Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,20081 Potentials for Renewable Energy in Cetral and Eastern European Countries Dr. Dagnija

Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,2008

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Potentials for Renewable Energy in Cetral and Eastern European Countries

Dr. Dagnija Blumberga, Dr. Marika Rosa, Jelena Pugule

Institute of Energy Systems and Environment

Riga Technical University


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ContentRES potentialRES in PastRES in FutureHow to Reach Target


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RES potential Biogas – electricity (E), heat (H),

transport (T) Biomass (solid) – E ???, H Biowaste – E, H Biofuel - T Geothermal – E, H Hydro - E Solar – E, H, T Wind - E


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RES Historical Use


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Electricity from Wind


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Electricity from Biomass


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Electricity from Biogas


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RES in Future


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Share of RES in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

CZ EE HU LV LT PL SK SL

RES-primary2010 RES-primary2020 RES-E 2010

RES-E 2020

RES-H 2010

RES-H 2020

RES-T 2010

RES-T 2020


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Share of RES in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%


RES-primary2010

RES-primary2020


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Share of RES-electricity in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%


RES-E 2010

RES-E 2020


12

Share of RES -heat in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%


RES-H 2010

RES-H 2020


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Share of RES- transport in demand infosource: PROGRESS project report

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%


RES-T 2010

RES-T 2020


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How to Reach Targets

Technological barriersEconomical barriersLegislative barriers


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Technological barriersEnergy efficiency improvement Technological restrictions for

electricity/ heat ratio for small scale CHP

Technological restrictions for large scale CHP by heat demand of DH systems

etc


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Mechanisms of Support of RES-E

DK FR DE

GR

AT

NL

LU

ES

IE

CZ

Fiscal initiatives

FI

UK

SK

SI CY PL

LV

EE

CZ

RO

HU

PT LT

BG SE

UK

FR SI

PL BE IT

MT

System of quotas

Competition

System of Certificates

Feed in Tarifs


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Mechanisms of Support in Baltic RES

EE LV LT

Feed-in tarifs Subsidies, grants, state investments

Tax incentives Certificates for RES

Quotas for RES


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Mechanisms of Support of RES

DK FR DE

GR

AT

NL

LU

ES

IE

CZ

Fiscal initiatives

FI

UK

SK

SI CY PL

LV

EE

CZ

RO

HU

PT LT

BG SE

UK

FR SI

PL BE IT

MT

System of quotas

Competition

System of Certificates

Feed in Tarifs


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Scenarious for energy sector development in Latvia

A scenario

Basic (A1, A2)

B scenario State strategy 2006-2013

(B1,B2)

C scenario

EU RES target (C1,C2)

D scenario Green (D1,D2)

1 – energy demand increase according to state strategy 2006-2013

2 – energy end use decrease because of energy efficiency improvement


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Basic scenario

Electricity

Heat energy


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Energy Efficiency Alternative

Electricity

Heat energy


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D2 scenario• Wood fuel for CHP in large cities.• Wood fuel for Riga TEC 1 and Riga TEC 2 • No new electricity capacities on fossil fuel• Wind generators – installed capapcity 1000 MWe

(offshore)• All boiler houses are replacing fuel from natural

gas to biofuel• Solar energy are used – installed capacity up to

0,1 MW


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RES share – D2 scenario

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

2006 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

gads

GW

h

0,0%

10,0%

20,0%

30,0%

40,0%

50,0%

60,0%

70,0%

80,0%

90,0%

100,0%

Kopējā primāroenergoresursu piegāde (beztransporta)

Enerģijas ražošana no RES

Enerģijas resursu galapatēriņš (bez transporta)

RES daļa kopējā primāroenergoresursu piegādē (beztransporta) (%)

Primary (excluding T)

Energy from RESEnergy end use (excl T)

RES share

GWh/year


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Total costsKopējo izmaksu salīdzinājums

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

milj

.Ls

A1

A2

B1

B2

C1

D1

C2

D2


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More informationRTU Institute of Energy Systems and

EnvironmentKronvalda bulvaris 1LV-1010, Riga, LatviaTel.: +371 – 67089 - 908Fax: +371 – 67089 - 908E-Mail: [email protected]: www.videszinatne.lv

Documents

Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Budapest November7th,20081 Potentials for Renewable Energy in Cetral and Eastern European Countries Dr. Dagnija