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The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
SAS AB Result Analyst Presentation
Second Quarter 2002, August, 2002
8/7/20022
Table of contents1. Summary of 2nd Quarter 20022. Business area- SAS Airline3. Result improvement measures4. Business area –Subsidiary Airlines & Affilliates5. Business area – Airline related6. Business area – Rezidor SAS Hospitality7. Outlook 20028. Appendices
8/7/20023
2nd Quarter 2002 – according to set out plan, load factors better than expected
�1st Quarter – weak - according to plan�2nd Quarter – according to plan – passenger load factors
and yields better than expected– Short term improvement measures according to set out
plan
– Structural improvement measures initiated• Effects as from 2003
�Forecast for 2002 significantly upgraded
8/7/20024
Important events of note 2nd Quarter
�New share issue of MSEK 200 completed�Braathens and Scandinavian Airlines’ integration
�Scandinavian Direct introduced – new fares structure,upgraded web site booking and check-in features
�New distribution strategy from 2003 – net prices
�Sale of SMART AB to Amadeus –gain of MSEK 800
�Scandinavian Airlines -new agreement with cabin crew
8/7/20025
SAS Group Organisation
Airline Support & Related
Business
Airline Support & Related
Business
CFOCFO
Airline SupportAirline Support
STS
Airline RelatedAirline Related HotelsHotels
SAS Trading
SFA
SFS
Group Management
President & CEO SAS
Group
President & CEO SAS
Group
Board of DirectorsBoard of Directors
SGS
SAS Cargo
Jetpak
SMART
SAS Commuter
Subsidiary Airlines &
Hotels
Subsidiary Airlines &
Hotels
Braathens
Spanair
Widerøe
Corporate Administration
and Support
Corporate Administration
and Support
Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines
Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines
Scandinavian Airlines
Scandinavian Airlines
World Sales
Other
SIG
Air Botnia
Affiliated Airlines
Rezidor SAS HospitalityScandinavian
Airlines
• Corporate Development (New)• Airline Executive Coordination (New)• Corporate Brand & Image
• Corporate Business Control• SAS Group Finance & Asset
Management• Investor Relations• Corporate Accounting• Corporate IT (CIO)
Legal •Internal Audit •
Corporate Communication & External Relations•
Human Resource Corporate •Group Shared Services •
Corporate Advisory •
Corporate Functions and Corporate Shared Services are preliminary, final structure to be decided
8/7/20026
SAS Group Management fully staffed� Gunilla Berg appointed new Chief Financial Officer – SAS Group� John S. Dueholm appointed Executive Vice President and responsible for
Airline Support & Airline Related Businesses
Group Management team:� Jørgen Lindegaard President and CEO – The SAS Group� Gunnar Reitan – Deputy CEO and responsible for Subsidiary & Affiliated
Airlines as well as Hotels� Gunilla Berg – Executive Vice President & CFO� John S. Dueholm Executive Vice President responsible for Airline Support
& Airline Related Businesses� Bernhard Rikardsen Executive Vice President responsible for Corporate
Administration & Support
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/20027
Group 2nd Quarter traffic development characterized by record cabin factors and stabilizing yields
�Total traffic increased by 26,9% vs. Q2 2001– Group passenger load factors at record levels
Scandinavian Airlines + 3,0 p.u. 71,1% Braathens + 4,1 p.u. 59,9% Spanair - 1,4 p.u. 58,7%
�Yields upScandinavian Airlines +1% Spanair +35%Braathens + 7%
8/7/20028
Significant uplift in 2nd Quarter after large losses 1st Quarter
Summary of income statement (MSEK)
Operating revenuesOperating costsEBITDAR
Operating lease cost externalEBITDA
Contr from affiliatedDepreciationGain on salesEBITNet financial itemsEBT
13 775 17 868 31 64313 191 14 620 27 811
584584584584 3 2483 2483 2483 248 3 8323 8323 8323 832
878 1 050 1 928----294294294294 2 1982 1982 1982 198 1 9041 9041 9041 904
-328 -12 -340-651 -715 -1 366-133 -117 -250
----1 4061 4061 4061 406 1 3541 3541 3541 354 ----52525252-40 -315 -355
-1 446 1 039 -407
Actual Actual Actual Actual Q1Q1Q1Q1 ActualQ2ActualQ2ActualQ2ActualQ2 First Half02First Half02First Half02First Half02
8/7/20029
Statement of Income 1st Half 2002JAN-JUN MSEK MSEK MSEK MSEK 2002200220022002 2001200120012001Operating revenue 31 643 25 948Personell costs -10 706 -8 653Other costs -19 033 -15 975Operating Operating Operating Operating income befincome befincome befincome bef. . . . DeprDeprDeprDepr. . . . 1 904 1 904 1 904 1 904 1 3201 3201 3201 320
Depreciation -1 366 -1 141Income from the sale of aircraftaffiliated companies etc. -590 71Operating Operating Operating Operating resultresultresultresult ----52525252 250250250250Iterest income and other items -355 -30Income before taxesIncome before taxesIncome before taxesIncome before taxes ----407 407 407 407 220220220220
8/7/200210
Group 2nd Quarter positively affected by improved load factors and yieldsand significant uplift in Braathens result
MSEK MSEK MSEK MSEK 2222ndndndnd Q/Q/Q/Q/00002 2 2 2 2nd Q/012nd Q/012nd Q/012nd Q/01 ChangeChangeChangeChange
� Revenue 17 768 13 811 +29%
� Operating result 1 354 167 n.m
� Pre tax profit 1 039 180 n.m
8/7/200211
1st half 2002 vs 2001
MSEK MSEK MSEK MSEK 1111stststst Half Half Half Half 2002200220022002 1111stststst Half Half Half Half 2001200120012001
� Revenue 31 643 25 948� EBIT -52 250� EBT -407 220� EBT excl. cap gains -157 220
8/7/200212
SAS Group 2002 –Q2 positively affected by yield, load factors and unit costsEBIT MSEK million
�Q2/01 weak�Q3/01 even weaker!�Q4/01 a disaster�Q1/02 loss carry
forward from 2001�Q2 strong seasonal
effects and effects from improvement measures and yield-1 500
-1 000
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/2002 Q2/2002
EBIT (Earnings before financial items)
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200213
EBITDAR up 59% 1st halfEBITDAR margin up, but CFROI down as capital increase
MSEK 200MSEK 200MSEK 200MSEK 2002222 2001200120012001 ChangeChangeChangeChange
� Revenue 31 643 25 948 +22%
� EBITDAR 3 832 2 408 +59%
� EBITDAR 12% 9% +3 p.u.margin
� CFROI 11% 15% -4 p.u.
