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Roberta CameraValerie Cogan
Beirut 12 | 06 | 03
Requirements and Constraints Analysis
D01.1
2
R & C Analysis: Objectives
Objectives
– Key Issues
– Key Stakeholders
– Data Requirements
– Data Availability
– Constraints
Okam’s Razor
3
W P 01R equ irem ents a nd C onstra in ts A na lysisF EEM Ita ly
W P 02S ocio-Econom ic F ra m ew ork & G u idelinesEIA Por tuga l
W P 03A na lytica l Tools a nd M odelsS O G R EA H F ra nce
W P 04D a ta C omp ila tion a nd A na lysisS U M ER Tu rkey
W P 05 R egiona l C a se Study: T U R K EYS U M ER Tu rkey
W P 06 R egiona l C a se Study: C ED A R E Egypt
EG Y P T
W P 07 R egiona l C a se Study: N C R S L eba non
L EBA N O N
W P 08 R egiona l C a se Study: U O J Jorda n
JO R D A N
W P 09 R egiona l C a se Study: C N T D Tun isia
T U N IS IA
W P 10C om pa ra tive Policy A na lysisF EEM Ita ly
W P 11D issem ina tion a nd Exp loita tionES S A ustr ia
W P 00P roject C oordina tion a nd A dm in istra tionES S A ustr ia
M ET H O D O L O G Y
CA SE ST U DIES
FEEM contributions
Next Step
4
Case Study Profile
Main elements:
•Overview of the Area
•Water Supply & Demand
•Key Issues
•Key Stakeholders
•Case Study Objective
POPULATION
2.000.000 Abu Kir BayEXTENT
1338.223km2133,822.3ha
HYDROGRAPHIC
BOUNDARIES
AND
RIVER BASIN
OBJECTS
THE OVERALL AIM OF SMART PROJECT IS TO DEVELOP, IMPLEMENT AND
TEST A NEW, PARTICIPATORY BUT SCIENTIFICALLY SOUND AND RATIONAL
APPROACH TO PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT OF THE COASTAL ZONE THAT
CAN HELP TO RECONCILE CONFLICTING DEMANDS ON SCARCE NATURAL
RESOURCE
LOCATION
N: 30°00’30°30’
E:31°00’31°30’
CURRENT WATER SUPPLY CURRENT WATER DEMANDSURFACE
xGROUND TREATED RAINFALL
X
AGRICULTURE
X
INDUSTRY
xENV
xDOMESTIC
X
TOURISM
xKEY ISSUES
Salt water intrusion; Rising water table and increasing soil salinityMarine and water pollutionDemographic Development: High Rates of population growth/ Increased rates of unemploymentLand Use Change: Uncontrolled urbanizationTechnological Change : Building of a new harbour and natural gas liquefaction plantInstitutional Evolution : Shortage of institutional capabilities of monitoring and land use changes. Thelegislation doesn’t establish water price for irrigation as yet. Traditional water rights for irrigation are ensuredby law. In general there is low legislation on water quality. The main characteristics of water regulations are setby Law 4/1994 for Marine pollution in general and from land based sources which requires treatment beforedisposal and sets limits on possible discharge in the marine environment. Concerning water allocation, freshwater regulations are enforced through the Law 48/1982. Distribution is the responsibility of Ministry of PublicWorks.
