Republic of the Philippines PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY … · 2016. 6. 17. · Table 25. Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers’ prices by gra de, Philippines, January-March,

i

Republic of the Philippines

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

ISSN-2012-0346


PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 1184 Quezon Avenue, Ben-Lor Bldg., Quezon City

CROPS STATISTICS DIVISION, Cereals Statistics Section

Tel No. (02)-371-2067

EX

This report d

January-March 2015. L

2015 based on standi

farmer’s planting inten

of the April 2015 roun

Survey (PCPS) of the P

The report inclu

rice, corn and fertilize

Data on prices are sou

Price Monitoring (WCF

the Philippine Atmosp

Administration (PAGA

PLANATORY NOTES

escribes the palay and corn c

ikewise, it presents the outloo

ng crop and July-September

tions. The estimates and outloo

d of the quarterly Palay and

hilippine Statistics Authority (P

des information on monthly

r; and cumulative actual and

rced from the Weekly Cerea

PM) of the PSA. Rainfall data

heric Geophysical and Astron

SA).

rop situation for

k for April-June

2015 based on

k are the results

Corn Production

SA).

prices of palay,

normal rainfall.

ls and Fertilizer

are provided by

omical Services

i

CONTENTS

Explanatory Notes………………………………………...………….………... i

Table of Contents………………………………...………..…………………... ii

Weather Situation and Outlook…………………………..……………...…… iv

Highlights…………………………………………………………….…............ 1

Palay………………………………………………………………..…... 1

Corn…………………………………………………………………..... 5

Prices

Palay/Rice…………………………………………………….…..…… 9

Corn……………………………………………………………….…... 10

Fertilizer…………………………………………………………..…… 12

Rainfall…………………………………………..……………….………..…… 14

Tables

1 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-September, 2013-2015......................................……. 15

2 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,


3 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter,

By ecosystem, Philippines, January-September, 2013-2015..............……. 17

4 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-September, 2014-2015………………..............…..... 18

5 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region,


6 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,


7 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-June and July-September, 2014-2015…………….... 21

8 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region,


9 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,


10 Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,


11 Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,


12 Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter,

By croptype, Philippines, January-September, 2013-2015.................……. 26

ii

So

urc

e: P

AG

AS

A

(In

mil

lim

eter

)

Tab

le 2

6. C

um

ula

tive

act

ual

dec

ad

al

an

d n

orm

al

rain

fall

by r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2014

-2015

20

14

20

15

2015/2

014

2015/N

orm

al

Ph

ilip

pin

es

6,7

12

.30

4

,18

8.8

0

4,9

38

.04

(3

7.6

)

(15

.2)

Iloco

s R

eg

ion

25

.50

3

2.3

0

27

.04

2

6.7

1

9.4

CA

R8

7.0

0

13

6.8

0

45

.70

5

7.2

1

99

.4

Ca

ga

yan

Va

lley

30

7.9

0

29

1.7

0

20

7.2

0

(5.3

)

40

.8

Ce

ntr

alL

uzo

n1

54

.90

1

17

.30

1

33

.70

(2

4.3

)

(12

.3)

CA

LA

BA

RZ

ON

30

5.4

0

26

8.9

0

31

2.3

0

(12

.0)

(1

3.9

)

MIM

AR

OP

A1

42

.20

6

7.1

0

76

.85

(5

2.8

)

(12

.7)

NC

R7

7.7

0

65

.70

4

5.8

3

(15

.4)

4

3.3

Bic

olR

eg

ion

51

4.7

0

50

0.3

0

46

3.2

9

(2.8

)

8.0

We

ste

rnV

isa

yas

17

7.7

0

11

0.2

0

20

0.2

2

(38

.0)

(4

5.0

)

Ce

ntr

alV

isa

yas

37

1.2

0

13

5.4

0

23

2.0

3

(63

.5)

(4

1.6

)

Ea

ste

rnV

isa

yas

88

0.9

0

60

1.2

0

66

9.6

5

(31

.8)

(1

0.2

)

Za

mb

oa

ng

aP

en.

41

6.0

0

18

2.5

0

22

3.6

4

(56

.1)

(1

8.4

)

N.M

ind

ana

o5

17

.20

1

88

.30

3

06

.14

(6

3.6

)

(38

.5)

Da

vao

Re

gio

n8

21

.30

3

86

.30

5

39

.07

(5

3.0

)

(28

.3)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

34

0.1

0

18

9.5

0

20

0.0

0

(44

.3)

(5

.3)

Ca

rag

a1

,29

7.0

0

71

8.5

0

1,0

70

.99

(4

4.6

)

(32

.9)

AR

MM

27

5.6

0

19

6.8

0

18

4.3

8

(28

.6)

6

.7

JA

NU

AR

Y-M

AR

CH

%D

EV

IAT

ION

NO

RM

AL

Ite

mA

ctu

al

13 Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-September, 2014-2015………………..............…........ 27

14 Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region,


15 Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,



Philippines, January-June and July-September, 2014-2015……………....... 30





19 Palay/Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015……………………………..……... 33

20 Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Metro Manila, January-March, 2013-2015………………............................. 34

21 Yellow Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015………………………..……........... 35

22 White Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015………………................................. 36

23 Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers’ prices by grade,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015…………………............................. 37

24 Cumulative actual decadal and normal rainfall by region,

Philippines, January-March, 2014-2015……………………..………...…… 38

iii 38

Tab

le 2

5. F

erti

lize

r:

Mon

thly

aver

age

dea

lers

’ p

rice

s b

y g

rad

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

(Pes

o/b

ag

of

50

kg)

20

14

/20

13

20

15

/20

14

UR

EA

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.1

,21

4.9

0

1,0

98

.61

1

,06

2.0

7

(9.5

7)

(3

.33

)

Ja

nua

ry1

,22

7.3

0

1,0

98

.84

1

,07

2.2

1

(10

.47

)

(2.4

2)

Fe

bru

ary

1,2

13

.45

1

,09

5.5

6

1,0

60

.55

(9

.72

)

(3.2

0)

Ma

rch

1,2

03

.94

1

,10

1.4

3

1,0

53

.46

(8

.51

)

(4.3

6)

AM

MO

SU

L

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.7

63

.48

6

47

.28

6

04

.78

(1

5.2

2)

(6

.57

)

Ja

nua

ry7

67

.30

6

53

.10

6

07

.02

(1

4.8

8)

(7

.06

)

Fe

bru

ary

76

5.9

5

64

6.6

4

60

5.0

0

(15

.58

)

(6.4

4)

Ma

rch

75

7.1

9

64

2.1

0

60

2.3

3

(15

.20

)

(6.1

9)

AM

MO

PH

OS

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.1

,09

8.0

7

1,0

35

.75

1

,00

8.6

3

(5.6

8)

(2

.62

)

Ja

nua

ry1

,10

1.6

0

1,0

34

.96

1

,01

6.9

8

(6.0

5)

(1

.74

)

Fe

bru

ary

1,0

96

.49

1

,03

7.3

1

1,0

08

.43

(5

.40

)

(2.7

8)

Ma

rch

1,0

96

.11

1

,03

4.9

7

1,0

00

.47

(5

.58

)

(3.3

3)

CO

MP

LE

TE

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.1

,24

9.1

7

1,2

01

.55

1

,18

7.1

5

(3.8

1)

(1

.20

)

Ja

nua

ry1

,25

4.5

7

1,2

00

.02

1

,18

8.7

3

(4.3

5)

(0

.94

)

Fe

bru

ary

1,2

48

.78

1

,20

2.3

2

1,1

85

.80

(3

.72

)

(1.3

7)

Ma

rch

1,2

44

.16

1

,20

2.3

0

1,1

86

.92

(3

.36

)

(1.2

8)

Gro

wth

Ra

teIt

em

20

13

20

14

20

15

Weather Situation and Outlook1

January-March 2015 Situation

The period was the peak of the Northeast (NE) monsoon season, locally

known as “Amihan”. Tropical cyclone activity was however at its minimum.

During the period, weak El Niño was present in the tropical Pacific

Ocean. Since October 2014, warmer than average sea surface temperature

anomaly (SSTA) of at least 0.5 degrees Celsius were observed. Recent computer

output from global climate models suggests that El Niño condition will likely to

continue until mid-2015 with the chances of strengthening toward the end of the

year.

The weather systems that affected the country were trough of low

pressure area (LPAs), easterlies, northeast (NE) monsoon, tail-end of the cold

front, ridge of high pressure area (HPAs) and the passage of two (2) tropical

cyclones (TCs) over the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), namely;

Tropical Storm (TS) “Amang” (Jan. 15-19) and Tropical Depression (TD) “Betty”

(March 17-18). The emergence of the North Pacific High (NPH) during the later

part of March 2015 indicated the termination of the Northeast Monsoon (NE) and

a shift of wind direction from northeasterly to easterly.

April-June 2015 Outlook

The period covers the gradual shift of the season from NE monsoon to

Southwest (SW) monsoon.

Weather systems that may influence the country are the HPAs, LPAs,

Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and one (1) to three (3) tropical cyclones

that are likely to develop/enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Cold

surges are expected during the period. The mean track of tropical cyclone is

located from Southern Luzon to Central Visayas areas, extending towards the

West Philippine Sea.

1Excerpts from PAGASA, January 8, 2015 to April 7, 2015 Weather Situation and Outlook and Weather

Advisories.

37 iv

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

Tab

le 2

4. W

hit

e C

orn

: M

on

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

20

14

/20

13

20

15

/20

14

FA

RM

GA

TE

- W

hit

e

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

6.2

2

15

.27

12

.92

(5.8

6)

(15

.41

)

Ja

nua

ry1

6.1

5

15

.01

12

.28

(7.0

6)

(18

.19

)

Fe

bru

ary

15

.80

15

.10

12

.59

(4.4

3)

(16

.62

)

Ma

rch

16

.72

15

.71

13

.89

(6.0

4)

(11

.58

)

WH

OL

ES

AL

E-W

hit

e

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

5.8

4

15

.82

14

.85

(0.1

3)

(6.1

3)

Ja

nua

ry1

6.0

5

15

.56

13

.98

(3.0

5)

(10

.15

)

Fe

bru

ary

15

.41

15

.65

14

.54

1.5

6

(7.0

9)

Ma

rch

16

.07

16

.26

16

.04

1.1

8

(1.3

5)

RE

TA

IL -

Wh

ite

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

9.7

6

20

.50

21

.08

3.7

8

2.8

0

Ja

nua

ry1

9.8

3

19

.37

20

.38

(2.3

2)

5.2

1

Fe

bru

ary

19

.67

20

.08

21

.20

2.0

8

5.5

8

Ma

rch

19

.77

22

.06

21

.65

11

.58

(1.8

6)

Ite

m

20

14

20

15

Gro

wth

Ra

te2

01

3

HIGHLIGHTS

Palay and corn outputs for January to March 2015 surpassed their 2014 levels by 1.41% and 3.97%, respectively. The positive growth was largely attributed to the expansion in harvest areas and improvement in yield of irrigated palay and yellow corn.

Forecasts on standing crops of both palay and corn indicate lower production in the second quarter of 2015. These may bring about reduction in outputs by 1.32% for palay and by 2.37% for corn in the first half of 2015.

Planting intentions of palay and corn farmers for July-September 2015 harvest indicate higher production levels compared to their respective records in 2014.

1.1 PALAY

January-June 2015 Forecasts

Palay production for January-

June 2015 may reach 8.27

million MT, 1.32% below the

8.38 million MT output in 2014.

Harvest area may contract from

2.10 million to 2.07 million

hectares, or by 1.49%. Yield

per hectare may increase by

0.17%, from 3.99 MT in 2014

to 4.00 MT in 2015.

The January-March 2015

palay production at 4.37 million

MT surpassed the 2014 output of 4.31 million MT by 1.41%. Harvest area

contracted to 1.15 million hectares from last year’s record of 1.16 million

hectares. Yield per hectare increased from 3.72MT in 2014 to 3.80 MT in

2015 or by 2.27%.

1 36

Tab

le 2

3. Y

ello

w C

orn

: M

on

thly

aver

age

pre

va

ilin

g p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

20

14

/20

13

20

15

/20

14

FA

RM

GA

TE

- Y

ello

w

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

2.1

1

12

.04

12

.45

(0.5

5)

3.3

8

Ja

nua

ry1

2.4

8

11

.97

12

.28

(4.0

9)

2.5

9

Fe

bru

ary

11

.97

11

.94

12

.40

(0.2

5)

3.8

5

Ma

rch

11

.87

12

.21

12

.66

2.8

6

3.6

9

WH

OL

ES

AL

E -

Ye

llo

w

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

5.8

0

16

.35

16

.83

3.4

4

2.9

4

Ja

nua

ry1

5.9

6

16

.13

16

.65

1.0

7

3.2

2

Fe

bru

ary

15

.76

16

.32

16

.71

3.5

5

2.3

9

Ma

rch

15

.69

16

.59

17

.12

5.7

4

3.1

9

RE

TA

IL -

Ye

llo

w

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.2

2.1

6

21

.89

22

.43

(1.2

2)

2.4

5

Ja

nua

ry2

1.8

0

21

.67

22

.32

(0.6

0)

3.0

0

Fe

bru

ary

22

.27

21

.99

22

.39

(1.2

6)

1.8

2

Ma

rch

22

.42

22

.02

22

.58

(1.7

8)

2.5

4

Ite

m

20

14

20

15

Gro

wth

Ra

te2

01

3

Significant increments in production were noted in MIMAROPA, Cagayan

Valley, Central Luzon and Ilocos Region.

- In MIMAROPA, the government seed distribution program thru LGUs and

the availability of seeds from

private suppliers resulted to

expansion in harvest area

while sustained usage of

hybrid and certified seeds

improved the yield.

- Stable supply of irrigation

water and more usage of


boosted the yield of crops in

Cagayan Valley.

- In Central Luzon, higher

yield was attained due to

sustained usage of hybrid

seeds and sufficient water

supply in Bulacan, Zambales and Aurora.

- Sufficiency of water from restored and rehabilitated irrigation systems in

La Union and Pangasinan and availability of subsidized seeds under the

Roll-Over Bottoms-Up Program of the government encouraged more

plantings. Improvement in

yield was attributed to

sustained usage of quality

hybrid and inbred seeds.

The April-June 2015 forecasts on standing crop indicate production of 3.90 million MT, 4.21% below the 4.07 million MT output in 2014. Harvest area may contract from 939 thousand hectares to 918 thousand hectares, or 2.29%. Yield may drop from 4.34 MT per hectare in 2014 to 4.25 MT in 2015.

35 2

Tab

le 2

2. R

ice:

Mon

thly

aver

age

prev

ail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Met

ro M

an

ila, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

2014

/201

320

15/2

014

WH

OLE

SALE

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.30

.29

37

.28

39

.62

23

.06

6.

28

Janu

ary

30.4

0

37.0

0

40.4

0

21.7

1

9.19

Febr

uary

30.4

0

37.2

0

39.6

9

22.3

7

6.69

Mar

ch30

.08

37

.64

38

.77

25

.13

3.

00

RET

AIL

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.35

.00

38

.83

43

.00

10

.95

10

.73

Janu

ary

35.0

0

38.0

0

43.0

0

8.57

13.1

6

Febr

uary

35.0

0

38.5

0

43.0

0

10.0

0

11.6

9

Mar

ch35

.00

40

.00

43

.00

14

.29

7.

50

Gro

wth

Rat

e It

em

2013

2014

2015

- In SOCCSKSARGEN, some palay areas at vegetative stages were

damaged by the dry spell felt throughout the region. There were delayed

planting activities in South Cotabato and Sultan Kudarat due to temporary

closure of some NIA irrigation facilities.

- Cutbacks in harvest area are expected in MIMAROPA, Central Luzon and

Bicol Region due to insufficient water supply and intense heat in most of

the provinces.

- In Western Visayas, contraction in harvest area may be attributed to

insufficient water supply and shifting to other crops such as mongo and

watermelon.

- In Northern Mindanao, the on-going rehabilitation of irrigation canals and

dry spell may reduce plantings in irrigated and rainfed areas, respectively.

- Yield of standing crops in Caraga may be affected by insufficient soil

moisture and incidence of black bugs and leaf blight.

