Real Estate Direct Investment - Amazon S3...D15 THE MEYERISE Hong Leong Holdings Limited 2014 239 37 $2,256,000 $1,499 $1,920 $2,259 D16 THE BAYSHORE Far East Organization 1996 - 33

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Real Estate Direct Investment

Sam Baker

SRX Property

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SRX Private Condo Price Index


SRX Private Condo Resale Volume


SRX HDB Resale Price Index


HDB Resale Volume


28 Shades of Red


District Project Developer TOP date Total Unit Volume Average PriceLowest

PSF

Average

PSF

Highest

PSF

D9 OUE TWIN PEAKS Cove Development Pte Ltd 2015 462 233 $2,265,000 $2,100 $2,647 $3,130

D10 D'LEEDON Capitaland 2014 1,715 119 $2,304,000 $811 $1,554 $2,020

D4 THE INTERLACE Ankerite Pte Ltd 2013 1,040 111 $2,341,000 $645 $1,062 $1,375

D27 THE ESTUARY MCL Land 2013 608 60 $900,000 $711 $937 $1,170

D4 SKYLINE RESIDENCES Bukit Sembawang 2015 283 39 $1,751,000 $1,641 $1,892 $2,312

D4 CARIBBEAN AT

KEPPEL BAY Keppel Land 2004 - 39 $2,071,000 $966 $1,453 $1,775

D15 THE SEA VIEW Wheelock Properties 2008 546 38 $1,848,000 $1,484 $1,589 $1,840

D15 THE MEYERISE Hong Leong Holdings Limited 2014 239 37 $2,256,000 $1,499 $1,920 $2,259

D16 THE BAYSHORE Far East Organization 1996 - 33 $988,000 $815 $904 $1,018

D19 THE QUARTZ GuocoLand Limited 2009 625 32 $1,084,000 $717 $917 $1,004

8

Private Non-Landed New Sale 2016

Private Non-Landed Resale 2016

District Project Developer Total Unit Volume Average Price Lowest PSF Average PSF Highest PSF

