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Recommendation: Buy
Share Price (as of 2/4/15): $36.53Sector Head: James
Carlstedt Michael Metz
Thomas Chadwick
Cal- Maine Foods, Inc.(CALM:NASDAQ)
Fundamentals • Sector: Consumer Staples • Current Price: $36.53• Market Cap: $1.72B• Beta: .61• P/E: 10.16 • Dividend Yield: 1/3 Net Income Paid
Quarterly• Last Years Annual Yield:2.87% • Revenue: $1.45B• EBITDA:$183M
Egg Industry
• Products–Shell Eggs–Specialty Shell Eggs –Egg Products- Liquid, Frozen–Food Service–Export
Cal- Maine Foods, Inc.• Largest producer/ marketer of shell eggs in USA• 3 Business Segments
– Specialty Eggs– Regular Shell Eggs – Liquid, Frozen, or Dried
• Produces domestically
72.63%
24.37%
3.00%
Revenue from Segments
Regular Shell EggsSpecialty EggsLiquid, Frozen, or Dried
CALM’s Top Locations/ Brands
• Southwestern • Southeastern • Mid- Western• Mid- Atlantic
• Egg-Land’s Best®, Land O’ Lakes®, Farmhouse®, and 4-Grain®
Risk Factors:
1.Egg Price Volatility 2.Feed Price Volatility3.Shift to other products 4.Seasonality 5.Government Regulation 6.Consumer Demand 7.Barriers of Entry
Government Regulation/ Barriers to Entry
• Prop 2 California- 2014 • Animal Rights Activists
– Animal Concentration
Acquisitions
• Completed 18 acquisitions since 1989• Acquired remaining 50% of Delta Egg
Farms for $17M- 2014
Latest Earnings Report• 12/23/14 reported Q2 of 2015
• Net Sales $378.6 million (6.9% yoy)• 36.6 million Net Income• $0.76 per share
• Fiscal 2014: 1.014 Billion Dozen Shell Eggs Sold
Institutional/ Insider Holdings • 12/23/14 reported Q2 of 2015
• Net Sales $378.6 million (6.9% yoy)• 36.6 million Net Income• $0.76 per share
• Fiscal 2014: 1.014 Eggs Sold
*13G/A Filing on 1-30-2015 BlackRock Institutional purchased a 6.3% stake
Recent Decline Due to Misunderstanding
• China temporarily banned imports of US chicken, turkey, and eggs– Effective January 8, 2015– Strain of (HPAI) in Pacific Northwest
• Occurs only in wild birds/ small domestic flocks• Hundreds of miles away from US commercial prod.
• Exports to China account for 0.7% of total US shell egg production
Comparable Competitors*
*main peers are Rose Acre Farms, Moark LLC, Rembrandt Enterprises, Daybreak Foods
CALM TSN SAFM HRL
Mtk Cap 1.72B 14.81B 1.86B 13.58B
P/E 9.95 16.12 7.41 22.96
P/B 2.66 1.6 2.06 3.74
P/S 1.13 .37 .67 1.45
Beta .61 .6 .2 .6
EPS 3.52 2.42 10.79 2.23
Thesis• Leading producer• Highly fragmented industry• Price shock from Chinese ban• Prop 2 – increased capex
– Higher barrier to entry• Acquisitions – seeking & a target• Strong management – ROE & ROA• Great dividend