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SINGAPORE AIRLINES GROUP SINGAPORE AIRLINES GROUP ANALYSTS / MEDIA BRIEFINGANALYSTS / MEDIA BRIEFING
FY2008FY2008--09 RESULTS 09 RESULTS
15 MAY 200915 MAY 2009
THE GROUP THE GROUP FY2008FY2008--0909
RESULTSRESULTS
GROUP REVENUE GROUP REVENUE –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
12,013
13,341
14,494
15,973 15,996
0
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Group Revenue
0.1%
5-Year CAGR+ 7.4%
($ million)
Slide 3
GROUP EXPENDITURE GROUP EXPENDITURE –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
10,696
12,128
13,18013,848
15,093
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
($ million)
Group Expenditure
9.0%
5-Year CAGR+ 9.0%
0
Slide 4
GROUP OPERATING PROFIT GROUP OPERATING PROFIT –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
1,317 1,213
2,125
904
1,314
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2,800
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
($ million)
Operating Profit
57.5%
Slide 5
GROUP OPERATING PROFIT GROUP OPERATING PROFIT –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
11.0
5.6
13.3
9.1 9.1
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2,800
2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
($ million) (%)
Operating Profit Margin
7.7% pts
Operating Profit
57.5%
Slide 6
CONTRIBUTION TO GROUP OPERATING CONTRIBUTION TO GROUP OPERATING PROFIT PROFIT –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
SIA$821M
(-49.9%)
SATS Group$3M
(-2.0%)
SIAEC$10M
(+9.4%)
SIA Cargo$377M
-300
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2,100
2008 2009
($ million)
$904M
$2,125M
6.2%
77.4%
8.2%4.8%3.4%
-27.1%
91.1%
18.9%12.5%4.6%
SIA Cargo
SIA
SATS
OthersSIAEC
Slide 7
4,132
4,379
4,164
3,321
0
3,000
3,250
3,500
3,750
4,000
4,250
4,500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
GROUP REVENUE GROUP REVENUE –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
Slide 8
GROUP REVENUE GROUP REVENUE –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
+412 -112
-786
+510
0
3,000
3,250
3,500
3,750
4,000
4,250
4,500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Slide 9
3,788
4,148
3,807
3,350
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
GROUP EXPENDITURE GROUP EXPENDITURE –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
3,000
3,250
3,500
3,750
4,000
4,250
4,500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Slide 10
0
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
GROUP EXPENDITURE GROUP EXPENDITURE –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
+699+206
-290+630
3,000
3,250
3,500
3,750
4,000
4,250
4,500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Slide 11
0
343
232
-28
357
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
GROUP OPERATING PROFIT GROUP OPERATING PROFIT –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
Slide 12
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
GROUP OPERATING PROFIT GROUP OPERATING PROFIT –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
-287
-318
-120
-496
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Slide 13
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
GROUP NET PROFIT GROUP NET PROFIT –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
42
359 337324
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Slide 14
FULL YEAR2008-09
$1,062M
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
($ million)2007-08 2008-09
GROUP NET PROFIT GROUP NET PROFIT –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
-184-253
-65
-486
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Slide 15
FULL YEAR2008-09
$1,062M
c$988M(-48.2%)
1,062
2009
GROUP NET PROFIT GROUP NET PROFIT –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
2008
($ million)
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2008 Non-operating
items
Lower interest
receivable & others
-128
OperatingProfit
Loweroperating
profit
-1,221
Tax writeback of $138m & others
Tax and Others
+362
2,049
2009
- 988
2,049
1,062
Slide 16
THE PARENT AIRLINETHE PARENT AIRLINEFY2008FY2008--0909
RESULTSRESULTS
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY RESULTS RESULTS –– FY2008/09 ($ million)FY2008/09 ($ million)
49.949.9--1,644.01,644.0822.9822.9Operating ProfitOperating Profit
