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06/09/2016 1 Research methodology for nurses Assoc. Prof. Dr. Jamalludin Ab Rahman B.Med.Sc., MD, MPH Department of Community Medicine Kulliyyah of Medicine International Islamic University Malaysia Contents Why we do research? How we do research? Effective literature search & management Choosing best study design Planning for data collection Planning for statistical test How to write for publication 6 September 2016 Research methodology for nurses 2

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Page 1: Research methodology for nursesiiumedic.net/biostatistics/v4/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Research... · inference to causality Prevalence-incidence bias (Nyman bias) e.g. if smokers

06/09/2016

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Research methodology for nursesAssoc. Prof. Dr. Jamalludin Ab RahmanB.Med.Sc., MD, MPHDepartment of Community MedicineKulliyyah of MedicineInternational Islamic University Malaysia

Contents Why we do research?

How we do research?

Effective literature search & management

Choosing best study design

Planning for data collection

Planning for statistical test

How to write for publication

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The programmeDay 1

Getting the research idea

Literature review & managing them (using EndNote)

Building conceptual framework

Phrasing objective

Determine best study design

Sampling plan & sample size

Plan for data collection – preparing data dictionary

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The programme….Day 2

Plan for statistical analysis – preparing dummy table

Basic statistical analysis

Descriptive statistics – determine Normality, mean (SD), median (IQR), count (%)

Analytical statistics – compare means, compare proportion, correlation

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Why we do research?

Answers our curiosity?

Forced by our superior

For promotion

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Start with end in mind(Bijaksana)

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Idea

Justify Explore Strategize

Collect

Analyse Report Publish

Initiation

Planning & strategize (proposal)

Data collection

Reporting & sharing

Study designSampling planSample size determinationPlan for data collectionPlan for statistical analysis

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2. SMART objectives

3. Detail data dictionary

4. Expected dummy table

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Organise your research ideaJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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Identify variables involved Main outcomes (dependant)

Explanatory (exposures, factors) variables (independent)

Confounding variables

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Exposure Outcome

Confounder

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Alcohol-based

mouth washOral Cancer

Smoking

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Varkevisser, C. M., Pathmanathan, I., & Brownlee, A. T. (2003). Designing and conducting health systems research projects: Kit Publishers.

Figure 3 Structural Equation Model Showing the Relationship Between Family Processes, Child Characteristics, and Achievement for Girls Aged 6 to 11 years

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Thornley S (2012) Causation and Statistical Prediction: Perfect Strangers or Bedfellows? J Biom Biostat 3:e115. doi:10.4172/2155-6180.1000e115

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Literature Review and Bibliographic ManagementJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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Research add more informationto the circle of knowledge

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ResearchResearch

InformationInformation

New knowledge

New knowledge

LiteratureLiterature

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Literature review is not A chronological catalogue of all

material,

A collection of quotes or paraphrases, or

A sales pitch selling only the good side of a study.

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Literature review is Organised

Structured

Evaluated (critically appraised)

research materials

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The steps – 5S1. Strategise (plan) Most important step

Get your topic, problem statement & conceptual framework ready (& in-sync)

Identify components, variables, keywords & authors

2. Search – by keywords, domains of interest

3. Screen – title & abstract

4. Sort – organise & prioritise materials

5. Summarise – evaluate & re-organise

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Strategise

Search

Sort

Summarise

• Based on problem statement & conceptual framework

• Identify causal relationship, variables, domains, authors

• Organise into the pre-planned structure or domain of interest

• Online – Google, Google scholar, individual journal’s page, unpublished materials

• Use electronic bibliographic apps e.g. EndNote, Mendeley, Papers

• Credibility of articles (journal & authors)

• Identify study population, study design, measurement method used

• Check with the problem statement

• Annotate (e.g. by using EndNote)

