Upload
others
View
5
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.(PSE: PIZZA)
FIRST QUARTER 2019 RESULTS PRESENTATIONMAY 2019
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
*Source: Euromonitor, 2018
Summary of Investment Highlights
• Multiple sales channels and store formats; simple operations• Low upfront cost and strong cash generation lead to shorter store-level
payback periods compared to the industry
• Extensive track records in food and restaurant operations• Entry of Century Pacific Group as strong and committed shareholders
provides synergies with other food businesses
• Well-loved brand with more than 40 years of history in the Philippines• Iconic products served in a distinct store environment• No royalty payments, plus additional revenues from franchisings
• Superior profitability and margins versus peers• Gearing levels improve as debt remains stable while EBITDA and equity grow• Operating cash flows sufficient for CapEx and other investments
Market Leadership1
2 Brand Strength& Ownership
3 Scalable Business Model
4 Experienced Management
5 Industry-Leading Financials
• Dominates the full-service pizza chain market with 64%* market share• 22%* market share in the full-service (pizza and non-pizza) category - #1 in
that space as well
3
Q1 2019 FINANCIAL HIGLIGHTS
Financial Results Highlights
1Q19
FY18
+6%
+12%
+3%
+10%
-1%
+4%
+2%
+7%
5
Q1 2019 Summarized P&L
• Higher system-wide sales driven by FRANCHISEE-LED STORE NETWORK EXPANSION
• DAMPENED CONSUMER SENTIMENT, TIMING DIFFERENCE in holiday spend, and COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT result in FLATTISH SSSG
• STABLE FINANCING COSTS, HIGHER OTHER INCOME, and PRUDENT TAX MANAGEMENT help Q1 net income grow +3%
In PHP Mill Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Change YoYSystem-wide Sales 2,214 2,337 6%
Total Revenue 1,768 1,839 4%
Cost of Sales (1,259) (1,328) 5%
Gross Profit 509 511 0%
Operating Expenses (230) (236) 3%
EBITDA 344 352 2%
EBIT 278 275 -1%
Income before Tax 241 239 -1%
Net Income 184 188 3%
Earnings per Share 0.12 0.12 3%
MarginsGross Profit 28.8% 27.8% -1.0 pps
EBITDA 19.5% 19.2% -0.3 pps
EBIT 15.7% 14.9% -0.8 pps
Net Income 10.4% 10.2% -0.2 pps
• Margin pressures from lower operating leverage and sales-supporting programs partially offset by SOFTENING CHEESE PRICES and OPERATIONAL COST-SAVING INITIATIVES in-store
6
12%
5%
1% 2% 2%
9%
4% 2% -1% 4% 4%
4% 3% 5% 6%
8% 8% 5%
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
SSSG Inflation of Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages*
SSSG
• Slower sales growth POST-CHRISTMAS HOLIDAYS andtail-end INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
• DIFFERENCE IN TIMING OF HOLIDAYS push seasonal spend to Q2 (vs. Q1 last year)
• SSSG also affected by DIMINISHING SALES IMPACT of annual meal deal promo on its third year
7
Consumer Sentiment Still Sluggish in Q1; Diminished Impact of Annual Meal Deal
* Source: Philippine Statistics Authority
Revenues
• Net addition of 1 STORE IN 1Q19; expect to open 7 more stores in Q2• Still on track to open TOTAL OF 20 NET NEW STORES IN 2019, majority still
outside Metro Manila• STORE EXPANSION STRATEGY STILL INTACT; temporary sales and competitive
pressures to normalize long-term
8
3 3 15 2 1 1
2 3 43
4 3 4 5 15 6 5
84 5 5 6
11Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
Company-Owned Franchised
HISTORICAL NEW STORE OPENINGS (DOMESTIC)
2.0 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.5 2.3
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19In P
HP
Bill
SYSTEM-WIDE SALES
6%YoY Growth in 1Q19
Store Network Expansion Still on Track; 20 New Stores by FY 2019
2019 LOCAL NEW STORE OPENINGS
81H19 New Store
Projection
20Projected
New Stores in FY19
122H19 New Store
Projection
Revenues
• Majority of new store openings outside Metro Manila move sales trend in favor of FRANCHISED STORES, with local operators providing better on-the-ground execution
• SHIFT IN OWNERSHIP BREAKDOWN result in more modest growth in revenues versus system-wide sales
9
1.7 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 1.8
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
In P
HP
Bill 4%
YoY Growth in 1Q19
REVENUES
