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RSA CANADA INVESTOR & ANALYST BRIEFING 12 JUNE 2013
2
This presentation may contain ‘forward-looking statements’ with respect to certain of the Group’s plans and its current goals
and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Generally,
words such as “may”, “could”, “will”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “anticipate”, “aim”, “outlook”, “believe”, “plan”, “seek”,
“continue” or similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees
of future performance. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to
future events and circumstances which are beyond the Group’s control, including amongst other things, UK and Canadian
domestic and global economic business conditions, market-related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange
rates, the policies and actions of regulatory authorities (including changes related to capital and solvency requirements), the
impact of competition, currency changes, inflation, deflation, the timing impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or
combinations within relevant industries, as well as the impact of tax and other legislation or regulations in the jurisdictions in
which the Group and its affiliates operate. As a result, the Group’s actual future financial condition, performance and results
may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations set forth in the Group’s forward-looking statements. Forward-
looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made. The Group
undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, save in respect of any requirement under applicable law
or regulation. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast.
3
RSA CANADA: A VALUABLE PART OF THE GROUP
19%
22%
15%
Group 2012 NWP: £8.4B
UK: 36%
Western
Europe: 8%
20%
40%
30%
10%
Group 2012 insurance result: £806M
Canada
Scandinavia
UK & Western Europe
Emerging Markets
Canada: £1.6B Canada: £159M
• Outlook: Continue to expect strong organic growth in mid-high single digits with CORs in the low 90s
• Canada NWP 19% of Group, up from 9% in 2004
• Strong organic growth supplemented by well executed bolt-on acquisitions
• Consistent profitability with CORs in the low 90s for the last 7 years
• Consistently strong return on capital
• Strong capital flows back to Group
• Well regarded and long standing management team
› Canada’s 3rd largest P&C insurer
› Best positioned distribution model
› Leading positions in chosen segments
› Proven track record of acquisitions and outperformance
› Positioned to take advantage of industry trends
INTRODUCTION
Market
Overview
RSA
Canada
Distribution &
Portfolio
Design
Acquisitions Outperformance
& Outlook Q&A
5
CANADA: ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT - STABLE AND GROWING
HEALTHY ECONOMY
GDP: $1.8
TRILLION
STABLE POLITICAL
ENVIRONMENT
GDP Growth
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F
Canada G7
Source: OECD and World Economic Outlook Database 2013
6
CANADA P&C LANDSCAPE: GEOGRAPHY AND BUSINESS MIX
VARYING MARKET DYNAMICS REQUIRE A TAILORED APPROACH
› Federal and provincial regulation
› Home and commercial rates unregulated
› Auto rate regulation varies by province
29%
P&C Market Share
by Region (2012)
49% 16%
6% Atlantic
Quebec
Ontario
West
Source: MSA Researcher 2013. Excludes Genworth, Lloyd’s and government insurers.
24%
40%
36%
P&C Market Share
by Line of Business (2012)
Personal Property
Personal Auto
Commercial $43B
7
CANADA P&C LANDSCAPE: DISTRIBUTION
CONSUMER PREFERENCES SUPPORT MULTI-CHANNEL MODEL
Canada
Personal Lines Market Share by Channel
› Broker the predominant channel in both commercial and personal lines
› Direct channel gained 3.3 pts of personal lines market share from 2008-2012
› Online capabilities evolving across all channels
40%
52%
60%
48%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%Source: MSA Researcher 2013 and Datamonitor UK (2011)
Direct & Other Broker
UK
8
CANADA P&C PERFORMANCE
ATTRACTIVE MARKET THAT IS TRENDING FAVOURABLY
$33B
$43B
99%
91%
93% 92%
93%
101% 101%
100% 99%
97%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
DWP ($B) COR (%)
Industry DWP and COR
› Stable consolidating industry
› 10yr average COR: 96.6%
› 10yr average ROE: 11.8%
Source: MSA Researcher 2013 Total Canadian P&C Industry. Excludes Genworth, Lloyd’s and government insurers.
