Russian e-Pe++ons Portal: Exploring Regional Variance in Use · 9/6/2016 · RPI: Na-onal & Regional Dynamics Russian e-Pe++ons Portal: Exploring Regional Variance in Use Number

Russiane-Pe++onsPortal:ExploringRegionalVarianceinUse

AndreiChugunov,KseniaZenchenkovaITMOUniversity

YuryKabanov

Na+onalResearchUniversityHigherSchoolofEconomics

RussianPublicIni-a-vewww.roi.ru

•  Launchedin2013asapartofPresidentPu+n’selec+onprogram;•  Statusoftheofficial(legalandlegi+mate)e-pe++onsplaWorm(unlike

Change.orgetc.);•  Needsofficialregistra+onviaUnifiedIden+fica+onandAuthen+ca+on

System–USIA(legaladults&passportdata);•  Needs100,000votesor5%ofregional(municipal)popula+ontobe

considered;•  Pre-andpost-modera+on(byGONGOandspecialCommi_ee);

•  Nope++onshavebeenconsideredbytheStateDumayet;•  Differentregionaldynamics.

RPI:Na-onal&RegionalDynamics


NumberofVotesforPe++ons,2014-16

NumberofPe++ons,2013-16

RPI:Na-onal&RegionalDynamics


Numberofpe++onsperregion,asof3.09.2016

ResearchQues-on


Whatfactorscanexplainthedifferenceine-pe++oningandvo+ngamongtheregionsofRussia?

Ra-onale

1)  Tes+ngtheoriesof(online)civicengagementinanewcontext;2)  Possibilityofaquan+ta+vecompara+veresearch(83cases);3)  Analysisbothsocio-economicandins+tu+onalenvironment.

TheoriesandLiteratureReview:


①  Socio-economicstatus(income,educa+onetc.):u  Resourcemodel[Verbaet.al,1995]:+me,moneyandcivicskills;u  Post-materialistvalues[Ingleheartet.al,2005].u  Socialcapitalandtrust[Putnam].

⇒  persistenceofdigitalpar+cipa+ondivides:age,gender,income,educa+on,skills[Best,Krueger2005;Linder,Riehm2011;Escher,Riehm2016;Saglie,Vabo2009].

②  NewIns+tu+onalismandRa+onalChoice:u  Collec+veac+onproblem[Olson1971]:incen+vesvs.costs;u  Poli+calefficacy[Finkel1985];u  Ins+tu+ons[Hall,Taylor1996]andins+tu+onaldesign[Goodin]

=>Incen+ves,costs,efficacyandins+tu+onalenvironmentdeterminethelevelofonlineengagement[Phanget.al2014]

Implica-onsfortheRussianCase


①  Socio-economicstatus:u  Highlevelofsocio-economicdispropor+onamongRussianregions;u  UnequalInternetpenetra+on.

②  NewIns+tu+onalismandRa+onalChoice:u  Lowinterestinengagement;poli+calefficacyandins+tu+onaltrust.u  Na+onalauthoritarianregime–subna+onalvaria+ons;u  Dispropor+onsine-governmentdevelopmentintheregions;u  Ins+tu+onaldesignofRPI:USIAeffect(Votesneeded/AccountsintheUSIA)

Hypotheses:


RPIVo+ng

RPIPe++oning

Educa+on

InternetUse

Income

SocialWell-Being

MoreOpenGovernment

Be_ereGovPolicy

LowerUSIAEffect

MoreDemocra+cRegime

ResearchDesign


-  Numberofcases:83;-  Researchperiod:2013–2015(averagefigures);-  Methods:correla+onandregressionanalysis

DependentVariables[ITMO’sautomatedmonitoringsystem,h_p://analy+cs.prior.nw.ru):-  RPI_PET:numberofpe++onssubmi_edviaRPIinaregion;-  RPI_VOTE:numberofvotescastinaregion;

IndependentVariables:-  EDU:percentageofpeoplewithahighereduca+oninaregion[GKS]-  INCOME:middleincomeinaregion[GKS];-  UNEMP:unemploymentrateinaregion[GKS];-  URBAN,RURAL:shareofurban/ruralpopula+on[GKS];-  INTERNET:numberofInternetusersinaregion[GKS];-  REGIME:regionalpoli+calregime[HSE];-  eGOV:qualityofregionaleGovernmentpolicyperformance[E-ReadinessIndex,IRIO];-  OPEN:informa+onopennessoftheregionalgovernmentalweb-site[Infometer];-  USIA_REG,USIA_FED:effectsofUSIAregistra+on[AMS–authors’calcula+ons]

Results


Region RPI_PET RPI_VOTE RPI_PET 1 ,607**

RPI_VOTE ,607** 1 EDU ,692** ,426**

INCOME ,427** ,273* UNEMP -,383** -,419** URBAN ,563** ,504** RURAL -,563** -,504**

INTERNET ,391** ,347** REGIME ,408** ,322**

eGOV ,597** ,402** OPEN -,158 -,097

USIA_REG ,845** ,497** USIA_FED ,887** ,548**

DiscussionandNextSteps

E-Par+cipa+onPortalsAutomatedMonitoringSystemforPoli+calandSocialResearch

1)  Moreciviconline-engagementviaRPIisexpectedinmoreInternet-developed,

urbanizedandwealthyregions[Resourcemodel,digitaldivide].

2)  Arela+velydemocra+csubna+onalregimeposi+velycorrelateswithRPIusage[Ins+tu+ons].

3)  Regionswithbe_ereGovpoliciesaremoreac+veinRPIusage[poli+calefficacy,Internetskills,registra+onviaUSIA].

4)  However,therela+onshipbetweenRPIuseandothervariablesseemtobemoderatedbyUSIAeffect[ins+tu+onaldesign,costsvs.incen+ves].

5)  Therulesofauthen+ca+ondeepenthedigitaldivideandimposecostsoncollec+veac+on,sinceUSIAeffectislessimportantindevelopedregions[ins+tu+onaldesign].

Thankyou!

AndreiChugunov([email protected])YuryKabanov([email protected])

KseniaZenchenkova([email protected])

ConferenceName

Documents

Russian e-Pe++ons Portal: Exploring Regional Variance in Use · 9/6/2016 · RPI: Na-onal & Regional Dynamics Russian e-Pe++ons Portal: Exploring Regional Variance in Use Number