July-September 2015 Forecasts

The July-September 2015

forecasts based on farmers’

planting intentions points to

increase in production by

11.70%, from 3.03 million MT

in 2014 to 3.38 million MT.

Harvest area may expand from

774 thousand hectares to 872

thousand hectares, or by

12.73%. Yield per hectare may

decline from 3.91 MT in 2014 to

3.88 MT in 2015.

All regions except SOCCSKSARGEN and Central Visayas are foreseen to

increase production.

Expansion in harvest areas are probable due to continuous government

interventions such as provision of quality seeds thru the Community Seed

Banking and High Yielding Technology Adoption Programs, rehabilitation of

irrigation canals and provision of farm machineries.

334

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

Ta

ble

19. P

ala

y/R

ice:

Mon

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

2014

/201

320

15/2

014

FAR

MG

ATE

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.16

.21

19

.03

18

.11

17

.44

(4

.87)

Ja

nuar

y16

.31

18

.43

18

.50

13

.00

0.

38

Febr

uary

16.2

2

18.9

2

17.8

5

16.6

5

(5.6

6)

Mar

ch16

.09

19

.75

17

.97

22

.75

(9

.01)

WH

OLE

SA

LE

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.32

.79

37

.79

38

.97

15

.25

3.

12

Janu

ary

32.7

7

37.1

1

39.5

4

13.2

4

6.55

Febr

uary

32.7

8

37.6

9

38.8

3

14.9

8

3.02

Mar

ch32

.81

38

.56

38

.53

17

.53

(0

.08)

RE

TAIL

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.35

.28

40

.28

42

.11

14

.17

4.

54

Janu

ary

35.2

4

39.6

2

42.5

6

12.4

3

7.42

Febr

uary

35.3

0

40.1

4

42.0

3

13.7

1

4.71

Mar

ch35

.31

41

.09

41

.75

16

.37

1.

61

Gro

wth

Rat

e It

em

2013

2014

2015

Figure 5. Thematic Map: Palay production estimates,

by region, Philippines, January-March, 2015

33 4

Tab

le 1

8. C

orn

: Y

ield

per

hec

tare

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

3.18

3.

23

0.05

1.72

3.01

3.

01

(0.0

1)

(0.1

7)

CA

R3.

85

4.07

0.

225.

703.

78

3.91

0.

14

3.

61

Iloco

s5.

52

5.71

0.

193.

485.

47

5.65

0.

19

3.

45

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

4.19

4.

48

0.29

6.91

4.23

4.

41

0.18

4.23

Cen

tral L

uzon

5.80

6.

04

0.24

4.19

5.58

5.

78

0.20

3.52

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N2.

24

2.29

0.

052.

072.

02

2.12

0.

10

4.

90

MIM

AR

OP

A4.

28

4.52

0.

245.

593.

92

4.16

0.

24

6.

12

Bic

ol2.

64

2.41

(0

.23)

(8.7

1)2.

38

2.22

(0

.16)

(6

.60)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

2.62

2.

76

0.15

5.58

2.91

2.

88

(0.0

3)

(0.9

5)

Cen

tral V

isay

as0.

70

0.73

0.

034.

340.

85

0.87

0.

03

3.

30

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

1.49

1.

56

0.07

4.88

1.48

1.

52

0.04

2.94

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

1.66

1.

78

0.12

6.97

1.76

1.

69

(0.0

8)

(4.3

7)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

2.70

2.

76

0.06

2.19

3.07

2.

96

(0.1

1)

(3.6

6)

Dav

ao R

egio

n1.

53

1.39

(0

.14)

(8.8

8)1.

56

1.48

(0

.08)

(5

.28)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

3.02

2.

52

(0.5

0)(1

6.70

)3.

10

2.84

(0

.25)

(8

.20)

Car

aga

3.04

3.

04

0.00

0.14

2.94

2.

86

(0.0

8)

(2.6

4)

AR

MM

2.35

2.

25

(0.0

9)(3

.96)

2.47

2.

32

(0.1

5)

(6.1

6)

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

2014

2015

Ap

r'15

rd

. /20

14

Ch

ang

e

Ap

r'15

/201

420

1420

15It

em

1.2 CORN


The January-June 2015

production of corn may reach

3.40 million MT, 2.37% below

the 3.48 million MT output in

2014. Harvest area may contract

from 1.10 million hectares to

1.05 million hectares, or by


improve from 3.18 MT in 2014

to 3.23 MT in 2015, or by

1.72%.

Corn production in January-

March 2015 at 2.37 million MT

was 3.97 % higher than the 2.28

million MT record in 2014.

Harvest area expanded to 715

thousand hectares or by 1.41%

from the 2014 level of 705

thousand hectares.

The major contributors were

Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon,

MIMAROPA and Northern

Mindanao.

- In Cagayan Valley, higher

output was boosted by the

increase in yellow corn harvest area in Isabela and Quirino coupled with

sustained usage of high quality hybrid seeds.

- Increased planting intensity of white corn due to increasing demand for

green corn in Nueva Ecija, shifting from sugarcane to corn in Tarlac, and

advance harvests in Pampanga contributed to the upward trend of the

output in Central Luzon.

5 32

Tab

le 1

7. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

1,09

5,05

3

1,

051,

070

(43,

983)

(4.0

2)1,

968,

627

1,97

9,28

6

10

,660

0.54

CA

R30

,487

30

,722

23

50.

7757

,367

57

,645

27

8

0.

48

Iloco

s83

,385

83

,002

(3

83)

(0.4

6)85

,790

85

,539

(2

51)

(0

.29)

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

220,

303

21

4,93

7

(5,3

66)

(2.4

4)35

3,99

6

378,

019

24

,024

6.79

Cen

tral L

uzon

37,1

23

40,5

17

3,39

49.

1441

,761

45

,861

4,

100

9.

82

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N9,

567

11,6

64

2,09

721

.92

19,8

86

24,1

29

4,24

3

21.3

4

MIM

AR

OP

A17

,173

20

,134

2,

961

17.2

424

,518

27

,996

3,

478

14

.19

Bic

ol58

,824

54

,318

(4

,506

)(7

.66)

99,2

75

94,1

23

(5,1

52)

(5.1

9)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

51,2

34

50,0

30

(1,2

04)

(2.3

5)10

1,73

4

97,6

64

(4,0

70)

(4.0

0)

Cen

tral V

isay

as38

,216

37

,861

(3

55)

(0.9

3)14

3,23

7

145,

128

1,

891

1.

32

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

28,1

84

28,3

41

157

0.56

42,5

29

42,6

19

90

0.21

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

29,1

49

26,9

09

(2,2

40)

(7.6

8)86

,197

88

,816

2,

619

3.

04

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

133,

151

13

2,27

8

(873

)(0

.66)

271,

282

26

4,33

6

(6,9

46)

(2.5

6)

Dav

ao R

egio

n65

,129

52

,686

(1

2,44

3)(1

9.11

)11

9,02

5

106,

504

(1

2,52

1)

(1

0.52

)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

160,

463

12

8,96

6

(31,

497)

(19.

63)

300,

940

28

5,11

1

(15,

829)

(5.2

6)

Car

aga

8,41

1

9,

204

793

9.43

24,5

02

25,2

56

754

3.08

AR

MM

124,

254

12

9,50

1

5,24

74.

2219

6,58

8

210,

540

13

,952

7.10

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

2014

2015

Ap

r'15

rd

. /20

14

Ch

ang

e

Ap

r'15

/201

420

1420

15It

em

- In MIMAROPA, early harvests, availability of seeds and shifting from

palay to corn led to increased output.

- In Northern Mindanao, the availability of “sigue-sigue” corn variety and

sufficient rainfall during the planting period resulted to higher harvest area

and yield.

Yield per hectare increased from

3.23 MT in 2014 to 3.31 MT in

2015, or by 2.52%. This could

be traced to sufficient soil

moisture and sustained use of

quality hybrid and modern OPV

seeds. Higher yield compared to

last year were noted in Cagayan

Valley, MIMAROPA, Central

Luzon, Ilocos Region, Western

Visayas, Northern Mindanao,

and CAR.

The April-June 2015 forecasts

on standing crop indicates lower

production, harvest area and

yield by 14.38%, 13.84%, and 0.62% from their respective levels in 2014.

SOCCSKSARGEN, Davao Region, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region and

Northern Mindanao may post significant reductions in production and harvest

area.

- In SOCCSKSARGEN, production may probably decrease due to delayed

cropping caused by insufficient water supply while some corn crops in

the vegetative stages were damaged by dry spell.

- Movement of harvest to the first quarter and the effect of dry spell to

some corn crops at vegetative stages may reduce the second quarters’

output in Davao Region.

- In Cagayan Valley, shifting from corn to cassava, tobacco and other

temporary crops in Isabela and the movement of harvests to the first

quarter in Nueva Viscaya may bring about lesser output in the region.

- Some yellow corn areas in Bicol Region were not planted due to dry spell.

31 6

Tab

le 1

6. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

3,47

9,74

4

3,

397,

343

(82,

401)

(2.3

7)5,

928,

371

5,95

0,08

1

21

,710

0.37

CA

R11

7,50

4

125,

160

7,

656

6.52

216,

660

22

5,58

0

8,92

0

4.12

Iloco

s46

0,34

9

474,

202

13

,853

3.01

468,

920

48

3,67

0

14,7

50

3.

15

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

923,

791

96

3,59

5

39,8

044.

311,

496,

149

1,66

5,24

3

16

9,09

4

11

.30

Cen

tral L

uzon

215,

333

24

4,87

4

29,5

4113

.72

233,

170

26

5,07

8

31,9

08

13

.68

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N21

,447

26

,688

5,

241

24.4

440

,205

51

,174

10

,969

27.2

8

MIM

AR

OP

A73

,552

91

,055

17

,503

23.8

096

,113

11

6,46

0

20,3

47

21

.17

Bic

ol15

5,05

7

130,

711

(2

4,34

6)(1

5.70

)23

6,47

4

209,

411

(2

7,06

3)

(1

1.44

)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

134,

166

13

8,32

0

4,15

43.

1029

6,05

8

281,

520

(1

4,53

8)

(4

.91)

Cen

tral V

isay

as26

,773

27

,676

90

33.

3712

1,16

9

126,

824

5,

655

4.

67

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

41,8

68

44,1

55

2,28

75.

4662

,914

64

,900

1,

986

3.

16

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

48,5

13

47,9

06

(607

)(1

.25)

151,

966

14

9,74

3

(2,2

23)

(1.4

6)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

359,

606

36

5,05

5

5,44

91.

5283

2,20

9

781,

259

(5

0,95

0)

(6

.12)

Dav

ao R

egio

n99

,572

73

,392

(2

6,18

0)(2

6.29

)18

5,84

5

157,

514

(2

8,33

1)

(1

5.24

)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

485,

253

32

4,87

7

(160

,376

)(3

3.05

)93

2,60

9

811,

085

(1

21,5

24)

(1

3.03

)

Car

aga

25,5

36

27,9

83

2,44

79.

5872

,047

72

,304

25

7

0.

36

AR

MM

291,

424

29

1,69

4

270

0.09

485,

863

48

8,31

6

2,45

3

0.50

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

2014

2015

Ap

r'15

rd

. /20

14

Ch

ang

e

Ap

r'15

/201

420

1420

15It

em

- In Northern Mindanao, planting intentions were not realized due to dry

spell and some white corn areas were planted to cassava and cavendish

banana.

Probable yield per hectare may

drop from 3.08 MT in 2014 to

3.06 MT in 2015. This could be

attributed to the adverse effects

of dry spell on standing crops.

Based on farmers’ planting

intentions, the July-September

2015 forecasts on production

and harvest area may surpass

their 2014 levels by 4.25% and

6.26%, respectively. Yield per

hectare may decrease from 2.78

MT in 2014 to 2.75 MT in 2015,

or by 1.89%.

Cagayan Valley, SOCCSKSARGEN, CALABARZON, Central Visayas and

MIMAROPA may contribute to significant increments in production. This

could be attributed to farmers’ anticipation of continuous government

interventions such as Farmers’ Field School and provision of seeds.

7 30

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 1

5. C

orn

: Y

ield

per

hec

tare

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

3.23

3.

31

0.08

2.52

3.08

3.

06

(0.0

2)

(0.6

2)

2.

80

2.75

(0

.05)

(1

.89)

CAR

3.93

4.

09

0.17

4.28

3.65

4.

02

0.37

10.1

2

3.

69

3.73

0.

04

1.

11

Iloco

s5.

62

5.84

0.

213.

825.

34

5.49

0.

15

2.

87

3.56

3.

73

0.17

4.72

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

4.19

4.

52

0.32

7.73

4.20

4.

39

0.19

4.47

4.

28

4.30

0.

02

0.

50

Cen

tral L

uzon

5.95

6.

23

0.28

4.68

5.66

5.

84

0.18

3.17

3.

85

3.78

(0

.07)

(1

.69)

CAL

ABAR

ZON

2.31

2.

23

(0.0

8)(3

.63)

2.05

2.

43

0.38

18.4

8

1.

82

1.96

0.

15

8.

06

MIM

ARO

PA4.

40

4.72

0.

327.

294.

17

4.26

0.

08

1.

97

3.07

3.

23

0.16

5.20

Bico

l2.

05

1.95

(0

.10)

(5.0

6)3.

27

2.96

(0

.31)

(9

.39)

2.01

1.

98

(0.0

4)

(1.7

7)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

2.70

2.

89

0.19

7.16

2.46

2.

49

0.02

0.97

3.

21

3.01

(0

.20)

(6

.22)

Cen

tral V

isaya

s0.

70

0.76

0.

067.

990.

69

0.61

(0

.08)

(1

1.50

)

0.90

0.

92

0.03

2.83

Easte

rn V

isaya

s1.

53

1.55

0.

021.

501.

47

1.56

0.

09

6.

07

1.47

1.

45

(0.0

1)

(0.9

7)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

1.76

1.

79

0.03

1.56

1.44

1.

75

0.32

22.2

3

1.

81

1.64

(0

.17)

(9

.29)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

2.75

2.

89

0.13

4.89

2.50

2.

23

(0.2

7)

(10.

65)

3.

42

3.15

(0

.27)

(7

.88)

Dav

ao R

egio

n1.

52

1.55

0.

032.

101.

54

1.20

(0

.34)

(2

1.83

)

1.60

1.

56

(0.0

4)

(2.3

5)

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

3.05

2.

69

(0.3

6)(1

1.83

)2.

97

2.04

(0

.93)

(3

1.36

)

3.18

3.

11

(0.0

7)

(2.2

2)

Car

aga

1.47

1.

87

0.39

26.6

33.

06

3.10

0.

04

1.

41

2.89

2.

76

(0.1

3)

(4.4

8)

ARM

M2.

50

2.32

(0

.19)

(7.4

3)2.

05

2.14

0.

10

4.

69

2.69

2.

43

(0.2

6)

(9.7

4)

Janu

ary-

Mar

ch

2015

/201

4

Cha

nge

April

-Jun

eJu

ly-S

epte

mbe

r

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

2014

Item

2014

2015

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Cha

nge

Figure 10. Thematic Map: Corn production estimates,


29 8

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 1

4. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

705,

299

71

5,25

7

9,95

81.

4138

9,75

4

335,

813

(5

3,94

1)

(1

3.84

)

873,

573

92

8,21

6

54,6

43

6.

26

CAR

22,6

41

22,7

59

118

0.52

7,84

6

7,

963

117

1.49

26

,880

26

,923

43

0.

16

Iloco

s53

,981

53

,537

(4

44)

(0.8

2)29

,404

29

,465

61

0.

21

2,40

5

2,

537

132

5.49

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

157,

521

16

1,43

0

3,90

92.

4862

,782

53

,507

(9

,275

)

(1

4.77

)

133,

692

16

3,08

2

29,3

90

21

.98

Cen

tral L

uzon

17,7

41

21,0

80

3,33

918

.82

19,3

82

19,4

37

55

0.28

4,

638

5,34

4

70

6

15

.22

CAL

ABAR

ZON

7,03

8

8,

112

1,07

415

.26

2,52

9

3,

552

1,02

3

40.4

5

10

,319

12

,465

2,

146

20

.80

MIM

ARO

PA8,

427

11,6

42

3,21

538

.15

8,74

6

8,

492

(254

)

(2.9

0)

7,

345

7,86

2

51

7

7.

