Sintex Industries Companyanalysis92384293424

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    COMPANY ALLOTED FOR ANALYSISSINTEX INDUSTRIES LTD.INDUSTRY SECTORPLASTIC INDUSTRY

    PLASTIC INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

    GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE-

    Last few years have been tumultuous for plastics and petrochemical sector due to steep rise

    in oil prices, which has adversely affected the global economies. However, considering the

    feed stock advantage and abundance of oil reserves newer petrochemical complexes are

    being established in Middle-east countries. i.e. Oman, Saudi Arabia, UAE, etc. It is

    projected that by the end of 2010, Ethylene capacity in Middle-East would reach to about

    35 million tons per annum and Polypropylene (PP) capacity to touch about 7 million tonnes

    per annum.

    The US Petrochemical sector may lose Export competitiveness as most of the Ethylene

    capacities in USA are Ethane based, which are not cost competitive and are capable to

    produce only Polyethylene (PE). Similarly, the revamping of European Petrochemical

    Complexes would be imperative as they are based on old and expensive technology and are

    not cost competitive with the Middle-East companies having the biggest advantage of raw

    material at their door-step. China, Middle-East and India would be the major global players,

    where expansion and augmentation of existing petrochemical capacity would take place in

    the next 5 years.

    Worldwide Plastics Industry witnessed a steady growth in the year 2007 which is reflected

    in the increased consumption figures of all types of Plastics materials.

    Asia has been worlds largest plastics consumer for several years, accounting for about30%

    of the global consumption excluding Japan, which has share of about 6.5%. Next to Asia is

    North America with 26% share, then Western Europe with 23% share in the global market.

    The key growth segment remains Packaging which accounted for over 35% of the global

    consumption. Amongst the individual Plastics Materials, Polyolefin accounted for 53% o

    the total consumption, (PE with 33.5%, PP with 19.5%) followed by PVC 16.5%, PS-

    8.5%, PET & PU - 5.5%, Styrene copolymers (ABS, SAN, etc)3.5% other engineering &

    high performance & speciality plastics, blends, alloys, thermosetting plastics13%.

    In recent years, significant aspect of plastics material growth globally has been the

    innovation of newer application areas for plastics such as increasing plastics applications in

    automotive field, rail, transport, defence & aerospace, medical and healthcare, electrical &

    electronics, telecommunication, building & infrastructure, furniture, etc.Plastics have become the key drivers of innovations & application development. Polymer-

    Electronics is one such area which has opened up new avenues for plastics; from organic

    light emitting diodes to electro-optical and bio-electrical complements, from low-cost

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    plastic chips to flexible solar cells. New plastics can conduct electricity and emit light.

    While polymers will not replace silicon as semiconductors, they do offer completely new

    opportunities for low-priced mass-manufactured products. Radio-frequency identification

    (RFID) tags in smartcards for identification and access control, payment and ticket systems,

    price labels, product tracking systems in the logistics chain or packaging that monitors

    product quality many things are in offing. Growth-trend of plastics has proved that there

    has been a quiet Plastics revolution taking place in the material sector.

    Global Per capita consumption of Plastics is ( in Kgs)

    World Average 26

    North America 90

    West Europe 65

    East Europe 10

    China 12

    India 5.0

    South East Asia 10

    L. America 18

    INDIAN PERSPECTIVE-

    Over the years, India has made significant progress in the industrial world with healthy

    economic growth. On purchase power parity basis, it is one of the top five global economics

    and is expected to be the third largest by the turn of this decade. Plastics, one of the fastest

    growing industries in India, have a vital role to play.

    Indian Plastics Industry is expanding at a phenomenal pace. Major international companies

    from various sectors such as automobiles, electronics, telecommunications, food processing,packing, healthcare etc. have set-up large manufacturing bases in India. So, demand for

    plastics is rapidly increasing and soon India will emerge as one of the fastest growing

    markets in the world.