Note: Results presented under Canadian IFRS. DWP = Direct Written Premiums, defined as gross written premiums less
assumed premiums.
2012 Top 10 Written Premiums ($B)
Intact $7.1
Aviva $3.6
RSA $3.0
TD Insurance $2.7
Cooperators $2.2
Wawanesa $2.2
Desjardins $2.0
State Farm $1.9
Economical $1.8
Dominion $1.3
Top 10 $27.8
Source: MSA Researcher 2013. Excludes Genworth, Lloyd’s, and government insurers. Note: Intact results include pro forma JEVCO for a full year. RSA results include pro forma L’Union Canadienne (UC) for a full year.
9
ONTARIO AUTO
›25% of the Canadian P&C marketplace
›Highly cyclical environment
›2010 reforms working well
›Government proposed 15% average rate reduction and additional reforms should be margin-neutral
›RSA has outperformed the Ontario auto industry by 5.4 pts over the past 5 years
RSA CANADA
11
RSA CANADA JOURNEY
TRANSFORMATION FROM GENERALIST
TO SEGMENTED SPECIALIST
1.5 1.4 1.4
1.5 1.6
1.8 1.9
2.1
2.5
3.0 102.9%
96.6% 94.8%
92.0% 92.4%
92.9% 93.5%
92.8%
91.6%
93.7%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
DWP ($B) COR
2007 – 2012
5yr CAGR: 13%
Note: Results presented under UK IFRS. RSA DWP in 2012 includes pro forma UC for a full year.
12
RSA CANADA: STRATEGIC ADVANTAGES
MULTI-CHANNEL DISTRIBUTION
ACQUISITION CAPABILITIES
TECHNICAL EXPERTISE
LOWEST COST DIRECT WRITER
LEVERAGE
GROUP CAPABILITIES
BROKER RELATIONSHIPS
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
-6
-1
4
9
14
92949698100102104106108
Ind
ustr
y A
ve
rage
Gro
wth
: 3
.8%
DW
P G
row
th (
%)
Top 10 Insurers
5yr Average Performance
Industry Average COR: 100%
Note: RSA results presented on a consolidated basis. Intact results sourced from 2012 and 2011
annual reports. All other results sourced from MSA Researcher 2013. All results presented under
Canadian IFRS.
COR (%)
COR 128% Growth 3.9%
Intact
Desjardins
Wawanesa
TD
Dominion
Aviva
Co-operators
Economical
State Farm
DISTRIBUTION AND
PORTFOLIO DESIGN
14
MULTI-CHANNEL DISTRIBUTION
UNIQUE MULTI-CHANNEL, MULTI-BRAND STRATEGY
TO OUTPERFORM
› 2012 NWP: $928M
› Combines online, call center, and branch distribution
› Top 3 affinity insurer in Canada
› 2012 NWP: $933M*
› Select broker partners
› Targeted customer and product segments
› 2012 NWP: $881M*
› Focused global and national broker distribution
› Expertise-led and specialty segments
› One of Canada’s largest broker networks
› Commercial lines focus
Personal Broker
Personal
Specialty Home Auto
Commercial Broker
Global Specialty Lines
Commercial
Affiliated Broker
Home Auto Plan
Benefits
Direct
* Note: RSA NWP in 2012 includes pro forma UC for a full year.
15
JOHNSON
AFFINITY-ORIENTATED DIRECT WRITER
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
› Top 3 affinity insurer in Canada
› Strong track record of acquisitions
› Highly scalable
› Industry-leading low cost platform
› Flexible and efficient operating model
combining personalized service, branch
network, call centers and online
› Distributor of a broad product range drives
growth, penetration and retention
50% 53% 54%
57% 57%
NWP by Region ($M)
685 740
805
883 928
2007 – 2012
5yr CAGR: 9%
25%
22%
25%
22%
21% 21%
21%
Low Cost Platform 5yr Average
Expense Ratio
Johnson 19.8%
Direct Peer Group* 26.1%
Total Personal Lines* 28.1%
*Source: MSA Researcher 2013
27%
23%
58%
22%
21% 21%
604
West Ontario Atlantic
16
Educator
Alumni
Prof. Assoc.
