Scripps Florida Senate Poll

7/31/2019 Scripps Florida Senate Poll

1/17

October 17-18, 2012Survey of 800 likely voters


3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Florida Survey Results

Q1 The candidates for President are DemocratBarack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. Ifthe election was today, who would you votefor?

47%Barack Obama................................................

48%Mitt Romney....................................................

4%Undecided.......................................................

Q2 (Asked of Obama and Romney voters:) Wouldyou say you strongly support your candidate,somewhat support your candidate, or do youthink you might change your mind beforeElection Day?

93%Strongly support..............................................

6%Somewhat support..........................................

2%Might change your mind..................................

Q3 Which candidate do you think will do a betterjob handling the economy?

46%Barack Obama................................................

49%Mitt Romney....................................................

4%Not sure..........................................................

Q4 Thinking about the presidential election, wouldyou say you are very enthusiastic, somewhatenthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or notenthusiastic at all about voting?

80%Very enthusiastic.............................................

13%Somewhat enthusiastic...................................

5%Not too enthusiastic........................................

2%Not enthusiastic at all.....................................

Q5 In determining how you will vote in November,what issue is most important for you:government ethics and corruption, jobs and theeconomy, energy policy, education, healthcare, immigration, national security and the waron terror, social security, taxes, or somethingelse?

14%Government ethics and corruption..................

51%Jobs and the economy....................................

4%Energy policy..................................................

6%Education........................................................

13%Health care.....................................................

2%Immigration.....................................................

3%National security and the War on Terror..........

3%Social Security................................................

2%Taxes..............................................................

3%Something else/Not sure.................................

Q6 Did you watch the Presidential debate onTuesday night, or not?

91%Watched the debate........................................9%Did not watch the debate................................

Q7 Regardless of who you plan to vote for, who doyou think won the debate Tuesday?

50%Barack Obama................................................

42%Mitt Romney....................................................

9%Not sure..........................................................

Q8 Did Tuesday's debate make you more likely tovote for Barack Obama than you were before,more likely to vote for Mitt Romney than youwere before, or did it not make a difference?

31%More likely to vote for Obama.........................

34%More likely to vote for Romney.......................

35%Made no difference.........................................


2/17







Q9 What has been the most influential factor in

deciding who youll vote for President this year:political advertising, the conventions, thedebates, something else, you knew all alongwho youd vote for, or you still dont know whoyoull vote for?

3%Political advertising.........................................

7%The conventions.............................................

19%The debates....................................................

28%Something else...............................................

42%Known all along who I'll vote for......................

2%Still don't know who I'll vote for ......................

Q10 The candidates for U.S. Senate are DemocratBill Nelson and Republican Connie Mack IV. Ifthe election were today, who would you votefor?

45%Bill Nelson.......................................................

41%Connie Mack IV..............................................

14%Undecided.......................................................

Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of the way RickScott is handling his job as Governor?

36%Approve..........................................................

46%Disapprove......................................................19%Not sure..........................................................

Q12 Do you support or oppose the creation ofcasinos in Florida, similar to those in AtlanticCity and Las Vegas?

45%Support...........................................................

41%Oppose...........................................................

14%Not sure..........................................................

Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

55%Woman...........................................................

45%Man.................................................................

Q14 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

43%Democrat........................................................

38%Republican......................................................

20%Independent/Other..........................................

Q15 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. IfAfrican-American, press 3. If other, press 4.

16%Hispanic..........................................................

65%White..............................................................

14%African-American............................................

5%Other...............................................................

Q16 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are olderthan 65, press 4.

15%18 to 29...........................................................

27%30 to 45...........................................................

34%46 to 65...........................................................

24%Older than 65..................................................

Q17 What area of Florida do you live in: NorthFlorida or the Panhandle, Orlando area or theCentral Atlantic Coast, the Tampa Bay area,

South Central Florida, or Miami and SouthFlorida?

26%North Florida or the Panhandle.......................

22%Orlando area or Central Atlantic Coast...........

19%Tampa Bay area..............................................

11%South Central Florida......................................

22%Miami or South Florida....................................


3/17

October 17-18, 2012survey of 800 likely voters






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Undecided

47% 50% 44%

48% 45% 52%

4% 5% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Strongly/Somewhat

Support Candidate

or M ight Change

Mind?

Strongly support

Somew hat support

Might change your

mind

93% 93% 92%

6% 5% 6%

2% 2% 2%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Better on Econ.