STAKEHOLDERSSURFACE WATER GROUNDWATER WASTEWATER AG RETURNS
K
EY
ST
AK
EH
OL
DE
RS
Pla
n (
bas
in-l
evel
)
Allo
cate
Wat
er
Con
stru
ct F
acili
ties
Dis
trib
ute
Wat
er
Mai
nta
in F
acili
ties
Mon
itor
Qu
ality
Ens
ure
Qu
ality
Pro
tect
Aga
inst
Flo
odin
gP
rote
ct E
colo
gy
Pla
n (
bas
in-l
evel
)
Allo
cate
Wat
er
Con
stru
ct F
acili
ties
With
draw
/Dis
trib
ute
Wat
erM
aint
ain
Fac
ilitie
s
Mon
itor
Qu
ality
Ens
ure
Qu
ality
Pla
n (
bas
in-l
evel
)
Con
stru
ct F
acili
ties
Ope
rate
Fac
ilitie
s
Mai
nta
in F
acili
ties
Mon
itor
Qu
ality
Enf
orce
Qua
lity
Con
stru
ct F
acili
ties
Mai
nta
in F
acili
ties
Mon
itor
Qu
ality
Enf
orce
Qua
lity
Fishermen Farmers Tourism services Ministry ofEnvironment
Investors LocalGovernment
Industries Ministry of Publicworks
NGOs Bank of theProvinces (IB)
CASE STUDY OBJECTIVE
To develop an ICZM approach that favours the development of tourist activities in the case study area, thatplans for the conservation of the biodiversity in the bay and that foresees and avoids potential conflictsbetween different demands on the available water supply. This involves three main tasks:
1. Satellite image change analysis, ground based surveys and building and analysing a GIS system2. Presenting an integrated plan for integrated coastal zone management of the region3. Carrying out a strategic environmental assessment of the plans
5
Key issues
What are the Water Issues in our Case Studies?
Supply (61mm) Demand (49.6mm) : No water left for allocation whereas Domestic demand increases at a rate of 0.15 mm/year (%2) and industrial demand increases at a rate of 0.3 mm/year (%10). %60 percent of surface water
and %30 percent of groundwater are in IV class according to Turkish water
quality classification
Quantity
Quality
6
Integrated Management
System Boundary
Discovering the levers
7
Key issues of change 1
Demographic Development Basin population is growing at a rate of 1.5%. There is considerable internal migration and rapid urbanisation. Total basin population increased from 1.100.000 in 1970 to 1.700.000 in 1997.
Land Use Change Urban areas are increasing at a rate of %2, Industrial areas are growing at a rate of %10 (Related to increasing water demand). Urban population is increasing at a rate of %2; rural population is decreasing at a rate of %0.7.
Technological Change New irrigation technologies are encouraged to improve irrigation efficiency (reduction in water looses, change of irrigation methods, etc.). That may reduce irrigation demand or may cause an increase in irrigated areas, using the same amount of water.
8
Institutional Evolution
Shortage of institutional capabilities of monitoring and land use changes. The legislation doesn’t establish water price for irrigation as yet. Traditional water rights for irrigation are ensured by law. In general there is low legislation on water quality. The main characteristics of water regulations are set by Law 4/1994 for Marine pollution in general and from land based sources which requires treatment before disposal and sets limits on possible discharge in the marine environment. Concerning water allocation, fresh water regulations are enforced through the Law 48/1982. Distribution is the responsibility of Ministry of Public Works.
Key issues of change 2
9
Assessing Institutional FrameworkWEIGHTSCRITERIA
HIGH MEDIUM LOW
PolicyWater Price Represents (76% -
100%) cost recoveryRepresents (51% -75%) cost recovery
Represents (50% orless) cost recovery
Water Quality Combined approachusing Emission LimitValueandWater QualityObjective
Emission Limit ValueOrWater QualityObjective
No approach defined
Water AllocationConsumptive uses:domestic, industrial, touristand agriculturalNon- consumptive uses:hydropower generation,fishery, recreation andnature conservation
2:1 Ratio 4:1 Ratio 1:0 Ratio
PlanningNumber of plans Fragmentation low Fragmentation medium Fragmentation highHydrographicBoundaries
High % of plans Medium % of plans Low % of plans
Decentralisation Devolution Delegation DeconcentrationParticipation High representation of
different stakeholdersin RBMP
Medium representationof differentstakeholders in RBMP
Low representation ofdifferent stakeholdersin RBMP
10
Identified stakeholders
Institutional Stakeholders Private sector stakeholders NGOsCase Studies National Regional Local Industry Tourism Farmers Various
TURKEY Gediz 2 3 2 2 1EGYPT Abu Kir 2 1 3 1 1 1 1LEBANON Abou Ali 4 1 3 1JORDAN Aqaba 4 3 1 1 1TUNISIA Tabarka 11 3 1 1TUNISIA Hammamet 11 3 1 1TUNISIA Gabes 11 3 1 1
Which are the “Key” Stakeholders?