04

Bico

l30

,651

29

,824

(8

27)

(2.7

0)28

,173

24

,494

(3

,679

)

(1

3.06

)

40,4

51

39,8

05

(646

)

(1.6

0)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

34,0

73

34,4

65

392

1.15

17,1

61

15,5

65

(1,5

96)

(9.3

0)

50

,500

47

,634

(2

,866

)

(5

.68)

Cen

tral V

isaya

s30

,079

30

,592

51

31.

718,

137

7,26

9

(8

68)

(1

0.67

)

105,

021

10

7,26

7

2,24

6

2.14

Easte

rn V

isaya

s7,

104

7,25

8

15

42.

1721

,080

21

,083

3

0.

01

14,3

45

14,2

78

(67)

(0.4

7)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

20,5

87

21,3

22

735

3.57

8,56

2

5,

587

(2,9

75)

(34.

75)

57

,048

61

,907

4,

859

8.

52

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

106,

209

10

6,66

8

459

0.43

26,9

42

25,6

10

(1,3

32)

(4.9

4)

13

8,13

1

132,

058

(6

,073

)

(4

.40)

Dav

ao R

egio

n27

,386

28

,912

1,

526

5.57

37,7

43

23,7

74

(13,

969)

(37.

01)

53

,896

53

,818

(7

8)

(0

.14)

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

99,9

69

94,6

00

(5,3

69)

(5.3

7)60

,494

34

,366

(2

6,12

8)

(4

3.19

)

140,

477

15

6,14

5

15,6

68

11

.15

Car

aga

112

44

6

334

298.

218,

299

8,75

8

45

9

5.

53

16,0

91

16,0

52

(39)

(0.2

4)

ARM

M81

,780

82

,610

83

01.

0142

,474

46

,891

4,

417

10

.40

72,3

34

81,0

39

8,70

5

12.0

3

Janu

ary-

Mar

ch

2015

/201

4

Cha

nge

April

-Jun

eJu

ly-S

epte

mbe

r

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

2014

Item

2014

2015

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Cha

nge

2.0 PRICES2

2.1 PALAY/RICE

The average farmgate price of

palay in January to March 2015

was P18.11 per kilogram, 4.87%

lower than last year’s price of

P19.03. Monthly price decreased

from P18.50 in January 2015 to

P17.97 in March 2015.

At wholesale, average price of

rice was P38.97 per kilogram,

3.12% higher than last year’s

P37.79 per kilogram. From

P39.54 per kilogram in January

2015, price continuously

dropped to P38.53 per kilogram

in March 2015.

Average retail price of rice for

the first three (3) months of

2015 went up by 4.54%, from

P40.28 per kilogram in 2014 to

P42.11 in 2015. Monthly retail

prices exhibited downward trend

from P42.56 per kilogram in

January 2015 to P41.75 in

March.

2Data on prices are sourced from the Weekly Cereals and Fertilizer Price Monitoring (WCFPM) of the PSA.

9 28

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 1

3. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

2,27

8,18

6

2,

368,

532

90,3

453.

971,

201,

558

1,02

8,81

1

(1

72,7

47)

(1

4.38

)

2,44

8,62

7

2,

552,

738

104,

111

4.25

CAR

88,8

83

93,1

72

4,28

94.

8328

,621

31

,988

3,

367

11

.76

99,1

56

100,

420

1,

264

1.

27

Iloco

s30

3,38

8

312,

396

9,

008

2.97

156,

961

16

1,80

6

4,84

5

3.09

8,

571

9,46

8

89

7

10

.47

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

660,

188

72

8,89

5

68,7

0610

.41

263,

603

23

4,70

0

(28,

903)

(10.

96)

57

2,35

8

701,

648

12

9,29

0

22

.59

Cen

tral L

uzon

105,

538

13

1,27

3

25,7

3524

.38

109,

795

11

3,60

1

3,80

6

3.47

17

,837

20

,204

2,

367

13

.27

CAL

ABAR

ZON

16,2

70

18,0

73

1,80

311

.08

5,17

7

8,

615

3,43

8

66.4

1

18

,758

24

,486

5,

728

30

.54

MIM

ARO

PA37

,043

54

,907

17

,864

48.2

336

,509

36

,148

(3

61)

(0

.99)

22,5

61

25,4

05

2,84

4

12.6

1

Bico

l62

,920

58

,125

(4

,795

)(7

.62)

92,1

37

72,5

86

(19,

551)

(21.

22)

81

,417

78

,700

(2

,717

)

(3

.34)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

91,8

82

99,5

98

7,71

68.

4042

,284

38

,722

(3

,562

)

(8

.42)

161,

892

14

3,20

0

(18,

692)

(11.

55)

Cen

tral V

isaya

s21

,152

23

,232

2,

080

9.83

5,62

1

4,

444

(1,1

77)

(20.

94)

94

,396

99

,148

4,

752

5.

03

Easte

rn V

isaya

s10

,850

11

,251

40

13.

7031

,018

32

,904

1,

886

6.

08

21,0

46

20,7

45

(301

)

(1.4

3)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

36,2

24

38,1

04

1,88

05.

1912

,289

9,

802

(2,4

87)

(20.

24)

10

3,45

3

101,

837

(1

,616

)

(1

.56)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

292,

247

30

7,84

8

15,6

015.

3467

,359

57

,207

(1

0,15

2)

(1

5.07

)

472,

603

41

6,20

4

(56,

399)

(11.

93)

Dav

ao R

egio

n41

,611

44

,851

3,

240

7.79

57,9

61

28,5

41

(29,

420)

(50.

76)

86

,273

84

,122

(2

,151

)

(2

.49)

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

305,

289

25

4,70

7

(50,

582)

(16.

57)

179,

964

70

,170

(1

09,7

94)

(6

1.01

)

447,

356

48

6,20

8

38,8

52

8.

68

Car

aga

165

83

2

667

404.

2425

,371

27

,151

1,

780

7.

02

46,5

11

44,3

21

(2,1

90)

(4.7

1)

ARM

M20

4,53

6

191,

268

(1

3,26

8)(6

.49)

86,8

88

100,

426

13

,538

15.5

8

19

4,43

9

196,

622

2,

183

1.

12

Janu

ary-

Mar

ch

2015

/201

4

Cha

nge

April

-Jun

eJu

ly-S

epte

mbe

r

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

2014

Item

2014

2015

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Cha

nge

In Metro Manila, the average

wholesale price of rice for the

first quarter of 2015 was P39.62

per kilogram. This was 6.28%

higher than last year’s price

quotation of P37.28 per

kilogram. Prices gradually

declined from P40.40 per

kilogram in January 2015 to

P38.77 in March 2015.

At retail, the three-month

average price of rice in Metro

Manila was P43.00 per

kilogram. This was 10.73%

higher than last year’s price of

P38.83. Price remained at

P43.00 per kilogram from

January 2015 to March 2015.

2.2 CORN

Yellow Corn

In the first quarter of 2015,

average farmgate price of

yellow corn at P12.45 per

kilogram grew by 3.38% from

last year’s P12.04. Monthly

price increased from P12.28 in


March.

27 10

Tab

le 12. C

orn

: Y

ield

per

hec

tare

est

imate

s a

nd

fore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er,

by c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

2.95

3.

01

3.01

2.

16(0

.17)

W

hite

1.65

1.

72

1.69

3.

68(1

.64)

Y

ello

w4.

12

4.19

4.

21

1.76

0.37

Janu

ary-

June

3.09

3.

18

3.23

2.

801.

72

W

hite

1.68

1.

74

1.73

3.

87(0

.81)

Y

ello

w4.

19

4.23

4.

34

0.92

2.52

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch3.

20

3.23

3.

31

1.00

2.52

W

hite

1.65

1.

78

1.75

7.

61(1

.41)

Y

ello

w4.

23

4.26

4.

38

0.61

2.87

Apr

il-Ju

ne2.

89

3.08

3.

06

6.71

(0.6

2)

W

hite

1.71

1.

68

1.68

(2

.03)

0.00

Y

ello

w4.

09

4.17

4.

23

1.96

1.37

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r2.

78

2.80

2.

75

0.73

(1.8

9)

W

hite

1.63

1.

69

1.65

3.

48(2

.27)

Y

ello

w4.

02

4.13

4.

03

2.71

(2.5

7)

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

In 2015, the average wholesale

price of yellow corn for the first

quarter went up by 2.94% from

the 2014 record of P16.35 per

kilogram to P16.83. Uptrend in

prices was observed throughout

the first quarter of 2015.

The average retail price of

yellow corn for January to

March 2015 at P22.43 per

kilogram was 2.75% above the

2014 record of P21.89. Monthly

retail prices of yellow corn

exhibited the same movement as

the wholesale price.

White Corn

The January to March 2015

average farmgate price of white

corn dropped by 15.41%, from

P15.27 per kilogram last year to

P12.92. This year’s monthly

prices were below their

respective levels in 2014.

11 26

Tab

le 11. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

2,01

0

1,

969

1,97

9

(2

.05)

0.54

W

hite

955

93

8

943

(1

.78)

0.55

Y

ello

w1,

055

1,03

1

1,

036

(2.2

9)0.

54

Janu

ary-

June

1,07

5

1,

095

1,05

1

1.

85(4

.02)

W

hite

470

46

3

445

(1

.55)

(3.9

3)

Y

ello

w60

5

632

60

6

4.49

(4.0

8)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch70

3

705

71

5

0.33

1.41

W

hite

282

29

3

291

3.

76(0

.48)

Y

ello

w42

1

413

42

4

(1.9

7)2.

75

Apr

il-Ju

ne37

2

390

33

6

a/4.

72(1

3.84

)

W

hite

188

17

0

153

(9

.52)

(9.8

6)

Y

ello

w18

4

219

18

2

19.2

9(1

6.93

)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r93

5

874

92

8

b/(6

.53)

6.26

W

hite

485

47

5

499

(2

.00)

4.90

Y

ello

w45

0

398

43

0

(11.

41)

7.87

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

At wholesale, the three-month

average price of white corn for

2015 was P14.85 per kilogram

or 6.13% lower than last year’s

quotation of P15.82. From


2015, wholesale price surged to

P16.04 in March 2015.

The average retail price of white

corn for the first three (3)

months of 2015 was P21.08 per

kilogram, 2.8% above last year’s

level of P20.50. Initially, retail

price was P20.38 per kilogram

in January 2015. It rose to

P21.65 per kilogram in March

2015.

2.3 FERTILIZER


average dealers’ price of urea

fertilizer was P1,062.07 per bag

of 50 kilograms or 3.33% lower

than last year’s price of

P1,098.61. Monthly prices

showed a decreasing trend from

P1,072.21 per bag in January

2015 to 1,053.46 in March 2015.

25 12

Tab

le

10. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

5,92

4

5,

928

5,95

0

0.

070.

37

W

hite

1,58

0

1,

609

1,59

1

1.

83(1

.10)

Y

ello

w4,

344

4,31

9

4,

359

(0.5

7)0.

91

Janu

ary-

June

3,32

4

3,

480

3,39

7

4.

70(2

.37)

W

hite

788

80

6

768

2.

26(4

.70)

Y

ello

w2,

535

2,67

4

2,

629

5.46

(1.6

6)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch2,

248

2,27

8

2,

369

1.33

3.97

W

hite

466

52

1

511

11

.66

(1.8

8)

Y

ello

w1,

782

1,75

8

1,

858

(1.3

7)5.

70

Apr

il-Ju

ne1,

075

1,20

2

1,

029

a/11

.75

(14.

38)

W

hite

322

28

6

257

(1

1.35

)(9

.86)

Y

ello

w75

3

916

77

1

21.6

3(1

5.79

)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r2,

601

2,44

9

2,

553

b/(5

.84)

4.25

W

hite

792

80

3

823

1.

402.

52

Y

ello

w1,

809

1,64

6

1,

730

(9.0

2)5.

10

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

The average dealers’ price of

ammonium sulphate or ammosul

fertilizer for January to March

2015 was P604.78 per bag of 50

kilograms, 6.57% lower than the

2014 record of P647.28. From

January to March 2015, monthly

prices of ammosul were lower

than their respective quotations

in 2014.

For ammonium phosphate or

ammophos fertilizer, the average

dealers’ price for the first

quarter of 2015 was P1,008.63

per bag of 50 kilograms, 2.62%

below the 2014 quotation of

P1,035.75. This year’s monthly

prices were lower than their

respective quotations last year.


average dealers’ price of

complete fertilizer exhibited the

same price movement as urea,

ammosul and ammophos. The

three-month average price was

P1,187.15 per bag of 50

kilograms with monthly price

ranging from P1,185.80 per bag

in February 2015 to P1,188.73

in January 2015.

13 24

Tab

le 9

. P

ala

y:

Yie

ld p

er h

ecta

re e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

3.99

4.00

0.01

0.17

3.97

3.

96

(0.0

1)

(0.2

0)

CA

R4.

444.

40(0

.04)

(0.9

8)4.

08

4.05

(0

.03)

(0

.65)

Iloco

s4.

504.

550.

051.

114.

44

4.51

0.

06

1.

41

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

4.17

4.40

0.23

5.63

4.28

4.

40

0.13

2.94

Cen

tral L

uzon

5.65

5.66

0.01

0.22

5.55

5.

54

(0.0

1)

(0.2

0)

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N3.

433.

710.

288.

223.

35

3.63

0.

27

8.

12

MIM

AR

OP

A3.

783.

74(0

.03)

(0.9

2)3.

80

3.76

(0

.03)

(0

.89)

Bic

ol3.

763.

56(0

.19)

(5.1

7)3.

76

3.60

(0

.15)

(4

.09)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

3.05

2.93

(0.1

2)(3

.82)

3.29

3.

27

(0.0

2)

(0.6

3)

Cen

tral V

isay

as3.

012.

97(0

.05)

(1.5

2)3.

06

3.01

(0

.05)

(1

.67)

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

3.46

3.52

0.05

1.55

3.46

3.

50

0.04

1.22

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

3.96

3.85

(0.1

1)(2

.81)

4.02

3.

93

(0.0

8)

(2.1

1)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

4.32

4.24

(0.0

8)(1

.85)

4.42

4.

31

(0.1

1)

(2.5

2)

Dav

ao R

egio

n4.

264.

370.

112.

594.

29

4.41

0.

12

2.

71

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

3.84

3.69

(0.1

5)(3

.82)

3.93

3.

83

(0.1

0)

(2.6

3)

Car

aga

3.42

3.27

(0.1

5)(4

.44)

3.40

3.

26

(0.1

4)

(4.1

9)

AR

MM

2.34

2.26

(0.0

8)(3

.26)

2.48

2.

48

(0.0

0)

(0.0

5)

2015

/201

4

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

2015

/201

420

1520

1420

1420

15C

han

ge

Item

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

3.0 RAINFALL

The accumulated actual decadal rainfall for January to March 2015 was

4,188.80 millimeters, 37.6% lower than the 2014 level of 6,712.30

millimeters and 15.2% below the normal rainfall condition.

During the period, CAR, Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, NCR, Bicol

Region and ARMM got above normal rainfall condition while the rest of

the regions had below normal rainfall.

Western Visayas recorded the biggest drop in rainfall at 45% below the

normal rainfall condition followed by Central Visayas, Northern

Mindanao and Caraga.

*Decadal Rainfall – refer to the amount of rainfall measured every ten days.

23 14

Tab

le 1. P

ala

y:

Pro

du

ctio

n e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y e

cosy

stem

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

11,3

60

11,4

07

11,6

51

0.41

2.14

Irrig

ated

8,93

5

9,

149

9,30

2

2.

401.

67

Rai

nfed

2,42

6

2,

258

2,34

9

(6

.92)

4.02

Janu

ary-

June

7,99

8

8,

380

8,26

9

4.

78(1

.32)

Irrig

ated

6,56

3

6,

866

6,84

8

4.

61(0

.25)

Rai

nfed

1,43

5

1,

514

1,42

1

5.

55(6

.15)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch4,

170

4,30

7

4,

368

3.28

1.41

Irrig

ated

3,33

2

3,

337

3,47

1

0.

173.

99

Rai

nfed

838

96

9

897

15

.67

(7.4

6)

Apr

il-Ju

ne3,

828

4,07

3

3,

902

a/6.