8/7/200214
Growth in revenues driven byacquisitions
in MSEK in MSEK+ 22%
3 832
2 408
2001 2002
+59%
31 643
25 948
2001 2002Total Revenues EBITDAR
8/7/200215
Special items affecting first half 2002
MSEKMSEKMSEKMSEK� Eueopean Corporation Agreement (ECA) -217
TOTAL -217
8/7/200216
The SAS Group’ improvement measures amounts to SEK 10 billion +Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)Short term measures = MSEK app. 6 400 (2002/03)
Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)Structural measures = MSEK 4 000+ (2003/04)� In addition structural measures in SAS group, other companies
and synergies from acquisitions� Fully implemented 2004 these measures will
– Reduce unit costs by 20% in Scandinavian Airlines – Significantly improved cabin factors– Enable Scandinavian Airlines to manage lower prices
� Amended union agreements and reinstatement of capacity will further reduce unit costs by 5 p.e. to 25%
� Positive effects from excellent performing subsidiaries
8/7/200217
Status improvement programsGross full Gross full Gross full Gross full year effect year effect year effect year effect Effect Effect Effect Effect 1H021H021H021H02
Short term measuresReductions in traffic system 500 250Revenue enhancement 2 200 1 100Cost reductions 2 400 600Other business areas than SK 1 300 400Total Approx. 6 400 2 350
Structural measuresProduction 2 000 0Management & adm, product, service, price concept and distribution 2 000 0Total Approx. 4 000 0
TOTAL ALL MEASURES Approx. 10 400 0
8/7/200218
Total group Total group Total group Total group shortshortshortshort term term term term measuresmeasuresmeasuresmeasures MSEK 6 400MSEK 6 400MSEK 6 400MSEK 6 400(Gross 2003 full year effect)
Whereas Subsidiaries & affiliates MSEK 1 300SAS Airline MSEK 5 100
Overview Group Result Improvementmeasures 2002/2003 – short term
Network reductions MSEK 500Revenue enhancements1) MSEK 2 200Cost reductions MSEK 2 400
1) Price increase of 5% nominal and introduction of surcharge of 4 USD/ pax/legOffset by increased insurance cost and negative mix
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200219
Cash Flow by Business Area (EBITDA)
(MSEK)January - June
2002 2001
Scandinavian Airlines +876 +739Subsidiary & aff. Airlines +657 +174Airline related Businesses +261 +304Rezidor SAS Hospitality +24 +125Group eliminations +86 -22
EBITDA +1 904 +1 320 +44%
8/7/200220
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200221
Key airline profitability driversJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
�Traffic growth (RPK) down 0.4%�Cabin Factor up 2.2 p.u.�Yields down 2.4%�Unit costs up 3.6%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200222
Key airline profitability drivers2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
�Traffic growth (RPK) up 0.2%�Cabin Factor up 3.0 p.u.�Yields up 0.7%�Unit costs down 0.9%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200223
Scandinavian Airlines passenger load factors above european competitors
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Jan
Apr Jul
Oct 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28
Pas
s lo
ad fa
ctor
(%
)
SK (Geograpical Europe)
AEA (GeograpicalEurope)
Source: AEA
Average gap Scandinavian Airlines
vs AEA 5 p.u. in 2001
Scandinavian Airlines pass load factors now above
AEA
Scandinavian Airlines
Month 2001 Week 2002
8/7/200224
Scandinavian Airlines has taken market shares, but pace has slowed RPK % Change 2002 over 2000
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
'Jan01 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec 'Jan02 'Feb Mar Apr May Jun
AEA RPKSAS RPKSAS excl. Awards
Source: AEA Monthly Traffic Monitor
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200225
Turnaround in Scandinavian Airlines well underway, but challenges lay ahead
January January January January –––– JuneJuneJuneJune2002002002002222 2001200120012001
Passenger revenues 17 347 17 418Other revenues 3 082 4 309EBITDAR +1 894 +1 750EBITDA +876 +739
Income before taxes -569 -56
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200226
Revenues 17 347 MSEK (-0,4%)
Whereas currency +2.4%volumes - 0.4%yields - 2.4%
Passenger revenues mainly affected by yield and currency in 1 Half 2002
Price +6,6%Class mix -7,2%Other mix -1,8%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200227
SAS Airline gain market shareson North Atlantic
�Week 01-week 26:– SAS traffic up 10,0% – European airlines (AEA)
traffic down 15,1%
-30-20-10
0102030405060
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Week
RPK change (%) North Atlantic
SAS AEA
Cabin factor (%) North Atlantic
60%65%70%75%80%85%90%95%
Novembe
r
December
Janu
ary
Februa
ryMarc
hApri
lJu
ne July
Month
�Airbus A340 introduced on New York March 1st
– Strong load factors during summer
�Airbus A340 introduced on New York March 1st
– Strong load factors during summer
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200228
Solid performance on Asian routes with Airbus 340’s
�Week 01-week 26:
– SAS traffic up 21,7%– AEA traffic down –4,0%
-20-10
01020304050
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25
Week
RPK change (%) Asia
SAS AEA
Cabin factor (%) Asia
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
Novembe
r
December
Janu
ary
Februa
ryMarc
hApri
lMay
June Ju
ly
Month
�New capacity incremental growth in RPK�Stable cabin factors
�New capacity incremental growth in RPK�Stable cabin factors
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200229
In weak market SAS Airline gains market shares - Europe
�Week 01-week 26:
– SAS traffic down 0,3% – AEA traffic down 4,9%
-30-20-10
01020304050
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25
Week
RPK change (%) Europe
SAS AEA
Cabin factor (%) Europe
40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%
Novembe
r
December
Janu
ary
Februa
ryMarc
hApri
lMay
June Ju
ly
Month
�Cabin factor improved significantly in Q2
�Seasonal effect in Jan, Feb
�Cabin factor improved significantly in Q2
�Seasonal effect in Jan, Feb
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200230
�Week 01-week 26:
– SAS traffic up 5,8%
– AEA traffic down7,7%
Traffic development SAS vs peers –Total International
-20-10
01020304050
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25
Week
RPK change (%) Total International
SAS AEA
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200231
Increased yield in 2nd Quarter2001-Q2 2002 Total system - currency adjusted
�Yields up 0,7% in 2nd Quarter 2002– Class mix negative
�Yields up 0,7% in 2001– Up 1,4% 4th Quarter– Down 1,9% 3rd Quarter– Flat 2nd Quarter– Up 5% 1st Quarter
-6%-5%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%
2ndQuarter2001
3rdQuarter2001
4thQuarter2001
12M 2001 1stQuarter2002
2ndQuarter2002
Yield Currency adjusted
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200232
Trend with increasing unit cost broken in 2nd Quarter as improvement measures start to give effect
�After a period of increases units costs are down in spite of weaker volumes (ASK)
-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%
10%
1st Q
uart
er 2
001
2nd
Qua
rter
200
1
3rd
Q 2
001
4th
Q 2
001
1st Q
200
2
2nd
Q 2
002
Index last year(currency adjusted)
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200233
Unit Cost2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
MSEK
