19
Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2394509 PhD Research Proposal The Firm Valuations in Mergers & Acquisitions, and Its Impacts on Key Financial Ratios Evidence from Banking Industry in UK over the period of 2000-2013 Yhlas Sovbetov 20 August 2013

Research Proposal

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

A very good proposal

Citation preview

  • Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2394509

    PhD Research Proposal

    The Firm Valuations in Mergers & Acquisitions, and Its

    Impacts on Key Financial Ratios

    Evidence from Banking Industry in UK over the period of

    2000-2013

    Yhlas Sovbetov

    20 August 2013

  • Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2394509

    1. INTRODUCTION

    1.1. The Rationale of Mergers & Acquisitions

    Companies set various of strategies to enlarge and expand their business to the different

    markets in both domestic and global scope. According to Santos et al (2012) and Akgobek

    (2012), these strategies generally based on an internally growing which is expressed as raw

    organic growth of the firm, or externally expansion that is building strategic corporation

    bridges such as mergers and acquisitions (hereinafter referred as M&A). Moreover, according

    to Khan (2011), the recent economic difficulties, besides a cut throat competition in the

    financial markets, bereave the chance of week structured firms to survive, and forcing them

    either to death or M&A. On other hand, as Kyei-Mensah (2011) states, the most recent

    business expansions at international level are made through M&A, due to its less cost of

    market entrance than other methods, and it is a phenomenon that the corporate investment is

    the quickest way to increase shareholders wealth. Plus, according to Kumar and Bansal

    (2008), Malucha (2009), and Akgobek (2012) another rationale of preference of M&A

    strategy too often is establishing greater market power, and getting a competitive advantage

    over rivals. They believe that M&A and other strategic alliances are reforming the structure

    of the corporation by empowering its competitive relations in the market.

    Furthermore, as rationale of M&A, Roberts et al (2003) opine that besides gaining access to

    new markets, seizing access to source of raw materials can be aimed as aftermath of the

    strategy for new opportunities. Moreover, as Malucha (2009), Khan (2011), and Akgobek

    (2012) state, merge of two entities sometimes creates more new value than sum of each

    separate, which is know as synergy effect, and this can entice the firms at tough periods.

    Also, the author believes that, one another motive behind M&A is that it helps to increase the

    market share and cost efficiency of the firm. Moreover, according to Motis (2007) and

    Akgobek (2012), the M&A strategy can be aimed as feasible method of growing in particular

    markets by diversifying the risk associated assets, and thus increasing the efficiency.

    1.2. Recent M&A Activities in UK

    According to Tzonis (2008), since the last three decades, the literature has witnessed

    noteworthy increase in the numbers of M&A in the UK. As author states, only during the

    period of 1980-1990, two hundred and sixty three (263) public listed firms, and hundred and

    thirty seven (137) non financial firms, in total three hundred and ninety three (393) firms

  • were acquired. The cost of these acquisitions were nearly 32bn by the end of the 1995. On

    other hand, in recent years, the M&A activities in UK tend to decline. According to Heera

    (2013), the volume of deals in the last quarter of 2009 were 1176, whereas in the last quarter

    of 2010 it declined to 989. Likewise, the value of deals in the same period of 2009 and 2010,

    were 65.5bn and 55.6bn respectively. Moreover, the author states that most of these UK

    deals (%15) were made with U.S, (%5) Australia, and (%3) Germany.

    Table 1: Recent M&A Activities in UK

    Source: (Heera, 2013)

    On other hand, in M&A, evaluation of utilities or assets, assessing their fundamental value is

    crucial. For instance, Sovbetov (2012) in his study about privatization of stated owned

    monopolies, criticises the Thatcher's privatization policy of British commanding height such

    as British gas, oil, railway, airways, and etc. He underlines that the Thatcher government

    failed in evaluating these state owned utilities, and they were undervalued than their

    fundamental value, while their shares were acquired.

    1.3. Firm Valuation in M&A

    Chaplinsky and Schill (2000) in their notes about valuation methods in mergers and

    acquisition, stated that there are a few method tools available in assessing the fundamental

    fair value of the enterprise in M&A such as dividend-cash-flow-based approach, earnings-

    based approach, and assets-based approach. Here, the authors explain the dividend-cash-

  • flow-based approach as, the value that derived from future cash flows of the firm by

    discounting it to the present day values. As well as, Malucha (2009) and Sovbetov (2012), in

    their researches, analyzed this method by breaking into two parts: firstly, assuming that

    enterprise has infinitive life and fixed future cash flows, and secondly, enterprise with

    infinitive life, but annual growth rate was associated to the future cash flows. Here,

    Chaplinsky and Schill (2000) underline that, %100 of profit after tax (PAT) are considered as

    net free cash flow disregarding the dividend payments and retentions. They firstly, scheduled

    annual cash flows of the firm assuming it has infinitive life, and afterwards, they discounted

    the cash flows with weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to the present day values. This

    WACC can be determined through CAPM calculations. On other hand, Franceschi (2008)

    and Sovbetov (2012) state that this method funded on many assumptions and future

    estimations. For instance, annual growth percentage g is calculated through past years

    figures, to be applied for future cash flow stream. As well as, in case of annual growth (g)

    penetrated, when the WACC (Cost of capital, shareholders return) is smaller than g then this

    method fails to be valid.