41(4

.21)

Irrig

ated

3,23

1

3,

528

3,37

8

9.

19(4

.27)

Rai

nfed

596

54

5

524

(8

.66)

(3.8

0)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r3,

363

3,02

7

3,

381

b/(9

.98)

11.7

0

Irrig

ated

2,37

2

2,

284

2,45

4

(3

.71)

7.46

Rai

nfed

991

74

4

927

(2

4.98

)24

.73

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Tab

le 8

. P

ala

y:

Harv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

2,09

7,75

02,

066,

559

(31,

191)

(1.4

9)2,

871,

582

2,93

8,87

967

,297

2.34

CA

R44

,551

44,6

0554

0.12

64,9

0865

,130

221

0.34

Iloco

s10

2,06

710

3,00

393

60.

9213

1,96

513

4,60

02,

635

2.00

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

311,

063

312,

459

1,39

70.

4538

6,57

840

2,95

916

,382

4.24

Cen

tral L

uzon

328,

090

323,

798

(4,2

92)

(1.3

1)37

0,91

337

4,80

43,

891

1.05

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N56

,761

58,8

072,

046

3.60

69,3

8672

,475

3,08

94.

45

MIM

AR

OP

A11

4,07

911

7,89

33,

814

3.34

140,

942

152,

554

11,6

128.

24

Bic

ol17

1,55

516

9,72

0(1

,835

)(1

.07)

219,

528

230,

604

11,0

765.

05

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

220,

587

219,

145

(1,4

42)

(0.6

5)39

1,87

743

5,82

343

,946

11.2

1

Cen

tral V

isay

as49

,939

49,3

96(5

43)

(1.0

9)55

,801

55,4

06(3

95)

(0.7

1)

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

151,

049

149,

898

(1,1

51)

(0.7

6)20

0,00

819

9,05

8(9

50)

(0.4

7)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

69,0

2067

,135

(1,8

85)

(2.7

3)11

9,24

512

1,07

91,

834

1.54

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

73,0

5872

,588

(470

)(0

.64)

114,

460

117,

217

2,75

72.

41

Dav

ao R

egio

n52

,569

49,3

29(3

,240

)(6

.16)

84,1

7681

,450

(2,7

26)

(3.2

4)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

141,

602

134,

028

(7,5

74)

(5.3

5)25

1,12

224

0,48

5(1

0,63

7)(4

.24)

Car

aga

96,6

1297

,031

419

0.43

106,

533

107,

656

1,12

31.

05

AR

MM

115,

148

97,7

24(1

7,42

4)(1

5.13

)16

4,14

014

7,57

9(1

6,56

1)(1

0.09

)

2015

/201

4

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

2015

/201

420

1520

1420

1420

15C

han

ge

Item

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

15 22

Tab

le 2

. P

ala

y:

Harv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y e

cosy

stem

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013-2

015

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

2,91

3

2,

872

2,93

9

(1

.44)

2.34

Irrig

ated

2,07

9

2,

067

2,11

0

(0

.55)

2.03

Rai

nfed

835

80

4

829

(3

.65)

3.14

Janu

ary-

June

2,04

4

2,

098

2,06

7

2.

64(1

.49)

Irrig

ated

1,52

6

1,

535

1,53

4

0.

59(0

.05)

Rai

nfed

518

56

3

532

8.

69(5

.39)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch1,

113

1,15

9

1,

149

4.10

(0.8

4)

Irrig

ated

806

78

8

805

(2

.24)

2.16

Rai

nfed

308

37

1

345

20

.73

(7.2

0)

Apr

il-Ju

ne93

1

939

91

8

a/0.

89(2

.29)

Irrig

ated

720

74

8

730

3.

76(2

.39)

Rai

nfed

210

19

1

188

(8

.92)

(1.8

9)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r87

0

774

87

2

b/(1

1.02

)12

.73

Irrig

ated

553

53

2

575

(3

.68)

8.06

Rai

nfed

317

24

1

297

(2

3.82

)23

.03

Apr'1

5 rd

2015

IT

EMG

row

th R

ate

2013

20

14

201

4 / 2

013

201

5 / 2

014

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Tab

le 7

. P

ala

y:

Pro

du

ctio

n e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

8,37

9,90

28,

269,

342

(110

,560

)(1

.32)

11,4

06,9

6111

,650

,502

243,

541

2.14

CA

R19

8,02

719

6,32

8(1

,699

)(0

.86)

264,

509

263,

676

(833

)(0

.31)

Iloco

s45

9,14

846

8,50

39,

355

2.04

586,

539

606,

687

20,1

483.

44

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

1,29

6,96

71,

376,

167

79,2

006.

111,

652,

734

1,77

3,36

012

0,62

67.

30

Cen

tral L

uzon

1,85

4,15

91,

833,

847

(20,

312)

(1.1

0)2,

057,

908

2,07

5,26

217

,354

0.84

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N19

4,45

921

8,03

523

,576

12.1

223

2,69

526

2,80

030

,105

12.9

4

MIM

AR

OP

A43

1,09

544

1,40

510

,310

2.39

534,

877

573,

798

38,9

217.

28

Bic

ol64

4,51

560

4,63

2(3

9,88

3)(6

.19)

824,

811

830,

994

6,18

30.

75

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

672,

099

642,

210

(29,

889)

(4.4

5)1,

287,

760

1,42

3,16

413

5,40

410

.51

Cen

tral V

isay

as15

0,44

514

6,54

6(3

,899

)(2

.59)

170,

739

166,

702

(4,0

37)

(2.3

6)

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

523,

113

527,

157

4,04

40.

7769

1,11

169

6,24

45,

133

0.74

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

273,

538

258,

583

(14,

955)

(5.4

7)47

8,86

847

5,96

9(2

,899

)(0

.61)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

315,

347

307,

515

(7,8

33)

(2.4

8)50

6,27

750

5,39

9(8

79)

(0.1

7)

Dav

ao R

egio

n22

3,83

021

5,47

9(8

,351

)(3

.73)

361,

350

359,

132

(2,2

18)

(0.6

1)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

543,

461

494,

753

(48,

708)

(8.9

6)98

7,49

592

0,80

4(6

6,69

1)(6

.75)

Car

aga

330,

265

316,

978

(13,

288)

(4.0

2)36

2,41

435

0,88

7(1

1,52

8)(3

.18)

AR

MM

269,

434

221,

205

(48,

229)

(17.

90)

406,

874

365,

626

(41,

248)

(10.

14)

2015

/201

4

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

2015

/201

420

1520

1420

1420

15C

han

ge

Item

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

21 16

Tab

le 3

. P

ala

y:

Yie

ld p

er h

ecta

re e

stim

ate

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y e

cosy

stem

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

2012-2

014

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

3.90

3.

972

3.96

4

1.

87(0

.20)

Irrig

ated

4.30

4.

43

4.41

2.

96(0

.36)

Rai

nfed

2.91

2.

81

2.83

(3

.39)

0.85

Janu

ary-

June

3.91

3.

99

4.00

2.

080.

17

Irrig

ated

4.30

4.

47

4.46

4.

00(0

.20)

Rai

nfed

2.77

2.

69

2.67

(2

.89)

(0.7

9)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch3.

75

3.72

3.

80

(0.7

9)2.

27

Irrig

ated

4.14

4.

24

4.31

2.

471.

79

Rai

nfed

2.73

2.

61

2.60

(4

.19)

(0.2

8)

Apr

il-Ju

ne4.

11

4.34

4.

252

5.47

(1.9

7)

Irrig

ated

4.48

4.

72

4.63

5.

24(1

.93)

Rai

nfed

2.84

2.

85

2.79

0.

29(1

.95)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r3.

87

3.91

3.

88

1.17

(0.9

1)

Irrig

ated

4.29

4.

29

4.27

(0

.03)

(0.5

6)

Rai

nfed

3.13

3.

08

3.12

(1

.52)

1.38

Apr'1

5 rd

2015

IT

EMG

row

th R

ate

2013

20

14

201

4 / 2

013

201

5 / 2

014

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 6

. P

ala

y:

Yie

ld p

er h

ecta

re e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

3.72

3.80

0.08

2.27

4.34

4.25

(0.0

9)(1

.97)

3.91

3.88

(0.0

4)(0

.91)

CAR

4.24

4.22

(0.0

2)(0

.40)

4.54

4.48

(0.0

5)(1

.21)

3.27

3.28

0.02

0.48

Iloco

s4.

574.

630.

061.

324.

354.

370.

020.

484.

264.

370.

112.

64

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

3.87

4.37

0.50

12.8

64.

484.

44(0

.04)

(0.9

1)4.

714.

39(0

.32)

(6.8

4)

Cen

tral L

uzon

4.92

5.05

0.13

2.74

6.23

6.16

(0.0

7)(1

.17)

4.76

4.73

(0.0

2)(0

.52)

CAL

ABAR

ZON

3.07

3.60

0.53

17.4

43.

753.

780.

030.

773.

033.

280.

258.

14

MIM

ARO

PA3.

613.

720.

112.

953.

993.

79(0

.20)

(4.9

7)3.

863.

82(0

.04)

(1.1

3)

Bico

l3.

713.

62(0

.08)

(2.2

8)3.

803.

51(0

.29)

(7.6

2)3.

763.

72(0

.04)

(1.0

7)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

3.05

2.98

(0.0

8)(2

.50)

3.01

2.69

(0.3

2)(1

0.69

)3.

593.

600.

010.

28

Cen

tral V

isaya

s2.

982.

98(0

.00)

(0.0

2)3.

072.

95(0

.12)

(3.9

8)3.

463.

35(0

.11)

(3.1

3)

Easte

rn V

isaya

s3.

023.

110.

092.

933.

873.

900.

030.

783.

433.

440.

010.

24

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

3.93

3.77

(0.1

6)(3

.99)

4.06

4.11

0.05

1.14

4.09

4.03

(0.0

6)(1

.43)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

4.24

4.32

0.08

1.80

4.41

4.12

(0.2

9)(6

.54)

4.61

4.43

(0.1

8)(3

.85)

Dav

ao R

egio

n4.

494.

630.

153.

253.

924.

010.

092.

314.

354.

470.

122.

79

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

3.84

3.76

(0.0

9)(2

.26)

3.82

3.42

(0.4

1)(1

0.60

)4.

054.

00(0

.05)

(1.2

9)

Car

aga

3.21

3.20

(0.0

1)(0

.36)

3.43

3.27

(0.1

6)(4

.63)

3.24

3.19

(0.0

5)(1

.51)

ARM

M2.

322.

10(0

.23)

(9.7

8)2.

382.

620.

2510

.30

2.81

2.90

0.09

3.26

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

/201

420

1420

1420

15C

hang

e20

15C

hang

e

July

-Sep

tem

ber

Item

Janu

ary-

Mar

chAp

ril-J

une

2014

2015

Cha

nge

17 20

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

4,30

6,89

14,

367,

715

60,8

241.

414,

073,

011

3,90

1,62

7(1

71,3

84)

(4.2

1)3,

027,

059

3,38

1,16

035

4,10

111

.70

CAR

58,8

4258

,934

920.

1613

9,18

513

7,39

4(1

,791

)(1

.29)

66,4

8267

,348

866

1.30

Iloco

s31

6,25

032

7,80

511

,555

3.65

142,

898

140,

698

(2,2

00)

(1.5

4)12

7,39

113

8,18

410

,793

8.47

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

610,

755

647,

865

37,1

106.

0868

6,21

272

8,30

242

,090

6.13

355,

767

397,

192

41,4

2511

.64

Cen

tral L

uzon

711,

732

731,

122

19,3

902.

721,

142,

427

1,10

2,72

5(3

9,70

2)(3

.48)

203,

749

241,

415

37,6

6618

.49

CAL

ABAR

ZON

82,9

0486

,875

3,97

14.

7911

1,55

513

1,16

019

,605

17.5

738

,236

44,7

656,

529

17.0

8

MIM

ARO

PA23

2,51

629

7,89

865

,382

28.1

219

8,57

914

3,50

7(5

5,07

2)(2

7.73

)10

3,78

213

2,39

328

,611

27.5

7

Bico

l29

7,36

228

4,03

4(1

3,32

8)(4

.48)

347,

153

320,

598

(26,

555)

(7.6

5)18

0,29

622

6,36

246

,066

25.5

5

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

561,

059

546,

017

(15,

042)

(2.6

8)11

1,04

096

,193

(14,

847)

(13.

37)

615,

661

780,

954

165,

293

26.8

5

Cen

tral V

isaya

s93

,371

93,1

31(2

40)

(0.2

6)57

,074

53,4

15(3

,659

)(6

.41)

20,2

9420

,156

(138

)(0

.68)

Easte

rn V

isaya

s21

9,36

022

6,73

17,

371

3.36

303,

753

300,

426

(3,3

27)

(1.1

0)16

7,99

816

9,08

71,

089

0.65

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

205,

315

194,

702

(10,

613)

(5.1

7)68

,223

63,8

81(4

,342

)(6

.36)

205,

330

217,

386

12,0

565.

87

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

175,

809

180,

694

4,88

52.

7813

9,53

812

6,82

1(1

2,71

8)(9

.11)

190,

930

197,

884

6,95

43.

64

Dav

ao R

egio

n14

1,04

913

1,81

4(9

,235

)(6

.55)

82,7

8183

,665

884

1.07

137,

520

143,

653

6,13

34.

46

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

399,

120

406,

442

7,32

21.

8314

4,34

188

,311

(56,

030)

(38.

82)

444,

034

426,

051

(17,

983)

(4.0

5)

Car

aga

14,7

7813

,906

(873

)(5

.90)

315,

487

303,

072

(12,

415)

(3.9

4)32

,149

33,9

091,

760

5.47

ARM

M18

6,66

913

9,74

6(4

6,92

3)(2

5.14

)82

,765

81,4

59(1

,306

)(1

.58)

137,

440

144,

421

6,98

15.

08

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

/201

420

1420

1420

15C

hang

e20

15C

hang

e

July

-Sep

tem

ber

Item

Janu

ary-

Mar

chAp

ril-J

une

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Tab

le 4

. P

ala

y:

Pro

du

ctio

n e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Tab

le 5

. P

ala

y:

Harv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

1,15

8,76

01,

149,

026

(9,7

34)

(0.8

4)93

8,99

091

7,53

3(2

1,45

7)(2

.29)

773,

833

872,

321

98,4

8812

.73

CAR

13,8

7513

,953

780.

5630

,676

30,6

52(2

4)(0

.08)

20,3

5720

,525

168

0.82

Iloco

s69

,223

70,8

191,

596

2.31

32,8

4432

,184

(660

)(2

.01)

29,8

9831

,597

1,69

95.

68

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

157,

905

148,

410

(9,4

95)

(6.0

1)15

3,15

816

4,04

910

,892

7.11

75,5

1590

,500

14,9

8519

.84

Cen

tral L

uzon

144,

693

144,

676

(17)

(0.0

1)18

3,39

717

9,12

2(4

,275

)(2

.33)

42,8

2351

,006

8,18

319

.11

CAL

ABAR

ZON

27,0

3324

,121

(2,9

12)

(10.

77)

29,7

2834

,686

4,95

816

.68

12,6

2513

,668

1,04

38.

26

MIM

ARO

PA64

,331

80,0

6015

,729

24.4

549

,748

37,8

33(1

1,91

5)(2

3.95

)26

,863

34,6

617,

798

29.0

3

Bico

l80

,196

78,3

92(1

,804

)(2

.25)

91,3

5991

,328

(31)

(0.0

3)47

,973

60,8

8412

,911

26.9

1

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

183,

663

183,

330

(333

)(0

.18)

36,9

2435

,815

(1,1

09)

(3.0

0)17

1,29

021

6,67

845

,388

26.5

0

Cen

tral V

isaya

s31

,359

31,2

86(7

3)(0

.23)

18,5

8018

,110

(470

)(2

.53)

5,86

26,

010

148

2.52

Easte

rn V

isaya

s72

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72,9

0930

70.

4278

,447

76,9

89(1

,458

)(1

.86)

48,9

5949

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201

0.41

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

52,2

1951

,580

(639

)(1

.22)

16,8

0115

,555

(1,2

46)

(7.4

2)50

,225

53,9

443,

719

7.40

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

41,4

2241

,822

400

0.97

31,6

3630

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(870

)(2

.75)

41,4

0244

,629

3,22

77.