• Re-organise the information if needed

Screen

• Screen the title, abstract

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Strategise

Search

Sort

Summarise

• What is OSA? Diagnosis

• Prevalence of OSA• Why study? HPT is

prevalent. OSA is under-diagnosed & could be one of the reason

• HPT OSA• Possible

confounders – Sex, BMI

• Based on Headings: Introduction, Method, Discussion

• Based on domain: Epidemiology of OSA, Causal relationships (with HPT, BMI, Sex)

• Based on point FOR & AGAINST hypothesis

• Subject matters: Obstructive Sleep Apnea (& Apnoea), Sleep Disordered Breathing, Malaysia (local relevance), Hypertension, PSG vs. screening tool

• Designs: Cohort, Case-control

• Confounders

• Credibility of articles (journal & authors)

• Identify study population, study design, measurement method used

• Check with the problem statement

• Annotate (e.g. by using EndNote)

• Re-organise the information if needed

Screen

• Screen the title, abstract

Title: Relationship of OSA & HPTDesign: Case-control (HPT vs. No-HPT)

HPT OSA Male

Obese

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The number of articles found

Alternative spelling

How they were sorted

Time period

Observe the year, author & journal

Full textNumber of citations by Google

You can cite (import) into EndNote

The same doc maybe available at multiple places

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No full text

Full text available

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Domains of interest. Can assign many domains for one article

Customise the header

Include full text or any relevant documents

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Phrasing objectivesJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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SMART Specific – What you really want to do

Measurable – Must be able to be measured

Attainable – Achievable

Relevant – Relevant to you

Timely – Can be done within the time you have

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e.g. To determine the prevalence of breastfeeding among

mothers

Can rephrase to:

To measure the prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding among working mothers attending post-natal clinic in Pahang

To measure the prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding and factors related with it among working mothers attending post-natal clinic in Pahang

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Choosing Best Research DesignsJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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Research design

Design

Observational

Cross sectional

Case-control

Cohort

Experimental

Animal Trial

Clinical Trial

Community Trial

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Measure exposure & outcome & the same time

Fix the outcome. Measure the exposure

Fix the exposure. Measure the outcome

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Cause & Effect

EffectCause

Cause precedes effectTime

Exposure OutcomeSmoking Lung cancer

High fat diet Obesity

New drug Better prognosis

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Cross sectional study

EffectCause

Exposure Outcome

Smoking Lung cancer

High fat diet Obesity

New drug Better prognosis

Observe BOTH Cause & Effect at the same time – No temporal association

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Case-Control study

EffectCause

Exposure Outcome

Smoking Lung cancer

High fat diet Obesity

New drug Better prognosis

Observe the Cause (PAST events)

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Cohort study

EffectCause

Exposure Outcome

Smoking Lung cancer

High fat diet Obesity

New drug Better prognosis

Observe the effect (NEW event)

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Experimental study

EffectCause(New drug)

EffectOther cause

(Control)

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Experimental studyEffect

New drug

Effect

Control

No effect

No effect

RandomisationEligible

populationSampling

Population

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Hierarchy ofEvidence

Randomised controlled trial

Cohort

Case control

Case report

Expert opinion

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Meta-analysis

Systematic review

Cross sectional study Population based – represent population

Measure exposure & outcomes at the same point in time –No temporal association

Impossible to infer causality

Prevalence study – measure magnitude or burden of disease

Descriptive

Repeated cross-sectional study ~ pseudo-longitudinal e.g. British Association for the Study of Community Dentistry (BASCD) guidance on sampling for surveys of child dental health. A BASCD coordinated dental epidemiology programme quality standard (Pine et al. 1997)

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Cross sectional study

Advantages

Measure prevalence of a population

Measure multiple exposures & outcomes

Relatively inexpensive

Relative shorter time

Disadvantages No temporal association – no

inference to causality

Prevalence-incidence bias (Nyman bias) e.g. if smokers die due to AMI faster, a cross-sectional study will reveal less smoker among AMI patients