    The next two decades are expected to offer unprecedented opportunities for the plastic

    industry in India. This would necessitate industry initiatives to foster investments, grow the

    market, upgrade quality standards, enhance global participation, encourage Indian industry,

    to adopt and adapt to world class technology and manufacturing practices

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    Despite instability in International prices of polymer materials in 2006 - 07, plastics

    industry in the country has consolidated its performance by consuming about 5.0 million

    tonnes of polymers, as compared to Chinese consumption of about 30 million tonnes in

    2007. Indian plastics industries are enthusiastic about the acceleration of the growth engine

    in the next 3 to 5 years due to capacity expansion of existing petrochemical complexes and

    setting up of new crackers in the country currently.

    Reliance Industries Ltd., (RIL) has about 75% share of Indian Petrochemical Cracker

    capacity, followed by medium sized capacity of Gas Authority of India Ltd. (GAIL) and

    Haldia Petrochemicals Ltd., (HPL). I

    Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) has also planned an 800 K tonnes naphtha cracker at Panipat

    at an investment of Rs.6300 crores to produce 800 KT of PE and PP each at Panipat. IOC

    would also be setting up a production capacity 150 KT PP at Chennai by year 2009 as well

    as styrene, which is not being produced in India.

    TABLE Current Indian Petrochemicals Capacities (in KT)

    Producer & Location PP HDPE LDPE HD/LL PTA PS PVC

    RIL, Hazira 350 - - 400 - - 300

    RIL, Jamnagar 600 - - - 800 - -

    RIL Patalganga 60 - - - 300 - -

    IPCL, Nagothane 60 - 80 220 - - -

    IPCL, Vadodara 75 - 80 - - - 55

    IPCL, Gandhar - 160 - - - - -

    GAIL, Auriya - 100 - 160 - - 150

    HPL, Haldia 210 200 - 260 - - -

    BRPL, Bongaigaon - - - - - - -

    Finolex, Pisranpar - - - - - - 130

    LG Poly, Vizag - - - - - 80 -

    Supreme, Mumbai - - - - - 240 -

    Chem Plast, Metturdam - - - - - - 60

    DCW, Sahupuram - - - - - - 60

    DCM, Shriram, Kota - - - - 400 - 35

    RPRL, Abu - - - - - 16 -

    BASF Styrenics, Bharuch - - - - - 60 -

    Mitsubishi, Haldia - - - - - - -TOTAL 1355 460 160 1040 1500 360 790

    Grand Total 5665

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    Typical Polymer consumption pattern of different polymers

    Polymer KT

    LDPE/EVA 275

    LLDPE 550 1745

    HDPE 920

    PP 1300

    PVC 1000

    PS 225

    PET Film 135

    Bottle 100 235

    SAN/ABS 90

    Polyamide 35

    Polycarbonate 72

    Polyacetal 8 125

    PET/PBT 7

    Others 3

    Thermoset 100

    Total 4820

    The top 100 players account for just 20% of the industry turnover. The total number o

    players in the sector is more than 25,000. However, the degree of fragmentation,

    worldwide, is a large and despite the small size of operations of the players, they are able to

    operate profitably. Further, the high growth in demand ensures that the market is able to

    absorb the excess capacity in quick time. Overall, the degree of competition can beconsidered high in the Indian plastic processing industry.

    The sector has a significant presence of the unorganised sector, which accounts for more

    than 70% of the industry turnover. More than 95% of the firms in the industry are

    partnership, proprietorship or private limited companies. Further, these small companies get

    significant advantages in taxes.

    These firms thus provide significant level of competition to the organised sector companies,

    which combined together are making losses. The organised sector companies thus need tobuild up significant brand image to survive against the competition from the unorganised

    sector. The key organised sector players include Nilkamal Plastics Limited and Supreme

    Industries Limited.

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    Statistics of Plastics Industries in India :Current Status

    Major Raw Material Producers 15 Nos.

    Processing Units 25,000 Nos.

