Upload
hitsparmar
View
221
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
1/14
RESEARCH PROPOSAL
ON
Overview of chemical fertilizer industry in india andunderstanding the related customer preference.
In partial fulfilment of the requirements for Comprehensive Project for the
award of the degree of
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
SUBMITTED TO
SOM-LALIT INSTITUTE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT
GUJARAT TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY
PROJECT GUID BY:
Ms. Reshmi Manon
SUBMITTED BY:
Hiteshsinh Parmar
Pankaj Padhiyar
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 1
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
2/14
Table of Content
No
.
Title
1 Introduction
2 Literature Review
3 Objectives of the study
4 Research Methodology
5 Data construction plan
6 Data Analysis and Cross Validation Procedure
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 2
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
3/14
Knowledge and human power are synonyms, once said the great philosopher
Francis Bacon. However based on the experience within todays global
markets, he would probably say, The ability to capture, communicate &
leverage knowledge to solve problems is human power. This raises the
question how exactly one can best capture, communicate & leverage
knowledge, especially within world of system engineering.
The answer probably lies in statement itself by communicating your ideas and
devising ways and means to give shape to your plans in to reality, which requires
a long-term planning, investment and shrewd thinking. The tryst for knowledge
and power led me to two years M.B.A. degree course as part of this long-term
investment.
As a part of this M.B.A. degree, students have to undergo a project, which is
designed keeping the prerogative and preferences of industry in mind. This
particular project allows a student to implement what he has learned within the
four walls of classroom.
This report that we are submitting intends to highlight our versatility in sustaining
the pulls and pressure of day to day professional life and put to perspective the
facts that we are capable enough to deliver whenever a challenge is thrown to
us.This report is divided in two parts. The first part gives the basic information
about the project, the industry and the company. The second part consists of
Research Analysis and Conclusion on the basis of particular Research Process.
At the end we have provided a short list of the reference books and the sites that
provided useful information during the project.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 3
PREFACE
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
4/14
INTRODUCTION
The fertilizer industry presents one of the most energy intensive sectors within theIndian economy and is therefore of particular interest in the context of both local
and global environmental discussions. Increases in productivity through the
adoption of more efficient and cleaner technologies in the manufacturing sector
will be most effective in merging economic, environmental, and social
development objectives. A historical examination of productivity growth in Indias
industries embedded into a broader analysis of structural composition and policy
changes will help identify potential future development strategies that lead
towards a more sustainable development path. Issues of productivity growth and
patterns of substitution in the fertilizer sector as well as in other energy intensive
industries in India have been discussed from various perspectives.
Historical estimates vary from indicating an improvement to a decline in the
sectors productivity. The variation depends mainly on the time period considered,
the source of data, the type of indices and econometric specifications used for
reporting productivity growth. Regarding patterns of substitution most analyses
focus on interfuel substitution possibilities in the context of rising energy demand.
Not much research has been conducted on patterns of substitution among the
primary and secondary input factors:
Capital, labor, energy and materials. However, analyzing the use and substitution
possibilities of these factors as well as identifying the main drivers of productivity
growth among these and other factors is of special importance for understanding
technological and overall development of an industry.
In this paper we contribute to the discussion on productivity growth and the role of
technological change. We introduce the fertilizer industry in more detail taking into
account industry specific aspects such as structural composition, production,
technologies, energy consumption within processes, sector specific policies etc.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 4
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
5/14
This following we derive both statistical and econometric estimates of productivity
growth for the fertilizer sector over time. For the statistical analysis we develop
the Kendrick and Solow indices while for the econometric analysis a translog cost
function approach using both cross-state and national time series data is
employed. The results are then interpreted within a broader context of structural
and policy changes in the sector as well as other sector specific aspects.
