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9/5/2017 1 1 South Carolina Data Analysis Part 1: Prison Trends Sentencing Reform Oversight Committee September 5 th , 2017 2 Data Sources Bureau of Justice Statistics Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Report United States Census Bureau South Carolina Department of Corrections Prison admissions, 2007-2016 Prison releases, 2007-2016 Annual snapshots of the prison population, June 30 th , 2007-2016 South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services Case closures, 2007-2016 Compliance violation revocations, 2010-2016 Introduction

SC Drivers Presentation Final 2017-9-5...Tennessee 427 South Carolina 416 State Average 402 State 2010 Rate Louisiana 868 Mississippi 686 Oklahoma 652 Texas 652 Alabama 642 Arizona

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Page 1: SC Drivers Presentation Final 2017-9-5...Tennessee 427 South Carolina 416 State Average 402 State 2010 Rate Louisiana 868 Mississippi 686 Oklahoma 652 Texas 652 Alabama 642 Arizona

9/5/2017

1

1

South Carolina Data Analysis Part 1: Prison TrendsSentencing Reform Oversight Committee September 5th, 2017

2

Pretrial Population

Data Sources

• Bureau of Justice Statistics

• Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Report

• United States Census Bureau

• South Carolina Department of Corrections

– Prison admissions, 2007-2016

– Prison releases, 2007-2016

– Annual snapshots of the prison population, June 30th, 2007-2016

• South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

– Case closures, 2007-2016

– Compliance violation revocations, 2010-2016

Introduction

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3

Pretrial Population

Definition of Terms: Admission Types

• Newly sentenced prisoner

– Admission to prison for a court-ordered sentence at the time of conviction.

• Revocation

– Admission to prison for violating the terms of community supervision.

• Compliance violation revocation: Admission to prison for failing to comply with a rule or rules that one is required to follow while under supervision (e.g. missing a meeting, using drugs, willful nonpayment of fines or fees, etc).

• New crime revocation: Admission to prison for committing a new offense while on supervision.

Introduction

4

Pretrial Population

Definition of Terms: Length of Stay

• Sentence

– The court-ordered, Parole Board-ordered, or Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services hearing officer-ordered period of incarceration (does not include terms of suspended incarceration).

• Time served for people in prison

– The amount of time a person in prison has served as of the last day of the fiscal year.

• Longest-serving inmates

– Those people who have served longer than 10 years in prison.

Introduction

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5

Pretrial Population

Definition of Terms: Offense Types

• Offense

– The most serious offense at commitment. The most serious offense is determined by SCDC and considers the nature of the crime (violent or nonviolent) and the maximum penalty allowed.

• Violent offense

– Any crime that was defined as violent in statute at the time of conviction.

• Nonviolent offense

– Any crime that was not defined as violent in statute at the time of conviction.

Introduction

6

Pretrial Population

Definition of Terms: Prior Commitments

• Prior commitments

– Previous prison stays in SCDC and previous out-of-state prison stays.

• Does not include previous misdemeanor incarcerations that were not served in SCDC, felony or misdemeanor probation sentences, specialty court sentences, or pre-trial diversion sentences.

Introduction

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7

Pretrial Population

Outline

• Prison trends since Justice Reinvestment

• Taking a second look: issues worth examining

• Summary of takeaways

• Topics for next data meeting

• Questions

Introduction

8

PRISON TRENDS SINCE JUSTICE REINVESTMENT

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9

Pretrial Population

23,161

20,951

27,903

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Prison Population by FY

Actual Year-End Prison Population by FY Baseline Population Projection Absent Reform

Prison Population Declined 14% After Reform

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections and Applied Research Services

JRI Reforms, Part I

*Prison population is the in-custody population

10

Pretrial Population

Crime Rate Continued to Decline After Reform

Source: FBI Uniform Crime Report

5,137

3,798

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Index Crime Rate per 100,000 Residents by CY

JRI Reforms, Part I

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

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11

Pretrial Population

Recidivism Rate Declining Since Late 2000s; Down Nearly 10% Since Reform

Source: SCDC Report to SROC, Nov. 2016

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

32.7%

24.9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

3 Year Recidivism Rate* by FY

*Percentage of inmates released in each year who returned to SCDC within 3 years or less.