Health workers effect e.g. when survey done from house to house, only health respondent are available in their home/office

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Cross sectional study - Example NHMS ~ Household study, all Malaysian (N=47,610 for

2006)

NOHSA ~ Adult (>15) (N=14,444 for 2010)

NMCS ~ GP vs. PHC (N~12,000)

NHANES (US) - http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes.htm

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Case control study Fix the outcomes, measure the exposures

Longitudinal

Retrospective

Case = outcome of interest

Control = comparing outcome

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Case control study6

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Research methodology for nurses 48

Case

Control

No exposure

Exposure

No exposure

Exposure

History Now

Lung cancer patients

Healthy patients

Smoking

Non smoking

Smoking

Non smoking

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Lung CancerNo Lung Cancer

Smoking 20 (18.2%) 90 (81.8%)

Not Smoking 5 (4.5%) 105 (95.5%)

2 (df=1)= 10.150, p =0.001, OR = 4.7 (CI95% 1.7 – 13.0)

Because p < 0.05, we reject H0. Therefore there is a different between smoker & non smoker

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Cases

Well defined

Source – institution vs. population

Control

Matched vs. Unmatched

Matching ~ controls resemble the cases with regard to certain characteristics (age, gender, SES etc)

Individual vs. Group matching

Source – institution vs. population

Ratio to cases ~ up to 4:1

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Research methodology for nurses 50

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Case control study

Advantages

Good for rare conditions or diseases

Less time needed to conduct the study because the condition or disease has already occurred

Measure multiple risk factors

Can establish an association

Disadvantages

Recall bias

Not good for evaluating diagnostic tests because it’s already clear that the cases have the condition and the controls do not

It can be difficult to find a suitable control group

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Example Tobacco use and risk of

myocardial infarction in 52 countries in the INTERHEART study: a case-control study. (Teo 2006)

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Cohort study Measure outcomes

Compare incidence of a disease (or condition) among exposed and unexposed individuals over time

Disease free at the onset (or inception)

Repeated measurements ~ follow up

Prospective vs. retrospective cohort

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Cohort study6

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Disease

No disease

No exposure

Exposure

Now Future

Lung cancer

No lung cancer

Smoking

Non smoking

Disease

No disease

Lung cancer

No lung cancer

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Define cohort Both exposed & not exposed groups have equal chance

to:

Develop disease

Be followed-up

Types:

Representative – low exposed subjects

Enriched – high exposed subjects

Specific group – occupational, institution etc

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Measurements Exposure

Carefully defined in advance

Standard measurement for both E+ & E- groups

Outcome

Primary vs. Secondary outcome

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Follow-up Keep participation at > 90%

Equal likelihood to detect disease in all subjects

Active vs. Passive follow-up

Blinding

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ExampleObesity as an Independent Risk Factor for Cardiovascular Disease: A 26-year Follow-up of Participants in the Framingham Heart Study (Hubert 1983)

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Cohort study

Advantages

Infer causality

Measure multiple outcomes

Study rare exposure

Measure incidence

Disadvantages

Costly

Loss to follow up

Large sample size for rare outcomes

Selection bias

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Sampling Plan(Sampling technique & sample size)Jamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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Before we sampleDetermine study place, duration & subjects

Describe study place- especially if plan to represent a population

State time & duration

Who or what are the subjects- population, people, animal etc.

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Subjects Target population

Study population

Sampling frame

Sampling unit

Observation unit

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Example – NHMS III 2006 Target population

Study population

Sampling frame

Sampling unit

Observation unit

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All Malaysian

Household up to strata 6

List of Enumeration Block & Living Quarters

Enumeration Block & Living Quarters

All household in the selected Living Quarters

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Random Non-RandomRepresent a populationMust have sampling frame

• Simple• Systematic• Stratified• Cluster

Still valid if justified

• Convenience• Purposive• Snowball• Volunteer

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Simple

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1 2 43

A

B

C

D

E

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Cluster

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Stratified6

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Random sampling

Random

Simple

Systematic

Stratified

Cluster

Multistage

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The ideal method. Randomly sample 10 students from a class of 50 students.