    Turnover (Processing Industry) Rs.85,000 CroresCapital Asset (Polymer Industry) Rs.55,000 Crores

    Raw Material Produced approx 5.3 MMT

    Raw Material Consumed approx 5.1 MMT

    Employed Direct/Indirect 3.3 Million

    Export Value approx. US $ 1.90 Billion

    Revenue to Government approx. Rs.7300 Crores

    By 201112

    Demand Potential 12.5 MMT

    Additional Employment 4.0 Million

    Investment Potential Rs.84,000 Crores

    VISION 2015Indian Plastics Industry :

    Consumption of Polymers @ 15% CARG 18.9 Million tonnes

    Turnover of plastics Industries Rs.1,33,245 crores

    Additional Employment Generation 7 Million

    Requirement of AdditionalPlastics Processing Machines

    68113 Nos

    Additional Capital InvestmentIn Machines (2004-2015)

    Rs.45,000 crores

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    RECENT HAPPENINGS IN PLASTIC INDUSTRY:-

    1)Indian Plastic Industry in the next 5 years-

    The plastic industry in India has made significant achievements since its modest but promising beginning

    by commencing production of polystyrene in 1957.

    Plastic industry in India symbolizes a promising industry and at the same time helps in creating new

    employment opportunities for the people of India.

    The Indian plastic processing industry is highly fragmented and comprises 30,000 firms. Barring 10- 15%

    of the firms, which can be classified as medium scale operations, all the units operate on a small-scale

    basis.

    Trends in the Industry:-

    - Plasticulture- A win-win situation!

    - Emergence of flexible packaging- Plastics in Medicare

    - Increasing usage of PVC

    A large investment in telecom, ports, roads, power, and railways, has ensured that this sector continues to

    grow at more than 10% p.a., for several years to come. The focus on plasticulture in the agricultural

    sectorenvisaged coverage of 17 mn hectares under micro-irrigation schemes, will further boost the

    prospects of the plastics industry.

    The plastics processing industry is a source of great potential for global businesses. There is tremendous

    scope for innovative technological up gradations and thus rapid growth of the sector. Overall turnover of

    the plastic processing industrywhich currently stands at USD 17.5 Billion, is expected to touch USD

    20.3 Billion in 2012 and further USD 27 Billion by 2015.

    The Indian packaging industry is expected to become the fourth-largest packaging market in the world,

    with revenues of US$43.7 billion in 2016. Flexible plastic packaging was the fastest-growing packaging

    category in India, achieving a CAGR of 16.6% during the review period. During the review period, the

    packaging industry benefitted from strong growth in the Indian retail market.

    Other end-user markets from packaging, including pharmaceutical and processed food, have been

    growing rapidly over the review period, both domestically and internationally. This demand from end-user markets is expected to remain high during the forecast period.

    Key Highlights

    - Indias retail growth and increased consumption of consumer products is driving the demand for

    packaging in the country

    - India is the sixth-largest packaging market in the world, with sales of US$24.6 billion in 2011

    - The packaging industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.3% during the forecast period, to become

    the fourth-largest global market, with sales of US$43.7 billion in 2016

    - The Indian food processing market is one of the largest in the world in terms of production,consumption and growth prospects

    - Indias per capita annual packaging expenditure was US$20 in 2011, which is significantly lower than

    the top 20 market average of US$347.6. The low per capita expenditure offers a huge business

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    opportunity for packaging companies

    - Despite the Indian packaging industry undergoing some consolidation, it is still fragmented, especially

    following the introduction of new companies in the country

    2)Indian plastics industry set to clock strong growth in 2012

    The Indian plastics industry is expanding at a phenomenal speed and also among the fastest growingsectors in the country. It is expected that this industry's turnover may rise to Rs 1,000 billion (Rs 100,000

    crore) in 2012, according to Plastindia Foundation.

    Plastindia Foundation, an apex forum of India's plastics industry, also estimated that the demand potential

    will jump to 12.5-million metric tonnes. It is noteworthy that India's plastics processing sector is set to

    grow from 69,000 machines to 150,000 machines by 2020.

    India's demand for plastics in irrigation alone is projected to surpass 2.5 million tonnes by 2015. It is also

    likely that this industry will employ nearly 4 million people in 2012 and 7 million people by the year

    2015.

    3)India wants to offer support to GCC nations for plastic industry

    India is keen to offer support to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations in their focus on value addition,

    from oil economy to polymers and plastic products.

    Moreover, the booming Indian plastics industry has got the highest number of exhibitorsalmost half of

    the overall participation - while the remaining are from China, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Iran, Japan,

    South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Portugal, Qatar, Russia, South Africa, Spain, Switzerland, Taiwan,

    Turkey, the UAE and the UK.

