7/30/2019 Ryan Shafik Memo #2 Corbett v Rendell
1/2
To: News Media and All Interested Parties
From : Ryan Shafik, Rockwood Strategies
Date: January 9, 2013
Re: Claims that Gov. Corbetts numbers are the same as Rendells
at this time.
__________________________________________________________________
Claim #1: Ed Rendell had worse numbers six months later in July
of 2005.
From Quinnipiac Poll July 2005:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-
institute/pennsylvania/release-detail/?ReleaseID=811
Rendell still lead Swann by 12 points and was in positive
approval territory by (+) 8.Pennsylvania voters give Gov. Ed
Rendell a 47 - 39 percent approval rating, his lowest since a
46 - 33 percent approval in an April 22, 2004, Quinnipiac
University poll.
Corbett is in negative territory by 14 points and tied or only
up a few points againstpotential Democrat opponents and is in the
low 40s. Rendell was never in the low 40s
against any opponent and not in July of 2005.
Rendell still leads several possible Republican challengers: 47
- 37 percent over former Lt.
Gov. Bill Scranton, 48 - 36 percent over former Pittsburgh
Steeler Lynn Swann, 51 - 28 percent
over State Sen. Jeff Piccola.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail/?ReleaseID=811http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail/?ReleaseID=811http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail/?ReleaseID=811http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail/?ReleaseID=811http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail/?ReleaseID=811
7/30/2019 Ryan Shafik Memo #2 Corbett v Rendell
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Claim #2: Rendells numbers were sub 40 in February of 2006 -the
year of
the election.
From Quinnipiac Polls February 2006
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-
detail/?ReleaseID=874
Rendell was up in the February Quinnipiac 2006.Rendell has a 51
- 33 percent approval rate among Pennsylvania voters, virtually
unchanged
from December 13 2005. Same Poll Democratic incumbent Gov. Ed
Rendell starts his 2006reelection campaign with a 48 - 36 percent
lead over former Pittsburgh Steeler Lynn Swann,
the leading Republican challenger in Pennsylvania, according to
a Quinnipiac University poll
released today.
Not only did Rendell have a 12-point lead among Swann in Feb
2006 but he had a (+)18 approval rating at this time.
Conclusion: To try to say that Governor Corbetts numbers are on
par with Gov. Rendells at
this time and were worse in February of 2006 is not factually
accurate. While Rendell may
have lost some support and experienced changes in his polling
numbers, they never got
upside down like Corbett is now experiencing. And furthermore,
Rendell never had a (-) 27
point disapproval gender gap problem that Corbett is dealing
with. Corbetts numbers could
improve but given the fact that the Penn State issue looms large
over his administration and
will probably receive much more negative press in the coming
year, it makes Corbetts job of
rehabbing his numbers a lot tougher and in turn, his reelection
fight much more difficult.
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