    In case of earnings-based valuation approach, Franceschi (2008) and Sovbetov (2012) state

    that for public listed firms, the PE ratio should be multiplied with firm's earnings to calculate

    the fundamental value of the firm. In case of private companies, the PE ratio should be

    borrowed with similar type of company in same industry among listed ones. Also, a dilution

    percentage should be considered according to borrowing conditions, restriction of shares and

    information of private companies. The authors believe that it is the major limitation of this

    valuation method.

    In case of assets-based valuation approach, it is one of the mostly used methods where the PE

    preserves its uncertainty, it lessens the future assumptions and estimations. However,

    according to Sovbetov (2012), it is very dependent to the book values on balance sheet, and

    may belie the acquirers or investors in assessing its fair value. As the author and Franceschi

    (2008) underlined, another limitation of this method is that, it ignores the intangible assets.

    Despite that the effects of these limitations were improved with International Financial

    Accounting Standards (IFRS), it still has lacks and difficulties in representing the

    fundamental value of the enterprises. In addition, in his report Franceschi (2008) claim that,

    the book value (henceforth referred as BV) dependency of this method can be mitigated by

    the formula that he mentioned in his study as following.

  • 1.4. Research Objectives

    The process of M&A from firm valuation till aftermath impact was subjected to many

    researches so far. Similarly, in this research the author interests in researching the business

    valuation techniques that used in M&A activities in UK, as well as, the early impacts of

    M&A process on the acquirer firms key financial indicators. Here is the brief summary of

    objectives of this research.

    - To examine the impact of M&A on profitability of the acquirer banks

    - To examine the impact of M&A on liquidity of the acquirer banks

    - To examine the impact of M&A on capital structure of the acquirer banks

    - To analyze the bid strategies in UK bank acquisitions

    - To analyze the firm valuation techniques in M&A in UK bank industry

    2. LITERATURE REVIEW OF EMPIRICAL STUDIES

    Till today, many researchers such as have investigated both the firm valuations techniques

    during M&A activities (Chaplinsky & Schill (2000) in US; Franceschi (2008) in Italy;

    Malucha (2009); Sensarma & Jayadev (2010) in India; Kyei-Mensah (2011) in US), and the

    impacts of M&A on acquirer firms key financial indicators (Sudarsanam et al (2001), Guest

    (2007), and Tzonis (2008) in UK; Salleh et al (2013) in Malaysia; Badreldin & Kalhoefer

    (2009) in Egypt; Maditinos et al (2009) and Liargovas & Repousis (2011) in Greece;

    Dutescu et al (2013) in Romania; Akben-Selcuk & Altiok-Yilmaz (2011) in Turkey;

    Govender (2010) and Wilson (2013) in South Africa; Omah et al (2013) and Akinbuli &

    Kelilume (2013) in Nigeria; Gersdorff & Bacon (2009) and Burns & Liebenberg (2010) in

    US; Kumar & Bansal (2008), Khan (2011) and Poornima & Subhashini (2013) in India;

    Samitas et al (2008); Altunbas & Ibanez (2004), Renneboog & Szilagyi (2007), and Cocris et

    al (2011) in Europe; Cloodt et al (2006) in America, Asia, Europe; Zhou et al (2011) in Asia

    and Latin America; Simoes et al (2012) in Latin America).

    2.1. Empirical Researches in Europe

    Altunbas and Ibanez (2004) investigated the strategic similarities of M&A activities and its

    impact on the banks performance in Europe through the sample of 225 banks over the period

  • of 1995-2004. They utilized the descriptive, multivariate, and regression analyses to assess

    the impact. The authors found out that the bidder banks are more cost efficient than target

    ones. But on other hand, in case of credit risk profile, the authors found that the targets have a

    better view than the bidder ones. In addition, they also stated that the efficiency and deposit

    strategies of mergers are improving their performance in both case of domestic and cross-

    border M&As, but the dissimilarities in capital structures could be conducive to lower

    performance.

    Cocris et al (2011) investigated the impact of M&As on banking performance in Europe

    through the 18 bank acquisitions over the period of 2001-2009 via utilizing the descriptive,

    regression, and correlation analyses. As an aftermath, they found that the M&A helps to

    improve the technical efficiency of target banks. More interestingly, the authors conclude that

    the M&A activities do not have significant impact on market value of the bidders shares.