Follow certain pattern, order. Only first sample is random.

Study population divided intro strata. All strata selected. Portion of sample in each strata sampled.

Study population divided intro clusters. Assume all clusters are the same. Not all clusters selected. Only some will be sampled.

Several sampling techniques applied at different stage.

Non random sampling

Non random

Convenience

Purposive

Quota

Snowball

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Haphazard. Grab sampling. No rules. Just get the sample.

Non representative. Convenience but with certain purpose. E.g. diabetic patients on single insulin therapy.

When the sampling stop after achieving certain size.

Sample by reference or recommendation.

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Example – NHMS III 2006

Two stage stratified random sampling

Target population

Study population

Strata

Clusters

Sampling frame

Sampling unit

Observation unit

Sample distribution

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All Malaysian

Household up to strata 6

List of Enumeration Block & Living Quarters

Enumeration Block & Living Quarters

All household in the selected Living Quarters

State & location (urban or rural)

Enumeration Block & Living Quarters

Proportionate to size

Example – A clinical trial Target population All diabetic patients

Study population Diabetic for at least 1 year on insulin therapy who attended MOPD from Jan-Dec 2014

Sampling frame N/A

Sampling unit Any diabetic who fulfilled the selection criteria

Observation unit Same as SU

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Why we calculate sample size? Estimate sample required for external validity (inference)

& logistic preparation

Justify sample size for research to:

represent population

measure treatment effect (detect difference)

We don’t do research haphazardly

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Sample size is an estimate Best sample size for specific purpose (for the main

objective)

Never an exact value, always an estimate

Calculated for certain expected estimates (outcomes) at certain degree of precision

Expected values - estimated from previous studies or from intelligent ‘guess’

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Plan with the end in mind No one formula fits all

Depending on objective:

1. Represent population

2. Hypothesis testing

Adjust for design effect (based on type of sampling), confidence level, alpha error, power, stratification and anticipated response rate

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Pre-requisites Objective determined

Sampling method known

Estimate the outcome

Precision required

Statistical test used is known

Set the power () and confidence level ()

Anticipate non-response

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Represent population Represent population e.g. state, district, village,

institution etc

Usually for prevalence study e.g. to measure prevalence of hypertension in Malaysia; or mean DMF among adult in Pahang

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Single proportion

/

Where z = value from standard normal distribution corresponding to desired confidence level, ( / =1.96 for 95%CI)

p is expected true proportion

d is desired precision

For small populations n can be adjusted so that

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95% CI is = 0.05/2 = 0.025

/ =1.96

Power 80% or 0.8 = 0.2

=0.84

Example Study to measure prevalence of hypertension in a village

of 1000 people

Expected prevalence = 40%, Precision = 5%, CI=95%, expected non-response 20%

. ∗ . .

.369 ≅ 370

Anticipating non response, 450

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Single mean Study to measure one sample mean

/ ∗

, where s expected standard deviation

(SD)

We use smallest d to get largest n possible

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Example Study to measure average DMF among adults in a

village of 2000 people

Estimated DMF = 11 (SD 10) with the precision of 2 at 95%CI

. ∗

96.04 ≅ 100

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Hypothesis testing How one variable is different from the other

E.g. different % of hypertension between male & female

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Compare two proportions

Total sample size = 2*n

Where p1 and p2 are the expected sample proportions of the two groups; z/2 is the critical value of the Normal distribution at /2 and zβ is the critical value of the Normal distribution at β (e.g. for a power of 80%, β is 0.2 and the critical value is 0.84)

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Example A study to compare prevalence of diabetes mellitus

between male and female. Expected prevalence are 30% vs. 40% respectively. Power 80% at 95% confidence level.

1.96 0.84 ∗. . . .

