Risk Management Framework- presentation

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    MUHAMMAD ATIF

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    Objectives of presentation includes to

    develop your understanding about:

    What is Reserve Management

    Objectives and transparency

    Risk Governance

    Risk in Reserve Management

    Risk Management practices of RBA

    Risk Management practices of BCRP(Peru)

    Recommendations

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    Reserve Management

    Definition

    Reserve management is a process that ensures thatadequate official public sector foreign assets are readily

    available and controlled by the authorities for meeting a

    defined range of objectives for a country.

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    Cont..

    Objectives Foreign exchange reserves are available for

    meeting a defined range of objectives.

    Market, exchange rate and credit risks are

    controlled in a prudent manner.

    Reasonable earnings are generated over the

    medium to long term on the funds invested. Assist the Govt. in meeting foreign exchange

    needs and external debt obligations.

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    Cont..Scope

    Management of liabilities

    Short foreign exchange positions

    The use of derivative financial instruments.

    Transparency and Accountability

    Clarity of roles, responsibilities, and objectives of financialagencies responsible for reserve management

    Open process for reserve management market operations

    Public availability of information on foreign exchange reserves Accountability and assurances of integrity by agencies

    responsible for reserve management

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    Governance

    Describes the overall management approach through whichsenior executives direct and control the entire organization,

    using a combination of management information and

    hierarchical management control structures.

    Internal Governance Structure Guidelines

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    Risk

    Probability or threat of a damage,injury,loss or negative

    occurance

    caused by external or internal vulnerabilities

    Risk framework

    A Model of risks in the organization. Risk frameworks typically

    enumerate the various classes of risk and the degree of Risk that

    Management expected.

    Risk Management Frameworko Identifies and assesses the risks of reserve management operations

    o Allows the risks within acceptable parameters

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    Risk in ReserveManagement

    EXTE

    RNAL MARKET-

    BASED

    RI

    SKS:Liquidity risk.

    Credit risk

    Exchange rate risk

    OPERATIONAL RISKS

    Control system failure risks

    Financial error risk

    Loss of potential income

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    Reserve Bank of Australia

    United States Europe Japan

    Currency allocation (%) 45 45 10

    Asset allocation (%) 45 45 10

    Duration (Months) 30 30 30

    United States Europe Japan

    Asset Class % of Total Asset Class % of Total Asset Class % of Total

    Deposits 22 Deposits 30 Deposits 22

    Treasury bills 21 Treasury bills 15 Treasury bills 33

    Treasury

    otes 57

    onds 55

    onds 45

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    Weaknesses in system

    No llowanc of ric volatility and corr lation in ric ov nts tween

    sec rities and etween ortfolios.

    Ineffective ack arrangement intheeventof contingency and fail retoreventexcessive risk taking.

    Thesemeas res does notmeas rethe risk thatthe iss er of sec rity candefaultatthematurity

    RBA focus on VaR andDaR that is morenarrow focus onmeasuringthemarket risk of ortfolioex osures.

    Fundmanagers areallowedtodeviate fromtargetthat is a arrier tomea

    su

    re

    and

    in

    co

    ro

    rate

    the

    se

    risks in

    lim

    it

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    Strengths in the system

    There is a latitude for managers to invest and deviate frombenchmark.

    Use of benchmark and separation of duties of back, middle andfront offices

    The reserve management hierarchy is responsible for defining theobjectives and responsibility of implementing the mandate

    All the policies are clearly understood by staff and control system,

    and the investment mandate is documented

    Any needed change requires management approval before thechange is made

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    CENTRALRESERVE BANKOF

    PERU(BCRP)

    Currencies Jun-30-

    2010

    Term to maturity Jun-30-

    2010

    Long term rating Jun-30-

    2010

    US$ 82.2

    Other currencies

    Gold

    82.2

    15.7

    2.1

    0-3 Months

    3-12 Months

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    Strengths The BCRPs reserve management involves a risk

    neutral and replicable portfolio even when the marketis very volatile.Its portfolio is based on the marketindicies

    The purpose is to maximize the return on investmentand latitude also given to the fund managers.Actual and

    banchmark portfolio is monitored on the daily basis atmarket prices

    The BCRP has managed its liquidity risk by diversifying indifferent investments.Deposits are held with first class

    banks that are assigned A-1 and A+ credit rating.

    The BCRP manage their interest rate risk by matching theterm structure of assets and liabilities.Most of theirinvestments are in AAA securities.

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    Weaknesses in system

    Most of BCRPs assets andexternal debts are dollardenominated that poses the

    great exchange risk ifUSD losesits value.

    Their investment in long term

    income funds that has higherinterest rate but it could affectthe value of asset

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    Recommendations for effective risk management in

    reserves

    Decision making authority for reservemanagement clearly defined, Authority shoulddevelop the objectives of reservemanagement.

    A strategic long term portfolio that is besttrade off between different risk

    A latitude for the fund managers to deviatefrom benchmark as provided by RBA and

    BCRPIf SBP dont want to do so then it can transferthe authority to the treasurer to assign extralimit to fund managers if they can provide the

    solid reason to invest.

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    Cont..

    If fund managers are allowed to deviate their performance and

    accountability can be measured through comparison of actualand benchmark portfolio and it should be reviewed regularly.

    The risk management should apply the same principles toexternal and internally managed funds and careful selection ofreputable external managers that is a task of middle office.

    Establish a separate unit or assign a position within the middleoffice to monitor the activities of external managers.

    Risk exposures should be monitored regularly to determine thatit could not be extended beyond acceptable limit with eitherdeviation.

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    Cont.. Fund managers should be aware of potential

    losses and other consequence of risk exposuresso they could be prepared to accept the results.

    The eligibility criteria for the selection of

    trading counterparties should be clearlydefined.

    There should be a framework for determiningthe maximum credit exposure permitted with

    each party. Active risk management is good approach to

    mitigate the risk than passive risk managementpractices.

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