79

Dav

ao R

egio

n31

,433

28,4

50(2

,983

)(9

.49)

21,1

3620

,879

(257

)(1

.22)

31,6

0732

,121

514

1.63

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

103,

837

108,

183

4,34

64.

1937

,765

25,8

45(1

1,92

0)(3

1.56

)10

9,52

010

6,45

7(3

,063

)(2

.80)

Car

aga

4,60

14,

345

(256

)(5

.56)

92,0

1192

,686

675

0.73

9,92

110

,625

704

7.10

ARM

M80

,368

66,6

90(1

3,67

8)(1

7.02

)34

,780

31,0

34(3

,746

)(1

0.77

)48

,992

49,8

5586

31.

76

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

/201

420

1420

1420

15C

hang

e20

15C

hang

e

July

-Sep

tem

ber

Item

Janu

ary-

Mar

chAp

ril-J

une

2014

2015

Cha

nge

19 18

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

4,30

6,89

14,

367,

715

60,8

241.

414,

073,

011

3,90

1,62

7(1

71,3

84)

(4.2

1)3,

027,

059

3,38

1,16

035

4,10

111

.70

CAR

58,8

4258

,934

920.

1613

9,18

513

7,39

4(1

,791

)(1

.29)

66,4

8267

,348

866

1.30

Iloco

s31

6,25

032

7,80

511

,555

3.65

142,

898

140,

698

(2,2

00)

(1.5

4)12

7,39

113

8,18

410

,793

8.47

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

610,

755

647,

865

37,1

106.

0868

6,21

272

8,30

242

,090

6.13

355,

767

397,

192

41,4

2511

.64

Cen

tral L

uzon

711,

732

731,

122

19,3

902.

721,

142,

427

1,10

2,72

5(3

9,70

2)(3

.48)

203,

749

241,

415

37,6

6618

.49

CAL

ABAR

ZON

82,9

0486

,875

3,97

14.

7911

1,55

513

1,16

019

,605

17.5

738

,236

44,7

656,

529

17.0

8

MIM

ARO

PA23

2,51

629

7,89

865

,382

28.1

219

8,57

914

3,50

7(5

5,07

2)(2

7.73

)10

3,78

213

2,39

328

,611

27.5

7

Bico

l29

7,36

228

4,03

4(1

3,32

8)(4

.48)

347,

153

320,

598

(26,

555)

(7.6

5)18

0,29

622

6,36

246

,066

25.5

5

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

561,

059

546,

017

(15,

042)

(2.6

8)11

1,04

096

,193

(14,

847)

(13.

37)

615,

661

780,

954

165,

293

26.8

5

Cen

tral V

isaya

s93

,371

93,1

31(2

40)

(0.2

6)57

,074

53,4

15(3

,659

)(6

.41)

20,2

9420

,156

(138

)(0

.68)

Easte

rn V

isaya

s21

9,36

022

6,73

17,

371

3.36

303,

753

300,

426

(3,3

27)

(1.1

0)16

7,99

816

9,08

71,

089

0.65

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

205,

315

194,

702

(10,

613)

(5.1

7)68

,223

63,8

81(4

,342

)(6

.36)

205,

330

217,

386

12,0

565.

87

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

175,

809

180,

694

4,88

52.

7813

9,53

812

6,82

1(1

2,71

8)(9

.11)

190,

930

197,

884

6,95

43.

64

Dav

ao R

egio

n14

1,04

913

1,81

4(9

,235

)(6

.55)

82,7

8183

,665

884

1.07

137,

520

143,

653

6,13

34.

46

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

399,

120

406,

442

7,32

21.

8314

4,34

188

,311

(56,

030)

(38.

82)

444,

034

426,

051

(17,

983)

(4.0

5)

Car

aga

14,7

7813

,906

(873

)(5

.90)

315,

487

303,

072

(12,

415)

(3.9

4)32

,149

33,9

091,

760

5.47

ARM

M18

6,66

913

9,74

6(4

6,92

3)(2

5.14

)82

,765

81,4

59(1

,306

)(1

.58)

137,

440

144,

421

6,98

15.

08

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

/201

420

1420

1420

15C

hang

e20

15C

hang

e

July

-Sep

tem

ber

Item

Janu

ary-

Mar

chAp

ril-J

une

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Tab

le 4

. P

ala

y:

Pro

du

ctio

n e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Tab

le 5

. P

ala

y:

Harv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

1,15

8,76

01,

149,

026

(9,7

34)

(0.8

4)93

8,99

091

7,53

3(2

1,45

7)(2

.29)

773,

833

872,

321

98,4

8812

.73

CAR

13,8

7513

,953

780.

5630

,676

30,6

52(2

4)(0

.08)

20,3

5720

,525

168

0.82

Iloco

s69

,223

70,8

191,

596

2.31

32,8

4432

,184

(660

)(2

.01)

29,8

9831

,597

1,69

95.

68

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

157,

905

148,

410

(9,4

95)

(6.0

1)15

3,15

816

4,04

910

,892

7.11

75,5

1590

,500

14,9

8519

.84

Cen

tral L

uzon

144,

693

144,

676

(17)

(0.0

1)18

3,39

717

9,12

2(4

,275

)(2

.33)

42,8

2351

,006

8,18

319

.11

CAL

ABAR

ZON

27,0

3324

,121

(2,9

12)

(10.

77)

29,7

2834

,686

4,95

816

.68

12,6

2513

,668

1,04

38.

26

MIM

ARO

PA64

,331

80,0

6015

,729

24.4

549

,748

37,8

33(1

1,91

5)(2

3.95

)26

,863

34,6

617,

798

29.0

3

Bico

l80

,196

78,3

92(1

,804

)(2

.25)

91,3

5991

,328

(31)

(0.0

3)47

,973

60,8

8412

,911

26.9

1

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

183,

663

183,

330

(333

)(0

.18)

36,9

2435

,815

(1,1

09)

(3.0

0)17

1,29

021

6,67

845

,388

26.5

0

Cen

tral V

isaya

s31

,359

31,2

86(7

3)(0

.23)

18,5

8018

,110

(470

)(2

.53)

5,86

26,

010

148

2.52

Easte

rn V

isaya

s72

,602

72,9

0930

70.

4278

,447

76,9

89(1

,458

)(1

.86)

48,9

5949

,160

201

0.41

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

52,2

1951

,580

(639

)(1

.22)

16,8

0115

,555

(1,2

46)

(7.4

2)50

,225

53,9

443,

719

7.40

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

41,4

2241

,822

400

0.97

31,6

3630

,766

(870

)(2

.75)

41,4

0244

,629

3,22

77.

79

Dav

ao R

egio

n31

,433

28,4

50(2

,983

)(9

.49)

21,1

3620

,879

(257

)(1

.22)

31,6

0732

,121

514

1.63

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

103,

837

108,

183

4,34

64.

1937

,765

25,8

45(1

1,92

0)(3

1.56

)10

9,52

010

6,45

7(3

,063

)(2

.80)

Car

aga

4,60

14,

345

(256

)(5

.56)

92,0

1192

,686

675

0.73

9,92

110

,625

704

7.10

ARM

M80

,368

66,6

90(1

3,67

8)(1

7.02

)34

,780

31,0

34(3

,746

)(1

0.77

)48

,992

49,8

5586

31.

76

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

/201

420

1420

1420

15C

hang

e20

15C

hang

e

July

-Sep

tem

ber

Item

Janu

ary-

Mar

chAp

ril-J

une

2014

2015

Cha

nge

19 18

Tab

le 3

. P

ala

y:

Yie

ld p

er h

ecta

re e

stim

ate

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y e

cosy

stem

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

2012-2

014

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

3.90

3.

972

3.96

4

1.

87(0

.20)

Irrig

ated

4.30

4.

43

4.41

2.

96(0

.36)

Rai

nfed

2.91

2.

81

2.83

(3

.39)

0.85

Janu

ary-

June

3.91

3.

99

4.00

2.

080.

17

Irrig

ated

4.30

4.

47

4.46

4.

00(0

.20)

Rai

nfed

2.77

2.

69

2.67

(2

.89)

(0.7

9)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch3.

75

3.72

3.

80

(0.7

9)2.

27

Irrig

ated

4.14

4.

24

4.31

2.

471.

79

Rai

nfed

2.73

2.

61

2.60

(4

.19)

(0.2

8)

Apr

il-Ju

ne4.

11

4.34

4.

252

5.47

(1.9

7)

Irrig

ated

4.48

4.

72

4.63

5.

24(1

.93)

Rai

nfed

2.84

2.

85

2.79

0.

29(1

.95)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r3.

87

3.91

3.

88

1.17

(0.9

1)

Irrig

ated

4.29

4.

29

4.27

(0

.03)

(0.5

6)

Rai

nfed

3.13

3.

08

3.12

(1

.52)

1.38

Apr'1

5 rd

2015

IT

EMG

row

th R

ate

2013

20

14

201

4 / 2

013

201

5 / 2

014

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 6

. P

ala

y:

Yie

ld p

er h

ecta

re e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

3.72

3.80

0.08

2.27

4.34

4.25

(0.0

9)(1

.97)

3.91

3.88

(0.0

4)(0

.91)

CAR

4.24

4.22

(0.0

2)(0

.40)

4.54

4.48

(0.0

5)(1

.21)

3.27

3.28

0.02

0.48

Iloco

s4.

574.

630.

061.

324.

354.

370.

020.

484.

264.

370.

112.

64

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

3.87

4.37

0.50

12.8

64.

484.

44(0

.04)

(0.9

1)4.

714.

39(0

.32)

(6.8

4)

Cen

tral L

uzon

4.92

5.05

0.13

2.74

6.23

6.16

(0.0

7)(1

.17)

4.76

4.73

(0.0

2)(0

.52)

CAL

ABAR

ZON

3.07

3.60

0.53

17.4

43.

753.

780.

030.

773.

033.

280.

258.

14

MIM

ARO

PA3.

613.

720.

112.

953.

993.

79(0

.20)

(4.9

7)3.

863.

82(0

.04)

(1.1

3)

Bico

l3.

713.

62(0

.08)

(2.2

8)3.

803.

51(0

.29)

(7.6

2)3.

763.

72(0

.04)

(1.0

7)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

3.05

2.98

(0.0

8)(2

.50)

3.01

2.69

(0.3

2)(1

0.69

)3.

593.

600.

010.

28

Cen

tral V

isaya

s2.

982.

98(0

.00)

(0.0

2)3.

072.

95(0

.12)

(3.9

8)3.

463.

35(0

.11)

(3.1

3)

Easte

rn V

isaya

s3.

023.

110.

092.

933.

873.

900.

030.

783.

433.

440.

010.

24

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

3.93

3.77

(0.1

6)(3

.99)

4.06

4.11

0.05

1.14

4.09

4.03

(0.0

6)(1

.43)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

4.24

4.32

0.08

1.80

4.41

4.12

(0.2

9)(6

.54)

4.61

4.43

(0.1

8)(3

.85)

Dav

ao R

egio

n4.

494.

630.

153.

253.

924.

010.

092.

314.

354.

470.

122.

79

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

3.84

3.76

(0.0

9)(2

.26)

3.82

3.42

(0.4

1)(1

0.60

)4.

054.

00(0

.05)

(1.2

9)

Car

aga

3.21

3.20

(0.0

1)(0

.36)

3.43

3.27

(0.1

6)(4

.63)

3.24

3.19

(0.0

5)(1

.51)

ARM

M2.

322.

10(0

.23)

(9.7

8)2.

382.

620.

2510

.30

2.81

2.90

0.09

3.26

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

/201

420

1420

1420

15C

hang

e20

15C

hang

e

July

-Sep

tem

ber

Item

Janu

ary-

Mar

chAp

ril-J

une

2014

2015

Cha

nge

17 20

Tab

le 2

. P

ala

y:

Harv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y e

cosy

stem

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013-2

015

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

2,91

3

2,

872

2,93

9

(1

.44)

2.34

Irrig

ated

2,07

9

2,

067

2,11

0

(0

.55)

2.03

Rai

nfed

835

80

4

829

(3

.65)

3.14

Janu

ary-

June

2,04

4

2,

098

2,06

7

2.

64(1

.49)

Irrig

ated

1,52

6

1,

535

1,53

4

0.

59(0

.05)

Rai

nfed

518

56

3

532

8.

69(5

.39)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch1,

113

1,15

9

1,

149

4.10

(0.8

4)

Irrig

ated

806

78

8

805

(2

.24)

2.16

Rai

nfed

308

37

1

345

20

.73

(7.2

0)

Apr

il-Ju

ne93

1

939

91

8

a/0.

89(2

.29)

Irrig

ated

720

74

8

730

3.

76(2

.39)

Rai

nfed

210

19

1

188

(8

.92)

(1.8

9)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r87

0

774

87

2

b/(1

1.02

)12

.73

Irrig

ated

553

53

2

575

(3

.68)

8.06

Rai

nfed

317

24

1

297

(2

3.82

)23

.03

Apr'1

5 rd

2015

IT

EMG

row

th R

ate

2013

20

14

201

4 / 2

013

201

5 / 2

014

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Tab

le 7

. P

ala

y:

Pro

du

ctio

n e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

8,37

9,90

28,

269,

342

(110

,560

)(1

.32)

11,4

06,9

6111

,650

,502

243,

541

2.14

CA

R19

8,02

719

6,32

8(1

,699

)(0

.86)

264,

509

263,

676

(833

)(0

.31)

Iloco

s45

9,14

846

8,50

39,

355

2.04

586,

539

606,

687

20,1

483.

44

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

1,29

6,96

71,

376,

167

79,2

006.

111,

652,

734

1,77

3,36

012

0,62

67.

30

Cen

tral L

uzon

1,85

4,15

91,

833,

847

(20,

312)

(1.1

0)2,

057,

908

2,07

5,26

217

,354

0.84

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N19

4,45

921

8,03

523

,576

12.1

223

2,69

526

2,80

030

,105

12.9

4

MIM

AR

OP

A43

1,09

544

1,40

510

,310

2.39

534,

877

573,

798

38,9

217.

28

Bic

ol64

4,51

560

4,63

2(3

9,88

3)(6

.19)

824,

811

830,

994

6,18

30.

75

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

672,

099

642,

210

(29,

889)

(4.4

5)1,

287,

760

1,42

3,16

413

5,40

410

.51

Cen

tral V

isay

as15

0,44

514

6,54

6(3

,899

)(2

.59)

170,

739

166,

702

(4,0

37)

(2.3

6)

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

523,

113

527,

157

4,04

40.

7769

1,11

169

6,24

45,

133

0.74

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

273,

538

258,

583

(14,

955)

(5.4

7)47

8,86

847

5,96

9(2

,899

)(0

.61)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

315,

347

307,

515

(7,8

33)

(2.4

8)50

6,27

750

5,39

9(8

79)

(0.1

7)

Dav

ao R

egio

n22

3,83

021

5,47

9(8

,351

)(3

.73)

361,

350

359,

132

(2,2

18)

(0.6

1)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

543,

461

494,

753

(48,

708)

(8.9

6)98

7,49

592

0,80

4(6

6,69

1)(6

.75)

Car

aga

330,

265

316,

978

(13,

288)

(4.0

2)36

2,41

435

0,88

7(1

1,52

8)(3

.18)

AR

MM

269,

434

221,

205

(48,

229)

(17.

90)

406,

874

365,

626

(41,

248)

(10.

14)

2015

/201

4

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

2015

/201

420

1520

1420

1420

15C

han

ge

Item

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

21 16

Tab

le 1. P

ala

y:

Pro

du

ctio

n e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y e

cosy

stem

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

11,3

60

11,4

07

11,6

51

0.41

2.14

Irrig

ated

8,93

5

9,

149

9,30

2

2.

401.

67

Rai

nfed

2,42

6

2,

258

2,34

9

(6

.92)

4.02

Janu

ary-

June

7,99

8

8,

380

8,26

9

4.

78(1

.32)

Irrig

ated

6,56

3

6,

866

6,84

8

4.

61(0

.25)

Rai

nfed

1,43

5

1,

514

1,42

1

5.

