arat

era

ndom

sam

ple

isse

lect

edfr

om

each

clas

s.

(E)

Thi

sis

asy

stem

atic

rand

omsa

mpl

ebe

caus

eea

chcl

ass

mak

esup

appr

oxim

atel

yon

e-

four

thof

the

stu

den

tbo

dy.

P 0.80

60

0.00

00

—0.

2469

26.0

310

R-S

q(ad

j)=

0.93

12

+ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 12: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

10.A

stud

yis

cond

ucte

dto

inve

stig

ate

whe

ther

cust

omer

sati

sfac

tion

isg

reat

eram

ong

com

pute

r

com

pani

esth

atof

fer

tech

supp

ort

vers

usth

ose

that

dono

tof

fer

tech

supp

ort.

Ara

ndom

sam

ple

of50

cust

omer

sar

ese

lect

edfr

omam

ong

thos

eth

atpu

rcha

sed

com

pute

rsth

atof

fer

tech

supp

ort.

Ase

par

ate

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

40cu

stom

ers

are

sele

cted

from

amon

gth

ose

that

purc

hase

dco

mpu

ters

that

dono

tof

fer

tech

supp

ort.

The

stud

yfo

und

that

the

mea

nsa

tisf

acti

onra

ting

was

sign

ific

antly

grea

ter

amon

gcu

stom

ers

that

purc

hase

dco

mpu

ters

that

offe

rte

chsu

ppor

t.

Whi

chof

the

follo

win

gis

the

best

desc

ript

ion

ofth

isst

udy?

(A)

An

expe

rim

ent

usin

ga

com

plet

ely

rand

omiz

edde

sign

.

(B)

An

expe

rim

ent

usin

ga

rand

omiz

edbl

ock

desi

gn.

(C)

An

expe

rim

ent

usin

ga

mat

ched

pair

sde

sign

.

(D)

An

obse

rvat

iona

lst

udy

usin

ga

sim

ple

rand

omsa

mpl

e.

(E)

An

obse

rvat

iona

lst

udy

usin

ga

stra

tifi

edsa

mpl

e.

11T

oddl

ers

tend

toha

vean

abun

danc

eof

ener

gy.

To

put

that

ener

gyto

go

od

use

afi

tnes

s

inst

ruct

orcr

eate

sa

Tod

dler

Fit

ness

clas

s,In

this

clas

sth

epa

rtic

ipan

tsha

veto

doev

eryt

hing

the

fitn

ess

inst

ruct

or’s

ener

geti

cto

ddle

rd

aug

hte

rdo

es.

To

com

pare

the

num

ber

ofca

lori

esbu

rned

inT

oddl

erF

itne

ssve

rsus

the

stan

dard

fitn

ess

clas

s

40vo

lunt

eers

are

recr

uite

d.T

hevo

lunt

eers

are

assi

gned

atra

ndom

topa

rtic

ipat

ein

Tod

dler

Fit

ness

orth

est

anda

rdfi

tnes

scl

ass.

Eac

hpa

rtic

ipan

tw

ears

aca

lori

eco

unti

ngfi

tnes

sw

atch

.

At

the

end

ofth

ecl

ass

the

calo

ries

burn

edby

each

part

icip

ant

isre

cord

edan

dth

eav

erag

e

num

ber

ofca

lori

esbu

rned

isca

lcul

ated

for

each

clas

s.

Aft

erth

ecl

asse

sen

ded

,th

ein

stru

ctor

lear

ned

that

the

mea

nnu

mbe

rof

calo

ries

burn

edby

the

part

icip

ants

inT

oddl

erF

itne

ssw

assi

gnif

ican

tlygr

eate

rth

anth

em

ean

num

ber

ofca

lori

es

burn

edby

the

part

icip

ants

inth

est

anda

rdfi

tnes

scl

ass.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

the

mos

tap

prop

riat

eco

nclu

sion

?

(A)

The

reis

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atT

oddl

erF

itne

ssca

used

the

part

icip

ants

tobu

rnm

ore

calo

ries

than

the

stan

dard

fitn

ess

clas

s,an

dth

eco

nclu

sion

can

bege

nera

lize

dto

all

adul

ts

that

wor

kout

.

(B)

The

reis

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atT

oddl

erF

itne

ssca

used

the

part

icip

ants

tobu

rnm

ore

calo

ries

than

the

stan

dard

fitn

ess

clas

s,an

dth

eco

nclu

sion

can

bege

nera

lize

dto

all

stud

ents

ofth

isfi

tnes

sin

stru

ctor

,

(C)

The

reis

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atT

oddl

erF

itne

ssca

used

the

part

icip

ants

tobu

rnm

ore

calo

ries

than

the

stan

dard

fitn

ess

clas

s,an

dth

eco

nclu

sion

cann

otbe

gene

rali

zed

beyo

nd

thos

ein

the

stud

y.

(D)

Cau

se-a

nd-e

ffec

tca

nnot

bees

tabl

ishe

d,bu

tth

ere

isan

asso

ciat

ion

betw

een

the

type

of

exer

cise

clas

sta

ken

and

the

num

ber

ofca

lori

esbu

rned

inth

epo

pula

tion

ofal

lad

ults

that

wor

kout

.

(E)

Cau

se-a

nd-e

ffec

tca

nnot

bees

tabl

ishe

d,bu

tth

ere

isan

asso

ciat

ion

betw

een

the

type

of

exer

cise

clas

sta

ken

and

the

num

ber

ofca

lori

esbu

rned

inth

epo

pula

tion

ofal

lst

uden

tsof

this

fitn

ess

inst

ruct

or.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

..

‘4”ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

Page 13: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

...........,..

.

12.I

nor

der

toes

timat

eth

epr

opor

tion

ofst

uden

tsth

atte

xtw

hile

driv

ing,

asc

hool

adm

inis

trat

orse

lect

sa

sim

ple

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

stud

ents

from

alis

tof

all

stud

ents

atth

esc

hool

who

have

park

ing

perm

its.

The

stud

ents

are

call

edto

the

offi

ce,

one

ata

tim

e.T

head

min

istr

ator

asks

each

stud

ent,

“Do

you

text

whi

ledr

ivin

g,ev

enth

ough

you

are

not

supp

osed

to?”

Bas

edon

the

surv

ey,

the

adm

inis

trat

ores

tim

ates

that

only

2%of

stud

ents

with

park

ing

pass

este

xtw

hile

driv

ing.

Wha

tpo

tent

ial

bias

ispr

esen

tin

the

desi

gnof

this

surv

eyan

dw

hat

isth

elik

ely

dire

ctio

nof

the

bias

?

(A)

The

sam

ple

prop

orti

onis

likel

yan

unde

rest

imat

eof

the

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

due

tore

spon

sebi

as.

(B)

The

sam

ple

prop

orti

onis

likel

yan

unde

rest

imat

eof

the

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

due

toun

derc

over

age.

(C)

The

sam

ple

prop

orti

onis

likel

yan

unde

rest

imat

eof

the

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

due

tono

nres

pons

e.

(D)T

hesa

mpl

epr

opor

tion

islik

ely

anov

eres

tim

ate

ofth

epo

pula

tion

prop

orti

ondu

eto

resp

onse

bias

.

(E)

The

sam

ple

prop

orti

onis

likel

yan

over

esti

mat

eof

the

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

due

toun

derc

over

age.

13.T

hegu

idan

ceco

unse

lor

ofa

larg

ehi

ghsc

hool

repo

rts

that

48.5

%of

Juni

orPr

e-C

alcu

lus

stud

ents

sign

edup

tota

keA

PSt

atis

tics

next

year

,52

.5%

sign

edup

tota

keA

PC

alcu

lus

next

year

and

10%

ofJu

nior

Pre-

Cal

culu

sst

uden

tssi

gned

upto

take

both

AP

Stat

istic

san

dA

PC

alcu

lus

next

year

.If

one

Juni

orPr

e-C

alcu

lus

stud

ent

isse

lect

edat

rand

om,

wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

they

did

not

sign

upto

take

AP

Stat

istic

sor

AP

Cal

culu

sne

xtye

ar?

(A)

0.09

(B)0

.11

(C)0

.19

(D)

0.91

(F)

Not

enou

ghin

form

atio

nis

give

nto

dete

rmin

eth

epr

obab

ility

.

14.A

non

line

clot

hing

com

pany

deci

des

toin

vest

igat

ew

heth

erof

feri

ngth

eir

cust

omer

sa

coup

onup

onco

mpl

etio

nof

thei

rfi

rst

purc

hase

will

enco

urag

eth

emto

mak

ea

seco

ndpu

rcha

se.

To

doso

,th

eco

mpa

nypr

ogra

ms

the

web

site

tora

ndom

lyse

lect

100

firs

ttim

ecu

stom

ers.

Sixt

y

ofth

ese

cust

omer

sar

era

ndom

lyse

lect

edto

rece

ive

aco

upon

for

$5of

fth

eir

next

purc

hase

,

tobe

mad

ein

the

next

30da

ys.

The

othe

r40

cust

omer

sar

eno

tof

fere

da

coup

on.

The

tabl

ebe

low

show

sth

enu

mbe

rof

cust

omer

sin

each

grou

pth

atm

ade

ase

cond

purc

hase

with

in30

days

ofth

eir

firs

tpu

rcha

se.

Sent

aco

upon

afte

rth

efi

rst

purc

hase

?

[:1IIIIIIII1

..

ta

Mad

ea

seco

ndIF

1:34

1650

purc

has

:wh

n

Iiir1

2624

50

ITot

a160

4010

0

Bas

edup

onth

eta

ble,

is“y

es,

mad

ea

seco

ndpu

rcha

se”

inde

pend

ent

of“y

es,

bein

gse

nta

coup

on”?

(A)

Yes

,ex

actly

half

ofth

ecu

stom

ers

mad

ea

seco

ndpu

rcha

sean

dha

lfdi

dno

t.

(B)

Yes

,th

ela

rges

tco

unt

inth

eta

ble

com

esfr

omth

ose

who

wer

ese

nta

coup

onan

dm

ade

ase

cond

purc

hase

with

in30

days

.

(C)

No,

the

prob

abil

ity

ofm

akin

ga

seco

ndpu

rcha

seis

not

equa

lto

the

prob

abil

ity

ofm

akin

g

ase

cond

purc

hase

give

nth

ata

coup

onw

asse

nt.

(D)

No,

the

prob

abil

ity

ofm

akin

ga

seco

ndpu

rcha

seis

the

sam

ew

heth

eror

not

aco

upon

was

sent

.

(E)

Itis

impo

ssib

leto

draw

aco

nclu

sion

abou

tin

depe

nden

cebe

caus

ea

coup

onw

asno

tse

nt

toex

actly

half

ofth

ecu

stom

ers.

15.A

sth

esa

ying

goes

,“Y

ouca

n’t

plea

seev

eryo

ne.”

Stu

dies

have

show

nth

atin

ala

rge

popu

lati

onap

prox

imat

ely

4.5%

ofth

epo

pula

tion

will

bedi

sple

ased

,re

gard

less

ofth

e

situ

atio

n.If

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of25

peop

lear

ese

lect

edfr

omsu

cha

popu

lati

on,

wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

atle

ast

two

will

bedi

sple

ased

?

(A)

0.04

5(B

)0.

311

(C)

0.37

3

(D)

0.62

7

(F)

0.68

8

+ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 14: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

16. M

any

urba

nzo

osar

elo

okin

gat

way

sto

effe

ctiv

ely

hand

lean

imal

was

te.

One

zoo

has

inst

alle

d

afa

cilit

yth

atw

illtr

ansf

orm

anim

alw

aste

into

elec

tric

ity.

To

esti

mat

eho

wm

any

poun

dsof

was

teth

eym

ayha

veto

fuel

the

new

faci

lity

they

bega

nke

epin

gm

etic

ulou

sre

cord

s.T

hey

disc

over

edth

atth

eam

ount

ofan

imal

was

teth

eyw

ere

disp

osin

gof

daily

isap

prox

imat

ely

Nor

mal

with

am

ean

of34

8.5

poun

dsan

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

38.2

poun

ds.

Am

ount

sov

er

350

poun

dsw

ould

gen

erat

een

ough

elec

tric

ity

toco

ver

wha

tis

nee

ded

tofo

rth

een

tire

aqua

rium

that

day.

App

roxi

mat

ely

wha

tpr

opor

tion

ofth

eda

ysca

nth

ezo

oex

pect

toob

tain

enou

ghw

aste

toco

ver

wha

tis

nee

ded

toru

nth

een

tire

aqua

rium

for

the

day?

(A)

0.48

4

(B)

0.49

9

(C)

0.51

6

(D)0

.680

(E)

0.95

0

17.S

tude

nts

ina

stat

isti

cscl

ass

part

icip

ated

ina

proj

ect

inw

hich

they

atte

mpte

dto

esti

mat

eth

e

true

mea

nhe

ight

ofal

lst

uden

tsin

thei

rla

rge

high

scho

ol.

The

stud

ents

wer

esp

lit

into

4

grou

ps.

Eac

hgr

oup

had

thei

row

nsa

mpl

ing

met

hod,

and

they

used

itto

sele

cta

sam

ple

each

day

for

50da

ys.

Bel

owar

eth

ees

tim

ates

base

don

thei

r50

sam

ples

:

14 12 12

,,

Is

51

.4

ICs

=2)

5560

65‘0

‘SSO

606)

70

--—

——

Gem

pS

=10

)5)

6065

7075

8001

s,hb

(in

h)

Aft

erth

esa

mpl

esw

ere

coll

ecte

dan

dth

em

eans

wer

epl

otte

dth

ete

ach

ervi

site

dth

esc

hool

nurs

ew

hoto

ldhe

rth

atth

etr

uem

ean

heig

htof

all

stud

ents

inth

esc

hool

is67

.5in

ches

.

Whi

chgr

oup

prod

uced

sam

ple

stat

isti

csth

ates

tim

ated

the

true

valu

eof

the

para

met

erw

ith

rela

tivel

ylo

wbi

asan

dlo

wva

riab

ility

?

(A)

Gro

up1

(8)

Gro

up2

(C)

Gro

up3

(D)

Gro

up4

(E)

All

grou

pspr

oduc

edst

atis

tics

that

have

low

bias

and

low

vari

abili

tybe

caus

et

isan

unbi

ased

esti

mat

orof

i.

5’

10

to

54 14 10 0 II 12 10 ‘3 14

Oo

p2(s

=1

01

DO6’

)65

1075

80

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

..

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

Page 15: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

.18

.Eve

ryye

arat

the

AP

Stat

istic

sEx

amre

adin

gap

pare

lis

sold

toco

mm

emor

ate

the

even

t.B

ased

onhi

stor

ical

data

,w

ekn

owth

at56

%of

teac

hers

will

mak

ean

appa

rel

purc

hase

.T

his

year

,th

eor

gani

zers

have

deci

ded

tose

lect

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of50

teac

hers

.If

ase

lect

edte

ache

rm

ade

anap

pare

lpu

rcha

se,

they

will

begi

ven

apr

ize.

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

mor

eth

an60

%of

the

sele

cted

teac

hers

will

win

apr

ize?

(A)

App

roxi

mat

ely

0(B

)0.

007

(C)

0.28

4

(D)

0.46

8(E

)0.

600

19.A

car

deal

ersh

iplo

oks

back

atth

eir

prev

ious

year

’ssa

les

reco

rds.

Las

t yea

r,th

ede

aler

ship

sold

422

vehi

cles

.T

hem

ean

sale

spr

ice

was

$24,

500

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of$1

2,87

5.T

hede

aler

ship

also

disc

over

edth

atth

edi

stri

buti

onof

the

sale

spr

ices

issk

ewed

toth

eri

ght.

Ifth

ede

aler

ship

wer

eto

sele

ctre

peat

edra

ndom

sam

ples

of40

vehi

cles

from

the

popu

lati

onof

all

vehi

cles

sold

last

year

and

calc

ulat

eth

eav

erag

esa

lepr

ice

for

each

sam

ple

of40

,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

give

sth

eco

rrec

tm

ean

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

the

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

onof

the

sam

ple

mea

n?

(A)

Mea

n=

$24,

500,

Sta

ndar

dde

viat

ion

=

(B)

Mea

n=

$24,

500,

Stan

dard

devi

atio

n=

40

(C)

Mea

n=,

Sta

ndar

dde

viat

ion

=12

,875

(D)

Mea

n=

Sta

ndar

dde

viat

ion

=12

,875

40(E

)C

anno

tbe

dete

rmin

edbe

caus

eth

esa

mpl

esi

zeis

smal

l.

.20

.The

spee

dof

pick

upof

ride

shar

ing

serv

ices

like

Ube

ran

dLy

ftse

ems

toha

vesu

rpas

sed

that

ofam

bula

nce

serv

ices

.T

hem

ean

resp

onse

tim

eof

ambu

lanc

esac

ross

the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

is

15.3

min

utes

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of12

.8m

inut

es.

For

ride

shar

ing

serv

ices

,th

em

ean

pick

-up

tim

eac

ross

the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

is8

min

utes

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of5.

2m

inut

es.

Bas

edon

thes

ees

tim

ates

,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

give

sth

est

anda

rdde

viat

ion

ofth

esa

mpl

ing

dist

ribu

tion

ofth

edi

ffer

ence

inth

esa

mpl

em

eans

for

sam

ples

of30

ambu

lanc

eri

des

and

40ri

desh

arin

gri

des

(Am

bula

nce

—R

ide

Sha

ring

)?

12.8

5.2

(A) B

128

5.2

(C

)+

(D)Ii_

__2—

V30

40(E

)C

anno

tbe

dete

rmin

edbe

caus

eth

eco

ndit

ions

are

not

met

.

21.A

poll

was

cond

ucte

dus

ing

asa

mpl

eof

2500

regi

ster

edvo

ters

tode

term

ine

wha

tpr

opor

tion

ofvo

ters

are

plan

ning

tovo

tefo

rth

ein

cum

bent

pres

iden

tin

the

upco

min

gel

ecti

on.

The

poll

ster

sre

port

ed,

“We

are

95%

conf

iden

tth

atth

etr

uepr

opor

tion

ofre

gist

ered

vote

rsth

at

will

vote

for

the

incu

mbe

ntpr

esid

ent

isw

ithin

the

inte

rval

0.46

5to

0.54

5.”

Wha

tis

mea

ntby

95%

conf

iden

ce?

(A)

The

poll

ster

sus

eda

met

hod

that

isg

uar

ante

edto

capt

ure

the

true

voti

ngpr

efer

ence

of

95%

ofth

ere

gist

ered

vote

rs.

(B)

The

poll

ster

sus

eda

met

hod

that

will

capt

ure

the

true

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

inab

out

95%

ofal

lpo

ssib

leco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

sb

ased

upon

rand

omsa

mpl

esof

size

2500

from

this

popu

lati

on.

(C)

The

poll

ster

sca

nbe

95%

conf

iden

tth

atth

ein

cum

bent

pres

iden

tw

illre

ceiv

e50

.5%

ofth

e

vote

and

will

win

the

elec

tion

.

(D)

The

reis

a95

%ch

ance

that

the

inte

rval

(0.4

65,

0.54

5)co

ntai

nsth

etr

uepr

opor

tion

of

vote

rsth

atar

epl

anni

ngto

vote

for

the

incu

mbe

ntpr

esid

ent.

(E)

Ifth

epo

llst

ers

take

man

yra

ndom

sam

ples

ofsi

ze25

00fr

omth

ispo

pula

tion

,ab

ou

t95

%of

the

resu

ltin

gin

terv

als

will

cont

ain

0.50

5.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 16: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

0

>‘Coci

Co

E

o

D

a)

a)Ec

w

+ .

>,a)

U,

a) ci

U,

0-

a)0)0 COCO

U,_o0-

a)U,U,

w

+

IC

‘cC

-H

‘0C

U

.

Page 17: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

25.A

stud

ent

wou

ldlik

eto

esti

mat

eth

epr

opor

tion

ofth

ese

nior

clas

sth

atpl

ans

toat

tend

prom

this

year

.T

hest

uden

tgo

esto

the

guid

ance

offi

cean

dge

tsa

listo

fth

ena

mes

ofal

l27

4se

nior

s.U

sing

the

list,

she

sele

cts

asi

mpl

era

ndom

sam

ple

of50

stud

ents

and

find

sth

at76

%of

the

sele

cted

stud

ents

plan

toat

tend

prom

this

year

.Sh

ew

ould

like

toco

nstr

uct

a95

%co

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

prop

orti

onof

the

enti

rese

nior

clas

sth

atpl

ans

toat

tend

prom

this

year

.A

reth

eco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

em

et?

(A)

Yes

,al

lco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ear

em

et.

(B)

No,

alth

ough

the

rand

oman

dla

rge

coun

tsco

ndit

ions

are

met

,th

e10

%co

ndit

ion

isno

tm

et.

(C)

No,

alth

ough

the

rand

oman

d10

%co

ndit

ions

are

met

,th

ela

rge

coun

tsco

ndit

ion

isno

tm

et.

(D)

No,

ther

ear

etw

oco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

eth

atar

eno

tm

et.

(E)

No,

none

ofth

eco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ear

em

et.

26.L

exie

isa

wai

tres

s.Sh

ebe

liev

esth

atsh

eea

rns

mor

etip

s,on

aver

age,

whe

nsh

ecu

rls

her

hair

befo

rew

ork

rath

erth

anpu

lling

itba

ckin

apo

nyta

il.In

orde

rto

inve

stig

ate

this

belie

f,sh

ew

rite

s“c

urls

”on

30sl

ips

ofpa

per

and

“pon

ytai

l”on

30sl

ips

ofpa

per,

puts

them

ina

hat

and

mix

esth

emw

ell.

Eac

hti

me

she

gets

read

yfo

rw

ork

she

rand

omly

sele

cts

one

piec

eof

pape

rto

dete

rmin

eho

wsh

esh

ould

dohe

rha

irth

atda

y.U

sing

the

data

she

colle

cts,

she

carr

ies

out

atte

stfo

ra

diff

eren

cein

mea

nsin

orde

rto

test

thes

ehy

poth

eses

:

Ho:

Pc=

pp

H:

jic

>pp

Whe

re/l

c=

the

mea

nam

ount

oftip

sth

atL

exie

wou

ldm

ake

for

all

days

inw

hich

she

curl

she

rha

iran

dpp

=th

em

ean

amou

ntof

tips

that

Lex

iew

ould

mak

efo

ral

lda

ysin

whi

chsh

epu

llshe

rha

irup

ina

pony

tail.

The

P-va

lue

ofth

iste

stis

0.03

75.

Wha

tis

the

inte

rpre

tati

onof

this

valu

e?

(A)

Ass

umin

gth

etr

uedi

ffer

ence

(Cur

ls—

Pony

tail)

inth

em

ean

amou

ntof

tips

rece

ived

is0,

ther

eis

a0.

0375

prob

abil

ity

that

Lexi

ew

ould

obse

rve

adi

ffer

ence

insa

mpl

em

eans

asgr

eate

ror

grea

ter

than

she

did

bych

ance

alon

e.(B

)A

ssum

ing

that

the

true

mea

nam

ount

ofti

psth

atLe

xie

wou

ldre

ceiv

ew

hile

wea

ring

curl

sis

grea

ter

than

the

true

mea

nam

ount

ofti

psth

atL

exie

wou

ldre

ceiv

ew

hile

wea

ring

her

hair

ina

pony

tail,

ther

eis

0.03

75pr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

wou

ldbe

reje

cted

.

(C)

The

P-va

lue

indi

cate

sth

atth

ere

isa

prob

abil

ity

of0.

0375

that

the

null

hypo

thes

isis

true

.(D

)B

ecau

seth

eP-

valu

eis

less

than

a=

0.05

,L

exie

shou

ldfa

ilto

reje

ctth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

and

inte

rpre

tth

ere

sults

tom

ean

that

she

has

prov

enth

atsh

em

akes

mor

em

oney

intip

sw

hen

she

curl

she

rha

ir.

(E)

The

reis

a0.

0375

prob

abil

ity

that

Lex

iew

illm

ake

mor

em

oney

inti

psw

hen

she

wea

rshe

rha

irin

curl

sop

pose

dto

wea

ring

her

hair

ina

pony

tail.

27.J

osh

wan

tsto

conv

ince

his

mot

her

tost

opbu

ying

sing

le-p

lyto

ilet

pape

r.Jo

shbe

liev

esth

atev

enth

ough

Fluf

fy,

atw

o-pl

yto

ilet

pape

rco

sts

mor

e,it

will

last

long

erbe

caus

eit

ism

ore

abso

rben

t.T

ohe

lpsu

bsta

ntia

tehi

scl

aim

,Jo

shpe

rfor

med

ast

udy.

He

purc

hase

da

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

18ro

llsof

Fluf

fy.

For

each

roll,

hede

term

ined

how

man

ysq

uare

sar

ene

eded

toco

mpl

etel

yab

sorb

one-

quar

ter

cup

ofw

ater

.H

ere

isa

dotp

lot

ofth

eda

ta.

Num

ber

ofS

quar

es

The

mea

nof

the

sam

ple

is24

.444

squa

res

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of2.

45sq

uare

s.Si

ngle

-pl

yto

ilet

pape

rre

quir

es26

squa

res

toab

sorb

one-

quar

ter

cup

ofw

ater

.Jo

shw

ould

like

toca

rry

Out

ate

stto

dete

rmin

eif

ther

eis

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atth

em

ean

num

ber

ofsq

uare

sof

Fluf

fyth

atar

ene

eded

toab

sorb

one-

quar

ter

cup

ofw

ater

isfe

wer

than

26sq

uare

s.W

hat

isth

eap

prop

riat

ete

stst

atis

tican

dP-

valu

eof

this

test

?

(A)

z=

—2.

69,

P-va

lue

=0.

0036

(B)

t=

—2.

69,

P-va

lue

=0.

0078

(C)

t=

—2.

69,

P-va

lue

=0.

0156

(D)

t=

2.69

,P-

valu

e=

0.99

22

(E)

z=

2.69

,P-

valu

e0.

9964

B 2021

08

2627

BB

2529

‘4’ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 18: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

28.E

rica

has

asw

imm

ing

pooi

athe

rho

use.