Volume = average decrease in ASK: -4.1%
Adjusted Share ofAPR-JUN 02 APR-JUN 02 Var. % total var %
Commissions 617 556 -9,9% -0,7%Fuel 993 842 -15,2% -1,8%Government charges 946 967 2,2% 0,3%Personnel 3 321 3 574 7,6% 3,1%Other oper. net costs 2 362 2 229 -5,6% -1,6%
TOTAL 8 239 8 168 -0,9% -0,9%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200234
Unit Cost down in 2nd Quarter
-1,0%0,0%1,0%2,0%3,0%4,0%5,0%6,0%7,0%8,0%9,0%
1st Half2002
2nd Quarter2001
2nd Quarter2002
Index last year(currency adjusted) �Definition changed to
ASK only
�Unit Cost down 0,9% 2nd Quarter 2002
�Unit Cost up 3,6% 1st Half 2002
�Definition changed to ASK only
�Unit Cost down 0,9% 2nd Quarter 2002
�Unit Cost up 3,6% 1st Half 2002
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200235
All government insurance guarantees seized August 1, 2002�Government guarantees in place until June 30nd
2002�Danish Guarantee extended until July 31�As from August 1 all SAS aircraft insured in the
commercial insurance market– Costs neutral compared with guarantees
�Total insurance costs 8-10 times higher than prior to Sep 11
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200236
ECA –European cooperation agreement
�Tri-party Joint Venture agreement with BMI, Lufthansa and SAS signed November 9, 1999
�In effect from January 1, 2000�Main scope: To integrate the parties scheduled
pass. transport to/ from London/ Manchester�Negative result effect 2001: MSEK 335 �Effect Q1 2002 minus MSEK 113�Effect Q2 2002 minus MSEK 104
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200237
Spread has narrowed between Brent Crude vs. Jet Fuel
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1998
-01-02
1998
-03-30
1998
-06-26
1998
-09-21
1998
-12-16
1999
-03-16
1999
-06-15
1999
-09-08
1999
-12-01
2000
-02-29
2000
-05-26
2000
-08-21
2000
-11-14
2001
-02-12
2001
-05-10
2001
-08-03
2001
-10-30
2002
-01-25
2002
-04-24
2002
-07-23
US
Dol
lar p
er B
arre
l
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
US D
ollar per Metric Ton
Brent 1st Nearby Close
Jet CIF Cargoes NWE
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200238
Current outlook 2002 lowered by MSEK 200 vs 1st Quarter
� Average rates:� 2000 270 USD/MT� 2001 255 USD/MT� Q1 2002 189 USD/MT� Q2 2002 224 USD/MT
Current hedging ratio Next 12 months 45%� Estimate Full year 2002 MSEK 3 400 (vs 3 600)
(Based on current levels)
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200239
In process/ In process/ In process/ In process/ implementationimplementationimplementationimplementation MSEK 1 900MSEK 1 900MSEK 1 900MSEK 1 900Additional measuresAdditional measuresAdditional measuresAdditional measures MSEK 500MSEK 500MSEK 500MSEK 500TotalTotalTotalTotal MSEK 2 400MSEK 2 400MSEK 2 400MSEK 2 400
Result effects 2003 MSEK 24002002 MSEK 1700
Status short term Result Improvementmeasures – 600 MSEK effect H1 2002
Estimated distribution:1st Quarter 200-3002nd Quarter 300-4003rd Quarter 400-5004th Quarter 600-700
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200240
Uppdateras
20 000
21 000
22 000
23 000
24 000
JAN
MAR
MAJ JUL
SEP
NO
V
JAN
MAR
MAJ JUL
SEP
NO
V
Plan
ACT
22 775
21 975
20 396
Personell reductions well according to plan full year effect 2003
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200241
Structural improvement measures with 4 000 MSEK effect from 2003>
� 5 areas of focus– Production concept– Product & services– Distribution– Management &
Administrations– Price conceptProduction/Traffic System
Product & Service/Price ConceptDistributionBusiness Model and Management
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200242
Changes in production process has a potential of MSEK 2 000 in savings
New production philosophy =Restructuring and improving aircraft rotations� Improved aircraft utilization rates
– ABH/ Block hour up from 7,5 to 9 9 hrs.
– Legs/ a/c up� Improved capacity utilization
– +5 p.u. on average� Aircraft turn around� Utilize peak/ off peak for maintenance etc.� Aircraft/ crew overnights reduced to
minimum� Pilot hours up from less than 500 hrs to
600hrs per annum
AESALC
ALF
AMS
ARN
BDU
BGO
BOO
BRU
CDG
CPH
DUBDUS
EVEEWR
FCOFRA
GOT
HAU
KKN
KRS
LHR
MAN
MX P
NCE
SVG
TOSTRD
AALAARAGPALCAMS
ARNBCN
BGOBHX
BKKBLQ
BRUBUD
CDG
CGNDEL
DUBDUS
EWRFCO
FRAGDN
GOTGVA
HAJHAM
HELIAD
JKGKGDKRKKSDLEDLHRLINMADMAN
MUCMXP
NCENRK
NRTORB
ORDOSL
PEKPMI
POZ
PRGSEA
SFJSTN
STR
SVGSVO
TLVTRD
TRFVIE
VNOVST
VXOWAWWROZRH
Nytt konceptAGH
AMS BRUCDG
CPH
DUB
DUS
EW R
FCO
FRA
GOT
GVA
HAM
HEL
KID
KLR
KRN
KSDLED
LHRLINLLAMMXMXP
NCEOER
ORD
OSD
OSL
RNB
SDL
SFT
STN
SVO
TKU
TLL
TMP
TXL
UME
VNOVXO
W AW ZRH
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200243
Scandinavian Airlines
Significant flight crew and a/c productivity improvements in pipeline 2002-2003
CurrentCurrentCurrentCurrent ShortShortShortShort----term term term term ChangeChangeChangeChangetargettargettargettarget 2003/04 _2003/04 _2003/04 _2003/04 _
Cockpit Cockpit Cockpit Cockpit crew utilizationcrew utilizationcrew utilizationcrew utilization 490 490 490 490 600600600600 +20%(BLH/pilot/year)Cabin Crew utilizationCabin Crew utilizationCabin Crew utilizationCabin Crew utilization 530530530530 600600600600 +13%Aircraft Aircraft Aircraft Aircraft utilizationutilizationutilizationutilization 8,228,228,228,22 8,428,428,428,42 +4-5%(BLH/type)Legs /Legs /Legs /Legs /acacacac////daydaydayday 6,706,706,706,70 6,876,876,876,87 +2,5%Aircraft night stopsAircraft night stopsAircraft night stopsAircraft night stops 800800800800 500500500500 +60%
8/7/200244
Scandinavian Airlines’ new net pricing concept as from 2003
• Net price concept to be introduced 1 January 2003
• Prices lowered with same amount as commissions
• Agent will set their own price to the customer
• Markup can vary from channel to channel
• Introduction of service fees in SAS’ direct channels
• Introduction of new agent program
4/7 %
SAS
Pric
e
SAS
Pric
e
Agentmark-up
possibility
Today Tomorrow
SAS
Pric
e
SAS direct sales
mark-up
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
SAS Price
4,7%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200245
Scandinavian Direct in service as from June 1, 2002
� One service class – new price concept� A new, easier and more intelligent way of travelling with
SASFeedback from customers generally positive
� In particular related to 1. improved booking/ check in (via internet)2. Improved boarding process
� Customer Survey completed late June -� Focus on rapid initial customer feedback in order to be able
to amend product concept if necessary
� 30% of customers travel at a lower price � Small negative yield impact - as expected
� One service class – new price concept� A new, easier and more intelligent way of travelling with
SASFeedback from customers generally positive
� In particular related to 1. improved booking/ check in (via internet)2. Improved boarding process
� Customer Survey completed late June -� Focus on rapid initial customer feedback in order to be able
to amend product concept if necessary
� 30% of customers travel at a lower price � Small negative yield impact - as expected
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200246
Marketplace is caracterized by many campaigns and price initiatives from SAS
�SAS offer to London from Scandinavia 895,-– Highly successful– Excess capacity sold+ 60 000 bookings so
far!