    The packaging sector, which is a key driver of the plastics industry, in the UAE was worth $1.84 billion

    during 2011, posting growth at a CAGR of 4.27%. It is likely to grow at a CAGR of 4.68% to reach $2.3

    billion in 2016.

    COMPETITOR ANALYSIS:-

    Pricing- The commodity plastics market is characterised by a short term volatility in prices, but theirsteady rise over the longer term. Bulk polymers have always been subject to the cyclical effects of supply

    and demand that characterise all Commodities, and current price rises for these commodity materials are

    predominantly in response to growing demand in countries such as China and India. Short term shocks

    can also be caused by the oil price.

    The biggest competitor of Sintex Industries in the plastic sector is Grasim.The comparison between the two is as follows

    Name Sintex Grasim

    Share Price 63.15 2,634.80

    Market Cap (Rs. Cr) 1,723.94 24,166.82Sales Turnover (Rs. Cr) 2,568.22 4,969.72

    Net Profit (Rs. Cr) 229.69 1,177.00

    Total Assets (Rs. Cr) 4,668.40 9,729.73

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    COMPANY ANALYSIS

    Company ProfileBusinesses Divisions:-

    Sintex Industries Ltd is one of the leading providers of plastics and niche textile-related products

    in India.

    The Sintex group is one of the leading providers of plastics and niche textile-related

    products in India

    Established in India in 1931, Sintex has a proven track record of pio neering innovative concepts

    in plastics and textile sectors in India and an uninterrupted 77 years of dividend payment to its

    shareholders.

    The company is organized into two business segments namely, textile and plastics.

    In the textile division, the company manufactures high-value, yarn-dyed structured fabrics,

    corduroy and items relating to home textiles.

    In the plastic division , the company manufactures the following: storage solutions for water, oil

    and fuel; prefabricated structures, monolithic structures, industrial custom moulded products,

    consumer custom moulded products and interiors products.

    Location of headquarters & manufacturing facilities:-

    The company is headquartered in Kalol in Gujarat with 13 branch offices across India.

    The company is having eight manufacturing facilities located at Kalol, Kolkata, Daman,

    Bangalore, Nagpur, Baddi, Salem and Bhachau in India.

    They are having a strong presence in the European, American, African, and Asian markets

    including countries like France, Germany and USA.

    Establishment & Journey so far:-

    1931-74 Incorporated as The Bharat Vijay Mills Limited in June 1931 Established composite textile mill in Kalol, Gujrat

    1975-90 Commenced manufacturing of plastic moulded polyethylene liquid storage tanks including

    water tanks. Introduced new plastic products like doors, window frames and pallets Plastic Sections for Conversion into Partitions, False Ceilings, Wall

    panelling, Cabins, Cabinets, Furniture etc.

    1995 Renamed to Sintex industries limited Commenced manufacturing of SMC moulded products, pultruded products, resin

    transfer moulded products and injection moulded products Modernization and expansion of the textile unit Commenced structured yarn dyed business

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    2000-Till date Alliance with European design houses and a UK based textile marketing company Commenced production of pre-fabricated structures for classrooms, booths

    kiosks and office rooms Acquisition of 74% stake in Indian subsidiary of Zeppelin Mobile systems Ltd.,Germany

    Entered the housing sector with monolithic construction First international acquisition by acquiring 81% stake in Wasaukee Composites Inc., USA. Acquired 100% stake in Nief Plastic SA, a French company Acquired automotive business division of Bright Brothers Limited Wausaukee acquired 100% stake of its competitor, Nero Plastics Inc., USA Zeppelin acquired Digvijay Communications and Network Pvt. Ltd., Indore and

