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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
1
Restarting Anticoagulant Treatment After Intracranial Haemorrhage in
Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and the Impact on Recurrent Stroke,
Mortality and Bleeding: A Nationwide Cohort Study
Running title: Nielsen et al.; Anticoagulant treatment after intracranial haemorrhage
Peter Brønnum Nielsen, MSc, PhD1,2; Torben Bjerregaard Larsen, MD, PhD1,2;
Flemming Skjøth, MSc, PhD1,2; Anders Gorst-Rasmussen, MSc, PhD1,2;
Lars Hvilsted Rasmussen, MD, PhD1,2; Gregory Y.H. Lip, MD2,3
1Dept of Cardiology, Atrial Fibrillation Study Group, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg,
Denmark; 2Aalborg Thrombosis Research Unit, Dept of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health,
Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark; 3University of Birmingham Centre for Cardiovascular
Sciences, City Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom
Address for Correspondence:
Gregory Y.H. Lip, MD
City Hospital Birmingham
Dudley Road, B18 7QH
United Kingdom
Tel: +44 121 507 5080
Fax: +44 121 507 5097
E-mail: [email protected]
Journal Subject Code: Stroke treatment - medical:[70] Anticoagulants
Lars Hvilsted Rasmussen, MD, PhD1,2; Gregory Y.H. Lip, MD2,333
1DeDeDeptptpt oooff f CaCC rdddioioiolllogy, Atrial Fibrillation Study yy GrGrGroup, Aalborg UUUniveeersrsrsity Hospital, Aalborg,
DDDenmark; 2AaA llbl oorg ThhThrombmbmboosisss RRResseaarch h UUUnit, DDDeptptt ooof CCCliiiniccalall Medddiccineee, FFFacuuultlttyyy ofoff HHHealltlthhh,
AaAaAalblblborororggg UnUnUnivererersiiitytyy, , , AaAaAalborrrg,g,g DDDenenenmaaarkrkrk;;; 3UnUnUniviviverrersiiitytyty ooof ff BiBiBirmrmrminini ghghghamamam CCCentnn reee fffororor CCCararardioovo aasa cuuulaaar r
Sciences, City Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
2
Abstract
Background—Intracranial haemorrhage is the most feared complication of oral anticoagulant
treatment. The optimal treatment option for atrial fibrillation patients surviving an intracranial
haemorrhage remains unknown. We hypothesised that restarting oral anticoagulant treatment
was associated with a lower risk of stroke and mortality compared to not restarting.
Methods and Results—Linkage of three Danish nationwide registries in the period between
1997 and 2013 identified atrial fibrillation patients on oral anticoagulant treatment with incident
intracranial haemorrhage. Patients were stratified by treatment regimens (no treatment, oral
anticoagulant treatment or antiplatelet therapy) post the intracranial haemorrhage. Event rates
were assessed 6 weeks after hospital discharge and compared with Cox proportional hazard
models. In 1,752 patients (one year of follow-up) the rate of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism
and all-cause mortality (per 100 person-years) for oral anticoagulant treatment treated patients
were 13.6, compared to 27.3 for non-treated patients and 25.7 for patients receiving antiplatelet
therapy. For recurrent intracranial haemorrhage: 8.0 for oral anticoagulant treated, compared to
8.6 for non-treated, and 5.3 for antiplatelet therapy. The adjusted hazard ratio of ischemic
stroke/systemic embolism and all-cause mortality was 0.55 (95%CI 0.39-0.78) in patients on oral
anticoagulant treatment compared to no treatment. For ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and
for all-cause mortality HRs were 0.59 (95%CI 0.33-1.03) and 0.55 (95%CI 0.37-0.82),
respectively.
Conclusions—Oral anticoagulant treatment was associated with a significant reduction in
ischemic stroke/all-cause mortality rates, supporting oral anticoagulant treatment reintroduction
post-intracranial haemorrhage as feasible. Future trials are encouraged to guide clinical practice
in these patients.
Key words: stroke, anticoagulant, hemorrhage, cerebral infarct
and all-cause mortality (per 100 person-years) for oral anticoagulant treatment treeeatatatededed pppatatatieieientntntsss
were 13.6, compared to 27.3 for non-treated patients and 25.7 for patients receivinggg antttiiiplllatttellel ttt
herapy. For recurrent intracranial haemorrhage: 8.0 for oral anticoagulant treated, compared to
8.6 66 fofoforrr non-n-n-trtrreateteedd,d and 5.3 for antiplatelet therappyy.y The adjusted hahh zarddrd rrratio of ischemic
tttroooke/systemic cc ememe boboolllismsmsm aaandndnd aaallllll-c-c-cauaua ssse mororrtaaality wwwas 0.0.0.555555 (((95959 %C%C%CIII 00.0 3339--0.7778)8)8) iiin nn papapatienenentsss ooonn n orororatt
ananntiiicocc agulant t t treeattmennnt commmpaaared to oo nnno treaaatmmmentt. FFFor r r isisischchemememic stttroke///syystemememic embmbmboliismmm annndd
for alalalll-l-cacacauususe momoortrtalalalititityy HRHRHRs weeererere 000.59 (9(9(95%5%5%CICICI 00.33333-1.11 030303))) anannddd 0.555555 (((95955%C%C%CI I 0.373737-0-00.82)),
espectively
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
3
Introduction
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are increasingly treated with oral anticoagulation (OAC),
which has been shown to reduce the risk of stroke/systemic embolism and all-cause mortality,
compared to control 1. Until recently, OAC usually meant Vitamin K Antagonists (VKA, e.g.
warfarin), and the most feared complication was major bleeding, particularly intracranial
haemorrhage (ICH). More recently, the Non-VKA Oral Anticoagulants (NOACs) have been
introduced into clinical practice and are associated with relatively lower – but not zero – risk of
ICH, when compared to warfarin 2,3. The acute development of ICH confers a poor prognosis
with a high rate of mortality and disability, whether or not a NOAC is used.
Patients with AF who survive an ICH are at an increased risk of subsequent ischaemic
stroke 4,5. Thus, a major unanswered question is the efficacy and safety of restarting OAC
treatment, relative to not restarting OAC, following a presentation with ICH 6–9. Patients with
prevalent ICH were excluded from randomized clinical trials of OAC for stroke prevention, and
only small case control or cohort studies are available 10–13. Currently, the optimal treatment
option is unknown and requires balancing the competing risk of ischemic stroke and recurrent
ICH in AF patients.
Using Danish nationwide registries cohort, we investigated the hypothesis that, amongst
AF patients presenting with an ICH, restarting OAC was associated with a lower risk of recurrent
stroke and/or mortality, but with a small increase in major bleeding (particularly ICH) compared
to not restarting.