D22 LAKE GRANDE MCL Land 710 557 $992,000 $1,173 $1,360 $1,541

D23 WANDERVALE SIM LIAN GROUP 534 527 $828,000 $678 $760 $836

D19 TREASURE CREST SIM LIAN GROUP 504 508 $832,000 $670 $744 $815

D23 SOL ACRES MCL Land 1,327 432 $766,000 $708 $790 $877

D19 FOREST WOODS CDL 519 389 $1,086,000 $1,176 $1,408 $1,529

D19 THE TERRACE Kheng Leong Co 747 378 $887,000 $727 $790 $904

D18 THE ALPS RESIDENCES MCL Land 626 367 $714,000 $980 $1,078 $1,208

D27 THE VISIONAIRE Qingjian Realty 632 332 $870,000 $720 $811 $883

D12 GEM RESIDENCES Evia Real Estate 578 322 $907,000 $1,262 $1,426 $1,544

D13 THE POIZ RESIDENCES MCL Land 731 304 $1,027,000 $983 $1,422 $1,572

2016 Top 10


Private Landed-Terrace House Resale 2016

Private Landed-Semi-Detached Resale 2016

District Project Average Price Lowest PSF Average PSF Highest PSF Volume

D19 SERANGOON GARDEN ESTATE $3,839,000 $664 $1,156 $1,659 19

D28 SELETAR HILLS ESTATE $3,242,000 $733 $915 $1,234 13

D15 FRANKEL ESTATE $5,164,000 $952 $1,254 $1,769 13

D13 SENNETT ESTATE $3,916,000 $845 $1,002 $1,260 5

D10 BAN GUAN PARK $5,616,000 $1,417 $1,517 $1,728 5

D27 SEMBAWANG SPRINGS ESTATE $3,109,000 $690 $936 $1,183 5

D26 POETS VILLAS $2,015,000 $548 $589 $610 4

D26 SPRINGLEAF GARDEN $3,295,000 $758 $859 $967 4

D22 WESTVILLE $1,535,000 $683 $706 $744 4

D17 BUKIT LOYANG ESTATE $2,740,000 $697 $748 $802 3



D15 OPERA ESTATE $2,208,000 $747 $1,205 $1,889 21

D20 SEMBAWANG HILLS ESTATE $2,434,000 $758 $1,091 $1,525 21

D23 VILLA VERDE $1,573,000 $680 $845 $972 16

D27 THE SHAUGHNESSY $1,413,000 $337 $422 $466 15

D27 AVANT PARC $2,328,000 $892 $1,117 $1,368 14

D13 SENNETT ESTATE $2,090,000 $534 $1,205 $1,712 13

D27 SPRINGHILL $1,402,000 $432 $469 $489 13

D17 LOYANG VILLAS $1,520,000 $582 $762 $960 12

D20 THOMSON GARDEN ESTATE $1,583,000 $805 $1,385 $1,643 10

2016 Top 10


Private Landed-Detached Resale 2016

10


D15 FRANKEL ESTATE $7,556,000 $772 $1,119 $1,775 11

D15 Branksome Road $11,435,000 $1,143 $1,702 $2,101 9

D28 SELETAR HILLS ESTATE $7,168,000 $868 $1,080 $1,372 6

D11 DUNEARN ESTATE $11,503,000 $1,290 $1,576 $1,801 6


D15 SEVEN CRESCENT $3,600,000 $776 $776 $776 5

D10 MT SINAI RESIDENCES $4,104,000 $657 $661 $664 4

D10 SHAMROCK PARK $11,500,000 $1,190 $1,322 $1,461 3

D15 GOODMAN CREST $3,492,000 $627 $650 $691 3

D15 Wilkinson Road $20,369,000 $1,136 $1,156 $1,170 3

2016 Top 10


Resale Non-Landed Private Volume by Districts

11.1%

85.2%

48.8%

27.0%

0.7%

31.8%15.5%

5.0%20.0%

-7.8%

11.7%

67.5%

24.6%

5.0%11.9%

43.7%

0.0%0.0%

22.6%8.4%

-10.2%

67.5%

-5.8%

43.9%

16.2%

-9.7%

-300.0%

-250.0%

-200.0%

-150.0%

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

15 9 10 19 23 21 18 16 11 5 14 4 12 20 22 27 25 3 8 17 1 2 26 28 13 7

% Incre

ase

Volu

me

Districts

Non-landed Private Resale Volume & Change By Districts

2015 2016 % Increase


0.2%

23.0%

12.0%

3.8%

1.7%8.7%

8.3%

21.8%

4.9%

46.1%

2.9%13.4%

11.7%

27.4%

-6.9%

1.1%

1.0%3.8%

-3.4%

5.3%

10.0%

9.0%

20.5%

-12.7%

3.6%

68.6%

-300.0%

-250.0%

-200.0%

-150.0%

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Ju

rong

West

Se

ng

kan

g

Woo

dla

nd

s

Tam

pin

es

Be

do

k

Yis

hun

Ho

ug

an

g

Ch

oa

Ch

u K

an

g

An

g M

o K

io

Pu

ng

gol

Bu

kit B

ato

k

Bu

kit P

an

jan

g

Bu

kit M

era

h

Ka

llang

/Wha

mpo

a

Pa

sir

Ris

Toa

Pa

yo

h

Geyla

ng

Se

mb

aw

an

g

Que

en

sto

wn

Cle

me

nti

Ju

rong

Ea

st

Se

ran

goo

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Bis

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Ce

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al A

rea

Ma

rine

Pa

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Bu

kit T

ima

h

% I

ncre

ase

Vo

lum

e

HDB Towns

HDB Resale Volume & Change By Towns

2015 2016 % Increase

Resale HDB Volume by HDB Towns


234 228

103 78

916

266 222

113

52

870

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Office Retail Shop House Warehouse Factory