    became the total solution provider for telecom sector

    Share Holding Pattern :-

    BSE: 502742 NSE: SINTEXEQ

    ISIN code: INE429C01035

    CURRENT STOCK PRIZE: 63.15 INR

    Holder's Name No of Shares % Share Holding

    Promoters 99608765 36.49%

    Foreign Institutions 80152616 29.36%

    General Public 33500556 12.27%

    Other Companies 29921222 10.96%

    Banks &Mutual Funds 13704582 5.02%

    Financial Institutions 8548373 3.13%

    Others 5776257 2.12%

    Foreign NRI 1778495 0.65%

    Top Management - Board Of Directors:-

    Chairman Dinesh B Patel

    Vice Chairman

    Arun P Patel

    Directors Ramnikbhai Ambani

    Ashwin Lalbhai Shah

    RooshiKumar Pandya

    Indira J Parikh

    Rajesh B Parikh

    Lavkumar Kantilal

    Managing Director Rahul A Patel

    Amit D Patel

    Company Secretary

    S B DangayachL M Rathod

    Deputy Company Secretary Hitesh T Mehta

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    Financial performance of Sintex Industries -

    The consolidated revenue and EBITDA of the Company has grown at a CAGR of 43.9% and 45.3%

    over the last four years. All business segments of Sintex Industries have registered consistent growth inboth top and bottom lines over the past four years.

    The plastics division, which remains the mainstay of the companys business, accounted for 80.36% of

    the total revenues with growth of 63.69% in FY11. Prefabricated structures, part of the plastics division

    was the main driver of growth. This growth was driven by the demand for prefabricated structures such

    as monolithic construction and BT shelters particularly to major telecom providers such as Bharti Airtel

    and Reliance.

    The textiles divisionsrevenues grew 9.51% during FY11 largely on account of a 49% rise in exports to

    Euro-denominated nations like Italy and Spain - a natural hedge against a weakening US dollar. The

    Company strengthened its business through alliance renewals with leading EU and UK design houses.

    Sintex Industries Q1-2012 PAT drops to Rs.46.79 crore

    Sintex Industries Ltd announced its Financial Results for the period ended June 30, 2012.

    The company has posted net profit of Rs.467.936 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 as

    compared to Rs.945.762 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2011, representing a decrease of 50.52%.

    Total income was at Rs.10805.600 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 where as the same was at

    Rs.11119.956 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2011, representing a decrease of 2.83%.

    The company has reported an EPS of Rs.1.72 for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 as compared to

    Rs.3.49 for the quarter ended June 30, 2011.

    Shares of Sintex Industries Ltd was trading in BSE at Rs.66.60, up by Rs.2.10 or 3.26%. The stock hit

    an intraday high of Rs.67.20 and low of Rs.61.90.

    The total traded quantity was 35.58 lakhs compared to 2 week average of 9.06 lakhs .

    SWOT ANALYSIS of SINTEX INDUSTRIES :-

    STRENGTHS-

    Indias prefabricated leader, leveraging a rich government/private sector customer mix.

    Limited competition in growth segment such prefabricated buildings due to high entry barriers

    Marketing concept as a base.

    The decision making and creation of the product is based on our customer's wants and needs

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    and very fast growing business. It would now with the aid of new techniques and setups, focus on

    different ancillary products that can be used by the automobile, aerospace and power sectors.

    1) The acquisition of 100% stake in France based Nief Plastic will enable the company to establish

    itself in the international plastic component and composite markets. This will provide ready access

    to reputed automobile manufacturers such as Renault, Peugot, Alstom, Schneider, Faurecia etc. and

    also deeper penetration into the EU markets with precision plastic auto-component products

    2) The acquisition of 81% stake in Wisconsin based Wausaukee Composites will help it in spreading

    its composite component footprint across the US. The company will automatically cater to Neros

    reputed client base comprising Phillips, Siemens, Hitachi, Toshiba, GE, Caterpillar, New Holland

    Tractors, Agco, Bobcat, Alstom and Amtrac among others.

    3) The acquisition of the automotive plastic division of Bright Brothers has enabled the company to

    assume control of five strategically located manufacturing plants in Pune, Sohna, Chennai,

    Pithampur and Nasik, specialising in the manufacture of injection-moulded plastic components for

    the automotive industry. Bright Brothers has leading automotive companies like Maruti Suzuki,Tata Motors, Honda, Mahindra & Mahindra and Hyundai as its clients.

    Alliances to increase reach-

    With a view to strengthen our position, we at Sintex aim to offer ourselves as a global solutions provider

    to our clients both in India and abroad. To achieve this we have adopted an aggressive strategy of

    inorganic growth. Under this strategy we have acquired companies that are specialists in their respective

    areas.