Methods
We used the civil registration number assigned to all Danish residents to link three nationwide
Patients with AF who survive an ICH are at an increased risk of subsequenenent t t isisischchchaeaeaemimimicc c
troke 4,5. Thus, a major unanswered question is the efficacy and safety of restarting OAC
reatmtmtmenenent,t,t, rrrelelelativvvee to not restarting OAC, followwwinininggg a presentation with h h ICICICH 6–9. Patients with
ppprevvvalent ICH wwwerre eeexcxcxclululudededed d d frfrfromomm rrrannndoomimiizezezed cllinnnicalalal tttriririalala sss offf OOOACACAC fffooorrr strorookekeke ppprerereveveventntntiooon,n,n, aaandndnd
onnnlylyly ssmall cccasasase cococontroool or coohohoorort stttuduu ieieesss areee aavavailabbble 10–10–10–13. . CuCuCurrrrenenentlly,yy ttthee optptp imimimal tttrerereatmemeent
opopoptititiononon iiisss unnunknknknowoownnn anananddd rererequqquiririreseses bbbalalalaaancncncinininggg thththeee cococompmpmpetetetinininggg riririsksksk ooofff isisischchchemememicicic ssstttrororokekeke aaandndnd rrrecececurrurrererentntnt
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
4
databases 14–16 as follows: (i) discharge diagnoses classified by the International Classification of
Diseases (ICD), admission and discharge dates were obtained from the Danish National Patient
Registry; (ii) dispensed prescriptions identified by the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC)
classification code, date of purchase, package size and volume of the medication since 1994 were
obtained from the Danish National Prescription Registry; and (iii) information on age, sex, date
of birth, emigration and vital status were attained from the Danish Civil Registration System.
Retrospective studies do not require ethical approval in Denmark.
Study population
All Danish citizens with an incident nonvalvular AF diagnosis between January 1997 and
December 2013 were identified. Patients with a subsequent incident ICH (ICD10: I60-I62;
S063C; S064-S066) requiring admission to a hospital were included. Exclusion criteria were
valvular AF defined as presence of mitral stenosis or mechanical heart valve (ICD10: I05 and
Z952-Z954). Patients with ICH or complications from ICH (ICD10: I690-692) prior to their AF
diagnosis were also excluded. We further required patients to be in OAC treatment defined as a
claimed VKA or NOAC prescription within 6 months prior to the ICH event. This was done to
support the assumption that included patients were indeed in OAC treatment at the time of the
incident ICH event. Patients were followed in the National Patient Registry after a ‘quarantine
period’ defined as 6 weeks after hospital discharge. This period was chosen to ensure that events
could reasonably be attributed to treatment regimens rather than inadequate correction of the
initial coagulation deficit, i.e. reversal of the incident ICH (and adjacent) event 9,17–20 . Further,
the use of a relatively long quarantine period can reduce confounding by indication, as those
patients initially deemed at a very high risk of recurrent ICH would probably not be advised to
resume anticoagulation within this period (e.g. patients with lobar haemorrhage 21).
December 2013 were identified. Patients with a subsequent incident ICH (ICD10:0:: III606060-I-I-I626262;;;
S063C; S064-S066) requiring admission to a hospital were included. Exclusion criteria were
valvvulululararar AAAFFF dedd fiiinenened as presence of mitral stenosisisisss ooor mechanical heart vvvalaa ve (ICD10: I05 and
ZZZ95525 -Z954). Paaattitieentststs wwwititithhh ICICICH H H ororr cccomomompplicatatatiooons fffroomom IIICHCHCH (((ICICICDD1D 0:00: II69696900-69992)2)2) ppriririororor to oo thththeieieirrr AFAFAF
diiiagagagnnon sis wewewerrre aaalso exxxcludededd. WeWW fufufurttheheher r reeeququuiredd pppattieieiennnts tooo bbbe e innn OOOAAC treeeatatatmmmenttt dddefinneeed asss aa
clclclaiaiaimememeddd VKVKVKAAA ororor NNNOAOAOACCC prprpresesescrcrcripipiptititiononon wititithihihinnn 666 momomontntnthshshs pppriririororor tttooo thththeee ICICICHHH eveevenenenttt. TTThihihisss waawasss dododonenene tttooo
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Exposure to antithrombotic treatment
We identified all prescriptions of antiplatelet therapy (aspirin/thienopyridines) and OAC
treatment (VKA/NOAC) to classify patients by treatment regimens as: ‘No antithrombotic
treatment’, ‘Antiplatelet therapy’ or ‘OAC treatment’. The following ATC codes were utilised to
account for OAC treatment: B01AA (coumarin derivatives), B01AE07 (dabigatran etexilate);
B01AF01-02 (rivaroxaban and apixaban). For antiplatelet therapy the following ATC codes were
utilised: B01AC06 (aspirin) and B01AC04, B01AC22 and B01AC24 (Thienopyridines). When
discharged from the hospital, all included patients were initially assigned to ‘no antithrombotic
treatment’ and if antithrombotic therapy was reinitiated, to either ‘Antiplatelet therapy’ or ‘OAC
treatment’ categories, whichever prescription was claimed first [Figure 1]. Treatment exposure
was consequently considered as a time-dependent covariate.
Outcome measures
The primary analysis plan used the principal outcomes of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism
(SE), all-cause mortality and recurrent ICH. Given the severity of the studied outcomes, we only
considered events if the patient was admitted to the hospital 22; hence, we did not consider
ambulatory diagnosis. Additionally, emergency room coded diagnoses were not included in this
study due to poor validity 23. The primary study endpoint was a combined endpoint of ischemic
stroke/SE (ICD10 diagnosis: I63; I64; I74) and all-cause mortality, given the positive impact of
OAC on stroke and mortality 1 and recognising that in registry data, some deaths may be due to
undiagnosed stroke/SE as neither post-mortems nor cerebral imaging are mandated.
Secondary analyses were carried out for ischemic stroke/SE; for recurrent ICH; for major
extra cranial bleeding (ICD10: D62; J942; H113; H356; H431; N02; N95; R04; R31; R58; K250
K260 K270 K280 K290), and for all-cause mortality. If, in the primary analysis, antithrombotic
reatment’ categories, whichever prescription was claimed first [Figure 1]. Treatmemementntnt eeexpxpxposososururure
was consequently considered as a time-dependent covariate.
Outctccomomome e e mememeasurururesee
TTThee e primary annnaalalyysisiss ppplaalann n usususededed ttthehehe pppriririnccn ipalalal oooutcomommesss ooofff isisischchchemememiccc sstrtrtroookee/syyystststemememicicic eeembmbmbolllisisism mm
SSSE)E)E), , , all-causususe momomortalliiityy y andd d reeecuc rrrrrrenee t t ICCCH... GGGivennn ttheee sseseveeeritytyty ooof ththe ee stttuudieeed dd oooutcomomomes,,, wwwe ooonlly
cococonsnsnsidididerererededed eeeveeventntntsss ififif ttthehehe pppatatatieieientntnt wasasas aaadmdmdmitititteteteddd tototo ttthehehe hhhososospipipitatatalll 2222;;; hehehencncnceee, weee didididdd nononottt cococonsnsnsidididererer
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
6
therapy did show benefit versus being left untreated (commonly seen in practice post-ICH 5,24), a
secondary analysis calculating net clinical benefit (NCB) of resuming antithrombotic therapy (vs
no antithrombotic therapy) was calculated by the methods previously proposed balancing
ischaemic stroke reduction versus the increased risk of ICH 25. NCB with 95% confidence
intervals (CI) were based on rate differences and standard errors estimated obtained using
Poisson regression. We applied a weight of 1 for ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality and
a weight of 1.5 for recurrent ICH as proposed by Singer et al 25. Accompanying the NCB
analysis, we also investigated the event rate for the composite outcome of ischemic
stroke/SE/major bleeding (including recurrent ICH). Additionally, we carried out a sensitivity
analysis by altering the quarantine period when investigating the outcome of ischemic stroke/SE
and all-cause mortality and recurrent ICH. This was done to assess if the choice of quarantine
period would differ from the main analysis (using a 6 weeks quarantine period).