Onc

ea

year

she

purc

hase

sa

50-p

ound

buck

etof

chlo

rine

pell

ets

from

anon

line

com

pany

.O

utof

curi

osit

ysh

ew

eigh

sth

ebu

cket

and

find

sth

at

iton

lyw

eigh

s46

.2po

unds

.S

hepu

rcha

ses

4m

ore

50-p

ound

buck

ets,

givi

nghe

ran

SRS

of

size

5.T

hem

ean

wei

ght

ofth

e5

buck

ets

is48

.5po

unds

.S

hesu

spec

tsth

atth

eco

mpa

nyis

chea

ting

the

cust

omer

s.S

heus

eshe

rda

tato

test

the

hypo

thes

esHo

:p

=50

poun

dsve

rsus

H:

p<

50po

unds

.T

heP-

valu

eof

her

test

is0.

0851

.W

hat

deci

sion

shou

ldsh

em

ake

and

wha

tty

peof

erro

rco

uld

she

mak

eas

are

sult

ofhe

rde

cisi

on?

(A)

She

shou

ldre

ject

Ho.

She

coul

dm

ake

aT

ype

Ierr

or,

mea

ning

she

find

sco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

the

true

mea

nw

eigh

tof

the

50-p

ound

buck

ets

isle

ssth

an50

poun

dsw

hen

inre

ality

itis

not.

(B)

She

shou

ldre

ject

Ho.

She

coul

dm

ake

aT

ype

IIer

ror,

mea

ning

she

fails

tofi

ndco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

the

true

mea

nw

eigh

tof

the

50-p

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.C

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tVideo 1.1 Types of Displays

, S

E 11$

A B22

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00184672910

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

Histogram: Find the median.

.Dotplot: Which distribution hasthe smallest standard deviation?

I I

U

Boxplot: Give 5-number summary and IQR Stemplot: Compare shapes

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

123456

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fideo 1 .2 Describing a Distribution

SOCS + context

Shape Center Spread Outliers

Example: # hours of sleep

3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8

Describe the distribution.

.

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 2.1 Describing a Relationship

DUFS + context

Direction Unusual Features

Example: Heat bills

Describe the distribution

Interpret slope

Interpret r2 = 0.989

Form Strength

.

AP Exam Tips:

.+ STATS MEDIC

I

Equation J9 = 273.58 -_3.6x1

Average temperature (Fabtheit)

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I I

a., [...:...i. .1. i.1 . .1.

1’. . ‘ ‘

‘ideo 2.2 Predictions

Example: Heat bills

and Residuals

-10

e

I I I

20 30 40 50 60 70Average temperature (PaIuenheft)

with an average temperature of 42° F.

AP Exam Tips:

log(heat bill)= 4.52— 1.57 log(average temp)

4. STATS MEDIC

0Equation

9=273.58-3.6x 5.

10-

0

.

Average temperature (Fahrenheit)

Find the predicted bill for a month with an average temperature of 42° F.

The actual bill for a month with average temperature of 42° F was $1 20. Calculate and interpret theresidual.

Is a linear model appropriate for the data set?

What if the data appears nonlinear? Use a nonlinear model to calculate a predicted bill for a month

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___L____h__t___t___

Video 3.1 Sampling Methods and Issues

Sampling Methods:Picture: Convenience Sample

Voluntary Response Sample

Simple Random Sample

How to do an SRS

Sampling Issues:

Undercoverage

Nonresponse

Response Bias

Stratified vs. ClusterPicture: Stratified Cluster

AP Exam Tips:

‘I. STATS MEDIC

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•ideo 3.2 Experimental Design

Average AP Exam Scores:Stats Medic 4.3Review book 3.8

Picture:

Confounding variable

Draw outline of the experiment:

•. .

What is the difference between an experiment and an observational study?

What is the advantage of an experiment over and observational study?

Block design

AP Exam Tips:

.

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 4.1 General Probability

R” “A N D”

Define mutually exclusive Define independent

No: No:

Yes: Yes

Example: Stella’s Lounge only sells burgers and sandwiches. Each comes with chips or, for $1 more,

it can be served with fries. The probability that a randomly selected customer orders a burger is

60%. If they order a burger, 70% of the time they will get fries. If the customer orders a sandwich,

they get fries 45% of the time. What is the probability that a randomly selected customer orders:

(a) A sandwich and fries

(b) Fries

(c) A sandwich, given they order fries

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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®/ideo 4.2 Binomial Distributions

A certain NBA basketball player is an 85% free throw shooter, meaning he has an 85% probability of

making any given free throw. In one month he will shoot 100 free throws. Assume each shot isindependent of the others.

Let X = the number of free throws he makes out of 100 attempts.

(a) Describe the distribution of X.

(b) What is the probability that the basketball player makes exactly 80 free throws out of 100?

(c) Find the probability that the player makes at least 80 free throws out of 100.

AP Exam Tips:

‘I’ STATS MEDIC

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Video 4.3 Transforming and Combining Random Variables

Transforming Random Variables

Numberhoursofsleep: 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8

X- number of hours of sleep

Y — number of minutes of sleep = cr = =

Z — number of minutes of sleep= = =

(with 20 minute nap)

RULES: Mean SD Variance

Multiply/divide by A

Add/subtract B .Combining Random Variables

X - Number of hours of sleep for 1st hour. p=ó.4 =l.5l

Y - Number of hours of sleep for 2 hour. =6.2 = 1.98

S=X+Y D=X—Y

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Qideo 4.4 Normal Distribution Calculations

Example: The number of daily views at StatsMedic.com follows an approximately normal distribution

with a mean of 1 5,000 and a standard deviation of 4,000.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected day has more than 20,000 views.

(b) How many views would be in the bottom 5% of all days.

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 4.5 Geometric Distributions .Example: In 2016, the Bottle Flip Challenge (flipping a water bottle into the air and landing it right

side up) took the internet by storm. Michael is really good at the boffle flipping. On any given bottle

flip, he has a 35% probability of landing the bottle right side up. Assume that each bottle flip is

independent.

Let X = the number of flips it takes until Michael lands a bottle flip.

Conditions:

B:

F:

S:

(a) Describe the distribution of X.

(b) Find the probability that it takes Michael 4 flips until he lands the bottle right side up.

(c) Find the probability that Michael lands the bottle right side up within the first 4 flips.

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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‘ideo 5.1 Introduction to Sampling Distributions

Picture A statistic estimates a parameter

Example: Find the average word length for Beyonce’s Crazy in Love

What makes a good statistic?

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 5.2 Sampling Distributions for One Population

Sample proportion Sample mean

Parameter

Statistic

Shape

Center

Varibility

z-score formula

Example 1: At a large local high school, 52% of the previous year’s graduating class enrolled in a

four-year university the following fall. The school counselors contact an SRS of 50 of the previous

year’s graduates. Find the probability that the SRS contains at least 23 students who are enrolled in a

four-year university.

Picture: Show work:

Example 2: The ACT scores a recent school year were approximately Normally distributed with a

mean of 21 and a standard deviation of 5.4. If a random sample of 5 test scores is chosen, what is

the probability that the sample mean is 25 or greater?

Picture: Show work:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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t..ideo 5.3 Sampling Distributions for Two Populations

Example 1: Two veteran sales people at a local company keep track of the proportion of sales theymake out of the number of sales meetings they have. Person A made sales at 42% of their meetings.Person B made sales at 30% of their meetings. Their manager independently selects a randomsample of 50 meetings for person A and 60 meetings for person B. Describe the samplingdistribution of

— P2

Example 2: The weights of cupcakes at a local bakery have a mean of 115 grams and a standarddeviation of 8 grams. The weights of donuts at the same bakery have a mean of 28 grams and astandard deviation of 1 2 grams. Two independent random samples of size 40 are chosen from thecupcakes and donuts. Describe the sampling distribution of 1

— 12.

Parameter

.Statistic

Shape

Center

Varibility

Two proportions Two means

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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H-IVideo 6.1 One Sample Confidence Intervals

Example 1: At a local restaurant, a small order of French fries should weigh 6 oz. The restaurant

owner is concerned that her employees are filling orders of French fries improperly. She would like to

estimate the true mean weight of a small order of French fries, so she randomly selects 1 2 orders

throughout the week and weighs them. The weights are given in the table (in ounces):

6.45 6.31 5.99 6.04 5.84 7.02

6.9 6.29 6.08 5.95 6.88 6.65

Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval to estimate the true mean weight of a small order

of French fries at this restaurant.

STATE: DO:

.

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Qxampie 2: The city council is considering changing an old law that prohibits people from mowingtheir lawns after 9 pm. In order to determine if the people of the city would support this change,they randomly surveyed 50 people in the city. They find that 23 of the 50 people surveyed wouldsupport changing the law.

Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the true proportion of people in the city whowould support changing the law.

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

‘I’ STATS MEDIC

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Video 6.2 Two Sample Confidence Intervals

Example 1: A pharmaceutical company is testing a new medication for cholesterol. 100 volunteers

with high cholesterol are randomly assigned to either take the new medication or the current

medication the company sells. After 6 months of use, their cholesterol level will be tested to see if

there is a difference in the proportion of people with reduced cholesterol. Thirty-nine of the 50

subjects taking the new medication had a reduction in cholesterol. Thirty-four of the 50 subjects

taking the current medication had a reduction in cholesterol.

(a) Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the true difference in proportions of

people like those in the study who would have reduced cholesterol after 6 months on their

respective medication.

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

(b) Does the company have convincing evidence that there is a difference in the proportion of

people with reduced cholesterol?

+ STATS MEDIC

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jxampie 2: There is a rivalry between the AP calculus students and the AP statistics students at alarge high school. They often argue about which group has the higher average SAT score. To settlethe matter, they take random samples of 10 students from each course. The sample mean from theAP calculus group has a mean of 1 320 with a standard deviation of 56, while the AP statistics grouphas a mean of 1352 with a standard deviation of 108. Both population distributions of scores can beassumed to be approximately Normal.

Construct and interpret a 99% confidence interval for the true difference in mean SAT scoresbetween the AP calc students and the AP stats students.

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 7.1 One Sample Significance Tests

Example 1: Chicago style popcorn is a type of popcorn made by mixing together cheddar and

caramel popcorn. True Chicago style popcorn is composed of at least 40% caramel popcorn. A new

popcorn shop advertises that they will be selling Chicago style popcorn. To test this claim, a

popcorn lover takes a random sample of 500 kernels of the popcorn and finds that 183 kernels are

caramel. Do the data provide convincing evidence that the shop is not selling true Chicago style

popcorn?

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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:xample 2: Last year, an AP stats class spent an average of 25 minutes a night on their homework.

Their teacher randomly sampled 30 of her students this year to see if this average had gone up. The

sample had a mean of 32 minutes spent on homework each night and a standard deviation of 11

minutes. Do the data provide convincing evidence that AP stats students spend more time onhomework per night this year than last year?

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 7.2 Two Sample Significance Tests

Example 1: Two rival universities are both claiming that their graduates are more likely to gain

employment within 3 months of graduation than those who graduate from the other school. A

random sample of 500 recent graduates from College A revealed that 450 had employment within 3

months. A separate random sample of 400 recent graduates from College B showed that 342 had

jobs. Do the data provide convincing evidence that there is a difference in the proportion of

graduates who had employment within 3 months from College A and College B.

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Example 2: Last year, East Kentwood High School had 650 students take a geometry final exam. Thechool gave two forms of the exam, which were randomly assigned to the students. Half of thetudents took form A and the rest took form B. After the exam, some students claimed that form B

was more difficult than form A. To test this claim, the principal took random samples of 30 examscores from each form and recorded the score. The results are shown:

FormA n=30 =73.4 s=12.9

Form B n = 30 = 68.6 s = 15.4

Do the data provide convincing evidence that the mean score on form A was higher than the meanscore on form B using a = 0.01?

STATE: DO:

PLAN: CONCLUDE:

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 7.3 Difference of Means OR Mean of Differences?

Example: Two versions of the final exam.

Version A 90 82 76 88 99

Version B 83 77 79 80 81

Differences 7 5 -3 8 18

Scenario 1: Difference of Means

xA87 sA8.66

xB80 SB 2.24 XAXB7

Scenario 2: Mean of Differences

Xdff7 Sdff7.S2

AP Exam Tjpj

+ STATS MEDIC

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_____

Q’ideo 7.4 Chi-Square Tests

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST TEST OF HOMOGENEITY TEST OF INDEPENDENCE

AP Exam Question

Hypotheses

Expected

Degrees of freedom

Chi-square formula

eP-value

What is the same? Draw flowchart here:

What is different?

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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Video 7.5 Inference for Linear Regression

Example: A random sample of 11 high schools was selected from Michigan. The percent of students

who are free/reduced lunch and the mean SAT Math score of each high school in the sample were

recorded. Here are the data:

Line of best fit:

580

560

540

S 520S

500

480

460

440

420

400

Linear regression t-interval for slope Linear regression t-test for slope

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

Percent free/reduced Mean SAT Math

East Kentwood High School 58 490.4

Rockford High School 8 535.5

Caledonia High School 18 541.3

Cedar Springs High School 39 485.9

Muskegon High School 85 427.3

Comstock Park High School 42 473.2

Sparta High School 35 483.1

Lowell High School 27 542.7

Spring Lake High School 18 554.1

Ottawa Hills High 78 402.3

Northville High School 5 597.6

0e

0

B

Percent free/iduccd lunch

Regression Analysis: Mean SAT Math score (dollars) versus Percent free/reduced lunch

Predictor Coef SE Coef T P

Constant 577.9 12.5 46.16 0.000

Percent free/reduced -1.993 0.276 -7.22 0.000lunch

S = 23.3 168 R-Sq = 85.29% R-Sq(adj) = 83.66%

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I

Ofideo 7.6 Type I and Type II Errors + Power

Example: Tacos El Cunado claims that their Giant Burrito is ½ pound on average (more precisely 8.0

ounces with a standard deviation of 1 .0 ounces). Luke believes the average weight is less than that

(he thinks it is 7 ounces). To test his claim, Luke goes to Tacos El Cunado and takes a random

sample of 5 burritos. He will test his claim with an alpha level of 0.05.

H0:

HA:

Type I Error:

Interpret:

Type II Error:

terpret:

Power:

Interpret:

How to increase power?

(1)

(2)

AP Exam Tips:H0 true

Decision

Reject H0

Fail toreject H0

4’ STATS MEDIC

HA true

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_—1_—

Name That Significance Test

How do I know which question is asking to do a significance test?

• (1)

• (2)

• (3)

______ ______ ______ ______

samps7(gips)2

Which Is there a Is there a Propoions2 prop ztes:

significance — Minitab _2_+ table of—---

ortest? output? frequencies? L Means?

1 1 mean t-tesHow many red t-t

samples? (groups)

______________

2 mean ttesJ

LinearX test

regression t—test

r How manysamples? (groups)

How many f X’ homogenefty]variables?

X2 GOF J X2 independence

4’ STATS MEDIC

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•Jsing Your Calculator on the AP Stats Exam

Same information as 1-VarStats but for two sets ofdata.

Enter data in L1 and L22-Var Stats L1,L2

pdf and cdf

Function When to use it Input Command

binompdf To find the probability of binompdf(n, p, X)(21, VARS, DISTR) getting exactly X n: number of trials

successes. p: probability of successX: number of successes

binomcdf To find the probability of binomcdf(n, p, X)(2, VARS, DISTR) getting at most X n: number of trials

successes. p: probability of successX: number of successes

normalcdf To find area in an interval normalcdf(lower, upper, mean, SD)(2, VARS, DISTR) for a normal distribution.tcdf To find area in an interval tcdf(lower, upper, df)(2, VARS, DISTR) for a t distribution.

+ STATS MEDIC

One Variable Data

Function When to use it In put Command1-Var Stats To find mean, standard Enter data in L1 and frequency in L2 if(STAT, CALC) deviation, and 5 number needed

summary for a set of data. 1-Var Stats L1 or 1-Var Stats L11L2

Two Variable Data

Function When to use it Input Command

LinReg (a + bx) To find the equation for a Enter explanatory variable in L1(STAT, CALC) line of regression. Also Enter response variable in L2

gives correlation (r). LinReg (a + bx) L11L2

2-Var Stats(STAT, CALC)

2cdf

‘—1 (2, DISTR)

To find area in an intervalfor a x2 distribution.

2cdf(lower, upper, df)

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4’ STATS MEDIC

Confidence IntervalsFunction When to use it Input Command1-PropZlnt To calculate a confidence 1-PropZlnt(STAT, TESTS, A:) interval to estimate a x: number of successes

proportion. n: sample sizeC-Level: confidence level (decimal)

Tlnterval To calculate a confidence Tlnterval(STAT, TESTS, 8:) interval to estimate a lnpt: Stats

mean. i: sample meanS: sample standard deviationn: sample sizeC-Level: confidence level (decimal)

2-PropZlnt To calculate a confidence 2-PropZlnt(STAT, TESTS, B:) interval to estimate a xl: number of successes in sample 1

difference of proportions. ni: sample size in sample 1x2: number of successes in sample 2n2: sample size in sample 2C-Level: confidence level (decimal)

2-SampTint To calculate a confidence 2-SampTint(STAT, TESTS, 0:) interval to estimate a lnpt: Stats

difference of means. 1: sample mean of sample 1Sxl: standard deviation of sample 1ni: sample size of sample 12: sample mean of sample 2Sx2: standard deviation of sample 2n2: sample size of sample 2C-Level: confidence level (decimal)Pooled: No

LinRegTlnt To calculate a confidence LinRegTlnt(STAT, TESTS, G:) interval to estimate a Enter explanatory variable in Li

slope. Enter response variable in L2*only newer Xlist: Licalculators have Ylist: L2this command* Freq: 1

C-Level: confidence level (decimal)

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Qignificance Tests

Function When to use it Input Command1-PropZTest To test a claim made about 1-PropZTest

(STAT, TESTS, 5:) a single proportion. p0: null value

x: number of successes

n: sample size

Prop: po <p0 >o (alternative)

T-Test To test a claim made about T-Test

(STAT, TESTS, 2:) a single mean (standard lnpt: Stats

deviation of the population i: null value

is unknown). 1: sample mean

S: sample standard deviation

n: sample size

i: * ii < i2o > i-zo (alternative)

2-PropZTest To test a claim made about 2-PropZTest

(STAT, TESTS, 6:) a difference of proportions. xl: number of successes sample 1

ni: sample size in sample 1

x2: number of successes sample 2

n2: sample size in sample 2

p1: p2 <p2 >p2 (alternative)

2-SampTTest To test a claim made about 2-SampTTest

(STAT, TESTS, 4:) a difference of means lnpt: Stats

(standard deviation of the 1: sample mean of sample 1

populations unknown). Sxl: standard deviation sample 1

ni: sample size of sample 112: sample mean of sample 25x2: standard deviation sample 2n2: sample size of sample 2pi: p2 <p2 >p2 (alternative)

Pooled: No

+ STATS MEDIC

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To test a claim made aboutthe slope of a populationregression line.

Lin RegTTestEnter explanatory variable in L1Enter response variable in L2Xlist: LiYlist: L2Freq: 1/3: 0 <0 >0 (alternative)

+ STATS MEDIC

Significance Tests - continued .Function When to use it Input Command

X2—Test To test a claim made about 2—Test(STAT, TESTS, C:) the distribution of a Enter observed values in matrix A

categorical variable.. Chi square test of Observed: [A]

association Expected: [B]. Chi square test of

homogeneity Expected values appear in matrix B

2GOF—Test To test a claim made about X2GOF—Test(STAT, TESTS, D:) the distribution of a Enter observed values in Li

categorical variable. Enter expected values in L2*i..iIy newer . Chi square goodness- Observed: Licalculators have of-fit test Expected: L2this command* df: degrees of freedom

Li n RegTTest(STAT, TESTS, E:)

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Know Your AP Stats Formula Sheet

Page 1

What categories of formulas appear on this page?

Important notes:

Page 2

What categories of formulas appear on this page?

Important notes:

+ STATS MEDIC

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How to CRUSH the AP Stats Free Response

Strategy #1: Know What to Expect

• 1-variable stats

• 2-variable stats

• Sampling methods or experimental design

• Probability

• Significance test

• Investigative Task

Strategy #2: Survive the Investigative Task

• 25% of free response grade

• New stuff!

• 4to5parts

• Parts are scaffolded

Strategy #3: Have a Plan

• 90 minutes for 6 questions

• Take a practice test

• Two approaches:

o

o 1 - significance test - 6 - probability - others

Strategy #4: Get All Your Points!

• Don’t leave any blank

• Make up an answer

• Always use context

+ STATS MEDIC

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How to Survive the Investigative Task

Know the Facts

.

.

.

Use These Strategies

.

.

2019 AP Statistics Exam FRQ #6

Write the highlighted text from each part.

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

(f)

AP Exam Tips:

+ STATS MEDIC

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HTop 10 AP Stats Exam Tips

1: Clearly communicate your understanding

2: Always include context in your answers

3: Be precise in your language and vocabulary

4: Use appropriate notation

5: Do not rely on your calculator

6: Manage your time

7: Do not leave anything blank

8: Know the formula sheet

9: Know your inference

10: Be confident!

+ STATS MEDIC

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——H— .. H ———•••iQJnit 1 Free Response 2015 #1

1. Two large corporations, A and B, hire many new college graduates as accountants at entry-level positions. In2009 the starting salary for an entry-level accountant position was $36,000 a year at both corporations. At eachcorporation, data were collected from 30 employees who were hired in 2009 as entry-level accountants and werestill employed at the corporation five years later. The yearly salaries of the 60 employees in 2014 aresummarized in the boxplots below.

$30 $40 $50 $60 S70 $80

Yearly Salary (thousands)

(a) Write a few sentences comparing the distributions of the yearly salaries at the two corporations.

(b) Suppose both corporations offered you ajob for $36,000 a year as an entry-level accountant.

(i) Based on the boxplots, give one reason why you might choose to accept the job at corporation A.

(ii) Based on the boxplots, give one reason why you might choose to accept the job at corporation B.

Source: Copyright © The College Board.*AP is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not involved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product.all STATS MEDIC

Corporation A

Corporation B

* *

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Uni

t1

Mul

tiple

Cho

ice

2.T

hebo

xplo

tbe

low

sum

mar

izes

the

heig

hts

(ince

ntim

eter

s)of

asa

mpl

eof

200

3-ye

ar-o

ldm

ales

in

the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gst

atem

ents

isfa

lse?

1.T

hegr

aph

belo

wdi

spla

ysth

eam

ount

ofti

me

toth

ene

ares

tho

ursp

ent

onho

mew

ork

per

wee

k

for

asa

mpl

eof

stud

ents

.W

hich

mea

sure

sof

cen

ter

and

vari

abili

tyw

ould

bem

ost

appr

opri

ate

to

desc

ribe

the

give

ndi

stri

buti

on?

16

12

12 11

2II

Ih1

2:1

41

62

19

10

11

12

13

riM

?11

0010

)

(A)

Mea

nan

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

(B)

Mea

nan

dIQ

R

(C)

Med

ian

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

n(D

)M

edia

nan

d!Q

R

(E)

Med

ian

and

Ran

ge .

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

a

(A)

50%

ofth

ech

ildr

enin

the

sam

ple

had

heig

hts

betw

een

93an

d9

8cm

.

(B)

25ch

ildr

enha

dhe

ight

sg

reat

erth

an98cm

.

(C)

The

25

perc

enti

lein

this

sam

ple

isa

heig

htof

93cm

.

(D)

The

tall

est

child

inth

issa

mpl

ew

as11

1cm

tall.

(E)

Eve

rych

ildin

the

sam

ple

was

atle

ast

82cm

tall.

3.A

coll

ege

prof

esso

rca

lcul

ates

the

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

all

the

grad

esfr

omth

em

idte

rmex

ams

she

mos

tre

cent

lyad

min

iste

red.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

the

best

desc

ript

ion

ofth

est

anda

rd

devi

atio

n?

(A)

The

diff

eren

cebe

twee

nth

ehi

ghes

tsc

ore

onth

em

idte

rman

dth

elo

wes

tsc

ore

onth

em

idte

rm.

(B)

The

diff

eren

cebe

twee

nth

esc

ore

repr

esen

ting

the

75th

perc

enti

leof

all

mid

term

exam

san

dth

e

scor

ere

pres

enti

ngth

e25th

perc

enti

leof

all

mid

term

exam

s.

(C)

App

roxi

mat

ely

the

mea

ndi

stan

cebe

twee

nea

chin

divi

dual

grad

eof

the

mid

term

exam

s.

(D)

App

roxi

mat

ely

the

mea

ndi

stan

cebe

twee

nth

ein

divi

dual

grad

esof

the

mid

term

exam

san

dth

e

mea

ng

rad

eof

all

mid

term

exam

s.(E

)A

ppro

xim

atel

yth

em

edia

ndi

stan

cebe

twee

nth

ein

divi

dual

grad

esof

the

mid

term

exam

san

dth

e

med

ian

gra

de

ofal

lm

idte

rmex

ams.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

.,.

111

105

98 96 93

ISI 80

82

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4.C

onsi

der

the

stem

plot

belo

w,

whi

chgi

ves

the

num

ber

ofpe

ople

atte

ndin

ga

mat

inee

show

atth

elo

cal

mov

ieth

eatr

efo

rth

epa

st26

days

.

6 7 8 9 10 11 12

8 025

0357

11

28

3558

Key

:11

8=

18peo

ple

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gst

atem

ents

are

true

?

I.T

hefi

venu

mbe

rsu

mm

ary

is18

,35

,54

,87

,12

3II.

Hal

fof

the

data

valu

esar

ela

rger

than

54.

Ill.

The

shap

eof

the

dist

ribu

tion

issk

ewed

left

.

(A)

Iand

II(B

)II

(C)

IIan

dIII

(D)

Ill(E

)I,

II,an

dIll

.

...

...........................................,....

.,,,.

6.A

dist

ribu

tion

has

ash

ape

that

isst

rong

lysk

ewed

left

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

mos

t

likel

ytr

ueab

out

this

dist

ribu

tion

?

(A)

Mea

n>

Med

ian.

(B)

Mea

n=

Med

ian.

(C)

Mea

n<

Med

ian.

(D)

Onl

yth

em

ode

can

bede

term

ined

.(E

)T

here

are

noou

tlie

rsin

the

dist

ribu

tion

.

7.S

ever

alst

uden

tsin

anA

PS

tati

stic

scl

ass

adm

inis

ter

asu

rvey

toa

sam

ple

ofst

uden

tsin

thei

r

scho

ol,

aski

ngth

est

uden

tsho

wfa

rth

eytr

avel

tosc

hool

inm

iles.

Whi

chof

the

follo

win

gst

atis

tics

wou

ldno

tbe

mea

sure

din

mile

s?