    1)Wausaukee Composites Inc. - USA

    Front end marketing in US for Sintex products, manufactured across diversified processes

    Access to OEM Fortune 500 customer base

    Access to superior technology

    Sinetx LCC advantage to leverage volume business for Wausaukee

    2)Nief Plastic SAS

    Access to Niefs strong customer base

    A route to enter the European plastic components market with competitive pricing and technical

    qualifications

    Potential synergies with Bright Autoplast to create a strong presence in automotive composite

    and electrical market

    3)Bright AutoPlast Pvt.Ltd. , India

    4)Zep Infratech Limited,India

    http://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#wahttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#nphttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#bahttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#zmhttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#zmhttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#bahttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#nphttp://www.sintex.in/alliances.html#wa
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    PRODUCT INNOVATIONS-

    With its state of art technology, it has witnessed an enormous growth in its two segments viz.

    'Prefabricated Structure' and 'Monolithic Construction'. These divisions will be the major growth drivers

    over the next few years. Sintex is present in the textile business, producing high quality fabrics under thebrand BVM for its prestige clients Armani, Versace, Tommy Hilfiger and more. It has formed an

    alliance with the UK based textile entity to further improve in the areas of design, structure and finishes

    and to adapt some new innovations.

    1)Prefab Structures and BT Shelters: Sintex has manufacturing plants spread across all five regions

    of India to cater to the respective regions. Prefabs are ideal for schools, kiosks, huts, tent substitutes,

    hospitals, police station, site offices etc. Strong demand is expected from municipal corporation, defense

    bodies, hospitals, telecom industries, government school bodies and various other sections within India.

    It also exports its prefabricated structures products to Africa and some parts of Asia for housing,

    schools, medical centers, kiosk and among others.

    2)Monolithic Construction: After establishing its name in Indian plastic industry it will realize its

    name in monolithic construction business too. Sintex has made an entry into low cost housing projects in

    nine states of India. It uses new and innovative techniques that reduce construction time and cost. This

    has helped to grab huge orders from different government and municipal bodies. The demand for low

    cost housing in India is expected to maintain for many years given the immense shortage. Sintex

    currently has an order backlog of Rs22bn, which we believe will grow over time.

    EXPANSION STRATEGIES/ INVESTMENT RATIONALE :-

    Sintex is known as a plastic water tank manufacturer in India, over the years the name has becomesynonyms with water storage tanks. However since then it has come a long way and has diversified

    itself into various other businesses, albeit in the same product, plastics. It now has the ability to use its

    plastics in various forms in various industries. They have entered the construction and housing space,

    automobile ancillaries, and power ancillaries to name a few. In addition the products of Sintex have

    been accepted by the markets and these divisions have been growing rapidly and have been the growth

    drivers.

    1)Prefabricated Structures and BT shelters has smoothen the road ahead

    One of the major changes in construction technology has been prefabricated structures. In a country like

    India that has a massive dearth of infrastructure, prefabricated structures (better known as prefabs) have

    a huge positive implication. Prefabs have a sprawling market in India in areas ranging from large

    industrial and

    commercial construction to mass housing. Over the past few years the construction techniques in India

    have seen a major improvisation thanks to the adoption of global practices. In the context of prefabs, the

    main application areas have so far been industrial buildings, workshops, etc. Mass housing, as a demand

    driver, is yet to be tapped. In rural areas in particular, though housing projects are sponsored by the

    government, there is very little supervision that results in poor quality of construction. The biggest

    advantage of prefab structures is that there is no room for error in terms of the basic structures. These

    structures have been tested and are known to be able to stand firm even in high winds and strong rains.These prefab structures have a life expectancy of 30 years and it usually takes a significantly shorter

    time to construct.