10.010.0++(11,115.6)(11,115.6)(12,226.6)(12,226.6)Total ExpenditureTotal Expenditure
2.32.3++12,759.612,759.613,049.513,049.5Total RevenueTotal Revenue
% Change% Change20072007--080820082008--0909
Slide 18
18.9+(4,240.3)(5,043.1)- Fuel Costn.m.185.4(306.3)- Fuel Hedging (Loss)/Gain2.6-(7,060.7)(6,877.2)- Ex-fuel Cost
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE OPERATING PERFORMANCE –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
++
% Change% Change
3.33.3
++ 4.24.2 ptspts69.469.473.673.6Passenger Passenger Breakeven Load Breakeven Load Factor (%)Factor (%)
++ 9.59.58.48.49.29.2Unit Cost Unit Cost ((¢¢/ask)/ask)
12.112.112.512.5Passenger Yield Passenger Yield ((¢¢//pkmpkm))
20072007--080820082008--0909
Slide 19
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE OPERATING PERFORMANCE –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
Capacity (ASK)3.4%
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
2008 2009
(Billion KM)
ASK
RPK
Passenger Carriage (RPK)
1.5%76.580.3
PLF
Pax. Load Factor (%)
3.8% pts0
Slide 20
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE OPERATING PERFORMANCE –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
––
% Change% Change
3.83.8 ptspts
–– 8.08.0 ptspts10.9 pts10.9 pts2.9 pts2.9 ptsPassenger Load Passenger Load Factor Spread (%)Factor Spread (%)
++ 4.24.2 ptspts69.469.473.673.6Passenger Passenger Breakeven Load Breakeven Load Factor (%)Factor (%)
80.380.376.576.5Passenger Load Passenger Load Factor (%)Factor (%)
20072007--080820082008--0909
Slide 21
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE OPERATING PERFORMANCE –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
68
72
76
80
84
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
75.6
79.280.3
76.5
74.1
70.8
72.5
69.4
73.6
69.3
Passenger Load Factor
Breakeven Load Factor
(%)
0
Slide 22
4.8
6.710.9 2.9
4.8
-21.8
4.8
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Year-on-Year Percentage Change in PKM(%)
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY MONTHLY PASSENGERMONTHLY PASSENGER--KMKM
Slide 23
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY MONTHLY PASSENGER LOAD FACTORMONTHLY PASSENGER LOAD FACTOR
2007-08 2008-09
Slide 24
79.780.8
76.4
69.466
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
(%)
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY COST COMPOSITION COST COMPOSITION –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
Fuel43.8%
(+7.3% pts)
Airport Handling6.8%
(-0.1% pt)
Aircraft Depreciation & Rentals
14.0% (+1.4% pts)
Staff 12.5%
(--4.1% pts)
Sales Cost5.0%
(-0.9% pt)
Others17.9%
(-3.6% pts)
Slide 25
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANYTHE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANYFUEL EXPENDITURE FUEL EXPENDITURE –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
($ million)
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
2008
4,055
Volume
Higher volumeuplifted
+145
Price
Higherweighted average
fuel price
+860
Exchange
WeakerUS Dollar
-202
Hedging
+491
HedgingLosses
Vs Gains
+1,294
2009
5,349
0
Slide 26
DIVIDENDSDIVIDENDS
DIVIDENDS DIVIDENDS –– FY2008/09FY2008/09
168.5168.589.689.6Earnings Per Share (Earnings Per Share (¢¢))
20.020.020.020.0Interim Dividend Per Interim Dividend Per Share Paid (Share Paid (¢¢))
20072007--080820082008--0909
Proposed Final Proposed Final Dividend Per Share (Dividend Per Share (¢¢)) 80.080.020.020.0
Total Ordinary Total Ordinary Dividend Per Share (Dividend Per Share (¢¢)) 100.0100.040.040.0
Slide 28
DIVIDEND DIVIDEND ININ--SPECIE OF SPECIE OF SHARES IN SATS SHARES IN SATS
OBJECTIVESOBJECTIVES
Unlock Shareholder Value
Enable SIA to Concentrate on Airline and Aircraft Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) Businesses
Give SIA Shareholders Direct Interest Without Additional Cash Outlay
Slide 30
UNLOCKING SHAREHOLDER VALUEUNLOCKING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Boosts SATS public float upwards from less than 20% Boosts SATS public float upwards from less than 20% improve improve trading liquidity in SATS shares.trading liquidity in SATS shares.
Flexibility to separately manage portfolio holdings of SIA Flexibility to separately manage portfolio holdings of SIA and SATS.and SATS.