    Renneboog and Szilagyi (2007) studied the impact of M&A activities on bond performance

    in Europe through the 225 M&A events over the period of 1995-2004 by utilizing the

    multivariate and regression analyses. As a result, they observed that the bonds underperform

    in cross-border M&As comparing to domestic ones. They also stated that the European

    bidders are less sensitive to the asset and financial risk effects of M&As.

    Liargovas and Repousis (2011) investigated the impact of M&As on performance of Greek

    banking sector through the sample of 26 bank acquisitions over the period of 1996-2009 by

    utilizing regression analysis. As a conclusion, they found the similar result as the Cocris et al

    (2011) found in their study, that the M&A activities do not create a wealth on both bidder

    and target banks. However, they got conflicted in results with Cocris et al (2011), in case of

    impact on share values that they observed positive abnormal returns on both bidder and target

    share values before ten days of announcement.

    Maditinos et al (2009) studied the same subject with Liargovas and Repousis (2011), exactly

    in the same region. But the authors focused only on two bank acquisitions in 1999: Ioniki-

    Laiki bank and Pisteos bank. They exercised covariance, regression, and correlation analyses,

    and found that the M&A announcements have temporary impact on both bidder and target

    shares. This result showed the similarity with Liargovas and Repousis (2011) ones.

    Franceschi (2008) studied the valuation techniques in M&A activities over the period of

    2002-2007 in Italy through 19 consultant reports by utilizing regression analysis. As a result,

  • he found that Italian consultant firms have used several valuation methods with wide range of

    exchange ratios, but the dividend discount model (excess capital) was the most preferred one

    among others.

    Dutescu et al (2013) investigated the impact of M&As on performance of target firms in

    Romania through the sample observation of 10 M&A events over the period of 2007-2009.

    They examined the transaction analysis of these M&As with the data of 2007, and compared

    it with three-years post-acquisition profitability data of 2009. As a result, they found that %80

    of related activities in Romania were not profitable for the target firms.

    On the contrary to Dutescu et al (2013), Akben-Selcuk and Altiok-Yilmaz (2011) studied the

    impact of M&As on performance of acquirer firms in Turkey through the sample of 63 M&A

    events over the period of 2003-2007 by utilizing regression analysis. As an aftermath, they

    found that the returns of the stocks who involved in M&A activities are higher than average

    return of the industry. Moreover, they found that the profitability of acquirers tends to decline

    after conclusion of acquisition processes.

    Guest (2007) in his study researched the impact of M&As on executive compensation in UK

    through 4528 M&A events over the period of 1984-2001, and found significant pay increase

    in the year following acquisition. But afterwards he observed a decline in following two years

    that offset the initial increase. He opines that, the reason of initial increase could be the bonus

    payments besides permanent salaries. Moreover, he found no evidence of compensation is

    related to the acquisition performance, whether it is good or bad strategic decision, effects the

    compensation increase.

    Sudarsanam et al (2001) in their study of glamour acquirers and value acquirers post-

    acquisition performance in UK by analyzing 543 acquisitions during 1982-1995, have found

    that shareholders of value acquirers (low market-book value) experienced higher returns than

    glamour acquirers (high market-book value) in the first three years of post-acquisition period.

    Similarly, they found that the acquirers with low PE ratio have outperformed the acquirers

    with higher PE ratio over the first three years of post-acquisition period.

    Tzonis (2008) investigated the influences and reasons of M&As in UK through the sample of

    470 M&A events over the period of 1986-2005 by observing the t-statistic test. As a result, he

    concluded his research by stating that no evidence of M&A impact on stock market and

    business cycle at industrial level, but there is a strong one in aggregate level.

  • Table 2: Summary of Empirical Research Results in Europe

    Reference Origin Sample Period Model Result

    Altunbas &

    Ibanez (2004) Europe

    225

    Banks

    1995-

    2004

    Descriptive Analysis

    Multivariate

    Regression

    1. Bidders are more cost efficient than targets.

    2. Total assets of bidders are 7 times larger

    than targets.

    3. ROE has increased after M&A.

    Cocris et al

    (2011) Europe

    18

    Bank

    M&As

    2001-

    2009

    Descriptive Analysis

    Regression Analysis

    Pearson Correlation

    1. The M&A improves the technical efficiency

    of the target banks.

    2. The M&A does not

    change market value of the bidder's shares.

    Renneboog &

    Szilagyi (2007) Europe

    225

    M&As

    1995-

    2004

    Multivariate

    Regression

    1. European bidders are less sensitive to the

    asset and financial risk effects of M&As.

    2. Bonds underperform in cross-border M&As

    relative to domestic deals.