(A)

Mea

n(B

)M

edia

n(C

)ln

terq

uart

ile

rang

e(D

)S

tand

ard

devi

atio

n

(E)

Var

ianc

e

8.T

hefo

llow

ing

tabl

esh

ows

how

high

scho

olst

uden

tsin

four

grad

ele

vels

ate

thei

rlu

nch

ona

part

icul

arda

y—

purc

hase

din

the

cafe

teri

a,br

ough

ta

bag

lunc

h,or

purc

hase

dlu

nch

off

cam

pus.

Wha

tis

the

appr

oxim

ate

prop

orti

onof

Juni

ors

that

purc

hase

dlu

nch

off-

cam

pus

onth

ispa

rtic

ular

day?

Fre

shm

anS

opho

mor

eJu

nior

Sen

ior

Caf

eter

ia65

7050

30

Bag

ged

Lun

ch12

010

070

60

Off

-Cam

pus

020

4565

5.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

true

?

(A)

His

togr

ams

have

gaps

betw

een

each

bar.

(B)

Dot

plot

sdo

not

prov

ide

enou

ghin

form

atio

nto

dete

rmin

eif

ther

ear

eou

tlie

rsin

the

data

.

(C)

Bar

grap

hsca

ndi

spla

ybo

thqu

anti

tati

vean

dca

tego

rica

lda

ta.

(D)

Ste

mpl

ots

are

the

best

grap

hsfo

rdi

spla

ying

data

sets

with

two

vari

able

s.

(E)

Box

plot

scl

earl

ysh

owth

efi

ve-n

umbe

rsu

mm

ary

ofa

data

set.

(A)

0.06

(B)

0.37

(C)

0.24

(D)

0.27

(E)

0.35

3 4 53 1

917

22

7 3

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

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9.A

club

bow

ling

team

has

12m

embe

rs.

The

firs

tte

nm

embe

rsbo

wl

aga

me,

and

thei

rav

erag

e

scor

eis

156.

Ifyo

ukn

owth

ene

xttw

om

embe

rsbo

wl

scor

esof

173

and

151,

doyo

uha

veen

ough

info

rmat

ion

tofi

ndth

eto

tal

ofal

l12

scor

es?

(A)

Yes

,th

eto

tal

is15

7.(B

)Y

es,

the

tota

lis

1872

.(C

)Y

es,

the

tota

lis

1884

.(D

)N

o,w

ew

ould

need

tokn

owth

ete

nin

divi

dual

scor

es.

CE)

No,

we

wou

ldne

edto

know

the

stan

dard

devi

atio

n.

10.

The

mos

aic

plot

show

sth

edi

stri

buti

onof

favo

rite

mat

hcl

ass

for

stud

ents

and

teac

hers

atE

ast

Ken

twoo

dH

igh

Sch

ool.

Bas

edon

the

grap

h,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

true

?

(A)

The

rear

em

ore

teac

hers

than

stud

ents

who

chos

eth

eir

favo

rite

mat

hcl

ass

asA

PC

aIc.

(B)

100%

ofst

uden

tsch

ose

Intr

oS

tats

asth

eir

favo

rite

mat

hcl

ass.

(C)

Whe

nco

mbi

ning

stud

ents

and

teac

hers

,A

PS

tats

has

the

high

est

over

all

prop

orti

onw

ho

chos

eit

asth

eir

favo

rite

mat

hcl

ass.

(D)

80%

ofst

uden

tsch

ose

AP

Ca

Ic.

(E)

The

rear

em

ore

teac

hers

than

stud

ents

atE

ast

Ken

twoo

dH

igh

Sch

ool.

intr

oSt

ats

Pre-

Cal

e—

AP

CaI

c•

AP

Sta

ts

Ca

6o

.o%

j

I

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

..

.

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zzLJzJj

Gnit 1 Practice Free Response Question

Below are boxplots that summarize the weights (in pounds) of large samples from two breeds ofdog: the Anatolian Shepherd and the Black Russian Terrier.

Anatolian Shepherd

Black Russian Terrier

80 90 100 110 120 130Weight (pounds)

1•0 10 10 1’’0

(a) Compare the distributions of weights for the two dog breeds.

(b) This sample of Black Russian Terriers does not contain any outliers. What weights would aBlack Russian Terrier have to be to be considered an outlier?

+ STATS MEDIC

F 1

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Unit 2 Free Response 2017 #1

1. Researchers studying a pack of gray wolves in North America collected data on the length x, in meters, from

nose to tip of tail, and the weight y, in kilograms, of the wolves. A scatterplot of weight versus length revealed

a relationship between the two variables described as positive, linear, and strong.

(a> For the situation described above, explain what is meant by each of the following words.

(i) Positive:

(ii) Linear:

(iii) SIrQng

.The data collected from the wolves were used to create the least-squares equation 9 = —16.46 + 35 .02x.

(b) Interpret the meaning of the slope of the least-squares regression line in context.

(c) One wolf in the pack with a length of 1.4 meters had a residual of —9.67 kilograms. What was the weight

of the wolf?

Source; Copyright © The College Board.*AP is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not involved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product.

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Uni

t2

Mul

tipl

eC

hoic

e

1.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

rela

tion

ship

sbe

twee

ntw

ova

riab

les

coul

dbe

desc

ribe

dus

ing

corr

elat

ion,

r? (A)

Num

ber

ofbo

oks

read

and

gen

der

ofa

stud

ent.

(B)

Num

ber

offo

otba

llga

mes

play

edan

dth

epo

siti

onof

afo

otba

llpl

ayer

.

(C)

Hig

hte

mp

erat

ure

ofth

eda

yan

dnu

mbe

rof

zoo

visi

tors

that

day.

(D)

Typ

eof

beve

rage

orde

red

and

tim

eof

day

itw

asor

dere

d.

(E)

Bra

ndof

cell

phon

ean

dnu

mbe

rof

cell

phon

esso

ld.

2.A

scat

terp

lot

show

sa

stro

ng,

posi

tive

,li

near

rela

tion

ship

betw

een

the

num

ber

ofre

boun

dsa

bask

etba

llte

amav

erag

esan

dth

enu

mbe

rof

win

sth

atte

amre

cord

sin

ase

ason

.W

hich

conc

lusi

onis

mos

tap

prop

riat

e?

(A)

Ate

amth

atin

crea

ses

itsnu

mbe

rof

rebo

unds

caus

esits

chan

ces

ofw

inni

ngm

ore

gam

esto

incr

ease

.(B

)If

the

resi

dual

plot

show

sno

patt

ern,

then

itis

safe

toco

nclu

deth

atge

ttin

gm

ore

rebo

unds

caus

esm

ore

win

s,on

aver

age.

(C)

Ifth

ere

sidu

alpl

otsh

ows

nopa

tter

n,th

enit

issa

feto

conc

lude

that

gett

ing

mor

ew

ins

caus

es

mor

ere

boun

ds,

onav

erag

e.(D

)If

the

r2va

lue

iscl

ose

enou

ghto

100%

,th

enit

issa

feto

conc

lude

that

gett

ing

mor

ere

boun

ds

caus

esm

ore

win

s,on

aver

age.

(E)

Reb

ound

san

dw

ins

are

posi

tive

lyco

rrel

ated

,bu

tw

eca

nnot

conc

lude

that

gett

ing

mor

e

rebo

unds

caus

esm

ore

win

s,on

aver

age.

3.T

wo

vari

able

s,x

andy,

have

aco

rrel

atio

nof

0.75

.If

xha

sa

mea

nof

25an

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

n

of3,

andy

has

am

ean

of12

and

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of6,

whi

chof

the

follo

win

gis

the

leas

t-

squa

res

regr

essi

onlin

efo

rth

etw

ova

riab

les?

(A)

9—

25.5

+1.

5x(B

)9

=12

+1.

5x(C

)9

=12

+0.

75x

(D)

916

÷0.

75x

(E)

Not

enou

ghin

form

atio

n

...

4.D

ata

are

coll

ecte

don

the

amou

ntof

fat

(ingr

ams)

and

calo

ries

inth

efr

ench

fry

orde

rsat

nine

fast

food

rest

aura

nts.

The

leas

t-sq

uare

sre

gres

sion

line

for

the

data

is9

274.

34+

9.55

x,w

here

9is

the

pred

icte

dnu

mbe

rof

calo

ries

and

xis

gram

sof

fat.

Whi

chof

the

follo

win

gis

the

corr

ect

inte

rpre

tati

onof

the

slop

eof

the

leas

t-sq

uare

sre

gres

sion

line?

(A)

The

calo

ries

incr

ease

by9.

55,

onav

erag

e.

(B)

For

ever

yin

crea

sein

fat,

the

calo

ries

incr

ease

asw

ell.

(C)

Eve

ryin

crea

seof

1gr

amof

fat

caus

esan

incr

ease

of9.

55ca

lori

es.

(D)

For

ever

yin

crea

seof

1gr

amof

fat,

the

pred

icte

dca

lori

esin

crea

seby

9.55

.

(E)

For

ever

yin

crea

seof

1ca

lori

e,th

epr

edic

ted

gram

sof

fat

incr

ease

by9.

55.

5.T

hesc

atte

rplo

tbe

low

show

sda

tafo

rth

eni

nefr

ench

fry

orde

rsfr

omth

epr

evio

uspr

oble

m,

with

the

leas

t-sq

uare

sre

gres

sion

line

disp

laye

d.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isth

ebe

stes

tim

ate

ofth

eva

lue

ofth

ere

sidu

alfo

rth

epo

int

indi

cate

dby

the

arro

w?

(A)

-570

(B)

570

(C)

-60

(D)

60(E

)63

0

.,

620

560

5) 50

0 440

380

812

1620

2428

3236

fat

4.ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

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6.T

hesc

atte

rplo

tbe

low

show

sda

tafo

rth

eni

nefr

ench

fry

orde

rsfr

omth

epr

evio

uspr

oble

m.

Ate

nth

fast

food

chai

nha

sbe

enad

ded

,as

indi

cate

dby

the

arro

w.

How

wou

ldth

iste

nth

data

poin

taf

fect

the

slop

ean

dco

rrel

atio

nin

this

scen

ario

?

•.28

1216

2024

2832

36fa

t

(A)

Slo

pede

crea

ses,

corr

elat

ion

incr

ease

s(B

)S

lope

incr

ease

s,co

rrel

atio

nin

crea

ses

(C)

Slo

pein

crea

ses,

corr

elat

ion

dec

reas

es(D

)S

lope

decr

ease

s,co

rrel

atio

nd

ecre

ases

(E)

Can

not

bede

term

ined

wit

hout

the

full

set

ofda

ta

7.B

atte

rylif

eha

sa

stro

ng,

nega

tive

,li

near

rela

tion

ship

with

tem

pera

ture

.If

the

leas

t-sq

uare

sre

gres

sion

line

usin

gx

=te

mp

erat

ure

expl

ains

90%

ofth

eva

riat

ion

inba

tter

ylif

e,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

mus

tbe

the

corr

elat

ion,

r,be

twee

nba

tter

ylif

ean

dte

mpe

ratu

re?

(A)

-0.9

0(8

)0.

90(C

)-0

.95

(D)

0.95

(E)

Can

not

bede

term

ined

wit

hout

the

orig

inal

data

.

8.A

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

hous

ehol

dsis

take

n.Fo

rea

chho

useh

old,

the

num

ber

ofho

urs

spen

t

wat

chin

gte

levi

sion

and

the

pow

erco

nsum

ptio

n(in

kWh)

duri

nga

day

are

reco

rded

.T

heta

ble

belo

wsh

ows

com

pute

rou

tput

from

ali

near

regr

essi

onan

alys

ison

the

data

.

Pre

dict

orC

oef

SEC

oef

TP

Con

stan

t19

.31

2.86

216.

750.

000

Hou

rste

levi

sion

0.89

10.

2715

3.28

0.00

2

54.

185

R-S

q=

30.0

%R

-Sq(

adj)

=28

.9%

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

the

equa

tion

ofth

ele

ast-

squa

res

regr

essi

onlin

e?

(A)

2=

19.3

1+

0.89

1x

(B)

2=

2.86

21+

0.27

15x

(C)

2=

0.89

1+

19.3

1x(D

)2

=0.

2715

+2.

8621

x(E

)=

0.27

15+

0.89

1x

9.A

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

hous

ehol

dsis

take

n.Fo

rea

chho

useh

old,

the

num

ber

ofho

urs

spen

tw

atch

ing

tele

visi

onan

dth

epo

wer

cons

umpt

ion

(inkw

h)du

ring

ada

yar

ere

cord

ed.

The

tabl

ebe

low

show

sco

mpu

ter

outp

utfr

oma

line

arre

gres

sion

anal

ysis

onth

eda

ta.

Pre

dict

orC

oef

SEC

oef

TP

Con

stan

t19

.31

2.86

216.

750.

000

Hou

rste

levi

sion

0.89

10.

2715

3.28

0.00

2

S=

4.18

5R

-Sq

30.0

%R

-Sq(

adj)

=28

.9%

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

aco

rrec

tin

terp

reta

tion

ofr2

?

(A)

Num

ber

ofho

urs

ofte

levi

sion

expl

ains

30%

ofth

eva

riab

ility

inpo

wer

cons

umpt

ion.

(B)

30%

ofth

ein

crea

sein

num

ber

ofho

urs

ofte

levi

sion

isex

plai

ned

bypo

wer

cons

umpt

ion.

(C)

30%

ofth

eda

taw

illlie

onth

ele

ast-

squa

res

regr

essi

onlin

e.

(D)

30%

ofth

ere

sidu

als

will

bele

ssth

an4.

185.

(E)

All

ofth

eab

ove

are

corr

ect

inte

rpre

tati

ons

620

,,56

0-C 500 440

380

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

‘4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

...

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a-I—

I—

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Unit 2 Practice Free Response Question

The computer output below gives results from the linear regression analysis for predicting the

pounds of fuel consumed based on the distance traveled in miles for passenger aircraft. Data usedfor this analysis were obtained from ten randomly selected flights.

Predictor Coef SE Coef T PConstant -4702.64 1657 -2.84 0.022Distance (miles) 21.282 0.833 25.54 0.000

S = 2766.57 R-Sq = 98.8% R-Sq(adj)=98.3%

(a) What is the equation of the least-squares regression line that describes the relationship between

the distance traveled in miles and the pounds of fuel consumed? Define any variables used in thisequation.

(b) Below is a residual plot for the ten flights. Is it appropriate to use the linear regression equation

to make predictions? Explain.

6000

0

I aS

U-6000 —

(c) Interpret the y-intercept in the context of the problem. Is this value statistically meaningful?

+ STATS MEDIC

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O1t 3 Free Response 2016 #3

3. Alzheimer’s disease results in a loss of cognitive ability beyond what is expected with typical aging. A localnewspaper published an article with the following headline.

Study Finds Strong Association Between Smoking and Alzheimer’s 1The article reported that a study tracked the medical histories of 21,123 men and women for 23 years.The article stated that, for those who smoked at least two packs of cigarettes a day, the risk of developingAlzheimer’s disease was 2.57 times the risk for those who did not smoke.

(a) Identify the explanatory and response variables in the study.

Explanatory variable:

Response variable:

(b) Is the study described in the article an observational study or an experiment? Explain.

(c) Exercise status (regular weekly exercise versus no regular weekly exercise) was mentioned in the article as apossible confounding variable. Explain how exercise status could be a confounding variable in the study.

Source: Copyright © The College Board.*Ap is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not involved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product. + STATS MEDIC

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91afinUIii9.

Ii’r4Jp

Iij

11111N U X

I

iiihialtII,

illIL’‘Ii‘BU

liltliti

1.

1Iii

a

+

1

aa’

I;;+

.

.8

-S.

U

• a.

S

‘I,• 4’

Cz

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6.T

heD

epar

tmen

tof

Nat

ural

Res

ourc

es(D

NR

)is

plan

ning

ast

udy

tode

term

ine

whe

ther

brea

kwat

ers

help

dec

reas

eer

osio

nat

ala

rge

lake

.T

hey

divi

deth

esh

orel

ine

into

100-

foot

plot

s,

inst

allin

gso

me

with

brea

kwat

ers

and

som

ew

itho

ut.

How

ever

,th

eea

stan

dw

est

shor

elin

esof

this

lake

rece

ive

very

diff

eren

tw

ave

patt

erns

due

toth

ew

ind.

The

DN

Rsu

spec

tsth

isw

illaf

fect

the

resp

onse

sto

the

brea

kwat

ers.

Bec

ause

ofth

is,

the

DN

Rpl

ans

totr

eat

each

shor

elin

eas

adi

ffer

ent

grou

p.T

his

stud

yis

anex

ampl

eof

(A)

An

unco

ntro

lled

expe

rim

ent.

(B)

Abl

ocke

dde

sign

expe

rim

ent.

(C)

Am

atch

edpa

irs

expe

rim

ent.

(D)

Ast

rati

fied

rand

omsa

mpl

e.

(E)

Ara

ndom

ized

obse

rvat

iona

lst

udy.

7.Fo

rty

adul

tm

ales

volu

ntee

red

topa

rtic

ipat

ein

anex

peri

men

t.H

alf

ofth

emar

era

ndom

lyas

sign

ed

tota

kea

caff

eine

supp

lem

ent

befo

rew

orki

ngou

t,an

dth

eot

her

half

are

assi

gned

tota

kea

plac

ebo

befo

reco

mpl

etin

gth

esa

me

wor

kout

.D

urin

gth

ew

orko

ut,

hear

tra

tem

onit

ors

will

beus

edto

mea

sure

each

part

icip

ant’

she

art

rate

.T

hest

udy

foun

dth

atth

ose

who

took

aca

ffei

nesu

pple

men

t

had

sign

ific

antl

yhi

gher

aver

age

puls

era

tes

duri

ngth

ew

orko

ut.

Wha

tco

nclu

sion

can

bedr

awn

from

the

stud

y?

(A)

Tw

oex

peri

men

tal

grou

psof

20ea

chis

too

smal

lto

conc

lude

that

the

resu

lts

are

sign

ific

ant.

(B)

Tho

seth

atto

okth

eca

ffei

nesu

pple

men

tha

da

high

erav

erag

ehe

art

rate

duri

ngth

ew

orko

ut,

but

itw

ould

not

beco

rrec

tto

conc

lude

that

caff

eine

caus

edth

isto

occu

r.

(C)

The

caff

eine

supp

lem

ents

caus

edth

ehe

art

rate

sto

incr

ease

due

toth

epl

aceb

oef

fect

.

(D)

Caf

fein

esu

pple

men

tsw

ill,

onav

erag

e,ra

ise

the

hear

tra

tes

ofal

lad

ult

mal

esdu

ring

aw

orko

ut

sim

ilar

toth

eon

epe

rfor

med

inth

eex

peri

men

t.

(E)

Caf

fein

esu

pple

men

tsw

ill,

onav

erag

e,ra

ise

the

hear

tra

tes

ofad

ult

mal

essi

mila

rto

thos

ein

this

stud

ydu

ring

aw

orko

utsi

mila

rto

the

one

perf

orm

edin

the

expe

rim

ent.

.8.

The

foll

owin

g8

truc

km

odel

sw

illbe

used

inan

expe

rim

ent w

ithtw

otr

eatm

ents

.T

hetr

ucks

are

list

edac

cord

ing

toth

eir

mak

ean

dsi

ze.

Ifth

eex

peri

men

tus

esa

bloc

kde

sign

base

don

the

size

of

the

truc

ks,

whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

not

apo

ssib

lelis

tof

truc

ksth

atre

ceiv

eth

efi

rst

trea

tmen

t?

Mid

-siz

eF

ull

-siz

e

Chev

yC

olor

ado

Sil

vera

do

GM

CC

anyo

nSi

erra

Nis

san

Fro

ntie

rT

itan

To

yo

taT

acom

aT

undr

a

(A)

Col

orad

o,Si

erra

,F

ront

ier,

Tun

dra

(B)

Col

orad

o,C

anyo

n,T

itan,

Tac

oma

(C)

Col

orad

o,S

ilve

rado

,C

anyo

n,Si

erra

(D)

Can

yon,

Fro

ntie

r,T

itan,

Tun

dra

(E)

Sil

vera

do,

Fro

ntie

r,T

itan,

Tac

oma

9.D

iver

ticul

itis

isa

com

mon

inte

stin

alai

lmen

t.T

ote

sta

new

med

icat

ion,

aho

spit

alta

kes

50

volu

ntee

rsw

hoha

vea

mod

erat

eca

seof

the

dise

ase.

The

volu

ntee

rsar

era

ndom

lyas

sign

edto

two

trea

tmen

tgr

oups

,on

ere

ceiv

ing

the

old

med

icat

ion

and

one

rece

ivin

gth

ene

wm

edic

atio

n.T

hepi

lls

are

dist

ribu

ted

inun

mar

ked

pill

form

soth

atth

epa

tien

tsan

dm

edic

alpr

ofes

sion

als

dono

tkn

ow

whi

chm

edic

atio

nth

epa

tien

tis

taki

ng.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gst

atem

ents

is/a

retr

ue?

(A)

Ill

I.If

the

resu

lts

show

that

the

new

med

icat

ion

issi

gnif

ican

tlym

ore

effe

ctiv

eth

anth

eol

d

med

icat

ion,

we

can

conc

lude

that

the

new

med

icat

ion

will

bem

ore

effe

ctiv

efo

ral

lpe

ople

that

have

am

oder

ate

case

ofth

edi

seas

e.

II.T

hegr

oup

rece

ivin

gth

eol

dm

edic

atio

nse

rves

asa

cont

rol

grou

p.

Ill.

Thi

sis

anex

ampl

eof

ado

uble

-bli

ndex

peri

men

t.

(B)

Iand

II

(C)

Iand

Ill(D

)II

and

Ill(E

)I,

II,an

dIll

+ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

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10.

Ast

udy

isco

nduc

ted

tode

term

ine

ifth

ebl

uelig

htfr

oma

tab

let

devi

cew

illaf

fect

the

fall

asle

epti

me

ofpe

ople

inva

riou

sag

egr

oups

diff

eren

tly.

Vol

unte

ers

for

the

stud

yar

eg

rou

ped

byag

e:18

-30

,31

-50,

and

50+

.H

alf

ofea

chgr

oup

isas

sign

eda

stan

dard

tabl

et,

the

othe

rha

lfis

assi

gned

ata

ble

tw

ithre

duce

dbl

uelig

ht.

Peo

ple

inea

chgr

oup

are

aske

dto

use

the

tab

let

for

10m

inut

esbe

fore

bed

and

thei

rfa

llas

leep

tim

eis

reco

rded

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isco

rrec

t?

(A)

Blo

cks:

the

thre

eag

egr

oups

.T

reat

men

ts:

usin

gth

est

anda

rdta

ble

tor

the

redu

ced

blue

ligh

tta

ble

tbe

fore

bed.

Res

pons

eva

riab

le:

How

the

eyes

reac

tto

blue

light

.(B

)B

lock

s:th

eth

ree

age

grou

ps.

Tre

atm

ents

:m

easu

ring

how

long

itta

kes

tofa

llas

leep

.R

espo

nse

vari

able

:T

heho

urs

ofsl

eep

reco

rded

.

(C)

Str

ata:

the

thre

eag

egr

oups

.T

reat

men

ts:

usin

gth

est

anda

rdta

ble

tor

the

redu

ced

blue

light

tab

let

befo

rebe

d.R

espo

nse

vari

able

:H

owth

eey

esre

act

tobl

uelig

ht.

(D)

Blo

cks:

the

thre

eag

egr

oups

.T

reat

men

ts:

usin

gth

est

anda

rdta

ble

tor

the

redu

ced

blue

light

tab

let

befo

rebe

d.R

espo

nse

vari

able

:T

ime

itta

kes

tofa

llas

leep

.(E

)B

lock

s:th

egr

oup

rece

ivin

gth

est

anda

rdta

ble

tan

dth

egr

oup

rece

ivin

gth

ere

duce

dbl

uelig

htta

blet

.T

reat

men

ts:

usin

gth

est

anda

rdta

ble

tor

the

redu

ced

blue

ligh

tta

ble

tbe

fore

bed.

Res

pons

eva

riab

le:

Tim

eit

take

sto

fall

asle

ep.

ilimST

ATS

MED

IC

..

.

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Jnit 3 Practice Free Response Question

The two tires on a bicycle experience wear much in the same way car tires do; repeated contact with the roador sidewalk will wear down the raised rubber, giving the tire less traction. A major tire manufacturer hasdeveloped a new bicycle tire design they hope will reduce wear. After running several rounds of testing inlaboratory conditions, they want to test the tires in real-life biking conditions. They find 20 volunteers whobike on a daily basis. The volunteers are each given a new bike of the same model for the duration of theexperiment. The volunteers are to bike as they normally would for a month, then return the bike to have thewear of the tires measured, determined by millimeters of tire depth remaining. The manufacturer knowsthese results must be compared to their standard model tire, so they will use the standard model in theexperiment as a control group.

a) The manufacturer determines a matched pair design would be most appropriate to compare the wear ofthe new tire design to the standard design. Describe how to implement a matched pair design for thisexperiment.

b) Describe the primary advantage of using a matched pair design in the context of this experiment.

c) At the conclusion of the experiment, the manufacturer finds that the new tire design has experiencedstatistically significantly less wear than the standard tire design. Can the manufacturer infer that the new tirewill cause significantly less tire wear for all bikers? Explain.

+ STATS MEDIC

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__________

I

Unit 4 Free Response 2017 #3

3. A grocery store purchases melons from two distributors, J and K. Distributor 3 provides melons from organicfarms. The distribution of the diameters of the melons from Distributor J is approximately normal with mean133 millimeters (mm) and standard deviation 5 mm.

(a) For a melon selected at random from Distributor J, what is the probability that the melon will have adiameter greater than 137 mm?

Distributor K provides melons from nonorganic farms. The probability is 0.8413 that a melon selected at randomfrom Distributor K will have a diameter greater than 137 mm. For all the melons at the grocery store, 70 percentof the melons are provided by Distributor J and 30 percent are provided by Distributor K.

(b) For a melon selected at random from the grocery store, what is the probability that the melon will have adiameter greater than 137 mm?

(c) Given that a melon selected at random from the grocery store has a diameter greater than 137 mm, what isthe probability that the melon will be from Distributor 3?

Source: Copyright © The College Board.*Ap is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not involved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product.

