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Shaping the Future of Energy Insights from EPRI’s Research Anda Ray Senior Vice President Energy, Environment and External Relations - Chief Sustainability Officer October 6, 2016

Shaping the Future of Energy - United States Energy ... 2_Anda Ray... · Shaping the Future of Energy Insights from EPRI’s Research Anda Ray Senior Vice President Energy, Environment

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Shaping the Future of Energy

Insights from EPRI’s Research

Anda Ray

Senior Vice President

Energy, Environment and

External Relations -

Chief Sustainability Officer

October 6, 2016

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Electric Power Research Institute

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Storage: Bulk to Micro

Microgrids

24x7 Quality & Capacity Electrification

24/7 Communications

Resiliency

Analytics

Cleaner Energy

Microsensors

Energy Efficiency

and Automation

Technology Innovation

• Acceleration 25:8

• Breadth & Depth

• Integration

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

More Dynamic

More Interactive

Less Dispatchable

Less Forecastable

Electric System

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

EMISSIONS: Global Focus on Economy-wide Emission Reduction

ENERGY: Smarter Global

Demand and Use of Energy

Global Focus: Smarter Energy with Significantly

Reduced Emissions

Increased

Electricity

Demand,

2014-2040

Increased

Energy

Demand,

2014-2040

Energy and Emissions

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Using Cleaner

Energy Through

Efficiency and

Electrification

Producing

Cleaner

Energy

Integrating

Energy

Resources

“Connecting customers

with reliable, safe,

affordable and cleaner

energy”

Integrated Energy Network™

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Projected Global CO2 Emissions

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Non-Electric Sector CO2

Electric Sector CO2

Bill

ion

s T

on

s C

O2

Efficiency and Electrification enable other sectors of the

economy to decarbonize affordably

Source: EPRI MERGE Baseline Projection for Global CO2 Emissions with Electric Sector 80% Reduction

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

60%

70%

80%

Economy-

wide

Emission

Reduction

from Baseline

Challenge: Economy-wide CO2

Emission Reduction

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Non-Electric Sector CO2

Electric Sector CO2

Bill

ion

s T

on

s C

O2

Source: EPRI MERGE Baseline Projection for Global CO2 Emissions with Electric Sector 80% Reduction

Electrification is Part of the Answer for Reducing

Economy-wide Emissions

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

“Efficiency and electrification enable other sectors of the economy to decarbonize

affordably” Using Cleaner

Energy Through

Efficiency and

Electrification

Producing

Cleaner

Energy

Integrating

Energy

Resources

Pillar I - Using Cleaner Energy Through Efficiency and Electrification

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Using Cleaner Energy Through Efficiency and Electrification

Single-

Family

Home

Heat Pump

Replaces

Gas Furnace

PHEV/EV

Replaces

Mid-Size Car

Energy

Efficiency

Improvements

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Pathway of Cleaner Energy Use ~2050

Efficiency and

Electrification

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

“Reducing emissions from the production of electricity and

other forms of energy” Using Cleaner

Energy Through

Efficiency and

Electrification

Producing

Cleaner

Energy

Integrating

Energy

Resources

Pillar II – Producing Cleaner Energy

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Coal and Gas Carbon

Capture and Sequestration

Generation IV Nuclear (co-production – electricity,

hydrogen steam)

High-Altitude Wind

Gen III Photovoltaic (PV) (e.g., High power density PV cells)

Large-Scale Storage

Producing Cleaner Energy

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Using Cleaner

Energy Through

Efficiency and

Electrification

Producing

Cleaner

Energy

Integrating

Energy

Resources

“The Integration of Electrons, Molecules and Bytes”

Pillar III – Integrated Energy Resources

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrating Energy Resources

24 by 7 Electricity

Voltage Quality

Supply and Demand

The Value of the Grid

Startup Power

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

5

4

3

2

1

0

-

1

-

2

-

3

Sit

e D

em

and

(kW

)

Capacity

Capacity

Capacity… Reliably Deliver Energy Every Second,

Every Place

Integrating Energy Resources

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Technology, Policy and Customer Preferences are

Changing the Electricity Business: Integrated Grid

The Changing Consumer

Distributed Energy and “The Internet of Things”

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Enables Optimization of Local and Central

Energy Resources

Integration of All

Energy Resources

Electricity, Gas, Water,

Telecommunications,

Customer Local Energy

Networks

Integrating Energy Resources

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

• National Charging Infrastructure Deployment • >$1B US of utility-owned/operated infrastructure

• Utility web portal data access and analytics, billing interface

• Electricity Grid-to-Vehicle Interface • Time-of-Use rates and Demand Response signals

• EV batteries: grid optimization

• High Power Fast Charging Infrastructure • 150 kW / 350 kW leads to ~1.5 MW / 3.5 MW per “gas station”

Value of the Grid: Electricity to Cleaner Transportation

Integrated Electric Grid: Enables Electricity and Transportation Interface

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Increasing Interface: Electricity, Gas and Water Infrastructure

• Natural Gas and Electricity • Pipeline and gas compression/electric generation

station

• Electric/gas markets

• Power to gas (H2) and gas to power (fuel cell)

• Water and Electricity and Energy • Water for electricity and electricity for water

transportation

• Electricity for water treatment, e.g., desalination

• Electrotechnology for reducing water use, e.g., microwave drying

Value of the Grid: Electricity to Cleaner Gas and

Integrated Water Infrastructure

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Energy Network™: A Pathway to the Future

Highly Connected

Customer Energy

Information

More Reliable, Affordable Energy

Growing Energy-

Water Interface

Reduced Environmental

Footprint

Expanded Customer

Choice, Dynamic and

Individualized

Engagement

Cleaner, More Diverse

Energy Portfolio

Increased Efficient

Energy Production and

Customer End-Use

Innovative, Collaborative Thinking

Shaping the Future of Energy

Increased Cyber and

Physical Security

Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity

Comments? Ideas? Questions? Contact: Anda or Tom