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Not sure

46% 48% 44%

49% 47% 52%

4% 5% 4%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Voter Enthusiasm

Very enthusiastic

Somewhat

enthusiastic

Not too enthusiastic

Not enthusiastic at

all

80% 81% 78%

13% 11% 15%

5% 5% 5%

2% 3% 1%


4/17







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Most Important

Issue

Governm ent ethics

and corruption

Jobs and the

economy

Energy policy

Education

Health care

Immigration

National security and

the War on Terror

Social Security

Taxes

Something e lse/Not

sure

14% 13% 15%

51% 51% 52%

4% 1% 7%

6% 7% 5%

13% 13% 12%

2% 2% 1%

3% 3% 3%

3% 4% 2%

2% 1% 2%

3% 4% 2%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Watched Tues .

Debate?

Watched the debate

Did not watch the

debate

91% 89% 93%

9% 11% 7%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Who Won?

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Not sure

50% 50% 49%

42% 42% 42%

9% 8% 9%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

More Likely to Vote

for Obama or

Romne y After

Debate?

More likely to vote

for Obama

More likely to vote

for Romney

Made no difference

31% 32% 30%

34% 34% 34%

35% 34% 36%


5/17







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Most Influential

Factor in

Presidential Choice

Political advertis ing

The conventions

The debates

Something else

Known all along who

I'll vote for

Still don't know who

I'll vote for

3% 3% 3%

7% 8% 5%

19% 19% 20%

28% 24% 33%

42% 44% 39%

2% 2% 1%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Nelson/Mack

Bill Nelson

Connie Mack IV

Undecided

45% 47% 43%

41% 37% 46%

14% 16% 11%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Scott Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

36% 33% 39%

46% 46% 45%

19% 21% 15%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Support/Oppose

Casinos in FL

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 40% 52%

41% 42% 39%

14% 18% 9%


6/17







Crosstabs

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Undecided

47% 81% 9% 47%

48% 15% 87% 46%

4% 4% 4% 7%

Base

Party


Strongly/Somewhat

Support Candidate

or Might Change

Mind?

Strongly support

Somew hat support

Might change your

mind

93% 96% 94% 82%

6% 4% 5% 12%

2% 0% 1% 5%

Base

Party


Better on Econ.Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Not sur e

46% 79% 12% 39%

49% 17% 84% 54%

4% 4% 4% 7%

Base

Party


Voter EnthusiasmVery enthusiastic

Somewhat

enthusiastic


Not enthusiastic at

all

80% 81% 83% 70%

13% 10% 14% 19%

5% 5% 3% 9%

2% 4% 0% 2%


7/17







Crosstabs

Base

Party


Most Important

Issue

Government ethics

and corruption

Jobs and the

economy

Energy policy

Education

Health care

Immigration


the War on Terror

Social Security

Taxes

Something else/Not

sure

14% 12% 13% 23%

51% 45% 65% 38%

4% 4% 4% 3%

6% 8% 2% 11%

13% 20% 6% 10%

2% 2% 1% 2%

3% 2% 3% 4%

3% 5% 1% 3%

2% 1% 2% 2%

3% 3% 2% 5%

Base

Party


Watched Tues.

Debate?

Watched the debate

Did not w atch the

debate

91% 90% 92% 91%

9% 10% 8% 9%

Base

Party


Who Won?Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Not sur e

50% 83% 16% 44%

42% 14% 72% 43%

9% 4% 1 2% 12%

Base

Party


More Likely to Votefor Obama or

Romney After

Debate?

More likely to vote

for Obama

More likely to vote

for Romney

Made no difference

31% 53% 9% 27%

34% 12% 56% 38%

35% 35% 35% 35%


8/17







Crosstabs

Base

Party


Most Influential

Factor in

Presidential Choice

Political advertising

The conventions

The debates

Something e lse

Known all along w ho

I'll vote for

Still don't know who

I'll vote for

3% 4% 2% 3%

7% 7% 5% 8%

19% 15% 22% 25%

28% 20% 30% 39%

42% 51% 41% 22%

2% 3% 0% 2%

Base

Party


Nelson/Mack

Bill Nelson

Connie Mack IV

Undecided

45% 75% 16% 37%

41% 11% 75% 41%

14% 14% 9% 22%

Base

Party


Scott ApprovalApprove

Disapprove

Not sur e

36% 16% 57% 38%

46% 69% 25% 36%

19% 15% 19% 26%

Base

Party


Support/OpposeCasinos in FL

Support

Oppose

Not sur e

45% 45% 46% 44%

41% 40% 40% 43%

14% 15% 13% 13%


9/17







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American Other

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Undecided

47% 46% 38% 89% 50%

48% 49% 57% 10% 40%

4% 5% 5% 1% 10%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American Other

Strongly/Somewhat

Support Candidate

or Might Change

Mind?