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Uni

t4M

ulti

ple

Cho

ice

1.In

the

casi

noga

me

Rou

lett

e,a

bet

on“r

ed”

will

win

ifth

eba

llla

nds

onon

eof

the

18re

dnu

mbe

rs

ofth

e38

num

bers

onth

ew

heel

,w

ithea

chnu

mbe

rbe

ing

equa

lly

likel

y.Y

ouw

ant

toru

na

sim

ulat

ion

that

will

esti

mat

eth

epr

obab

ilit

yof

apl

ayer

win

ning

both

bets

whe

nbe

ttin

gon

red

twic

e.W

hich

of

the

foll

owin

gw

ould

bean

appr

opri

ate

setu

pfo

rth

esi

mul

atio

n:

I.U

sea

tabl

eof

rand

omdi

gits

tose

lect

one

num

ber

from

01to

38an

dth

ena

seco

nd

num

ber

from

01to

38.

Ifth

efi

rst

num

ber

isbe

twee

n01

and

18an

dth

ese

cond

num

ber

isbe

twee

n01

and

18,

then

the

play

erha

sw

onbo

thro

unds

.

II.U

sea

tabl

eof

rand

omdi

gits

tose

lect

two

num

bers

01-3

8,w

itho

utre

peat

s.If

both

num

bers

are

betw

een

01an

d18

,th

enth

epl

ayer

has

won

both

roun

ds.

Ill.

Use

ata

ble

ofra

ndom

digi

tsto

sele

cttw

onu

mbe

rs01

-19,

allo

win

gre

peat

s.If

both

num

bers

are

betw

een

01an

d09

,th

enth

epl

ayer

has

won

both

roun

ds.

(A)

I(B

)II

(C)

III(D

)Ia

ndII

(E)

I and

III

2.A

ta

sum

mer

cam

p,72

%of

the

cam

pers

part

icip

ate

inro

pecl

imbi

ngan

d26

%pa

rtic

ipat

ein

cano

eing

.83

%of

the

cam

pers

part

icip

ate

inro

pecl

imbi

ng,

cano

eing

,or

both

.W

hat

isth

e

prob

abil

ity

that

ara

ndom

lyse

lect

edca

mpe

rpa

rtic

ipat

esin

both

rope

clim

bing

and

cano

eing

?

(A)

0.11

(B)

0.15

(C)

0.69

(D)

0.98

(E)

Can

not

bede

term

ined

. 3.T

heta

ble

belo

wgi

ves

info

rmat

ion

onth

enu

mbe

rof

hous

esbu

ilt

inth

ree

diff

eren

tne

ighb

orho

ods

and

inth

ree

diff

eren

tde

cade

s.W

hich

one

ofth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

fals

e?

1960

s19

70s

1980

s

Sha

dyL

ane

4030

10

Oak

cres

t60

155

Pin

ewoo

dE

stat

es0

4515

(A)

Hou

ses

inP

inew

ood

Est

ates

and

hous

esbu

iltin

the

1960

sar

em

utua

lly

excl

usiv

e.

(B)

The

even

ts“h

ome

isin

Oak

cres

t”an

d“h

ome

was

buil

tin

1970

s”ar

edep

enden

t.

(C)

Ifa

hous

eis

sele

cted

atra

ndom

,th

epr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

eho

use

was

buil

tin

the

1980

sis

30/2

20.

(D)

The

prob

abil

ity

that

ara

ndom

lyse

lect

edho

me

was

buil

tin

the

1980

sor

isin

the

Oak

cres

t

neig

hbor

hood

is11

0/22

0.

(E)

The

prob

abil

ity

that

ara

ndom

lyse

lect

edho

use

inS

hady

Lan

ew

asbu

iltin

the

1960

sis

1/2

.

4.A

ccor

ding

tosc

hool

reco

rds,

your

scho

ol’s

soft

ball

team

win

s62

%of

the

tim

ew

hen

they

play

a

gam

eon

thei

rho

me

fiel

dan

d26

%of

the

tim

ew

hen

they

play

atth

eot

her

team

’sfi

eld.

Thi

sse

ason

,

they

play

45%

ofth

eir

gam

esat

thei

rho

me

fiel

d.A

ssum

ing

this

team

win

sat

the

sam

epa

ceas

prev

ious

team

s,w

hat

isth

epr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

eyw

ina

rand

omly

sele

cted

gam

eth

isse

ason

?

(A)

0.04

0(B

)0.

143

(C)

0.27

9CD

)0.

422

(E)

0.44

0

5.R

edun

dant

mon

itor

ing

mea

nsth

ata

sign

alis

sent

inm

ulti

ple

form

sor

path

sto

reac

hits

inte

nded

targ

et.

For

exam

ple,

anal

arm

may

bese

tup

tose

ndm

ulti

ple

sign

als

toa

secu

rity

com

pany

,ea

ch

ind

epen

den

tof

each

othe

rin

case

offa

ilure

alon

gon

epa

th.

Ifan

alar

mse

nds

off

four

sign

als

dow

n

diff

eren

tpa

ths,

and

each

has

a0.

65pr

obab

ilit

yof

reac

hing

the

secu

rity

com

pany

,w

hat

isth

e

prob

abil

ity

that

atle

ast

one

sign

alsu

cces

sful

lyre

ache

sth

ese

curi

tyco

mpa

ny?

(A)

0.01

5(B

)0.1

11

(C)

0.17

8(D

)0.

821

(E)

0.98

5

.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

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6.A

com

pany

adve

rtis

estw

oca

rti

rem

odel

s.T

henu

mbe

rof

thou

sand

sof

mile

sth

atth

est

anda

rd

mod

elti

res

last

has

am

ean

Ps=

60an

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

S5.

The

num

ber

ofm

iles

that

the

exte

nd

edlif

eti

res

last

has

am

ean

11E

=70

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

na5

=7.

Ifm

ilea

ges

for

both

tire

s

follo

wa

norm

aldi

stri

buti

on,

wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

ara

ndom

lyse

lect

edst

anda

rdm

odel

tire

will

get

mor

em

ilea

geth

ana

rand

omly

sele

cted

exte

nd

edlif

eti

re?

(A)

0.10

8(B

)0.

123

(C)

0.43

4(D

)0.

566

(E)

0.59

2

7.W

hen

play

ing

the

card

gam

eB

lack

jack

,m

ulti

ple

deck

sar

eus

edan

dre

shuf

fled

ofte

nso

that

the

outc

omes

ofth

eca

rds

deal

tar

eap

prox

imat

ely

inde

pend

ent.

Whe

na

play

erre

ceiv

estw

oca

rds

that

are

aco

mbi

nati

onof

anac

ean

da

face

card

,th

isis

call

eda

“nat

ural

blac

kjac

k”an

dau

tom

atic

ally

win

s.A

natu

ral

blac

kjac

ksh

ould

occu

rin

4.5%

ofth

ero

unds

play

ed.

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

a

play

erpl

ays

20ro

unds

ofB

lack

jack

and

gets

two

orm

ore

natu

ral

blac

kjac

ks?

(A)

0.05

9(B

)0.

168

(C)

0.22

7(D

)0.

773

(E)

0.90

0

8.By

one

esti

mat

e,3%

ofal

lS

iber

ian

Hus

kypu

ppie

sar

ebo

rnw

ithtw

odi

ffer

ent

colo

red

eyes

(cal

led

hete

roch

rom

iair

idum

).Fo

rra

ndom

sam

ples

of50

Sib

eria

nH

usky

pupp

ies,

wha

tar

eth

em

ean

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

the

num

ber

ofpu

ppie

sth

atw

illha

vetw

odi

ffer

ent

colo

red

eyes

?

(A)

p=

0.03

,a=

0.02

4(B

)p

=0.

03,a

=0.

171

(C)

p=

1.5,

a=

1.20

6(D

)p

=1.

5,a

=1.

455

(E)p

=3,a

=50

.

‘4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

4

9.U

sing

data

coll

ecte

dfr

om19

81to

2010

for

Ann

Arb

or,

MI

(GO

BLU

EI),

the

aver

age

“hig

h”

tem

per

atu

refo

rda

ysin

July

has

am

ean

of28

.9°

Cel

sius

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of3.

3°C

elsi

us.

Wha

tar

eth

em

ean

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

nif

the

tem

pera

ture

sar

eco

nver

ted

todeg

rees

Fah

renh

eit?

(A)

Mea

nis

84.0

2°F

,S

tand

ard

devi

atio

nis

1.83

°F.

(B)

Mea

nis

52.0

2°F

,S

tand

ard

devi

atio

nis

5.94

°F.

(C)

Mea

nis

84.0

2°F

,S

tand

ard

devi

atio

nis

5.94

°F.

(D)

Mea

nis

84.0

2°F

,S

tand

ard

devi

atio

nis

35.2

8°F

.

(E)

Mea

nis

84.0

2°F

,S

tand

ard

devi

atio

nis

37.9

4°F

.

10.

The

scor

eson

the

verb

alse

ctio

nof

the

Gra

duat

eR

ecor

dsE

xam

inat

ion

(GR

E)ar

eap

prox

imat

ely

norm

ally

dist

ribu

ted

with

am

ean

of15

0an

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

B.5

.W

hat

isth

epr

obab

ilit

yth

at

ara

ndom

lyse

lect

edsc

ore

onth

eve

rbal

sect

ion

ishi

gher

than

165?

(A)

0.01

8(B

)0.

039

(C)

0.96

1(D

)0.

982

(E)

Can

not

bede

term

ined

11.

The

fini

shin

gti

mes

ofa

5Kra

ceru

nby

com

peti

tive

mal

eru

nner

sag

e15

-18

are

appr

oxim

atel

y

norm

aldi

stri

buti

onw

itha

mea

nti

me

of18

min

utes

and

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of2

min

utes

.A

part

icul

arly

toug

h5K

race

tend

sto

take

thes

esa

me

runn

ers

4.5

addi

tion

alm

inut

es.

To

earn

a

com

plet

ion

med

alin

this

part

icul

ar5K

race

,th

eru

nner

mus

tco

mpl

ete

the

race

with

in25

min

utes

.

App

roxi

mat

ely,

wha

tpe

rcen

tof

com

peti

tive

mal

eru

nner

sin

the

15-1

8ag

ebr

acke

tty

pica

llydo

not

earn

aco

mpl

etio

nm

edal

atth

isra

ce?

(A)

App

roxi

mat

ely

0%

(B)

10.5

6%

(C)

14.0

8%

(D)

28.

93%

(E)

35.0

3%

‘4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

...

Page 73: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

.12

.A

poll

ster

aske

d10

0pe

ople

“If

mon

eyw

asno

ta

fact

or,

how

man

ych

ildr

enw

ould

you

like

to

have

?”T

here

sult

san

dth

eir

freq

uenc

ies

are

show

nin

the

(est

imat

ed)

prob

abil

ity

dist

ribu

tion

func

tion

tabl

ebe

low

.

X0

12

34

P<

)?

0.26

0.29

0.15

0.05

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

the

num

ber

ofch

ildr

ena

rand

omly

sele

cted

pers

onfr

omth

issa

mpl

e

wou

ldlik

eto

have

isle

ssth

anth

em

ean

ofX

?

(A)

0.25

(B)

0.49

(C)

0.51

(D)

0.80

(E)

1.49

., 15

.In

ala

rge

scho

oldi

stri

ct,

itis

know

nth

at25

%of

all

stud

ents

ente

ring

kind

erga

rten

are

alre

ady

read

ing.

Asi

mpl

era

ndom

sam

ple

of10

new

kind

erga

rten

ers

isdr

awn.

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

few

erth

anth

ree

ofth

emar

eab

leto

read

?

(A)

0.25

03

(B)

0.28

16

(C)

0.50

00

(D)

0.52

56

(E)

0.77

59

16.

Adi

cega

me

ata

loca

lca

rniv

alus

esa

10-s

ided

die

whi

chha

sbe

enri

gged

.T

heev

ennu

mbe

red

outc

omes

(2,

4,6,

8,an

d10

)ha

vebe

enm

ade

ligh

ter

soth

atth

eyar

eth

ree

tim

esm

ore

likel

yto

occu

ras

the

odd

num

bere

dou

tcom

es(1

,3,

5,7,

and

9).

Apl

ayer

that

rolls

anod

dnu

mbe

rw

ins

the

gam

e.W

hat

isth

epr

obab

ilit

yof

win

ning

this

gam

e?

13.

Em

ploy

ees

that

wor

kat

afi

shst

ore

mus

tm

easu

reth

ele

vel

ofni

trit

esin

the

wat

erea

chda

y.

Nitr

itele

vels

shou

ldre

mai

nlo

wer

than

5pp

mas

tono

tha

rmth

efi

sh.

The

nitr

ite

leve

lva

ries

acco

rdin

gto

adi

stri

buti

onth

atis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

with

am

ean

of3

ppm

.T

hepr

obab

ilit

yth

at

the

nitr

ite

leve

lis

less

than

2pp

mis

0.09

18.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

clos

est

toth

epr

obab

ilit

yth

at

ona

rand

omly

sele

cted

day

the

nitr

ite

leve

lw

illbe

atle

ast

5pp

m?

(A)

0.05

(B)

0.15

(C)

0.20

(D)0

.25

(E)

0.50

(A)

0.00

39

(B)

0.02

66

(C)

0.09

18

(D)

0.75

19

(E)

0.99

61

14.

Acc

ordi

ngto

ast

udy,

91%

ofal

lad

ults

have

ace

llph

one.

An

empl

oyee

ofa

cell

phon

eco

mpa

ny

atte

nd

sa

com

mun

ity

even

tan

dha

sa

spec

ial

offe

rto

give

tofi

rst

tim

ece

llph

one

owne

rs.

Ifsh

e

rand

omly

sele

cts

adul

tsin

atte

ndan

ceat

the

even

tan

dce

llph

one

owne

rshi

pis

ind

epen

den

tfr

om

adul

tto

adul

t,w

hat

isth

epr

obab

ilit

yth

atsh

eas

ks20

adul

tsk

fQre

find

ing

one

that

do

esno

tow

na

cell

phon

e?

(A)

(0.9

1)20

(0.0

9)

(B)

(0.0

9)20

(0.9

1)

(C)

20(0

.91)

20(0

.09)

(D)

20(0

.09)

20(0

.91)

(E)

20(0

.09)

(0.9

1)

17.

Air

lines

mus

tbe

awar

eof

the

wei

ght

ofth

eai

rcra

ftpl

usev

eryt

hing

onbo

ard.

Bas

edon

thou

sand

sof

flig

hts,

the

mea

nan

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

for

the

wei

ghts

ofse

vera

lit

ems

are

show

nin

the

tabl

e.T

hew

eigh

tsof

the

airp

lane

,peo

ple

/luggag

e,an

dfu

elar

eas

sum

edto

bein

depe

nden

t.

Item

Mea

n(in

Sta

ndar

dD

evia

tion

(in

tons

)to

ns)

Pla

ne45

2

Peo

ple

/lu

gg

age

101

Fuel

201

Let

the

rand

omva

riab

leT

repr

esen

tth

eto

tal

wei

ght

ofth

epl

ane,

peo

ple

/luggag

e,an

dfu

elfo

ra

rand

omly

sele

cted

flig

ht.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

clos

est

toth

est

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of7?

(A)

2.45

tons

(B)

4.00

tons

(C)

6.00

tons

(D)

75.0

tons

(E)

120

tons

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC4’

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 74: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

18.

Acc

ordi

ngto

the

Gui

nnes

sB

ook

ofW

orld

Rec

ords

,a

wom

anfr

omR

ussi

a,M

rs.

Vas

sily

eva,

had

69ch

ildr

enbe

twee

nth

eye

ars

1725

to17

65.

She

had

16pa

irs

oftw

ins,

7se

tsof

trip

lets

,an

d4

sets

ofqu

adru

plet

s.S

uppo

seon

eof

the

birt

hsis

rand

omly

sele

cted

.G

iven

that

Mrs

.V

assi

lyev

aga

ve

birt

hto

atle

ast

3ch

ildr

en(t

ripl

ets)

,w

hat

isth

epr

obab

ilit

yth

atsh

ega

vebi

rth

toqu

adru

plet

s?

(A)

4/27

(B)

7/11

(C)

3/11

(D)

3/27

(E)

4/11

20.

Bas

edon

stu

den

tre

cord

s,25

%of

the

stud

ents

ata

larg

ehi

ghsc

hool

have

aG

PAof

3.5

or

bett

er,

16%

ofth

est

uden

tsar

ecu

rren

tly

enro

lled

inat

leas

ton

eA

Pcl

ass,

and

12%

ofth

est

uden

ts

have

aG

PAof

3.5

orbet

ter

and

are

enro

lled

inat

leas

ton

eA

Pcl

ass.

Ifw

ese

lect

one

stud

ent

at

rand

om,

wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

the

stu

den

tha

sa

GPA

low

erth

an3.

5an

dis

not

taki

ngan

yA

P

clas

ses?

(A)

0.29

(B)

0.47

(C)

0.53

(D)

0.63

(E)

0.71

19.

Apa

rtic

ular

man

ufac

ture

rof

refr

iger

ator

sha

sco

me

unde

rfi

reas

thei

r$1

,700

LGA

mod

elha

s

fail

edfo

rasi

gnif

ican

tpo

rtio

nof

owne

rs.

The

LGA

mod

elof

ten

fail

edap

prox

imat

ely

1-2

year

saf

ter

purc

hase

,w

hich

isou

tsid

eth

ew

arra

nty

peri

od.

Acl

ass

acti

onla

wsu

itw

asfi

led

byow

ners

ofth

eLG

A

mod

elcl

aim

ing

that

the

man

ufac

ture

rsh

ould

repa

iror

repl

ace

the

units

.T

hela

wye

rre

pres

enti

ngth

e

clas

sac

tion

law

suit

obta

ined

alis

tof

LGA

owne

rsw

hoco

mpl

eted

regi

stra

tion

card

san

das

ked

a

sim

ple

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

1000

LGA

owne

rs,

“Is

your

LGA

refr

iger

ator

still

wor

king

?”H

eal

so

reco

rded

the

age

ofth

ere

frig

erat

orfr

omin

form

atio

npr

ovid

edon

the

regi

stra

tion

card

.H

ere

are

the

data

:

Aqe

ofth

eLG

AR

efri

qera

tor

Les

sth

an1

ito

2ye

ars

year

204

55

5116

5

Tot

alI

255

220

Mor

eth

an2

Tot

alye

ars

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

ara

ndom

lyse

lect

edLG

Are

frig

erat

oris

atle

ast

one

year

old

and

nolo

nger

wor

ks?

(A)

0.05

1(B

)0

13

5

(C)

0.48

0

(D)

0.53

1

(E)

0.90

4

.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

‘I’ST

ATS

MED

IC

.,.

Iy5

Wor

king

?I I

No

210

I46

9I

315

I53

1I

525

I10

00I

Page 75: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Hnit 4 Practice Free Response Question

The Big River Casino is advertising a new digital lottery-style game called Instant Lotto. The playercan win the following monetary prizes with the associated probabilities:

• 5% probability to win $10• 4% probability to win $15• 3% probability to win $30• 1% probability to win $50• 0.1% probability to win the Grand Prize, $1000.

(a) Calculate the expected value of the prize for one play of Instant Lotto.

(b) As a promotion, a visitor to the casino is given 20 free plays of Instant Lotto. What is theprobability that the visitor wins some prize at least twice in the 20 free plays?

(c) The number of people who play Instant Lotto each day is approximately normally distributed witha mean of 800 people and a standard deviation of 310 people. What is the probability that arandomly selected day has at least 1000 people play Instant Lotto?

+ STATS MEDIC

Page 76: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

11!

Unit 5 Free Response 2010 #2

2. A local radio station plays 40 rock-and-roll songs during each 4-hour show. The program director at the stationneeds to know the total amount of airtime for the 40 songs so that time can also be programmed during the showfor news and advertisements. The distribution of the lengths of rock-and-roll songs, in minutes, is roughlysymmetric with a mean length of 3.9 minutes and a standard deviation of 1.1 minutes.

(a) Describe the sampling distribution of the sample mean song lengths for random samples of 40 rock-and-rollsongs.

(b) If the program manager schedules 80 minutes of news and advertisements for the 4-hour (240-minute) show,only 160 minutes are available for music. Approximately what is the probability that the total amount oftime needed to play 40 randomly selected rock-and-roll songs exceeds the available airtime?

Source: Copyright © The College Board.*AP is a registered trademark of the College Board which was not irwolved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product.

Page 77: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Unit

5M

ult

iple

Choic

e

1.In

ala

rge

city

,46

%of

adul

tssu

ppor

tth

elo

cal

foot

ball

team

buil

ding

ane

wst

adiu

m.

Ifa

poll

is

take

nfr

oma

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

80ad

ults

inth

ela

rge

city

,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

prop

erly

desc

ribe

s

the

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

onof

the

sam

ple

prop

orti

onof

adul

tsw

hosu

ppor

tth

est

adiu

m?

(A)

=36

.8,r

4.46

,th

edi

stri

buti

onis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

.

(B)j

=36

.8,a

4.46

,sh

ape

ofth

edi

stri

buti

onis

unkn

own.

(C)

=0.

46,o

=0.

056,

the

dist

ribu

tion

isap

prox

imat

ely

norm

al.

(D)p

=0.

46,u

=0.

056,

shap

eof

the

dist

ribu

tion

isun

know

n.

(E)

=43

.2,u

4.46

,th

edi

stri

buti

onis

bino

mia

l.

2.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

true

?

(A)

Apa

ram

eter

isa

num

ber

that

desc

ribe

sso

me

char

acte

rist

icof

asa

mpl

e.

(B)

An

unbi

ased

esti

mat

oris

any

stat

isti

cth

atis

take

nfr

oma

sam

ple

chos

enby

rand

omm

etho

ds.

(C)

Asa

mpl

ing

dist

ribu

tion

isth

edi

stri

buti

onof

ast

atis

tic

calc

ulat

edfr

omal

lpo

ssib

lesa

mpl

esof

the

sam

esi

zefr

omth

esa

me

popu

lati

on.

(D)

The

vari

abili

tyof

apo

pula

tion

dist

ribu

tion

will

dec

reas

eas

the

sam

ple

size

incr

ease

s.

(E)

Ano

rmal

appr

oxim

atio

nca

nal

way

sbe

used

for

the

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

onof

aslo

ngas

the

sam

ple

size

isgre

ater

than

30.

3.T

hew

eigh

tof

asi

ngle

bag

chec

ked

byan

airp

lane

pas

senger

follo

ws

adi

stri

buti

onth

atis

righ

t

skew

edw

itha

mea

nof

38po

unds

and

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of6.

2po

unds

.If

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of96

bags

isse

lect

ed,

wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

the

aver

age

wei

ght

ofth

eba

gsex

ceed

s40

poun

ds?

(A)

0.00

08(B

)0.

0011

(C)

0.37

35(D

)0.

9992

(E)

Itis

not

appr

opri

ate

tous

ea

norm

aldi

stri

buti

onto

calc

ulat

epr

obab

ilit

yin

this

situ

atio

n.

.,...

4.B

elow

are

hist

ogra

ms

disp

layi

ngth

eva

lues

take

nby

thre

esa

mpl

est

atis

tics

inse

vera

lhu

ndre

d

sam

ples

from

the

sam

epo

pula

tion

.E

ach

hist

ogra

mha

sth

esa

me

scal

ean

dth

etr

ueva

lue

ofth

e

popu

lati

onpa

ram

eter

ism

arke

dby

anar

row

onea

chhi

stog

ram

.W

hich

stat

isti

cis

the

best

esti

mat

or

ofth

epa

ram

eter

?

AB

C

II

(A)

Sta

tist

icA

beca

use

Aan

dB

are

unbi

ased

but

Aha

shi

gher

vari

abili

ty.

(B)

Sta

tist

icB

beca

use

Aan

dB

are

unbi

ased

but

Bha

slo

wer

vari

abili

ty.

(C)

Sta

tist

icC

beca

use

itis

alw

ays

bet

ter

toun

dere

stim

ate

rath

erth

anov

eres

tim

ate.

(D)

Sta

tist

ics

Aor

Bbe

caus

eth

epo

pula

tion

para

met

eris

inth

ece

nter

ofth

esa

mpl

ing

dist

ribu

tion

s

for

both

.(E

)S

tati

stic

sA

,B

orC

beca

use

all

cont

ain

the

popu

lati

onpa

ram

eter

inth

esa

mpl

ing

dist

ribu

tion

s.

5.A

com

pany

inte

nds

toco

llec

ta

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

size

nfr

oma

popu

lati

onw

ithpo

pula

tion

prop

orti

onof

inte

rest

p.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

situ

atio

nsw

ould

resu

ltin

the

smal

lest

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

the

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

onof

i3?

(A)

The

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

p0.

5,an

dth

esa

mpl

esi

zeis

n.

(B)

The

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

p*

0.5,

and

the

sam

ple

size

isn.

(C)

The

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

p0.

5,an

dth

esa

mpl

esi

zeis

2n.

(D)

The

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

p*

0.5,

and

the

sam

ple

size

is2n

.

(E)

The

reis

not

enou

ghin

form

atio

npr

ovid

edto

dete

rmin

eth

esm

alle

stst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

ofth

e

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

on.

.,..........

..

iIIii

1IIIii1 I

+ST

ATS

MED

ICif

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 78: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

6.K

ent

coun

tyan

dO

akla

ndco

unty

are

loca

ted

onth

ew

est

and

east

side

sof

Mic

higa

n,re

spec

tive

ly.

Info

rmat

ion

abo

ut

the

year

lyho

useh

old

inco

me

isgi

ven

inth

eta

ble

belo

w.

Bot

hdi

stri

buti

ons

are

stro

ngly

skew

edri

ght.

Ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

0ho

useh

olds

ista

ken

from

each

ofth

eve

ryla

rge

popu

lati

ons.

Whi

chof

the

follo

win

gde

scri

bes

the

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

onof

the

diff

eren

cein

sam

ple

mea

ns?

nM

ean

(dol

lars

)S

td.

Dev

.(d

olla

rs)

Oak

land

Cou

nty

100

66,4

0048

,400

Ken

tC

ount

y10

054

,340

39700

(A)

=12

060,

=87

0,th

edi

stri

buti

onis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

(B)

=12

060,

=62

59.9

1,th

edi

stri

buti

onis

stro

ngly

skew

edri

ght

(C)

tiO

jK=

1206

0,0O

-2K

=62

59.9

1,th

edi

stri

buti

onis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

(D)

=12

060,

OK

=88

10,

the

dist

ribu

tion

isst

rong

lysk

ewed

righ

t(E

)i1

1O

1K

=12

060,u_

=88

10,t

hedi

stri

buti

onis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

7.A

rece

ntre

port

stat

esth

at89

%of

Am

eric

ans

cons

ider

them

selv

esab

ove

aver

age

driv

ers.

