Session- 16.11.11

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    VALUATION of Enterprise

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    CAPM

    P/E Ratio

    Gordons

    Model

    DividendGrowthModel

    NetAsset

    Value

    Liquidation

    Value Method

    DCF

    I need assistance

    EV

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    What is Valuation?

    Valuation is the first step toward intelligent investing.

    The object of investment is to find assets that are worth more than theycost

    Valuation is the process of estimating how much an asset is worth

    Valuation encompasses many considerations

    howthe value of an asset is determined

    whythe asset has a certain value, and not a higher or lower one

    howto compareasset values, as a basis for investment decisionmaking

    What is Valuation?

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    Reasons for Valuation

    M&As

    Buyouts

    ESOP

    Estate Planning

    Keyman Life Insurance

    Financing by Potential/New Investors

    Reasons for Valuation

    h l

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    Who Uses Valuation

    Investors (Active & Passive)

    Financial Analysts

    Chartists

    Traders

    Market Timers

    Efficient Marketers

    Who Uses Valuation

    C f V l

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    Concepts of Value

    Net Book Value

    Adjusted Book Value

    Replacement Value

    Liquidation Value

    Concepts of Value

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    APPROACHES TO ASSETVALUATION

    Balance Sheet Value method

    (Net Book Value Method).

    Adjusted Book Value method.

    Liquidation Value method.

    Replacement Cost method.

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    BALANCE SHEET METHODNet Book Value

    Value of a asset will be represented by the book

    value reflected in the balance sheet.

    Vo = [Total assets at balance sheet values Total Liabilities(excludingnetworth) ] divided by Number of ordinary shares issued

    Or,Vo = Share Capital + Reserves and Surplus

    Number of ordinary shares issued

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    ILLUSTRATION:

    The balance sheet of Ahuja Ltd shows share capital

    of Rs 100 crores. (10 CRORE SHARES OF Rs 10Each) and reserves and surplus of Rs 100 crores.Estimate the value of the firms equity shares.

    BALANCE SHEET METHOD

    Net Book Value

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    SOLUTION:

    Share Capital = Rs.100 Crs (10 crs shares of Rs.10

    each).Reserves & Surpluses = Rs 100 Crs.

    Net Book Value = Rs. 200 Crs (100 Crs + 100 Cr)

    NBV per share = 200 Crs/10 Crs shares

    = Rs. 20 per share.

    One can compare NBV with the going market price whiletaking investment decisions.

    BALANCE SHEET METHOD

    Net Book Value

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    LIMITATIONS: It does not take into account the future earning

    capacity of the business.

    It does not take into account the present value or thechange in the historical value of the asset over aperiod of time as the valuation is based on thehistorical value of the assets.

    Technological advances renders some of the existing

    assets worthless which is not accounted for in thismodel.

    These limitations of the NBV method is somewhatrectified by the Adjusted Book Value method of

    valuation.

    BALANCE SHEET METHOD

    Net Book Value

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    ADJUSTED BOOK VALUE METHODImprovement Over NBV

    It involves determining the FAIR MARKET VALUE of

    the assets and liabilities of the firm as a goingconcern.

    Assets are not taken at historical costs but are valuedat market price.

    This fair market value of an asset can be determinedby either Replacement Cost method, orLiquidation Value method.

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    REPLACEMENT COST METHODFor Adjusted Book Value

    The value of business is arrived at bydetermining the current cost of putting up similarfacilities or buying similar assets.

    Net book values are substituted by currentreplacement costs.

    The Table on the next page illustrates how replacementcosts for various assets are considered.

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    Debtors Valued at Face Value. Provide for bad debts if doubtful.

    Inventories R.M. at most recent cost of acquisition

    WIP at Cost of R.M + Cost of processing

    FG at Realizable S.P (holding, transport & selling costs)

    Other C.A. Other C.A. like deposits, prepaid expenses and accruals

    valued at Book Value

    Fixed Assets (Land, P&M, Buildings valued at Market Price ) +(transportation, installation & selling expenses if any).

