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Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines John Sawyer Department of Agronomy Iowa State University

Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

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Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines. John Sawyer Department of Agronomy Iowa State University. Regional Effort - Participating States and University Personnel: John Sawyer, Iowa State University Emerson Nafziger, University of Illinois Gyles Randall, University of Minnesota - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

John Sawyer

Department of Agronomy

Iowa State University

Page 2: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Regional Effort - Participating States and University Personnel: John Sawyer, Iowa State University Emerson Nafziger, University of Illinois Gyles Randall, University of Minnesota George Rehm, University of Minnesota Larry Bundy, University of Wisconsin Brad Joern, Purdue, University Robert Hoeft, University of Illinois Carrie Laboski, University of Wisconsin Robert Mullen, The Ohio State University Randy Killorn, Iowa State University Sylvie Brouder, Purdue University

Page 3: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Exploring a Regional Approach to N Rate Guidelines

Diverse N rate recommendation systems across states

Lack of optimum N rate relationship with corn yield

Concerns about N rates with corn yields at record levels

Historically high N fertilizer prices

Page 4: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Historic Nitrogen:Corn Price Ratios

U.S. Average Ammonia N Price - Iowa Corn Grain Price

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0.14

0.16

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Year

Pri

ce R

atio

, $/l

b N

:$/b

u

N:Corn Price Ratio

Page 5: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Corn Yields and N Rates

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 100 200 300Optimum Yield, bu/acre

Op

tim

um

N R

ate,

lb

N/a

cre

Six State SC - 389 Trials

0.10 Price Ratio$0.22/lb N:$2.20/bu

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 100 200 300Optimum Yield, bu/acre

Op

tim

um

N R

ate,

lb

N/a

cre

Six State SC - 389 Trials

0.10 Price Ratio$0.22/lb N:$2.20/bu

Page 6: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Methods for Analyzing N Response Data43 Corn Following Soybean Sites in Iowa ($0.22/lb N:$2.20/bu)

43 Sites 35 Responsive Sites

Method N Rate

Net Return N Rate

Net Return

lb N/acre $/acre lb N/acre $/acre

Mean of EONRs 79 49 97 67

EONR - Mean Yield 104 53 108 69

Maximum RTN 105 51 113 68

Discrete Mar. Prod. 108 51 111 68

Site Optimum 79 60 97 73

Measured Yield† 174 40 177 58

Yield History† 140 47 140 65† 1.2 lb N/bu factor, 50 lb soybean rotation “credit”

Page 7: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Maximum Return To N (MRTN) Database Driven Approach

Previously described by Nafziger, Sawyer, and Hoeft (2004); and Sawyer and Nafziger (2005) Accumulate corn N response data from many

recent trials Determine economic response and most

profitable N rates directly from trials in N response database

Data → N Rate Guidelines

Page 8: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

N Response Trial Database

3 to 4 replications 5 to 7 N rates – spring and sidedress Non-irrigated High and very high yield potential soils Experiment station or producer field Corn following Soybean (SC)

and Corn following Corn (CC) Grain yield measured for each N rate N Response curve fit to each trial

Page 9: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

698 Trials> 95% since 1990> 60% since 2000

Page 10: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Calculation of MRTN 1st - Compile database from corn yield N

response trials for desired rotationExample of a Few Site N Response Trials with SC

50

100

150

200

250

0 50 100 150 200

N Rate, lb N/acre

Co

rn Y

ield

, b

u/a

cre

Clay 03

Boone-SN 02

Harrison 03

Johnson 03

Page 11: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Calculation of MRTN

2nd – For each trial in database calculate Return To N (RTN) using the a, b, c and plateau values from each response curve For every 1 lb N/acre from 0 through 240

lb N/acre calculate the yield increase over the yield obtained with zero lb N/acre

RTN = yield increase times price of corn minus the cost of N

Page 12: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Calculation of MRTNClay 2001 Site -- SC

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0 40 80 120 160 200

Nitrogen Rate, lb N/acre

Co

rn Y

ield

, bu

/acr

e

Grain Yield

Response

EONR = 138 lb N/acre

Yield = 117.7 + 0.8219N - 0.00263N2

a b c

Yield Plateau

Clay 2001 Site -- SC

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0 40 80 120 160 200

Nitrogen Rate, lb N/acre

Co

rn Y

ield

, bu

/acr

e

Grain Yield

Response

EONR = 138 lb N/acre

Yield = 117.7 + 0.8219N - 0.00263N2

a b c

Yield Plateau

Clay 2001 Site -- SC

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0 50 100 150 200 250N Rate, lb N/acre

$/ac

re

Yield Return to NNet Return to NFertilizer Cost

Page 13: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Calculation of MRTN

3rd - Find the N rate with the greatest average return to N, this is the MRTN and N rate at the MRTN

