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12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive Index January 11 th , 2017 8,000 CLIENTS 142 COUNTRIES 120,000 TRAINED 18,000,000 ASSESSMENTS THE PREDICTIVE INDEX

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Page 1: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

12/30/2016

1

Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way

Greg Barnett, Ph.D.VP, Science. The Predictive Index

January 11th, 2017

8,000 CLIENTS

142 COUNTRIES

120,000 TRAINED

18,000,000 ASSESSMENTS

THE PREDICTIVE INDEX

Page 2: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

12/30/2016

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Three Topics To Cover

oPower of AssessmentsoThe Legal Side of AssessmentsoGuidance and Considerations

Q: What is Assessment?A: A method used to provide data/information about a

candidate’s qualifications and potential for performing a job or his/her ability to fit and develop a career within the organization in which the job will be performed.

Interviews, resume reviews, screening, and background checks are considered to be assessments

BELIEVE IT OR NOT!

The Funnel: A Process Model for Assessment

Level of Investment

Page 3: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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7

Personality / Behavioral

AssessmentsCognitive

Assessments

Popular Assessments

Interviews

7

Skills

The Power of Assessments

More Accurate

Talent Decisions

More Efficient

Talent Decisions

More Objective

Talent Decisions

More Informed

Talent Decisions

More Accurate Talent Decisions

14%Interviews Alone

26%+ Reference Checks

38%+ Personality Assessment

54%+ Cognitive Ability

John E. Hunter and Ronda F. Hunter, "Validity and Utility of Alternative Predictors of Job Performance," Psychological Bulletin, Vol. 96, No. 1, 1984; Robert P. Tett, Douglas Jackson and Mitchell Rothstein, "Personality Measures as Predictors of Job Performance: A meta-analytical review," Personnel Psychology, Winter 1991. Michigan State University School of Business.

Page 4: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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More Efficient Talent Decisions

More Objective

o Anchoring

o Confirmation Bias

o Illusory Correlation

o Halo Effect

o Social Comparison Bias

o Similarity-Attraction

95 Decision-Making Biases48 Memory Biases26 Social Biases

Over 150 Cognitive Biases

More Informed

Page 5: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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FAIRNESS

• EEOC• Uniform Guidelines• Adverse Impact• Job Relatedness• Diversity x Validity Dilemma

EEOC

The U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) is responsible for enforcing federal laws that make it illegal to discriminate against a job applicant or an employee because of the person's race, color, religion, sex, national origin, age (40 or older), disability or genetic information.

Page 6: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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Uniform Guidelines on Employee Selection Procedures

• Adopted in 1978• Sets legal and validation standards• Defines – Fairness: Adverse Impact• Applies to all employment decisions• Applies to all decision tools

In 1978Laverne & Shirley #1 Show

Cost of Superbowl Ad: $162KThe Dow: 805

Average Income: $17KSpace Invaders

Adverse Impact

o Appear neutral but have a discriminatory effect

o Substantially different rate of selection in employment decisions (4/5ths rule)

o Not intentional discrimination (Disparate Treatment)

100 100

80 40

80% 40%.40/.80 = 50%

APPLICANT POOL

NUMBER HIRED

SELECTION RATE

ADVERSE IMPACT RATIO

4/5ths Rule of Adverse Impact

Page 7: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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ADVERSE IMPACT?ADVERSE IMPACT?

Job Related & Consistent with

Business Necessity?

Job Related & Consistent with

Business Necessity?

DEFENDANT

Alternative Practice?NO

PLAINTIFF

YES

NO YES

Legal Path

DISPARATE IMPACT

90% Lose RateAverage of 1.5 million

BUT…83% of all EEOC employment

discrimination complaints on the selection process not the selection tools

Job Relatedness

Content Validity (80%)

Criterion Validity (15%)

Construct Validity (5%)

Page 8: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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Content ValidityIs the “test” representative of the content of the job?

Critical tasks/behaviors and the KSAO’s

needed to perform

Tests for those KSAO’s

Better Overlap = Better Content Validity

Job Analysis Assessment

Content Validity

Criterion-Validity

Selection AssessmentPerformance or

other criteriaValidity CoefficientIs there a meaningful and significant statistical relationship?

Supervisor ratings, production, sales numbers, safety violations, absences, etc.

Page 9: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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• Need “enough” people to do good science• Small & medium sized companies lack numbers• Not possible with roles with few people

Sample Size Problem

• Borrowing validity from similar jobs or from meta-analyses

• Science supports but law doesn’t always

Transport Validity / Validity

Generalization

A Note: Criterion Validity

So why ever use a test that can cause adverse impact?

Some critical abilities are not distributed equal across groups

Unfairness to current employees by hiring poor performers

Removes subjectivity and intentional discrimination from hiring process

Diversity – Validity Dilemma

Sacrifice validity• Use less valid selection

tests that do not result in adverse impact to achieve social, ethical, or business aims

Sacrifice validity• Use less valid selection

tests that do not result in adverse impact to achieve social, ethical, or business aims

Sacrifice diversity• Ignore the potential

adverse impact of valid selection procedures to achieve different social, ethical, or business aims.

