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S TURBRIDGE T IMES MAGAZINE APRIL, 2015 THE THE CHRONICLE OF S TURBRIDGE AREA LIVING

Review of Peter Thiel's Zero to One

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Peter Thiel has seen the future and it works, maybe. One of the PayPal founders has much to say about what makes a successful startup.

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Page 1: Review of Peter Thiel's Zero to One

STURBRIDGETIMESMAGAZINE

APRIL, 2015THE

THE CHRONICLE OF STURBRIDGE AREA LIVING

Page 2: Review of Peter Thiel's Zero to One

7THE CHRONICLE OF STURBRIDGE COUNTRY LIVING THE STURBRIDGE TIMES MAGAZINE

In this country, competition is enshrined as almosta sacrament. It is loved so much that when it

does not work, there is the obsession to create the“level playing field.” There is no one to say a goodword for the opposite condition, monopoly.

Well, the heretic Peter Thiel has come along tosing its praises. Monopoly has a bad name, con-nected with robber barons and purchasers of in-fluence. That is not what Thiel is talking about.

Rather, the author is about creating. That is, thegoing from Zero to One, or making somethingwhere before there was nothing. Zero to one; NotesOn Startups, Or How To Build The Future is justthat, a book about building the future that Thielwrote from notes taken by his student, Blake Mas-ters.

Peter Thiel should have been the last man towrite the book. His existence had been that of awinner in American competitive life until it wasn’t.

Thiel had been top of his class in just about anyschool he attended.

When you are a star at a major Americanuniversity such as Stanford the next move is atop law school, again Stanford. He was short-listed for a possible clerkship by not just one, buttwo supreme court justices. That’s a positionthat marks a future at the top of the Americanlegal system.

Thiel got lucky in his quest. He didn’t getthe job.

Instead, he would coalesce with some friends,many from Stanford. The team would buildPayPal and it would make them all wealthy.

As the author would reflect, had he clerked,“I would probably have spent my entire careertaking deposition or drafting other people’sbusiness deals instead of creating anything new.

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BOOKREVIEW REVIEWED BY RICHARD MORCHOE

Zero to One: Notes on Startups, or How to Build the FutureBy Peter Thiel with Blake MastersCrown Business, 2014Hardcover, 195 pages ISBN-10: 0804139296ISBN-13: 978-0804139298List: $27.00 Amazon: $16.20

The future to which Peter Thiel would direct us

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Page 3: Review of Peter Thiel's Zero to One

8 THE CHRONICLE OF STURBRIDGE COUNTRY LIVINGTHE STURBRIDGE TIMES MAGAZINE

It’s hard to say how much would be different,but the opportunity costs were enormous. AllRhodes Scholars had a great future in theirpast.”

His point is well taken. We don't want asupreme court of judicial dullards, but shouldnot our best and brightest be innovating the fu-ture instead of regulating the present?

Just how important is this? China and Indiahave burgeoning economies with large and ris-ing middle classes. They aspire to a lifestylesimilar to ours. There is, however, a problem.Billions of people means that if it is done onlyusing the tools we have today, the result will bean environmental catastrophe. Innovation isimperative.

Is that happening? The author makes itclear, “The smartphones that distract us fromour surroundings also distract us from the factthat our surroundings are strangely old: onlycomputers and communications have im-proved dramatically since mid-century.”

This is in contrast to the expectations of the1950s where people looked forward to, “a four-day workweek, energy too cheap to meter, andvacations on the moon.”

There is much going on, but how much isimportant? True, there are some high profilemonopolies out there that are not exploitingthe masses. Facebook is one. Is that somethingthat has advanced civilization? Google hassaved untold hours in research as anyone who

had to go to the library in the stone age abouta decade or so ago remembers. How impor-tant is that?

Though he makes the case that our tech agemay not live up to the hype, he also notes, itbetter start, “Today our challenge is to both

The future according to Peter ThielCONTINUED FROM PREVIOUS PAGE

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“The smartphones that distract us from our surroundings also distract us from the fact that our surroundings are strangely old: only computers and communications have improved dramatically since mid-century.”PETER THIEL, AUTHOR

Page 4: Review of Peter Thiel's Zero to One

9THE CHRONICLE OF STURBRIDGE COUNTRY LIVING THE STURBRIDGE TIMES MAGAZINE

imagine and create the new technologiesthat can make the 21st century more peace-ful and prosperous than the 20th.” Yes, andwe need hurry, the current century is alreadyeven less peaceful that the bloody 20th.

Despite the doom and gloom, he does getto writing about building a startup. His bookis informative on how to go about it and theculture inherent in such enterprises. Be fore-warned, if you are not a genius already, youridea may not automatically get venture cap-ital funding despite your fidelity to the ideasexpressed in Zero to One.

So what does the the budding monopolistneed to succeed. The first great advantageThiel suggests is Proprietary Technology.Who can argue that? For example, Google'scomputer code for search is sort of likeCoke's recipe. Unless you can better it, asthey say in Gotham, fuggedaboutit.

Network Effects. Facebook and LinkedInhave it. If your peers are on the network,

you are probably too. A startup should also be able to achieve

Economies of Scale. You really can't do toomuch in a service business, but for a Twittergetting to 250 million users in no time, scaleis baked into the design.

According to Thiel, “creating a strongbrand is a powerful way to create a monop-oly.” As a Branding success, he cites Apple.He really doesn't say how to get there, butgives Yahoo as an example of what isn'tworking.

The final section in the chapter on build-ing a startup discusses the advantage ofbeing the last mover. One might think beingthe first mover is most important. Remem-ber though, Yahoo was the first mover insearch and the big player for a while.Google came along and displaced them andhas never been elsewhere but at the top.This is Thiel's point, “to make the last greatdevelopment in a specific market and enjoyyears of monopoly profits.”

So that's all you need to become a techstar. Assemble your team and get to work.Obviously, there is more to it. Still, Thiel'sbook is a good overview of the process.

Zero to One is not really a how to tome,though there might be a young genius whocould read the book, quit MIT and come upwith the next big thing.  Thiel's book is awide ranging discussion of the startup cul-ture, the economy and the political and so-cial environment.  It is a great and importantread, even though the author is a bit suspectas he didn't drop out of school as did themore successful examples, Steve Jobs, BillGates and Larry Ellison.

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