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Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom Araya NHIC, Science and Research Branch, OMNRF & Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto

Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

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Page 1: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve

November 17, 2016

Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom Araya

NHIC, Science and Research Branch, OMNRF& Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto

Page 2: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

The Niagara Escarpment

• 725 km corridor and habitat to many diverse and unique plant communities and associated fauna

• Protected under Ontario’s Niagara Escarpment Planning and Development Act (NEDPA), 1973, and the Niagara Escarpment Plan (NEP)

• Designated a UNESCO World Biosphere Reserve in 1990

Page 3: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

The Niagara Escarpment Plan Area – the first land use and conservation plan in Ontario; it is part of the Greenbelt Plan Area.

Page 4: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Objectives• Re-sample stands

originally sampled in 1979-89– Detect changes in

vegetation• Pilot Vegetation

Sampling Protocol (VSP)

• Sampling Methods: 1) Point-Quarter

Sampling (same as in 1979-89)

2) Vegetation Sampling Protocol (VSP)

• Sampling conducted Summer 2011-2012

• Partnership effort

Page 5: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Historical 1980s sampling

• Sampling done by Steve Varga • Point-Quarter (P-Q) Sampling

Method– Plotless sampling approach (Cottam and

Curtis 1956)

• Of the original 111, 88 were accessible and sampled

Page 6: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Forest changes1) Canopy and sub-canopy

– Importance Values (IV) of trees and saplings

2) Ground vegetation– Herbaceous vegetation and seedlings

3) Floristic quality – Coefficient of conservatism and native plants)– Native vs. non-native plant distribution

4) Presence and abundance of weed plants5) Presence and abundance of invasive species 6) Forest structure 7) Across different sections of the escarpment

Page 7: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

• Importance Value (IV) reflects species dominance at a site

• Forest canopy more homogeneous than in 1980s– IV increase for Sugar Maple and Eastern White Cedar

Canopy and sub-canopy

Page 8: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

NE042

NE133

NE137

NE115

NE134

NE162

NE135

NE156

NE086

NE129

NE063

Change in tree composition

Ecoregion6E

7E

®Change in tree composition

Ecoregion6E

7E

®

Seedling compositional change of forest stands withinPrivate Land between 1979/81 and 2011/12

Seedling compositional change of forest stands withinPublic Land between 1979/81 and 2011/12

0 25 50 75 10012.5km

0.05 - 0.50

0.50 - 1.00

1.00 - 1.50

1.50 - 2.34

0.10 - 0.50

0.50 - 1.00

1.00 - 1.50

1.50 - 1.92

The magnitude of compositional change in forest stands on public and private lands

More change on private lands in the Gray section and on public lands in the Niagara Section

Page 9: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Percent change in average IV for the 10 most frequent tree species:

Page 10: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Sugar Maple (Acer saccharum) importance values across the sampled stands on the Niagara Escarpment.

Page 11: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Birch importance values across the sampled stands on the NiagaraEscarpment.

Page 12: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

American Beech importance values across the sampled stands on the Niagara Escarpment.

Page 13: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Increase in Ash importance values across the sampled stands on the Niagara Escarpment. Stands are listed from south to north

Page 14: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Trembling Aspen importance value

Page 15: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

•Trees with greatest IV increase: – Mountain Maple (186% ↑)– Balsam Fir (154% ↑)

•Trees with greatest IV decrease:– Slippery Elm (85% ↓)– Black Maple (55% ↓)

Page 16: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

NE106

NE152

NE074

NE110

NE115

NE139

NE127 NE042

NE155

NE146NE147

NE103

NE140

NE135

NE123

NE108

NE157

NE034

NE121

NE145

NE075NE120

Change in tree composition

Ecoregion6E

7E

®Change in tree composition

Ecoregion6E

7E

®

0 25 50 75 10012.5km

Herb's compositional change of forest stands withinPrivate Land between 1979/81 and 2011/12

Herb's compositional change of forest stands withinPublic Land between 1979/81 and 2011/12

0.20 - 1.00

1.00 - 2.00

2.00 - 3.00

3.00 - 5.28

0.20 - 1.00

1.00 - 2.00

2.00 - 3.00

3.00 - 3.80

The magnitude of herb’s compositional change on private and public lands.

Changes in Ground Vegetation

Page 17: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

NE038

NE164

NE036

NE023

NE098

NE099NE064

NE065NE066

NE044NE045NE046

NE058

NE059NE022

NE101

NE060

NE063

NE001

NE007

NE103

NE008

NE009NE096

NE104

NE105

NE106

NE011

NE108NE034

NE109 NE037

NE086NE110

NE111

NE112 NE025

NE162NE035

NE158

NE116NE117

NE114NE095

NE118NE115

NE042

NE119NE120NE041

NE043

NE074

NE122NE121

NE126

NE127NE128NE123NE124

NE125

NE155

NE160

NE129

NE130

NE131

NE075NE132

NE133

NE134

NE135

NE136

NE137NE152NE153NE138

NE139

NE140

NE141

NE156

NE157NE161

NE142

NE143

NE144

NE145

NE146

NE147NE148

−2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

−4 0 4 8

PCA axis 1 (10.2%)

PC

A a

xis

2 (

9.6

%)

Hist.

