Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    1/11

    MARKET UPDATEKelsey Cottrell Realty's

    Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes

    Trends in Pricing Current Levels of Supply and Demand

    Value Metrics

    Report for the week ofFebruary 15, 2010

    Presented by Kevin Cottrell - Office of Chief EconomistKelsey Cottrell Realty Groupwww.kelseycottrell.com - [email protected]

    SAINT CHARLES, M633

    Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright 2005-2009 Altos Research LLC

    SAMPLE REPORT: For current report visit www.stlouisrealestatetoday.com

    http://www.stlouisrealestatetoday.com/http://www.stlouisrealestatetoday.com/
  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    2/11

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    3/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    City OverviewSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Median PriceThe market has been on a downward trend recently and this week, while essentially flat, doesn't break us out of that cycle.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesPrice weakness is evident across the board. All four quartiles have been in price decline in recent weeks. Look to the MarketAction Index as a leading indicator of the bottom of the market.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 3 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    4/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    City OverviewSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Price per Square FootThe market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you cansee the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as aprecursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for SaleInventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the MarketAction Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Page 4 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    5/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    City OverviewSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Market Action IndexThe SAINT CHARLES market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Indexstands at 14.43. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileNot surprisingly given the overall Market Action Index, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months ofinventory given the current rate of demand for homes in the quartile. Watch the quartile for changes before the overall marketshifts. Often one end of the market (e.g. the low end) will improve and signal a strengthening market before the whole group

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized byanalyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyers Advantagezone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of thecurrent rate of sale versus current inventory.

    Page 5 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    6/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    City OverviewSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 210 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 130 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 6 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    7/11

    Median List Price

    Median Lot Size

    14.7

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    2245

    2.5

    16 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    191

    Inventory of Properties Listed

    $ 120

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    0.25 - 0.50 acre

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 258,900

    44 %

    3.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    14 %

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Strong Buyer's

    ==

    ==

    +

    ==

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Most Expensive Listing

    Average Days on Market (DoM)

    ottom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    Upper/Second

    Top/First

    This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuringthe current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to thebuyer.

    Supply and Demand

    Characteristics per Quartile

    23 22757

    2032.5 40

    3.0

    2

    179

    3.0 52

    129

    4

    1

    0.25 - 0.50acre

    $ 221,400

    5

    5

    52

    2.5

    0.25 - 0.50acre

    22.5

    14068,001 -

    10,000 sqft

    52

    $ 160,000

    4.0

    254

    0.25 - 0.50acre$ 294,900

    4.0$ 379,900

    2

    2440

    The Market Action Index has beentrending down lately, while inventoryand days-on-market are climbing. Thetrends imply a weakening market.

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    51

    2204

    2.0

    The median list price in SAINTCHARLES, MO 63303 this week is

    $258,900. The 207 properties havebeen on the market for an average of191 days.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    No change

    Strong upward trend Strong downward trend

    Slight upward trend Slight downward trend+

    ==

    =

    SAINCHARLES, M

    Neighborhood Detail

    Least Expensive Listing

    Average List Price

    Average Age of Listing

    207

    $ 1,250,000

    $ 81,900

    $ 275,785

    32

    Trend Key:

    Home sales have been exceedingnew inventory for several weeks.While still a Buyer's market, pricesseem to have responded by movingupward. If the demand trendscontinue, expect prices to keepmarching upward, especially oncewe see a Seller's Market.

    Page 7 of 11

    Single Family Home

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    8/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    Neighborhood DetailSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Median PriceYou can see that prices in this zip code are marching upward and that we're getting close to the market's all time high. Watchfor persistent downward shift in the Market Action Index into the Buyer's zone as a leading indicator of the price strengthsubsiding.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesIn the quartile market segments, we see the zip code's recent price weakness evident at the upper-half of the market (Quartiles1 and 2). Quartile 3 has been trending up recently, but unless we see a persistent up-shift in the Market Action Index, it willlikely resume the trend of the rest of the market.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 8 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    9/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    Neighborhood DetailSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Price per Square FootIn a market where prices are rising fairly consistently, price per square foot is essentially flat. This often implies that newhomes coming on the market are pricier, and also larger than older homes. As a result the value one can buy stays the same.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for SaleInventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the MarketAction Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Page 9 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    10/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    Neighborhood DetailSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15, 2010

    Market Action IndexThe SAINT CHARLES, 63303 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day MarketAction Index stands at 14.74. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find amplechoice.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileNot surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels ofdemand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized byanalyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyers Advantagezone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of thecurrent rate of sale versus current inventory.

    age 10 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/14/2019 Real Estate Statistics for St. Charles, MO 63303 Including Real Estate & Housing Statistics

    11/11

    Kelsey Cottrell Realty | www.kelseycottrell.com | 314-779-3690

    Neighborhood DetailSAI

    CHARLES, M

    Monday February 15 2010

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 191 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 126 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 11 of 11

    Single Family Hom