55(6

.15)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch4,

170

4,30

7

4,

368

3.28

1.41

Irrig

ated

3,33

2

3,

337

3,47

1

0.

173.

99

Rai

nfed

838

96

9

897

15

.67

(7.4

6)

Apr

il-Ju

ne3,

828

4,07

3

3,

902

a/6.

41(4

.21)

Irrig

ated

3,23

1

3,

528

3,37

8

9.

19(4

.27)

Rai

nfed

596

54

5

524

(8

.66)

(3.8

0)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r3,

363

3,02

7

3,

381

b/(9

.98)

11.7

0

Irrig

ated

2,37

2

2,

284

2,45

4

(3

.71)

7.46

Rai

nfed

991

74

4

927

(2

4.98

)24

.73

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Tab

le 8

. P

ala

y:

Harv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

2,09

7,75

02,

066,

559

(31,

191)

(1.4

9)2,

871,

582

2,93

8,87

967

,297

2.34

CA

R44

,551

44,6

0554

0.12

64,9

0865

,130

221

0.34

Iloco

s10

2,06

710

3,00

393

60.

9213

1,96

513

4,60

02,

635

2.00

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

311,

063

312,

459

1,39

70.

4538

6,57

840

2,95

916

,382

4.24

Cen

tral L

uzon

328,

090

323,

798

(4,2

92)

(1.3

1)37

0,91

337

4,80

43,

891

1.05

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N56

,761

58,8

072,

046

3.60

69,3

8672

,475

3,08

94.

45

MIM

AR

OP

A11

4,07

911

7,89

33,

814

3.34

140,

942

152,

554

11,6

128.

24

Bic

ol17

1,55

516

9,72

0(1

,835

)(1

.07)

219,

528

230,

604

11,0

765.

05

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

220,

587

219,

145

(1,4

42)

(0.6

5)39

1,87

743

5,82

343

,946

11.2

1

Cen

tral V

isay

as49

,939

49,3

96(5

43)

(1.0

9)55

,801

55,4

06(3

95)

(0.7

1)

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

151,

049

149,

898

(1,1

51)

(0.7

6)20

0,00

819

9,05

8(9

50)

(0.4

7)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

69,0

2067

,135

(1,8

85)

(2.7

3)11

9,24

512

1,07

91,

834

1.54

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

73,0

5872

,588

(470

)(0

.64)

114,

460

117,

217

2,75

72.

41

Dav

ao R

egio

n52

,569

49,3

29(3

,240

)(6

.16)

84,1

7681

,450

(2,7

26)

(3.2

4)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

141,

602

134,

028

(7,5

74)

(5.3

5)25

1,12

224

0,48

5(1

0,63

7)(4

.24)

Car

aga

96,6

1297

,031

419

0.43

106,

533

107,

656

1,12

31.

05

AR

MM

115,

148

97,7

24(1

7,42

4)(1

5.13

)16

4,14

014

7,57

9(1

6,56

1)(1

0.09

)

2015

/201

4

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

2015

/201

420

1520

1420

1420

15C

han

ge

Item

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

15 22

Tab

le 9

. P

ala

y:

Yie

ld p

er h

ecta

re e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

3.99

4.00

0.01

0.17

3.97

3.

96

(0.0

1)

(0.2

0)

CA

R4.

444.

40(0

.04)

(0.9

8)4.

08

4.05

(0

.03)

(0

.65)

Iloco

s4.

504.

550.

051.

114.

44

4.51

0.

06

1.

41

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

4.17

4.40

0.23

5.63

4.28

4.

40

0.13

2.94

Cen

tral L

uzon

5.65

5.66

0.01

0.22

5.55

5.

54

(0.0

1)

(0.2

0)

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N3.

433.

710.

288.

223.

35

3.63

0.

27

8.

12

MIM

AR

OP

A3.

783.

74(0

.03)

(0.9

2)3.

80

3.76

(0

.03)

(0

.89)

Bic

ol3.

763.

56(0

.19)

(5.1

7)3.

76

3.60

(0

.15)

(4

.09)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

3.05

2.93

(0.1

2)(3

.82)

3.29

3.

27

(0.0

2)

(0.6

3)

Cen

tral V

isay

as3.

012.

97(0

.05)

(1.5

2)3.

06

3.01

(0

.05)

(1

.67)

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

3.46

3.52

0.05

1.55

3.46

3.

50

0.04

1.22

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

3.96

3.85

(0.1

1)(2

.81)

4.02

3.

93

(0.0

8)

(2.1

1)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

4.32

4.24

(0.0

8)(1

.85)

4.42

4.

31

(0.1

1)

(2.5

2)

Dav

ao R

egio

n4.

264.

370.

112.

594.

29

4.41

0.

12

2.

71

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

3.84

3.69

(0.1

5)(3

.82)

3.93

3.

83

(0.1

0)

(2.6

3)

Car

aga

3.42

3.27

(0.1

5)(4

.44)

3.40

3.

26

(0.1

4)

(4.1

9)

AR

MM

2.34

2.26

(0.0

8)(3

.26)

2.48

2.

48

(0.0

0)

(0.0

5)

2015

/201

4

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

2015

/201

420

1520

1420

1420

15C

han

ge

Item

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

3.0 RAINFALL

The accumulated actual decadal rainfall for January to March 2015 was

4,188.80 millimeters, 37.6% lower than the 2014 level of 6,712.30

millimeters and 15.2% below the normal rainfall condition.

During the period, CAR, Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, NCR, Bicol

Region and ARMM got above normal rainfall condition while the rest of

the regions had below normal rainfall.

Western Visayas recorded the biggest drop in rainfall at 45% below the

normal rainfall condition followed by Central Visayas, Northern

Mindanao and Caraga.

*Decadal Rainfall – refer to the amount of rainfall measured every ten days.

23 14

Tab

le

10. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

5,92

4

5,

928

5,95

0

0.

070.

37

W

hite

1,58

0

1,

609

1,59

1

1.

83(1

.10)

Y

ello

w4,

344

4,31

9

4,

359

(0.5

7)0.

91

Janu

ary-

June

3,32

4

3,

480

3,39

7

4.

70(2

.37)

W

hite

788

80

6

768

2.

26(4

.70)

Y

ello

w2,

535

2,67

4

2,

629

5.46

(1.6

6)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch2,

248

2,27

8

2,

369

1.33

3.97

W

hite

466

52

1

511

11

.66

(1.8

8)

Y

ello

w1,

782

1,75

8

1,

858

(1.3

7)5.

70

Apr

il-Ju

ne1,

075

1,20

2

1,

029

a/11

.75

(14.

38)

W

hite

322

28

6

257

(1

1.35

)(9

.86)

Y

ello

w75

3

916

77

1

21.6

3(1

5.79

)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r2,

601

2,44

9

2,

553

b/(5

.84)

4.25

W

hite

792

80

3

823

1.

402.

52

Y

ello

w1,

809

1,64

6

1,

730

(9.0

2)5.

10

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

The average dealers’ price of

ammonium sulphate or ammosul

fertilizer for January to March

2015 was P604.78 per bag of 50

kilograms, 6.57% lower than the

2014 record of P647.28. From

January to March 2015, monthly

prices of ammosul were lower

than their respective quotations

in 2014.

For ammonium phosphate or

ammophos fertilizer, the average

dealers’ price for the first

quarter of 2015 was P1,008.63

per bag of 50 kilograms, 2.62%

below the 2014 quotation of

P1,035.75. This year’s monthly

prices were lower than their

respective quotations last year.


average dealers’ price of

complete fertilizer exhibited the

same price movement as urea,

ammosul and ammophos. The

three-month average price was

P1,187.15 per bag of 50

kilograms with monthly price

ranging from P1,185.80 per bag

in February 2015 to P1,188.73

in January 2015.

13 24

Tab

le 11. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/-

Sta

ndin

g c

rop

b/

- P

lan

ting

Inte

ntio

ns

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

2,01

0

1,

969

1,97

9

(2

.05)

0.54

W

hite

955

93

8

943

(1

.78)

0.55

Y

ello

w1,

055

1,03

1

1,

036

(2.2

9)0.

54

Janu

ary-

June

1,07

5

1,

095

1,05

1

1.

85(4

.02)

W

hite

470

46

3

445

(1

.55)

(3.9

3)

Y

ello

w60

5

632

60

6

4.49

(4.0

8)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch70

3

705

71

5

0.33

1.41

W

hite

282

29

3

291

3.

76(0

.48)

Y

ello

w42

1

413

42

4

(1.9

7)2.

75

Apr

il-Ju

ne37

2

390

33

6

a/4.

72(1

3.84

)

W

hite

188

17

0

153

(9

.52)

(9.8

6)

Y

ello

w18

4

219

18

2

19.2

9(1

6.93

)

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r93

5

874

92

8

b/(6

.53)

6.26

W

hite

485

47

5

499

(2

.00)

4.90

Y

ello

w45

0

398

43

0

(11.

41)

7.87

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

At wholesale, the three-month

average price of white corn for

2015 was P14.85 per kilogram

or 6.13% lower than last year’s

quotation of P15.82. From


2015, wholesale price surged to

P16.04 in March 2015.

The average retail price of white

corn for the first three (3)

months of 2015 was P21.08 per

kilogram, 2.8% above last year’s

level of P20.50. Initially, retail

price was P20.38 per kilogram

in January 2015. It rose to

P21.65 per kilogram in March

2015.

2.3 FERTILIZER


average dealers’ price of urea

fertilizer was P1,062.07 per bag

of 50 kilograms or 3.33% lower

than last year’s price of

P1,098.61. Monthly prices

showed a decreasing trend from

P1,072.21 per bag in January

2015 to 1,053.46 in March 2015.

25 12

Tab

le 12. C

orn

: Y

ield

per

hec

tare

est

imate

s a

nd

fore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er,

by c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2013

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Janu

ary-

Sep

tem

ber

2.95

3.

01

3.01

2.

16(0

.17)

W

hite

1.65

1.

72

1.69

3.

68(1

.64)

Y

ello

w4.

12

4.19

4.

21

1.76

0.37

Janu

ary-

June

3.09

3.

18

3.23

2.

801.

72

W

hite

1.68

1.

74

1.73

3.

87(0

.81)

Y

ello

w4.

19

4.23

4.

34

0.92

2.52

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch3.

20

3.23

3.

31

1.00

2.52

W

hite

1.65

1.

78

1.75

7.

61(1

.41)

Y

ello

w4.

23

4.26

4.

38

0.61

2.87

Apr

il-Ju

ne2.

89

3.08

3.

06

6.71

(0.6

2)

W

hite

1.71

1.

68

1.68

(2

.03)

0.00

Y

ello

w4.

09

4.17

4.

23

1.96

1.37

Jul

y-S

epte

mbe

r2.

78

2.80

2.

75

0.73

(1.8

9)

W

hite

1.63

1.

69

1.65

3.

48(2

.27)

Y

ello

w4.

02

4.13

4.

03

2.71

(2.5

7)

ITEM

Gro

wth

Rat

e20

13

2014

2

014

/ 201

3 2

015

/ 201

4 Ap

r'15

rd

2015

In 2015, the average wholesale

price of yellow corn for the first

quarter went up by 2.94% from

the 2014 record of P16.35 per

kilogram to P16.83. Uptrend in

prices was observed throughout

the first quarter of 2015.

The average retail price of

yellow corn for January to

March 2015 at P22.43 per

kilogram was 2.75% above the

2014 record of P21.89. Monthly

retail prices of yellow corn

exhibited the same movement as

the wholesale price.

White Corn


average farmgate price of white

corn dropped by 15.41%, from

P15.27 per kilogram last year to

P12.92. This year’s monthly

prices were below their

respective levels in 2014.

11 26

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 1

3. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

2,27

8,18

6

2,

368,

532

90,3

453.

971,

201,

558

1,02

8,81

1

(1

72,7

47)

(1

4.38

)

2,44

8,62

7

2,

552,

738

104,

111

4.25

CAR

88,8

83

93,1

72

4,28

94.

8328

,621

31

,988

3,

367

11

.76

99,1

56

100,

420

1,

264

1.

27

Iloco

s30

3,38

8

312,

396

9,

008

2.97

156,

961

16

1,80

6

4,84

5

3.09

8,

571

9,46

8

89

7

10

.47

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

660,

188

72

8,89

5

68,7

0610

.41

263,

603

23

4,70

0

(28,

903)

(10.

96)

57

2,35

8

701,

648

12

9,29

0

22

.59

Cen

tral L

uzon

105,

538

13

1,27

3

25,7

3524

.38

109,

795

11

3,60

1

3,80

6

3.47

17

,837

20

,204

2,

367

13

.27

CAL

ABAR

ZON

16,2

70

18,0

73

1,80

311

.08

5,17

7

8,

615

3,43

8

66.4

1

18

,758

24

,486

5,

728

30

.54

MIM

ARO

PA37

,043

54

,907

17

,864

48.2

336

,509

36

,148

(3

61)

(0

.99)

22,5

61

25,4

05

2,84

4

12.6

1

Bico

l62

,920

58

,125

(4

,795

)(7

.62)

92,1

37

72,5

86

(19,

551)

(21.

22)

81

,417

78

,700

(2

,717

)

(3

.34)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

91,8

82

99,5

98

7,71

68.

4042

,284

38

,722

(3

,562

)

(8

.42)

161,

892

14

3,20

0

(18,

692)

(11.

55)

Cen

tral V

isaya

s21

,152

23

,232

2,

080

9.83

5,62

1

4,

444

(1,1

77)

(20.

94)

94

,396

99

,148

4,

752

5.

03

Easte

rn V

isaya

s10

,850

11

,251

40

13.

7031

,018

32

,904

1,

886

6.

08

21,0

46

20,7

45

(301

)

(1.4

3)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

36,2

24

38,1

04

1,88

05.

1912

,289

9,

802

(2,4

87)

(20.

24)

10

3,45

3

101,

837

(1

,616

)

(1

.56)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

292,

247

30

7,84

8

15,6

015.

3467

,359

57

,207

(1

0,15

2)

(1

5.07

)

472,

603

41

6,20

4

(56,

399)

(11.

93)

Dav

ao R

egio

n41

,611

44

,851

3,

240

7.79

57,9

61

28,5

41

(29,

420)

(50.

76)

86

,273

84

,122

(2

,151

)

(2

.49)

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

305,

289

25

4,70

7

(50,

582)

(16.

57)

179,

964

70

,170

(1

09,7

94)

(6

1.01

)

447,

356

48

6,20

8

38,8

52

8.

68

Car

aga

165

83

2

667

404.

2425

,371

27

,151

1,

780

7.

02

46,5

11

44,3

21

(2,1

90)

(4.7

1)

ARM

M20

4,53

6

191,

268

(1

3,26

8)(6

.49)

86,8

88

100,

426

13

,538

15.5

8

19

4,43

9

196,

622

2,

183

1.

12

Janu

ary-

Mar

ch

2015

/201

4

Cha

nge

April

-Jun

eJu

ly-S

epte

mbe

r

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

2014

Item

2014

2015

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Cha

nge

In Metro Manila, the average

wholesale price of rice for the

first quarter of 2015 was P39.62

per kilogram. This was 6.28%

higher than last year’s price

quotation of P37.28 per

kilogram. Prices gradually

declined from P40.40 per

kilogram in January 2015 to

P38.77 in March 2015.

At retail, the three-month

average price of rice in Metro

Manila was P43.00 per

kilogram. This was 10.73%

higher than last year’s price of

P38.83. Price remained at

P43.00 per kilogram from

January 2015 to March 2015.

2.2 CORN

Yellow Corn

In the first quarter of 2015,

average farmgate price of

yellow corn at P12.45 per

kilogram grew by 3.38% from

last year’s P12.04. Monthly

price increased from P12.28 in


March.

2710

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 1

4. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

705,

299

71

5,25

7

9,95

81.

4138

9,75

4

335,

813

(5

3,94

1)

(1

3.84

)

873,

573

92

8,21

6

54,6

43

6.

26

CAR

22,6

41

22,7

59

118

0.52

7,84

6

7,

963

117

1.49

26

,880

26

,923

43

0.

16

Iloco

s53

,981

53

,537

(4

44)

(0.8

2)29

,404

29

,465

61

0.

21

2,40

5

2,

537

132

5.49

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

157,

521

16

1,43

0

3,90

92.