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200247
105%
100%
90%
80%
70%
50%
40%
30%
20%
Daily
Daily 2
Daily 4
Daily 7
Weekend 0
Weekend 7
Weekend 14
W.Special 21
C3RT
DSAVE
B-PLUS
M-Weekend
QSAVER
Campaign fares
M-Basic
H-Weekend
New price concept
8/7/200248
Electronic Channels steady at 21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
jan-
00
feb-
00
mar
-00
apr-
00
maj
-00
jun-
00
jul-0
0
aug-
00
sep-
00
okt-
00
nov-
00
dec-
00
01-ja
n
01-f
eb
01-m
ar
01-
apr
01-m
aj
01-ju
n
01-n
ov
01-d
ec
Q1-
2002
Q2-
2002
% Sold - Travel Pass, Travel Pass Corporate, ETIX,Internet% Sold via Internet
� Total volume E-channels in Q2 MSEK 2 011
� 20,9% of total passenger sales in Q2
� New web site launched in May
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200249
Management & administration
�New structure– Result oriented
management– Clearer targets
�World Sales and Scandinavian Ground Services to be separatedfrom SAS Airline– Significant synergies to
be released
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200250
8/7/200251
Income Subsidiary & Affiliates Airlines – Braathens and Spanair fully consolidated(MSEK)
January - June2002 2001
Passenger revenues 5 886 1 213Other revenues 1 863 312
Operating revenues 7 749 1 525Operating expences -6 183 -1 274EBITDAR +1 566 +251
EBITDAEBITDAEBITDAEBITDA 657657657657 174174174174Income before taxes +65* +126* = Includes Spanair as affiliated company Nov/Dec 2001 because of change of financial year
8/7/200252
Weak charter market 2nd Quarter offset by cost reductions and strong yield improvements
� Spanish market generally weak
� Significantly increased yield -27,2% Jan-June�Closure of intercontinental
traffic�Focus on high yield
markets�Price increases in Spanish
market
� Spanish market generally weak
� Significantly increased yield -27,2% Jan-June�Closure of intercontinental
traffic�Focus on high yield
markets�Price increases in Spanish
market
MSEK MSEK MSEK MSEK AprilAprilAprilApril----June 2002June 2002June 2002June 2002Passenger revenue 1 123Other revenues 718
Operating revenues 1 841EBITDAR 263EBIT -43Income before taxes -70
8/7/200253
Spanair ready to join STARFull member as from 2003
SASSASSASSAS
LUFTHANSALUFTHANSALUFTHANSALUFTHANSA
UNITEDUNITEDUNITEDUNITED
AIR CANADA /AIR CANADA /AIR CANADA /AIR CANADA /
CANADIANCANADIANCANADIANCANADIAN
THAI THAI THAI THAI
VARIGVARIGVARIGVARIG
AIR NEW ZEALANDAIR NEW ZEALANDAIR NEW ZEALANDAIR NEW ZEALAND
ALL NIPPONALL NIPPONALL NIPPONALL NIPPON
AUSTRIANAUSTRIANAUSTRIANAUSTRIAN
LAUDA AIRLAUDA AIRLAUDA AIRLAUDA AIR
TYROLEANTYROLEANTYROLEANTYROLEAN
SINGAPORESINGAPORESINGAPORESINGAPORE
MEXICANAMEXICANAMEXICANAMEXICANA
BRITISH MIDLANDBRITISH MIDLANDBRITISH MIDLANDBRITISH MIDLAND
SSSSPANAIRPANAIRPANAIRPANAIR
8/7/200254
Spanair’s unit cost in line witheuropean low cost carriers
�Long-haul operations closed in March 2002
�Improved mix�Shift from low yield to
high yield markets
�Key Operating data:– Total Aicraft utiliz 9,2 hrs/ day– Cabin Crew 900 hrs/year
�Cost reductions�Capacity reductions�Unit cost in line with
low costs carriers�Positive operating profit
for 2002
�Cost reductions�Capacity reductions�Unit cost in line with
low costs carriers�Positive operating profit
for 2002
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200255
�Fully consolidated in the SAS Group 2002
�New route schedule from April 2 and full effect of large capacity and cost cuts late 2001 gave significant improvements.
�Fully consolidated in the SAS Group 2002
�New route schedule from April 2 and full effect of large capacity and cost cuts late 2001 gave significant improvements.
Strong performance in Braathens during first half of 2002
8/7/200256
Braathens – adequate return on capital expected for 2002
JanuaryJanuaryJanuaryJanuary----JuneJuneJuneJune 2002200220022002 2001200120012001Passenger Passenger Passenger Passenger RevenueRevenueRevenueRevenue 2 9922 9922 9922 992 2 8672 8672 8672 867OtherOtherOtherOther RevenuesRevenuesRevenuesRevenues 580 580 580 580 551551551551
Operating RevenuesOperating RevenuesOperating RevenuesOperating Revenues 3 5723 5723 5723 572 3 4183 4183 4183 418
EBITDAREBITDAREBITDAREBITDAR +870 +870 +870 +870 +299 +299 +299 +299 EBITDAREBITDAREBITDAREBITDAR----marginmarginmarginmargin 24,3%24,3%24,3%24,3% 8,7%8,7%8,7%8,7%
Income before taxesIncome before taxesIncome before taxesIncome before taxes +444 +444 +444 +444 ----191191191191
8/7/200257
Widerøe’s –best 1st Half result ever
� Increased traffic by 14,8% in Q2 and good performance.
Jan – June 2002� Total Revenues MSEK 1 277
(+20%)� EBITDAR MSEK 234 (+10%)� EBITDA MSEK 169 (+10%)� EBT MSEK 68 (+10%)
8/7/200258
Strong turnaround for Air Botnia
Air Botnia
� Strong performance and increased traffic (RPK) by 41,2%.
� Strengthened market position� Jan – June 2002� Total Revenues MSEK 537
(+16%)� EBITDAR MSEK 144 (+140%)� EBITDA MSEK 67 (415%)
� EBT MSEK 60
8/7/200259
8/7/200260
Income Business AreaAirline Related BusinessEBITDA down 14%
MSEK January - June2002 2001
Operating revenues 4 341 3 467Operating expences -4 080 -3 163
EBITDA 261 304
Income before taxes 36 114
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200261
SAS Cargo Weak demand and yield under preasure
� Total revenue 1 304 1 298� Cargo yield,
SEK/ton km 2,35 2,42� Employees 1 106 1 182
January-June2002 2001
8/7/200262
Scandinavian IT Group
www.www.www.www.scandinavianscandinavianscandinavianscandinavianITITITIT....comcomcomcom
One of Scandinavia's largest IT companies, with a turnover of 2 463 MSEK in 2001 and a total of more than 1300 employees in three countries
Scandinavian IT GroupCustomer driven - Airline focused - Technology based
Total Revenues 1 108 1 230
EBITDA 106 143
Profit before taxes 43 68
January-June2002 2001
8/7/200263
SAS Trading – turn around in prosess
www.www.www.www.scandinavianscandinavianscandinavianscandinavian....netnetnetnet
Total Revenues 1 074 1 109
EBITDA 20 -6
Profit before taxes -4 -26
January-June2002 2001
SAS Trading is a business in the SAS Group and a operator within Travel Retail. SAS Trading had 658 employees at year end 2001 In 2001 SAS Trading lost its concessions for duty free sales and operation of stores at Swedish airports.
8/7/200264
SMART – agreement with Amadeus to sell for appr. 1 000 MSEK
Transaction subject to government Approval.
� Positive effect on cash flow and net debt 950 MSEK.