Benefit directly from any future corporate actions of SATS, Benefit directly from any future corporate actions of SATS, for example, dividends, bonus issues and mergers and/or for example, dividends, bonus issues and mergers and/or acquisitions. acquisitions.
Shareholders will receive SATS shares free of cost.Shareholders will receive SATS shares free of cost.
Slide 31
RATIONALERATIONALE
Enables SIA to concentrate on airline and Enables SIA to concentrate on airline and aircraft MRO businesses.aircraft MRO businesses.
SATS increased its exposure to NonSATS increased its exposure to Non--aviation aviation businesses.businesses.
* Fractional entitlements to be disregarded.
1 SIA share
1 SIA share
free of costretains
Up to 0.73 *SATS shares
Non‐aviation
43%
Overseas
28%
SATS Revenue1
1Pro form segmental revenue extracted from SATS’ circular dated 5 January 2009.
Slide 32
CONTINUITY OF OPERATIONSCONTINUITY OF OPERATIONS
New agreements signed on 8 May 2009 provides assurance New agreements signed on 8 May 2009 provides assurance to SIA that SATS will continue to supply ground handling to SIA that SATS will continue to supply ground handling and inand in--flight catering services for the next three to five flight catering services for the next three to five years from 1 October 2009.years from 1 October 2009.
Provide SATS with assurance of revenue from SIA for three Provide SATS with assurance of revenue from SIA for three to five years from 1 October 2009. to five years from 1 October 2009.
Slide 33
FINANCIAL EFFECTSFINANCIAL EFFECTS
SIASIA’’ss EPS reduced, but EPS reduced, but SIA shareholders will SIA shareholders will have direct interest in have direct interest in SATS shares and SATS shares and benefit directly from benefit directly from any future SATS any future SATS dividends.dividends.
EPS ROE Gross Gearing
From From SIASIA’’ss perspective, perspective, no significant impact on no significant impact on ROE.ROE.
SIASIA’’ss gross gearing is gross gearing is reduced as it dereduced as it de--consolidates SATS consolidates SATS $200m notes.$200m notes.
79.6
89.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
BeforeDistribution
AfterDistribution
EPS
(cen
ts)
12.0%11.0%
0.0%
3.0%
6.0%
9.0%
12.0%
15.0%
BeforeDistribution
AfterDistribution
Gea
ring
Rat
io (%
)
7.3% 7.0%
0.0%
3.0%
6.0%
9.0%
12.0%
15.0%
BeforeDistribution
AfterDistribution
RO
E (
%)
Note – The effects are in respect of the financial year ended 31 March 2009 on a pro forma basis. For further information, refer to announcement dated 14 May 2009.
Slide 34
APPROVALSAPPROVALS
ShareholdersShareholders’’ approval at an extraordinary general approval at an extraordinary general meeting; andmeeting; and
Regulatory approvalsRegulatory approvals11. .
1 For further information, please refer to paragraph 5.1.2 of the announcement dated 14 May 2009.
Slide 35
LOOKINGLOOKINGAHEADAHEAD
LOOKING AHEADLOOKING AHEAD–– FY2009/10FY2009/10
Fleet Development
Capital Expenditure
Outlook
Slide 37
PASSENGER FLEET DEVELOPMENT PASSENGER FLEET DEVELOPMENT –– FY2009/10FY2009/10
99Operating Fleet at 31 March 2010
5
7
(3)
Aircraft Deliveries/(Disposals)
Airbus A380-800
Airbus A330-300
Boeing 747-400
103Operating Fleet at 1 April 2009
No. of Aircraft
(13)Surplus Aircraft
Slide 38
GROUP CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GROUP CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FOR NEXT 5 YEARS ($ million)FOR NEXT 5 YEARS ($ million)
2,9002,900
100100
2,8002,800
FY10/11FY10/11
1,8001,800
100100
1,7001,700
FY11/12FY11/12
2,1002,100
100100
2,0002,000
FY12/13FY12/13
3,8003,8001,7001,700TotalTotal
100100100100Other AssetsOther Assets
3,7003,7001,6001,600AircraftAircraft
FY13/14FY13/14FY09/10FY09/10
Slide 39
OUTLOOKOUTLOOK–– FY2009/10FY2009/10
Drop in Demand for Air Travel
Outlook – Advance Bookings
Jet Fuel Prices
Capacity and Cost Management
Slide 40