4862

,782

53

,507

(9

,275

)

(1

4.77

)

133,

692

16

3,08

2

29,3

90

21

.98

Cen

tral L

uzon

17,7

41

21,0

80

3,33

918

.82

19,3

82

19,4

37

55

0.28

4,

638

5,34

4

70

6

15

.22

CAL

ABAR

ZON

7,03

8

8,

112

1,07

415

.26

2,52

9

3,

552

1,02

3

40.4

5

10

,319

12

,465

2,

146

20

.80

MIM

ARO

PA8,

427

11,6

42

3,21

538

.15

8,74

6

8,

492

(254

)

(2.9

0)

7,

345

7,86

2

51

7

7.

04

Bico

l30

,651

29

,824

(8

27)

(2.7

0)28

,173

24

,494

(3

,679

)

(1

3.06

)

40,4

51

39,8

05

(646

)

(1.6

0)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

34,0

73

34,4

65

392

1.15

17,1

61

15,5

65

(1,5

96)

(9.3

0)

50

,500

47

,634

(2

,866

)

(5

.68)

Cen

tral V

isaya

s30

,079

30

,592

51

31.

718,

137

7,26

9

(8

68)

(1

0.67

)

105,

021

10

7,26

7

2,24

6

2.14

Easte

rn V

isaya

s7,

104

7,25

8

15

42.

1721

,080

21

,083

3

0.

01

14,3

45

14,2

78

(67)

(0.4

7)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

20,5

87

21,3

22

735

3.57

8,56

2

5,

587

(2,9

75)

(34.

75)

57

,048

61

,907

4,

859

8.

52

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

106,

209

10

6,66

8

459

0.43

26,9

42

25,6

10

(1,3

32)

(4.9

4)

13

8,13

1

132,

058

(6

,073

)

(4

.40)

Dav

ao R

egio

n27

,386

28

,912

1,

526

5.57

37,7

43

23,7

74

(13,

969)

(37.

01)

53

,896

53

,818

(7

8)

(0

.14)

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

99,9

69

94,6

00

(5,3

69)

(5.3

7)60

,494

34

,366

(2

6,12

8)

(4

3.19

)

140,

477

15

6,14

5

15,6

68

11

.15

Car

aga

112

44

6

334

298.

218,

299

8,75

8

45

9

5.

53

16,0

91

16,0

52

(39)

(0.2

4)

ARM

M81

,780

82

,610

83

01.

0142

,474

46

,891

4,

417

10

.40

72,3

34

81,0

39

8,70

5

12.0

3

Janu

ary-

Mar

ch

2015

/201

4

Cha

nge

April

-Jun

eJu

ly-S

epte

mbe

r

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

2014

Item

2014

2015

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Cha

nge

2.0 PRICES2

2.1 PALAY/RICE

The average farmgate price of

palay in January to March 2015

was P18.11 per kilogram, 4.87%

lower than last year’s price of

P19.03. Monthly price decreased

from P18.50 in January 2015 to

P17.97 in March 2015.

At wholesale, average price of

rice was P38.97 per kilogram,

3.12% higher than last year’s

P37.79 per kilogram. From


2015, price continuously

dropped to P38.53 per kilogram

in March 2015.

Average retail price of rice for

the first three (3) months of

2015 went up by 4.54%, from

P40.28 per kilogram in 2014 to

P42.11 in 2015. Monthly retail

prices exhibited downward trend

from P42.56 per kilogram in


March.

2Data on prices are sourced from the Weekly Cereals and Fertilizer Price Monitoring (WCFPM) of the PSA.

9 28

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Tab

le 1

5. C

orn

: Y

ield

per

hec

tare

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014-2

015

Apr'1

5 rd

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

a/

Leve

l%

Apr'1

5 rd

b/

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

3.23

3.

31

0.08

2.52

3.08

3.

06

(0.0

2)

(0.6

2)

2.

80

2.75

(0

.05)

(1

.89)

CAR

3.93

4.

09

0.17

4.28

3.65

4.

02

0.37

10.1

2

3.

69

3.73

0.

04

1.

11

Iloco

s5.

62

5.84

0.

213.

825.

34

5.49

0.

15

2.

87

3.56

3.

73

0.17

4.72

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

4.19

4.

52

0.32

7.73

4.20

4.

39

0.19

4.47

4.

28

4.30

0.

02

0.

50

Cen

tral L

uzon

5.95

6.

23

0.28

4.68

5.66

5.

84

0.18

3.17

3.

85

3.78

(0

.07)

(1

.69)

CAL

ABAR

ZON

2.31

2.

23

(0.0

8)(3

.63)

2.05

2.

43

0.38

18.4

8

1.

82

1.96

0.

15

8.

06

MIM

ARO

PA4.

40

4.72

0.

327.

294.

17

4.26

0.

08

1.

97

3.07

3.

23

0.16

5.20

Bico

l2.

05

1.95

(0

.10)

(5.0

6)3.

27

2.96

(0

.31)

(9

.39)

2.01

1.

98

(0.0

4)

(1.7

7)

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

2.70

2.

89

0.19

7.16

2.46

2.

49

0.02

0.97

3.

21

3.01

(0

.20)

(6

.22)

Cen

tral V

isaya

s0.

70

0.76

0.

067.

990.

69

0.61

(0

.08)

(1

1.50

)

0.90

0.

92

0.03

2.83

Easte

rn V

isaya

s1.

53

1.55

0.

021.

501.

47

1.56

0.

09

6.

07

1.47

1.

45

(0.0

1)

(0.9

7)

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

1.76

1.

79

0.03

1.56

1.44

1.

75

0.32

22.2

3

1.

81

1.64

(0

.17)

(9

.29)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

2.75

2.

89

0.13

4.89

2.50

2.

23

(0.2

7)

(10.

65)

3.

42

3.15

(0

.27)

(7

.88)

Dav

ao R

egio

n1.

52

1.55

0.

032.

101.

54

1.20

(0

.34)

(2

1.83

)

1.60

1.

56

(0.0

4)

(2.3

5)

SOC

CSK

SAR

GEN

3.05

2.

69

(0.3

6)(1

1.83

)2.

97

2.04

(0

.93)

(3

1.36

)

3.18

3.

11

(0.0

7)

(2.2

2)

Car

aga

1.47

1.

87

0.39

26.6

33.

06

3.10

0.

04

1.

41

2.89

2.

76

(0.1

3)

(4.4

8)

ARM

M2.

50

2.32

(0

.19)

(7.4

3)2.

05

2.14

0.

10

4.

69

2.69

2.

43

(0.2

6)

(9.7

4)

Janu

ary-

Mar

ch

2015

/201

4

Cha

nge

April

-Jun

eJu

ly-S

epte

mbe

r

2015

/201

420

15/2

014

2015

2014

Item

2014

2015

2014

2015

Cha

nge

Cha

nge

Figure 10. Thematic Map: Corn production estimates,


29 8

Tab

le 1

6. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

3,47

9,74

4

3,

397,

343

(82,

401)

(2.3

7)5,

928,

371

5,95

0,08

1

21

,710

0.37

CA

R11

7,50

4

125,

160

7,

656

6.52

216,

660

22

5,58

0

8,92

0

4.12

Iloco

s46

0,34

9

474,

202

13

,853

3.01

468,

920

48

3,67

0

14,7

50

3.

15

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

923,

791

96

3,59

5

39,8

044.

311,

496,

149

1,66

5,24

3

16

9,09

4

11

.30

Cen

tral L

uzon

215,

333

24

4,87

4

29,5

4113

.72

233,

170

26

5,07

8

31,9

08

13

.68

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N21

,447

26

,688

5,

241

24.4

440

,205

51

,174

10

,969

27.2

8

MIM

AR

OP

A73

,552

91

,055

17

,503

23.8

096

,113

11

6,46

0

20,3

47

21

.17

Bic

ol15

5,05

7

130,

711

(2

4,34

6)(1

5.70

)23

6,47

4

209,

411

(2

7,06

3)

(1

1.44

)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

134,

166

13

8,32

0

4,15

43.

1029

6,05

8

281,

520

(1

4,53

8)

(4

.91)

Cen

tral V

isay

as26

,773

27

,676

90

33.

3712

1,16

9

126,

824

5,

655

4.

67

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

41,8

68

44,1

55

2,28

75.

4662

,914

64

,900

1,

986

3.

16

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

48,5

13

47,9

06

(607

)(1

.25)

151,

966

14

9,74

3

(2,2

23)

(1.4

6)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

359,

606

36

5,05

5

5,44

91.

5283

2,20

9

781,

259

(5

0,95

0)

(6

.12)

Dav

ao R

egio

n99

,572

73

,392

(2

6,18

0)(2

6.29

)18

5,84

5

157,

514

(2

8,33

1)

(1

5.24

)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

485,

253

32

4,87

7

(160

,376

)(3

3.05

)93

2,60

9

811,

085

(1

21,5

24)

(1

3.03

)

Car

aga

25,5

36

27,9

83

2,44

79.

5872

,047

72

,304

25

7

0.

36

AR

MM

291,

424

29

1,69

4

270

0.09

485,

863

48

8,31

6

2,45

3

0.50

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

2014

2015

Ap

r'15

rd

. /20

14

Ch

ang

e

Ap

r'15

/201

420

1420

15It

em

- In Northern Mindanao, planting intentions were not realized due to dry

spell and some white corn areas were planted to cassava and cavendish

banana.

Probable yield per hectare may

drop from 3.08 MT in 2014 to

3.06 MT in 2015. This could be

attributed to the adverse effects

of dry spell on standing crops.

Based on farmers’ planting

intentions, the July-September

2015 forecasts on production

and harvest area may surpass

their 2014 levels by 4.25% and

6.26%, respectively. Yield per

hectare may decrease from 2.78

MT in 2014 to 2.75 MT in 2015,

or by 1.89%.

Cagayan Valley, SOCCSKSARGEN, CALABARZON, Central Visayas and

MIMAROPA may contribute to significant increments in production. This

could be attributed to farmers’ anticipation of continuous government

interventions such as Farmers’ Field School and provision of seeds.

7 30

Tab

le 1

7. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2014

-2015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

1,09

5,05

3

1,

051,

070

(43,

983)

(4.0

2)1,

968,

627

1,97

9,28

6

10

,660

0.54

CA

R30

,487

30

,722

23

50.

7757

,367

57

,645

27

8

0.

48

Iloco

s83

,385

83

,002

(3

83)

(0.4

6)85

,790

85

,539

(2

51)

(0

.29)

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

220,

303

21

4,93

7

(5,3

66)

(2.4

4)35

3,99

6

378,

019

24

,024

6.79

Cen

tral L

uzon

37,1

23

40,5

17

3,39

49.

1441

,761

45

,861

4,

100

9.

82

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N9,

567

11,6

64

2,09

721

.92

19,8

86

24,1

29

4,24

3

21.3

4

MIM

AR

OP

A17

,173

20

,134

2,

961

17.2

424

,518

27

,996

3,

478

14

.19

Bic

ol58

,824

54

,318

(4

,506

)(7

.66)

99,2

75

94,1

23

(5,1

52)

(5.1

9)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

51,2

34

50,0

30

(1,2

04)

(2.3

5)10

1,73

4

97,6

64

(4,0

70)

(4.0

0)

Cen

tral V

isay

as38

,216

37

,861

(3

55)

(0.9

3)14

3,23

7

145,

128

1,

891

1.

32

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

28,1

84

28,3

41

157

0.56

42,5

29

42,6

19

90

0.21

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

29,1

49

26,9

09

(2,2

40)

(7.6

8)86

,197

88

,816

2,

619

3.

04

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

133,

151

13

2,27

8

(873

)(0

.66)

271,

282

26

4,33

6

(6,9

46)

(2.5

6)

Dav

ao R

egio

n65

,129

52

,686

(1

2,44

3)(1

9.11

)11

9,02

5

106,

504

(1

2,52

1)

(1

0.52

)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

160,

463

12

8,96

6

(31,

497)

(19.

63)

300,

940

28

5,11

1

(15,

829)

(5.2

6)

Car

aga

8,41

1

9,

204

793

9.43

24,5

02

25,2

56

754

3.08

AR

MM

124,

254

12

9,50

1

5,24

74.

2219

6,58

8

210,

540

13

,952

7.10

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

2014

2015

Ap

r'15

rd

. /20

14

Ch

ang

e

Ap

r'15

/201

420

1420

15It

em

- In MIMAROPA, early harvests, availability of seeds and shifting from

palay to corn led to increased output.

- In Northern Mindanao, the availability of “sigue-sigue” corn variety and

sufficient rainfall during the planting period resulted to higher harvest area

and yield.

Yield per hectare increased from

3.23 MT in 2014 to 3.31 MT in

2015, or by 2.52%. This could

be traced to sufficient soil

moisture and sustained use of

quality hybrid and modern OPV

seeds. Higher yield compared to

last year were noted in Cagayan

Valley, MIMAROPA, Central

Luzon, Ilocos Region, Western

Visayas, Northern Mindanao,

and CAR.

The April-June 2015 forecasts

on standing crop indicates lower

production, harvest area and

yield by 14.38%, 13.84%, and 0.62% from their respective levels in 2014.

SOCCSKSARGEN, Davao Region, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region and

Northern Mindanao may post significant reductions in production and harvest

area.

- In SOCCSKSARGEN, production may probably decrease due to delayed

cropping caused by insufficient water supply while some corn crops in

the vegetative stages were damaged by dry spell.

- Movement of harvest to the first quarter and the effect of dry spell to

some corn crops at vegetative stages may reduce the second quarters’

output in Davao Region.

- In Cagayan Valley, shifting from corn to cassava, tobacco and other

temporary crops in Isabela and the movement of harvests to the first

quarter in Nueva Viscaya may bring about lesser output in the region.

- Some yellow corn areas in Bicol Region were not planted due to dry spell.

31 6

Tab

le 1

8. C

orn

: Y

ield

per

hec

tare

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Ju

ne

an

d J

uly

-Sep

tem

ber

, 201

4-2

015

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

Ap

r'15

rd

Lev

el%

PH

ILIP

PIN

ES

3.18

3.

23

0.05

1.72

3.01

3.

01

(0.0

1)

(0.1

7)

CA

R3.

85

4.07

0.

225.

703.

78

3.91

0.

14

3.

61

Iloco

s5.

52

5.71

0.

193.

485.

47

5.65

0.

19

3.

45

Cag

ayan

Val

ley

4.19

4.

48

0.29

6.91

4.23

4.

41

0.18

4.23

Cen

tral L

uzon

5.80

6.

04

0.24

4.19

5.58

5.

78

0.20

3.52

CA

LAB

AR

ZO

N2.

24

2.29

0.

052.

072.

02

2.12

0.

10

4.

90

MIM

AR

OP

A4.

28

4.52

0.

245.

593.

92

4.16

0.

24

6.

12

Bic

ol2.

64

2.41

(0

.23)

(8.7

1)2.

38

2.22

(0

.16)

(6

.60)

Wes

tern

Vis

ayas

2.62

2.

76

0.15

5.58

2.91

2.

88

(0.0

3)

(0.9

5)

Cen

tral V

isay

as0.

70

0.73

0.

034.

340.

85

0.87

0.

03

3.

30

Eas

tern

Vis

ayas

1.49

1.

56

0.07

4.88

1.48

1.

52

0.04

2.94

Zam

boan

ga P

enin

sula

1.66

1.

78

0.12

6.97

1.76

1.

69

(0.0

8)

(4.3

7)

Nor

ther

n M

inda

nao

2.70

2.

76

0.06

2.19

3.07

2.

96

(0.1

1)

(3.6

6)

Dav

ao R

egio

n1.

53

1.39

(0

.14)

(8.8

8)1.

56

1.48

(0

.08)

(5

.28)

SO

CC

SK

SA

RG

EN

3.02

2.

52

(0.5

0)(1

6.70

)3.

10

2.84

(0

.25)

(8

.20)

Car

aga

3.04

3.

04

0.00

0.14

2.94

2.

86

(0.0

8)

(2.6

4)

AR

MM

2.35

2.

25

(0.0

9)(3

.96)

2.47

2.