Sacrifice diversity• Ignore the potential

adverse impact of valid selection procedures to achieve different social, ethical, or business aims.

Page 10: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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Americans with Disabilities Acto Reasonable Accommodations During Hiring Process:

o Alternate test formatso Extended timedo Brailleo Screen readerso Assistants

o No Accommodation: Undue Hardship or Job Relatednesso Assessment is highly similar to job (e.g. physical tests)o No reasonable alternate to measure construct (e.g. data entry

speed)

What Can You Do?

Choose an implementation approachDo a “job analysis”Choose the right assessmentsChoose when you use themDo validation (if you can)Choose experienced vendorsBe responsible

ALGORITHM DATA POINT

IMPLEMENTATION APPROACH

Page 11: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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Algorithm Approacho “System” makes decisiono Pure odds-makingo Recommendations

o Cut-off Scores o “Red/Yellow/Green”o Auto Ranking

o Higher Volume (larger employee pops)

PROS• Most efficient use of

assessments• No subjective bias• No training needed• Reduces recruiter, HR,

hiring manager wasted time

Cons• Need serious “job

relatedness” documentation

• Must carefully monitor selection rates

• Odds making can be a cold way to hire

• Managers feel control taken from them

Puts Legal Pressure on Tools

Data Pointo People make the decisionso Objective data informs decision-makingo Each Assessment is a “data point”o Training needed to interpret and use toolso Better for smaller volume roles

Page 12: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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PROS• Understand what makes

people unique• Selection tools don’t

reject candidates• People become smarter

about talent• Managers still in control

Cons• More room for

subjective bias• Need to train (and keep

training)• Confusion about how to

weight different tools• Need to build “buy-in”

Puts Legal Pressure on System

RIGOROUS NOTHING

JOB ANALYSIS APPROACH

Understand Tasks + KSAO’s required for the job. Best practice but intensive. Info can be used for assessments choice PLUS many HR needs (e.g., performance, job descriptions, etc.)

Never good… Is the assessment measuring something needed for the job? “How much” of what the test measures do you need?

TEST-SPECIFIC

Understanding job requirements in the

context of the assessment (e.g., how much extraversion is needed). Be sure to

involve multiple SMEs in process

VERY PREDICTIVE

BUT LESS FAIR

LESS PREDICTIVE BUT MORE

FAIR

ASSESSMENT CHOICES

A MIX

Page 13: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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Assessment Choices

37

Assessment Choices

38

Assessment Choices

39

Unstructured Structured

Page 14: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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Assessment Choices

40

Unstructured Structured

SCREEN OUTEARLY IN PROCESS

SCREEN INLATER IN PROCESS

ASSESSMENT TIMING

More effective system but larger numbers impacted

Less effective use of assessments but fewer people impacted. Utility increased when information is used to drive interviews

MULTIPLE HURDLES

Use assessments according to goal. Safer = fair tools early

LOCAL VALIDATION

OFF-THE-SHELF

RESEARCH APPROACH

VALIDITY GENERALIZATION or TRANSPORT or

TOP/BOTTOM PERFORMANCE

Legally safest but resource intensive and requires large samples

Better than nothing, but still doesn’t hold up well in court. Not all test vendors can do this well.

For fair tools this can be fine. But legally, this is a lose.

Page 15: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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VENDOR CHOICE

EXPERTISE FLUFF

EXPERIENCECan vendor provide legal guidance and show assessment predicts job performance?

Does vendor have experience working with companies like yours?

Does vendor say all the right things, but have nothing to back it up?

“Fluff”o “Certified by the EEOC” o Liberal use of “valid” (without proof)o The “Fortune Teller” debriefo Unrealistic accuracy (e.g., 90% accurate)o The AMAZING client logo listo The 10-page technical manual

MONITOR OBSSESIVELY

CLOSE EYES AND HOPE

RESPONSIBILITY

Whether it is the tool or your entire system. You are responsible for knowing your applicant flow. You

should do so at least annually.

Page 16: SHRM Law Day Presentation Final - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · 12/30/2016 1 Less Risk, Better Talent: Using Assessments the Legal Way Greg Barnett, Ph.D. VP, Science. The Predictive

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ADVICE

Lower Volume

More Data Point

Test-Specific Job Analysis that

Involves Multiple SMEs

Interpretation Training for all

Users.

Order doesn’t matter,

weighting tools equally does

Experienced Vendors

Monitor Overall Selection System Adverse Impact

Frequently

Higher Volume

More Algorithmic Through Job Analysis

Solid Local Validation Multiple Hurdles Expert Vendors

Monitor Assessment

Adverse Impact Obsessively

Conclusiono Use Assessments!o Yes there are risks…

o Most lawsuits are about the processo Be thoughtful about goals and approacho Don’t be afraid to use an assessment that causes AIo But be responsible in your implementation and monitoring

o Anything is better than biased and inaccurate unstructured interviews