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2012/EPWG/SDMOF/012 Session 2

Russian Systems of Emergency Situations Monitoring and Forecasting

Purpose: Information Submitted by: Russia

6th Senior Disaster Management Officials Forum

Vladivostok, Russia9-10 October 2012

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ON RUSSIAN SYSTEMS OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS MONITORING AND FORECASTING

V.R. BOLOV

Center “Antistikhiya” – All-Russia Natural and Man-made Emergency Situations Monitoring and Forecasting Center of the RF Ministry for Emergency Situations

RATE OF HAZARDOUS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA GROWTH IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION BETWEEN 1996 AND 2011.

206

150

175160

193

285

258

220

310

361

387

436

349

385

467

322

0

100

200

300

400

500

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

количество опасных гидрометеорологических явлений Линейная аппроксимация Количества опасных гидрометеорологических явленийNumber of hazardous hydrometeorological phenomena Linear approximation of the number of hazardous hydrometeorological phenomena

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BREAKDOWN OF THE WORLD’S NUMBER OF HAZARDOUS NATURAL PHENOMENA

5%

30%

3.50%

25%

9%

1.60%0.39%

14%

7%

Оползни

Наводнения 

Пожары

Ураганы

Землетрясения

Извержения вулканов

Цунами

Эпидемии, голод,

Засуха

Earthflow

Flood

Fire

Hurricane

Earthquake

Volcanic explosion

Tsunami

Epidemics, starvation

Draught

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STRUCTURE OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS MONITORING AND FORECASTING SYSTEM

EMERCOM of Russia

National Emergency

Management System

Functional subsystem(federal level)

Functional subsystem

(inter-regional level)

Emergency Management System

of Russian EMERCOM

Regional Center

Functional subsystem

(regional and local level)

Territorial subsystem

Emergency Management System of Russian EMERCOM Main Administration for the RF constituent

entity

Center “Antistikhiya”

ES MFS

ES Regional MFC

ES Territorial MFC

Main tasks of Emergency Situations Monitoring and Forecasting System

Collection, analysis and presentation of research and information reports to EMERCOM of Russia and Russian Universal State System of Prevention and Response to ES on threatened emergency situations sources and their reasons; 

Development of real‐time, medium‐term and long‐term forecasts of emergency situations in the Russian Federation;

Current research and information and forecast support of National Emergency Management System and Emergency Management System activities;    

Arrangement and performance of control laboratory tests for nuclear, chemical and microbiological condition of environmental objects, foodstuffs, food and feed raw materials and water under the threat of emergency situation appearance; 

Creation and development of emergency situations databases and geoinformation systems; 

Methodological support of regional and territorial monitoring and forecasting centers;

Arrangement and performance of training and additional training of emergency situations monitoring and forecasting professionals.

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COMPUTER-AIDED SYSTEMS OF MONITORING, CALCULATION, DATA ANALYSIS AND SITUATION DEVELOPMENT FORECASTING

COMPUTER PROGRAM FOR SHORT-TERM COMPUTER-AIDED FORECAST FOR FAR-EASTERN FEDERAL DISTRICT

Computer program for emergency situation short-term forecast in the Far-Eastern Federal District

Date MapTerritory to be forecasted Khabarovskiy Region Precipitation

Constituent entities of the RF in Far Eastern Regional Center

List of natural emergency situations

Possibility of ES appearance

Possibility of ES appearancePossibility of ES appearance

Possibility of ES appearance

Possibility of ES appearance

Next level of ES

Selected RF constituent entities

Natural and Man-made ES

1 local1 territorial0,6 federal

1 local0,95 regional0,3 trans-border

forecast

ES Forecast

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Situation of 2007 in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) near the village Andrushkino of Nizhnekolymskiy District resulted from the territory water content

increase because of permanent frost melting

Satellite image of river Alazeya, village Andrushkino as on June 21, 2007.

Satellite image of river Alazeya, village Andrushkino as on September 12, 2007.

152 m348 m

348 m416 m

RATE OF STRONG M≥6 EARTHQUAKES NUMBER GROWTH

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MAP OF NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS LOCATION IN EUROPE

RIVERS WITH TRANSBORDER WATERS TRANSFER IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

NORTH-EASTERN FD

SIBERIAN FD

FAR-EASTERN FD URAL FD

VOLGA FD

CENTRAL FD

SOUTHERN FD

NORTHERN CAUCASUS FD

Kazakhstan

Mongolia

Finland

EstoniaLatvia

Litva

Byelorussia

Azerbaidzhan

China

Sweden

Germany

Poland

Goergia

Armenia

Lapperanta

Turkmenia Uzbekistan

Iran

Tadzhikistan

Kyrgyzstan

QiqiharHarbin

Qilin

The USA

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INTERNATIONAL CONVENTIONS FOR PROTECTION AND USE OF TRANSBOUNDARY WATERS