Patient characteristics and concomitant medication
Comorbidities were ascertained from preceding hospital diagnoses until discharge from the
incident ICH event. Filled prescriptions 1 year prior to baseline defined other concomitant
medication. The cardiovascular comorbidity and risk of stroke at baseline were assessed by the
CHA2DS2-VASc [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age >75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke,
vascular disease, age 65–75 years, and female sex)] score 26,27. We calculated the HAS-BLED
[hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke/thromboembolism, bleeding history, labile
international normalized ratio (not included), elderly (age >65 years), drug consumption/alcohol
excess (aspirin was not included due to status of exposure)] score for each patient to assess the
bleeding risk 28. Supplementary Table 1 provides detailed description on outcomes and
concomitant medication.
analysis by altering the quarantine period when investigating the outcome of ischehehemimimic cc stststrororokekeke/S/S/SE
and all-cause mortality and recurrent ICH. This was done to assess if the choice of quarantine
periiododod wwwouououldldld diffffefefer r from the main analysis (usinnng g g aa a 6 weeks quarantineee ppperiod).
PPPattitient characccteteterriststticicicsss ananandd d cococoncnccomommitititant mememedicaattionnn
CoCoomomomorbidittieieiesss wwew rrer asssceere taininnededed frooom mm pppreece edddinnng g hooossspitttalall diaaagngngnosososesss uuuntnn iiil ddischchchaaarge ffrroromm thhhe
nnncicicidededentntnt IIICHCHCH eeeveeventntnt. FiFiFillllllededed ppprererescscscriririptptptioioionsnsns 111 yeaeaearrr pppriririororor tttooo bababaseseselililinenene dddefefefinininededed ooothththererer ccconononcococomimimitatatantntnt rrr
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
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Statistical analyses
Patients were followed until occurrence of the following censoring events: a claimed prescription
indicating dual treatment regimen (both OAC and antiplatelet treatment), occurrence of a study
endpoint, emigration, end-of-study, or death whichever came first [Figure 1]. For outcome
analyses events were ascertained from 6 weeks after hospital discharge. Exposure to
antithrombotic treatment was regarded as two time-dependent covariates (one for OAC treatment
and one for antiplatelet therapy) with one irreversible binary transition (from 0 to 1). We
calculated crude events rates at 1 and 5 years by dividing the number of events occurring during
follow-up with the person-years of follow-up for each treatment group. To compare event rates
associated under antithrombotic treatment regimens vs no antithrombotic treatment, crude and
adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were estimated by means of the Cox proportional hazards model.
The adjusted analyses included information on age (restricted cubic spline); gender (binary); year
of inclusion (categories of five years); time since last claimed OAC prescription before the
incident ICH event (restricted cubic spline); and categories of the CHA2DS2-VASc score (0; 1;
2 points) and HAS-BLED score (0-2; 3 points). We additionally used information on ischemic
stroke/SE and/or recurrent ICH events during the quarantine period (binary). The reasoning
behind this adjustment was that such events could affect the choice of antithrombotic treatment
before the observation time commenced. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis was conducted by
excluding patients who experienced an event within the quarantine period.
To depict the overall five year prognosis, we obtained the Kaplan-Meier estimates. The
patients were stratified according to purchase of OAC (respectively, antiplatelet drugs) during
the quarantine period (6 weeks landmark) and patients with dual treatment exposure were
excluded (prescription claim of both an OAC and antiplatelet drug). To assess the impact of
associated under antithrombotic treatment regimens vs no antithrombotic treatmenenent,t,t, cccrururudedede aaandndnd
adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were estimated by means of the Cox proportional hazards model.
The e adadadjujujustststededed anaaalylylyses included information on agagageee (restricted cubic splililinnne); gender (binary); yea
oofof iiinncn lusion ((caaateteteggoriririesese ooofff fffiveveve yyeeaearsrsrs););) time siss nnnce laast ccclalalaimimimededed OOOACACAC pprereresccriptptptioioionn bebebefofoforerere thehehe
nnncicc dededent ICHHH eveeenntnt (reeestttrictededed cccubu icicic sppplinnne))); ; ; annnd ccattteggoorririess offf ththt eee CHCHCHAAA2DDS222-V-V-VASccc ssscorre (0; 1;
222 popopoininintststs))) anananddd HAHAHASSS-BLBLBLEDEDED ssscococorerere (((000-2;2;2; 333 popopoininintststs))). WWWeee adadaddididitititionononalalallylly useseseddd inininfofoformrmrmatatatioioionnn ononon iiiscscschehehemimimicccc
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allowing more time for claiming a prescription used for treatment regimen allocation, we made a
sensitivity analysis by setting the landmark to 180 days.
We used a two-sided p-value threshold of p<0.05 for statistical significance. Statistical
analyses were performed by using SAS 9.3 (SAS Institute) and Stata version 13 (StataCorp LP).
Results
A total of 6,138 patients with non-valvular AF who suffered an incident ICH were identified in
the period from January 1st 1997 to December 31st 2013. Within the quarantine period of 6 weeks
1,652 patients died, while 32 patients were excluded due to insufficient follow-up time (i.e.
encountered study-end within the quarantine period). The study population was comprised of
1,752 patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria by having claimed an OAC prescription within
six months of the incident ICH event and were still alive after the 6 weeks quarantine period; see
Figure 1 for flowchart and Table 1 for study population characteristics. The proportion of
patients included in the analysis with prior OAC treating receiving VKA was 65%, and the
combination of VKA and antiplatelet therapy in 33%. With NOACs, the proportion was 2%
while <1% received combination therapy with a NOAC and antiplatelet therapy. The mean
CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.9 and the mean HAS-BLED score was 3.2, indicating a study
population at high risk of both thromboembolic events as well as high risk of bleeding.