    Liargovas &

    Repousis (2011) Greece

    26

    Bank

    M&As

    1996-

    2009 Regression Analysis

    1. The M&As do not create a wealth on bidder

    or target banks.

    2. Before 10 days of announcement the share

    values of bidder and target banks get positive

    abnormal returns.

    Maditinos et al

    (2009) Greece

    2 Bank

    M&As 1999

    Descriptive Analysis

    Autocorrelation

    Autocovariance

    Autoregressive

    The announcements have temporary impact on

    the value of bidder and target stocks.

    Franceschi

    (2008) Italy

    19

    Reports

    2002

    2007 Regression Analysis

    The Dividend Discount Model - Excess Capital

    is the most used valuation method.

    Dutescu et al

    (2013) Romania

    10

    M&As

    2007-

    2009 Transaction Analysis

    %80 of M&As in Romania in 2007 were not

    profitable.

    Akben-Selcuk

    & Altiok-

    Yilmaz (2011)

    Turkey 63

    M&As

    2003-

    2007 Regression Analysis

    1. Returns for stocks who involved in M&As

    exceed average industry returns.

    2. Profitability of acquirers declined after

    acquisitions.

    Guest (2007) UK 4528

    M&As

    1984-

    2001

    Regression Analysis

    t-test

    1. There is strong increase of pay in cross-

    border acquisitions at international levels, but

    no of higher pay increase in domestic ones.

    2. There is no evidence of differences in pay

    changes between public and private

    acquisitions.

    Sudarsanam et

    al (2001) UK

    543

    M&As

    1982-

    1995 t-test

    1. Shareholders of value acquirers experienced

    higher returns than glamour acquirers.

    2. The acquirers with low PE ratio

    outperformed the higher ones.

    Tzonis (2008) UK 470

    M&As

    1986-

    2005 t-test

    There is no evidence that M&As have impact

    on stock market and the business cycle at

    industrial level, but there is strong one in

    aggregate level.

    Source: (The authors own elaboration)

  • 2.2. Empirical Researches in America

    Gersdorff and Bacon (2009) examined the M&A activities in US, and its impact on market

    efficiency, through observing 20 M&A events in the period of 2007 by utilizing regression

    analysis tool. As a result, they found that there is an action in stock prices of acquirers only

    after thirty days from announcement. This result is conflicting with Tzonis (2008), Cocris et

    al (2011), and Liargovas & Repousis (2011), but it is consistent with Akben-Selcuk and

    Altiok-Yilmaz (2011), and Sudarsanam et al (2001) findings.

    Burns and Liebenberg (2010) pursued an observation about US takeovers in foreign markets

    over the period of 2008-2009 by analyzing 1967 M&A events via multivariate regression

    analysis tool. As a result, they found that US acquisitions had a positive impact on emerging

    market firms, and small impact on developed markets.

    Kyei-Mensah (2011) investigated the impact of M&A activities on wealth of US firms

    through analyzing 401 M&A events over the period of 1988-2008 by utilizing descriptive,

    regression, correlation, students test, and Wilcoxon-signed rank test analyses. As an

    aftermath, he found that after M&A announcements the cumulative abnormal returns of

    acquiring shareholders tend to decline significantly within comparison to the acquired ones.

    Zhou et al (2011) in their research of bank M&A activities in emerging markets of Asia and

    Latin America, found that the announcements create a return for target bank shareholders, but

    there is no evidence that the acquirers wealth are decreased. They pursued this observation

    through 132 bank M&A events over the period of 1998-2009 by exercising multivariate

    regression analysis tool.

    Simoes et al (2012) pursued the similar investigation as Gersdorff and Bacon (2009) did in

    2009. In this study, the authors sampled the region considering only Latin American

    countries such as Argentina, Brazil, and Chile. As an observation nearly 53 M&A events over

    the period of 1995-2008 were analyzed. It means 742 rows of data were penetrated through

    regression analysis. As a result, they found that M&A announcements signalled value

    creations in above mentioned countries stock markets.

  • Table 3: Summary of Empirical Research Results in America

    Reference Origin Sample Period Model Result

    Gersdorff &

    Bacon (2009) US

    20

    M&As 2007 Regression Analysis

    There is an action in stock prices of acquirers 30

    days after announcement.

    Burns &

    Liebenberg

    (2010)

    US 1967

    M&As

    2008-

    2009

    Multivariate

    Regression

    U.S. acquisitions have a positive impact on

    emerging market firms and small impact on

    developed markets.

    Kyei-Mensah

    (2011) US

    401

    M&As

    1988-

    2008

    Descriptive Analysis

    Regression Analysis

    Correlation Analysis

    Wilcoxon-signed rank

    t-test

    After announcement, cumulative abnormal

    returns of acquiring shareholders declined

    significantly within comparison to the acquired

    ones.