JRI Reforms, Part I

12

Pretrial Population

Imprisonment Rate* Fell From 11th in Nation to 19th; Still Higher than National Average

Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics

State 2015 RateLouisiana 778Oklahoma 719Alabama 613

Mississippi 609Arizona 600

Arkansas 593Texas 572

Missouri 531Georgia 506Florida 500

Kentucky 490Virginia 458

Ohio 450Nevada 448

Delaware 443Idaho 438

Michigan 430Tennessee 427

South Carolina 416State Average 402

State 2010 RateLouisiana 868Mississippi 686Oklahoma 652

Texas 652Alabama 642Arizona 599Georgia 563Florida 554

Arkansas 553Missouri 511

South Carolina 492Idaho 473

Virginia 466Nevada 464

Kentucky 459Colorado 452

Ohio 448Michigan 447California 440Delaware 440

State Average 439

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

*The number of prisoners with sentences greater than one year for every 100,000 residents of the state.

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13

Pretrial Population

Prison Admissions Have Decreased 30% Since Reform

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

12,518

8,765

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Prison Admissions by FY

14

Pretrial Population

Majority of Reduction in Admissions Due to Nonviolent Offenses

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

10,455

6,805

2,0441,939

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Admissions by Commitment Type by FY

Nonviolent

Violent

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15

Pretrial Population

Reduction in Nonviolent Admissions Seen Across Property, Drug, and Other Offense Types

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

4,431

3,0024,051

2,5132,004

1,313

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Admissions by Offense Type by FY

Property

Other

Drug

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

16

Pretrial Population

Admission Reductions Across All Sentence Length Categories; Greatest Reduction in Admissions with Short Sentences

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

2,475

3,427

1,852 1,772

1,4261,432

2,591

1,5591,415

1,027

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Less than 1 yr 1 - 3 yrs 3 - 5 yrs 5 - 10 yrs 10 years or more

Admissions by Sentence Length, FY 2010 & 2016

2010

2016

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17

Pretrial Population

Reduction in Admissions Across Racial Categories; Largest Reduction For Black Population

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

7,678

4,6074,504

3,986

336 1720

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Admissions by Race by FY

Black

White

Other

18

Pretrial Population

Racial Disparity in Admissions Reduced, But Still Present

Source: US Census Bureau & South Carolina Department of Corrections

White45%Black

53%

Other2%

Admissions by Race, FY 2016

White63%

Black27%

Hispanic6%

Other4%

South Carolina Resident Population by Race, CY 2016

Prison Trends Since Justice Reinvestment

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19

TAKING A SECOND LOOK: ISSUES WORTH EXAMINING

20

Pretrial Population

Outline

• Prison trends since Justice Reinvestment

• Taking a second look: issues worth examining

– Despite decline, 78% of admissions to prison are for nonviolent crimes

– 1 in 4 admissions to prison are revocations for compliance violations

– Time served for people in prison up 29% since 2010

• Summary of takeaways

• Topics for next data meeting

• Questions

Nonviolent Admissions

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21

Pretrial Population

Nonviolent Admissions Have Declined 35% Since 2010

Nonviolent Admissions

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

10,455

6,805

2,044 1,939

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Admissions by Commitment Type by FY

Nonviolent

Violent

22

Violent 22%

Nonviolent 78%

Admissions by Commitment Type, FY 2016

Violent22%

Drug15%

Property34%

Other29%

Admissions by Offense Type, FY 2016

78% of Admissions Are for Nonviolent Crimes

Nonviolent Admissions

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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Pretrial Population