    Non-

    operating

    assets

    Financial securities, excess land & buildings valued at Fair

    Market Value

    REPLACEMENT COST METHOD

    For Adjusted Book Value

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    Replacement Cost per share

    Total assets at replacement cost Total liabilities

    (excluding networth)

    No. of Outstanding shares

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    LIQUIDATION VALUE METHODFor Adjusted Book Value

    For approximating the fair market value of theassets on the balance sheet of a firm is to find

    out what they would fetch if the firm wereliquidated immediately

    The value of the business is arrived at by

    totaling up the realizable value of variousassets of the unit minus the liabilities.

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    LIQUIDATION VALUE per share

    The value realized from

    liquidating all the assets of the

    firm.

    Less amount paid to all the

    creditors and preference share

    holders

    No. of outstanding shares

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    LIQUIDATION VALUE METHOD

    For Adjusted Book

    Value

    LIMITATIONS:

    This approach is relevant mainly for sick units that arebeyond redemption.

    It is not suitable for going concerns as instead of valuingthe company as a whole, it values it as a collection ofassets to be sold individually.

    One of the major drawback of this model is that it does

    not take into account the future earning potential of thefirm and just concentrates on the liquidation costs of theassets.

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    Enterprise Value (EV)

    Measure of what the market believes acompany's ongoing operations are worth

    Enterprise value discusses the aggregate valueof a company as an enterprise rather than justfocus on its current market capitalization.

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    Enterprise Value (EV)

    Equity value Market value of shareholders equity (shares outstanding x current

    stock price)

    Enterprise value

    Measure of what the market believes a company's ongoing

    operations are worth Market value of all capital invested in the firm

    Equity, debt (short-term and long-term), preferred stock, minorityinterest

    Equity

    Debt

    Preferred Stock

    Minority Interest

    EnterpriseValue

    LiabilitiesAssets

    =

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    Calculating EV

    To calculate enterprise value, we start with a company's marketcap, add debt (on a company's balance sheet), and subtractcash and Equivalents (on the balance sheet).

    To get total debt, add together long-term and short-term debt.

    Market Cap = Current share price * Total shares Outstanding

    Debt = Long Term Debt + Short Term Debt

    E V = Market Capitalization + DebtCash & Equivalents

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    Example

    Tata Steel Ltd.Total shares Outstanding = 55,34,72,856

    Current share price (Rs.) = 347.70

    Long-Term Debt (Rs. In 000 crores) = 24,681.80Short-Term Debt (Rs. In000 crores) = 2,715.20Cash & Equivalents Rs(in 000 crores) = 2,467.20Market Cap = (55,34,72,856*347.70)

    In 000 crores = 19,244.25

    Enterprise Value = 19,244.25 +(24,681.20 +2,715.20)2,467.20

    = Rs 44,173.45 thousand crores

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    EV/ Sales

    Ratio measures the total company value as

    compared to its annual sales

    A high ratio means that the company's value is

    much more than its sales.

    When valuing companies that do not have

    earnings, or that are going through unusually

    rough times

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    EV/ EBITDA

    Higher the number, the more expensivethe company is.

    Best way to use EV/EBITDA is to compare

    it to that of other similar companies

    Disco nted Cash Flo

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    Discounted Cash FlowValuation

    What is it: In discounted cash flowvaluation, the value of an asset is thepresent value of the expected cash

    flows on the asset. Philosophical Basis: Every asset has

    an intrinsic value that can be estimated,

    based upon its characteristics in termsof cash flows, growth and risk.

    Discounted Cash Flow

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    Discounted Cash FlowValuation

    Information Needed: To use discountedcash flow valuation, you need

    to estimate the life of the asset

    to estimate the cash flows during the life of the

    asset

    to estimate the discount rate to apply to thesecash flows to get present value

    Market Inefficiency: Markets are assumed tomake mistakes in pricing assets across time,and are assumed to correct themselves overtime, as new information comes out about

    assets.

    Discounted Cashflow Valuation

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    Discounted Cashflow Valuation

    where, n = Life of the asset CFt = Cashflow in period t r = Discount rate reflecting the riskiness of the estimated cashflows