Of the patients who resumed OAC treatment (n=621), 77% claimed an OAC prescription
within first 3 months after hospital discharge, with an overall median days of 34 to first claimed
prescription. For those who received antiplatelet therapy (n=759), 65% claimed a prescription
within first 3 months, with an overall median time of 24 days. During the first year of follow-up,
218 patients either shifted treatment or initiated dual antithrombotic treatment and were
encountered study-end within the quarantine period). The study population was cococompmpmpriririsesesed d d ofofof
1,752 patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria by having claimed an OAC prescription within
ix momomontntnthshshs ooof ff theee inini cident ICH event and were stststililillll alive after the 6 weeekekeks quarantine period; see
FFFiggugure 1 for fflooowcwcw hahaarrrt aaandndnd TaTaTablblble ee 111 fffororor sstudydydy ppopulullatiooon n n chchcharararacctetteririri tststiciccs.ss TTheee ppprrropopoportrtrtiooonn n ofofof
paaatitt enenents inclululudedd dd d iinin thhhe analylyysisisis ss wiiiththth pppriiioor OAOAOAC ttreeeatiiinggg reececeeeiviviv ngngng VVVKAAA waasas 6665%,, aaand thhhe
cococombmbmbinininatatatioioionnn ofofof VVVKAKAKA aaandndnd aaantntntipipiplalalatetetelelelettt thththerereraaapyppy iiinnn 333333%%%. WWWititithhh NONONOACACACsss, ttthehehe ppprororopopoportrtrtioioionnn waawasss 2%2%2% aaa
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
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accordingly censored.
Stroke/SE and all-cause mortality
A total of 39 patients suffered an ischemic stroke/SE during the quarantine period of 6 weeks; of
those, 5 patients had already claimed an OAC prescription, while 11 patients received
antiplatelet therapy. The overall event rates (expressed as per 100 person-years) using 1 year of
follow-up of the combined endpoint of ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality in OAC
treated vs no antithrombotic treatment were 13.6 vs 27.3 (adjusted HR: 0.55, 95%CI 0.39-0.78),
and 25.7 for antiplatelet therapy (adjusted HR: 0.87, 95%CI 0.67-1.14) [Table 2 and Figure 2].
The event rates for ischemic stroke/SE in OAC treated vs no antithrombotic treatment were 5.3
vs 10.4 at one year of follow-up (adjusted HR: 0.59, 95%CI 0.33-1.03), whilst for antiplatelet
therapy, 10.3 (adjusted HR: 0.98, 95%CI 0.65-1.49). For all-cause mortality, the event rates were
9.7 for OAC treated vs 19.1 for no antithrombotic treatment (adjusted HR: 0.55, 95%CI 0.37-
0.82), and 19.5 for antiplatelet therapy (adjusted HR: 0.90, 95%CI 0.67-1.21). The crude and
adjusted analyses contrasting treatment regimens were comparable. Supplementary Table 2
provides event rates based and adjusted hazard ratios based on 5 years of follow-up, showing
consistency.
Figure 3 depicts the Kaplan-Meier estimates of 5 year survival in patients who resumed
OAC treatment, respectively received antiplatelet therapy, and those who did not. A landmark at
6 weeks (quarantine period) was used to allocate patients treatment regimens: 1,089 were
assigned to the no antithrombotic treatment group; 303 to OAC treatment; and 360 to the
antiplatelet therapy group.
Recurrent ICH and major bleeding
Of a total of 298 recurrent ICH events, 177 events (60%) occurred during the quarantine period,
vs 10.4 at one year of follow-up (adjusted HR: 0.59, 95%CI 0.33-1.03), whilst fororr aaantntntipipiplalalatetetelelelettt
herapy, 10.3 (adjusted HR: 0.98, 95%CI 0.65-1.49). For all-cause mortality, the event rates were
9.7 fofofor r r OAOAOACCC trt eaaateteted vs 19.1 for no antithrombotitiiccc trtrtreatment (adjusted HRHRHR: 0.55, 95%CI 0.37-
000.8222), and 19.5 ffoforr ananntttiplplplatatateeeleeet t t thththeeeraapapyyy (aadjdjjuuustteted HRHRR: 0.0.0.909090, 959595%C%C%CI I I 00.0 676767-11.21)1)1)... ThThTheee crcc ududude ananand d d
adddjujujuststs ed anaaalylylysees ccoc ntttraaastinnggg trtrtreae tmmmennnt rrer gigigimememens wwwereee cccommmparararababbleee. SuSS pppppplememementarrryy y Taabble 2
prprprovoovididideseses eeeveeventntnt rrratatateseses bbbasasasededed aaandndnd aaadjdjdjussusteteteddd hahahazaazardrdrd rrratatatioioiosss bababaseseseddd ononon 555 yeaeaearsrsrs ooofff fofofollllllowoow-uppp, ssshohohowiiwingngng
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i.e. before the observation time commenced; of these 27 patients had claimed an OAC
prescription, while 35 patients received antiplatelet therapy. For recurrent ICH using one year of
follow-up, the rates were 8.6 for OAC treated vs 8.0 for no antithrombotic treatment (adjusted
HR: 0.91, 95%CI 0.56-1.49), and 5.3 for antiplatelet therapy (adjusted HR: 0.60, 95%CI 0.37-
1.03). The event rates of major extra cranial bleedings in OAC treated vs no antithrombotic
treatment were 1.5 vs 1.5 (adjusted HR: 0.92, 95%CI 0.30-2.76), and 2.6 for antiplatelet therapy
(adjusted HR: 1.57, 95%CI 0.62-3.92) [Table 2 and Figure 2]. The crude and adjusted analyses
contrasting treatment regimens for bleeding outcomes were broadly comparable.
Secondary analysis
The one-year event rate for the combined endpoint of ischemic stroke/SE/major bleeding
(including ICH) was 27.4 for no antithrombotic treatment, 17.1 for OAC treatment, and 23.2 for
patients who receiving antiplatelet therapy. As OAC did demonstrate a significant reduction in
stroke/SE and all-cause mortality, we calculated the one year NCB of OAC or antiplatelet
therapy use versus no antithrombotic treatment. The NCB was calculated as a weighted sum of
rate differences for the combined endpoint of ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality and
recurrent ICH. The NCB for OAC vs versus no antithrombotic treatment was 14.6 (95%CI 6.4-
22.8), while the NCB was non-significant for antiplatelet therapy vs versus no antithrombotic
treatment, 6.5 (95%CI -2.1-15.2).
Sensitivity analysis
A sensitivity analysis of the Kaplan-Meier estimates stratified according to treatment regimens
using a landmark at 180 days (relative to hospital discharge) for treatment allocation is shown in
Supplementary Figure S1. A total of 1541 patients contributed to this analysis, and the survival
curves were alike to those presented in Figure 3 supporting OAC treatment.