7 of Top 10 Admissions Offenses are Nonviolent; 4 Drug-Related Top 10 Offenses at Admission in FY 2016Offense Number of Admissions

Burglary (2nd degree nonviolent and 3rd degree) 952

Commercial drug offense  668

Possession drug offense  525

Assault and battery – nonviolent  504

Shoplifting 497

Forgery/fraud 475

Burglary (2nd degree violent)  312

Common law robbery  288

Manufacture methamphetamine  280

Trafficking controlled substances 271

Nonviolent Admissions

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

24

Pretrial Population

Sentences for Common Offenses at Admission Vary

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Top 10 Offenses at Admission in FY 2016

OffenseMean Sentence 

(Months)

Burglary (2nd degree nonviolent and 3rd degree) 42

Commercial drug offense  50

Possession drug offense  20

Assault and battery – nonviolent  40

Shoplifting 28

Forgery/fraud 23

Burglary (2nd degree violent)  75

Common law robbery  67

Manufacture methamphetamine  47

Trafficking controlled substance  97

Nonviolent Admissions

Number of Admissions

Combined Sentences

952 39,984

668 33,400

525 10,500

504 20,160

497 13,916

475 10,925

312 23,400

288 19,296

280 13,160

271 26,287

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25

Pretrial Population

Uptick in Female Admissions Since 2015

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Nonviolent Admissions

1,343

968

1,102

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Female Prison Admissions by FY

26

Pretrial Population

Female Admissions Are Predominately for Nonviolent Offenses

Nonviolent Admissions

Violent12%

Drug20%

Property43%

Other25%

Female Admissions by Offense Type, FY 2016

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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Pretrial Population

9 of Top 10 Offenses for Female Admissions Are NonviolentTop 10 Offenses at Admission for Females in FY 2016Offense Number of Admissions

Forgery/fraud 146

Shoplifting 142

Possession drug offense  133

Child abuse/neglect  80

Burglary (2nd degree nonviolent and 3rd degree)  65

Commercial drug offense  56

Manufacture methamphetamine  56

Grand larceny  38

Assault and battery – nonviolent  28

Driving without license/driving on suspended license  23

Nonviolent Admissions

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

28

Pretrial Population

Variation in Nonviolent Admission Rate by Judicial District

Nonviolent Prison Admission Rate*,by Judicial District,Newly Sentenced Prisoners, FY 2016

125+

100-125

75-100

Less than 75

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & US Census Bureau

Nonviolent Admissions

*The number of people sentenced to prison for nonviolent crimes from each judicial district per 100,000 residents.

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29

Pretrial Population

Variation in Nonviolent Admission Rate by Judicial District

Clarendon, Lee, Sumter, Williamsburg

Union, York

Greenville, Pickens

Aiken, Bamberg, Barnwell

Calhoun, Dorchester, Orangeburg

Kershaw, Richland

Nonviolent Admissions

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & US Census Bureau

Cherokee, Spartanburg

Greenwood, Laurens, Newberry, Abbeville

Florence, Marion

Allendale, Beaufort, Colleton, Hampton, Jasper

Georgetown, Horry

Chesterfield, Darlington, Dillon, Marlboro

Aiken, Bamberg, Barnwell

Edgefield, Lexington, McCormick, Saluda

Chester, Fairfield, Lancaster

Berkeley, Charleston

Anderson, Oconee

*The number of people sentenced to prison for nonviolent crimes from each judicial district per 100,000 residents.