Future energy use depends on the level of production and the technologies
employed. Furthermore, different economic and policy settings affect structures
and efficiencies within the sector. The final section therefore examines the
ongoing changes in the fertilizer industry structure. It compares best practice
technologies to Indian technologies and identify potentials and barriers to the
adoption of such efficiency improvements
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 5
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
6/14
LITERATURE REVIEW
The focus on rainfed agriculture, and key challenges
Rainfed agriculture remains high on the development agenda in India. Its
contribution is vital to help avoid projected food gaps as a result of increasing
populations (typically around 2%) and in supporting the livelihoods of the poorest
farming families who do not have access to irrigated land.
Green revolution gains in agricultural productivity, food security and reduced
poverty were widely associated with irrigated areas where the benefits of
improved seeds and increased use of inorganic fertilisers could be realised.
However, the potential for expansion of irrigated agriculture is decreasing as it is
increasingly expensive to bring new land under irrigation (largely because water
resources are limited) and there are widespread problems associated with
overexploitation of groundwater. Groundwater is the most important source for
irrigation. As a consequence rainfed agriculture will continue on over 50% of land
in most Indian states (for example, irrigated areas were 21.6 and 38.4% in
Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh states respectively in 1993-94), and it will remain
the focus of much effort to increase productivity and avoid food gaps.
In addition to rising populations and projected food gaps (see for example Bhalla
et al., 1999), major concerns associated with the future of rainfed agriculture in
semi-arid India include decreasing yield growth and yields, negative nutrient
balances, and sustainability. Sustainability concerns reflect both the need to
increase returns to land and labour while maintaining soil productivity over the
long-term, and concerns about negative impacts of inorganic fertilisers on soil
quality and pollution. Further concerns at macro-economic level include the
ineffective targeting of the governments vast expenditure on agriculture (Bhalla et
al., 1999). Most government expenditure goes to subsidies for farm inputs,
particularly fertilisers, credit, water and electricity.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 6
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
7/14
The policy responses to these challenges include: modernisation of agriculture
such as encapsulated in Andhra Pradeshs 2020 vision (including
commercialisation, new varieties and GMOs, and continued irrigation
development), watershed development programmes to improve the potential of
land and develop water resources (some of these programmes are also
becoming more poverty and livelihoods focused and include non-land based
activities), and subsidies such as the fertiliser subsidy.
Other key reviews that have addressed soil fertility issues from a livelihoods
perspective include NRSP project R7458 reviews focused on semi-arid India and
global experiences (NRSP, undated; Tanner et al., 2000).
Livelihood systems and strategies
Conroy et al. (2001) identified the following key livelihood systems in rural semi-
arid India:
medium/large farmers, primarily dependent on agriculture (mixed but crops
usually more important than animals);
small/marginal farmers, who are primarily dependent on a combination of
agriculture (in some cases land may be leased rather than owned) and wage-
labour;
livestock-specialists, for whom animal husbandry is the principal livelihood
activity; and
landless labourers, who are primarily dependent on wage labour, which may be
agricultural or not.
Although agriculture continues to be the backbone of the rural economy and rural
livelihoods (see Box 1), there is increasing recognition of the role of non-farm
(and non-NR) livelihood contributions. Supplementing agricultural income with
casual wage labour is increasingly common as the relevant returns from such
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 7
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
8/14
employment compared to agriculture improve. The poorest people are likely to be
wage labourers and small/ marginal farmers - especially given recent price
shocks - resulting in high levels of indebtedness and high suicide rates.
Livelihood strategies can be categorized in different ways. On approach is into
intensification and extensification, diversification and migration. Intensification
may involve increasing the number of crops and livestock per hectare per year
e.g. a second (rabi) crop perhaps through access to irrigation, and/ or increasing
the yield of crops and livestock products per hectare . Strategies to improve
productivity include soil and water conservation (SWC), the use of high-yielding
varieties (HYVs), irrigation, or use of animal feeds (Tanner, 1997). Extensification
includes the extension of agricultural areas for example into CPR lands, often
wastelands or forest lands. Other farmers have extended their cropping into tank
beds. Intensification (see for example Tanner et al., 2000) may be driven by
population pressure and declining land area, or by markets reflecting increased
demand. In reality, a combination of these forces is often at work. At the
household level intensification requires more capital (to buy inputs) or labour to
be invested (for example in crop rotations, cut and carry feeding etc). These
strategies are also likely to be combined, but the poor are typically expected to
intensify through greater use of labor. (Tanner et al., 2000).