Alo

cal

new

spap

eris

plan

ning

onco

nduc

ting

asu

rvey

toin

vest

igat

ew

heth

erth

isis

true

loca

lly.

Ifth

ene

wsp

aper

assu

mes

that

the

89%

clai

mis

true

and

plan

sto

use

the

norm

alap

prox

imat

ion

toca

lcul

ate

prob

abil

itie

sas

soci

ated

with

thei

rsa

mpl

epr

opor

tion

,w

hich

sam

ple

size

wou

ldbe

mos

tap

prop

riat

e?(A

)10

(B)

11

(C)

30(D

)91

(F)

The

num

ber

dep

ends

onth

esi

zeof

the

popu

lati

on.

8.D

aren

and

Josh

are

pret

tygo

odfr

eeth

row

shoo

ters

.D

aren

mak

es75

%of

the

free

thro

ws

heat

tem

pts.

Josh

mak

es80

%of

his

free

thro

ws.

Sup

pose

we

take

sep

arat

era

ndom

sam

ples

of50

free

thro

ws

each

from

Dar

enan

dJo

sh,

and

reco

rdth

epr

opor

tion

offr

eeth

row

sth

atar

em

ade

byea

ch.

Whi

chof

the

follo

win

gbe

stde

scri

bes

the

sam

plin

gdi

stri

buti

onof

(A)

Str

ong

skew

,w

ithm

ean

-0.0

5an

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

0.08

3(B

)A

ppro

xim

atel

yno

rmal

,w

ithm

ean

-0.0

5an

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

0.08

3(C

)S

hape

cann

otbe

dete

rmin

ed,

with

mea

nof

-0.0

5an

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

0.08

3(D

)S

tron

gsk

ew,

with

mea

n-0

.05

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

n0.

118

(E)

App

roxi

mat

ely

norm

al,

with

mea

n-0

.05

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

n0.

118

9.D

onne

rS

umm

it,

Cal

ifor

nia,

isa

popu

lar

ski

reso

rtar

ea.

Ove

rth

epa

st60

year

s,th

ean

nual

snow

fall

tota

lsof

Don

ner

Sum

mit

have

foll

owed

adi

stri

buti

onth

atis

stro

ngly

skew

edri

ght

with

am

ean

of40

4in

ches

and

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of12

9in

ches

.If

man

ysa

mpl

esof

size

9w

ere

take

n,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

wou

ldbe

stde

scri

beth

esh

ape

ofth

esa

mpl

ing

dist

ribu

tion

oft?

(A)

The

shap

eis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

sinc

eth

esa

mpl

esi

zeis

reas

onab

lyla

rge.

(B)

The

shap

eis

skew

edri

ght

sinc

enp

10an

dn(1

—p)

10ha

veno

tbe

enm

et.

(C)

The

shap

eis

equa

lly

assk

ewed

righ

tas

the

popu

lati

ondi

stri

buti

on.

(D)

The

shap

eis

skew

edri

ght

but

less

soth

anth

epo

pula

tion

dist

ribu

tion

.

(E)

Can

not

bede

term

ined

from

the

give

nin

form

atio

n.

10.

The

heig

hts

ofal

lad

ult

mal

esin

Cro

atia

are

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

lydi

stri

bute

dw

itha

mea

nof

180c

man

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

7cm

.T

hehe

ight

sof

all

adul

tfe

mal

esin

Cro

atia

are

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

lydi

stri

bute

dw

itha

mea

nof

158

cman

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

9cm

.If

ind

epen

den

tra

ndom

sam

ples

of10

adul

tm

ales

and

10ad

ult

fem

ales

are

take

n,w

hat

isth

epr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

edi

ffer

ence

insa

mpl

em

eans

(mal

es—

fem

ales

)is

gre

ater

than

20cm

?

(A)

0.34

63

(B)

0.65

37

(C)

0.68

27

(D)

0.71

04

(E)

0.86

87

.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

0

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

•*

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nit 5 Practice Free Response Question

A regulation baseball can weigh no more than 149 grams. A factory produces baseballs with weightsthat are normally distributed with a mean of 146 grams and a standard deviation of 2.3 grams.

(a) If a baseball produced by the factory is randomly selected, what is the probability that it is withinregulation weight?

(b) The baseballs are shipped in boxes of 16. What is the probability that at least 15 of the 16baseballs in a pack are within regulation weight?

(c) The factory will not ship a box of 16 if the average weight of the baseballs in the box exceeds 147grams. What is the probability that a pack of 16 baseballs would have an average weight of morethan 147 grams?

+ STATS MEDIC

Page 80: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

..:

Unit 6 Free Response 2017 #2

2. The manager of a local fast-food restaurant is concerned about customers who ask for a water cup when placingan order but fill the cup with a soft drink from the beverage fountain instead of filling the cup with water. Themanager selected a random sample of 80 customers who asked for a water cup when placing an order and foundthat 23 of those customers filled the cup with a soft drink from the beverage fountain.

(a) Construct and interpret a 95 percent confidence interval for the proportion of all customers who, havingasked for a water cup when placing an order, will fill the cup with a soft drink from the beverage fountain.

(b) The manager estimates that each customer who asks for a water cup but fills it with a soft drink costs therestaurant $0.25. Suppose that in the month of June 3,000 customers ask for a water cup when placingan order. Use the confidence interval constructed in part (a) to give an interval estimate for the cost tothe restaurant for the month of June from the customers who ask for a water cup but fill the cup witha soft drink.

Source: Copyright © The College Board.*AP is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not involved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product.

Page 81: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Uni

t6

Mul

tipl

eC

hoic

e

1.A

nA

PS

tati

stic

scl

ass

surv

eys

24ra

ndom

lyse

lect

edfe

mal

est

uden

tsfr

omth

eir

high

scho

ol,

and

calc

ulat

esa

95%

conf

iden

cein

terv

alfo

rth

em

ean

heig

htof

fem

ale

stud

ents

tobe

63.4

±1.

6in

ches

.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

aco

rrec

tin

terp

reta

tion

ofth

isin

terv

al?

(A)

The

reis

a95

%pr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

etr

uem

ean

heig

htof

fem

ale

stud

ents

atth

esc

hool

falls

betw

een

61.8

and

65.0

inch

es.

(B)

We

can

be95

%co

nfid

ent

that

the

true

mea

nhe

ight

offe

mal

est

uden

tsat

the

scho

olis

63.4

inch

es.

(C)

95%

ofth

eti

me,

we

can

beco

nfid

ent

that

the

mea

nsa

mpl

ehe

ight

offe

mal

est

uden

tsw

illfa

ll

betw

een

61.8

and

65.0

inch

es.

(D)

We

can

be

95%

conf

iden

tth

atth

etr

uem

ean

heig

htof

fem

ale

stud

ents

atth

esc

hool

isbe

twee

n

61.8

and

65.0

inch

es.

(E)

The

reis

a95

%pr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

etr

uem

ean

heig

htof

fem

ale

stud

ents

atth

esc

hool

is63

.4

inch

es.

2.A

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

18ad

ults

,ch

osen

from

the

1500

adul

tsin

the

tow

n,to

oka

surv

eyas

king

thei

r

opin

ion

ona

rece

ntpr

oper

tyta

xch

ange

.25

%of

thos

ew

hore

sponded

said

they

wer

ein

favo

rof

the

chan

ge.

The

com

pany

runn

ing

the

surv

eyw

ants

toco

nstr

uct

aco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

esti

mat

ing

the

prop

orti

onof

all

adul

tsin

the

tow

nw

hosu

ppor

tth

ech

ange

.W

hich

ofth

eco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

e

have

been

sati

sfie

d?

I.R

ando

mco

ndit

ion

II.N

orm

alco

ndit

ion

III.

10%

cond

itio

n

(B)

II

(C)

Iand

Ill(D

)II

and

Ill(E

)I,

II,an

dIll

3.Fo

rw

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

sam

ples

wou

ldit

beap

prop

riat

eto

use

t-pr

oced

ures

for

infe

renc

efo

r

the

popu

lati

onm

ean?

(A)

Ill(B

)Ia

ndII

(C)

Iand

III

(D)

IIan

dIll

(E)

I,II,

and

III

I—1_fl

_II

II_sI

II

4.T

hest

uden

tsof

aS

tati

stic

scl

ass

wan

tto

esti

mat

eho

wm

any

year

sit

take

sfo

ra

univ

ersi

ty

prof

esso

rto

earn

aPh

D.

The

ysu

rvey

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of40

prof

esso

rsw

ithPh

Ds,

whi

chre

sult

sin

a

sam

ple

mea

nof

5.4

year

san

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

1.6

year

s.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

repr

esen

ts

the

95%

conf

iden

cein

terv

alfo

rth

etr

uem

ean

ofth

enu

mbe

rof

year

sit

take

sa

prof

esso

rto

earn

a

PhD

?

(A)

5.4

±1.

96(1

.6)

(B)

5.4

±1.

9616

40

(C)

5.4

±1

.96

--

(D)

5.4

+2.O

9-

—40

(E)

5.4

±2.O

9--

5.A

stud

yin

tend

sto

esti

mat

ea

popu

lati

onm

ean

with

anun

know

npo

pula

tion

stan

dard

devi

atio

n

and

asa

mpl

esi

zeof

15.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

clos

est

toth

eap

prop

riat

ecr

itica

lva

lue

tocr

eate

a

98%

conf

iden

cein

terv

al?

(A)

2.05

5(B

)2.

249

(C)

2.26

4(D

)2.

602

(E)

2.62

4

...

n=12

n=19

n=31

+ST

ATS

MED

IC+

STAT

SM

EDIC

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6.A

new

spap

erpl

ans

toco

nduc

ta

surv

eyfo

rth

eup

com

ing

pres

iden

tial

elec

tion

inor

der

toes

tim

ate

the

prop

orti

onof

the

popu

lati

on,

p.w

hosu

ppor

tsa

cert

ain

cand

idat

e.W

hat

isth

esm

alle

stsa

mpl

esi

zenee

ded

toob

tain

anes

tim

ate

that

isw

ithin

4%of

the

true

prop

orti

onpat

the

96%

conf

iden

cele

vel?

(A)

26(B

)37

6(C

)60

1(D

)66

0(E

)C

anno

tbe

dete

rmin

edfr

omin

form

atio

ngi

ven.

7.A

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

size

nis

coll

ecte

dfr

oma

cons

ider

ably

larg

erpo

pula

tion

ofsi

zeN

.T

hat

sam

ple

isus

edto

crea

tea

95%

conf

iden

cein

terv

alto

esti

mat

ea

popu

lati

onpr

opor

tion

.U

sing

the

sam

esa

mpl

epr

opor

tion

,th

eco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

wou

ldbe

narr

ower

if:

(A)

Asm

alle

rsa

mpl

esi

zew

asus

ed.

(B)

At-

proc

edur

ew

asus

edin

stea

dof

az-

proc

edur

e.(C

)A

high

erco

nfid

ence

leve

lw

asus

ed.

(D)

The

popu

lati

onsi

zeN

was

larg

er.

(E)

Alo

wer

conf

iden

cele

vel

was

used

.

8.E

lect

ric

vehi

cles

mak

eup

ave

rysm

all

prop

orti

onof

the

over

all

car

mar

ket,

but

byho

wm

uch

has

that

prop

orti

onin

crea

sed?

Ind

epen

den

tsu

rvey

sof

rand

omly

sele

cted

car

deal

ersh

ips

wer

eco

mpl

eted

,w

ith0.

1%of

the

10,0

00ca

rsso

ldin

the

2012

sam

ple

bein

gel

ectr

icve

hicl

es,

and

0.5%

perc

ent

ofth

e20

,000

cars

inth

e20

16sa

mpl

ebe

ing

elec

tric

vehi

cles

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

repr

esen

tsa

95%

conf

iden

cein

terv

alfo

rth

ech

ange

inth

epr

opor

tion

ofel

ectr

icca

rsso

ldfr

om20

12to

2016

?

(A)

(0.0

05—

0.00

1)±

1.96

/o.o

os_o

.oos

)+

0.0

01

(1-0

.00

1)

20

.00

01

0.0

00

(B)

(0.0

05—

0.00

1)±

1.65

/0.0

01(1

-0.0

05)

+0

.00

1(1

-0.0

01

)

‘q2

0,0

00

10

,00

0

(C)

(0.0

05—

0.00

1)±

1.96

/o.o

o37u

_o.0

o37)

+0

.00

37

(1—

0.0

03

7)

42

0,0

00

10

,00

0

(D)

(0.0

04)

+1.

96/0

00

4(1

_0

00

4)

30

.00

0

(E)

(0.0

037)

±1.

96/0

.0037(1

-0.0

037)

‘,43

0,0

00

9.A

rece

ntst

udy

exam

inin

gth

eef

fect

sof

suga

rco

nsum

ptio

non

am

iddl

esc

hool

stud

ent’

sab

ility

tofo

cus

ona

read

ing

assi

gnm

ent

used

18vo

lunt

eer

subj

ects

and

divi

ded

them

into

9pa

irs

base

don

thei

rre

adin

gsp

eeds

.O

nera

ndom

lyas

sign

edm

embe

rof

each

pair

was

give

na

beve

rage

cont

aini

nga

subs

tant

ial

amou

ntof

suga

r,an

dth

eot

her

dran

ka

suga

r-fr

eeve

rsio

nof

the

beve

rage

.E

ach

subj

ectw

asgi

ven

apa

ssag

eto

read

and

the

tim

e(in

seco

nds)

itto

okto

read

was

reco

rded

.T

hedi

ffer

ence

for

each

pair

isca

lcul

ated

(sug

ar—

suga

r-fr

ee).

A90

%co

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

mea

ndi

ffer

ence

inre

adin

gti

mes

is(-

5.8,

0.15

).

(A)

Bec

ause

the

cent

erof

the

inte

rval

is-2

.825

,w

eha

veco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

suga

rca

uses

fast

er

read

ing

tim

es,

onav

erag

e.(B

)B

ecau

seth

eco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

incl

udes

0,w

edo

n’t

have

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atsu

gar

caus

esfa

ster

read

ing

tim

es,

onav

erag

e.(C

)B

ecau

seth

eco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

incl

udes

0,w

eha

veco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

suga

rca

uses

fast

er

read

ing

tim

es,

onav

erag

e.(D

)B

ecau

seth

eco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

incl

udes

mor

ene

gati

veth

anpo

siti

veva

lues

,w

eha

veco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

suga

rca

uses

fast

erre

adin

gti

mes

,on

aver

age.

(E)

Cau

sati

onsh

ould

not

bein

ferr

edbe

caus

eth

esu

bjec

tsw

ere

volu

ntee

rs.

10.

Aso

cial

med

iade

velo

per

wan

tsto

dete

rmin

eif

the

prop

orti

onof

teen

ager

sw

hous

eF

aceb

ook

isth

esa

me

asth

epr

opor

tion

ofte

enag

ers

who

use

Sna

pcha

t.S

heta

kes

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

0te

enag

ers

and

find

sth

at75

ofth

e10

0st

uden

tsus

eF

aceb

ook

and

89of

the

100

stud

ents

use

Sna

pcha

t.W

ould

itbe

reas

onab

lefo

rth

eso

cial

med

iade

velo

per

toco

nstr

uct

a95

%co

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

true

diff

eren

cein

prop

orti

onof

teen

ager

sth

atus

eF

aceb

ook

and

Sna

pcha

t?

(A)

No,

the

rand

omco

ndit

ion

isno

tsa

tisf

ied.

(B)

No,

the

norm

alco

ndit

ion

isno

tsa

tisf

ied.

(C)

No,

the

two

sam

ples

are

not

inde

pend

ent.

(D)

Yes

,al

lco

ndit

ions

have

been

met

.(E

)C

anno

tbe

dete

rmin

edfr

omth

egi

ven

info

rmat

ion.

.

‘4’ST

ATS

MED

IC4’

STAT

SM

EDIC

.,,

Page 83: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

‘1

2

+

i, ii

g g a

‘St

2

+

,.40 4

Page 84: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

15.

As

the

tem

per

atu

reri

ses

inC

hica

go,

does

the

crim

era

teal

sori

se?

Usi

ngda

taav

aila

ble

from

the

Chi

cago

Polic

eD

epar

tmen

t,an

inte

rest

edci

tizen

reco

rded

the

high

tem

per

atu

rean

dnu

mbe

rof

crim

esre

port

edfo

r8

rand

omly

sele

cted

days

.

Tem

pera

ture

°F17

3546

5564

7884

89

Num

ber

ofC

rim

es56

6066

7071

7874

76

The

citiz

enw

ants

tofi

nda

conf

iden

cein

terv

alth

atca

nbe

used

toes

tim

ate

the

num

ber

ofad

diti

onal

crim

esth

atca

nbe

exp

ecte

dto

bere

port

edfo

rea

chdeg

ree

that

the

daily

high

tem

per

atu

re

incr

ease

sw

ith95

%co

nfid

ence

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isth

em

ost

appr

opri

ate

proc

edur

efo

rsu

chan

inve

stig

atio

n?

(A)

Ach

i-sq

uare

test

ofas

soci

atio

n

(B)

Ali

near

regr

essi

ont-

inte

rval

for

slop

e

(C)

Aon

e-sa

mpl

et-

inte

rval

for

am

ean

(D)

Atw

o-sa

mpl

et-

inte

rval

for

adi

ffer

ence

ofm

eans

(E)

Aon

e-sa

mpl

ez-

inte

rval

for

apr

opor

tion

16.

Ala

rge-

sam

ple

95pe

rcen

tco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

prop

orti

onof

cred

itca

rdcu

stom

ers

that

have

repo

rted

frau

dule

ntch

arge

son

thei

rac

coun

tis

(0.0

28,

0.08

6).

Wha

tis

the

poin

tes

tim

ate

for

the

prop

orti

onof

all

cred

itca

rdcu

stom

ers

that

have

repo

rted

frau

dule

ntch

arge

son

thei

rac

coun

t?

(A)

0.05

7

(B)

0.05

8

(C)

0.02

9

(D)0

.114

(E)

0.19

6

.

‘4.ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

17.

Aw

rite

rfo

ra

care

erm

agaz

ine

isw

orki

ngon

anar

ticl

eab

out

the

proj

ecte

dca

reer

earn

ings

for

coll

ege

grad

uate

sin

vari

ous

fiel

ds.

He

sele

cts

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of25

educ

ator

san

dsu

rvey

sth

em

abo

ut

thei

rcu

rren

tsa

lary

,th

enu

mbe

rof

year

sth

eyha

vew

orke

din

the

fiel

d,an

dth

eir

pay

rais

e

stru

ctur

e.B

ased

upon

this

info

rmat

ion

heco

mpu

tes

the

aver

age

proj

ecte

dca

reer

earn

ings

for

grad

uate

sw

ithdeg

rees

ined

ucat

ion

tobe

$2.5

mill

ion

doll

ars

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of0.

4

mill

ion

doll

ars.

Ass

umin

gal

lco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ear

em

et,

whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

a90

perc

ent

conf

iden

cein

terv

alfo

rth

em

ean

proj

ecte

dca

reer

earn

ings

for

grad

uate

sw

ithdeg

rees

Ined

ucat

ion?

‘A’

25

+17

110.

4

(B)

2.5

±1.

645(

0.04

)

‘C’

25

+1

960

0.4

‘I.-.

‘D’

25

+1

645

0.4

‘I.-.

(B)

2.5

±1.

960(

0.04

)

18.

Are

cent

arti

cle

clai

med

that

wom

enar

ew

aiti

nglo

nger

toha

veth

eir

firs

tch

ild.

The

arti

cle

esti

mat

esth

atth

eav

erag

eag

eof

firs

t-ti

me

mot

hers

is26

year

sol

d,w

hich

isup

from

21ye

ars

old

in

1970

.T

hem

argi

nof

erro

rfo

rth

ees

tim

ate

was

1.5

year

s.B

ased

onth

ees

tim

ate

and

the

mar

gin

of

erro

r,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isan

appr

opri

ate

conc

lusi

on?

(A)

95%

ofth

ew

omen

inth

est

udy

wer

e26

year

sol

dw

hen

they

had

thei

rfi

rst

child

.

(B)

The

age

ofev

ery

firs

t-ti

me

mot

her

inth

esa

mpl

em

ust

have

been

betw

een

24.5

and

27.5

year

s

old.

(C)

The

age

ofev

ery

firs

t-ti

me

mot

her

inth

esa

mpl

em

ust

have

been

betw

een

23an

d29

year

sol

d.

(D)

Thi

sst

udy

prov

esth

atw

omen

are

wai

ting

long

erto

have

thei

rfi

rst

child

.

(E)

Itis

plau

sibl

eth

atth

eav

erag

eag

eof

firs

t-ti

me

mot

hers

is27

year

sol

d.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

•*

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..

.19

.Ja

mes

has

ade

skjo

ban

dw

ould

like

tobe

com

em

ore

fit,

sohe

purc

hase

sa

trea

dw

alke

ran

da

stan

ding

desk

whi

chw

illal

low

him

tow

alk

ata

slow

pace

ashe

wor

ks.

How

ever

,he

isco

ncer

ned

that

stan

ding

and

wal

king

whi

lew

orki

ngm

ayca

use

his

prod

ucti

vity

tode

clin

e.A

fter

wor

king

this

way

for

6m

onth

she

take

sa

sim

ple

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

15da

ys.

He

reco

rds

how

long

hew

alke

dth

atda

y(in

hour

s)as

reco

rded

byhi

sfi

tnes

sw

atch

asw

ell

ashi

sbi

llab

leho

urs

for

that

day

asre

cord

edby

aw

ork

app

onhi

sco

mpu

ter.

Reg

ress

ion

Ana

lysi

s:B

illab

leho

urs

vers

usW

alk

tim

e

Pre

dic

tor

Co

efSE

Co

efT

PC

on

stan

t7.7

85

0.5

42

14

.36

30.0

00

Wal

kti

me

—0.

245

0.2

05

—1.

195

0.1

27

Ass

umin

gth

atal

lco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ear

em

et,

whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

a95

perc

ent

conf

iden

ce

inte

rval

for

the

aver

age

chan

gein

the

num

ber

ofbi

llab

leho

urs

for

each

incr

ease

of1

hour

spen

t

wal

king

?(A

)—

0.24

1.96

0(0.

205)

(B)

—0.

245

±2.

131(

0.20

5)

(C)

—0.

245

±2.

160(

0.20

5)

(D)

7.7

85±

1.96

0(0.

542)

(E)

7.78

2.16

0(0.

542)

20.

Acu

riou

sst

uden

tw

ante

dto

dete

rmin

eif

ther

ew

asa

diff

eren

cein

the

aver

age

pric

eof

aqu

arte

r

poun

dha

mbu

rger

inth

eU

nite

dS

tate

san

dJa

pan.

The

studen

tra

ndom

lyse

lect

ed15

McD

onal

d’s

rest

aura

nts

inth

eU

nite

dS

tate

san

d10

McD

onal

d’s

rest

aura

nts

inJa

pan

and

reco

rded

the

pric

esof

thei

rqu

arte

rpo

und

ham

burg

ers.

Pric

esof

the

quar

ter

poun

dha

mbu

rger

sin

Japa

nw

ere

conv

erte

d

toU

.S.

doll

ars.

The

data

are

sum

mar

ized

inth

eta

ble

belo

w.

Sam

ple

mea

nS

ampl

est

anda

rdde

viat

ion

Sam

ple

size

U.S

.4.

530.

2415

Japa

n4.

010.

3810

Cal

cula

tea

99pe

rcen

tco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

diff

eren

cein

mea

npr

ice

for

aqu

arte

rpo

und

ham

burg

erin

the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

and

Japa

n.

(A)

(4.5

3—

4.01

3.o

12

J—.

+-

(B)

(4.5

3—

4.01

)+

3.0

12.J

-f±

(C)

(0.2

4—

0.38

3.01

2((0

76)±

(O.3

8)(

62

))

(D)

(0.2

4—

0.38

3.0

12J(0

24076)

+(O

.38)

(8.6

2)

(E)

(4.5

3—

4.01

3.0

12J(0

24076)

+(O

.38

)(O

.62

)

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

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Unit 6 Practice Free Response Question

How much do Americans pay for coffee on average? In a 201 5 survey of 105 randomly selected U.S.adults, the respondents were asked what price they paid for their most recent purchase of coffee.The sample data had a mean of $3.42 and a standard deviation of $0.75.

(a) Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the mean price paid for coffee in 201 5 by allU.S. adults.

.

(b) In 2013, tax receipts show that Americans paid an average of $2.98 per coffee. Do the 2015survey results provide convincing evidence that the average price Americans pay for coffee haschanged? Explain your reasoning.

+ STATS MEDIC

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init 7 Free Response 2015 #4

4, A researcher conducted a medical study to investigate whether taking a low-dose aspirin reduces the chanceof developing colon cancer. As part of the study, l.(X)() adult volunteers were randomly assigned to one of twogroups. Half of the volunteers were assigned to the experimental group that took a 1owdose aspirin each day,and the other half were assigned to the control group that took a placebo each day. At the end of six years,15 of the people who took the low—dose aspirin had developed colon cancer and 26 of the people who tookthe placebo had developed colon cancer. At the significance level a = 0.05, do the data provide convincingstatistical evidence that taking a low-dose aspirin each day would reduce the chance of developing colon canceramong all people similar to the volunteers?

Sourco Copyright © The College Board.*AP is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not involved in the production of, TATS IV! ED I Cand does not endorse, this product.

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Unit 7 Free Response 2017 #5 .5. The table and the bar chart below summarize the age at diagnosis. in years. for a random sample of 207 men and

women currently being treated for schizophrenia.

0

I

AgeGroup (years)

Age-Group (years)

ID Men 0 WomenI

Do the data provide convincing statistical evidence of an association between age-group and gender in thediagnosis of schizophrenia?

.

Source: Copyright © The College Board.*AP is a registered trademark of the College Board, which was not iiwolved in the production of,

and does not endorse, this product. + STATS MEDIC

I I —I I

Women 46 40 2 I

20 to 2) 30 to 39 3() to 49 50 to 59 Total

1 1912

Men 53 23 9 3 8.