11
Case Study Objective
The overall objective of the SMART project is to develop, implement and test a new, participatory but scientifically sound and rational approach to planning and management of the coastal zone that can help to reconcile conflicting demands on scarce water.
In essence:
the project is concerned with testing a strategy for solving water demand conflicts
12
WaterwareData requirements and availability
Data Availability in Case StudiesWaterware DataRequirements Turkey
GedizRiverBasin
EgyptAbu Kir
Bay
LebanonAbou Ali
Basin
JordanGulf ofAqaba
TunisiaTabarka
TunisiaGulf of
Hammamet
TunisiaGulf ofGabes
Application domain
Hydrometeorology
GIS data
River Basin Objects NA
Water Resourcesnetworks
13
TELEMACData requirements and availability
Data Availability in Case StudiesTELEMACDataRequirements
TurkeyGedizRiverBasin
EgyptAbu Kir
Bay
LebanonAbou Ali
Basin
JordanGulf ofAqaba
TunisiaTabarka
TunisiaGulf of
Hammamet
TunisiaGulf ofGabes
Bathymetrical data NA
Initial conditions NA*
Water quality data NA*
Calibration of thehydrodynamicmodel
NA*
Calibration of thewater qualitymodel
NA*
14
Socio- economic frameworkData requirements and availability
Data Availability in Case StudiesSocio-EconomicframeworkDataRequirements
TurkeyGedizRiverBasin
EgyptAbu Kir
Bay
LebanonAbou Ali
Basin
JordanGulf ofAqaba
TunisiaTabarka
TunisiaGulf of
Hammamet
TunisiaGulf ofGabes
Table 1 OfficialData in the CaseStudies
Table 2 DataNeeds forDemographicAnalysis
Table 3DemographicPolitical Matrix
Table 4 Guidelinesfor the PolicyFrame Matrix
NA
Table 5 EconomicData Needs
Table 6 Waterdemand DataNeeds
Table 7 DataNeeds forEconomicAnalysis
15
Constraints?
16
Making our R&C Analysis better?
General confirmation/criticism
Key Issues described with numbers
Key Stakeholders and participation
Institutional framework
Glossary
17
OPEN QUESTIONS
Key issues? Are the categories identified relevant for each of the case studies?
Strategy for participation process, when, how, who?
Only institutional stakeholders for the participation process?
Are the data for socio-economic analysis available in each case study area?
Are costs of data and source of information really relevant?
Confirmation of data compilation methodology.
Confirmation of interrelation between methodologies.
Is the list of River Basin Objects identified in the Report relevant?
18
GLOSSARY
How do you would like to organise the glossary?
What does it mean demographic development?
What does it mean technological change?
Who are stakeholders for SMART Project?
19
COMMON QUESTIONS TO ALL CASE STUDIES
Do you confirm your CSP?
Which key issues are more relevant in your case study area?
Are other important issues in your area that we have not considered yet?
Could you specify the most relevant key water issues in a quantitative way, using the example provided by Turkey?
(except for Turkey and Lebanon) Could you specify the most relevant key issues of change in a quantitative way, using the example provided by Turkey?
It is possible to express your case objective in quantitative way taking into account the Turkish example?
Do you have a map of case study area that shows the Hydrographic boundaries and the river basin objects?
20
Do you confirm the list of river basin objects?
Do you confirm the list of specific issues to be modelled by the TELEMAC System? Which of those issues are more relevant in your case study area?
Do you confirm the list of identified stakeholders to be involved in the participatory process?
21
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Thank you for your attention!