. .7.9 ∗ 45=355.5

≅ 360

Total sample size = 360 * 2 = 720

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Compare two means

∗ ∗

Where d=smallest means difference and s = standard deviation

Total sample size = 2*n

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Example A study to compare means of HbA1c between diabetic

treated with new drug versus the standard drug (control). Expected difference of 10.5% vs. 11.5% with SD estimated of 5%

∗ 1.96 0.84 395

Total sample size = 790

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Using applications Software or online calculators

Make sure the formula is valid

Suggestion: PS: Power and Sample Size Calculation

http://biostat.mc.vanderbilt.edu/wiki/Main/PowerSampleSize

Epi Info http://wwwn.cdc.gov/epiinfo/7/

OpenEpihttp://www.openepi.com/oe2.3/menu/openepimenu.htm

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Epi Info – Population survey

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Epi Info – Cohort & Cross-sectional6

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Open Epi –Compare two means

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PS - Dichotomous6

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PS – Compare two means

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Planning for Data CollectionJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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You wanna collect now?1. Objectives are clear

2. Variables identified & defined

3. Samples identified

4. Instrument valid & reliable

5. Instrument tested

6. Simulation done

Only then, you go and collect the data

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Variables identified & defined

Conceptual frameworkConceptual framework

Identify variablesIdentify variables

Define variablesDefine variables

How to define variable? Definition

Working definition

How it will be measured

Precision of measurement

How it will be reported

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Furnish the info for each variable e.g. Obesity Definition

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Overweight and obesity are defined as abnormal or excessive fat accumulation that presents a risk to health. (WHO 1998).

Furnish the info for each variable e.g. Obesity Definition

Working definition

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A crude population measure of obesity is the body mass index (BMI), a person's weight (in kilograms) divided by the square of his or her height (in metres). In this study, overweight and obesity are grouped together and labelled as Obesity. Any BMI 25 kg/m2 or above is considered obese (WHO 1998).

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Furnish the info for each variable e.g. Obesity Definition

Working definition

How it will be measured

Precision of measurement

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Weight is measured using calibrated Seca 762 with precision to the nearest of 1 kg

Height using Seca 206 with precision to the nearest 1 mm.

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Make sure the instrument are valid & reliable

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NATIONAL HEALTH AND NUTRITION EXAMINATION SURVEY III. Body Measurements (Anthropometry) 1998

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Furnish the info for each variable e.g. Obesity Definition

Working definition

How it will be measured

Precision of measurement

How it will be reported

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Obesity will be described in count (N) and proportion (%).

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Then only you start to design the data collection form

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Tools to create form Usual word processing (e.g. Word), spreadsheet (e.g.

Excel)

Better with Database (Microsoft Access)

Google Form

EpiInfo Make Questionnaire

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• Test the form• Do complete testing• Revise the form• Run some analyses

Plan for Statistical AnalysisJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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Research idea

General objectives

Specific Objective Specific Objective Specific Objective

Analysis Analysis Analysis

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Type of statistical analysis

AnalyticalDescriptive

e.g. Describe socio-demographic characteristics -Age, Sex, Race etc.

e.g. Prevalence of hypertension.

e.g. Compare demographic characteristics between two population – Compare age between male & female

e.g. Distribution of gender by hypertension status

e.g. How demographic characteristics (more than one factors) explain hypertension

Univariable Bivariable Multivariable

IV DV IV DV IV DV IV

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Steps for the plan1. Focus on each specific objective

2. Decide whether it will be descriptive or analytical

3. For descriptive statistics: Mean (SD) or Median (IQR) or N(%)

4. For analytical (present of hypothesis); state the Ho

5. Select suitable statistical test – usually run Univariate first, then Multivariate

6. Present this in a dummy table

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Dummy table - example6

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Data quality Valid value

e.g. age > 200 years, weight > 500 kg, pregnant male etc

No missing value

Relevant skip responsee.g. Not Applicable response for number of pregnancy for male respondent