NE038

NE164

NE036NE023

NE098

NE099

NE064

NE065

NE066

NE044NE045

NE046NE058NE059 NE022

NE101NE060

NE063

NE001

NE007

NE103

NE008

NE009

NE096

NE104

NE105

NE106NE011

NE108

NE034NE109

NE037

NE086NE110NE111NE112

NE025

NE162

NE035

NE158

NE116

NE117

NE114NE095

NE118NE115

NE042

NE119NE120

NE041NE043

NE074

NE122

NE121NE126

NE127

NE128NE123

NE124 NE125NE155

NE160

NE129

NE130

NE131

NE075NE132 NE133

NE134

NE135

NE136

NE137NE152NE153

NE138

NE139

NE140

NE141

NE156

NE157

NE161

NE142

NE143

NE144

NE145NE146

NE147

NE148

−2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

−2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5

PCA axis 1 (8.6%)

PC

A a

xis

2 (

7.9

%)

Pres.

Shrub layer more diverse and heterogeneous .

Stand ordination from a PCA of shrub’s importance values for historic and present day survey for 76 stands/plots.

Page 18: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Floristic Quality• Coefficient of Conservatism (CC) I• indicator of floristic quality based on conservatism or

nativeness ratings of individual species (Wilhelm 1977)• Lower or close to the historical value

– Statistically significant change in mean CC was observed for the Niagara Peninsula (p < 0.05).

Sections of Niagara Escarpment

Mean C

oeffic

ients

of C

onse

rvatis

m

Bruce P Dufferin Grey Halton Niagara P

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

Pres.

Bruce P Dufferin Grey Halton Niagara P

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

Sections of Niagara Escarpment

Hist.

Boxplots of average Coefficients of Conservatism for stands across five sections of Niagara Escarpment.

Page 19: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Changes in Floristic Quality

Page 20: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Non-native Plants• Number of non-native plants increased

Page 21: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Invasive Plants• An increase in number and abundance of

invasive plants – A substantial increase observed in the Niagara, Grey, Dufferin

and Haltom Sections.

• The number of sites with moderately aggressive invasive plants has doubled

• There is a 25-fold increase in number of sites with aggressive invasive plants.

Page 22: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Invasive Plants cont.

• Historically four invasive species: – Norway Maple, Garlic Mustard, Dame’s Rocket, and

Bittersweet Nightshade found across 14 stands.

• Presently 64% of the stands have invasive plants.– 51% of the stands had presence of aggressive invaders.

• Garlic Mustard, the most prevalent species in the recent survey– It was identified in a single stand (NE036) in the1980’s.

• Common Buckthorn and Garlic Mustard associated with – more with developed land– trails, road density, and human settlement

Page 23: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

QUERRUB

<10 < 20 < 30 < 40 < 50 < 60 > 60 <10 < 20 < 30 < 40 < 50 < 60 > 60

010

2030

4050

010

2030

4050

Red Oak diameter distribution; inadequate regeneration

Forest Structure

Page 24: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

QUERALB

05

10

05

10

<10 < 20 < 30 < 40 < 50 < 60 > 60 <10 < 20 < 30 < 40 < 50 < 60 > 60

Red Oak diameter distribution; inadequate regeneration White

Forest Structure

Page 25: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Why do we need to do monitoring and more research?

• Evaluate changing conditions• Quantify impacts of land

development and associated human activities on natural vegetation

• Provide empirical evidence to evaluate sustainability of current practices

• Helps balance land development with conservation

• Inform management and planning decisions

• Define and predict trends and changes

Page 26: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Monitoring to build resilience and inform decisions

• We have more homogeneous forest, more invasive plants

• There are some changes that are happening that we have no control over – Dutch Elm Disease, EAB

• But some can be condoled and directed Forest managementLand use planning and development

Page 27: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Acknowledgements• Field sampling in 2011-12 was possible through the following partnership: • The Niagara Escarpment Commission (NEC), The Niagara Escarpment

Biosphere Fund, The Niagara Escarpment Foundation, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto

• Steve Varga, Aurora District, MNRF• Judith Jones, Winter Spider Eco-Consulting• Miranda Jones, Winter Spider Eco-Consulting• Sally Robbins, Winter Spider Eco-Consulting• Terry Carleton, Faculty of Forestry, University

of Toronto• Melissa Apostoli, Master of Science, Forestry

candidate, University of Toronto• Lisa Grbinicek, Niagara Escarpment

Commission (NEC)• Richard Murzin, Niagara Escarpment

Biosphere Reserve• John Riley, Member, Niagara Escarpment

Commission Board of Directors• Teri Trent, Biosphere Coordinator, Niagara

Escarpment Biosphere Reserve• Dan Ventresca, GIS Specialist, NEC

• Steven Perks, MFC Student, Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto

• Noah Borges, MFC Student, Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto

• Emilie Metcalfe, Assistant Forest Technician, Natural Heritage Information Centre, MNRF

• David Tellier, Biodiversity Information Biologist, Natural Heritage Information Centre, MNRF

• Dave Nesbitt, Science and Research Branch , OMNRF

• David Bradley, OMNRF• Julia Buck, OMNRF• Kim Taylor, OMNRF• Silvia Strobl, OMNRF• Jim McKenzie, OMNRF

Page 28: Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve · Re-Inventory of the Niagara Escarpment Biosphere Reserve November 17, 2016 Danijela Puric-Mladenovic and Yikalo Hayelom

Thank you

[email protected]