    Zhou et al

    (2011)

    Asia &

    Latin

    America

    132

    M&As

    1998-

    2009

    Multivariate

    Regression

    The M&A announcements in Asia and Latin

    America created return for the shareholders of

    target banks, whereas there was no evidence that

    the wealth of acquirer shareholders is diminished.

    Simoes et al

    (2012)

    Latin

    America

    53

    M&As

    1995-

    2008 Regression

    M&A news signalled value creation in the

    Argentinean, Brazilian, and Chile stock market.

    Source: (The authors own elaboration)

    2.3. Empirical Researches in Africa

    Badreldin and Kalhoefer (2009) studied the impact of M&As on Egyptian banks

    performances, by analyzing 10 banks M&A events through the period of 2002-2007. They

    selected three-years pre-acquisition data, and three-years post-acquisition data. They

    compared the pre and post profitability data, and found no evidence of M&A impacts on

    banks profitability.

    Govender (2010) in his study investigated the relationship between the accounting quality

    and performance of acquirers by analyzing 797 South African acquisitions through the period

    of 2001-2009. The author found similar result as Sudarsanam et al (2001) found, that the

    value acquirers outperformed the glamour acquirers in the post-acquisition period. Moreover,

    the author observed that an increase in earnings of the glamour acquirers in last three years of

    pre-acquisition period, and a decrease in earnings in first three years of post-acquisition

    period.

    Akinbuli and Kelilume (2013) examined the impact of M&A activities on firms growth and

    profitability in Nigeria. They sampled 10 banks M&A events over the period of 2004-2008,

    by utilizing regression analysis. As a result, they found that the impact of M&A activities

    have temporary effects on firms growth and profitability. Therefore, they as a conclusion they

    stated that M&As are not a solution for the financial distress in Nigeria bank industry.

  • Omah et al (2013) pursued an investigation in the same region and industry with Akinbuli

    and Kelilume (2013). As a difference, the authors here, sampled 20 banks M&A events over

    the period of 2001-2010 by aiming to measure the M&A effects on shareholders value. As a

    aftermath of regression analysis, they observed a marginal increase in shareholders value

    creation.

    Wilson (2013) in his study in South Africa, investigated the trends and determinants of

    M&A activities targeting the country firms, by observing 1072 M&A events through the

    period of 1991-2011 via regional, Poisson distribution, negative binomial regression, and

    variance analyses tools. As a result, she found that UK and US are the main acquirers of

    South Africa firms. Moreover, as determinants of M&A, she found the share price, market

    size, and macroeconomic stability are main factors in the country in M&A activities.

    Table 4: Summary of Empirical Research Results in Africa

    Reference Origin Sample Period Model Result

    Badreldin &

    Kalhoefer (2009) Egypt

    10

    Bank

    M&As

    2002-

    2007 Comparative Analysis

    There is no evidence that M&A has impact on

    banks profitability.

    Govender (2010) South

    Africa

    797

    M&As

    2001-

    2009

    Descriptive Analysis

    T-test

    1. The value acquirers outperformed the

    glamour acquirers in the post-acquisition

    period.

    Akinbuli &

    Kelilume (2013) Nigeria

    10

    Banks

    2004-

    2008 Regression Analysis

    The M&As helps improve financial distress

    only on temporary basis.

    Omah et al

    (2013) Nigeria

    20

    Banks

    2001-

    2010 Regression Analysis

    There is a marginal positive impact of M&As

    on shareholders value creation.

    Wilson (2013) South

    Africa

    1072

    M&As

    1991-

    2011

    Descriptive Analysis

    Regional Analysis

    Poisson Distribution

    Negative Binomial

    Regression

    Variance

    1. United Kingdom and United States of

    America are the main acquirers of South Africa

    firms.

    2. Share prices, Market size, return rate, and

    macroeconomic stability are important

    determinants of location of M&A activity.

    Source: (The authors own elaboration)

  • 2.4. Empirical Researches in Asia

    Cloodt et al (2006) in their research about impact of M&As on innovative performance of

    firms in high-tech industries, found that non-technological M&As have negative impact on

    acquirers performance due to its extra costs in repairing the disruptions that occurred in

    adoption period. They pursued this research through 2429 M&A events in America, Asia, and

    Europe over the period of 1985-1994 by utilizing regression analysis.

    Kumar and Bansal (2008) investigated the impact of M&A activities on Indian firms

    performance, through sampling 74 M&A events related to the period of 2000-2003. By

    comparing the gathered data, the found that %60 of acquirers improved their performance in

    post-acquisition period. Meantime, the authors state that the working capital and gearing ratio

    are increased in post-acquisition period.

