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ROUTE 128 & INTERSTATE 495 SUBURBAN OFFICEMARKET REPORT
SECOND QUARTER 2019
STEADY LEASING VELOCITY & MOMENTUM ACROSS THE SUBURBSGreater Boston’s suburban office and lab market encompasses over 125 million square feet and
consists of eight major submarkets concentrated along Route 128 and Interstate 495. Immense
pressure across the Boston and Cambridge markets has caused tenants to consider suburban
locations for rent relief and future growth opportunities. With Cambridge having near zero
availability and lab space in the area being so expensive, many life science companies are also
looking towards the suburbs to find accommodating lab space. More established suburban
lab markets such as Lexington and Waltham are thriving while relative new comers such as
Watertown, Bedford, and Framingham are being revitalized by strong tenant demand.
Looking forward, strong regional macroeconomic indicators coupled with strengthening
regional demographics have the Greater Boston suburban real estate market positioned for
future growth, reflected by a very strong first half of 2019. With Boston’s notably compact size
and limited transit network, there is enormous potential for growth within the inner suburban
markets. Over the next 12 months, watch as both investors and tenants acknowledge the
growing spread between Downtown and suburban pricing/yields and how the market will
adjust accordingly.
3.0%MAY
MASSACHUSETTS UNEMPLOYMENT
3.6%MAY
NATIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
$12BMASSACHUSETTS ANNUAL (2018) VC FUNDING
#1NATIONALLY
R&D FUNDING PER CAPITA
MARKET TRENDS
CONTEMPORARY UPGRADES
Landlords must adapt and keep common areas and lobbies fresh
BIG BLOCKSTenants seeking larger blocks of space that
are unavailable in the city
LIFE SCIENCE DESTINATION
Tenants being pushed out of Cambridge
TENANTS FAVOR CREATIVE OFFICE
Creating the Downtown feel in a suburban setting
INVESTMENT SALES REBOUNDING2019 off to a hot start outside of the city
ASKING RATES RISE AGAIN
Inner suburban markets accelerate growth, outer markets steady
$18.00
$20.00
$22.00
$24.00
$26.00
$28.00
$30.00
$32.00
Average Asking Rate
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020096.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
Direct Vacancy (%)
$16.00
$17.00
$18.00
$19.00
$20.00
$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
$24.00
Average Asking Rate
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010200912.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
19.0%
20.0%
Direct Vacancy (%)
CLASS AASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
CLASS BASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
DIRECT VACANCY RATE BY SUBMARKET
0.0% 4.0% 8.0% 12.0% 16.0% 20.0% 24.0%
495 South
128 West
Inner Suburbs
Route 3 North
128 North
128 South
495 Northeast
Mass Pike
Route 2 West
SUBMARKET AVERAGE ASKING RATES
495 North$20.24/SF
Rte-3 North$21.95/SF
I-495/Mass Pike$21.64/SF
495 South$20.01/SF
Rte-2 West$20.15/SF
128 West$33.96/SF
128 North$28.57/SF
128 South$23.14/SF
CLASS A & B OFFICEROUTE 128
10.0% DIRECT VACANCY
#2.9% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
#15.9% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
#38,350 SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$29.27/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• Amazon is joining the northern migration of office tenants
along the MBTA Orange Line corridor with a lease of 50,000
square feet at One Cabot in Medford’s Wellington Circle. The
e-commerce giant will relocate employees from a WeWork
coworking space in Back Bay to the new location. The office
space is Amazon’s first local presence outside of Boston and
Cambridge.
• Candel Therapeutics, an immunotherapies biotech company,
recently signed a 16,000 square foot office and lab lease at 117
Kendrick Street in Needham. The property was repositioned
by Bulfinch Companies caters to life science and R&D tenants.
It sits near Route 128 and is part of the N2 Innovation Corridor
hosting other tenants like Shark Ninja, Partners Healthcare,
Steward and NBC Universal. Although lacking the critical mass
of more established lab and R&D markets such as Lexington and
Waltham, the N2 micro market is certainly one to watch with its
heavy infrastructure and accessibility.
• Following the sale of their longtime headquarters at 85 Walnut
Street in Watertown, Doble Engineering will relocate into
79,000 square feet in Marlborough. The power grid specialists’
new headquarters at 123 Felton Street features a combination
of office and flex R&D space. Doble also reportedly has the
opportunity to expand the property by up to 7,000 square feet.
• The investment sales market steadily moved along with a few
transactions closing and many more coming to market. Most
notably, Starwood Capital recapitalized the seven-building
Network Drive portfolio in Burlington from Nordblom for
nearly $330 per square foot. The campus is the highest quality
real estate in Burlington; however, it lacks the critical mass of
walkable amenities featured at The District, Wayside & Mall
Road assets.