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

51410916

111324

163

158

127

Ju

dic

ial D

istr

ict

Nonviolent Prison Admission Rate* by Judicial District, Newly Sentenced Prisoners, FY 2016

30

Pretrial Population

Outline

• Prison trends since Justice Reinvestment

• Taking a second look: issues worth examining

– Despite decline, 78% of admissions to prison are for nonviolent crimes

– 1 in 4 admissions to prison are revocations for compliance violations

– Time served for people in prison up 29% since 2010

• Summary of takeaways

• Topics for next data meeting

• Questions

Revocations for Compliance Violations

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Pretrial PopulationRevocations for Compliance Violations

Supervision Revocations Make Up 31% of All Prison Admissions

Newly Sentenced Prisoner

69%

Supervision Revocation

31%

Admissions by Admission Type, FY 2016

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

32

Pretrial Population

Admissions for Revocations Down 30% Percent Since 2010, Up Slightly in Last Year

Revocations for Compliance Violations

3,872

2,717

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Admissions for Supervision Revocations by FY

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

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New Crime Revocation

18%

Compliance Violations

82%

Revocations by Violation Type, FY 2016

Supervision Revocation

31%

Newly Sentenced Prisoner

69%

Admissions by Admission Type, FY 2016

Over 80% of Revocations Due to Compliance Violations; 1 in 4 Prison Admissions Are for Compliance Violations

Revocations for Compliance Violations

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

34

Pretrial Population

Nearly 90% of Compliance Violation Revocations Have Underlying Nonviolent Offense

Revocations for Compliance Violations

Violent11%

Drug16%

Property44%

Other29%

Compliance Violation Revocations by Underlying Offense Type, FY 2016

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

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35

Pretrial Population

On Average, Compliance Violation Revocations Are Sentenced to Nearly 3 Years in Prison, Up Slightly Since 2010

Revocations for Compliance Violations

3335

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2010 2016

Mo

nth

s

Average Sentence Length at Admission, Compliance Violation Revocations, FY 2010 & 2016

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

36

Pretrial Population

Outline

• Prison trends since Justice Reinvestment

• Taking a second look: issues worth examining

– Despite decline, 78% of admissions to prison are for nonviolent crimes

– 1 in 4 admissions to prison are revocations for compliance violations

– Time served for people in prison up 29% since 2010

• Summary of takeaways

• Topics for next data meeting

• Questions

Average Time Served for People in Prison

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37

Pretrial Population

Admissions Decreasing at Twice the Rate of Prison Population

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

24,717

21,255

12,518

8,765

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Prison Admissions and Prison Population by FY

Prison Population

Admissions

-14%

-30%

Average Time Served for People in Prison

*Prison population is the jurisdictional population

38

Pretrial Population

2%

18%8%

32%

10%

19%

18%

18%

63%

13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Prison Population Admissions

Admissions and Prison Population by Sentence Length Group, FY 2016

10 years or more

5 - 10 yrs

3 - 5 yrs

1 - 3 yrs

Less than 1 yr

Prison Population Has Longer Sentences Than Prison Admissions

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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39

Pretrial Population

Average Time Served for People in Prison Has Increased 29% Since 2010

55

71

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2010 2016

Mo

nth

s

Average Time Served, Prison Population, FY 2010 & 2016

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

40

Pretrial Population

8,276

5,954

3,068

3,9993,420

6,219

4,547

2,360

3,8394,290

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Less than 1 yr 1 - 3 yrs 3 - 5 yrs 5 - 10 yrs 10 yrs or more

Prison Population by Time Served Category, FY 2010 & FY 2016

2010 2016

Since 2010, Increase in Number of Longest-Serving Inmates

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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41

Pretrial Population

1,559

2,913

1,861

1,377

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2010 2016

Prison Population That Has Served 10+ Years, FY 2010 & 2016

Parole Eligible

Not Parole Eligible

Among Longest-Serving Inmates, Fewer Are Parole Eligible Since 2010

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

Average Time Served for People in Prison

*Parole eligibility based on most serious offense

42

Parole Eligible

54%

Not Parole Eligible

46%

Prison Population That Has Served 10+ Years, FY 2010

Parole Eligible

32%

Not Parole Eligible

68%

Prison Population That Has Served 10+ years, FY 2016

More than 2/3 of Today’s Longest-Serving Inmates Are Not Eligible for Parole

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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43