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    Prefab business has not only contributed to the revenue growth, but also further strengthens the

    operating margins. Prefabs have managed to generate an EBIDTA margin of 18% for the FY10. We

    believe margins could sustain at these levels going forward given the mass orders expected from

    government. Sintex uses honeycomb concrete between plastic channels, which makes prefab structures

    lighter and easier to transport. As the name suggests, these structures are pre-made at the factory and

    minimum work is done on the actual site. This reduces the cost by 25-40% and the time for erection by

    85-90% as compared to conventional structures.2)Monolithic construction key growth driver

    Sintex's entry into real estate business has accelerated its growth levels significantly. Monolithic

    contributes 22-25% to its revenues and is expected to rise going forward. This segment caters to the low

    cost housing segment, where a major chunk of its sales comes from the government and state municipal

    bodies. Currently it operates in 7 states of India and has an order book of Rs 22bn. on hand. It has

    chalked out plans to expand its construction business to all parts of India over the next few years. This

    division has been growing at a CAGR of 80% since FY08. Given the acute shortage of housing and the

    ever increasing demand of low cost housing in India we expect the order flow to remain robust. This

    will ensure this division post a growth of 30% over the next few years. The monolithic division

    generates an operating margin of 15% at the present moment. We believe going forward as project sizes

    and number of projects increase the operating margins of the company could increase marginally.

    3)Composite plastic division

    The uses of plastic as a substitute for metals has grown significantly with its application in various

    manufacturing industry like automobile, medical, packaging, aerospace etc. With its unique properties

    like injection moulded, vacuum moulded and various other features plastic can be made in any form as

    per the requirements and its end use application. The demand for plastic went through the roof, driven

    largely by its use in automobile industries, which are replacing metal for plastic in the production of car

    and other vehicles. Sintex is one of the dominant player in Indian plastic industry has realized the

    opportunity and potential in the automobile industry and acquired one company in India, Bright AutoPlast Pvt. Ltd and two companies

    internationally, Nief Plastics SA of France and Wausaukee Composite Inc in the USA. Through its

    alliance with these companies, Sintex has laid a strong foundation for its custom moulding division, with

    a reach in all geographies along with India. Sintex manufactures various products like fuel tanks, cable

    trays, bus seats, satellite dish, meter boxes, polymeric insulators and other accessories catering to auto

    and rural and urban electrification industries. Besides this it manufactures plastic products used in

    aerospace and wind mills.

    Valuations-With higher growth expectation from Monolithic, Prefab and its Custom Moulding divisions, we expect

    revenue to grow 25 to 30% over next couple of years. At the current price the stock is trading at a P/E of

    10.8x and 8.2x and an EV/EBIDTA of 10.9x and 8.9x for FY11E and FY12E respectively. Experts prefer

    the P/E multiple of 13x for FY11E & arrive at a price target of Rs.432 and thus recommend a BUY on

    Sintex Industries with an upside potential of 20%.

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    Risks in the Business-

    Delays in orders execution

    Sintex major growth would be coming from its monolithic construction business which comprises an

    order book of Rs23bn. These orders need to be executed within next 21 to 22 months. Given these are

    government projects there is a strong possibility in delay of projects. Delay from the government end dueto time lag

    between allotment of land and actual construction, delay due to modification of plans, delay due to

    inability of workforce. These risks would remain, we would consistently keep an eye on execution of

    these projects and update our numbers when required.

    Rise in level of working capital requirements

    Sintex's working capital requirements have moved up drastically since its entry into monolithic

    construction business. Debtor days have increased to 120 days from 95 days, while creditor days have

    declined to 50 from 35days. This increase in working capital cycle has led to negative operating cash

    flow. If they are unable to control their working capital this would add pressure on the balance sheet and

    profitability of the company.

    Prices of raw materials

    Raw material costs around 52 to 55 percent of total sales and around 60 percent of total expenditures.

    High volatility in commodity prices can affect the company's margins and bottom line growth. Raw

    material used in plastic are made from the petroleum products, where there prices are largely depends on

    the prices of crude.

    However given the pragmatic shift and increase in the use of plastic we feel most of the price rises would

    be passed on to the end user.

    Low entry barrier

    Sintex may have the market cornered with its respective products and business segments, but theirsuccess may inspire others to enter the business and challenge their position. There are large numbers of

    unorganised players in the prefabricated structure industry which we assume can lead to tough

    competition in future. However with good economies of scale and its synergy with its overseas

    subsidiaries Sintex outperforms in its all business divisions.