Health Care
Retirees
Public Sector
Other
JOHNSON: AFFINITY GROUPS
PLATFORM FOR FURTHER PENETRATION
AND CORPORATE PARTNERSHIPS
32
39
23 17
39
24
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
25%
18%
16%
12%
12%
8%
9%
$631M
› Efficient to target
› Higher retention
› Higher profitability
Affinity market:
› Est. $5B affinity market with 5yr CAGR of 6.5%
Johnson:
› Affinity premium 5yr CAGR of 11%
› 500+ groups with access to 4M+ members
› 15% penetration with Top 20 groups
› Plan benefits administration drives penetration
and retention with core group sectors
Affinity Group Sectors
358
397 420
437
476 500
Number of Affinity Groups Added
# of New Groups
17
JOHNSON: ACQUISITIONS
INDUSTRY LEADING CAPABILITY IN IDENTIFYING, CLOSING
AND INTEGRATING BROKER ACQUISITIONS
Accelerated Growth
›Completed 16 deals 2007 - 2012
Disciplined Process
›Highly selective
›Transition to direct model
Preferred Brokers
›Portfolio quality
›Targeted geographies
Comprehensive Integration
›Dedicated integration teams
›Expense and productivity synergies
AVG. ACQUISITIONS IRR
2007 – 2012 CUMULATIVE
ACQUIRED PREMIUMS
$204M
18%
AVG. POLICIES PER
CUSTOMER SERVICE REP
Pre Acquisition Post Acquisition
1,100 3,200
18
TOTAL BROKER BUSINESS
PORTFOLIO WEIGHTED TOWARDS CHOSEN SEGMENTS
› 4th largest intermediated player
› Emphasis on specialty portfolios that produce higher margin:
› Global Specialty Lines (GSL)
› Personal Specialty Insurance
› Deep broker relationships with a focus on tailored propositions by segment
RSA Growth With: 5yr CAGR
Global Brokers 28%
Preferred Partners 13%
Affiliated Network 12% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2007 – 2012 5yr
CAGR: 15%
Personal Commercial
900
1,047 1,078 1,175
1,475
1,814
NWP by Line of Business ($M)
56% 59% 60% 58% 49%
51%
44%
41% 40% 42%
51%
49%
Note: RSA NWP in 2012 includes pro forma UC for a full year.
19
AFFILIATED BROKER NETWORK: NORAXIS
RSA VALUE PROPOSITION TO PARTICIPATE
IN BROKER CONSOLIDATION
›One of Canada’s largest broker networks
›Strategy:
›Sustain long-term distribution
›Generate sustainable, predictable revenues
›Significant volume to RSA
›National footprint with regional focus
›Commercial lines specialization
›Employee ownership promotes entrepreneurship
5yr CAGR
10%
ANNUAL PREMIUM
VOLUME
>$500M
EBITA MARGIN
c.28%
20
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
BROKER BUSINESS: PERSONAL
PORTFOLIO BENEFITING FROM DIVERSIFICATION
› Segmented strategy that focuses on specific customers and products
› Growing focus on high net worth product
› Leverage global UW and pricing knowledge
› Consumer product offering goes beyond home and auto to include travel, credit card, warranty and pet
› Top 3 travel underwriter in Canada with affiliated distribution channel
2012 NWP by
Segment
933
726 677 645 621
508
69% 48%
2007 – 2012
5yr CAGR: 13%
NWP by Region ($M)
Atlantic Ontario West Quebec
Note: RSA NWP in 2012 includes pro forma UC for a full year.
