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Real Estate Real Estate Investment Investment Chapter 14 Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

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Page 1: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

Real Estate Investment Real Estate Investment

Chapter 14Chapter 14

Computer-Aided Analysis

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Page 2: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Key TermsKey Terms

Analysis of offer to purchase

Cash flow projections

Cumulative cash flows

Depreciable base

Gross rent multiplier

Holding period

Internal rate of return (IRR)

Investment Analysis

Positive or negative leverage

Return on equity

Page 3: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

OverviewOverview

Many software programs are currently available to help the investor and real estate practitioner in investment analysis.

Many programs are reasonably priced and many can be downloaded from the Internet for free.

An investor should examine the available programs and utilize those that fulfill their needs.

Page 4: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

OverviewOverview

Three of the more useful tools of analysis will be examined in this chapter.

The Excel analysis programs are included as part of this text and can be found on the CD in the book jacket:(1) Cash Flow Projections

(2) Investment Analysis

(3) Analysis of Offer to Purchase

Page 5: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Cash Flow ProjectionsCash Flow Projections

If the holding period is one year, the investment analysis would be very simple

This is seldom the case

Most investors plan on holding the property for a period of years and then selling at an optimum time

A sophisticated investment analysis can help the investor determine the optimum holding period.

Page 6: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Entering Data for the Analysis

Date of Report

Property Being Analyzed

First Year End Date

Income and Expense ItemsGross Scheduled Income

Increase in Gross Scheduled Income

Page 7: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Entering Data for the Analysis

Miscellaneous IncomeIncrease in Miscellaneous Income

Vacancy and Credit LossPercent Vacancy & Credit Loss

Page 8: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Entering Data for the Analysis

Operating ExpensesIncrease in Operating Expenses

Miscellaneous ExpensesIncrease in Miscellaneous Expenses

Capital Expense & Refurbishment Useful Life for Depreciation

Other Costs

Page 9: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Entering Data for the Analysis

PURCHASE PRICE

FIRST MORTGAGEInterest Rate

Term

SECOND MORTGAGEInterest Rate

Term

EQUITY: (Price-Mortgages)

Page 10: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Entering Data for the Analysis

NUMBER OF SQUARE FEETDEPRECIABLE BASEUSEFUL LIFE (27.5 OR 39 YRS)INCOME TAX RATE FOR CASH FLOWSINCOME TAX RATE FOR CAPITAL GAINDISCOUNT RATE

Page 11: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Entering Data for the Analysis

MONTHLY MORTGAGE PAYMENT (FIRST)

ANNUAL PAYMENT

MONTHLY MORTGAGE PAYMENT (SECOND)

ANNUAL PAYMENT

DEBT COVERAGE RATIO

DESIRED RETURN ON EQUITY

COST OF SALE

Page 12: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Displaying the Results

All of the cash flows are considered to arrive at the end of the year

A cash flow item such as Capital Expense & Refurbishment is assumed to occur at the end of the year.

Useful life for this item must be inserted since it will be depreciated.

Page 13: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Displaying the Results

Other Costs

Net Cash Flow Before Tax

Cumulative Cash Flow (Before Tax)

Cumulative Cash Flows (After Tax)

Reversion Proceeds

Cash Flow After Sale

Page 14: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Displaying the Results

Cumulative Cash Flow (Including Sale/Before Tax)

Cumulative Cash Flow (Including Sale/After Tax)

Discounted Cash Flows

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Practical ApplicationSensitivity analysis

Page 15: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

The Heights Colony Apartments

Gross Scheduled Income $ 1,075,200Less Vac & Credit Loss (5%) (53,760)Miscellaneous Income 26,000Adjusted Gross Income $ 1,047,440Operating Expenses

Fixed Expenses $ 259,800Variable Expenses $ 180,800

Total Expenses $ 440,600Net Operating Income (NOI) $ 606,840

Page 16: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Investment Analysis

Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)

Constant (on existing loans)

Return on Equity (ROE)

Overall Return or Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate)

Income Going to Debt Service

Income Going to Expenses

Page 17: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Investment Analysis

Rental Rate (per sq. ft.)

Positive or Negative Leverage

New Loan Amount

New Equity

Suggested Offering Price

Page 18: Real Estate Investment Chapter 14 Computer-Aided Analysis © 2011 Cengage Learning

© 2011 Cengage Learning

Analysis of Offer to Purchase

As with the Investment Analysis, the Analysis of Offer to Purchase (Table 14.4) is provided automatically. This report is simply a restatement of the data in the previous reports and is found in Sheet 4 of the Excel spreadsheet.The format and data contained in this report can be modified to suit the needs of the analyst.