The one-year event rate for the combined endpoint of ischemic stroke/SE/major blbleeeee didingngng
including ICH) was 27.4 for no antithrombotic treatment, 17.1 for OAC treatment, and 23.2 for
patienenntststs wwwhohoo receieie viv ng antiplatelet therapy. As OOOACACAC did demonstrate aa sisisignificant reduction in
tttroooke/SE and d alalallll-ccaausususe momomortrtrtalalalititity,y,y, wwwe cacac lculululatatteed thehee onnene yyeaeaearrr NNNCBCBCB oof ff OAOOAC ororor aantntntipipiplall tetetelllet t t rr
hhheere apapapyy use veveversususus no annntithrrrommmbottticicic ttrerereata mmemennnt. TTheee NCNCNCB B wawawas caaalccculululatedeed asss a weww iggghththted suuum ooof f
aaatetete dddifififfefeferererencncnceseses fffororor ttthehehe cccomomombibibineneneddd enenendpdpdpoioiointntnt ooofff isisischchchemememicicic ssstrtrtrokokoke/e/e/SESESE aaandndnd aaallllll cc-cauaausesese mmmororortatatalililitytty aaandndnd
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Altering the quarantine period ranging from 2 weeks to 10 weeks did essentially not
affect the primary outcome of ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality, see Figure 4. The total
number of patients contributing to these analyses was 1.838; 1.793; 1.752; 1.732; 1.712 using 2;
4; 6; 8; and 10 weeks quarantine period, respectively. Contrary, the outcome of recurrent ICH
was somewhat affected by the choice of quarantine period. The HR contrasting OAC treatment
vs no treatment was ranging from 0.41 (95%CI 0.27-0.63) for 2 weeks quarantine period, to HR
1.42 (95%CI 0.83-2.43) when applying a 10 weeks quarantine period. The obtained results on
HR contrasting treatment regimens were generally not affected by excluding those patients who
experienced an event (ischemic stroke/SE and/or recurrent ICH) during the quarantine period.
However, the outcome of recurrent ICH for patients on OAC treatment displayed an adjusted HR
of 1.30 (95%CI 0.75-2.27).
Discussion
In this analysis we found that AF patients who suffer an ICH are very high risk of ischaemic
stroke and mortality, if they are not on antithrombotic therapy. Patients who were not on OAC
treatment had the worse adverse outcomes, which were similar to rates seen with antiplatelet
therapy. Importantly, OAC treatment was associated with a significant reduction in subsequent
ischaemic stroke and all-cause mortality.
ICH is the most feared complication of OAC treatment, being associated with a high
mortality and morbidity, and survivors often have greater disability. Patients with ICH were not
included in randomised trials, and it is an open problem to decide the best time window to
reintroduce OAC treatment following a presentation with ICH. Our analysis does not define the
best time window to reintroduce OAC but makes the observation in this non-randomised
However, the outcome of recurrent ICH for patients on OAC treatment displayeddd aaan n n adadadjujujustststededed HHHR
of 1.30 (95%CI 0.75-2.27).
DDDisscscussion
nnn tthihihis analysysysisii wwwee e foununund thaatat AAAF papapatieeenttst wwwhohoo suffffeeer aaann n ICCHH H ararareee vveveryryry hhhigggh rririsksksk of isisisccchaaemmmic
tttrororokekeke aaandndnd mmmororortatatalililitytty, ififif ttthehehey ararareee nononottt ononon aaantntntititithrhrhromomombobobotititiccc thththerereraaapyppy. PPPatatatieieientntntsss whhwhooo weewererere nnnototot ooonnn OAOAOACCC aa
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12
observational cohort that OAC use was associated with significantly lower risks of ischaemic
stroke and all-cause mortality.
The risk of recurrent ICH was also high in our patients, and was equally high amongst
non-OAC treated or OAC-treated, while slightly lower in patients who received antiplatelet
therapy. Factors contributing to recurrent ICH have been reported in different studies 8,9,29,30 and
include increasing age, concomitant use of aspirin or NSAIDs, uncontrolled hypertension, etc.
As previously shown in clinical trial and nationwide registries, the HAS-BLED score is the only
bleeding risk score that is predictive of major bleeding risk, and reflects the risk factors
commonly associated with this complication 4,28,31.
Common practice is to consider no antithrombotic treatment or antiplatelet therapy
(commonly aspirin) as a ‘safer’ alternative to OAC following a presentation with ICH, and the
AHA/ASA guideline provides a Class IIb recommendation of antiplatelet therapy after all types
of ICH (and “OAC might be considered after non-lobar ICH”) 32. Our data do not support such
an approach with a higher ischaemic stroke and substantially higher mortality, with a non-
significant reduction in recurrent ICH amongst antiplatelet therapy users. Even in randomised
trials of stroke prevention in AF, the risk of ICH (and major bleeding) is no different between
OAC and aspirin treated patients, especially in the elderly 33,34. Also, our secondary analyses
show that the NCB for OAC treatment was positive, vs no antithrombotic therapy – whilst the
NCB for aspirin vs no antithrombotic therapy was non-significant.
The present study has clinical implications, in that it supports OAC re-introduction as
soon as clinically feasible. However, given the non-randomized design and data limitations
caution on over-interpretation the results are warranted: we were not able to distinguish between
the severities of risk factors, which may reflect physician’s choices of OAC resumption.
Common practice is to consider no antithrombotic treatment or antiplateleeettt thththerererapapapy y y m
commonly aspirin) as a ‘safer’ alternative to OAC following a presentation with ICH, and the
AHA/A/A/ASASASA A A guguguidelelelinini e provides a Class IIb recommmmememendation of antiplateeelelelet tt therapy after all types
oofof IIICHC (and “OOOAACAC mmmigigighththt bbbee cccoononsisis dededereeed afffteteter non nn-looobaaarrr ICICICH”H”H”) 323232. OuOuOur rr daddata dddooo nononottt sususupppporoo t t t sususuchchch
annn apppppproach h h wiww thhh aaa higgghheh r issschchchaaea mimimiccc stttroooke nannd suubbbstaaantttiallllly hihih gggheeer momomorttalititity,y,y, withhh aaa noonnn-
iiigngngnififificicicanananttt rereredudductctctioioionnn ininin rrrecececurrurrererentntnt IIICHCHCH aaamomomongngngststst aaantntntipipiplalalatetetelelelettt thththerererapapapy ussusererersss. EvEEvenenen iiinnn rararandndndomomomisisisededed
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
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Potentially correctable risk factors for ICH should be addressed including assessment of the
HASBLED score, correction of uncontrolled high blood pressure, concomitant use of aspirin or
NSAIDs, etc. ICH can sometimes be related to trauma or a vascular anomaly, and for the latter,
liaison with a neurosurgical service is important.
Limitations
We did not have data on INR values hence no estimate of OAC intensity, and we also recognise
the importance of the quality of anticoagulation control, as reflected by time in therapeutic range
35,36. VKAs are associated with a relatively higher rate of ICH compared to NOACs, but the latter
were only used in a minority of patients in our study. We also did not have any cerebral imaging
data, to distinguish the subtypes of ICH, but our principal hypothesis pertained to the simple
question of whether or not restarting OAC after ICH was associated with a beneficial effect on
stroke and mortality, in patients with AF. Indeed, the presence of microbleeds is an important
risk for ICH, and many stroke physicians would be cautious about restarting OAC in a patient
with widespread cerebral microbleeds 37,38.
