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Copyright© Agile Transformation Inc | www.AgileTraining.com 8/26/2014 Re-Thinking Portfolio and Capacity Planning Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc. About Me – Sally Elatta President Agile Transformation Inc. Author/Publisher of www.AgileVideos.com Leading Agile Transformation Coach, Trainer and Speaker Agile Portfolio Transformation Book (In the works!) Certified by PMI, ScrumAlliance, IBM, Microsoft, ICAgile Trained thousands and helped coach dozens of teams on Agile Agile Expert for PMI.org LEAD CoP 2 2 1 I am simply a transformer. Someone who is really passionate about transforming individuals, teams and organizations to doing what they do better. I believe in Servant Leadership as the way to lead change and create a culture of empowered collaborative high performing teams.

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  • Copyright Agile Transformation Inc | www.AgileTraining.com

    8/26/2014

    Re-Thinking Portfolio and Capacity Planning

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    About Me Sally Elatta President Agile Transformation Inc. Author/Publisher of www.AgileVideos.com Leading Agile Transformation Coach, Trainer and Speaker Agile Portfolio Transformation Book (In the works!) Certified by PMI, ScrumAlliance, IBM, Microsoft, ICAgile Trained thousands and helped coach dozens of teams on Agile Agile Expert for PMI.org LEAD CoP

    2 2 1

    I am simply a transformer. Someone who is really

    passionate about transforming individuals, teams and

    organizations to doing what they do better. I believe in

    Servant Leadership as the way to lead change and create a

    culture of empowered collaborative high performing teams.

  • Copyright Agile Transformation Inc | www.AgileTraining.com

    8/26/2014

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Lets Talk About

    3

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Thinking Workshop

    4

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    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Top Challenges/Drivers for Change

    5

    Silos, handoffs, heavy processes,

    lack of trust/ communication

    Planning and estimating methods setup the project for

    failure

    Gov contracts attempt to fix

    everything upfront and mandate heavy

    processes

    Slow time to completion, too long

    to deliver

    Inherited a tangled mess of non-

    integrated legacy applications

    Quality and rework issues

    Missing, incomplete, changing,

    ambiguous requirements

    No value/ ROI measurement, only

    focus on cost measurement

    Lack of clear direction, no

    engaged customer, wasteful meetings

    Heavy engineering and testing

    processes, no automation

    Lack of empowerment, low engagement and

    morale

    Specialized roles, not my task thinking

    Testing occurs at the end (too late)

    resulting in many defects

    Overproduction, working on wasteful

    features

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    A High Performance Culture

    6

    Who are we and how do we behave? What is important now? Why?

    Can we stay focused till Done? How do we deliver value and measure success?

    Clarity

    Focus Execution

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    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    7

    RE-THINKING PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

    What are the 6 levels of Agile planning? How is Agile Portfolio Management Differ from Traditional Approaches? What does the Agile/Lean Portfolio Lifecycle look like?

    8

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    From Silos to Collaboration

    9

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Workshop The Multitasking Game!

    10

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    The Multitasking Name Game

    11

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    What Problem are We Trying to Solve?

    12

    Starting too many things No single point of entry No gate/qualification False illusion of progress by getting things started Constant resource shifting causing lack of focus No understanding of capacity Backlogs are not ranked Lack of clarity, focus, execution discipline

    Multitasking People on Several Projects at the Same Time

    This is the # Killer of

    Organizational Productivity

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    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Asking the Wrong Questions

    Were asking the wrong questions: Which resources are available instead of Which team is ready to pull this project into their backlog

    How can I have an enterprise view of my resources instead of How can I have an enterprise view of my execution teams

    What is our enterprise capacity in terms of resource hours instead of What is our enterprise velocity per Quarter?

    Pushing projects beyond capacity actually causes an organization to slow down!

    13

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Strategic Planning

    Strategic Planning by Executive Leaders

    Portfolio Planning

    Portfolio Planning by Customer Unit

    Product/Program Planning Product Planning by Product Managers

    Release Planning

    Release Planning by Product Owner/Team

    Iteration Planning

    Iteration Planning by Team/PO

    6 Levels of Agile Planning

    6 Daily Planning

    Daily Task Planning by Team

    14

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    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Agile Portfolio Lifecycle

    15

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    The Agile Lifecycle

    16

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    The Basic Team Structure

    Business Vision What? Why?

    Team Facilitator

    Technical Vision

    How

    17

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    Backlog

    Measurement

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    Program Team (Scrum of Scrums)

    18

    Program Leadership Team PULL

    fro

    m t

    he

    Bac

    klo

    g

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    Portfolio Team

    19

    Portfolio Management Team

    PU

    LL f

    rom

    th

    e B

    ackl

    og

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Enterprise Stable Teams View

    20

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    What the CEO Thinks

    21

    http://agileforgovernment.com/real-transformation-videos/

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Enterprise Command Center Aligning Delivery with Strategy

    The Vision: BCBSNE will have an engaged and collaborative workforce unified

    in their pursuit of common goals and efficiently delivering on key initiatives.