    Khan (2011) in his research aimed to explore the rationales and driving forces of M&A

    activities in India banking sector, by focusing on 4 bank M&A events over the period of

    2005-2011 via t-statistic test tool. As a result, he found significance difference between pre

    and post merger ratios such as NP (net profit), ROCE, ROE, and DE(debt-equity).

    Sensarma and Jayadev (2010) explored the same country by the sample of 27 bank merger

    events over the period of 1986-2003. He aimed to assess the efficiency, economic scale, and

    valuation effect of these merger events by exercising regression analysis. As a result, he

    found that in forced mergers, none of the shareholders gain value, but in voluntary mergers,

    the bidders shareholders gain more that targeted ones.

    Poornima and Subhashini (2013) pursued an investigation aiming to assess the impact of the

    type of M&As on Indian firms performance by observing 33 M&A events in the period of

    2009-2010. They utilized the paired t-test analysis, and found that the type of mergers is

    irrelevant to the acquirers performance in Indian industries.

    Finally, Salleh et al (2013) in their study, measured the efficiency of M&As in Malaysian

    telecommunication industry by applying multiple regression analysis to the 6 banks data

    relating the period of 2005-2010. As a result, they found that asset efficiency of acquirers

    tend to decrease after M&A. Moreover, they observed that high sequence of acquisitions

    decreases the asset efficiency of acquirers.

  • Table 5: Summary of Empirical Research Results in Asia

    Reference Origin Sample Period Model Result

    Cloodt et al

    (2006)

    America,

    Asia,

    Europe

    2429

    M&As

    1985

    1994 Regression Analysis

    Non-technological M&As have negative

    impact on acquirer's performance due to its

    extra resources to repair the disruptions.

    Kumar &

    Bansal (2008) India

    74

    M&As

    2000-

    2003 Comparative Analysis

    Acquirers performance has been improved in

    post-M&A period.

    Khan (2011) India 4 Banks 2005-

    2011 t-test

    There is significance difference between the

    pre and post merger NP, ROCE, ROE, DE.

    Sensarma &

    Jayadev (2010) India

    27

    Banks

    1986-

    2003 Regression Analysis

    In forced mergers, none of shareholders

    (bidder/target) gain value. In voluntary

    mergers, the bidder's shareholders gain more

    than the targeted ones.

    Poornima &

    Subhashini

    (2013)

    India 33

    M&As

    2009-

    2010 Paired t-test

    The type of mergers does not have impact on

    acquirer's performance.

    Salleh et al

    (2013) Malaysia

    6 Bank

    M&As

    2005-

    2010 Multiple Regression

    1. Asset efficiency of acquirers tend to

    decrease after M&A.

    2. High sequence of acquisitions decreases the

    asset efficiency of acquirers.

    Source: (The authors own elaboration)

    3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

    3.1. Type of Research

    Starting with theoretical bases, and following the empirical research results, this research will

    make an observation as parallel with the characteristics of deductive reasoning approach. As

    the impacts of M&A on key financial ratios in UK bank sector over the period of 2000-2013,

    are aimed to be measured, the type of this research should be based on quantitative approach.

    3.2. Data Description & Analysis

    All banks which involved to the M&A activities in the period of 2000-2013 should be sorted

    out, and their data should be gathered from annual reports that is the secondary data source.

    As key financial indicators the profitability, efficiency, and structural ratios are involved to

    the analysis. These ratios are described below.

    a) Profitability Ratios: Net Profit (NP), ROE, ROA, ROCE

    b) Efficiency Ratios: Current Ratio (CR), Liquidity Ratio (LIQ)

    c) Structural Ratios: Debt-Equity (DE), Total Debt to Total Capital (DC)

  • At least 25 M&A events are aimed as observation number for this research, and taking into

    consideration of twelve-years data, that will formulate a table with 350 rows of data. All the

    related data are aimed to be sorted out, and penetrated through the regression and correlation

    analysis to observe the impacts.

    3.3. Research Framework

    First concept of the research is based on pre and post M&A periods. Five-years pre M&A

    period, and five-years post M&A period would be satisfactory to compare and assess the

    M&A impacts on banks key financials. Second concept of the research is based on evaluating

    the impacts with regression and correlation analysis without classifying as pre and post

    periods. In addition, both of these concepts would involve the examination of the most

    accurate valuation techniques in UK banking M&A activities.

    3.4. Research Hypothesis

    The following hypotheses are formulates as research questions.

    H1: There is a significant impact of M&As on profitability of the banks.

    H2: There is a significant impact of M&As on efficiency of the banks.

    H3: There is a significant impact of M&As on capital structure of the banks.

    H4: All valuation methods of banks in UK have similar results, therefore their preference are

    irrelevant.

