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Result presentation
January –
September
2009
Annika FalkengrenPresident and CEO
1
2
Two years of financial turbulence
Strong support from low interest rate environment and governmental actions
iBoxx
Banks 5y Cash Index ASW Spread**
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
TED spread*
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
* The difference between the interest rates on inter bank loans and short-term Swedish government debt**ASW= Asset swap spread, representing the incremental risk of bonds issued by banks over the inter bank credit risk
2
3
SEB adapted and acted proactively
Safety measures–
Added SEK >150bn of long-term funds–
Tier 1 capital ratio 13.5% (8.1)–
Stable reserve ratio >70%
Customer support–
Close dialogue with customers–
Lending peak in Q1 2009; gradually reduced in line with the economy
–
Strengthened market position in Private Banking, Life, Corporate Banking, Trading...
–
#1 Swedish syndications–
Consistent market making
12-month achievements
3
4
Rock solid balance sheet
Financial Times
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Q1-08
Q2-08
Q3-08
Q4-08
Q1-09
Q2-09
Q3-09Q2 09 Q3 09
11.8
Core Tier I capital ratio
11.3
SEB’s matched funding horizonMonths
4
5
Operating profit (SEK bn)
Continued high customer activity levels support underlying earnings generation
-6-5-4-3-2-101234567
Q107 Q2 Q3 Q4
Q108 Q2 Q3 Q4
Q109 Q2 Q3
Bond repurchase gain
Profit before gains, goodwill impairment andcredit losses
Strong underlying business–
SEK 3.7bn before provisions for credit losses
–
SEK 620m cost of further strengthening the balance sheet
–
Seasonality and normalising markets
Reduced cost level–
-4% on a comparable basis YoY–
Reduction of 1,219 FTEs since Dec
Highlights Q3 2009
5
6
Stabilising provisions
-6-5-4-3-2-101234567
Q107 Q2 Q3 Q4
Q108 Q2 Q3 Q4
Q109 Q2 Q3
Bond repurchase gainProfit before gains and credit lossesGoodwill impairmentProvisions
4.2
4.6
3.7
4.6
2.4
3.5
2.5
4.0
1.8
0.6
0.4
Operating profit (SEK bn)
Strong underlying business–
SEK 3.7bn before provisions for credit losses
–
SEK 620m cost of further strengthening the balance sheet
–
Seasonality and normalising markets
Reduced cost level–
-4% on a comparable basis YoY–
Reduction of 1,219 FTEs since Dec
Stabilisation of problem loans
–
Provisions: SEK 3.3bn
–
Reduced NPL formation rate
–
Stable reserve ratio
Highlights Q3 2009
6
7
Avg Q2005
Avg Q2006
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09
NII Non-NII
Operating incomeSEK bn
Continued high operating income Best Q3 ever
* Adjusted for capital gains
10.2 10.79.5 10.0 10.4
9.2
12.711.4 11.9
9.78.88.6
9.6
7
+16%YTD
8
4,519
5,370
4,343 4,039
Q2-09 Q3-09
Net interest income
Extended funding duration SEK -400m
Normalised
spread levels in bond investment portfolio SEK -350m
Lower short-term rates SEK -300m
Limited volume contribution
Key Drivers in Q3
* volumes and margins on lending and deposits
Net interest incomeSEB Group, SEK m
Customer driven*
-16%
-7%
8
Q3-16%
9
Net interest income normalising
Gradually increased contribution from lending repricing
but weak demand for new lending: SEK +800m
Deposit margins significantly lower and limited impact from new volumes: SEK -1,000m
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Q107
Q207
Q307
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Lending Deposits
Net interest income, SEK mKey Drivers vs. Q3 2008
9
YTD+20%
10
Net interest income normalising
Gradually increased contribution from lending repricing
but weak demand for new lending: SEK +800m
Deposit margins significantly lower and limited impact from new volumes: SEK -1,000m
Back to “normal”
Net interest income, SEK mKey Drivers vs. Q3 2008
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Q107
Q207
Q307
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Lending Deposits Other
10
YTD+20%
11
Net commission income
Gross fee and commission Q1 07–Q3 09
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
New issues &advisory
Secondarymarket &derivatives
Custody &mutual funds
Payment,cards,
structuredlending,
deposits,guarantees
Turnover Card(SEK bn)
* Rank based on completed deals. All Nordic involvement. Source:
Thomson Financial
50
55
60
65
70
Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12009
Q2 Q3
Best Corporate Finance house in Nordic region
#1
Best Corporate Finance house in Nordic region*
11
SEK m
YTD-8%
12
2,150 1,650 2,600 3,600 4,100 4,850 4,300
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009YTD
NFI Other income lines
Net financial income TCM, excluding CPM Portfolio, SEK m
0
4
8
12
16
20
Q1 2007 Q3 2007 Q1 2008 Q3 2008 Q1 2009 Q3 2009406080
100120140160
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
EUR/SEK 365-day volatility (%) Equities volumes (index 2005)
3,950 3,7505,100
6,2006,950 6,650
7,600
12
YTD+185%
13
Net life income
Net life insurance incomeSEK m
Q1 07 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 08 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 09 Q2 Q3
Income excl. guarantees Nya Liv Potential guarantees Nya Liv
27% 36%
% equity allocation
Net assets Unit LinkNet assets Unit LinkChanging mix Growing volumesAuM
Unit Link, SEK bn
145134116115121125 126
Q1 08 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 09 Q2 Q3
743 642 782 766 713 642 504516 862 946 857
13
YTD+43%
14
Cost mgmt programme
Net salariesetc.