There is a potential risk of misclassification of recurrent ICH events due to routine
procedures after hospital discharge: patients are likely to be re-admitted to a hospital for a
follow-up computerized tomography scan examining re-bleedings. This re-admission could
inherit the coding from the incident ICH with no evidence of any recurrent bleeding. This
conjecture was supported by the sensitivity analyses of altering the quarantine period, and also
by excluding those patients who experienced an event during the quarantine period. On the other
hand, with the lack of information on cause of death, the number of ischemic events or recurrent
ICH could be underestimated if they carried a terminal outcome. Our analysis on treatment
were only used in a minority of patients in our study. We also did not har ve any cerererebebebrararal l l imimimagagaginining
data, to distinguish the subtypes of ICH, but our principal hypothesis per rtained to the simple
quessstititiononon ooofff whww etttheheher or not restarting OAC after IIICHCHCH was associatedrr wititith h h a beneficial effect on d
tttroooke and morrrtatatalittyy, iinin pppatatatieieientntntsss wiwiwiththth AAAFF. InInInddedeed,, thhhe prprpreeesenenencecece ooof mmmicicicrororobbleeedsdsds iiis s ananan impmpmpororortatatantntn f
iisksksk ffforo ICHHH, , , ana dd d mmam nnyny strokkke phphphysysysicici iaaannsns wwwououould bbbe cauuutititiouusss abababououut t t reeests aaarttinggg OOOAC innn a papapatiennnt
wiiwiththth widididesesesprprpreaeaeaddd cececerererebrbrbralalal mmmicicicrororoblblbleeeeeedsdsds 37,37,,3838.
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initiation was performed using an assumption of adherence to treatment (unless changed from
OAC to antiplatelet therapy or vice versa), recognising the limitations of a ‘real world’ cohort
design, where patients could change from treatment (and doses) to no treatment over time. We
also only included patients with an index hospitalisation for AF, and documented ICH – thus,
confounding by indication and selection bias could be evident, and our results may not be
generalizable to the ‘general’ non-hospitalised AF population. Nonetheless, most patients with
an ICH would require hospitalisation, and AF-related hospitalisations are common (and
increasing); thus, our analysis would reflect the likely burden of AF patients in healthcare
systems. Although this was a nationwide study, the ethnic background of the Danish population
is presumably Caucasian, and thus the obtained results might not generalise to all ethnic
groups39.
In conclusion, AF patients who suffer an ICH are at very high risk of ischaemic stroke
and death, and our data indicates positive clinical benefit from anticoagulant treatment. OAC
treatment resulted in a significant reduction in subsequent ischaemic stroke and all-cause
mortality. As such, this study supports OAC reintroduction post-ICH, but due to risk of bias by
unmeasured confounding, future randomized controlled trials investigating resumption of OAC
treatment post-ICH are encouraged to provide further evidence to guide clinical practice.
Funding Sources: The Obel Family Foundation partly funded this research by an unrestricted
grant. The sponsor had no role the design and conduct of the study; collection, management,
analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Professor Lip has served as a consultant for Bayer, Astellas,
Merck, AstraZeneca, Sano , BMS/Pfizer and Boehringer Ingelheim, and has been on the speaker
bureaus for Bayer, BMS/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim and Sano . Associate Professor Larsen
s presumably Caucasian, and thus the obtained results might not generalise to all l l etetethnhnhnicicic
groups39.
InInIn ccconononcluuusioioi n, AF patients who suffer annn IIICHCHC are at very high rrrisisisk kk of ischaemic stroke
ananandd d death, andd oooururu ddatatata ininindididicacacatetetes s popoposisiititit vve clililiniical beeenefefefititit fffrrorommm ananantiiicocoagagagullant t t trtrtreaeaeatmtmtmenene t.tt OOOACACAC
reeaeatmtmtment reeesususulteede in aaa ssis gniffficicicanana t rerereduduductttioi n n innn subbseeequuuenenent isisiscchchaeaeaemmmic cc n strorroke aaandndnd allll-c-c-causse
momomortrtrtalalalititity. AAAsss sussuchchch, thththisisis ssstuttudyddy sssuppuppopoportrtrtsss OAOAOACCC rerereininintrtrtrodododuccuctititiononon ppposososttt-ICICICHHH, bbbuttut dddueeue tttooo riririsksksk ooofff bibibiasasas bbby
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has served as an investigator for Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC and Boehringer Ingelheim.
Associate Professor Larsen and Professor Rasmussen have been on the speaker bureaus for
Bayer, BMS/Pfizer, Roche Diagnostics, Boehringer Ingelheim and Takeda Pharma. Other
authors – none declared.
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31. ApApApososostototolllakisss SS, LLLaananee DADD , GuGuGuooo YYY, BBuuulllllleerer HHH, LiLiLipp GYGYGYHHH. PPPerererffof rmmmaanancecce oofff tht eHEHEHEMOMOMORRRRRR(2(2(2)H)H)HAGAGAGESESES, ATATATRIRIRIAAA, aaandndnd HHHASASAS BB-BLELELEDDD blblbleeeeeedididingngng riririsksksk pp-prereredididictctctioioionnn scscscorororeseses iiinnn papapatititienenentststs wititithhh
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versus aspirin for stroke prevention in an elderly community population with atrial fibrillation (the Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged Study, BAFTA): a randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2007;370:493–503. 35. Gallego P, Roldan V, Marín F, Romera M, Valdés M, Vicente V, Lip GYH. Cessation of oral anticoagulation in relation to mortality and the risk of thrombotic events in patients with atrial fibrillation. Thromb Haemost. 2013;110:1189–1198. 36. De Caterina R, Husted S, Wallentin L, Andreotti F, Arnesen H, Bachmann F, Baigent C, Huber K, Jespersen J, Kristensen SD, Lip GYH, Morais J, Rasmussen LH, Siegbahn A, Verheugt FWA, Weitz JI. Vitamin K antagonists in heart disease: current status and perspectives (Section III). Position paper of the ESC Working Group on Thrombosis--Task Force on Anticoagulants in Heart Disease. Thromb Haemost. 2013;110:1087–1107. 37. Lovelock CE, Cordonnier C, Naka H, Al-Shahi Salman R, Sudlow CLM, Sorimachi T, Werring DJ, Gregoire SM, Imaizumi T, Lee S-H, Briley D, Rothwell PM. Antithrombotic drug use, cerebral microbleeds, and intracerebral hemorrhage: a systematic review of published and unpublished studies. Stroke. 2010;41:1222–1228. 38. Yates PA, Villemagne VL, Ellis KA, Desmond PM, Masters CL, Rowe CC. Cerebral microbleeds: a review of clinical, genetic, and neuroimaging associations. Front Neurol. 2014;4:205. 39. Shen AY-J, Yao JF, Brar SS, Jorgensen MB, Chen W. Racial/ethnic differences in the risk of intracranial hemorrhage among patients with atrial fibrillation. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2007;50:309–315.