� Gain on sale 800 MSEK.
www.smart.sewww.smart.sewww.smart.sewww.smart.se
January-June2002 2001
Total Revenues 248 326
EBITDA 42 89
Profit before taxes 11 95
8/7/200265
SAS Flight Academy – EBITDA flat 2002 vs. 2001
Training centers for pilots andother personell. 35% ofrevenues outside SAS in 2001.
www.www.www.www.sasflightacademysasflightacademysasflightacademysasflightacademy....comcomcomcom
January-June2002 2001
Total Revenues 328 319
EBITDA 81 83
Profit before taxes 29 40
8/7/200266
Jetpak
Jetpak is one of the fastest growingcompanies withing expresslogistic in theNordic countries. The company is 100%owned by SAS Group and has 151employees
www.www.www.www.jetpakjetpakjetpakjetpak....comcomcomcom
January-June2002 2001
Total Revenues 181 181
EBITDA -6 +12
Profit before taxes -10 +9
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200267
8/7/200268
Rezidor SAS Hospitality expansion strategy on track
SIH
Number of hotelsNumber of hotelsNumber of hotelsNumber of hotels
020406080
100120140160180
'94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01
FranchisedManagedLeasedOwned
8/7/200269
Revenues 1 624 1 679 -3,3%
Operating result 37 148 -
Adjusted EBITDA -58 30 -
Pre tax profit -26 +58 -Including gains
Jan-Jun 2002
in MSEK
REZIDOR SAS Hospitality –negatively affected by weaker markets
Jan-Jun 2001 Change
8/7/200270
Adjusted EBITDA weaker in 1st
half 2002 due to strike in Norway – Forecast full year EBITDA 10% lower than 2001
SIH
020406080
100120140160180200
MSEK
Jan-Jun2000
Jan -Jun2001
Jan-Jun2002
EBITDA - adjusted
-1000
100200300400500600
MSEK
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1H 2
001
1H 2
002
Income before taxes
8/7/200271
REZIDOR SAS Hospitality –REVPAR under pressure but better than industry
SIH
-25,00%-20,00%-15,00%-10,00%
-5,00%0,00%5,00%
10,00%15,00%
MSEK
01-ju
l
01-a
ug
01-s
ep
Oct
01
01-n
ov
01-d
ec
02-ja
n
02-f
eb
02-m
ar
02-a
pr
may
02
02-j
un
REVPAR - Rezidor REVPAR - Market
400
450
500
550
600
650
SEK
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 mar-02
jun-02
REVPAR
8/7/200272
Radisson SAS Brand Positioning in Europe
FullFullServiceService
LuxuryLuxury
First ClassFirst Class
Limited ServiceLimited Service
MidMid--PricedPricedeconomyeconomy
“Hard” Budget“Hard” Budget
MinimumMinimumServiceService
Formula1
Ibis
Country Inns
Holiday InnScandicNovotel
MarriottHilton
SheratonRadisson SAS
Inter-ContinentalHyatt
Four SeasonsRegent
Malmaison
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200273
Radisson SAS current growth strategy�Expansion in existing home markets –
Scandinavia, Finland, Germany
�Extend home markets to UK, France, Benelux & Poland
�Expand in capitals & other important cities - e.g. Athens, Barcelona, Cairo, Rome, Zagreb…
�Extend into leisure & resorts
�Focus on airport hotels
8/7/200274
Financials
8/7/200275
SEK/USD
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun jul Au
gSep Oct
Nov Dec
2000
2001
2002
Weaker USD set to affect second half positively if current levels remains
�Negative Effect on 1st
half 2002-49 MSEK
�Positive effect on 2nd
Quarter +40 MSEK
�Potential positive effect if levels remain
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200276
Clear targets to reduce indebtness 2004
Current situationCurrent situationCurrent situationCurrent situation� Loss situation and peak in
investments and acquisitions� Key figures Q2/02 vs Q2/01
– Solidity: 22% (25%)– Net debt/ equity 0,82 (0,22)– Adj net debt to equity 1,60
(0,55)
� Financial position adequate, to be safeguarded
� Clear targets introduced
� Net debt to peak in 2002� Targets 2004
– Solidity >30%– Net debt/ equity <50%– Adj net debt/ equity
<150%
� Surplus values in fleet reduced after Sep 11
� Relesase of main assets:– Properties– Non-core subs
8/7/200277
Currency EffectsJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Total revenues & costs:(Total +100 MSEK)Major approx. effects:USD -49DKK -20NOK +143EUR +3Asian curr. -7All others +30
Forward cover costs:(Total +13 MSEK)2001 +532002 +29
Working capital:(Total +132 MSEK)2001 -622002 +70
Financial items:(Total –124 MSEK)2001 +1072002 -17
Grand total +84 MSEK
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200278
Costs
DKK16%
EUR15%
GBP2%
NOK21%
SEK22%
USD22%
Others2%
Revenues
DKK10%
EUR19%GBP
4%
NOK29%
SEK25%
USD10%
Others3%
Expected currency distribution in the SAS Group 2002
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200279
Considerable surplus values despite reduced aircraft prices
Surplus value, aircraft
0100020003000
400050006000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Q1 200
2
Q2 200
2 0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Q12002
Q22002
Surplus value in relation to booked value
8/7/200280
Outlook 2002
8/7/200281
Gearing levels has peaked and in line with industry average
�Leverage to peak during 2002
�Moody’s Baa3 Stable Investment grade rating
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
dec-9
8
mar-99
jun-99
sep-99
dec-9
9
mar-00
jun-00
sep-00
dec-0
0
mar-01
jun-01
sep-01
dec-0
1
mar-02
jun-02
Net Debt / Equity Net Debt + NPV op lease / Equity
8/7/200282
Outlook –operating key figures - year 2002
Group SAS AirlineASK -9% -4%Frequencies -8%
RPK -2% +2%Passenger yield (currency adjusted) n.m. flat
Unit costs n.m. significantly down
�Growth expectations reduced�Further capacity adjustments planned
Key figure
8/7/200283
July figures includes all airlines in Group
�Group improved passenger load factor by 2,5 p.u.�Scandinavian Airlines improved load factor by 1,8 p.u
PassengerPassengerPassengerPassenger---- Seat capacitySeat capacitySeat capacitySeat capacity CabinCabinCabinCabin----traffic (RPK)traffic (RPK)traffic (RPK)traffic (RPK) (ASK)(ASK)(ASK)(ASK) factorfactorfactorfactor
SAS Group TotalSAS Group TotalSAS Group TotalSAS Group Total ----8,9%8,9%8,9%8,9% ----12,1%12,1%12,1%12,1% 71,7%71,7%71,7%71,7%IntercontinentalIntercontinentalIntercontinentalIntercontinental ----13,0%13,0%13,0%13,0% ----17,3%17,3%17,3%17,3%EuropeEuropeEuropeEurope ----6,6%6,6%6,6%6,6% ----10,7%10,7%10,7%10,7%Domestic andDomestic andDomestic andDomestic and ----7,2%7,2%7,2%7,2% ----9,0%9,0%9,0%9,0%IntrascandinavianIntrascandinavianIntrascandinavianIntrascandinavian
8/7/200284
April-June figures includes all airlines in Group
�Group improved passenger load factor by 2,8 p.u.
PassengerPassengerPassengerPassenger---- Seat capacitySeat capacitySeat capacitySeat capacity CabinCabinCabinCabin----traffic (RPK)traffic (RPK)traffic (RPK)traffic (RPK) (ASK)(ASK)(ASK)(ASK) factorfactorfactorfactor
SAS Group TotalSAS Group TotalSAS Group TotalSAS Group Total ----5,5%5,5%5,5%5,5% ----9,4%9,4%9,4%9,4% 67,8%67,8%67,8%67,8%IntercontinentalIntercontinentalIntercontinentalIntercontinental ----2,5%2,5%2,5%2,5% ----12,1%12,1%12,1%12,1%EuropeEuropeEuropeEurope ----7,1%7,1%7,1%7,1% ----10,3%10,3%10,3%10,3%Domestic andDomestic andDomestic andDomestic and ----6,3%6,3%6,3%6,3% ----5,7%5,7%5,7%5,7%IntrascandinavianIntrascandinavianIntrascandinavianIntrascandinavian
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200285
Assessment for full year 2002:
The Board of Directors
�Yield and load factors better than expected�Result improvement measures take effect
according to plan�Forecast from February 12 upgraded
– SAS Pre-tax profit before gains positive– Gains on sale at least 350 MSEK.