    Stable Teams

    3 Year Roadmap Strategic Objectives & Projects

    Key Performance Indicators

    22

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    Sample Point and Cost Burn Up Chart

    What is Done? How much did it cost me?

    23

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Sample Enterprise Capacity Table

    24

    Enterprise capacity is estimated by how many

    points your stable teams can deliver per quarter.

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    Top Metrics for Success

    25

    Predictable Velocity

    Variance between target vs. actual velocity/throughput

    Time to Market, Early Delivery

    How much faster are we delivering work? Lead and Cycle time reduction

    Value/ROI

    Number of releases and number of features per release.

    Quality

    Escaped defects

    Confidence and Satisfaction

    Team happiness and confidence

    Customer satisfaction and confidence

    Collaboration

    Are we more collaborative within IT and between IT and Business partners?

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    TeamHealth = Enterprise Health

    26

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    Decision Time!!

    27

    How do we structure our teams so they can deliver value against our strategic initiatives?

    How do we solve the Project work vs. Support work problem so teams can have focus?

    Do we specialize teams to focus on a specific area of work (BI, Web, by Customer, Membership, Claims..etc) or do we build generalizing teams that can pull any project? Maybe both?

    How do we handle shared resources who are SMEs?

    Should we continue the current project for this team or stop it? Which item will this team pull next?

    How many enterprise teams do we have and what is our capacity?

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Key Points - Summary

    Executives and Leaders Need Education on Agile/Lean Portfolio Management

    Create Ranked Backlogs based on Value/Risk/Dependency

    Break Projects Down to Shorter Deliverables

    Teams Pull Next Deliverable Based on Capacity

    Stop or Reduce Project Multi-Tasking.

    Think: CLARITY | FOCUS | EXECUTION | CULTURAL TRANSFORMATION

    28

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    Download this presentation from: www.agileforgovernment.com/download

    Watch Free Videos: http://www.AgileVideos.com

    Contact Us: [email protected] [email protected]

    Download This Presentation

    29

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Leaders in Agile Transformations! Transformation Strategy Planning | Executive & Team Coaching |

    Training | Agile Assessments

    30

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    TRANSFORMATION ROADMAP

    Concrete steps for Piloting, Scaling, Enterprise Concrete learning roadmap

    31

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Transformation Phases

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    32

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    Transformation Roadmap

    Copyright Agile Transformation Inc

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    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Learning Roadmap

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    Additional Considerations

    Planning for Agile Program teams

    Teams working on the same larger initiative will need additional coordination through a program leadership team.

    Agile/Lean Portfolio Management

    If the organization desires for teams to pull from an enterprise/portfolio ranked backlog, then an Agile portfolio leadership team needs to be stood up and trained.

    Distributed Teams

    Where the team members are located may impact the design of the team and their speed towards Agile maturity.

    Strong ScrumMasters

    Standing up several teams at the same time following an aggressive schedule requires strong ScrumMasters supporting the coaches.

    Management Support

    Lack of understanding or support by middle management will potentially kill the transformation

    Copyright Agile Transformation Inc

    35

    WHY AGILE? DOES IT WORK?

    36

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    DATA OVERLOAD WARNING!

    This next part will likely result in..

    37

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    Comparing Success Factors by Method (Scale is from -10 to +10).

    38

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    Bottom Line from Survey Data

    Data from 15183 respondents worldwide suggests

    consensus on 67% more productivity, 65% more

    Quality and 49% better on cost compared with

    traditional methods.

    39

    Source : The Business Value of Agile Software Methods by Dr. F Rico, Dr. H Sayani, Dr. S Sone Page 89

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Bottom Line from Case Studies

    79 studies with quantitative data proves average

    ROI of 1872% ($20 return for $1 invested) for

    Agile - ROI is due to

    high productivity and high quality

    40

    Source : The Business Value of Agile Software Methods by Dr. F Rico, Dr. H Sayani, Dr. S Sone

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    ROI of Agile Methods vs. Traditional

    41

    Source : The Business Value of Agile Software Methods by Dr. F Rico, Dr. H Sayani, Dr. S Sone Picture Souce: www.People10.com

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Standish Group. (2012). Chaos manifesto. Boston, MA: Author.

    42

    Agile Traditional

    Success

    42%

    Failed

    9%

    Challenged

    49%

    Success

    14%

    Failed

    29%

    Challenged

    57%

    Agile vs. Traditional Success

    42

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    Dozens of surveys of agile methods since 2003 100s of Agile and CMMI case studies documented Agile productivity, quality, and cost better than CMMI

    43

    Rico, D. F. (2008). What is the return-on-investment of agile methods? Retrieved February 3, 2009, from http://davidfrico.com/rico08a.pdf

    Rico, D. F. (2008). What is the ROI of agile vs. traditional methods? TickIT International, 10(4), 9-18.

    Agile vs. CMMI

    43

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    Analysis of 23 agile vs. 7,500 traditional projects Agile projects are 54% better than traditional ones Agile has lower costs (61%) and fewer defects (93%)

    Mah, Michael. QSM (2008). Measuring agile in the enterprise: Proceedings of the Agile 2008 Conference, Toronto, Canada.