    3.5. Research Difficulties

    According to the Sovbetov (2013), the banks have different structure than other financial

    institutions. The differences in regulatory regime, and the rules described in the Basel

    Accords, distinct the banks from others. One another limitation is the lack of transparency of

    the bank reports, as Sovbetov (2013) underlined. The reliability of this research would base

    on annual published reports of the related banks. In addition, as a final limitation, the

    metaphor of too big to fail gives to banks a privilege effigy with government backing

    supports and tolerance. Therefore, investigate these firms become more difficult than other

    financial institutions.

  • 4. TIMESCALE

    In order to manage the time efficiently, the following grant chart was formulated by the

    author of this research proposal.

    Figure 1: Time Schedule of this Research Proposal

    Source: (Designed by author)

    Literature Review

    Market Observation

    Empirical Results

    Methodology

    Data Collection

    Data Analysis

  • 5. REFERENCES

    Akben-Selcuk, E. & Altiok-Yilmaz, A. (2011). The Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions on

    Acquirer Performance: Evidence from Turkey. Business and Economics Journal, Vol.11,

    No.22, pp.1-8.

    Akgobek, I. (2012). Mergers and Acquisitions as a Growth Strategy. International

    Conference on Business, Economics, and Behavioral Sciences. April. Pattaya.

    Akinbuli, S.F. & Kelilume, I. (2013). The Effects of Mergers and Acquisition on Corporate

    Growth and Profitability: Evidence from Nigeria. Global Journal of Business Research.

    Vol.7, No.1, pp.43-58.

    Altunbas, Y. & Ibanez, D.M. (2004). Mergers and Acquisitions and Bank Performance in

    Europe: The role of strategic similarities. European Central Bank. Working Paper Series

    No.398, October, pp.1-35.

    Badreldin, A. & Kalhoefer, C. (2009). The Effect of Mergers and Acquisitions on Bank

    Performance in Egypt. Faculty of Management Technology. German University in Cairo.

    Working Paper No.18. October, pp.1-15.

    Burns, N. & Liebenberg, I. (2010). The impact of U.S. takeovers in foreign markets: Do they

    impact emerging and developed markets differently? Journal of Corporate Finance, Vol.17,

    No.4, September. pp.1028-1046.

    Cai, Y. (2013). The Impact of Merger and Acquisition Announcements on the US Utility

    Industry. Master of Finance. Saint Mary's University.

    Chaplinsky, S. & Schill, M.J. (2000). Note on Valuation Analysis for Mergers and

    Acquisitions. Darden School Foundation, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA.

    Cloodt, M., Hagedoorn, J. & Van Kranenburg, H. (2006). Mergers and Acquisitions: Their

    effect on the innovative performance of companies in high-tech industries. Research Policy,

    Vol.35, No.x, pp.642-654.

    Cocris, V., Nichetean, A.L. & Andries, A.M. (2011). The Impact of Mergers and Acqusitions

    on Banking Performance. Review of Economic & Business Studies, Vol.4, No.1, pp.79-92.

    Dutescu, A., Ponorica, A.G. & Stanila, G.O. (2013). Effects of Mergers and Acquisitions on

    Financial Performance of the Target Company. Nicolae Titulescu University, Challenges of

    the Knowledge Society.

    Franceschi, L.F. (2008). Valuation of Banks in Mergers. Accademic Affilation, Catholic

    University of Milan. February.

    Goddard, J., Molyneux, P. & Zhou, T. (2012). Bank Mergers and Acquisitions in Emerging

    Markets: evidence from Asia and Latin America. Vol.18, No.5, pp.419-438

  • Govender, A. (2010). Accounting Earnings Quality and Merger & Acquisition Performance

    in South Africa. Master of Management in Finance and Investments. WITS Business School.

    Guest, P. (2007). The Impact of Mergers and Acquisition on Executive Pay in the United

    Kingdom. Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge. Working Paper No. 354.

    September.

    Heera, S. (2013). UK Mergers and Acquisitions fall during 2010. Experian Analysis.

    Retrieved from: < http://press.experian.com/United-Kingdom/Press-

    Release/uk%20mergers%20and%20acquisitions%20fall%20during%202010%20according%

    20to%20experian%20analysis.aspx> [Accessed 19 July 2013]

    Ismail, T.H., Abdou, A.A. & Annis, R.M. (2011). Review of Literature Linking Corporate

    Performance to Mergers and Acquisitions. The Review of Financial and Accounting Studies.

    Vol.x, No.1, pp.89-104.

    Khan, A.A. (2011). Merger and Acquisitions (M&As) in the Indian Banking Sector in Post

    Liberalization Regime. International Journal of Contemporary Business Studies. Vol.2,

    No.11, November, pp.31-45.

    Kumar, S. & Bansal, L.K. (2008). The Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions on Corporate

    Performance in India. Management Decision. Vol.46, No.10, pp.1531-1543.