8/7/200286
Sum up – 1st Half 2002
�Balance between supply and demand�Improved load factors and yields�Scandinavian Airline has forceful measures in
process– Short term 2002/2003– Structural 2003/2004
�Braathens significant positive result�Spanair positive operating result
�Significant upgrade of group full year forecast
8/7/200287
The SAS Group’s overall target for profitability and growth within 2-3 years
Return on capital:Return on capital:Return on capital:Return on capital: minimumminimumminimumminimum 20% CFROI20% CFROI20% CFROI20% CFROI
Top line growth:Top line growth:Top line growth:Top line growth: 6 % annually6 % annually6 % annually6 % annually
The most important prerequisite for achieving the goal is to make Scandinavian Airlines profitable
Pre-tax earnings SEK 5-6 bn within 2-3 years
8/7/200288
APPENDICES
8/7/200289
Scandinavian Airlines
Change in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - Total Change in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - Total Change in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - Total Change in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - Total Scandinavian Air linesScandinavian Air linesScandinavian Air linesScandinavian Air lines
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
jan-0
1
feb-0
1
mar-01
apr-0
1
maj-01
jun-0
1jul
-01
aug-
01
sep-
01
okt-0
1
nov-0
1
dec-0
1
jan-0
2
feb-0
2
mar-02
apr-0
2
maj-02
jun-0
2jul
-02
RPKASKCabin factor
8/7/200290
Scandinavian Airlines
Change in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year - EuropeChange in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year - EuropeChange in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year - EuropeChange in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year - Europe
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
jan-0
1feb
-01
mar-01
apr-0
1maj-
01jun
-01
jul-0
1au
g-01
sep-
01ok
t-01
nov-0
1de
c-01
jan-0
2feb
-02
mar-02
apr-0
2maj-
02jun
-02
jul-0
2
RPKASKCabin factor
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200291
Scandinavian Scandinavian Scandinavian Scandinavian AirlinesAirlinesAirlinesAirlines
Change in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - IntrascandinavianChange in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - IntrascandinavianChange in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - IntrascandinavianChange in RPK, ASK, Cabin Factor vs. last year - Intrascandinavian
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
jan-0
1
feb-0
1
mar-0
1
apr-0
1
maj-01
jun-0
1jul
-01
aug-
01
sep-
01
okt-0
1
nov-0
1
dec-0
1
jan-0
2
feb-0
2
mar-0
2
apr-0
2
maj-02
jun-0
2jul
-02
RPKASKCabin factor
8/7/200292
Scandinavian Airlines
Change in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year- Change in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year- Change in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year- Change in RPK, ASK, and Cabin Factor vs. last year- IntercontinentalIntercontinentalIntercontinentalIntercontinental
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
jan-0
1
feb-0
1
mar-01
apr-0
1
maj-01
jun-0
1jul
-01
aug-
01
sep-
01
okt-0
1
nov-0
1
dec-0
1
jan-0
2
feb-0
2
mar-02
apr-0
2
maj-02
jun-0
2jul
-02
RPKASKCabin factor
8/7/200293
Traffic and YieldJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Scandinavian Airlines IndexTotal Scheduled 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 17 061 17 701 96Traffic (mill RPK) 11 468 11 513 100Cabin factor (%) 67.2 65.0 +2.2 Yield (öre/RPK) 151.3 151.3 100Currency adj. yield 151.3 155.0 98
Scandinavian Scandinavian Scandinavian Scandinavian AirlinesAirlinesAirlinesAirlines
8/7/200294
Traffic and Yield2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
Scandinavian Airlines IndexTotal Scheduled 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 8 773 9 144 96Traffic (mill RPK) 6 240 6 227 100Cabin factor (%) 71.1 68.1 +3.0 Yield (öre/RPK) 151.9 149.7 101Currency adj. yield 151.9 150.8 101
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/200295
Traffic and YieldJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Index
Wideroe 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 393 354 111Traffic (mill RPK) 199 183 109Cabin factor (%) 50.7 51.6 -0.9Yield *) 103
*) local currency
8/7/200296
Traffic and Yield2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
Index
Wideroe 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 203 173 117Traffic (mill RPK) 107 93 115Cabin factor (%) 52.7 53.8 -1.1Yield *) 102
*) local currency
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/200297
Traffic and YieldJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Index
Spanair (Total scheduled) 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 3 246 4 647 70Traffic (mill RPK) 1 914 2 682 71Cabin factor (%) 59.0 57.7 +1.3Yield *) 127
*) local currency
8/7/200298
Traffic and Yield2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
Index
Spanair (Total scheduled) 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 1 686 2 483 68Traffic (mill RPK) 989 1 491 66Cabin factor (%) 58.7 60.1 -1.4Yield *) 135
*) local currency
8/7/200299
Traffic and YieldJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Index
Spanair (Charter) 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 2 238 2 300 97Traffic (mill RPK) 1 949 2 064 94Cabin factor (%) 87.1 89.8 -2.7Yield *) 106
*) local currency
8/7/2002100
Traffic and Yield2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
Index
Spanair (Charter) 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 1 268 1 232 103Traffic (mill RPK) 1 077 1 091 99Cabin factor (%) 84.9 88.6 -3.6Yield *) 108
*) local currency
8/7/2002101
Traffic and YieldJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Index
Braathens (Total scheduled) 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 2 220 2 672 83Traffic (mill RPK) 1 242 1 358 92Cabin factor (%) 55.9 50.8 +5.1Yield 107
*) local currency
8/7/2002102
Traffic and Yield2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
Index
Braathens (Total scheduled) 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 1 197 1 329 90Traffic (mill RPK) 717 741 97Cabin factor (%) 59.9 55.8 +4.1Yield 107
*) local currency
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002103
Traffic and Yield January-June 2002 vs 2001
Index
Air Botnia 2002 2001 variance
Production (mill ASK) 320 279 115Traffic (mill RPK) 162 125 130Cabin factor (%) 50.5 44.6 +5.9Yield 90
*) local currency
8/7/2002104
Yield DevelopmentJanuary – June 2002 vs 2001(currency adjusted)
-3,0%
-2,0%
-1,0%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
Jan-Jun 2001 Jan-Jun 2002
Scandinavian Scandinavian Scandinavian Scandinavian AirlinesAirlinesAirlinesAirlines
8/7/2002105
(currency adjusted)
Yield Development2001-2002
Yields are under pressure from negative class mix /price mix
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3rd Quarter2001
4th Quarter2001
1st Quarter2002
2nd Quarter2002
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002106
Passenger YieldJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Nominal Currency AdjustedRoute Sector yield effect yield
SAS Airline 100 98 97
Intercontinental 95 99 94Europe 99 98 97Intrascandinavian 105 97 102Denmark/Greenland 109 98 107Norway 132 94 124Sweden 104 100 104
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002107
Passenger Yield2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
Nominal Currency AdjustedRoute Sector yield effect yield
Scandinavian Airlines 101 99 100
Intercontinental 93 102 95Europe 100 100 100Intrascandinavian 105 98 103Denmark/Greenland 104 100 103Norway 141 95 134Sweden 108 100 108
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002108
Unit Cost worsened by 3,6% but improved in Q2January - June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK
Volume = average decrease in ASK: -3,6%