32

(0.1

5)

(6.1

6)

Jan

uar

y-S

epte

mb

er

Ch

ang

e

Jan

uar

y-Ju

ne

2014

2015

Ap

r'15

rd

. /20

14

Ch

ang

e

Ap

r'15

/201

420

1420

15It

em

1.2 CORN


The January-June 2015

production of corn may reach

3.40 million MT, 2.37% below

the 3.48 million MT output in

2014. Harvest area may contract

from 1.10 million hectares to

1.05 million hectares, or by


improve from 3.18 MT in 2014

to 3.23 MT in 2015, or by

1.72%.

Corn production in January-

March 2015 at 2.37 million MT

was 3.97 % higher than the 2.28

million MT record in 2014.

Harvest area expanded to 715

thousand hectares or by 1.41%

from the 2014 level of 705

thousand hectares.

The major contributors were

Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon,

MIMAROPA and Northern

Mindanao.

- In Cagayan Valley, higher

output was boosted by the

increase in yellow corn harvest area in Isabela and Quirino coupled with

sustained usage of high quality hybrid seeds.

- Increased planting intensity of white corn due to increasing demand for

green corn in Nueva Ecija, shifting from sugarcane to corn in Tarlac, and

advance harvests in Pampanga contributed to the upward trend of the

output in Central Luzon.

5 32

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

Ta

ble

19. P

ala

y/R

ice:

Mon

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

2014

/201

320

15/2

014

FAR

MG

ATE

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.16

.21

19

.03

18

.11

17

.44

(4

.87)

Ja

nuar

y16

.31

18

.43

18

.50

13

.00

0.

38

Febr

uary

16.2

2

18.9

2

17.8

5

16.6

5

(5.6

6)

Mar

ch16

.09

19

.75

17

.97

22

.75

(9

.01)

WH

OLE

SA

LE

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.32

.79

37

.79

38

.97

15

.25

3.

12

Janu

ary

32.7

7

37.1

1

39.5

4

13.2

4

6.55

Febr

uary

32.7

8

37.6

9

38.8

3

14.9

8

3.02

Mar

ch32

.81

38

.56

38

.53

17

.53

(0

.08)

RE

TAIL

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.35

.28

40

.28

42

.11

14

.17

4.

54

Janu

ary

35.2

4

39.6

2

42.5

6

12.4

3

7.42

Febr

uary

35.3

0

40.1

4

42.0

3

13.7

1

4.71

Mar

ch35

.31

41

.09

41

.75

16

.37

1.

61

Gro

wth

Rat

e It

em

2013

2014

2015

Figure 5. Thematic Map: Palay production estimates,


33 4

Tab

le 2

2. R

ice:

Mon

thly

aver

age

prev

ail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Met

ro M

an

ila, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

2014

/201

320

15/2

014

WH

OLE

SALE

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.30

.29

37

.28

39

.62

23

.06

6.

28

Janu

ary

30.4

0

37.0

0

40.4

0

21.7

1

9.19

Febr

uary

30.4

0

37.2

0

39.6

9

22.3

7

6.69

Mar

ch30

.08

37

.64

38

.77

25

.13

3.

00

RET

AIL

Jan.

-Mar

. Ave

.35

.00

38

.83

43

.00

10

.95

10

.73

Janu

ary

35.0

0

38.0

0

43.0

0

8.57

13.1

6

Febr

uary

35.0

0

38.5

0

43.0

0

10.0

0

11.6

9

Mar

ch35

.00

40

.00

43

.00

14

.29

7.

50

Gro

wth

Rat

e It

em

2013

2014

2015

- In SOCCSKSARGEN, some palay areas at vegetative stages were

damaged by the dry spell felt throughout the region. There were delayed

planting activities in South Cotabato and Sultan Kudarat due to temporary

closure of some NIA irrigation facilities.

- Cutbacks in harvest area are expected in MIMAROPA, Central Luzon and

Bicol Region due to insufficient water supply and intense heat in most of

the provinces.

- In Western Visayas, contraction in harvest area may be attributed to

insufficient water supply and shifting to other crops such as mongo and

watermelon.

- In Northern Mindanao, the on-going rehabilitation of irrigation canals and

dry spell may reduce plantings in irrigated and rainfed areas, respectively.

- Yield of standing crops in Caraga may be affected by insufficient soil

moisture and incidence of black bugs and leaf blight.

July-September 2015 Forecasts

The July-September 2015

forecasts based on farmers’

planting intentions points to

increase in production by

11.70%, from 3.03 million MT

in 2014 to 3.38 million MT.

Harvest area may expand from

774 thousand hectares to 872

thousand hectares, or by


decline from 3.91 MT in 2014 to

3.88 MT in 2015.

All regions except SOCCSKSARGEN and Central Visayas are foreseen to

increase production.

Expansion in harvest areas are probable due to continuous government

interventions such as provision of quality seeds thru the Community Seed

Banking and High Yielding Technology Adoption Programs, rehabilitation of

irrigation canals and provision of farm machineries.

3 34

Tab

le 2

3. Y

ello

w C

orn

: M

on

thly

aver

age

pre

va

ilin

g p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

20

14

/20

13

20

15

/20

14

FA

RM

GA

TE

- Y

ello

w

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

2.1

1

12

.04

12

.45

(0.5

5)

3.3

8

Ja

nua

ry1

2.4

8

11

.97

12

.28

(4.0

9)

2.5

9

Fe

bru

ary

11

.97

11

.94

12

.40

(0.2

5)

3.8

5

Ma

rch

11

.87

12

.21

12

.66

2.8

6

3.6

9

WH

OL

ES

AL

E -

Ye

llo

w

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

5.8

0

16

.35

16

.83

3.4

4

2.9

4

Ja

nua

ry1

5.9

6

16

.13

16

.65

1.0

7

3.2

2

Fe

bru

ary

15

.76

16

.32

16

.71

3.5

5

2.3

9

Ma

rch

15

.69

16

.59

17

.12

5.7

4

3.1

9

RE

TA

IL -

Ye

llo

w

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.2

2.1

6

21

.89

22

.43

(1.2

2)

2.4

5

Ja

nua

ry2

1.8

0

21

.67

22

.32

(0.6

0)

3.0

0

Fe

bru

ary

22

.27

21

.99

22

.39

(1.2

6)

1.8

2

Ma

rch

22

.42

22

.02

22

.58

(1.7

8)

2.5

4

Ite

m

20

14

20

15

Gro

wth

Ra

te2

01

3

Significant increments in production were noted in MIMAROPA, Cagayan

Valley, Central Luzon and Ilocos Region.

- In MIMAROPA, the government seed distribution program thru LGUs and

the availability of seeds from

private suppliers resulted to

expansion in harvest area

while sustained usage of


improved the yield.

- Stable supply of irrigation

water and more usage of


boosted the yield of crops in

Cagayan Valley.

- In Central Luzon, higher

yield was attained due to

sustained usage of hybrid

seeds and sufficient water

supply in Bulacan, Zambales and Aurora.

- Sufficiency of water from restored and rehabilitated irrigation systems in

La Union and Pangasinan and availability of subsidized seeds under the

Roll-Over Bottoms-Up Program of the government encouraged more

plantings. Improvement in

yield was attributed to

sustained usage of quality

hybrid and inbred seeds.

The April-June 2015 forecasts on standing crop indicate production of 3.90 million MT, 4.21% below the 4.07 million MT output in 2014. Harvest area may contract from 939 thousand hectares to 918 thousand hectares, or 2.29%. Yield may drop from 4.34 MT per hectare in 2014 to 4.25 MT in 2015.

35 2

(Pes

o p

er k

ilo

gra

m)

Tab

le 2

4. W

hit

e C

orn

: M

on

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

20

14

/20

13

20

15

/20

14

FA

RM

GA

TE

- W

hit

e

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

6.2

2

15

.27

12

.92

(5.8

6)

(15

.41

)

Ja

nua

ry1

6.1

5

15

.01

12

.28

(7.0

6)

(18

.19

)

Fe

bru

ary

15

.80

15

.10

12

.59

(4.4

3)

(16

.62

)

Ma

rch

16

.72

15

.71

13

.89

(6.0

4)

(11

.58

)

WH

OL

ES

AL

E-W

hit

e

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

5.8

4

15

.82

14

.85

(0.1

3)

(6.1

3)

Ja

nua

ry1

6.0

5

15

.56

13

.98

(3.0

5)

(10

.15

)

Fe

bru

ary

15

.41

15

.65

14

.54

1.5

6

(7.0

9)

Ma

rch

16

.07

16

.26

16

.04

1.1

8

(1.3

5)

RE

TA

IL -

Wh

ite

Ja

n.-

Ma

r. A

ve

.1

9.7

6

20

.50

21

.08

3.7

8

2.8

0

Ja

nua

ry1

9.8

3

19

.37

20

.38

(2.3

2)

5.2

1

Fe

bru

ary

19

.67

20

.08

21

.20

2.0

8

5.5

8

Ma

rch

19

.77

22

.06

21

.65

11

.58

(1.8

6)

Ite

m

20

14

20

15

Gro

wth

Ra

te2

01

3

HIGHLIGHTS

Palay and corn outputs for January to March 2015 surpassed their 2014 levels by 1.41% and 3.97%, respectively. The positive growth was largely attributed to the expansion in harvest areas and improvement in yield of irrigated palay and yellow corn.

Forecasts on standing crops of both palay and corn indicate lower production in the second quarter of 2015. These may bring about reduction in outputs by 1.32% for palay and by 2.37% for corn in the first half of 2015.

Planting intentions of palay and corn farmers for July-September 2015 harvest indicate higher production levels compared to their respective records in 2014.

1.1 PALAY


Palay production for January-

June 2015 may reach 8.27

million MT, 1.32% below the

8.38 million MT output in 2014.

Harvest area may contract from

2.10 million to 2.07 million

hectares, or by 1.49%. Yield

per hectare may increase by

0.17%, from 3.99 MT in 2014

to 4.00 MT in 2015.

The January-March 2015

palay production at 4.37 million

MT surpassed the 2014 output of 4.31 million MT by 1.41%. Harvest area

contracted to 1.15 million hectares from last year’s record of 1.16 million

hectares. Yield per hectare increased from 3.72MT in 2014 to 3.80 MT in

2015 or by 2.27%.

1 36

Tab

le 2

5. F

erti

lize

r:

Mon

thly

aver

age

dea

lers

’ p

rice

s b

y g

rad

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2013

-2015

(Pes

o/b

ag

of

50

kg

)

20

14

/20

13

20

15

/20

14

UR

EA

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.1

,21

4.9

0

1,0

98

.61

1

,06

2.0

7

(9.5

7)

(3

.33

)

Ja

nua

ry1

,22

7.3

0

1,0

98

.84

1

,07

2.2

1

(10

.47

)

(2.4

2)

Fe

bru

ary

1,2

13

.45

1

,09

5.5

6

1,0

60

.55

(9

.72

)

(3.2

0)

Ma

rch

1,2

03

.94

1

,10

1.4

3

1,0

53

.46

(8

.51

)

(4.3

6)

AM

MO

SU

L

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.7

63

.48

6

47

.28

6

04

.78

(1

5.2

2)

(6

.57

)

Ja

nua

ry7

67

.30

6

53

.10

6

07

.02

(1

4.8

8)

(7

.06

)

Fe

bru

ary

76

5.9

5

64

6.6

4

60

5.0

0

(15

.58

)

(6.4

4)

Ma

rch

75

7.1

9

64

2.1

0

60

2.3

3

(15

.20

)

(6.1

9)

AM

MO

PH

OS

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.1

,09

8.0

7

1,0

35

.75

1

,00

8.6

3

(5.6

8)

(2

.62

)

Ja

nua

ry1

,10

1.6

0

1,0

34

.96

1

,01

6.9

8

(6.0

5)

(1

.74

)

Fe

bru

ary

1,0

96

.49

1

,03

7.3

1

1,0

08

.43

(5

.40

)

(2.7

8)

Ma

rch

1,0

96

.11

1

,03

4.9

7

1,0

00

.47

(5

.58

)

(3.3

3)

CO

MP

LE

TE

Ja

n.-

Ma

r.A

ve

.1

,24

9.1

7

1,2

01

.55

1

,18

7.1

5

(3.8

1)

(1

.20

)

Ja

nua

ry1

,25

4.5

7

1,2

00

.02

1

,18

8.7

3

(4.3

5)

(0

.94

)

Fe

bru

ary

1,2

48

.78

1

,20

2.3

2

1,1

85

.80

(3

.72

)

(1.3

7)

Ma

rch

1,2

44

.16

1

,20

2.3

0

1,1

86

.92

(3

.36

)

(1.2

8)

Gro

wth

Ra

teIt

em

20

13

20

14

20

15

Weather Situation and Outlook1

January-March 2015 Situation

The period was the peak of the Northeast (NE) monsoon season, locally

known as “Amihan”. Tropical cyclone activity was however at its minimum.

During the period, weak El Niño was present in the tropical Pacific

Ocean. Since October 2014, warmer than average sea surface temperature

anomaly (SSTA) of at least 0.5 degrees Celsius were observed. Recent computer

output from global climate models suggests that El Niño condition will likely to

continue until mid-2015 with the chances of strengthening toward the end of the

year.

The weather systems that affected the country were trough of low

pressure area (LPAs), easterlies, northeast (NE) monsoon, tail-end of the cold

front, ridge of high pressure area (HPAs) and the passage of two (2) tropical

cyclones (TCs) over the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), namely;

Tropical Storm (TS) “Amang” (Jan. 15-19) and Tropical Depression (TD) “Betty”

(March 17-18). The emergence of the North Pacific High (NPH) during the later

part of March 2015 indicated the termination of the Northeast Monsoon (NE) and

a shift of wind direction from northeasterly to easterly.

April-June 2015 Outlook

The period covers the gradual shift of the season from NE monsoon to

Southwest (SW) monsoon.

Weather systems that may influence the country are the HPAs, LPAs,

Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and one (1) to three (3) tropical cyclones

that are likely to develop/enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Cold

surges are expected during the period. The mean track of tropical cyclone is

located from Southern Luzon to Central Visayas areas, extending towards the

West Philippine Sea.

1Excerpts from PAGASA, January 8, 2015 to April 7, 2015 Weather Situation and Outlook and Weather

Advisories.

37 iv

So

urc

e: P

AG

AS

A

(In

mil

lim

eter

)

Tab

le 2

6. C

um

ula

tive

act

ual

dec

ad

al

an

d n

orm

al

rain

fall

by r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2014

-2015

20

14

20

15

2015/2

014

2015/N

orm

al

Ph

ilip

pin

es

6,7

12

.30

4

,18

8.8

0

4,9

38

.04

(3

7.6

)

(15

.2)

Iloco

s R

eg

ion

25

.50

3

2.3

0

27

.04

2

6.7

1

9.4

CA

R8

7.0

0

13

6.8

0

45

.70

5

7.2

1

99

.4

Ca

ga

yan

Va

lley

30

7.9

0

29

1.7

0

20

7.2

0

(5.3

)

40

.8

Ce

ntr

alL

uzo

n1

54

.90

1

17

.30

1

33

.70

(2

4.3

)

(12

.3)

CA

LA

BA

RZ

ON

30

5.4

0

26

8.9

0

31

2.3

0

(12

.0)

(1

3.9

)

MIM

AR

OP

A1

42

.20

6

7.1

0

76

.85

(5

2.8

)

(12

.7)

NC

R7

7.7

0

65

.70

4

5.8

3

(15

.4)

4

3.3

Bic

olR

eg

ion

51

4.7

0

50

0.3

0

46

3.2

9

(2.8

)

8.0

We

ste

rnV

isa

yas

17

7.7

0

11

0.2

0

20

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19 Palay/Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015……………………………..……... 33

20 Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Metro Manila, January-March, 2013-2015………………............................. 34

21 Yellow Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015………………………..……........... 35

22 White Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015………………................................. 36

23 Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers’ prices by grade,

Philippines, January-March, 2013-2015…………………............................. 37

24 Cumulative actual decadal and normal rainfall by region,

Philippines, January-March, 2014-2015……………………..………...…… 38

iii 38

i


PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

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CROPS STATISTICS DIVISION, Cereals Statistics Section

Tel No. (02)-371-2067

Documents

Republic of the Philippines PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY … · 2016. 6. 17. · Table 25. Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers’ prices by gra de, Philippines, January-March,