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
CLASS A & B OFFICE/LABROUTE 128
ADDRESS TOWN SUBMARKET TENANT SF
University Station Westwood 128 South Citizens Financial Group 100,000
1525 Washington Braintree 128 South Hub Pen Co. 97,000
55 Network Dr Burlington 128 North Cadence Design Systems 44,000
200 Smith St Waltham 128 West Dicephera Pharmaceuticals 38,000
21 North Ave Burlington 128 North Viken Detections 30,000
325 Wood Rd Braintree 128 South New England Quality Care 26,000
230 CityPoint Waltham 128 West Wolters Kluwer 20,000
150 Royall St Canton 128 South OneDigital Health 15,000
1075 Main St Waltham 128 West TNP 9,200
250 First Ave Needham 128 West Gennari Aronson 8,000
$15.00
$19.00
$23.00
$27.00
$31.00
$35.00
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920083.0%
6.0%
9.0%
12.0%
15.0%
18.0%
21.0%
24.0%
27.0%
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
West South North
RECENT INVESTMENT
SALES
NETWORK DRIVE PORTFOLIO, BURLINGTON$302,720,000 ($328/RSF)Buyer: Starwood Capital
6 KIMBALL LANE, LYNNFIELD$17,750,000 ($169/RSF)
Buyer: Candee Investments
ALFRED STREET PORTFOLIO, WOBURN$14,960,000 ($133/RSF)
Buyer: MLL Capital
20 CABOT ROAD, MEDFORD$31,700,000 ($262/RSF)
Buyer: National Development
1
1 4 3
2
3
2
4
CLASS A & B OFFICE INTERSTATE 495
15.2% DIRECT VACANCY
#1.5% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
20.2% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
120,150 SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$21.10/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• A potential Raytheon and United Technologies merger could
have significant regional real estate implications. Headquartered
in Waltham, Raytheon has offices across suburban
Massachusetts. In fact, the defense giant recently signed a new
134,000 square foot lease at Innovation Drive in Tewksbury.
Raytheon plans to hire 600 for its new Tewksbury office which is
perhaps an indication that the merged companies’ headquarters
will remain in Massachusetts.
• Dana-Farber Cancer Institute will anchor a medical office
building conversion project planned by Marcus Partners in
Methuen. The institute will open a cancer and blood disorder
care and outpatient center for Merrimack Valley patients.
Following an extensive renovation to the property at Five
Branch Street, Dana-Farber will occupy approximately half of
the 95,00 square foot building.
• Pfizer’s campus in Andover is expanding with the completion of
a new 175,000 square foot facility for manufacturing complex
biologics and vaccines. The $200 million GMP facility at One
Burtt Road contains five independent manufacturing suites.
The completion of the GMP facility marks one of many similar
complexes to deliver in the past few years. Demand for the
highly specialized production facilities is very strong; however,
land constraints, huge construction costs, and the high level
of customization makes speculative development essentially
impossible.
• The investment sale market posted modest activity. One Radcliff
in Tewksbury was acquired in an off-market transaction for
$30.9 million or roughly $221 per square foot. The property
was divested by Curo Enterprises and acquired by KAWA
Capital Management, a Florida based investment management
company. The property is currently 100% long-term leased to
L3 Communications. Leading Life Science landlord, King Street
Properties, acquired 1-5 Mountain Road in Framingham for just
over $130 per square foot. The 153,00 square foot office building
is currently occupied by Sanofi and will require a short-term
leaseback while their new home in Cambridge Crossing is under
construction.