Adjusted Share ofJAN-JUN 02 JAN-JUN 02 Var. % total var %
Commissions 1 163 1 044 -10,2% -0,8%Fuel 2 028 1 587 -21,7% -2,8%Government charges 1 864 1 862 -0,1% 0,0%Personnel 6 401 7 086 10,7% 4,3%Other oper. net costs 4 366 4 815 10,3% 2,8%
TOTAL 15 822 16 394 3,6% 3,6%
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002109
Unit Cost2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
MSEK
Volume = average decrease in ASK: -4.1%
Adjusted Share ofAPR-JUN 02 APR-JUN 02 Var. % total var %
Commissions 617 556 -9,9% -0,7%Fuel 993 842 -15,2% -1,8%Government charges 946 967 2,2% 0,3%Personnel 3 321 3 574 7,6% 3,1%Other oper. net costs 2 362 2 229 -5,6% -1,6%
TOTAL 8 239 8 168 -0,9% -0,9%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002110
Unit Cost DevelopmentJanuary - June 2002 vs 2001
-1,0%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
5,0%
6,0%
Jan-Jun 2001 Jan-Jun 2002
Index last year(currency adjusted)
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002111
Unit Cost Development2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
-1,0%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
Apr-Jun 2001 Apr-Jun 2002
Index last year(currency adjusted)
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002112
Productivity DevelopmentJanuary -June 2002 vs 2001
Measure is change in number of full time employees vschange of ASK
-3,0%
-2,0%
-1,0%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
Jan-Jun 2001 Jan-Jun 2002
Index last year
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002113
RevenueJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK JAN-JUN02 JAN-JUN01 curr adj 01
Passenger revenues 17 347 17 418 17 842Cargo revenues *) 0 856 881Other traffic revenues **) 941 522 539Other revenues 2 141 2 931 2 980
TOTAL REVENUE 20 429 21 727 22 242*) Not included in SAS Airline from June 2001
**) Included internal revenue due to sold belly capacity from July 2001
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002114
Revenue2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
MSEK JAN-JUN02 JAN-JUN01 curr adj 01
Passenger revenues 9 481 9 322 9 392Cargo revenues *) 0 344 345Other traffic revenues **) 521 280 284Other revenues 1 089 1 799 1 803
TOTAL REVENUE 11 091 11 745 11 823*) Not included in SAS Airline from June 2001
**) Included internal revenue due to sold belly capacity from July 2001
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002115
Operating CostsJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK JAN-JUN02 JAN-JUN01*) curr adj 01
Personnel costs 7 086 6 749 6 920Leasing costs (aircraft) 1 018 1 011 1 037Sales costs 1 044 1 188 1 207Fuel 1 587 2 046 2 104Governmental charges 1 862 1 902 1 943Meal costs 748 823 839Handling costs 881 907 923Maintenance costs 945 1 307 1 310IT and Communication 744 788 803Other Costs 3 638 4 267 4 209
TOTAL COSTS 19 553 20 988 21 295
*) SAS Cargo is included in SAS Airline until May 2001
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002116
Operating Costs2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
MSEK APR-JUN02 APR-JUN01*) curr adj 01
Personnel costs 3 574 3 531 3 582Leasing costs (aircraft) 503 536 520Sales costs 556 642 643Fuel 842 1 074 1 035Governmental charges 967 985 990Meal costs 397 436 439Handling costs 442 464 465Maintenance costs 421 695 683IT and Communication 367 392 390Other Costs 1 691 2 636 2 525
TOTAL COSTS 9 760 11 391 11 272*) SAS Cargo is included in SAS Airline until May 2001
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002117
Currency Effects January-June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK JAN-JUN
Total revenues +666Total costs -563Forward cover costs & working cap. +127
Income before depr. +230Financial items -71
Income before tax +159
8/7/2002118
Currency Effects April-June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK APR-JUN
Total revenues +123Total costs -31Forward cover costs & working cap. +134
Income before depr. +226Financial items -165
Income before tax +61
8/7/2002119
Currency Effects January-June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK JAN-JUN
Total revenues +515Total costs -415Forward cover costs & working cap. +108
Income before depr. +208Financial items -124
Income before tax +84
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002120
Currency Effects April-June 2002 vs 2001
MSEK APR-JUN
Total revenues +78Total costs +4Forward cover costs & working cap. +115
Income before depr. +197Financial items -217
Income before tax -20
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002121
Currency EffectsJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
Total revenues & costs:(Total +100 MSEK)Major approx. effects:USD -49DKK -20NOK +143EUR +3Asian curr. -7All others +30
Forward cover costs:(Total +13 MSEK)2001 +532002 +29
Working capital:(Total +132 MSEK)2001 -622002 +70
Financial items:(Total –124 MSEK)2001 +1072002 -17
Grand total +84 MSEK
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002122
Currency EffectsApril-June 2002 vs 2001
Total revenues & costs:(Total +82 MSEK)Major approx. effects:USD +40DKK -1NOK +63EUR 0Asian curr. -12All others -8
Forward cover costs:(Total -37 MSEK)2001 +272002 -10
Working capital:(Total +152 MSEK)2001 +92002 +161
Financial items:(Total –217 MSEK)2001 +772002 -140
Grand total –20 MSEK
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002123
Costs
DKK16%
EUR15%
GBP2%
NOK21%
SEK22%
USD22%
Others2%
Revenues
DKK10%
EUR19%GBP
4%
NOK29%
SEK25%
USD10%
Others3%
Expected currency distribution in the SAS Group 2002
8/7/2002124
Passenger Revenue AnalysisJanuary-June 2002 vs 2001
�Revenues 17 347 MSEK - 0.4% �Volume - 0.4% �Yields - 2.4%�Currency +2.4%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002125
Passenger Revenue Analysis2nd Quarter 2002 vs 2001
�Revenues 9 480 MSEK + 1.7% �Volume + 0.2% �Yields + 0.7%�Currency + 0.8%
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002126
Passenger Revenue AnalysisJune 2002 vs 2001
�Revenues 3 340 MSEK - 0.6% �Volume - 0.9% �Yields + 0.7%�Currency - 0.3%
Scandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002127
SAS Group Development of Income before Taxes January-June 2002
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Jan-
Jun
2001
Curren
cyYie
ldTr
affic
Fuel
Other
costs
/ rev
enue
s
Subs
idiar
y & A
ffiliat
ed A
irline
s
Airline
relat
ed B
usine
ss
Rezido
r SAS
Hos
pitali
ty
Grou
p eli
m
Jan-
Jun
2002
-407
SAS Airline-513
MSEK
220
+89
-84-78-61
-619
+517
-70-425
+84
8/7/2002128
Passenger load factor 1995-2002Moving 12 months values
63%
64%
65%
66%
67%
68%
DEC94 DEC95 DEC96 DEC97 DEC98 DEC99 DEC00 DEC01
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002129
Financials and aircraft fleet data
8/7/2002130
Balance SheetMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEK 30JUN02 30JUN01
Liquid funds 9 736 12 220Other interest-bearing assets 7 281 7 187Aircraft 26 033 16 224Other assets 25 104 24 221
Total assets 68 154 59 852
Operating liabilities 20 683 15 444Interest-bearing liabilities 28 160 22 292Subordinated debenture loan 892 874Deferred tax 3 781 3 992Minority interests -104 268Equity 14 742 16 982
Total liabilities and equity 68 154 59 852
Net debt 12 035 3 759
8/7/2002131
Changes in Financial Position
January – June2002 2001
Cash flow from operations +1 326 +499Change in working capital +891 -36
Net financing from operations +2 217 +463Investments, advance payments - 5 357 - 3 643Acquisition of subsidiaries -1 064 0Sales of fixed assets, etc. +1 608 +1 550
Financing surplus -2 596 -1 630Changes in external financing, net +670 +5 625
MSEKMSEKMSEKMSEK
8/7/2002132
The SAS Group Equity / Assets Ratio 9212-0206
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
92-12 93-12 94-12 95-12 96-12 97-12 98-12 99-12 00-12 01-12
Including parent company from January, 2000.Including Braathe ns from De cember, 2001 and Spanair from March, 2002.