27% 9% 19% 27% 13% 5%
Auto: 46% Property: 36% Specialty: 18%
Auto 50+ Auto High Value Homes Property Travel Other Specialty
21
BROKER BUSINESS: COMMERCIAL
UNIQUE PROPOSITION IN THE CANADIAN MARKETPLACE
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
› Top 5 commercial player with the most comprehensive product offering in the market
› Provides insurance to >50% of Top 100 TSX companies
› Leading edge technology in SME segment to drive pricing and risk selection advantage
› Strong positions in our chosen specialty portfolios
› Leading underwriter in marine, equipment breakdown, construction, renewable energy, retail and realty
› Leverage global capacity and expertise to enhance our proposition in the marketplace
38%
27%
18%
8%
3%
6%
Commercial NWP ($M)
$385M
2007 – 2012
5yr CAGR: 18%
392 426 433
498
749
881
28% 25% 27%
29%
49%
44%
72% 71% 51%
56%
73% 75%
GSL by Segment
GSL Commercial
Property
Liability
C&E
Marine
Renewables
Other
Note: RSA NWP in 2012 includes pro forma UC for a full year.
ACQUISITIONS
23
CANADIAN P&C LANDSCAPE: CONSOLIDATION
CONSOLIDATION ACCELERATING
› Industry leaders driving
consolidation
›100+ P&C groups in the market
›Wide variance in performance
›Regulatory roadmap for
demutualization in progress
2002 2007 2012
37%
19%
22%
22%
37%
44%
23%
22%
18%
21%
18%
17%
Source: MSA Researcher 2013. Excludes Genworth, Lloyd’s and public insurers.
Note: Market share based on DWP.
Market Share by Industry Rank
Top 11-20 Other Top 5 Top 6-10
56%
60%
65%
24
ACQUISITION TRACK RECORD SINCE 2007
INCREASED PRESENCE IN
TARGETED MARKETS
c.$1B IN ACQUIRED
PREMIUM VOLUME
CAPABILITIES IN COMMERCIAL
SPECIALTY
GEOGRAPHIC
DIVERSIFICATION
AVERAGE
IRR OF 15%
ACQUISITIONS
Broker
32 3 Company
›Focus on bolt-on acquisitions
›A proven market consolidator
25
ACQUISITION EXECUTION
M&A DESIGNED TO SUPPORT STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
›Targeted territories
›Low risk
›Leverages low cost platform
›Leadership positions
›Geographic diversification
›Specialty lines
›Optimize portfolio shape
›Commercial lines focus
›Supports RSA broker proposition
›Provides solution for broker succession
›Aligned to business strategy
›Expertise in due diligence, execution and integration
›Dedicated corporate development team
26
RSA CANADA: 2007 vs. 2012
UNDERWEIGHT IN ONTARIO,
TOP 3 IN B.C., TOP 5 IN QUEBEC AND COMMERCIAL
7%
Premium by Region Premium by Line of Business
12%
2007
2012 22%
18% 49%
44%
5%
14%
17%
12%
20% 20%
8% 15%
22% 25%
30% 23%
19% 17%
2007 2012
Personal Auto (ex Ontario)
Personal Auto (Ontario)
Personal Property
Global Specialty Lines
Commercial
2007 2012
Market
Share 4.4% 7.0%
Rank 7th 3rd
Note: RSA in 2012 includes pro forma UC for a full year.