Pretrial Population

Of Longest-Serving Inmate Population, All 10 Top Offenses Are Violent; 9 of 10 Are Person Crimes Most Common Offenses of People in Prison Who Have Served 10+ Years in FY 2016

OffenseNumber in Prison

Average Time Served (Months)

Murder 1,621 260

Armed robbery  483 181

Kidnapping 443 221

Voluntary manslaughter  357 183

Burglary (1st degree)  312 181

Criminal sex conduct (1st degree and 2nd degree)  275 232

Trafficking controlled substance  218 167

Criminal sex conduct w/minor (1st degree and 2nd degree) 198 174

Assault and battery – high and aggravated nature  126 175

Transportation offenses that result in death – violent  52 162

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

44

Pretrial Population

Majority of Longest-Serving Inmates Have No Prior Commitments to Prison

No Prior Commitments

59%

Prior Commitments

41%

Prison Population That Has Served 10+ Years by Prior Commitments, FY 2016

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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45

Most Longest-Serving Inmates Were Younger than 30 When Admitted; Largest Group Today Are 50 or Older

20-292%

30-3927%

40-4930%

50 or Older41%

Current Age of Prison Population That Has Served 10+ Years,

FY 2016

Under 2014%

20-2945%

30-3926%

40-4912%

50 or Older3%

Age at Admission for Prison Population That Has Served 10+ Years,

FY 2016

Average Time Served for People in Prison

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

46

Pretrial Population

Outline

• Prison trends since Justice Reinvestment

• Taking a second look: issues worth examining

• Summary of takeaways

• Topics for next data meeting

• Questions

Conclusion

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47

Pretrial Population

Summary of Takeaways

• Prison trends since Justice Reinvestment in 2010:

– Prison population declined by 14%; crime rate declined by 16%; recidivism rate declined by nearly 10%.

– Imprisonment rate fell from 11th in the nation to 19th; still higher than the national average.

– Admissions to prison declined by 30%, driven in large part by declines in nonviolent admissions and admissions with short sentences.

• Admissions declined across racial categories, with the largest reduction for the black population.

Summary of Takeaways

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

48

Pretrial Population

Summary of Takeaways

• Despite decline, 78% of admissions to prison are for nonviolent crimes:

– 7 of the top 10 most common offenses at admission are nonviolent; 4 are drug offenses.

– Uptick in female admissions in last year; female admissions are predominately nonviolent.

– Wide range in nonviolent admission rate by judicial district.

Summary of Takeaways

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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49

Pretrial Population

Summary of Takeaways

• 1 in 4 admissions to prison are revocations for compliance violations:

– Almost 90% of revocations for compliance violations have underlying nonviolent offenses.

– On average, revocations for compliance violations are sentenced to nearly 3 years in prison.

Summary of Takeaways

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections & South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole, and Pardon Services

50

Pretrial Population

Summary of Takeaways

• Average time served for people in prison up 29% since 2010:

– South Carolina has seen an increase in the number of longest-serving inmates in prison.

– Among longest-serving inmates, today fewer than 1/3 are parole eligible, down from more than half in 2010.

Summary of Takeaways

Source: South Carolina Department of Corrections

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51

Pretrial Population

Topics for Next Data Meeting

Topics for Next Data Meeting

• Trends in release;

• Trends in community supervision; and

• Answers to your questions.

Timeline for Next Data Meeting

• Earliest day for draft of presentation to SROC: Sept. 28th

• Earliest day for next SROC meeting: week of Oct. 2nd

52

Questions?

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Contact Information

• Michelle Russell

– Office: (202) 552-2270

– Email: [email protected]

• Laura Bennett

– Office: (202) 552-2028

– Email: [email protected]

• Public Safety Performance Project

– www.pewtrusts.org/publicsafety