    Project Cost in Millions $

    0 . 75

    1 . 50

    2 . 25

    3 . 00

    2 . 8

    1 . 1

    Before Agile

    After Agile

    61% Lower Cost

    Total Staffing

    18

    11

    Before Agile

    After Agile

    39% Less Staff

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Delivery Time in Months

    5

    10

    15

    20

    18

    13 . 5

    Before Agile

    After Agile

    24% Faster

    Cumulative Defects

    625

    1250

    1875

    2500

    2270

    381

    Before Agile

    After Agile

    93% Less

    Defects

    44

    E

    E

    F

    F

    Cost, Time, Staffing, Quality (QSM)

    44

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    Hoque, F., et al. (2007). Business technology convergence. The role of business technology

    convergence in innovation and adaptability and its effect on financial performance. Stamford, CT:

    BTM Institute. 45

    Study of 15 agile vs. non-agile Fortune 500 firms Based on models to measure organizational agility Agile firms out perform non agile firms by up to 36%

    Agility = Above Industry Performance

    45

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    Benefits Realized from Agile Adoption

    46

    Ver

    sio

    nO

    ne

    Stat

    e o

    f A

    gile

    Su

    rvey

    20

    11

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    Agile Adoption Future Predictions

    PMI has put their full weight behind Agile which will lead to faster global acceptance and adoption of Agile.

    47

    Gartner predicts that 80% of all software projects will move to Agile in the next couple of years.

    AGILE IN THE GOVERNMENT (CASE STUDIES)

    48

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    80% of worldwide IT projects use agile methods Includes regulated industries, i.e., DoD, FDA, etc. Agile now used for safety critical systems, FBI, etc.

    49

    Industry

    Shrink Wrapped

    Electronic Commerce

    Health Care

    Law Enforcement

    Org

    20 teams 140 people 5 countries

    Size

    15 teams 90 people Collocated

    4 teams 20 people Collocated

    10 teams 50 people Collocated

    3 teams 12 people Collocated

    U.S. DoD

    Primavera

    Google

    Stratcom

    FBI

    FDA

    Project

    Primavera

    Adwords

    SKIweb

    Sentinel

    m 2000

    Purpose

    Project Management

    Advertising

    Knowledge Management

    Case File Workflow

    Blood Analysis

    1,838 User Stories 6,250 Function Points 500,000 Lines of Code

    Metrics

    26,809 User Stories 91,146 Function Points 7,291,666 Lines of Code

    1,659 User Stories 5,640 Function Points 451,235 Lines of Code

    3,947 User Stories 13,419 Function Points 1,073,529 Lines of Code

    390 User Stories 1,324 Function Points 105,958 Lines of Code

    Rico, D. F. (2010). Lean and agile project management: For large programs and projects. Proceedings of the First International Conference on Lean

    Enterprise Software and Systems, Helsinki, Finland, 37-43.

    Industries Adopting Agile

    Rico, D. F., Sayani, H. H., & Sone, S. (2009). The business value of agile software methods: Maximizing ROI with just-in-time processes and

    documentation. Ft. Lauderdale, FL: J. Ross Publishing.

    49

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    The FBIs Sentinel Project Succeeds with Agile

    Project: Sentinel came under its $451 Million revamped budget Source: http://bit.ly/PKayyX

    50

    After almost a decade of mismanagement and waste at the FBI (costing $597 Million), its CIO

    turned the agency's maligned case management

    implementation into an agile project. Two years

    later (and $99 Million), the system is live. This

    relative success, as well as the example of other

    federal agencies, shows that agile can work in

    Washington. - By Jason Bloomberg

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    Agile in the Government

    51

    The US Army Software Radio was also a large multi-billion dollar Waterfall project saved by Agile methods in the 11th hour. A small Agile team finished all the hardware and software at a fraction of the total budget delivering a complex system on time.

    Agile methods are now being used to complete the avionics software systems for both the F35 and F22.

    The Ministry of Defense, US Veteran Affairs, the UK Government Digital Service, in India, Australia and New Zealand have all demonstrated that Agile can work for Governments.

    Copyright(c) Agile Transformation Inc.

    Agile Government Really??

    Department of Defense CIO Teri Takais new mission statement: "To deliver agile and secure information capabilities to enhance combat

    power and decision-making."

    DOD looks to reduce overall spending by $500 billion over 10 years.

    The GAO report profiles agile initiatives from the Department of Defense, NASA, the US Patent and Trademark Office, the VA and the IRS.

    Source: http://bit.ly/PMPTIa - Jason Bloomberg www.cio.com

    52

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    Agile Government - Really??

    Agile and iterative development is now backed by the top leaders in the Government: Vivek Kundra: the former federal CIO called for adoption of cloud services and other "light technologies" and advocated modular IT projects where "usable functionality" gets delivered every six months.

    Steven VanRoekel: the new federal CIO calls on agencies to embrace modular development and run our projects in lean startup mode

    Source: http://bit.ly/PMPTIa

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    Beware The Spiral of Death!

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