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8/4/2019 Significance of the Article
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/significance-of-the-article 1/4
LATIN AMERICA DEBT CRISIS
ARTICLE ON
LATIN AMERICA DEBT
CRISIS
SUBJECT: SEMINAR IN ECONOMIC POLICY
Submitted by:
HINA ASLAM 54572
Submitted to:
Sir QAZI SALMAN
8/4/2019 Significance of the Article
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LATIN AMERICA DEBT CRISIS
SIGNIFICANCE OF THE ARTICLE:
A vast variety of articles has been written on this topic i-e “LATIN AMERICA
DEBT CRISIS of 1980s” that clearly highlights the causes of the article. Few
articles have also been written on the management of the debt crisis. Thisarticle not only debate about the background origin and causes of the crisis,
but also underlines the steps that were undertaken to overcome the crisis. This
will help other countries not only to identify the mistakes that lead to this crisis
but will also help indebted countries to learn lessons from these mistakes and
take actions for rectification of flaws in their strategies and policies.
SITUATION IN LATIN AMERICA BEFORE CRISIS:
Mexico, Central America and South America combine and form the region of
Latin America. It consists of 21 countries including Brazil, Chile, Venezuela,
Peru etc. The development in economy was dependent on the export of primary
products. The products of Latin America: coffee, tin, beer, sugar, copper,
nitrates, oil and other minerals had a large demand in the world. I this era,
Import-Substituting Industry emerged in Latin America as a leading sector. In
1950s, remarkable development was made in the education sector also to
improve the development in economy.
HOW DID THE CRISIS STARTED?
During Second World War, the economy of Latin America is badly affected
because the sources of supply, export market, shipping services and credit
facilities were in danger. The export of Latin America was lost by almost 30%.
On the other hand, the import of consumer goods and heavy machinery from
U.S in Latin America rose significantly. The Leaders of Latin America wanted to
foster the growth of the country. They took loans from U.S for Big Projects
Paradigm including hydroelectric and irrigation projects and the construction
of transportation infrastructure. These projects expected to give return in
future but demanded investment now. These projects either did not start or
started but not finished. This situation resulted in negative balance of tradebetween U.S and Latin America.
In 1950s and 1960s the economy of Latin America showed growth up to 6%
annually. This growth attracts U.S corporations to invest in the market of Latin
America. International banks support this investment and a new market is
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LATIN AMERICA DEBT CRISIS
emerged called Eurodollar market. This market helps the U.S banks to gain
access to the market to provide loans to these countries.
In 1960s OPEC (organization of petroleum exporting countries) was formed to
control the prices of oil in international market. It includes the countries thatare oil exporters. In 1973, the world economy went into the recession. The oil
prices skyrocketed (due to Suez Canal crisis). This increase in oil price was
favorable for OPEC but cause serious problem for those countries that did not
produced oil and import oil from OPEC. The national income of these oil
importing countries significantly falls because they had to pay more for
importing oil. The Situation in Latin America also worsen because they had to
paid more on import of oil and their export decreased. The national income of
the country declined but the income of OPEC was increasing rapidly. This
money then accumulated in the international banks. Now the international
banks wanted to earn some return on this money. They sent their
representatives to the developing countries whose income had fallen and
import rose. These representatives offered loans to these countries at a very low
interest rate. The offer was accepted and loan was approved. The contract was
made on variable interest rate.
The actual crisis started when these countries had to pay back their loans. In
eight years (1970-1978) the amount of debt had risen to 159 billion dollar from
29 billion dollar. The signs of imminent crisis were becoming more and more
visible. The indebted countries were facing great difficulty in repaying their
loans as well as interest on this loan. The interest rate raised in U.S which
causes more difficulty for indebted countries of Latin America to continue their
debt- service because the amount of interest was much more than the GDP of
the country.
To overcome the situation, commercial banks further increase their lending to
developing countries. From 1979 to 1982 the amount of debt became doubled
from 159 billion dollar to 327 billion dollar. In 1982, the oil price again
skyrocketed and again went the world economy into recession. U.S tightened
their monetary policy which also drove up the interest rate. This situationcreated more difficulty for Latin American countries to continue their debt
service. These countries became current account deficit due to increase in cash
outflow (external debt) and decrease in the cash inflow (export).
The economic environment of Latin America changed in these years. Many
structural adjustments were made in the policies that causes restricting of
production as well as employment. These policies reduce the protection of
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LATIN AMERICA DEBT CRISIS
import substitution industries and also reduce the employment of public sector
which greatly increased the reliance of people on import goods and
international market.
The economic crisis also increased the poverty rate throughout the LatinAmerica. The per capita incomes also fall. In Latin America, several social
programs were designed to control the prices on food, housing, utility, and
other goods and services to lessen the poverty. But it did not work. The
restructuring policy also had an impact on the educational sector of Latin
America. Government made several adjustments to reduce the expenditures of
education.
FACTORS THAT AGGRAVATE THE EFFECTS OF CRISIS:
In the previous sections, I highlighted how the crisis began and what happenedin the Latin America at that time. Now I would like to through some light on
the factors that cause the country to become more and more indebted and also
the areas where this external debt were utilized.
Many authors have categorized these factors as internal and external.
INTERNAL factors that I would like to discuss are investment in projects whose
returns were expected in future, Capital flight, flaws in development strategies
and policies and borrowing for current consumptions.