Total 99 63 30 15 207

20 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59

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Uni

t 7M

uftip

leC

hoic

e

1.A

Sta

tist

ics

clas

sfr

oma

high

scho

olw

ith4,

000

stud

ents

took

asu

rvey

ofth

efi

rst

35st

uden

tsw

ho

wal

ked

thro

ugh

the

fron

tdo

orof

the

scho

ol,

and

aske

dho

wfa

rth

eytr

avel

edto

scho

olth

atda

y.T

he

clas

spl

ans

toru

na

one-

sam

ple

t-te

stto

dete

rmin

eif

the

aver

age

trav

eldi

stan

ceha

sin

crea

sed

sinc

e

last

year

.T

hest

uden

tsno

tice

that

the

sam

ple

data

are

righ

tsk

ewed

.W

hich

cond

itio

nsha

vebe

en

sati

sfie

dfo

rth

et-

test

?

I.T

hesa

mpl

eis

from

ara

ndom

sam

ple

orra

ndom

ized

expe

rim

ent.

II.T

hesa

mpl

ing

dist

ribu

tion

ofsa

mpl

em

eans

isap

prox

imat

ely

norm

al.

Ill.

The

sam

ple

size

issm

all

rela

tive

toth

epo

pula

tion

.

(A)

Ill(B

)I a

ndII

(C)

I and

Ill

(D)

IIan

dIll

(E)

I,II,

and

Ill

2.A

nad

vert

iser

wan

tsto

find

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atte

levi

sion

view

ers

rem

embe

rm

ore

than

4

com

mer

cial

s,on

aver

age,

afte

rw

atch

ing

a30

min

ute

TVpr

ogra

m.

The

yta

kea

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

100

tele

visi

onvi

ewer

san

das

kth

emho

wm

any

com

mer

cial

sth

eyco

uld

rem

embe

raf

ter

wat

chin

ga

30m

inut

eTV

prog

ram

.T

heap

prop

riat

et-

test

was

cond

ucte

d,w

hich

resu

lted

ina

P-va

lue

of0.

15.

Ass

umin

gal

lco

ndit

ions

wer

em

et,

whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

anap

prop

riat

eco

nclu

sion

?

(A)

Bec

ause

the

P-va

lue

isle

ssth

an0.

05,

atth

e5%

sign

ific

ance

leve

l,th

ere

isno

tco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

tele

visi

onvi

ewer

sre

mem

ber

mor

eth

an4

com

mer

cial

s,on

aver

age,

afte

rw

atch

ing

a

30m

inut

eTV

prog

ram

.(B

)B

ecau

seth

eP-

valu

eis

gre

ater

than

0.05

,at

the

5%si

gnif

ican

cele

vel,

ther

eis

conv

inci

ng

evid

ence

that

tele

visi

onvi

ewer

sre

mem

ber

few

erth

an4

com

mer

cial

s,on

aver

age,

afte

rw

atch

ing

a

30m

inut

eTV

prog

ram

.

(C)

Bec

ause

the

P-va

lue

isgre

ater

than

0.01

,at

the

1%si

gnif

ican

cele

vel,

ther

eis

not

conv

inci

ng

evid

ence

that

tele

visi

onvi

ewer

sre

mem

ber

mor

eth

an4

com

mer

cial

s,on

aver

age,

afte

rw

atch

ing

a

30m

inut

eTV

prog

ram

.(D

)B

ecau

seth

eP-

valu

eis

gre

ater

than

0.01

,at

the

1%si

gnif

ican

cele

vel,

ther

eis

conv

inci

ng

evid

ence

that

tele

visi

onvi

ewer

sre

mem

ber

exac

tly

4co

mm

erci

als,

onav

erag

e,af

ter

wat

chin

ga

30

min

ute

TVpr

ogra

m.

(E)

Bec

ause

the

P-va

lue

isle

ssth

an0.

01,

atth

e1%

sign

ific

ance

leve

l,th

ere

isco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

tele

visi

onvi

ewer

sre

mem

ber

few

erth

an4

com

mer

cial

s,on

aver

age,

afte

rw

atch

ing

a30

min

ute

TVpr

ogra

m.

.,

..

3.A

fter

com

plet

ing

ast

atis

tica

lan

alys

isof

asu

rvey

of40

stud

ents

,th

epr

inci

pal

ofN

orth

Hig

h

Sch

ool

mad

eth

efo

llow

ing

conc

lusi

on:

reje

ctth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

;th

ere

isco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

mor

eth

an50

%of

stud

ents

supp

ort

asc

hedu

lech

ange

toha

velu

nch

occu

rea

rlie

rin

the

day.

Whi

ch

erro

rco

uld

have

been

com

mit

ted?

(A)

Typ

eIe

rror

:C

oncl

ude

that

mor

eth

an50

%of

stud

ents

wan

tea

rlie

rlu

nch,

whe

n50

%or

less

wan

t

earl

ier

lunc

h.(B

)T

ype

Ierr

or:

Con

clud

eth

atm

ore

than

50%

ofst

uden

tsw

ant

earl

ier

lunc

h,w

hen

mor

eth

an50

%

wan

tea

rlie

rlu

nch.

(C)

Typ

eII

erro

r:Fa

ilto

reje

ctth

at50

%of

stud

ents

wan

tea

rlie

rlu

nch,

whe

nm

ore

than

50%

wan

t

earl

ier

lunc

h.(D

)T

ype

IIer

ror:

Fail

tore

ject

that

50%

ofst

uden

tsw

ant

earl

ier

lunc

h,w

hen

50%

orle

ssw

ant

earl

ier

lunc

h.(E

)T

ype

IIer

ror:

Fail

tore

ject

that

mor

eth

an50

%of

stud

ents

wan

tea

rlie

rlu

nch,

whe

n50

%or

less

wan

tea

rlie

rlu

nch.

4.A

sign

ific

ance

test

was

cond

ucte

dus

ing

the

hypo

thes

esH

0:P

N—

PH

0,H

:P

N—

PH

<0

whe

re

PN

isth

etr

uem

ean

num

ber

offo

uls

call

eddu

ring

gam

espl

ayed

atne

utra

lsi

tes

and

PHis

the

true

mea

nnu

mbe

rof

foul

sca

lled

duri

ngga

mes

play

edat

the

hom

ete

am’s

stad

ium

with

are

sult

ing

P

valu

eof

0.24

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isan

accu

rate

inte

rpre

tati

onof

this

P-v

alue

?

(A)

The

reis

a24

%pr

obab

ilit

yth

atth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

istr

ue.

(B)

Ifth

ete

stw

ere

rep

eate

dm

any

tim

es,

we

wou

ldco

rrec

tly

reje

ctth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

24%

ofth

e

tim

e.(C

)If

the

test

wer

ere

pea

ted

man

yti

mes

,w

ew

ould

inco

rrec

tly

fail

tore

ject

the

null

hypo

thes

is24

%

ofth

eti

me.

(D)

Ifth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

istr

ue,

ther

eis

a24

%pr

obab

ilit

yof

gett

ing

asa

mpl

edi

ffer

ence

inm

eans

as

far

orfa

rthe

rbe

low

0as

the

diff

eren

cefo

und

inth

esa

mpl

es.

(E)

Ifth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

isfa

lse,

ther

eis

a24

%pr

obab

ilit

yof

gett

ing

asa

mpl

edi

ffer

ence

inm

eans

asfa

ror

fart

her

belo

w0

asth

edi

ffer

ence

foun

din

the

sam

ples

.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC4’

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 90: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

iiIii

11111it!”1111144444ggQg

9ggQ

.

‘p

a‘U

I:;;+ .

SIPtg1fl

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+

Page 91: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

10.

Bel

owis

com

pute

routp

ut

from

the

leas

tsq

uare

sre

gres

sion

anal

ysis

onth

ebo

dym

ass

inde

x,B

MI,

and

perc

ent

body

fat

for

10ra

ndom

lyse

lect

edad

ult

mal

es.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gre

pres

ents

the

95%

conf

iden

cein

terv

alfo

rth

esl

ope

ofth

ere

gres

sion

line

rela

ting

BMI

and

perc

ent

body

fat

for

the

popu

lati

onof

adul

tm

ales

?

Pre

dict

orC

oef

SEC

oef

TP

Con

stan

t-2

0.09

62.

786

-7.2

130.

000

BMI

1.69

50.

2280

7.43

20.

000

S=

3.19

5R

-Sq

=87

.3%

R-S

q(ad

j)=

86.8

%

(A)

—20

.096

±2.

21(2

.786

)(B

)1.

695

±7.

432(

0.22

80)

(C)

1.69

2.30

6(0.

2280

)(D

)1.

695

±2.

262(

0.22

80)

(E)

1.69

2.22

8(0.

2280

)

11.

A20

-oun

ceso

dabo

ttle

issu

ppos

edto

cont

ain

20ou

nces

ofso

da.

The

dist

ribu

tion

ofth

eac

tual

amou

ntof

soda

ina

20-o

unce

soda

bott

leis

appr

oxim

atel

yno

rmal

.A

curi

ous

stu

den

tra

ndom

ly

sele

cts

fift

een

20-o

unce

soda

bott

les

from

vari

ous

reta

iler

san

dca

refu

llym

easu

res

thei

rco

nten

tto

see

ifth

eso

daco

mpa

nyis

chea

ting

the

cust

omer

s.T

hem

ean

and

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

the

fift

een

bott

les

is19

.4ou

nces

and

0.25

ounc

es,

resp

ecti

vely

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isth

ete

stst

atis

tic

for

the

appr

opri

ate

test

tode

term

ine

ifth

eav

erag

eam

ount

ofso

dath

atis

cont

aine

din

thei

r20

-oun

ce

soda

bott

les

issi

gnif

ican

tly

less

than

20-o

unce

s?

12.

Ast

udy

cond

ucte

dby

apr

ofes

sor

atW

ayne

sbur

gU

nive

rsity

inve

stig

ated

whe

ther

tim

epe

rcep

tion

isim

pair

edw

hen

com

plet

ing

the

last

exam

ple

prob

lem

just

prio

rto

the

star

tof

fall

brea

k.

The

prof

esso

rti

med

how

long

itto

okto

com

plet

eth

ela

stex

ampl

epr

oble

m(in

seco

nds)

,th

enas

ked

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

stud

ents

toes

tim

ate

how

long

itto

okto

com

plet

eth

epr

oble

m(in

seco

nds)

.

Let

pre

pres

ent

the

aver

age

diff

eren

cein

time

(act

ual

time

—es

tim

ated

tim

e)it

took

toco

mpl

ete

the

prob

lem

for

all

stud

ents

.S

hew

ould

like

toin

vest

igat

ew

heth

erth

ere

will

beco

nvin

cing

stat

isti

cal

evid

ence

that

the

stud

ents

over

esti

mat

eth

eti

me

itto

okto

com

plet

eth

epr

oble

m,

onav

erag

e.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

the

corr

ect

hypo

thes

esfo

rth

iste

st?

(A)H

o:p

=0andH

:p0

(B)H

o:p

=O

and

Ha:

p>

0

(C)H

o:u

=0andH

:p<

0

(D)H

o:p

>0andH

:p<

0

(E)H

o:p

<0andH

=0

13.

A21

-yea

rol

dco

lleg

est

uden

tsu

bmit

sa

phot

oto

the

web

site

“Gue

ssM

yA

ge”.

At

ala

ter

dat

ehe

chec

ksba

ckan

dth

ousa

nds

ofus

ers

have

mad

egu

esse

sab

out

his

age.

Of

the

foll

owin

g,w

hich

isth

ebes

tpr

oced

ure

toin

vest

igat

ew

heth

erth

ere

isco

nvin

cing

stat

isti

cal

evid

ence

that

,on

aver

age,

heis

perc

eive

dto

bele

ssth

an21

year

sol

d?

(A)

One

sam

ple

t-te

stfo

ra

mea

n(B

)O

nesa

mpl

ez-

test

for

apr

opor

tion

(C)

Mat

ched

-pai

rst-

test

for

am

ean

diff

eren

ce(D

)T

wo-

sam

ple

t-te

stfo

rth

edi

ffer

ence

betw

een

two

mea

ns

(E)

Ach

i-sq

uar

ete

sto

fas

soci

atio

n

14.

Stu

den

tsin

ast

atis

tics

clas

sw

ou

ldlik

eto

inves

tigat

eif

mor

eth

antw

o-t

hir

ds

ofth

eE

arth

isw

ater

.

To

answ

erth

isques

tion,

studen

tsto

ssed

anin

flat

able

glo

be

back

and

fort

h.A

fter

each

catc

h,

the

studen

tre

cord

edw

het

her

the

tip

ofth

eir

poin

ter

fin

ger

ofth

eir

righ

th

and

was

onw

ater

or

land

.In

50to

sses

,th

eir

fin

ger

was

onw

ater

38ti

mes

.A

ssum

ing

all

condit

ions

for

infe

ren

cear

em

et,

do

the

dat

ap

rov

ide

conv

inci

ngst

atis

tica

lev

iden

ceat

the

sign

ific

ance

leve

lof

a=

0.05

that

mor

eth

antw

o-

thir

dsof

the

Ear

this

wat

er?

(A)

Yes

,be

caus

eth

ep-

valu

eof

0.76

isgr

eate

rth

anth

esi

gnif

ican

cele

vel

of0.

05.

(B)

Yes

,be

caus

eth

ep-

valu

eof

0.08

isg

reat

erth

anth

esi

gnif

ican

cele

vel

of0.

05.

(C)

Yes

,be

caus

eth

ep-

valu

eof

0.05

isle

ssth

anth

esi

gnif

ican

cele

vel

of0.

08.

(D)

No,

beca

use

the

p-va

lue

of0.

08is

gre

ater

than

the

sign

ific

ance

leve

lof

0.05

.

(E)

No,

beca

use

the

p-va

lue

of0.

03is

less

than

the

sign

ific

ance

leve

lof

0.05

.

.

.,

.

19.4

—20

(A)

t=

,lT

t19

.4—

20(B

)z=

,j(O

.25)

(1_O

.25)

15

20—

19.4

(C)

t=

0.2

5)(

1-0

.25)

20

—1

9.4 19

.4—

20(E

)z=

(0.2

5)(0.7

5)(j+

)

+ST

ATS

MED

IC4’

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 92: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

15.

Acc

ordi

ngto

the

Nat

iona

lA

ssoc

iati

onof

Col

lege

san

dE

mpl

oyer

s,th

em

ean

sala

ryfo

ra

new

coll

ege

gra

du

ate

is$4

5,32

7.A

smal

lco

lleg

ew

ants

tokn

owif

the

mea

nsa

lary

ofth

eir

mos

tre

cent

grad

uate

sis

gre

ater

than

$45,

327.

Ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

rece

ntgr

adua

tes

from

the

smal

lco

lleg

e

was

sele

cted

and

the

mea

nan

dst

anda

rdde

viat

ion

ofth

esa

lary

for

thos

egr

adua

tes

was

foun

d.W

ith

all

cond

itio

nsfo

rin

fere

nce

met

,a

sign

ific

ance

test

was

cond

ucte

dan

da

p-va

lue

of0.

045

was

obta

ined

.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

the

mos

tap

prop

riat

eco

nclu

sion

usin

ga

sign

ific

ance

leve

lof

a=

0.05

?

(A)

The

reis

conv

inci

ngst

atis

tica

lev

iden

ceth

atth

em

ean

sala

ryfo

ral

lre

cent

coll

ege

grad

uate

sfr

om

the

smal

lco

lleg

eis

gre

ater

than

$45,

327.

(B)

The

reis

conv

inci

ngst

atis

tica

lev

iden

ceth

atth

em

ean

sala

ryfo

rth

esa

mpl

eof

10co

lleg

e

grad

uate

sfr

omth

esm

all

coll

ege

isgr

eate

rth

an$4

5,32

7.

(C)

The

reis

not

conv

inci

ngst

atis

tica

lev

iden

ceth

atth

em

ean

sala

ryfo

ral

lre

cent

coll

ege

grad

uate

s

from

the

smal

lco

lleg

eis

gre

ater

than

$45,

327.

(D)

The

reis

not

conv

inci

ngst

atis

tica

lev

iden

ceth

atth

em

ean

sala

ryfo

rth

esa

mpl

eof

10co

lleg

e

grad

uate

sfr

omth

esm

all

coll

ege

isg

reat

erth

an$4

5,32

7.

(E)

The

reis

not

conv

inci

ngst

atis

tica

lev

iden

ceth

atth

egr

adua

tes

from

this

coll

ege

will

alw

ays

earn

mor

eth

an$4

5,32

7.

16.

Afi

nanc

ial

anal

yst

wan

tsto

inve

stig

ate

the

rela

tion

ship

betw

een

the

annu

alst

arti

ngsa

lary

ofne

w

empl

oyee

sat

ala

rge

firm

vers

usye

ars

ofed

ucat

ion

the

empl

oyee

has

(bey

ond

high

scho

ol).

The

anal

yst

sele

cted

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of18

new

empl

oyee

san

dre

cord

edth

eir

star

ting

sala

ryan

dho

w

man

yye

ars

ofed

ucat

ion

they

have

beyo

ndhi

ghsc

hool

.T

heco

mpu

ter

outp

utof

anan

alys

isof

sala

ry

vers

usye

ars

ofed

ucat

ion

issh

own

inth

eta

ble.

Reg

ress

ion

Ana

lysi

s:Sa

lary

(in$1

,000

)ve

rsus

Edu

cati

on

Pre

dic

tor

ConS

SE

Co

ef

TP

Consta

nt

25.8

40

3.8

03

Educati

on

13.4

862

0.5

310

Ass

umin

gth

atal

lco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ear

em

et,

whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gis

the

app

rop

riat

ete

stst

atis

tic

for

test

ing

the

null

hypo

thes

isth

atth

esl

ope

ofth

epo

pula

tion

regr

essi

onlin

eeq

uals

0?

(A)

0

(B)

0.16

3

(C)

1

(D)

1.54

(E)

25.4

0

.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

17.

At

the

coun

tyfa

irth

ere

are

man

yga

me

boot

hs.

One

boot

hha

sa

priz

e

whe

elw

ith8

equa

lse

ctor

s:2

ofw

hich

are

red,

2of

whi

char

ew

hite

,2

of

whi

char

eye

llow

,an

d2

ofw

hich

are

gree

n.It

cost

s$1

tosp

inth

ew

heel

.

The

rear

e4

poss

ible

“pri

zes”

.If

the

play

erla

nds

onon

eof

the

gree

n

sect

ors,

they

win

$5.

Ifth

eyla

ndon

aye

llow

sect

or,

they

win

asm

all

emoj

i

stuf

fed

toy.

Ifth

eyla

ndon

aw

hite

sect

or,

they

get

ati

cket

tori

deth

eFe

rris

whe

el.

Ifth

eyla

ndon

are

dse

ctor

,th

eyw

inno

thin

g.B

ecau

seyo

usu

spec

t

that

the

whe

elis

not

fair

,yo

uw

atch

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

0pe

ople

play

the

gam

e.H

ere

are

the

find

ings

: Col

orR

edW

hite

Gre

enY

ello

w

Obs

erve

d48

225

25

Exp

ecte

d25

2525

25

Ach

i-sq

uare

good

ness

offi

tte

stw

asco

nduc

ted

tode

term

ine

whe

ther

the

data

prov

ide

conv

inci

ng

evid

ence

that

the

whe

elis

not

fair

.T

hete

stst

atis

tic

was

37.5

2.W

hich

stat

emen

tis

twe?

(A)

At

the

sign

ific

ance

leve

la

=0.

05,

the

data

dono

tpr

ovid

eco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

the

whe

elis

not

fair

.

(B)

At

the

sign

ific

ance

leve

la

=0.

05,

the

data

prov

ide

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceth

atth

ew

heel

isno

tfa

ir.

(C)

No

valid

conc

lusi

onca

nbe

mad

ebe

caus

eth

eob

serv

edfr

eque

ncy

for

one

cell

is5.

(D)

The

chi-

squa

rest

atis

tic

has

100—

1=

99d

egre

esof

free

dom

.

(E)

The

whe

elm

ayno

tbe

fair

,bu

tth

ega

me

isfa

irbe

caus

eal

lof

the

exp

ecte

dva

lues

are

equa

l.

18.

Acr

edit

card

com

pany

clai

ms

that

the

mea

nti

me

the

cust

omer

ssp

end

onho

ldis

3.5

min

utes

.

An

empl

oyee

ofth

isco

mpa

nybe

liev

esth

atcu

stom

ers

spen

dm

ore

than

3.5

min

utes

onho

ld.

A

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

rs=

36ca

llsis

sele

cted

and

the

mea

nti

me

the

cust

omer

sin

this

sam

ple

spen

ton

hold

was

5.15

min

utes

.A

llco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ew

ere

met

and

the

p-va

lue

for

the

appr

opri

ate

hypo

thes

iste

stw

as0.

031.

Whi

chof

the

follo

win

gst

atem

ents

isth

ebe

stin

terp

reta

tion

ofth

ep

valu

e?

(A)

The

reis

a0.

031

prob

abil

ity

that

the

alte

rnat

ive

hypo

thes

isis

true

.

(B)

The

reis

a0.

031

prob

abil

ity

that

the

null

hypo

thes

isis

true

.

(C)

Ifth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

istr

ue,

ther

eis

a0.

031

prob

abil

ity

offi

ndin

gco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

5.15

min

utes

isg

reat

erth

an3.

5m

inut

es.

(D)

Ifth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

istr

ue,

the

prob

abil

ity

offi

ndin

gco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

the

null

hypo

thes

isis

true

is0.

031.

(E)

Ifth

enu

llhy

poth

esis

istr

ue,

the

prob

abil

ity

ofob

serv

ing

asa

mpl

em

ean

ofat

leas

t5.

15m

inut

es

is0.

031.

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

Page 93: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

.19

.A

mac

hine

that

mak

esdi

mes

isad

just

edto

mak

eth

emat

diam

eter

1.9

cm.

Pro

duct

ion

reco

rds

show

that

whe

nth

em

achi

neis

prop

erly

adju

sted

,it

will

mak

edi

mes

with

am

ean

diam

eter

of1.

9cm

and

with

ast

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of0.

1cm

.D

urin

gpr

oduc

tion

,an

insp

ecto

rch

ecks

the

diam

eter

sof

dim

esto

see

ifth

em

achi

neha

ssl

ippe

dou

tof

adju

stm

ent.

Ara

ndom

sam

ple

of64

dim

esis

sele

cted

.T

hein

spec

tor

wou

ldlik

eto

det

ect

ifth

etr

uem

ean

diam

eter

happ

ens

tore

ach

1.95

cmat

a

sign

ific

ance

leve

lof

a=

0.01

.H

ede

term

ines

the

pow

erof

this

test

tobe

0.92

28.

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

the

insp

ecto

rw

illm

ake

aT

ype

IIE

rror

?

(A)

0.01

(B)

0.03

85

(C)

0.05

(D)

0.07

72

(E)

0.92

28

20.

An

oran

geju

ice

man

ufac

ture

rad

vert

ises

ane

wor

ange

juic

epr

oduc

tth

atco

ntai

ns50

%le

ss

suga

r.T

his

new

prod

uct

isex

pec

ted

toin

crea

sepr

ofit

ssu

bsta

ntia

lly

beca

use

they

crea

teth

e50

%

less

suga

rpr

oduc

tby

repl

acin

g50

%of

the

juic

ew

ithw

ater

whi

lese

lling

itfo

rth

esa

me

pric

e.A

n

insp

ecto

rw

ants

toin

vest

igat

ew

heth

erth

eac

tual

per

centa

ge

ofw

ater

inth

epr

oduc

tis

with

in5%

of

the

inte

nded

50%

.H

ese

lect

sa

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

500

cont

aine

rsof

oran

geju

ice

and

dete

rmin

ed

the

per

cen

tag

eof

each

that

isw

ater

.H

epl

ans

toco

nduc

ta

sign

ific

ance

test

atth

ea

=0.

01le

vel

to

see

ifth

ere

isco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

that

the

prop

orti

onof

wat

erad

ded

isdi

ffer

ent

from

0.50

.W

hat

is

the

prob

abil

ity

that

the

insp

ecto

rm

akes

aT

ype

Ierr

or?

(A)

0.01

(B)

0.05

(C)0

.10

(D)

0.45

(E)

0.50

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

Page 94: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Unit 7 Practice Free Response Question

An online streaming service providing television programs claims that a 30-minute program willstream with advertisements that average 45 seconds. A consumer advocacy group is investigating tosee if this claim is true. They recorded the times of 21 randomly selected advertisements. The timesare listed below:

The mean and standard deviation for these times are 46.67 seconds and 2.78 seconds respectively.Do these data provide convincing evidence that the true mean advertisement length is longer than45 seconds?

.

.+ STATS MEDIC

Page 95: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

Formulas for AP Statistics

Descriptive Statistics

— 1x = —x1 =n n

s =

___

- _)2 =

= a + bx

1

____ ____

n—I ç s ) s,

11. Probability and Distributions

= a + b

sb =

sx

III.

P(A u B) = P(A) + F(B) - P(A n B) P(A IB)= P(AnB)

Probability Distribution Mean Standard Deviation

Discrete random variable, X = E(X) = x1P(xii =(x. —p)2P(x.)

If X has a binomial distributionwith parameters n and p, then: = Jiip(1

p)

‘ ti — xP(X = x) = IflpX (1— p)

X)

where x = 0, 1, 2, 3, ,n

If X has a geometric distribution1 Ji—pwith parameter p, then: =; =x— 1 pP(X=x)=(1—p) p

where x = 1, 2, 3,

Sampling Distributions and Inferential Statistics

statistic — parameterStandardized test statistic:

standard error of the statistic

Confidence interval: statistic ± (critical value)(standard error of statistic)

Chi-square statistic: 2 = (observed — expected)2expected

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III. Sampling Distributions and Inferential Statistics (continued)

Sampling distributions for proportions:

Random Parameters of Standard Error*

Variable Sampling Distribution of Sample Statistic

For onepopulation: p = p =

= l—n

Fortwo= Ifr1O_k1)+k2(1_2)

S. -populations: Ip1(1— p1) p2(l

p2) p1-p22 u. =1 +

l —

= p1 — p1_2 fl1 112

When p1 = p2 is assumed:

=O- )(!+±S.1P2 C fl flJ

— x1 +where fr —C

Sampling distributions for means:

Random Standard Error*Parameters of Sampling Distribution

f Sample StatisticVariable o

For one0 S

population: p = p cr-= - =

For twopopulations:

A1_X, — + = +

l— ‘2 - A2 S,?