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3999. SShShen AY-Y-Y-J, Yao JF, Brar SS, Jorgensen MB, ChChChen W. Racialall/e/e/ethnic differences in the risk ofnnntrrraacranial hhemmmororo rhhhagagage ee amamamononongg g papaatititieeentntnts wiiiththth aaatriaal ffibrrrililillalalatititiononon. J J J AmAmAm CCCooolll Caaardrdrdiioiolll... 2022 070707;5550:0:0:3030309–99
3133 55.5
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Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the cohort.
Total population
Intracerebral bleeding
Subdural bleeding
Subarachnoid bleeding
Number of patients 1,752 812 755 185 Age, median (IQR) 78 (71-83) 78 (71-83) 78 (71-83) 75 (70-82) Male gender No. (%) 1,081 (62) 471 (58) 502 (67) 109 (59) Prior antithrombotic treatment no. (%) VKA 1,145(65) 507 (62) 508 (67) 130 (70) NOAC 28 (2) 11 (1) 12 (2) 5 (3) VKA and APT 571 (33) 290 (36) 232 (31) 49 (27) NOAC and APT 8 (<1) 4 (<1) 3 (<1) 1 (<1)
Comorbidity no. (%) Congestive heart failure 485 (28) 198 (24) 220 (29) 67 (36) Hypertension 1,112 (63) 494 (61) 490 (65) 128 (69) Age 65-74 years 498 (28) 221 (27) 212 (28) 65 (35) Age >75 years 1,068 (61) 500 (62) 470 (62) 98 (53) Diabetes mellitus 323 (18) 134 (17) 149 (20) 40 (22) Prior thromboembolism 656 (37) 373 (46) 226 (30) 57 (31) Vascular disease 358 (20) 152 (19) 160 (21) 46 (25) Concomitant medication no. (%) Beta-blockers 1,035 (59) 460 (57) 454 (60) 121 (65) Calcium channel blockers 613 (35) 271 (33) 280 (37) 62 (34) Renin-angiotensin system
inhibitors (ACEi/ARBs) 914 (52) 425 (52) 393 (52) 96 (52)
Loop diuretics 703 (40) 299 (37) 315 (42) 89 (48) Statin 688 (39) 285 (35) 315 (42) 88 (48) NSAID 381 (22) 172 (21) 172 (23) 37 (20) Digoxin 853 (49) 376 (46) 386 (51) 91 (49) Amiodarone 120 ( 7) 49 ( 6) 58 ( 8) 13 ( 7) CHA2DS2-VASc no. (%) 0 31 (2) 14 (2) 13 (2) 4 (2) 1 123 (7) 44 (5) 62 (8) 17 (9) 2-9 1,598 (91) 754 (93) 680 (90) 164 (89) HAS-BLED no. (%) 0-2 363 (21) 155 (19) 170 (23) 38 (21) 3 1,389 (79) 657 (81) 585 (77) 147 (79) ICH: Intracranial haemorrhage. IQR: Interquartile range. VKA: Vitamin K-antagonist. APT: Antiplatelet therapy. NOAC: Non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant. NSAID: Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug. ACEi/ARBs: Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme inhibitors/Angiotensin II Receptor Antagonists.
Age >75 years 1,068 (61) 500 (62) 470 (62) 98 8 8 (5(5( 3)3)3) Diabetes mellitus 323 (18) 134 (17) 149 (20) 44400 0 (2(2(22)2)2) Prior thromboembolism 656 (37) 373 (46) 226 (30) 57 (31) Vascular disease 358 (20) 152 (19) 160 (21) 46 (25)
Concccomomomitititananant t mememedidd cation no. (%)BeBeBetatata-blockkkeeers 1,035 (59) 460 (57) 454 (60) 121 (65) CaCaalcium channnnenenel blllocoo kekekersrsrs 661333 (((355) 272727111 (3(3(33)3)3 22288080 (37377) ) ) 626262 (((343434) ) )ReReRenin-angiotennsiin syyysttem inininhihihibib torsrss (((ACACACEii/ARBRBRBs)
9914 (((5222) 444252525 (((5222) 399933 (5552))) 966 (((52)
Loop dddiiuiuretics 70707033 (4(4(40) 2299999 (37373 ) 315 ((42) 889 (48)8 Statin 688 (39) 285 (35) 315 (42) 88 (48)
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Table 2. Event rates of various outcomes according to stratification on treatment regimen using 1 year of follow-up.
Outcome No antithrombotic treatment OAC treatment Antiplatelet therapy Ischemic stroke/SE/ and all-cause mortality Events 179 43 83 Person-time (100 years) 655 316 335 Event rate (95% CI) 27.3 (23.6 - 31.6) 13.6 (10.1 - 18.3) 25.7 (20.7 - 31.9) Ischemic stroke/SE Events 69 17 34 Person-time (100 years) 666 322 329 Event rate (95% CI) 10.4 (8.2 - 13.1) 5.3 (3.3 - 8.5) 10.3 (7.4 - 14.4) All-cause mortality Events 130 32 69 Person-time (100 years) 682 330 353 Event rate (95% CI) 19.1 (16.0 - 22.6) 9.7 (6.9 - 13.7) 19.5 (15.4 - 24.7) Recurrent ICH Events 57 25 18 Person-time (100 years) 662 313 339 Event rate (95% CI) 8.6 (6.6 - 11.2) 8.0 (5.4 - 11.8) 5.3 (3.3 - 8.4) Major extracranial bleeding Events 10 5 9 Person-time (100 years) 677 329 349 Event rate (95% CI) 1.5 (0.8 - 2.7) 1.5 (0.6 - 3.7) 2.6 (1.3 - 5.0)
on-time (100 years) 666 322 3232329 9 9nt rate (95% CI) 10.4 (8.2 - 13.1) 5.3 (3.3 - 8.5) 1000.333 ((7.7.7.44 4 -- 141414.4.4.4) ) )ause mortalitynts 130 32 69 on-time (100 years) 682 330 353nt raatetete (((959595% % % CICICI) ) ) 19.1 (16.0 - 22.6) 9.7 (6.9 - 13.7) 19.5 (15.4 - 24.7)rrrenee t t t ICII H nnnts 57575 252525 181818 onoo -t-t- ime (100 years) 66662 31333 3333 999nnnt tt aaratet (95% CI) ) ) 8.6 (6(( 66.6 - 11.2))) 8.0 00 (5(( .4 --- 11.8) 5...33 3(33.3 - 8 4.44) r xexextrtrtracacacrarar nialall bbbleleleed nningnts 10 5 99on t-tiiime (1(1(1000000 years))) 676767777 323232999 343434999
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Figure Legends:
Figure 1. Flowchart of the study design and population.
Figure 2. Forest plot of adjusted hazard ratios on treatment regimen of various outcomes using
one-year follow-up (adjusted for sex, age, year of inclusion, time since last claimed OAC
prescription, and occurrences of ischemic stroke/SE and recurrent ICH events during the
quarantine period).