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002133
The SAS GroupNet Debt / Equity Ratio 9212-0206
0,00,30,50,81,01,31,51,82,02,32,5
92-12 93-12 94-12 95-12 96-12 97-12 98-12 99-12 00-12 01-12
Including pare nt company from January, 2000.Including Braathe ns from Dece mbe r, 2001 and Spanair from March, 2002.
8/7/2002134
Development of net debt 9112-0206
8/7/2002135
7/31/02
SAS IR/STU
123
Airbus aircraft are being phased in
Aircraft in Aircraft in Aircraft in Aircraft in TrafficTrafficTrafficTraffic 33330June020June020June020June02
Airbus A340-300 7Airbus A321-200 3Boeing 767-300 9MD-81/82/83 49MD-87 15MD-90 8Boeing 737-600 30Boeing 737-700 6Boeing 737-800 14de Havilland Q400 27Fokker F50 4
TOTAL in traffic 172
SAS AirlineScandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002136
Firm Order CAPEX MUSD 918
Aircraft OrdersAircraft OrdersAircraft OrdersAircraft Orders
Total Total Total Total 2002200220022002 2003200320032003 2004 20052004 20052004 20052004 2005
CAPEX (MUSD) 918 918 918 918 415 220 200 83 415 220 200 83 415 220 200 83 415 220 200 83 Aircraft on order 28 13 7 5 3
Airbus A340/330 4Airbus A320/321 12Boeing 737 5 deHavilland Q400 7
28
8/7/2002137
Firm Order CAPEX MUSD 770
Aircraft OrdersAircraft OrdersAircraft OrdersAircraft Orders
Total Total Total Total 2002200220022002 2003200320032003 2004 20052004 20052004 20052004 2005
CAPEX (MUSD) 768 768 768 768 375 145 165 83 375 145 165 83 375 145 165 83 375 145 165 83 Aircraft on order 22 12 3 4 3
Airbus A340/330 4Airbus A320/321 9Boeing 737 5 deHavilland Q400 4
22
Scandinavian Airlines
8/7/2002138
Type of Aircraft DeliveriesFirm Orders
2002 H22 A330, 5 A321, 1 B737, 4 Q400
20031 A330, 2 B737
20041 A330, 3 A321
20051 A321, 2 B737
SAS AirlineScandinavian Airlines
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002139
Considerable surplus values despite reduced aircraft prices
Surplus value, aircraft
0100020003000
400050006000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Q1 200
2
Q2 200
2 0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Q12002
Q22002
Surplus value in relation to booked value
8/7/2002140
SAS financial position adequate
�Equity MSEK 14 742�Equity ratio 22%
�Net debt MSEK 12,035�Net debt/ equity 82%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Dec-98
Mar-99Ju
n-99
Sep-99
Dec-99
Mar-00Ju
n-00
Sep-00
Dec-00
Mar-01Ju
n-01
Sep-01
Dec-01
Mar-02Ju
n-02
8/7/2002141
Commited Credit FacilitiesCommited Credit FacilitiesCommited Credit FacilitiesCommited Credit Facilities of MSEK 8,600of MSEK 8,600of MSEK 8,600of MSEK 8,600
MSEKMSEKMSEKMSEK
Liquid Funds 30/6-02 9,700
Available Credit Facilites:Revolving Credit Facility (MUSD 700) 3,700
Aircraft Finance Lease Facility 3,700
Bi-lateral Facilities 1.200
Total Total Total Total Available FacilitiesAvailable FacilitiesAvailable FacilitiesAvailable Facilities 8,6008,6008,6008,600
8/7/2002142
SAS GroupFinancial Net January – June 2002(MSEK) 02-06-30 01-06-30 Difference
Interest net and others -369 -141 -228
Exchange rate differences +39 +110 -71
Financial net -330 -31 -299
(in % p.a. of averagenet debt) -6,1% -1,9% -4,2%
8/7/2002143
SAS Group - Development and Break Down of Net Debt 020630
(MSEK) 02-06-30 01-06-30 Difference
Cash 9 736 12 220 -2 484
Other interest bearingassets 7 281 7 187 +94
Interest bearingliabilities -29 052 -23 166 -5 886
Net debt -12 035 -3 759 -8 276
8/7/2002144
The SAS Group - Gross interest income/ expenses on liquidity and debt(MSEK) 0201-06Average interest-bearing assets 16 725Interest income 429Return (% p.a.) 5,1%
Average gross debt -27 495Interest expenses and others -798Interest cost (% p.a.) -5,8%
Average net debt -10 775Interest net and others -369Interest net (% p.a.) -6,8%
Exchange rate differences +39Exchange rate differences (% p.a.) 0,7%
Financial net -330Financial net (% p.a.) -6,1%
The SAS Group Investor RelationsTel. +46 (0) 8 797 1451 Fax: +46 (0)8 797 5110
e-mail: [email protected] --- Homepage: www.scandinavian.net -- Results Jan -Jun 2002
8/7/2002145
SAS share
8/7/2002146
* Peers: Alitalia, Air France, British Airways, Finnair, KLM, Lufthansa &Rynair
SAS share price vs. Peers 2000-Jul 2002
50505050
60606060
70707070
80808080
90909090
100100100100
110110110110
120120120120
130130130130
31-dec-0131-dec-0131-dec-0131-dec-01 31- jan-0231- jan-0231- jan-0231- jan-02 28-feb-0228-feb-0228-feb-0228-feb-02 31-mar-0231-mar-0231-mar-0231-mar-02 30-apr-0230-apr-0230-apr-0230-apr-02 31-maj -0231-maj -0231-maj -0231-maj -02 30-jun-0230-jun-0230-jun-0230-jun-02 31-j ul-0231-j ul-0231-j ul-0231-j ul-02
Index Peers Index SAS
SAS Market Capitalization vs. European Peers* measured in SEK(Rebase 28 DEC 2001)
83,8
89,8
1040145L 147
Increased volume in SAS AB vs SAS Sverige AB
Average daily number of shares traded in Stockholm per monthAverage daily number of shares traded in Stockholm per monthAverage daily number of shares traded in Stockholm per monthAverage daily number of shares traded in Stockholm per month
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
Janu
ary
Febr
uary
March
April
MayJu
ne July
SAS Sverige AB
SAS AB
1040145L 148
Weak volume in industry downturn SAS AB
Number of shares traded in SAS per monthNumber of shares traded in SAS per monthNumber of shares traded in SAS per monthNumber of shares traded in SAS per month
0
2 000 000
4 000 000
6 000 000
8 000 000
10 000 000
12 000 000
January February March April June July
Parent Comp 2000
SAS AB