    Kyei-Mensah, J. (2011). Wealth Effects of Mergers and Acquisitions for U.S. Firms: using

    alternative pricing models. PhD Thesis, Finance and Accounting, Aston University, March.

    Liargovas, P. & Repousis, S. (2011). The Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions on the

    Performance of the Greek Banking Sector: An Event Study Approach. International Journal

    of Economics and Finance Vol.3, No.2, May, pp.89-100.

    Maditinos, D.,Theriou, N. & Demetriades, E. (2009). The Effect of Mergers and Acquisitions

    on the Performance of Companies The Greek Case of Ioniki-Laiki Bank and Pisteos Bank.

    European Research Studies,Vol.XII, No.2. pp.111-130.

    Malucha, M. (2009). Business Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions. University of

    Szczecin. Faculty of Economics and Management.

    Motis, J. (2007). Mergers and Acquisitions Motives. Toulouse School of Economics,

    University of Crete, Working Papers No.730.

    Omah, I., Okolie, J.U. & Durowoju, S.T. (2013). Mergers and Acquisitions: Effects on

    Shareholders Value Evidence from Nigeria. International Journal of Humanities and Social

    Science. Vol.3, No.6, March.

    Poornima, S. & Subhashini, S. (2013). Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions Across Industries

    in India. International Journal of Management Research and Development, Vol.3, No.2,

    April-May, pp.113-125.

  • Reed, M. & Babool, M.A. (2003). Factors Affecting International Mergers and Acquisitions.

    International Food and Agribusiness Management Review. Vol.6, No.4, pp.63-77.

    Renneboog, L. & Szilagyi, P.G. (2007). Bond Performance in Mergers and Acquisitions: The

    Impact and Spillover of Governance and Legal Standards. ECGI Finance Working Paper

    Series No.125. Rochester, NY: Social Science Electronic Publishing Inc.

    Roberts, A., Wallace, W., & Moles, P. (2003). Mergers and Acquisitions. Edinburgh

    Business School, Heriot-Watt University. UK.

    Salleh, W.A., Mahmood, W.M., Sufian, F., Jamarudi, E.M., Nair, G.K. & Ahmad, S. (2013).

    The Efficiency of Mergers and Acquisitions in Malaysia Based Telecommunication

    Companies. Asian Social Science, Vol.9, No.2, pp.12-23.

    Samitas, A., Kenourgios, D. & Tsakalos, I. (2008). The Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions

    on World Energy Enterprises Stock Returns. International Journal of Business Research.

    Vol.8, No.1, pp.191-201.

    Santos, J.C., Ferreira, M.P., Reis, N.R. & Almeida, M.R. (2012). Mergers & Acquisitions

    Research: A bibliometric study of top strategy and international business journals. Center of

    Research in International Business & Strategy. Working Paper No: 91. May.

    Sensarma, R. & Jayadev, M. (2010). Efficiency, scale economies and valuation effects:

    evidence from bank mergers in India. International Journal of Financial Services

    Management, Vol.4, No.4, pp.311-337

    Simoes, M.D., Macedo-Soares, T.D., Klotzle, M.C. & Pinto, A.C.F. (2012). Assessment of

    Market Efficiency in Argentina, Brazil and Chile: an Event Study of Mergers and

    Acquisitions. Brazilian Administration Review, Vol.9, No.2, Art.6, pp.229-245.

    Sovbetov, Y. (2012). Financial Markets and Investment Analysis. London School of

    Commerce, Cardiff Metropolitan University, December.

    Sovbetov, Y. (2013). Relationship between Capital Structure & Profitability: Evidence from

    UK Banking Industry Over the Period of 2007-2012. MBA Thesis, Cardiff Metropolitan

    University, UK.

    Sudarsanam, S., Mahate, A.A. & Freeman, A. (2001). Glamour Acquirers, Method of

    Payment and Post-Acquisition Performance: The UK Evidence. Journal of Empirical

    Finance, Vol.5, No.x, pp.27-46.

    Tzonis, L.V. (2008). Driving Forces Behind Mergers and Acquisitions Activity: The

    Aggregate Economic Activity and the Stock Market. PhD Thesis, University of Northumbria,

    May.

    Von Gersdorff, N. & Bacon, F. (2009). U.S. Mergers and Acquisitions: A Test of Market

    Efficiency. Journal of Finance and Accountancy, Vol.1, No.8, pp.1-8.

  • Wang, J. (2007). Motives and Effects of Mergers and Acquisitions. MA in Finance and

    Investment Thesis. University of Nottingham. September.

    Wilson, M.K. (2013). Trends and Determinants of Mergers and Acquisitions Targeting South

    Africa 1990-2011. Financial Globalization and Sustainable Finance Conference, Cape Town,

    29-31 May.