- “2 fl1 fl2

Sampling distributions for simple linear regression:

Random Standard Error*Parameters of Sampling Distribution

Variable of Sample Statistic

SSb =

xFor slope: — U S ‘In —

- I-,

b x

2 where= (y

n-2where

X = 12 I(x. j2

and SX n—i

*Standard deviation is a measurement of variability from the theoretical population. Standard error is the estimate of the standard deviation. If thestandard deviation of the statistic is assumed to be known, then the standard deviation should be used instead of the standard error.

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Table entry for is theprobability lying below

Table A Standard normal probabilities

z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09

—3.4 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0002—3.3 .0005 .0005 .0005 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0003—3.2 .0007 .0007 .0006 .0006 .0006 .0006 .0006 .0005 .0005 .0005—3.1 .0010 .0009 .0009 .00009 .0008 .0008 .0008 .0008 .0007 .0007—3.0 .0013 .0013 .0013 .0012 .0012 .0011 .0011 .0011 .0010 .0010—2.9 .0019 .0018 .0018 .0017 .0016 .0016 .0015 .0015 .0014 .0014—2.8 .0026 .0025 .0024 .0023 .0023 .0022 .0021 .0021 .0020 .0019—2.7 .0035 .0034 .0033 .0032 .0031 .0030 .0029 .0028 .0027 .0026—2.6 .0047 .0045 .0044 .0043 .004! .0040 .0039 .0038 .0037 .0036—2.5 .0062 .0060 .0059 .0057 .0055 .0054 .0052 .0051 .0049 .0048—2.4 .0082 .0080 .0078 .0075 .0073 .0071 .0069 .0068 .0066 .0064—2.3 .0107 .0104 .0102 .0099 .0096 .0094 .0091 .0089 .0087 .0084—2.2 .0139 .0136 .0132 .0129 .0125 .0122 .0119 .0116 .0113 .0110—2.1 .0179 .0174 .0170 .0166 .0162 .0158 .0154 .0150 .0146 .0143—2.0 .0228 .0222 .0217 .0212 .0207 .0202 .0197 .0192 .0188 .0183— 1.9 .0287 .0281 .0274 .0268 .0262 .0256 .0250 .0244 .0239 .023 3—1.8 .0359 .035! .0344 .0336 .0329 .0322 .0314 .0307 .0301 .0294—1.7 .0446 .0436 .0427 .0418 .0409 .0401 .0392 .0384 .0375 .0367—1.6 .0548 .0537 .0526 .0516 .0505 .0495 .0485 .0475 .0465 .0455*1.5 .0668 .0655 .0643 .0630 .0618 .0606 .0594 .0582 .0571 .0559—1.4 .0808 .0793 .0778 .0764 .0749 .0735 .0721 .0708 .0694 .0681—1.3 .0968 .0951 .0934 .0918 .0901 .0885 .0869 .0853 .0838 .0823—1.2 .1151 .1131 .1112 .1093 .1075 .1056 .1038 .1020 .1003 .0985—1.1 .1357 .1335 .1314 .1292 .1271 .1251 .1230 .1210 .1190 .1170—1.0 .1587 .1562 .1539 .1515 .1492 .1469 .1446 .1423 .1401 .1379—0.9 .1841 .1814 .1788 .1762 .1736 .1711 .1685 .1660 .1635 .1611—0.8 .2119 .2090 .2061 .2033 .2005 .1977 .1949 .1922 .1894 .1867—0.7 .2420 .2389 .2358 .2327 .2296 .2266 .2236 .2206 .2177 .2148—0.6 .2743 .2709 .2676 .2643 .2611 .2578 .2546 .2514 .2483 .2451—0.5 .3085 .3050 .3015 .2981 .2946 .2912 .2877 .2843 .2810 .2776—0.4 .3446 .3409 .3372 .3336 .3300 .3264 .3228 .3192 .3 156 .3121—0.3 .3821 .3783 .3745 .3707 .3669 .3632 .3594 .3557 .3520 .3483—0.2 .4207 .4168 .4129 .4090 .4052 .4013 .3974 .3936 .3897 .3859—0.1 .4602 .4562 .4522 .4483 .4443 .4404 .4364 .4325 .4286 .4247—0.0 .5000 .4960 .4920 .4880 .4840 .4801 .4761 .4721 .4681 .4641

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Table entty for is theprobability lying below

.

Table A (Co,,tinued)

z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09

0.0 .5000 .5040 .5080 .5120 .5160 .5199 .5239 .5279 .5319 .53590.1 .5398 .5438 .5478 .5517 .5557 .5596 .5636 .5675 .5714 .57530.2 .5793 .5832 .5871 5910 .5948 .5987 .6026 .6064 .6103 .6141

0.3 .6179 .6217 .6255 .6293 .6331 .6368 .6406 .6443 .6480 .6517(>.4 .6554 .6591 6628 .6664 .67000 .6736 .6772 .6808 .6844 .68790.5 .6915 .6950 .6985 .7019 .7054 .7088 .7123 .7157 .7190 .72240.6 .7257 .7291 .7324 .7357 .7389 .7422 .7454 .7486 .7517 .75490.7 .7580 .761 1 .7642 .7673 .7704 .7734 .7764 .7794 .7823 .78520.8 .7881 .7910 .7939 .7967 .7995 .8023 .8051 .8078 .8106 .81330.9 .8159 .8186 .8212 .8238 .8264 .8289 .8315 .8340 .8365 .83891.0 .8413 .8438 .8461 .8485 .8508 .8531 .8554 .8577 .8599 .86211.1 .8643 .8665 .8686 .8708 .8729 .8749 .8770 .8790 .8810 .88301.2 .8849 .8869 .8888 .8907 .8925 .8944 .8962 .8980 .8997 .90151.3 .9032 .9049 .9066 .9082 .9099 .9115 .9131 .9147 .9162 .91771.4 .9192 .9207 .9222 .9236 .9251 .9265 .9279 .9292 .9306 .93 191.5 .9332 .9345 .9357 .9370 .9382 .9394 .9406 .9418 .9429 .94411,6 .9452 .9463 .9474 .9484 .9495 .9505 .9515 .9525 .9535 .95451.7 .9554 .9564 .9573 .9582 .9591 .9599 .9608 .9616 .9625 .96331.8 .9641 .9649 .9656 .9664 .9671 .9678 .9686 .9693 .9699 .97061.9 .9713 .9719 .9726 .9732 .9738 .9744 .9750 .9756 .9761 .97672.0 .9772 .9778 .9783 .9788 .9793 .9798 .9803 .9808 .9812 .98172.1 .9821 .9826 .9830 .9834 .9838 .9842 .9846 .9850 .9854 .98572.2 .9861 .9864 .9868 .9871 .9875 .9878 .9881 .9884 .9887 .98902.3 .9893 .9896 .9898 .9901 .9904 .9906 .9909 .9911 .9913 .99 162.4 .9918 .9920 .9922 .9925 .9927 .9929 .9931 .9932 .9934 .99362.5 .9938 .9940 .9941 .9943 .9945 .9946 .9948 .9949 .9951 .99522.6 .9953 .9955 .9956 .9957 .9959 .9960 .996! .9962 .9963 .99642.7 .9965 .9966 .9967 .9968 .9969 .9970 .997! .9972 .9973 .99742.8 .9974 .9975 .9976 .9977 .9977 .9978 .9979 .9979 .9980 .99812.9 .9981 .9982 .9982 .9983 .9984 .9984 .9985 .9985 .9986 .99863.0 .9987 .9987 .9987 .9988 .9988 .9989 .9989 .9989 .9990 .99903.! .9990 .9991 .999! .9991 .9992 .9992 .9992 .9992 .9993 .99933.2 .9993 .9993 .9994 .9994 .9994 .9994 .9994 .9995 .9995 .99953.3 .9995 .9995 .9995 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9996 .99973.4 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9998

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Table entry for p andC is the point t withprobability p lyingabove it andprobability C lyingbetween _t* and e.

Table B t distribution critical values

Tail probability p

df .25 .20 .15 .10 .05 .025 .02 .01 .005 .0025 .001 .0005

2345678

100t00000

1.000 1.376 t.963 3.078 6.314 12.71 15.89 31.82 63.66 127.3 318.3 636.6.816 l.06t 1.386 1.886 2.920 4.303 4.849 6.965 9.925 14.09 22.33 3t.60.765 .978 1.250 1.638 2.353 3.182 3.482 4.541 5.841 7.453 10.21 12.92.741 .941 1.190 t.533 2.132 2.776 2.999 3.747 4.604 5.598 7.173 8.610.727 .920 1.156 1.476 2.0t5 2.571 2.757 3.365 4.032 4.773 5.893 6.869.718 .906 1.134 1.440 1.943 2.447 2.612 3.143 3.707 4.317 5.208 5.959.711 .896 1,119 1.415 1.895 2.365 2.517 2.998 3.499 4.029 4.785 5.408.706 .889 1.108 1.397 1.860 2.306 2.449 2.896 3.355 3.833 4.501 5.041.703 .883 1.100 1.383 1.833 2.262 2.398 2.821 3.250 3.690 4.297 4.781.700 .879 1.093 1.372 1.812 2.228 2.359 2.764 3.169 3.581 4.144 4.587.697 .876 1.088 1.363 1.796 2.201 2.328 2.718 3.106 3.497 4.025 4.437.695 .873 1.083 1.356 1.782 2.179 2.303 2.681 3.055 3.428 3.930 4.318.694 .870 1.079 1.350 1.771 2.160 2.282 2.650 3.012 3.372 3.852 4.221.692 .868 1.076 1.345 1.761 2.145 2.264 2.624 2.977 3.326 3.787 4.140.691 .866 1.074 1.341 1.753 2,131 2.249 2.602 2.947 3.286 3.733 4.073.690 .865 1.071 1.337 1.746 2.120 2.235 2.583 2.921 3.252 3.686 4.015.689 .863 1.069 1.333 1.740 2.110 2.224 2.567 2.898 3.222 3.646 3.965.688 .862 1.067 1.330 1.734 2.101 2.214 2.552 2.878 3.197 3.611 3.922.688 .861 1.066 1.328 1.729 2.093 2.205 2.539 2,861 3.174 3.579 3.883.687 .860 1.064 1.325 1.725 2.086 2.197 2.528 2.845 3.153 3.552 3.850.686 .859 1.063 1.323 1.721 2.080 2.189 2.518 2.831 3.135 3.527 3.819.686 .858 1.061 1.321 1.717 2.074 2.183 2.508 2.819 3.119 3.505 3.792.685 .858 1.060 1.319 1.714 2.069 2.177 2.500 2.807 3.104 3.485 3.768.685 .857 1.059 1.318 1.711 2.064 2.172 2.492 2.797 3.091 3.467 3.745.684 .856 1.058 1.316 1.708 2.060 2.167 2.485 2.787 3.078 3.450 3,725.684 .856 1.058 1.315 1.706 2.056 2.162 2.479 2.779 3.067 3.435 3.707.684 .855 1.057 1.314 1.703 2.052 2.158 2.473 2.771 3.057 3.421 3.690.683 .855 1.056 1.313 1.701 2.048 2.154 2.467 2.763 3.047 3.408 3.674.683 .854 1.055 1.311 1.699 2.045 2.150 2.462 2.756 3.038 3.396 3.659.683 .854 1.055 1.310 1.697 2.042 2.147 2.457 2.750 3.030 3.385 3.646.681 .851 1.050 1.303 1.684 2.021 2.123 2.423 2.704 2.971 3.307 3.551.679 .849 1.047 1.299 1.676 2.009 2.109 2.403 2.678 2,937 3.261 3.496.679 .848 1.045 1.296 1.671 2.000 2.099 2.390 2.660 2.915 3.232 3.460.678 .846 1.043 1.292 1.664 1.990 2.088 2.374 2.639 2.887 3.195 3.416.677 .845 1.042 1.290 1.660 1.984 2.081 2.364 2.626 2.871 3.174 3.390.675 .842 1.037 1.282 1.646 1.962 2.056 2.330 2.581 2.813 3.098 3.300.674 .841 1.036 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.054 2.326 2.576 2.807 3.091 3.291

50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99.5% 99.8% 99.9%

Confidence level C

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Table entry for p is the point

(x2) with probability p lying

above it.

Table C ,2 critical values

109.1 111.7 114.7

.

(x2)

Tail probability p

df .25 .20 .15 .10 .05 .025 .02 .01 .005 .0025 .001 .0005

23456789

10111213141516171819202122232425262728293040506080

100

1,32 1.64 2.07 2.71 3.84 5.02 5.41 6.63 7.88 9.14 10.83 12.122.77 3.22 3.79 4.61 5.99 7.38 7.82 9.21 10.60 11.98 13.82 15.204.11 4.64 5.32 6.25 7.81 9.35 9.84 11.34 12.84 14.32 16.27 17.735.39 5.99 6.74 7.78 9.49 11.14 11.67 13.28 14.86 16.42 18.47 20.006.63 7.29 8.12 9.24 11.07 12.83 13.39 15.09 16.75 18.39 20.51 22.117.84 8.56 9.45 10.64 12.59 14.45 15.03 16.81 18.55 20.25 22.46 24.109.04 9.80 10.75 12.02 14.07 16.01 16.62 18.48 20.28 22.04 24.32 26.02

10.22 11.03 12.03 13.36 15.51 17.53 18.17 20.09 21.95 23.77 26.12 27.8711.39 12.24 13.29 14.68 16.92 19.02 19.68 21.67 23.59 25.46 27.88 29.6712.55 13.44 14.53 15.99 18.31 20.48 21.16 23.21 25.19 27.11 29.59 31.4213.70 14.63 15.77 17.28 19.68 21.92 22.62 24,72 26.76 28.73 31.26 33.1414.85 15.81 16.99 18.55 21.03 23.34 24.05 26.22 28.30 30.32 32.91 34.8215.98 16.98 18.20 19.81 22.36 24.74 25.47 27.69 29.82 31.88 34.53 36.4817.12 18.15 19.41 21.06 23.68 26.12 26.87 29.14 31.32 33.43 36.12 38.1118.25 19.31 20.60 22.31 25.00 27.49 28.26 30.58 32.80 34.95 37.70 39.7219.37 20.47 21.79 23.54 26.30 28.85 29.63 32.00 34.27 36.46 39.25 41.3120.49 21.61 22.98 24.77 27.59 30.19 31.00 33.41 35.72 37.95 40.79 42.8821.60 22.76 24.16 25.99 28.87 31.53 32.35 34.81 37.16 39.42 42.31 44.4322.72 23.90 25.33 27.20 30.14 32.85 33.69 36.19 38.58 40.88 43.82 45.9723.83 25.04 26.50 28.41 31.41 34.17 35.02 37.57 40.00 42.34 45.31 47.5024.93 26.17 27.66 29.62 32.67 35.48 36.34 38.93 41.40 43.78 46.80 49.0126.04 27.30 28.82 30.81 33.92 36.78 37.66 40.29 42.80 45.20 48.27 50.5127.14 28.43 29.98 32.01 35.17 38.08 38.97 41.64 44.18 46.62 49.73 52.0028.24 29.55 31.13 33.20 36.42 39.36 40.27 42.98 45.56 48.03 51.18 53.4829.34 30.68 32.28 34.38 37.65 40.65 41.57 44.31 46.93 49.44 52.62 54.9530.43 31.79 33.43 35.56 38.89 41.92 42.86 45.64 48.29 50.83 54.05 56.4131.53 32.91 34.57 36.74 40.11 43.19 44.14 46.96 49.64 52.22 55.48 57.8632.62 34.03 35.71 37.92 41.34 44.46 45.42 48.28 50.99 53.59 56.89 59.3033.71 35.14 36.85 39.09 42.56 45.72 46.69 49.59 52.34 54.97 58.30 60.7334.80 36.25 37.99 40.26 43.77 46.98 47.96 50.89 53.67 56.33 59.70 62.1645.62 47.27 49.24 51.81 55.76 59.34 60.44 63.69 66.77 69.70 73.40 76.0956.33 58.16 60.35 63.17 67.50 71.42 72.61 76.15 79.49 82.66 86.66 89.5666.98 68.97 71.34 74.40 79.08 83.30 84,58 88.38 91.95 95.34 99.61 102.788.13 90.41 93.11 96.58 101.9 106.6 108.1 1 12.3 116.3 120.1 124.8 128.3

1 18.5 124.3 129.6 131.1 135.8 140.2 144.3 149.4 153.2

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Sta

tsM

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Sta

tist

ics

Pra

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sets

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ace

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the

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%.

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can

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ajor

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can

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95%

of

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ltin

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lay

that

the

true

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ults

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ffee

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d0.

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hesu

pply

man

ager

ata

loca

lic

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that

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er

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isan

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ese

lect

sa

rand

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und

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choc

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hich

of

the

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the

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ate

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opor

tion

of

all

cust

omer

sth

atpr

efer

choc

olat

eov

erva

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?

(A)

I.645.0

60.

6)

(B)

I96

J(0.

SXi—

0.8)

(C)

I.96

(O.6

)O0.

6)

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I9

6.0

808

)

(B)

2.5

76.J

(06

0.4)

:0

4.A

nor

gani

zati

onth

atst

rive

sto

hold

agen

cies

acco

unta

ble

for

trut

hin

new

sre

port

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plan

sto

sele

cta

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mpl

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ws

stor

ies

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maj

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ws

agen

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ate

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rmat

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cein

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truc

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Bef

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mpl

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term

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eth

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7.P

rofe

ssor

Cha

uvet

has

6sn

ake

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her

hom

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wo

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smal

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illgr

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win

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the

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rmin

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get

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fter

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nob

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doub

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An

expe

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expe

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sign

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expe

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am

atch

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desi

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andi

date

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Bar

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nnin

gfo

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You

are

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wha

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regi

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andi

date

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rand

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gist

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You

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hat

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fre

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9

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gam

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fth

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said

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l”Is

ther

eco

nvin

cing

stat

isti

cal

evid

ence

that

the

true

prop

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fal

lad

ults

that

have

bung

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mpe

dis

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eth

an10

%?

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caus

eth

edi

ffer

ence

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sam

ple

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ter

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.(C

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the

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ATS

MED

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10.

Lin

dsey

isan

avid

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ayer

.Sh

eke

pttr

ack

ofth

enu

mbe

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win

ners

she

had

per

gam

efo

ran

enti

re

seas

on.

The

shap

eo

fth

edi

stri

buti

onof

the

num

ber

ofw

inne

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roug

hly

sym

met

ric

and

the

five

-

num

ber

sum

mar

yo

fth

enu

mbe

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win

ners

is:M

m:

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i:18

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ax:

92

Luk

eis

Lin

dsey

’sbi

gges

tri

val.

The

aver

age

num

ber

of

win

ners

Luk

eha

dpe

rga

me

for

the

seas

onha

sth

esa

me

valu

eas

Lin

dsey

’sIQ

R.

Who

had

the

grea

test

aver

age

num

ber

ofw

inne

rsth

isse

ason

?E

xpla

in.

(A)

Lin

dsey

,sh

eav

erag

edap

prox

imat

ely

48w

inne

rspe

rga

me

whi

leL

uke

only

aver

aged

18w

inne

rspe

rga

me.

(B)

Lin

dsey

,sh

eav

erag

edap

prox

imat

ely

49.4

win

ners

per

gam

ew

hile

Luk

eon

lyav

erag

ed48

win

ners

per

gam

e.(C

)L

uke.

heav

erag

ed61

win

ners

per

gam

ew

hile

Lin

dsey

only

aver

aged

appr

oxim

atel

y48

win

ners

per

gam

e.(D

)L

uke,

heav

erag

ed61

win

ners

per

gam

ew

hile

Lin

dsey

only

aver

aged

appr

oxim

atel

y79

win

ners

per

gam

e.(E

)T

here

isno

ten

ough

info

rmat

ion

prov

ided

tode

term

ine

Lin

dsey

’sav

erag

e.

II.

An

audi

tor

has

been

assi

gned

the

task

ofin

spec

ting

the

dice

used

ina

loca

lga

min

gre

sort

.A

fair

die

show

sa

6fa

ceup

one-

sixt

hof

the

time.

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der

tode

term

ine

ifa

die

for

apa

rtic

ular

gam

eis

fair

,he

mus

tob

serv

ea

long

num

ber

of

tria

lsan

dre

cord

the

prop

orti

onof

the

time

that

the

die

land

ssh

owin

ga

6

faci

ngup

.T

hegr

aph

belo

wsh

ows

the

cum

ulat

ive

prop

orti

onof

sixe

sth

atar

ero

lled

for

100

cons

ecut

ive

tria

lsof

apa

rtic

ular

gam

e.045

Whi

cho

fth

efo

llow

ing

stat

emen

tsis

fals

e?

0.4

0.3

5

‘0.

3

0.2

5

0.2

-

a C0

1

1,1

00

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60

80

100

Num

berf

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his

die

does

not

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befa

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caus

eit

appe

ars

that

the

prop

orti

ono

fsi

xes

from

this

part

icul

ardi

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abou

t0.

25.

(B)

Ifth

edi

eis

fair

,w

ew

ould

expe

ctto

see

the

long

-run

prop

orti

onof

sixe

sto

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oach

the

valu

e

0.16

7.(C

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hepr

obab

ilit

yof

roll

ing

asi

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esti

mat

edif

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rve

are

gula

ran

dpr

edic

tabl

epa

ttern

over

ave

rylo

ngse

ries

oftr

ials

(D)T

heau

dito

rob

serv

eden

ough

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lsto

draw

are

ason

able

conc

lusi

onab

out

the

fair

ness

oft

his

part

icul

ardi

e.(E

)T

his

die

appe

ars

tobe

fair

beca

use

the

prop

orti

onof

sixe

sfl

uctu

ates

grea

tly. +

STAT

SM

EDIC

b.

Page 103: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

IP1It

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Page 104: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

18.

Ann

desi

res

togr

owta

llsu

nflo

wer

plan

tsSh

ew

onde

rsho

wth

eam

ount

ofw

ater

she

prov

ides

the

sunf

low

ers

will

affe

ctth

eir

grow

th.

One

spri

ngA

nnpl

ante

d25

sunf

low

erpl

ants

,m

akin

gsu

reea

chon

eha

dth

esa

me

soil,

amou

nto

fsp

ace,

and

expo

sure

tosu

nlig

ht.

The

firs

ton

ere

ceiv

edon

eou

nce

of

wat

erpe

rda

y.T

hese

cond

one

rece

ived

2ou

nces

of

wat

erpe

rda

y,an

dso

on.

To

dete

rmin

eth

eid

eal

amou

ntof

wat

erne

eded

,sh

eco

nsis

tent

lyw

ater

edhe

rsu

nflo

wer

sth

isw

ayan

dat

the

end

of

the

sum

mer

reco

rded

the

heig

hto

fea

chsu

nflo

wer

(in

cm).

The

nsh

epe

rfor

med

are

gres

sion

anal

ysis

onth

eda

ta.

Reg

ress

ion

Ana

lysi

s:H

eigh

tve

rsus

Am

ount

of

wat

erP

redi

ctor

Coe

fSE

Coe

fC

onst

ant

42.5

008.

340

5.10

Am

ou

nto

fwat

er5.

875

2.19

12.

68S

=8.

0527

R-S

q=

89.5

%R

-Sq(

adj)

=87

.2%

She

cond

ucts

asi

gnif

ican

cete

stto

dete

rmin

eif

ther

eis

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceof

apo

siti

veli

near

rela

tion

ship

betw

een

the

amou

ntof

wat

erhe

rsu

nflo

wer

plan

tsre

ceiv

edan

dho

wta

llth

eygr

ew.

Wha

tis

the

corr

ect

test

stat

isti

can

dco

nclu

sion

?A

ssum

eal

lco

ndit

ions

for

infe

renc

ear

em

et.

(A)

t=2.

68.

The

reis

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceof

apo

siti

veli

near

rela

tion

ship

betw

een

the

amou

ntof

wat

eran

dhe

ight

of

asu

nflo

wer

.(B

)t

=2.

68.

The

reis

not

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceo

fa

posi

tive

line

arre

lati

onsh

ipbe

twee

nth

eam

ount

ofw

ater

and

heig

hto

fa

sunf

low

er.

(C)

1=

5.10

.T

here

isco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

of

apo

siti

velin

ear

rela

tion

ship

betw

een

the

amou

ntof

wat

eran

dhe

ight

ofa

sunf

low

er.

(D)1

=5.

10.

The

reis

not

conv

inci

ngev

iden

ceo

fa

posi

tive

line

arre

lati

onsh

ipbe

twee

nth

eam

ount

of

wat

eran

dhe

ight

of

asu

nflo

wer

.(E

)=

5.87

5.T

here

isco

nvin

cing

evid

ence

of a

posi

tive

line

arre

lati

onsh

ipbe

twee

nth

eam

ount

of

wat

eran

dhe

ight

ofa

sunf

low

er.

19.

Sam

isth

inki

ngab

out

swit

chin

gce

llph

one

prov

ider

s.Sa

mis

part

icul

arly

inte

rest

edin

mak

ing

sure

that

heha

sgo

odsi

gnal

stre

ngth

whe

nhe

isat

wor

k.H

eas

ksea

chof

his

30co

wor

kers

wha

tce

llph

one

prov

ider

they

use

and

ifth

eyha

vepo

orsi

gnal

stre

ngth

,m

oder

ate

sign

alst

reng

th,

orgo

odsi

gnal

stre

ngth

atw

ork.

Her

eis

ase

gmen

ted

bar

char

tof

the

resu

lts.

(A)A

llth

ree

prov

ider

sar

eeq

uall

ygo

odch

oice

sbe

caus

eal

lth

ree

bars

exte

ndto

I,or

100%

.

(B)O

ver

50%

of

his

cow

orke

rsdo

not

have

cell

serv

ice

whi

leat

wor

k.(C

)P

rovi

der

Bha

sm

uch

bett

ersi

gnal

stre

ngth

than

Pro

vide

rA

athi

sw

orkp

lace

.

(D)

Pro

vide

rA

has

repo

rts

ofth

egr

eate

stsi

gnal

stre

ngth

.(E

)P

rovi

der

Cha

sre

port

so

fth

egr

eate

stst

reng

thof

serv

ice.

20.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gdi

stri

buti

ons

will

best

bem

odel

edby

ano

rmal

dist

ribu

tion

?