CONCLUDED BY THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION.1. International Convention for Prevention of Sea Oil Pollution, London, 1954;2. International Convention Relating to Intervention on the High Seas in Cases of Oil Pollution Casualties,

Brussels, 1969;3. International Convention of Civil Liability for Oil Pollution Damage, Brussels, 1969;4. International Convention for Establishment of an International Fund for Compensation for Oil Pollution

Damage (addendum to International Convention of Civil Liability for Oil Pollution Damage), Brussels,1971;

5. International Convention for Prevention of Sea Pollution with Waste and Other Materials Discharge, Moscow - Washington - London - Mexico, 1972;

6. International Convention for Preparedness for Oil Pollution Casualties, Response to Them and Cooperation, London, 1990;

7. International Convention for Protection and Use of Transboundary water streams and International Lakes, Helsinki, 1992;

8. International Convention for Protection of the Baltic Sea Marine Environment, Helsinki, 1974;9. International Convention for Protection of the Baltic Sea Marine Environment, Helsinki, 1992;10.International Convention for the Black Sea Protection from Pollution, Bucharest, 1992.11.Framework Convention for Protection of the Caspian Sea Marine Environment (Teheran Convention).12.First session of the Convention Parties Conference, arranged by the Convention Temporary Secretariat

was held in Baku (Azerbaidzhan) on May 23-25, 2007. The Parties agreed upon the Parties’ Conference Procedure Rules and adopted them to provide functioning of the Temporary Secretariat;

13.Convention on the Wetlands of International Importance Especially as Wild Water Fowl Habitat (RamsarConvention, 1971).

BILATERAL INTERNATIONAL TREATIES FOR PROTECTION AND USE OF TRANSBOUNDARY WATERS.

1. Russia-Estonia Commission on Transboundary Waters Protection and Management was established according to Russia-Estonia Treaty dd. 20.08.97.

2. Russia-Finland Treaty for Frontier Water Basins, 1964. 3. Russia-Kazakhstan Treaty for Transboundary Water Bodies Shared Use and

Protection was signed in 1992.4. Treaty between the Russian Federation and People’s Republic of China

Governments for Transboundary Waters Management and Protection was signed on January 29, 2008.

5. Russia-Byelorussia Commission on Transboundary Water Bodies Management and Protection.

6. Russia-Ukraine Treaty for Transboundary Water Bodies was signed in1992. 7. Russia-Mongolia Treaty for Transboundary Water Bodies Management and

Protection was signed in 1995. 8. Cooperation with Republic of Azerbaidzhan is carried out under the Treaty between

the Russian Federation and Azerbaidzhan Governments for Transboundary Water Bodies Shared Use and Protection, signed in 2010.

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Mongolia

Yuzhno‐Sakhalinsk

Petropavlovsk‐

Magadan

Kamchatskiy

Vladivostok

Anadyr

BlagoveshchenskKhabarovsk

Yakutsk

ChitaUlan‐UdeIrkutsk

Dudinka

Tura

Krasnoyarsk

Kyzyl

Tomsk

Kemerovo

Khanty‐Mansiysk

Omsk

Barnaul

Novosibirsk

Syktyvkar Salekhard

Tumen

Yekaterinburg

Chelyabinsk

Perm

Murmansk

Archangelsk

Petrozavodsk

VologdaYaroslavl

Kostroma

Samara

Ufa

Kazan

N. Novgorod

Ulianovsk

Vladimir

Orenburg

Novgorod

Saratov

Ryazan

Penza

Saint‐Petersburg

Tver

MOSCOW

Tambov

Astrakhan

Volgograd

Orel

Kaliningrad

Smolensk

Pskov

Voronezh

Makhachkala

StavropolElista

на‐ДонуRostov‐on‐Don

Belgorod

Bryansk

Kursk

Krasnodar

GrozniyVladicaucas

Nalchik

Kazakhstan Akshinskiy district, Р=0,5

Polovinskiy district, Р=0,1

Zverinogolovskiydistrict, Р=0,2

Uglovskiy district, Р=0,1

Akshinskiy district, Р=0,1

Kyrinskiy district, Р=0,2

Kyrinskiy district(settlement Mangut.

Shumunda), Р=1

Krasnochikoyskiydistrict (settlement

Menza), Р=0,5

Ovurskiy districtР=0,1

Тес-Хемский р-н, Р=0,1

Dzhidinskiydistrict, Р=0,1

Р Possibility of transboundary fire transfer

Michailovskiydistrict, Р=0,1

Fire transfer from the adjacent countries to the Russian FederationFire transfer from Russia to the adjacent countries territories

DISTRICTS AND POSSIBILITY OF NATURAL FIRE TRANSBOUNDARY TRANSFER TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION TERRITORY

Thanks for Your Attention