Revenue Mix Skewed by Expansion Strategy in Favor of Franchised Stores
42%Franchised
58%Company-Owned
STORE NETWORK BREAKDOWN BY OWNERSHIP (DOMESTIC)As of 1Q18 As of 1Q19
46%Franchised
54%Company-Owned
+4.0 pps
29.9% 30.3% 27.8%
29.9% 28.8% 28.6% 25.8%
31.4% 27.8%
12% 5%
1% 2% 2% 9%
4% 2% -1%
SSSG Gross Profit Margin
1.7 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 1.8
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
Revenues
Gross Profit Margins
10
-100 bpsYoY
• GROSS MARGIN DROP YEAR-ON-YEAR AND SEQUENTIALLY due to:1. Operating leverage impact of flattish SSSG and Q1 sales seasonality2. Sales-supporting initiatives3. Inflationary headwinds on input costs (e.g. packaging)
Margin Pressure YoY and Sequentially Partly Offset by Softening Cheese Prices
12.9% 12.8% 13.0% 12.8%
OpEx as % of Sales
905 973
230 236
FY17 FY18 1Q18 1Q19
OpEx
11
In PHP Mill
+7%
Softer OpEx Growth Year-on-Year Relative to Increase in Top Line
Quarterly OpEx as % of Sales
• MODEST INCREASE IN OPEX YEAR-ON-YEAR driven by:1. Marketing and other sales-sustaining initiatives2. Overall impact of inflationary pressures3. Partial offset from operational cost-saving programs
+3%
13.0% 12.5% 14.1%
10.7% 12.8%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
-20 bpsYoY
20.1% 19.8%
FY17 FY18
10.9% 11.1%
FY17 FY18
Softer Margins Due to Operating Leverage Impact of Flattish Sales
EBITDA Net Income
19.5% 19.2%
1Q18 1Q19
-30bps
10.4% 10.2%
1Q18 1Q19
+20 bps
• GROSS MARGIN COMPRESSION YEAR-ON-YEAR resulting from operating leverage impact of flattish sales, sales-generating promotional activities, and overall inflationary environment
• NET INCOME MARGIN RELATIVELY UNCHANGED
12
29.5% 28.8%
FY17 FY18
-70bps
28.8% 27.8%
1Q18 1Q19
Gross Profit
-100 bps
-20 bps-30 bps
13
FY 2019 Targets Challenging but Doable; Outlook Maintained
• Low double-digit growth• Sales recovery via superior
execution across all segments• Increasing presence beyond
typical urban areas• 20 net new stores locally• Lower end of 3-5% SSSG
• Low double-digit growth• Subdued inflationary trend
to be felt in succeeding quarters
• Stable cheese prices• Steady peso relative to dollar• Continued initiatives on
efficiency and cost control
ANNEX
Balance SheetIn PHP Mill 2018 Q1 2019
Cash 434 347
Receivables 508 588
Other Current Assets 668 629
Total Current Assets 1,610 1,564
Property, Plant, and Equipment 1,712 1,798
Goodwill and Trademarks 6,066 6,066
Other Non-Current Assets 245 260
Total Non-Current Assets 8,023 8,124
TOTAL ASSETS 9,633 9,688
In PHP Mill 2018 Q1 2019
Trade Payable and Others 920 806
Short-Term Debt 48 48
Total Current Liabilities 968 854
Long-Term Debt 3,837 3,837
Other Non-Current Liabilities 259 239
Total Non-Current Liabilities 4,096 4,076
TOTAL LIABILITIES 5,063 4,930
TOTAL EQUITY 4,570 4,758
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 9,633 9,688
• Increase in working capital mainly due HIGHER RECEIVABLES from franchisees
• Elevated PPE to support ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH andOPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES
• Decreased trade payables versus end 2018 due to PROCESS STREAMLINING
• Long-term loan of PHP3.8 billion all PESO-DENOMINATED WITH FIXED INTEREST RATES
15
Ratios
Net Debt-to-Equity (x)
Net Gearing (x)
Interest-BearingDebt-to-EBITDA (x)
Return on Equity
1.01 0.96
2018 Q1 2019
0.76 0.74
2018 Q1 2019
2.59 2.58
2018 Q1 2019
20% 19%
2018 Q1 2019
16
Uses trailing 12-month EBITDA
(Interest-Bearing Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
Uses trailing 12-month earnings and average equity
(Total Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
• COMFORTABLE GEARING RATIOS
• Company’s only interest-bearing debt is the PESO-DENOMINATED ACQUISITION LOAN USED IN THE CHANGE OF MAJORITY SHAREHOLDERS in 2016
• MAINTAINED ABOVE-INDUSTRY ROE at 19%
Cash FlowIn PHP Mill Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Income before Income Tax 241 239
Depreciation and Amortization 58 68
Interest Expense 45 45
Changes in Working Capital (104) (258)
Others (16) 7
Net Operating Cash Flow 224 101
Capital Expenditures (146) (155)
Others (19) (24)
Net Investing Cash Flow (165) (179)
Payment of Interest (9) (9)