(A)A

bim

odal

dist

ribu

tion

with

spea

kat

3,a

peak

at10

,an

da

stan

dard

devi

atio

nof

5.

(B)A

unif

orm

dist

ribu

tion

with

am

ean

of5

for

whi

ch20

%o

fth

eob

serv

atio

nsar

ebe

twee

nI

and

3.

(C)

Abi

nom

ial

dist

ribu

tion

with

n=

150

and

p=

0.5.

(D)A

geom

etri

cdi

stri

buti

onw

ithp

=0.

9.(E

)A

chi-

squa

redi

stri

buti

onw

ith2

degr

ees

offr

eedo

m.

.

4’ST

ATS

MED

IC

e

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ATS

MED

IC

...

TP

0.00

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005

80.0

%

700

%

Goo

d.*

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Mod

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Oro

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ogoo

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60.0

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Pro

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Proo

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roop

Whi

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the

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owin

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atem

ents

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ppor

ted

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eda

ta?

Page 105: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

21.

Aco

lleg

epr

ofes

sor

reco

rded

the

spee

dw

ithw

hich

stud

ents

ran

out

the

door

afte

rcl

ass

afte

rta

king

the

fina

lex

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sing

ara

dar

gun)

for

each

ofth

ela

st4

sem

este

rs.

The

hist

ogra

mbe

low

show

sth

edi

stri

buti

onof

spee

dfo

r16

8st

uden

ts.

The

max

imum

valu

eis

18m

ph.

30 01

23

45

57

89

10

11

12

13

18S

eec1

fmp

h)

The

valu

e,18

mph

,w

asac

tual

lysu

ppos

edto

be8m

phan

dth

iser

ror

isco

rrec

ted

Whi

cho

fth

efo

llow

ing

istr

ue? (A

)The

mea

nw

illch

ange

the

sam

eam

ount

asth

anth

em

edia

n,an

dth

era

nge

will

chan

geth

esa

me

amou

ntas

the

SD.

(B)T

hem

ean

will

chan

gem

ore

than

the

med

ian,

and

the

rang

ew

illch

ange

mor

eth

anth

eSD

.(C

)T

hem

edia

nw

illch

ange

mor

eth

anth

em

ean,

and

the

rang

ew

illch

ange

mor

eth

anth

eSD

.

(D)T

hem

ean

will

chan

gem

ore

than

the

med

ian,

and

the

SDw

illch

ange

mor

eth

anth

era

nge.

(E)

The

med

ian

will

chan

gem

ore

than

the

mea

n,an

dth

eSD

will

chan

gem

ore

than

the

rang

e.

22.

Sup

pose

that

the

McA

flis

te?s

purc

hase

d15

plan

eti

cket

sfo

ran

upco

min

gfa

mily

trip

toPa

ris.

Eac

hti

cket

inde

pend

entl

yha

sa

0.01

prob

abil

ity

of

bein

gac

cide

ntal

lyth

row

naw

ay.

Wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

exac

tly

one

of

the

tick

ets

isac

cide

ntal

lyth

row

naw

ay?

(A)(-)

(0.0

1)

(B)

(0.0

1)i

(0•9

9)i

4

(C)

(0.0

lXl)

+(0

.99X

l4)

(D)

15(0

.01

)‘(0

.99)

’(E

)15

(0.0

1)‘

(0.9

9)’

..

...

24.

The

rear

efo

rty

mul

tipl

e-ch

oice

ques

tion

son

this

exam

,ea

chha

ving

answ

erch

oice

sA

,B

,C

,D

.or

E.O

nly

one

answ

erch

oice

per

ques

tion

isco

rrec

t.S

uppo

sea

stud

ent

rand

omly

gues

ses

thei

ran

swer

choi

ceto

each

ques

tion

,an

dth

eir

gues

ses

from

ques

tion

toqu

esti

onar

ein

depe

nden

t.W

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

is

the

prob

abil

ity

that

the

stud

ent

gues

ses

atle

ast

12qu

esti

ons

corr

ectl

yon

this

port

ion

of

the

exam

?

(A)0

.023

8(B

)0.

0442

(C)

0.08

75(D

)0.9

125

(E)

0.98

06

25.

Res

earc

hers

are

usin

ga

new

fitn

ess

wat

chw

ithhe

art

mon

itor

ing

capa

bili

ties

tost

udy

the

hum

anhe

art.

Inpa

rtic

ular

,th

eyar

eex

amin

ing

the

rela

tion

ship

betw

een

the

pres

ence

of

arrh

ythm

ias,

orir

regu

lar

hear

tbea

ts,

and

stre

ss.

Ara

ndom

sam

ple

of10

0w

omen

betw

een

the

ages

of

30an

d50

wer

ese

lect

edfo

r

ast

udy.

At

the

begi

nnin

go

fth

est

udy,

each

wom

anco

mpl

eted

aqu

esti

onna

ire

that

clas

sifi

edth

emas

havi

nghi

ghor

low

stre

ss.

Eac

hw

oman

was

also

give

na

fitn

ess

wat

chto

wea

rfo

rI

wee

k.T

hew

atch

esre

veal

edto

the

rese

arch

ers

whe

ther

each

wom

anha

da

hear

tar

rhyt

hmia

.T

hefo

llow

ing

tabl

egi

ves

the

num

ber

ofw

omen

that

fall

into

each

cate

gory

.

Low

stre

ssH

igh

stre

ssII

5225

12

Bas

edon

thes

eda

ta,

whi

cho

fth

efo

llow

ing

conc

lusi

ons

ism

ost

appr

opri

ate?

(A)T

here

isev

iden

ceth

athi

ghst

ress

caus

eshe

art

arrh

ythm

ias,

and

the

conc

lusi

onca

nbe

gene

rali

zed

toal

lw

omen

aged

30to

50.

(B)

The

reis

evid

ence

that

high

stre

ssca

uses

hear

tar

rhyt

hmia

s,an

dth

eco

nclu

sion

can

bege

nera

lize

dto

all

wom

enag

ed30

to50

who

wea

ra

titn

ess

wat

ch.

(C)

The

reis

evid

ence

that

high

stre

ssca

uses

hear

tar

rhyt

hmia

s.an

dth

eco

nclu

sion

can

bege

nera

lize

dto

all

wom

ensi

mil

arto

thos

ein

the

stud

y.(D

)Alt

houg

hca

use-

and-

effe

ctca

nnot

bees

tabl

ishe

d,th

ere

isan

asso

ciat

ion

betw

een

stre

ssan

dth

e

pres

ence

ofhe

art

arrh

ythm

ias

for

the

popu

lati

ono

fal

lw

omen

aged

30to

50.

(E)

Alt

houg

hca

use-

and-

effe

ctca

nnot

bees

tabl

ishe

d,th

ere

isan

asso

ciat

ion

betw

een

stre

ssan

dth

epr

esen

ceof

hear

tar

rhyt

hmia

sfo

rth

epo

pula

tion

ofal

lw

omen

.

23.

Ara

ndom

vari

able

Xha

sth

efo

llow

ing

dist

ribu

tion

:x

—2

02

4P(

X)

2c4c

0.3

0.1

Wha

tis

the

expe

cted

valu

eof X

?

(A)0

.l(B

)0.2

(C)0

.4(D

)0.6

(E)0

.8

25 20 15 10

Arr

hyth

mia

sN

oar

rhyt

hmia

s

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ATS

MED

IC.

STAT

SM

EDIC

Page 106: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

26.

Hav

eyo

uev

erru

nin

toso

meo

neyo

ukn

oww

hen

you

wer

efa

raw

ayfr

omho

me?

Ara

ndom

sam

ple

of

1000

adul

tsw

ere

aske

dth

isqu

esti

on.

Her

ear

eth

eir

resp

onse

s

Res

pons

eN

umbe

ro

fre

spon

ses

Yes

—m

ore

than

once

87

Yes

—on

etim

e11

2

No

801

Bas

edon

the

resp

onse

s,w

hich

ofth

efo

llow

ing

isa

90pe

rcen

tco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

prop

orti

ono

f

all

adul

tsw

how

ould

resp

ond

that

they

have

run

into

som

eone

they

know

whe

nth

eyw

ere

far

away

from

hom

e9

(A) 0

.087

±0.

0147

(6)0

.087

±0.

0175

(C)

0.19

0.02

08(D

)0.1

99

±0

.02

47

(E)0

.801

±0.

0325

27.

Aco

inis

wei

ghte

dso

that

the

prob

abil

ity

of

head

s(H

)is

grea

ter

than

the

prob

abil

ity

ofta

ils(T

).W

hich

oft

hefo

llow

ing

orde

rsis

the

mos

tpr

obab

le?

(A)H

HH

(B)

TT

T(C

)TH

T(D

)HT

H(E

)T

TH

28.

The

Uni

ted

Stat

esPo

stal

Ser

vice

deli

vers

man

ypa

ckag

esev

ery

day.

Apo

stal

carr

ier

reco

rded

the

num

ber

of

pack

ages

hede

live

red

each

day

for

92da

ys.

Eac

hda

yha

da

uniq

uenu

mbe

rof

pack

ages

deli

vere

d(n

odo

uble

s)H

ere

are

the

resu

lts.

Mea

n11

0S

tand

ard

Dev

iatio

n:24

.25

Qi:

75M

edia

n:98

Q3:

122

How

man

yda

ysdi

dhe

deli

ver

few

erth

an75

pack

ages

?

(A)7

(B)2

3(C

)25

(D)3

5(E

)46

29.

An

epid

emio

logi

stw

asca

lled

upon

toin

vest

igat

ea

case

offo

odpo

ison

ing

ata

com

pany

picn

ic.

Aft

erin

terv

iew

ing

ISO

of

the

atte

ndee

s,th

eep

idem

iolo

gist

cons

truc

ted

the

foll

owin

gta

ble.

Food

Poi

soni

ng?

Ate

the

Pota

toSa

lad?

Yes

No

Yes

7218

90

No

852

60

Tot

al80

7015

0

Let

Abe

the

even

tth

ata

rand

omly

sele

cted

pers

onat

eth

epo

tato

sala

d.L

etB

beth

eev

ent

that

a

rand

omly

sele

cted

pers

ongo

tfo

odpo

ison

ing.

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gst

atem

ents

isco

rrec

t?

(A)P

(AI

B)=

P(A

)(B

)E

vent

sA

and

Bar

ede

pend

ent.

(C)

Eve

ntA

caus

esev

ent

B.

(D)E

vent

Aan

dE

vent

Bar

em

utua

lly

excl

usiv

e.(E

)P(A

and

B)>

P(A

orB

)

30.

Afi

shst

ore

empl

oyee

reco

rded

the

num

ber

of

babi

esbo

rnto

each

of20

diti

eren

tfi

sh.

The

data

and

sum

mar

yst

atis

tics

are

show

nbe

low

.

089

12455578899

20

11

46

322

41

Key

:0j

8re

pres

ents

afi

shth

atga

vebi

rth

to8

babi

es.

Var

iabl

eC

ount

Mea

nSE

Mea

nSt

Dev

Mm

QI

Med

ian

Q3

Bab

ies

2020

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864

8.33

68

1518

.525

Ifth

eem

ploy

eew

ere

tora

ndom

lyse

lect

one

of

thes

efi

sh,

wha

tis

the

prob

abil

ity

that

itw

ould

have

had

few

erth

an5

babi

es?

(A)0

.2(B

)0.

25(C

)0.2

62(D

)0.3

5(E

)0.7

5

.

+ST

ATS

MED

IC

.

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ATS

MED

IC

.,

Tot

al Max

41

Page 107: Ski lii AP Stats High School...High School AP Stats Ski lii Hayward Corn munity School District 715-634-2619 #HurricaneStrong Made with PasterMyWall corn AP Statistics Exam Review

I31

Acu

riou

sac

coun

tant

ata

larg

efi

rmw

ould

like

tokn

owif

mon

eyca

nbu

yha

ppin

ess.

She

sele

cts

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of

30of

her

wea

lthy

clie

nts

and

cont

acte

dth

emto

ask

“On

asc

ale

of

1-10

0,ho

wha

ppy

are

you?

”T

here

sult

ing

95pe

rcen

tco

nfid

ence

inte

rval

for

the

true

mea

nha

ppin

ess

rati

ngfo

ral

lw

ealt

hycu

stom

ers

is(6

75

,89

.5).

Whi

chof

the

foll

owin

gst

atem

ents

best

sum

mar

izes

the

mea

ning

of

95%

conf

iden

ce?

(A) A

ppro

xim

atel

y95

%of

the

wea

lthy

cust

omer

sin

the

surv

eyre

port

edha

ving

happ

ines

sra

ting

sbe

twee

n67

.5an

d89

.5.

(B)A

ppro

xim

atel

y95

%of

the

wea

lthy

cust

omer

sat

this

firm

have

happ

ines

sra

ting

sbe

twee

n67

.5an

d89

.5.

(C)

Aw

ealt

hycu

stom

erse

lect

edat

rand

omfr

omth

ispo

pula

tion

has

aha

ppin

ess

rati

ngbe

twee

n67

.5an

d89

.595

%of

the

time.

(D)A

bout

95%

of

all

rand

omsa

mpl

esof

30w

ealt

hycu

stom

ers

from

this

popu

lati

onw

ould

resu

ltin

a95

perc

ent

conf

iden

cein

terv

alof

(67.

5,89

.5)

(E)

Abo

ut95

%of

all

rand

omsa

mpl

esof

30w

ealt

hycu

stom

ers

from

this

popu

lati

onw

ould

resu

ltin

a95

perc

ent

conf

iden

cein

terv

alth

atca

ptur

esth

epo

pula

tion

mea

nha

ppin

ess

ratin

g.

32.

The

auth

orof

anar

ticl

eab

out

proc

rast

inat

ion

inth

ew

orkp

lace

clai

med

that

,on

aver

age,

empl

oyee

sw

aste

2ho

urs

per

day

surf

ing

the

Inte

rnet

,te

xtin

g,an

dc-

mai

ling

frie

nds

duri

ngw

ork

hour

s.S

uppo

seth

eC

EO

of

ala

rge

com

pany

wan

tsto

dete

rmin

ew

heth

erth

em

ean

was

ted

time

duri

ngan

8-ho

urw

ork

day

for

empl

oyee

sof

her

com

pany

isle

ssth

anth

em

ean

of

120

min

utes

repo

rted

inth

ear

ticle

.Sh

ese

lect

sa

rand

omsa

mpl

eof

10em

ploy

ees

from

the

com

pany

.E

ach

of

the

10em

ploy

ees

was

call

edin

toth

eC

EO

’sof

fice

and

she

aske

dth

emto

esti

mat

eho

wm

uch

time

(in

min

utes

)th

eyty

pica

lly

was

ted

per

day

whi

leat

wor

ksu

rfin

gth

ein

tern

et,

text

ing,

and

emai

ling

frie

nds.

The

esti

mat

eo

fth

eam

ount

oftim

ew

aste

dby

empl

oyee

sat

this

com

pany

is

(A)

likel

yto

bean

unde

rest

imat

eof

the

beca

use

of

unde

rcov

erag

e.(B

)lik

ely

tobe

anun

dere

stim

ate

ofth

etr

uth

beca

use

of

resp

onse

bias

.(C

)lik

ely

tobe

anov

eres

tim

ate

of

the

beca

use

of

unde

rcov

erag

e.(D

)lik

ely

tobe

anov

eres

tim

ate

of

the

trut

hbe

caus

eof

resp

onse

bias

.(E

)lik

ely

tobe

fair

lyac

cura

tebe

caus

eth

eem

ploy

ees

wer

era

ndom

lyse

lect

ed.

33.

Wha

tis

the

prop

erw

ayto

inst

all

aro

llof

toil

etpa

per:

the

“ove

r”po

siti

on,

inw

hich

the

port

ion

you

grab

hang

sov

erth

eto

pof

the

roll,

orth

e“u

nder

”po

siti

on,

inw

hich

the

port

ion

you

grab

hang

sun

der/

behi

ndth

ero

ll?A

curi

ous

stud

ent

inve

stig

ated

this

ques

tion

byas

king

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of

10cu

stod

ians

and

ara

ndom

sam

ple

of

50ad

ults

that

are

not

cust

odia

ns.

The

tabl

esu

mm

ariz

esth

ere

sults

:

they

are

acu

stod

ian,

give

n

.-34

.A

stat

isti

cste

ache

rcr

eate

da

hom

ewor

kco

mpl

etio

nin

cent

ive

prog

ram

.If

ast

uden

tco

mpl

etes

all

of

thei

r

hom

ewor

kfo

rth

een

tire

chap

ter,

thei

rna

me

isw

ritt

enon

the

boar

din

anu

mbe

red

list.

The

nth

ete

ache

rse

lect

s5

nam

esfr

omth

elis

t,w

itho

utre

plac

emen

t,us

ing

ara

ndom

num

ber

gene

rato

ran

daw

ards

thos

e

stud

ents

with

aho

mew

ork

pass

.W

hat

type

ofsa

mpl

edi

dth

ete

ache

rse

lect

?

(A)a

conv

enie

nce

sam

ple

(B)a

stra

tifi

edra

ndom

sam

ple

from

the

popu

lati

onof

all

stud

ents

that

did

and

did

not

com

plet

eth

eho

mew

ork

(C)

asy

stem

atic

rand

omsa

mpl

e(D

)asi

mpl

era

ndom

sam

ple

from

the

popu

lati

onof

all

stud

ents

that

com

plet

edth

eho

mew

ork

(E)

asi

mpl

era

ndom

sam

ple

from

the

popu

lati

onof

all

stud

ents

inth

ecl

ass

35.

All

day

labo

rers

of

ala

rge

man

ufac

turi

ngco

mpa

nyre

ceiv

ea

2%ra

ise

ever

y6

mon

ths.

The

curr

ent

mea

nho

urly

wag

eea

rned

byth

eal

lda

yla

bore

rsis

$9.7

5pe

rho

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est

anda

rdde

viat

ion

of

thei

rho

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wag

esis

$0.8

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rho

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Ass

umin

gth

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era

ise

rate

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37.

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00.

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clos

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38.

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Am

eric

anH

eart

Ass

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rand

omly

sele

cted

100

adul

tm

ales

and

emai

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them

asu

rvey

that

aske

dtw

oqu

esti

ons:

“Hav

eyo

uev

erex

peri

ence

da

hear

tat

tack

?”an

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reyo

ure

ligi

ous?

”.O

fth

ose

that

wer

ese

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38co

mpl

eted

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surv

ey.

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tar

eth

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udy9

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es,

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40.

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num

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of

the

dist

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ar.

Whi

chof

the

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the

best

desc

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est

anda

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viat

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(A)

The

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dard

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ngi

ves

the

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oxim

ate

med

ian

dist

ance

betw

een

the

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ntfo

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ese

stud

ents

and

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num

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ofda

ysab

sent

byth

ein

divi

dual

stud

ents

.

(B)

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stan

dard

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atio

ngi

ves

the

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ldi

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cebe

twee

nth

em

ean

num

ber

ofda

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thes

est

uden

tsan

dth

enu

mbe

ro

fda

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sent

byth

ein

divi

dual

stud

ents

.

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dard

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scri

bes

the

vari

abil

ity

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iddl

e50

%o

fth

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on,

orth

edi

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rst

and

thir

dqu

arti

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desc

ribe

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ilit

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mid

dle

95%

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all

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ber

of

days

abse

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ithin

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em

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(E)

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ves

the

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ndi

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cebe

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ntfo

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and

the

num

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days

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ple

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hom

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nera

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isal

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mal

es,

and

the

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ple

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all

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tm

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dth

esa

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ifth

eyex

peri

ence

da

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orno

tan

dw

heth

eror

not

they

are

relig

ious

.

39.

Inth

epo

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rm

ovie

,“B

ack

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ture

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wn

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urth

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will

befi

ne.”

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ume

the

prob

abil

ity

that

Mar

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ire

with

the

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ecti

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enth

athe

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00

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a

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..,

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STATISTICSSECTION!!

Part AQuestions 1-5

Spend about 65 minutes on this part of the exam.Percent of Section II score — 75

Directions: Show all your work. Indicate clearly the methods you use, because you will be graded on thecorrectness of your methods as well as on the accuracy and completeness of your results and explanations.

1. A tech company claims that its new smart watch takes heart monitoring to the next level. A study wasconducted to measure and compare the resting heart rates with active heart rates for adults aged 30-50. Arandom sample of 20 adults aged 30-50 were selected for study.

The participants met at a local hospital for study. They were all given a smart watch and asked to sit andread for 15 minutes. During that time their resting heart rate was measured. Then they went to a fitnesscenter. They were asked to jog around the track as many times as they could in 5 minutes. During this timetheir active heart rates were measured. The back-to-back stemplot below displays the resting and activeheart rates for the participants.

Resting Active988553 6

8744100 77550 8

10 95 10

1112 025513 6814 258815 1225816 2899171819 5

Key: 12j0 represents a participant with an active heart rate of 120 beats per minute

(a) Write a few sentences comparing the distribution of the resting and active heart rates for theseparticipants.

+ STATS MEDIC

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(b) The researchers would like to calculate the amount of increase from resting to active heart rate for each

person in order to identify potential health problems that typically go undetected. Is the information

provided in the back-to-back stemplot sufficient for investigating this relationship? Explain

(c) Researchers created the following table which identifies the age of the participant along with their

resting and active heart rates. A scatterplot displaying the relationship between age and difference in

heart rate is also shown.

ge (years) 30 30 32 34 35 38 40 41 41 45 45 45 46 46 47 48 48 48 49 49

Resting 63 70 70 65 80 71 65 85 74 68 68 85 69 74 90 77 78 87 91 95

(bpm)kctive(bpm) 120 136 122 125 138 195 151 142 145 125 152 162 148 148 152 155 168 158 169 169

Difference 57 66 52 60 58 124 86 57 71 57 84 77 79 74 62 78 90 71 78 74

C

a)

Based on the scatterplot, describe the relationship between age and the difference in resting and active heartrate?

+ STATS MEDIC

.130

120e

110

100

90 a80

70

60

50’

40 1

30 35 40

Age (years)

I

•. I.. .

aa ‘

45 50

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The manufacturers of a new running shoe, Blast Off, claim that a new insole material acts as a springboard,launching the runner forward with every step. Researchers would like to determine if there is a difference inthe mean speed for runners wearing Blast Off compared to a traditional shoe. They plan to conduct a studywith 100 runners.

A random sample of 50 male runners who report that they wear the shoe, Blast Off, and random sample of50 male runners that run with other shoes will be selected. The researchers ask each of the 100 runners fortheir fastest 1-mile time on a track and recorded the responses. They will then compare the mean runningspeed for the two groups.

(a) Is this an observational study or an experiment? Explain.

(b) Explain the concept of confounding in the context of this study. Include an example of a possibleconfounding variable.

(c) If the mean running speed for those who wear Blast Off is statistically significantly faster than the meanrunning speed for runners wearing other shoes, could one conclude that the faster running speed iscaused by wearing Blast Off shoes? Explain.

+ STATS MEDIC

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3. Due to concerns about the underinflation of footballs, the National Football League (NFL) created a seriesof standards that must be met for the weight, length, and the long and short circumferences of each ball. It ( Dstated that the balls are to be inflated to between 12.5 to 13.5 pounds. The pressure output by the ball pumpis approximately Normal with a mean of 13 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.25 pounds. At each game,the home team must supply 12 balls to the referee 2 hours and 15 minutes prior to the start of the game forinspection.

(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected ball will not meet the inflation specifications?

(b) Assuming that the mean amount of inflation is 13 pounds and that all 12 balls are independently tested.What is the probability that at least one of the 12 balls will not meet the inflation specifications?

.

(c) If the home team wants to be 99 percent certain that a randomly selected ball will be withinspecifications, what is the largest standard deviation in pressure that is acceptable for the ball pump?

+ STATS MEDIC

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*

Amy and Brayden each drive from their apartment building to the gym to exercise before going to work.They leave at the same time, so traffic conditions are the same. They disagree about which of 2 routes isthe quickest to get from their building to the gym. Amy thinks route A is faster and Brayden thinks route Bis faster. They took a random sample of 10 days and recorded the travel times for both routes. Their traveltimes are provided in the table.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Route A

21.3 18.8 19.5 19.4 21.4 20.7 22.6 20.7 21.2 19.5(mm)Route B

20.5 18.3 19.7 19.3 20.6 20.2 23.6 18.1 19.1 18.2(mm)Difference

0.8 0.5 —0.2 0.1 0.8 0.5 —1.0 2.6 2.1 1.3(A — B)

Do the data provide convincing evidence that, on average, route B is faster than route A?

1. STATS MEDIC

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5. An article claims that the distribution of eye color is 79% brown, 8% blue, 5% hazel, 5% amber, 2% green,and 1% other. A random sample of 500 adults were selected and 55 had blue eyes.

(a) Construct and interpret a 90 percent confidence interval for the proportion of adults that have blue eyes.

.

(b) Use your confidence interval in part (a) to comment on the belief that 8 percent of people have blueeyes.

+ STATS MEDIC

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Question 6Spend about 25 minutes on this part of the exam.

Percent of Section II score — 25

Directions: Show all your work. Indicate clearly the methods you use, because you will be scored on thecorrectness of your methods as well as on the accuracy and completeness of your results and explanations.

6. The amount of time that Alyse procrastinates after school follows a normal distribution. Alyseprocrastinates less than 10 minutes 10% of the time and she procrastinates more than 60 minutes 60% of thetime.

(a) The provided normal distribution has marks at the mean, as well as 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations awayfrom the mean. Estimate and label the location of the boundary and shade the area corresponding to eachof the statements:

i. “Alyse procrastinates less than 10 minutes 10% of the time.”

ii. “She procrastinates more than 60 minutes 60% of the time.”

(b) Determine the value of the z-score corresponding to each of the following statements, then interpret thez-score:

i. “Alyse procrastinates less than 10 minutes 10% of the time.”

ii. “She procrastinates more than 60 minutes 60% of the time.”

+ STATS MEDIC

STATISTICSSECTION II

Part B

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_____

I

_____

(c) The mean u and the standard deviation a of the distribution of the amount of time that Alyse7

procrastinates after school are unknown. Use your responses in part (b) to write an equation for each ofDthe z-scores for the following statements:

i. “Alyse procrastinates less than 10 minutes 10% of the time.”

ii. “She procrastinates more than 60 minutes 60% of the time.”

(d) Use your equations from part (c) to determine the mean number of minutes and the standard deviation ofthe number of minutes that Alyse procrastinates after school?

+ STATS MEDIC