Return to N at various N rates (lb/acre)Site

71.05

107.01

77.09

85.78

106.56

140

72.0372.4472.9872.5972.0069.24Average

79.2981.3182.3782.3781.3179.203

87.9889.3282.9476.5670.1863.802

108.76110.96113.16115.10115.43113.961

107.25

130

104.96

$/acre

110

102.43

100

106.5798.9894.6092

1209080

Return to N at various N rates (lb/acre)Site

71.05

107.01

77.09

85.78

106.56

140

72.0372.4472.9872.5972.0069.24Average

79.2981.3182.3782.3781.3179.203

87.9889.3282.9476.5670.1863.802

108.76110.96113.16115.10115.43113.961

107.25

130

104.96

$/acre

110

102.43

100

106.5798.9894.6092

1209080

MRTN

Page 14: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Calculation of MRTN

4th - Find the N rates with returns to N within $1.00/acre of MRTN This provides a range of most profitable N rates

Return to N at various N rates (lb/acre)Site

71.05

107.01

77.09

85.78

106.56

140

72.0372.4472.9872.5972.0069.24Average

79.2981.3182.3782.3781.3179.203

87.9889.3282.9476.5670.1863.802

108.76110.96113.16115.10115.43113.961

107.25

130

104.96

$/acre

110

102.43

100

106.5798.9894.6092

1209080

Return to N at various N rates (lb/acre)Site

71.05

107.01

77.09

85.78

106.56

140

72.0372.4472.9872.5972.0069.24Average

79.2981.3182.3782.3781.3179.203

87.9889.3282.9476.5670.1863.802

108.76110.96113.16115.10115.43113.961

107.25

130

104.96

$/acre

110

102.43

100

106.5798.9894.6092

1209080

MRTN

LOW HIGH

Page 15: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Can Examine Different Fertilizer N and Corn Prices

Corn held at $2.20/bu Fertilizer N prices at $0.11, $0.22,

$0.33, and $0.44/lb N Gives N price:corn price ratios of

0.05, 0.10, 0.15, and 0.20

Page 16: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Effect of Price Ratio on Net ReturnIowa - SC

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0 50 100 150 200 250

N Rate, lb N/acre

Ret

urn

to

N,

$/ac

re

0.050.100.150.20 HIGH

MRTNLOW

$2.20/bu

$0.11/lb N

$0.22

$0.33

$0.44

Page 17: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Effect of Price Ratio on Net ReturnIowa - CC

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0 50 100 150 200 250

N Rate, lb N/acre

Ret

urn

to

N,

$/ac

re

0.050.100.150.20

Page 18: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Example N Rate Guidelines Based On MRTN Approach - Iowa

Previous Crop

Price Ratio

Soybean Corn

LOW† MRTN HIGH† LOW† MRTN HIGH†

$/lb:$/bu - - - - - - - - - - - - - lb N/acre - - - - - - - - - - - - -

0.05 125 145 170 180 200 230

0.10 105 125 145 155 175 195

0.15 90 110 125 140 155 170

0.20 80 95 110 125 140 155

† LOW and HIGH rates approximate the most profitable range for $1.00/acre below and above the MRTN for each price ratio.

Page 19: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Effect of Price Ratio on Expected Corn Yield

Iowa - CC

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 50 100 150 200 250

N Rate, lb N/acre

Per

cen

t o

f M

axim

um

Yie

ld 0.050.100.150.20

IA - SC

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 50 100 150 200 250

N Rate, lb N/acre

Per

cen

t o

f M

axim

um

Yie

ld 0.050.100.150.20

Page 20: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Iowa SC Dataset, 0.10 Price Ratio

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 50 100 150 200 250

N Rate, lb N/acre

$/ac

re o

r %

Fre

qu

ency

Site Frequency of EONR's > N Rate

Net Loss for Sites with EONR's > N Rate

Site Frequency of EONR's < N Rate

Net Loss for Sites with EONR's < N Rate

Page 21: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Advantages of MRTN Approach Can use a variety of N response trials Uses yield response rather than yield Specific responses of each site considered Easy to add new trial data Not excessively influenced by non-

responsive sites Straightforward calculations and uses

economic outcome Can create dataset sub-groups Can evaluate risk assessment Can include environmental costs

Page 22: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Corn Nitrogen Rate Calculatorhttp://extension.agron.iastate.edu/soilfertility/nrate.aspx

Resources for Regional Approach

Regional publication

Web based MRTN calculation tool

Concepts and Rationale for Regional Nitrogen

Rate Guidelines for Corn

Page 23: Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines

Economic Return at N Rates Above and Below Each Site Optimum

N Cost: 0.33 $/lb N Ratio: 0.15Corn Price: 2.20 $/bu

121 Iowa - SC Sites

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50

lb N/acre Above or Below Each Site-Year Optimum

$/ac

re Yield

Fertilizer

Net