Vo

lum

e

Commercial Property Type

Commercial Transaction Volume

2015 2016

Commercial Transaction Volume


Direct Investment Opportunities

Market Economics Resale Value Uniqueness Value of Money


65,327

65,884

67,481 67,462

69,283

154

170 175168 165 165

179

207 206 207195

189

139150 146

138 136 136

65,000

66,000

67,000

68,000

69,000

70,000

71,000

72,000

73,000

74,000

75,000

0

50

100

150

200

250

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Inco

me (

S$)

Pri

ce I

nd

ex

Year

Price Index vs. Per Capita GNI (Gross National Income)

Per Capita GNI Condo/Apart Resale Landed Resale HDB Resale

15

*Data source: SRX, Sing Stats

Economic Indicators


5,183.75,312.4 5,399.2 5,469.7 5,535.0 5,607.3

3,257.2 3,285.1 3,313.5 3,343.0 3,375.0 3,408.9

532.0 533.1 531.2 527.7 527.7 524.6

1,394.4 1,494.2 1,554.4 1,599.0 1,632.3 1,673.7

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Year

Th

ou

san

ds p

eo

ple

Population Distribution

Population Citizens PRs Foreigners

Social Indicators


1146.2 1152.0 1174.5 1200.0 1225.3

27,25827,936

26,254

28,407 28,322

7,604 7,237 7,525 7,307 7,522

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Th

ou

san

ds

Year

Family Creations

Resident Households Total Marriages Total Divorces & Annualments

Social Indicators


Sales to Foreigners by Nationality, 2016

China35%

Malaysia 29%

India 12%

Indonesia 12%

USA 4%

United Kingdom 2%

Australia 2% Taiwan

2%

Philippines 1%

Vietnam 1%


Trends in Chinese Buying

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Vo

lum

e

Transaction Volume: Foreign Nationals vs. Chinese Nationals (2006 - 2016)

Total Transaction Volume by All Foreign Nationals Transaction Volume by Chinese Nationals


Your Neighborhood


HDB Days on Market (DOM)

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Pri

ce

Sp

rea

d

Days o

n M

ark

et

HDB Median DOM and Median Price Spread

Median Days on Market Median Price Spread


Condos Days-on-Market (DOM)

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Pri

ce

Sp

rea

d

Days o

n M

ark

et

NLP Median DOM and Median Price Spread

Median Days on Market Median Price Spread


2016 1H and 2H Land Sales

No. Address Developer Site Area (sq m) Tender Price (S$)

2016 1H Land Sales

1 Siglap RoadFCL Topaz Pte. Ltd., Sekisui House, Ltd. and KH

Capital Pte. Ltd.19,309.6 $624,180,000

2New Upper Changi Road / Bedok

South Avenue 3CEL Residential Development Pte. Ltd. 24,394.0 $419,380,000

3 Yio Chu Kang Road Hoi Hup Realty Pte Ltd 18,422.9 $183,800,000

4 Jalan Kandis Dillenia Land Pte. Ltd. 7,045.6 $51,070,228

5 Bukit Batok West Avenue 6

Qingjian Realty (BBR) Pte Ltd. and Qingjian Realty

(BBC) Pte Ltd. 14,696.7 $301,160,000

2016 2H Land Sales

6 Martin Place First Bedok Land Pte Ltd 15,936.1 $595,100,000

7 Anchorvale LaneHoi Hup Realty Pte Ltd and Sunway Developments

Pte Ltd21,014.6 $240,950,000

8 Fernvale RoadSing Development (Private) Limited and Wee Hur

Development Pte. Ltd.17,195.9 $287,100,000

9 Central Boulevard Wealthy Link Pte Ltd 10,868.7 $2,568,686,688

10 Margaret Drive MCL Land (Regency) Pte. Ltd. 4,809.8 $238,390,301

2016 Government Land Sales


2017 Upcoming Land Sales

No Address Land UseSite Area

(Ha)

Gross Plot

Ratio

Estimated

Housing

Units

Estimated

Commercial

Space (sq m)