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might change your

mind

93% 96% 93% 89% 85%

6% 4% 5% 8% 11%

2% 0% 2% 3% 4%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American OtherBetter on Econ.

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Not sure

46% 46% 38% 82% 45%

49% 47% 58% 13% 48%

4% 8% 3% 5% 7%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American OtherVoter Enthusiasm

Very enthusiastic

Somewhat

enthusiastic


Not enthusiastic at

all

80% 82% 79% 82% 80%

13% 12% 14% 13% 4%

5% 2% 5% 5% 12%

2% 5% 2% - 3%


10/17







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American Other

Most Important

Issue

Government e thics

and corruption

Jobs and the

economy

Energy policy

Education

Health care

Immigration


the War on Terror

Social Security

Taxes

Something e lse/Not

sure

14% 16% 13% 16% 18%

51% 50% 53% 48% 42%

4% 3% 4% 3% 4%

6% 6% 4% 18% 2%

13% 7% 14% 12% 21%

2% 7% 1% - -

3% 2% 4% 0% -

3% 0% 4% 1% 3%

2% 2% 1% - 7%

3% 8% 2% 2% 2%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American Other

Watched Tues .

Debate?

Watched the debate

Did not w atch the

debate

91% 92% 90% 92% 97%

9% 8% 10% 8% 3%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American OtherWho Won?

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Not sure

50% 50% 40% 89% 54%

42% 42% 49% 11% 38%

9% 8% 11% - 8%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American OtherMore Like ly to Vote

for Obama or

Romney After

Debate?

More likely to vote

for Obama

More likely to vote

for Romney

Made no difference

31% 39% 21% 62% 40%

34% 42% 38% 10% 31%

35% 19% 41% 28% 30%


11/17







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American Other

Most Influential

Factor in

Presidential Choice


The conventions

The debates

Something else

Known all along who

I'll vote for

Still don't know w ho

I'll vote for

3% 7% 1% 8% 8%

7% 6% 6% 12% 1%

19% 28% 17% 20% 24%

28% 24% 30% 21% 23%

42% 32% 44% 39% 43%

2% 2% 2% - 1%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American Other

Nelson/Mack

Bill Nelson

Connie Mack IV

Undecided

45% 45% 40% 67% 50%

41% 40% 48% 14% 35%

14% 16% 12% 19% 15%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American OtherScott Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

36% 35% 41% 18% 26%

46% 37% 44% 67% 40%

19% 27% 16% 16% 34%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

African-

American OtherSupport/Oppose

Casinos in FL

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 45% 46% 48% 32%

41% 43% 42% 30% 44%

14% 13% 12% 23% 24%


12/17







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Undecided

47% 62% 47% 43% 45%

48% 29% 49% 54% 51%

4% 10% 4% 3% 4%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Strongly/Somewhat

Support Candidate

or M ight Change

Mind?

Strongly support

Somew hat support

Might change your

mind

93% 92% 90% 93% 95%

6% 8% 6% 6% 4%

2% - 4% 1% 1%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Better on Econ.

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Not sure

46% 60% 45% 43% 43%

49% 31% 49% 55% 53%

4% 10% 5% 2% 3%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Voter Enthusiasm

Very enthusiastic

Somewhat

enthusiastic


Not enthusiastic at

all

80% 71% 83% 79% 83%

13% 12% 12% 14% 13%

5% 5% 5% 6% 3%

2% 12% - 1% 1%


13/17







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Most Important

Issue

Governme nt ethics

and corruption

Jobs and the

economy

Energy policy

Education

Health care

Immigration

National secur ity and

the War on Terr or

Social Security

Taxes

Something else/Not

sure

14% 19% 15% 11% 15%

51% 43% 56% 56% 45%

4% 2% 4% 4% 4%

6% 7% 9% 4% 4%

13% 10% 7% 15% 19%

2% 7% - 1% 1%

3% 2% 3% 2% 4%

3% 5% 1% 2% 5%

2% - 4% 1% 1%

3% 5% 1% 4% 3%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Watched Tues .

Debate?

Watched the debate

Did not watch the

debate

91% 93% 93% 89% 91%

9% 7% 7% 11% 9%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Who Won?