Declare method to ensure good data quality – e.g. double data entry

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How to report the results Start with descriptive statistics – usually for baseline

findings e.g. description of study population – socio-demographic or basic clinical characteristics

Proceed with hypothesis testing (if any) – e.g. compare between groups/treatments

State statistical tests used

State data transformation done (if any)

Declare missing value & how they were managed

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Type of data(Level of measurement)

Categorical

Nominal Ordinal

Numerical

Discrete Continuous

e.g. Gender, Race e.g. Cancer staging, Severity of CXR for PTB

e.g. Parity, Gravida

e.g. Hb, RBS, cholesterol.

Data

CategoricalFrequency (count) &

Percentage

Numerical

Normal Mean (SD)

Not Normal Median (Range/IQR)

How to describe a data6

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Bivariable analysis Compare numericals – compare means, compare ranks,

correlation

Compare proportions – chi-square

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Bivariable analysisDependent (outcome)

variable

Numerical Categorical

Independent variable (factor)

Numerical Correlation Independent sample t-test

CategoricalIndependent sample t-test

One-way ANOVA Chi-square

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Bivariable analysis - detail

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Variable 1 Variable 2 Test

Categorical Categorical Chi-square

Categorical (2 pop) Numerical (Normal) Independent sample t-test

Categorical (2 pop) Numerical (Not Normal) Mann-Whitney U test

Categorical (> 2 pop) Numerical (Normal) One-way ANOVA

Categorical (> 2 pop) Numerical (Not Normal) Kruskal-Wallis test

Numerical (Normal) Numerical (Normal) Pearson Correlation Coefficient Test

Numerical (Normal/ Not Normal) Numerical (Not Normal) Spearman Correlation Coefficient Test

Numerical (Normal) Numerical (Normal) – Paired Paired t-test

Numerical (Not Normal) Numerical (Not Normal) – Paired Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test

Multivariate testDependant Independent variables Test

Numerical All numerical Linear regression

Numerical Numerical & categorical GLM

Repeated numericals Numerical & categorical Repeated measures ANOVA

Categorical Numerical & categorical Logistic regression

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Specific test Survival analysis – time to event analysis

Time series – observe trend over time & forecasting

Factor analysis – data reduction

Structural equation modelling – general tool to explore or confirm a ‘causal’ model (relationship between variables)

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How to publish your researchJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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How to write a research paper

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Title

MethodDiscussion

& conclusion

State objectives

Results

Introduction

Abstract

Finalise title

Thebackboneof the study

How the study was done

Present based on objectives

Answer objectives.Discuss differences,

recommendation & limitation

Justify research. State research gap. Phrase

objective clearly

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Scientific publication or report

Choose journal

Study the format & requirement

Separate text, table & graphics

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The structure

Publication

Title

Abstract

Keywords

Introduction

Method

Results

Discussion

References

Report/thesis* Title

Abstract

Introduction

Literature review

Objective

Methodology

Results

Discussion

References

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* Institution specific

The suggested sequence1. Based on specific objective, analyse the data & produce

planned tables

2. Interpret & describe the results in Result section

3. Discuss in Discussion section

4. Answer the research questions

5. Complete the method & introduction

6. Finally, write the abstract

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Writing result Describe your result (no discussion)

No reference (usually)

Text vs. table vs. graphic (no redundancy)

Text to summarise, Table for detail, Graphic to show trend

May state relevant statistics done (if not mentioned in method)

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Writing discussion Should answer the research questions mentioned in

Introduction

Discuss the result

Do not repeat text as in Result

May state limitation (but don’t go overboard)

Recommend

Conclude

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Research ManagementJamalludin Ab Rahman MD MPH

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Other things to plan1. Ethical consideration – consent form, advisory

committee

2. Budget

3. Approval

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In summary, what are the critical information1. Specific objectives

2. Conceptual framework

3. Data dictionary

4. Dummy table & analytics guidelines

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