Net Financing Cash Flow (9) (9)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 1 0
Beginning Cash 245 434
Change in Cash 51 (87)
Ending Cash 296 347
Free Cash Flow 78 (54)
17
• Higher depreciation due to STORE NETWORK and HEAD OFFICE AND COMMISSARY EXPANSION
• Increase in working capital driven by HIGHER RECEIVABLES and STREAMLINING OF TRADE PAYABLES
• CapEx primarily for NEW STORE OPENINGS and IT INVESTMENTS
• OPERATING CASH FLOWS SUFFICIENT for CapEx and other investments
Cash Conversion Cycle
597 537
40 36
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY18 1Q19 days₱
Mns
920 806
62 54
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY18 1Q19 days₱
Mns
508 588
24 28
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY18 1Q19 days₱
Mns
185 319
2 10
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY18 1Q19 days₱
Mns
Working Capital Receivables Inventory Payables
18
• Increase in cash conversion cycle relative to end 2018 to +10 DAYS
• Elevated receivables driven by increase in dues from franchisees following MORE FRANCHISED STORE OPENINGS
• Shortened payable days versus end 2018 due to PROCESS STREAMLINING
19
Improving Delivery Availability via Third-Party Apps
• Increased online and delivery presence via TIE-UPS WITH THIRD-PARTY AGGREGATORS and other online apps
• IN-HOUSE DELIVERY service to remain TOP PRIORITY AND MAIN GROWTH DRIVER for delivery given loyal guest base and more extensive menu
20
WOW Brands: Envisioning a Diversified, Multi-Brand Platform
• Announced acquisition of Peri-Peri Charcoal Chicken (“Peri”) last April 2019
• Peri is an emerging fast casual and full-service restaurant brand in the Philippines, demonstrating consistent profitability, brand strength, and robust growth in both system-wide sales and store count
• Peri acquisition on track towards TRANSACTION CLOSE ON JUNE 1
21
First GRI-Compliant Sustainability Report Out by June 2019
GUEST SERVICE & SATISFACTION
PEOPLE PLANET PIZZA• Talent Acquisition
& Management• Workplace Culture
& Environment• External Guest
Engagement• Impact to
Communities
• Energy Efficiency
• Packaging & Waste
• Food Safety & Quality
• Responsible Sourcing
• Long-term financial goals now coupled with ENTERPRISE-WIDE INITIATIVE TO MONITOR AND MEASURE ENVIRONMENT-AL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE METRICS
2017 Glossy Annual Report
PIZZA’s 2017 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’scorporate website.
22
Investors > Investor Presentations
https://spavi-noo-prod.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/documents/investor_presentations/FINAL_ONLINE_PIZZA_2017_Glossy_Annual_Report.pdf
Our 2018 Glossy AnnualReport will be availableby June 20, 2019.
Investor Conferences Earnings Release
dbAccessPhilippines Corporate Day (London)
2
AUG MacquarieASEAN Conference (Singapore)
26
SEP
*Schedule updated as of 14 May 2019
Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
20JUN
2Q19Earnings Release
7AUG
3Q19Earnings Release
12NOV
2019 Calendar of IR Activities
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or anyportion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner.
The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expresslydisclaims any obligation or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statementscontained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. Bypreparing this presentation, none of the Company, its management, and their respective advisers undertakes anyobligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correctany inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent.
This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs andassumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable.Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which maycause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differmaterially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-lookingstatements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to placeundue reliance on these forward-looking statements.
Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. and its subsidiaries.
Paranaque City, Philippines
+632 742 5397
www.shakeyspizza.ph
http://edge.pse.com.ph/companyInformation/form.do?cmpy_id=664