27
CANADIAN NORTHERN SHIELD
DOUBLED BUSINESS AND INCREASED
PROFITABILITY POST-ACQUISITION
›Fastest growing region
›Top 3 player in British Columbia
›Better products and broker management
›Leveraged Group reinsurance programs to create margin
›Technical expertise to bring COR down
›Utilizing global capacity to win new business
› IRR: 17% 3PT COR IMPROVEMENT
CNS NWP ($M)
96 97
111
98
156 163
156
178 180
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2007 – 2012
5yr CAGR: 13%
Acquisition
28
GCAN
A COMPLEMENTARY ASSET THAT
ACCELERATED COMMERCIAL STRATEGY
›Exceptional historic operating performance
›9th to 5th commercial market share
›Deeper expertise in chosen segments
›Broadened segment offering:
›Risk Managed
›Energy
›Profin ›Excess Liability
›Doubled volume with global brokers
›IRR: 15%
2007-2011
5yr AVG. COR
82%
42%
39%
7%
4% 8%
GCAN Acquired Premium
$255M
Property
Liability
EBI
Auto
Other
29
L’UNION CANADIENNE
RARE OPPORTUNITY TO ACQUIRE SCALE
IN THE PROVINCE OF QUEBEC
›Second largest and most profitable P&C market
› Immediate presence as a Top 5 Quebec insurer
› Increased market share from 2 – 6%
›Completes national proposition
›Taking advantage of market disruption
›Diversifies personal lines portfolio
›Projected IRR: 15%
59%
6%
35%
Quebec DWP
Market Share
$7.1B
40%
29%
31%
$270M
UC Acquired Premium
Industry 5yr Average Loss Ratio
Quebec Total Canada Variance
Auto 60% 76% -16 pts
Overall 60% 68% -8 pts
Personal Auto
Personal Property
Commercial
Top 4
RSA
Other
OUTPERFORMANCE
31
OUTPERFORMANCE
CONTINUED STRONG UNDERWRITING PERFORMANCE
68 76 60
78
118
68
39 36
52
49
67
87
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2008 – 2012
RETURNED CAPITAL / DIVIDENDS OF $620M TO RSA GROUP
107 112 112
127
185
155
Note: RSA results presented on a consolidated basis. RSA DWP in 2012 includes pro
forma UC for a full year. Industry results sourced from MSA Researcher 2013, and
exclude Genworth, Lloyds and public insurers. All results presented under Canadian IFRS.
RSA Outperformance vs. Industry
Note: Results presented under UK IFRS.
RSA Canada UW Result ($M)
DWP Growth 5yr CAGR
RSA 13%
Industry 4%
9 pts
COR 5yr Average
RSA 96.6%
Industry 99.9%
3.3 pts
Personal Commercial
32
RESERVING APPROACH
›Canada adopts a prudent initial reserving approach
›Reserves significantly to the right side of best estimate
›Strong and consistent margin
›Canada has delivered positive prior year development for 8 consecutive
years
›Positive prior year reserve development despite specific strengthening of
prior year reserves in Ontario Auto
›Underpins confidence for continued positive prior year development in
Canada going forward
33
LEVERAGING THE RSA GLOBAL GROUP
›Capital Management
›Reinsurance
›Underwriting and Claims Expertise
›Centers of Excellence / Best Practice Sharing
›Risk Management
›Brand and Customer Strategy
›Talent Development and Performance Management
OUTLOOK
35
OUTLOOK
INDUSTRY RSA CANADA
Personal
- Low single digit growth
- Ontario auto
- Shift towards direct channel
- E-trading
- Evolving demographic trends
Johnson:
- Penetrate further in affinity
- Leverage platform to execute corporate partnerships
- Refine e-business capabilities
Personal Broker:
- Continue Advice Based Customer strategy
- Greater emphasis on high net worth product
- Grow travel, pet and lifestyle offerings
- Further advancement in Quebec
Commercial - Rates firming over time
- Selectively deploy capacity
- Expand Global Specialty Lines
- Enhance transactional sophistication in SME
- Advance strategic broker partnerships
Market
Consolidation
- Insurers accelerating
- Brokers continuing
- Targeted bolt-on acquisitions that advance our strategy
- Continued broker acquisitions in Johnson and Noraxis
CONTINUE TO EXPECT STRONG ORGANIC GROWTH IN
MID-HIGH SINGLE DIGITS, WITH CORs IN THE LOW 90’s
Q&A