Figure 3. Five years Kaplan-Meier survival curve for restarting OAC treatment, receiving
antiplatelet therapy, and for not receiving antithrombotic treatment using a landmark at 6 weeks
(relative to discharge from hospital) for treatment regimens stratification.
Figure 4. Sensitivity analysis investigating the outcomes of ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause
mortality and recurrent ICH, stratified according to treatment regimen and to applied quarantine
period.
Figure 3. Five years Kaplan-Meier survival curve for restarting OAC treatment, rererecececeivivivinining g g
antiplatelet therapy, and for not receiving antithrombotic treatment using a landmark at 6 weeks
relatatativivive ee tototo dddisii chhharrrge from hospital) for treatmennntt t rereegimens stratificatiooon.n..
FiFiigugugurerr 4. Senenensitiitiviity aaannan lysiiis s inininveestststigaaatiini ggg thththeee ouutcccommmeeses oofff ischchc emememicicc stttrooke/e/e/SESESE andndnd all--caaauseee
momomortrtrtalalalititity anananddd rererecuccurrrrrrenenenttt ICICICHHH, ssstrtrtraaatititifififiededed aaaccccccororordididingngng tttooo trtrtreaeaeatmtmtmenenenttt rereregigigimememennn anananddd tototo aaapppppplililiededed qqquaauarararantntntininineee
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SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL
Supplementary Table 1: Definitions of outcomes and medication
International Classification of
Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10)
code
Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical
(ATC) code
Condition
Congestive heart failure I11.0; I13.0; I13.2; I42.0; I50 CO3C
Left ventricular dysfunction I50.1; I50.9
Hypertension See specified definition*
Diabetes mellitus E10.0; E10.1; E10.9; E11.0; E11.1;
E11.9
A10
Ischemic stroke I63; I64
Systemic embolism I74
Transient ischemic disease G45
Aortic plaque I70.0
Peripheral arterial disease I70.2-I70.9; I71; I73.9; I74
Myocardial infarction I21-I23
Abnormal renal function I12; I13; N00-N05; N07; N11;
N14; N17-N19; Q61
Abnormal hepatic function B15.0; B16.0; B16.2; B19.0;
K70.4; K72; K76.6; I85
Prior Bleeding I60-I62; D62; J94.2; H11.3; H35.6;
H43.1; N02; N95; R04; R31; R58;
K25.0; K26.0; K27.0; K28.0;
K29.0; S06.3C; S06.4; S06.5;
S06.6
Alcohol intake E22.4; E52.9A; F10; G31.2;
G62.1; G72.1; I42.6; K29.2; K70;
K86.0; L27.8A; O35.4M; T51;
Z71.4; Z72.1
Atrial fibrillation I48
Major bleeding D62 J942 H113 H356 H431 N02
N95 R04 R31 R58
Intracranial bleeding
Traumatic intracranial bleeding
Retinal bleeding
Sequelae of cerebrovascular disease
I60 I61 I62
S063C S064 S065 S066
H356
I690; I691; I692
Medication
Dabigatran
Rivaroxaban
B01AE07
B01AE07
Apixaban B01AF02
Coumarin derivatives B01AA
Aspirin B01AC06
Thienopyridines B01AC04; B01AC24; B01AC22
Beta-blockers
Calcium channel blockers
Renin-angiotensin system
inhibitors (ACEi/ARBs)
Loop diuretics
Statin
Digoxin
Amiodarone
C07
C07F; C08; C09BB; C09DB
C09
C03C
C10
C01AA05
C01BD01
Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs M01A
* We identified subjects with hypertension from combination treatment with at least two of the following classes of
antihypertensive Drugs:
I. Alpha adrenergic blockers (C02A, C02B, C02C)
II. Non-loop diuretics (C02DA, C02L, C03A, C03B, C03D, C03E, C03X, C07C, C07D, C08G, C09BA, C09DA,
C09XA52)
III. Vasodilators (C02DB, C02DD, C02DG, C04, C05)
IV. Beta blockers (C07)
V. Calcium channel blockers (C07F, C08, C09BB, C09DB)
VI. Renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (C09).
Supplementary Table 2: Event rates and adjusted hazard ratios of various outcomes according to stratification on treatment regimen using
5 years of follow-up.
Outcome No OAC therapy OAC therapy Antiplatelet therapy
Ischemic stroke/SE and
all-cause mortality
Events 326 106 240
Person-time (100 years) 1392 996 1204
Event rate (95% CI) 23.4 (21.0 - 26.1) 10.6 (8.8 - 12.9) 19.9 (17.6 - 22.6)
Adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) Reference 0.54 (0.43 – 0.67) 0.85 (0.81 – 1.00)
Ischemic stroke/SE
Events 108 35 76
Person-time (100 years) 1413 1014 1217
Event rate (95% CI) 7.6 (6.3 - 9.2) 3.5 (2.5 - 4.8) 6.2 (5.0 - 7.8)
Adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) Reference 0.55 (0.37 – 0.81) 0.87 (0.65 – 1.17)
All-cause mortality
Events 266 91 227
Person-time (100 years) 1470 1072 1420
Event rate (95% CI) 18.1 (16.0 - 20.4) 8.5 (6.9 - 10.4) 16.0 (14.0 - 18.2)
Adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) Reference 0.56 (0.44 – 0.71) 0.87 (0.72 – 1.04)
Recurrent ICH
Events 72 36 34
Person-time (100 years) 1408 1012 1315
Event rate (95% CI) 5.1 (4.1 - 6.4) 3.6 (2.6 - 4.9) 2.6 (1.8 - 3.6)
Adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) Reference 0.79 (0.52 – 1.19) 0.56 (0.37 – 0.84)
Major extra cranial bleeding
Events 20 14 26
Person-time (100 years) 1449 1052 1382
Event rate (95% CI) 1.4 (0.9 - 2.1) 1.3 (0.8 -2.2) 1.9 (1.3 - 2.8)
Adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) Reference 0.90 (0.44 – 1.81) 1.31 (0.73 – 1.76)
Supplementary Figure S1: Five years Kaplan-Meier survival curve for restarting OAC treatment, receiving antiplatelet therapy, and for
not receiving antithrombotic treatment using a landmark at 180 days (relative to discharge from hospital) for treatment regimens
stratification. A total of 505 patients were allocated to ‘no antithrombotic treatment; 509 to OAC treatment; 527 patients to the antiplatelet
therapy group.
Lars Hvilsted Rasmussen and Gregory Y.H. LipPeter Brønnum Nielsen, Torben Bjerregaard Larsen, Flemming Skjøth, Anders Gorst-Rasmussen,
StudyCohortFibrillation and the Impact on Recurrent Stroke, Mortality and Bleeding: A Nationwide
Restarting Anticoagulant Treatment After Intracranial Haemorrhage in Patients With Atrial
Print ISSN: 0009-7322. Online ISSN: 1524-4539 Copyright © 2015 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved.
is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231Circulation published online June 9, 2015;Circulation.
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