Redundan- cies
Pensions FXtranslation
Goodwillimpairment
Decreasing operating expenses on comparable basis
17,702 19,385
Change Jan-Sep
2009 vs. Jan-Sep
2008
18,442
YTD Q3 2008
SEK m
YTD Q3 2009
22,271
“Business related” “Market related”
- 4%
-581-121 -38
5961,087
2,886
Accumulated since start of programme
SEK 1,610m
FTE development since year end
Group: -1,219Net
500: -490
14
Decreasing underlying cost base
15
Retail Loans to the Public
+SEK 25bn (+8%)
SEB in SwedenNew Micro companies
4,000
New SME customers
4,500Private Banking
YTD Net sales: SEK
10.6bnNew clients:
321
Corporate Finance
#1 ProsperaLife sales volume
SEK 27bn
Corporate bond
issuance#1
Telephone bank customer
interactions
500,000 Q3
Swedish ECM
#1
15
16
Build-up of provisions
Realizing losses
Past due > 30 days +2%*
Past dues > 60 days: +5%*
Flow of new problem loans slowing
Initially collective reserves
Identified specific provisions
Realizing losses against provisions
Matching the cycles
XY
X=Y
* In local currencies, Q3 vs
Q2, 2009
2008 2009 2010 2011 ?
16
Baltic provisions –
stabilising
NPL
High risk loans
Non-performing loans
Write-offs
Past dues
17
Leasing Real estate Holding Companies Residential mortgages
●
Total lending SEK 19bn●
Multiple distribution channels
●
Sales > inflow
●
Total lending SEK 27bn●
Established valuation methodology
●
Real estate expertise
●
Total lending SEK 50bn●
Constructive dialogue with customers
Leasing
260 staff
are dealing
with work-outs
in the Group full-time
17
Proactive Baltic work-out process
18
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09 Q3-09
Individually assessed Portfolio assessed
Development of Baltic non-performing
loansQuarterly growth rate
Outstanding volumes SEK m
0%
50%
100%
150%
Q3-09Q2-09Q1-09Q4-08Q3-08Q2-08Q1-08
Individually assessed Portfolio assessed
18
19
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09 Q3-09
Specific Collective Write-offs
Increased visibility –
more specific provisions
Provisioning to build-up Baltic reservesSEK m
65% collective provisions
73% specific provisions
19
180
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09 Q3-09
Individually assessedPortfolio assessed
Development of Baltic non-performing loans
Quarterly growth rate
Outstanding volumes
SEK m
0%50%
100%150% Q3-09
Q2-09Q1-09
Q4-08Q3-08
Q2-08Q1-08
Individually assessedPortfolio assessed
18
20
Non-performing loans
Development of non-performing loans
Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3
Portfolio assessed Individually assessedSEK m
Estonia Latvia Lithuania Ukraine
1,097 1,0911,303 1,432
2,032 1,990
1,859 2,767
1,222 1,285
4,8946,472
0 525503 232
10.8%of lending
12.7%of lending5.8%
of lending30.8%
of lending
20
21
Development of non-performing loans
Non-performing loans
Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3
Portfolio assessed Individually assessedSEK m
Nordic Germany Baltics Ukraine & Russia
1,881 1,904
2,509 2,304
161 144
5,539 5,0584,351 4,367
8,056 10,671
0 525586 336
9.9%of lending
1.4%of lending0.4%
of lending19.3%
of lending
21
22
Well
prepared
for new regulations
Tier 1 13.5%
15 months matched funding
Liquidity reserves
>10% assets
Leverage ratio 5.3%
(FDIC)
Reserve ratio 72%
SEB has a strong balance sheet
22
23
Q1 2009
Normalisation
after the financial crisisSigns of stabilisation
in the Baltic countries
SEB has strengthened its financial positionPrompt addressing of problem credits
Continued pro-active customer support
23
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