Sales

Agent

Estimated

Launch Date

Confirmed List

1 Toh Tuck Road Residential 1.87 1.4 325 - URA 17-Feb

2Tampines Avenue 10

(Parcel C)Residential 2.17 2.8 715 - URA 17-Mar

3 Lorong 1 Realty Park Residential 1.31 Landed 50 - URA 17-Apr

4Serangoon North

Aveune 1Residential 1.72 2.5 505 - URA 17-May

5 Woodleigh Lane Residential 1.96 3 735 - URA 17-May

6 Upper Serangoon Road Commercial & Residential 2.55 3.5 825 15,000 HDB 17-1Q

Reserve List

1 Stirling Road Residential 2.11 4.2 1110 - URA Available

2Bartley Road / Jalan

Bunga RampaiResidential 0.47 2.1 115 - URA Available

3 Sumang Walk Executive Condominium 2.73 3.0 775 - HDB Available

4 Yishun Avenue 9 Residential 2.17 2.8 715 - URA 17-May

5 Owen Road Residential 1.38 3.5 605 - URA 17-Jun

6 Jiak Kim Street Residential 1.33 3.8 515 1,500 URA 17-Jun

7 Fourth Aveune Residential 2.02 1.8 455 - URA 17-Jun

8 Holland Road Commercial & Residential 2.30 2.6 570 13,500 URA Available

9 Beach Road Commercial 2.10 4.2 - 88,200 URA Available

10 Woodlands Square Commercial 2.24 3.5 275 54,880 URA Available

2017 Upcoming Government Land Sales


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

CCR

Units Sold Total Units Take Up Rate

25

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

RCR

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

OCR


0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

EC (OCR)


Take-Up Rates of New Condo Launches


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

CCR


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

RCR


0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ta

ke

Up

Ra

te %

Un

its

Year

OCR


Take-up Rates of New Landed Launches


Condos Facing ABSD Deadlines in 2017

S/N Development Name ABSD

Deadline

Total No. of Units Unsold Units Take-up Rate

1 The Trilinq 2017 Q1 755 278 63.2%

2 Mon Jervois 2017 Q1 109 43 60.6%

3 eCO 2017 Q1 748 7 99.1%

4 Kingsford Hillview Peak 2017 Q1 512 17 96.7%

5 Stratum 2017 Q2 380 14 96.3%

6 Vue 8 Residence 2017 Q2 463 71 84.7%

7 Pollen & Bleu 2017 Q2 106 93 12.3%

8 Sant Ritz 2017 Q3 214 9 95.8%

9 The Siena 2017 Q3 54 12 77.8%

10 The Venue Residences 2017 Q3 266 92 65.4%

11 The Crest 2017 Q3 469 323 31.1%

12 The Glades 2017 Q4 726 121 83.3%

13 Sky Vue 2017 Q4 694 12 98.3%

14 Alex Residences 2017 Q4 429 149 65.3%


Condos Facing QC Deadlines in 2017

* The list is not exhaustive

S/N Development Name ABSD Deadline Total No. of Units Unsold Units Take-up Rate

1 Altez 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 280 38 86.4%

2 Waterscape at

Cavenagh

2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 200 51 74.5%

3 Starlight Suites 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 105 31 70.5%

4 Concourse Skyline 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 360 119 66.9%

5 Skysuites @ Anson 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 360 134 62.8%

6 The Meyerise 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 239 91 61.9%

7 Tomlinson Heights 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 70 36 48.6%

8 Twentyone Angullia

Park

2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 54 45 16.7%

9 Le Nouvel Ardmore 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 43 39 9.3%

10 Ardmore Three 2017 (2nd Year of Extension) 84 80 4.8%

11 Skyline Residences 2017 283 47 83.4%

12 Sky Habitat 2017 509 135 73.5%

13 Robin Residences 2017 134 37 72.4%

14 Leedon Residences 2017 381 124 67.5%

15 RV Residences 2017 248 88 64.5%

16 Skyline @ Orchard

Boulevard

2017 40 32 20.0%


Documents

Real Estate Direct Investment - Amazon S3...D15 THE MEYERISE Hong Leong Holdings Limited 2014 239 37 $2,256,000 $1,499 $1,920 $2,259 D16 THE BAYSHORE Far East Organization 1996 - 33