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Not sure

50% 59% 51% 46% 47%

42% 33% 42% 45% 43%

9% 8% 7% 9% 10%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

More Likely to Vote

for Obama or

Romne y After

Debate?

More likely to vote

for Obama

More likely to vote

for Romney

Made no difference

31% 46% 34% 21% 31%

34% 31% 34% 34% 36%

35% 23% 31% 45% 34%


14/17







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Most Influential

Factor in

Presidential Choice


The conventions

The debates

Something else

Known all along who

I'll vote for


I'll vote for

3% 5% 3% 2% 4%

7% 14% 5% 5% 5%

19% 24% 27% 14% 17%

28% 19% 24% 35% 27%

42% 33% 40% 43% 46%

2% 5% 1% 1% 1%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Nelson/Mack

Bill Nelson

Connie Mack IV

Undecided

45% 48% 43% 44% 49%

41% 24% 41% 46% 44%

14% 29% 16% 10% 7%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Scott Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

36% 31% 29% 40% 40%

46% 45% 45% 47% 44%

19% 24% 25% 13% 17%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Support/Oppose

Casinos in FL

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 36% 61% 43% 36%

41% 45% 31% 41% 48%

14% 19% 8% 16% 16%


15/17







Crosstabs

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or

Central Atlantic Coast

Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Undecided

47% 51% 45% 47% 35% 51%

48% 48% 48% 49% 55% 44%

4% 1% 6% 4% 9% 5%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Strongly/Somewhat

Support Candidate

or Might Change

Mind?

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might change your

mind

93% 97% 93% 89% 93% 90%

6% 2% 4% 9% 7% 9%

2% 2% 3% 2% - 1%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Better on Econ.

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Not sure

46% 50% 46% 45% 37% 47%

49% 48% 49% 52% 52% 48%

4% 2% 5% 3% 11% 5%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Voter Enthusiasm

Very enthusiastic

Somewhat

enthusiastic


Not enthusiastic at

all

80% 84% 82% 72% 80% 78%

13% 10% 12% 21% 13% 11%

5% 5% 3% 7% 3% 7%

2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 4%


16/17







Crosstabs

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Most Important

Issue

Governme nt ethics

and corruption

Jobs and the

economy

Energy policy

Education

Health care

Immigration


the War on Terror

Social Security

Taxes

Something else /Not

sure

14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 11%

51% 49% 47% 48% 54% 60%

4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2%

6% 10% 6% 2% 7% 3%

13% 9% 14% 20% 9% 11%

2% - 3% 1% - 4%

3% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3%

3% 2% 4% 3% 5% 2%

2% 3% 2% 1% 1% -

3% 3% 4% 3% - 3%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Watched Tues .

Debate?

Watched the debate

Did not watch the

debate

91% 91% 91% 88% 94% 93%

9% 9% 9% 12% 6% 7%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Who Won?

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Not sure

50% 53% 48% 48% 44% 51%

42% 43% 42% 43% 50% 35%

9% 4% 10% 9% 5% 13%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

More Likely to Vote

for Obama orRomney After

Debate?

More likely to vote

for Obama

More likely to vote

for Romney

Made no difference

31% 32% 33% 25% 21% 36%

34% 36% 33% 29% 38% 34%

35% 31% 33% 46% 41% 30%


17/17







Crosstabs

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Most Influential

Factor in

Presidential Choice

Political advertising

The conventions

The debates

Something else

Known all along who

I'll vote for


I'll vote for

3% 4% - 3% 6% 3%

7% 10% 6% 7% 6% 3%

19% 13% 24% 17% 22% 23%

28% 26% 24% 32% 27% 29%

42% 47% 45% 39% 35% 38%

2% - 1% 2% 4% 3%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Nelson/Mack

Bill Nelson

Connie Mack IV

Undecided

45% 44% 47% 52% 34% 45%

41% 41% 44% 37% 49% 37%

14% 15% 9% 11% 17% 18%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Scott Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

36% 46% 34% 30% 38% 29%

46% 41% 50% 52% 36% 46%

19% 13% 16% 18% 26% 25%

Base

Location

North Florida or

the Panhandle

Orlando area or


Tampa

Bay area

South Central

Florida

Miami or

South Florida

Support/Oppose

Casinos in FLSupport

Oppose

Not sure

45% 44% 45% 36% 48% 54%

41% 39% 45% 46% 35% 36%

14% 17% 10% 18% 17% 10%

Documents

Scripps Florida Senate Poll