Key aspects of farming systems
Perhaps the most important characteristics of semi-arid farming systems are the
objectives or motivations of farming families. These include food security,
insurance against risk, and profit maximisation (Conroy et al., 2001). Other
studies and field experiences have also shown that household food security is the
first concern of farmers when they decide on their
cropping pattern. Important risk spreading measures include diversification
(Farrington & James, 2000). Gulati & Keeley (1991) showed that with respect to
crops grown, farmers are on the whole most responsive to pricing factors.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 8
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
9/14
Access to land
The main land holding and tenure categories include land owners, tenants, share
croppers, and encroachment on CPR lands. In both Karnataka and Andhra
Pradesh past encroachment of wastelands has subsequently been regularised in
some cases and government investment utilised to improve these poor quality
lands. The poor have less secure access to land for cropping and are
consequently more dependent upon CPRs (for pasture, fodder, timber, and
NTFPs) although these are diminishing in quantity and quality.
The average landholding in drought prone states is 2.6 ha (Conroy et al., 2001)
but increasingly is not equally distributed. Most holdings are less than 2 ha in size
and landholdings are often less than 1 ha. The poor have the least productive
land and usually no irrigation so have generally not benefited directly from
increases in land under irrigation (see box 3). Landholdings are decreasing as a
result of an increasing population which provides pressure to intensify or diversify.
There is a significant landless population.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 9
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
10/14
Objectives
To understand current scenario of chemical
fertilizer industries.
Measurement of utilization and satisfaction level of
the customer toward chemical fertilizer.
To analyse chemical fertilizer industry in context of
Indian environment.
To judge and evaluate customers mindset towards
chemical fertilizers.
To understand the markets positioning of chemicalfertilizer in India.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 10
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
11/14
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
DATA SOURCES 1. Primary data collectionthrough questionnaire
2. Secondary data collection
through journals, magazines.
TYPE OF RESEARCH Descriptive
RESEARCH APPROACH Survey method
RESEARCH INSTRUMENT Questionnaire
SAMPLE REGION JUNAGADH AND
BHAVNAGAR DIST.OF
GUJARAT
SAMPLE SIZE 100
SAMPLING TECHNIQUE Convenience Sampling
TARGET SAMPLE Farmers
DATA COLLECTION
PROCEDURE
Personal interview
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 11
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
12/14
Data construction plan
Data collection sources:-
Data can be collected by two method 1) primary data collection 2)
secondary data collection. Both the method has its own advantages and
limitation.
Primary data collection:-
We will use questionnaire for the purpose of carry out our research.
The scales applied to the questions would be nominal, ordinal; interval
and ratio scales and accordingly the statistical tests will be applied to validatethe questions so asked.
Secondary data collection:-
The secondary data can be collected from magazine, newspaper,
journal, companys website, and different reports of the companies.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 12
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
13/14
Data Analysis and Cross Validation
1. For the analysis of data require certain process to be followed which Is
as follows
o Editing
o Coding
o Classification
o Tabulation
o Using percentages.
o Preparing of graph
2. We will use SPSS(Statistical Package for the Social Sciences)
software for the purpose of statistical analysis.
3. HO and H1 test
H0:Null hypothesis
Preference of rural and urban customer is same.
H1:Alternate hypothesis
Preference of rural and urban customer is not same.
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 13
8/2/2019 Resrarch Proposal of Chemical and Fertilizer
14/14
GRAND PROJECT - SLIM 14