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Bertison-George, LLC PIOGA Winter Meeting Feb/24-25/2015

Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

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Page 1: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

Bertison-George, LLC

PIOGA Winter Meeting

Feb/24-25/2015

Page 2: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

2Bertison-George, LLC

Review of Historic Development

Severance Tax / Impact Fee – By the numbers

Summary

Page 3: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

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10Bertison-George, LLC

Act 13

Impact Fee

Implemented

Page 11: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

Severance Tax / Impact Fee – By the

numbers

11Bertison-George, LLC

Page 12: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

$7,500,000 - County Conservation Districts/State

Conservation Commission

$1,000,000 - Fish and Boat Commission

$1,000,000 - PA Public Utility Commission

$6,000,000 - Department of Environmental

Protection

$750,000 - PA Emergency Management Agency

$750,000 - Office of State Fire Commissioner

$1,000,000 - Department of Transportation

$2,500,000 - Natural Gas Energy Development

$123,151,200 - Direct to Counties and Municipalities

(includes Housing Funds)

$82,100,800 - Marcellus Legacy Fund12

Bertison-George, LLC

Page 13: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

13

Sourc

e:2

014 P

HA

RE

Pro

ject S

um

maries

Bertison-George, LLC

Page 14: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

14Bertison-George, LLC

Variables:• Spud wells

• Commodity

Price

Page 15: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

15Bertison-George, LLC

Variables:• Production

• Commodity

Price

• Production

• Commodity

Price

• Spud Wells

• Commodity

Price

Results:Tax Method:Ohio:

2.5% Gas

$0.10 Oil

WV:

5% O&G +

$0.047 “temp”

PA:

Impact FeeOH and PA based on Unconventional production only. Utilizing HH pricing estimates will cause results to be overstated.

Ohio Ohio

Impact Fee Severance T ax

2012 8,855,000 448,526

2013 28,260,000 3,371,345

2014 15,850,000 10,107,110

52,965,000 13,926,982

PA PA *

Impact Fee Severance T ax

2012 204,210,000 168,717,253

2013 202,472,000 347,560,733

2014 225,752,000 523,779,237

632,434,000 1,040,057,223

* Utilizing Avg. HH Pricing and 3% Severance Tax Rate

Under Wolf proposal = $697 million 2014

WV WV

Impact Fee Severance T ax

2012 28,980,000 98,567,066

2013 13,410,000 114,252,434

2014 ?? 232,003,111

42,390,000 212,819,500

2014 Sev Tax Not included in total

Temp Fee Avg. 3.94%

Page 16: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

16Bertison-George, LLC

5% Severance + $0.047 per Mcf • Estimates that the total impact would be 5.8%

• For $0.047 to equal .8% the natural gas price

would need to equal $5.88 per Mcf.

• Based on Current HH March pricing $0.047 would

equal ~1.7%. ($0.047 / $2.83)

Total 6.7%

• Transco Z6 trading at a $1.8671 (premium Non-

winter months trading at a discount)

Total value $4.70 Vs. $5.88

Page 17: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

Impact on conventional production

Cuomo won’t be in office for ever

Act 13 have resulted in hundreds of millions being

collected

• State and Local agencies have benefited

• Pennsylvania citizens have benefited

Can you spell OH..

17Bertison-George, LLC

Page 18: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

18Bertison-George, LLC

Questions for Wolf:• What will the split be between impact funding and

pensions/general fund?

• How can we find a Wolf administration’s math 101

tutorial?

• Factored into their analysis?:

How much additional gasoline taxes will be collected

from production companies and supporting industry

moving their equipment?

As always, the devil is in the details!

Page 19: Shale Gas Best Practices - Bertison-George, LLC · 2015. 3. 6. · 15 Bertison-George, LLC Variables: •Production •Commodity Price •Production •Commodity Price •Spud Wells

THANK YOU!

Joe Baran

Principal

Bertison-George, LLC

www.bertison-george.com

412-258-5262

Bertison-George, LLC

Office Locations:Headquarters Financial Branch4031 Old William Penn Hwy 200 Schermerhorn St

Murrysville, PA 15668 Brooklyn, NY 11201