CLASS A & B OFFICEINTERSTATE 495
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
$15.00
$16.00
$17.00
$18.00
$19.00
$20.00
$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
Mass Pike South Northeast
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008 6.0%
9.5%
13.0%
16.5%
20.0%
23.5%
27.0%
30.5%
34.0%
Mass Pike
South
Northeast
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
Northeast South Mass Pike
ADDRESS TOWN SUBMARKET TENANT SF
Innovation Dr Tewksbury Route 3 North Raytheon 134,000
123 Felton St Marlborough 495 Mass Pike Doble Engineering 79,000
251 Locke Dr Marlborough 495 Mass Pike Candela 50,000
372-376 Merrimac St Newburyport 495 Northeast Mersen 65,000
24 Crosby Dr Bedford Route 3 North Occular Therapeutix 30,000
100 Wearguard Dr Hanover 495 South Universal Environmental 20,000
575 Virginia Rd Concord 495 Route 2 Rize Inc. 16,000
300 Baker Ave Concord 495 Route 2 Beta Bionics 13,000
RECENT INVESTMENT
SALES
1 RADCLIFF ROAD, TEWKSBURY$30,900,000 ($221/RSF)
Buyer: KAWA Capital
1-5 MOUNTAIN ROAD, FRAMINGHAM$20,470,000 ($134/RSF)
Buyer: King Street Properties
209 W CENTRAL STREET, NATICK$6,800,000 ($104/RSF)
Buyer: Legacy Real Estate Ventures
5 BRANCH STREET, METHUEN$10,000,000 ($104/RSF)Buyer: Marcus Partners
1
1
3
2 4
3
2
4
OFFICE REPORT STATS
Office Total Inventory (SF)
Direct Vacancy
Sublease Availability
Total Availability
Quarterly Absorption (SF)
12 Month Absorption (SF)
Average Asking Rate
TOTAL A&B
Inner Suburbs 5,089,000 9.6% 0.4% 15.6% (26,500) 36,000 $42.47
ROUTE 128 60,080,350 10.0% 2.9% 15.9% 578,300 38,350 $29.27
128 West 24,712,800 7.9% 3.1% 14.3% 235,950 264,200 $33.96
128 North 18,523,380 10.5% 1.9% 15.2% 168,450 126,200 $28.57
128 South 16,844,180 12.5% 3.8% 18.8% 173,950 (352,050) $23.14
INTERSTATE 495 42,319,300 15.2% 1.5% 20.2% 5,700 120,150 $21.10
495 Mass Pike West 19,003,500 16.7% 2.0% 21.8% 10,850 6,300 $21.64
495 Route 2 West 6,609,750 21.0% 1.1% 24.9% (38,250) (68,650) $20.15
495 Northeast 5,721,550 16.2% 0.8% 20.9% 113,400 3,950 $20.24
Route 3 North 6,772,500 9.6% 1.7% 17.1% (91,800) (72,300) $21.95
495 South 4,212,050 6.7% 0.1% 10.0% 11,450 250,800 $20.01
TOTAL 107,488,650 12.0% 2.2% 17.6% 557,550 194,450 $26.68
CLASS A
Inner Suburbs 2,751,750 4.5% 0.5% 14.5% (19,050) 26,150 $45.13
ROUTE 128 37,090,350 9.1% 4.0% 16.8% 519,150 2,750 $32.77
128 West 15,180,950 5.9% 4.3% 14.7% 216,050 229,350 $38.37
128 North 12,202,300 10.2% 2.2% 15.7% 131,450 20,500 $31.64
128 South 9,707,100 12.5% 5.5% 21.4% 171,700 (247,100) $25.41
INTERSTATE 495 22,513,350 14.8% 2.1% 20.8% (81,750) (46,400) $22.43
495 Mass Pike West 11,399,050 16.9% 2.5% 22.9% (4,950) (84,700) $22.82
495 Route 2 West 2,649,250 13.1% 2.4% 17.7% 4,850 (11,400) $21.38
495 Northeast 3,173,500 21.5% 1.4% 23.2% 20,600 (44,150) $21.08
Route 3 North 3,699,850 6.9% 2.5% 17.2% (69,300) (14,300) $24.06
495 South 1,591,650 8.0% 0.0% 13.6% (32,900) 108,200 $20.33
TOTAL 62,355,400 10.9% 3.1% 18.1% 418,400 (17,500) $29.58
CLASS B
Inner Suburbs 2,282,050 13.9% 0.2% 15.2% (7,450) 9,850 $39.43
ROUTE 128 22,720,950 10.8% 1.3% 13.7% 46,900 87,300 $25.49
128 West 9,407,600 10.5% 1.1% 13.5% 7,600 86,600 $29.58
128 North 6,176,300 9.0% 1.3% 12.3% 37,000 105,700 $24.07
128 South 7,137,050 12.6% 1.5% 15.3% 2,250 (104,950) $21.33
INTERSTATE 495 19,738,600 15.6% 0.7% 19.7% 77,750 166,500 $19.78
495 Mass Pike West 7,591,050 16.3% 1.2% 20.1% 15,800 91,000 $20.07
495 Route 2 West 3,960,500 26.3% 0.3% 29.7% (43,050) (57,200) $19.70
495 Northeast 2,548,000 9.6% 0.1% 17.9% 92,850 48,100 $18.79
Route 3 North 3,018,600 13.1% 0.8% 17.2% (32,200) (58,000) $19.85
495 South 2,620,400 5.9% 0.2% 7.8% 44,400 142,650 $19.93
TOTAL 44,741,600 13.0% 1.0% 16.4% 117,150 263,700 $23.68
Lincoln Property Company | 53 State Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA | 617.951.4100 | LPCBoston.com
Lincoln Property Company’s Boston Office Report is produced by the Boston Office’s research team in collaboration with our Suburban Brokerage Group. If you have any questions regarding market conditions and the information found in this report, please contact Ethan Robert.
ETHAN ROBERTDirector of Research 617.951.4160 [email protected]
CONNOR MALONEYAnalyst 617.951.4141 [email protected]