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RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2 nd February 2013

RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

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Page 1: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

RBPlat – Status of the Platinum IndustryGMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013

Page 2: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Disclaimer

The information presented in this presentation is of a general nature and the forward looking information, opinionsand beliefs of the Company and its affiliates are based on various market related assumptions. Changes in marketcircumstances after the production of the information may impact on the accuracy thereof. No assurance cantherefore be given as to the accuracy of any information after publication.

Before relying on the information, investors or potential investors should carefully evaluate the accuracy,completeness and relevance of the information and should preferably obtain professional relevant advice.

The Company, its directors, officers, managers or employees, advisers or representatives accept no responsibility orliability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwisearising in connection with this presentation.

This presentation also includes market share and industry data obtained by the Company from industry publicationsand surveys and the Company does not have access to the facts and assumptions underlying the numerical data,market data and other information extracted from publicly available sources. As a result, the Company is unable toverify such numerical data, market data and other information. The Company assumes no responsibility for thecorrectness of any market share or industry data included in the materials and presentation.

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Page 3: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Presentation outline

• Overview of Royal Bafokeng Platinum

• Status of the Platinum industry

• RBPlat strategy

• Concluding remarks

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Page 4: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Overview of RBPlat

• Black-owned and controlled, mid-tier PGM producer

• Assets located on Western Limb of Bushveld Complex, South Africa

• 67% interest in Bafokeng Rasimone Platinum Mine JV (BRPM), unincorporated JV with Anglo American Platinum

• BRPM mine (operating since 1998), Styldrift I project (production to commence in 2015)

• assumed managerial & operational control in January 2010

• Shallow Merensky biased producer – approx. 280koz of 4E PGM metals in concentrate pa.

• 6,744 working cost employees (including contractors)

• 4E resource base of 74 Moz (54.3 Moz, measured and indicated), +60 year life-of-mine

• Experienced management team, with clear focus and operational flexibility

• Experienced and independent board

• JSE listed: Market cap of R9.5 billion ($1.05 billion) - 30 January 2013

• Constituent of the JSE SRI Index

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Page 5: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Status of the Platinum industry

Key Stats – annual ave. (2007 – 2011)

• Platinum is the largest component of the SA mining sector

• 5.5% of GDP (27.6% mining GDP)

• GDP contribution R28 billion

• 9.9% of merchandise exports

• Employs ca190 000 people – R25 billion in wages

• Employment flat since 2007/08

• Average wage per employee – R129,890

• Capital spend (top 5) – R15 billion

• SLP related expenditure amounting R310 million per annum

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Source : Chamber of Mines – 21 January RSA PGM Mining Sector Briefing Note

Page 6: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Status of the Platinum industry…..continued

Declining productivity

• 40% reduction in head grade from 2000

• Merensky depletion

• UG2 biased production – lower Pt yield

• Productivity (Pt-kg’s/employee) 38%

• Industrial action

Cost pressures

• Double digit mining inflation – Cash cost/4Eoz 18.1% YoY (2007 – 2012)

• Labour

• Electricity

• Steel

• 59% of industry loss-making at $1600/Pt oz

• Sustaining capital cut

• Long term capital reviews and suspensions5

Source : Chamber of Mines – 21 January RSA PGM Mining Sector Briefing Note

UG2 (30 %)MERENSKY (70 %)2000

UG2 (70 %)MERENSKY (30 %)2012

Page 7: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Increasing cost pressures

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Source : Chamber of Mines – 21 January RSA PGM Mining Sector Briefing Note (JP Morgan - Cazenove)

Page 8: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Recent events in the Platinum industry

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• Industry wide strike action during 2012

• Closure of Marikana, Everest and Smokey Hills

• Anglo American Platinum announcement of closure of four shafts• ca14 000 jobs at risk

• Uncertain policy framework

• Windfall tax

• Mining Charter compliance – 2014

• State participation in mining industry

• Africa is a direct competitor for mineral investment

• Limited investment in new platinum projects

• Technical skills dearth

• Training

• Europe, Canada and Australia have become direct competitors for technical skills

Page 9: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Reduced global Platinum production (2011-2012)

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Source : SFA Oxford

“Ear marked” for closure in

2013

Page 10: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Infrastructure and logistics

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• Power will have substantial implications on the future competitiveness of SA

• Cost

• Supply

• Water is becoming a scare resource

• Cost

• Supply – water treatment plants

• Housing and living conditions

• Rail and road links

• Trucking does not carry its fair share of costs

• Damage to road infrastructure is a significant cost

• Carbon Footprint relative to rail for long distance is high

• Roadworthiness and Congestion are daily impacts

• Increasing the costs of trucking will make rail more competitive

Page 11: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Future supply and demand

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• Double digit cost inflation

• Unresolved socio-economic dynamics - leading to strike action

• Safety related adjustments to mining methods

SUPPLY IMPACTS DEMAND IMPACTS

• High dollar prices will mobilise recycling

• New ETF’s in Hong Kong and North America

• Automaker restructuring• Long contracts sit tight

2013 Market deficit of 80 – 760 koz (Pt)

R/$ exchange rate

Source : SFA (Oxford)

Page 12: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

-1,000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Platinum supply- demand balance, Koz

Central case market balance

Disruption innovation allowance

Strike shock

Deeper recession & Eurozone exits

Scenario market balance-2,500

-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Palladium supply- demand balance, Koz

Central case market balanceDisruption innovation allowanceStrike shockDeeper recession & Eurozone exitsScenario market balance

Market forecast

Source : SFA (Oxford)

Page 13: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

RBPlat strategy

• Deliver on More than Mining promise

• Community development through local partnerships

• Maintain relationships with DMR and Government

• World class producing infrastructure

• Maintain high Merensky:UG2 ratios• Use UG2 for flexibility

• Ensure access to key infrastructure

• Secured power

• Reduce reliance on potable water

• Achieve operational excellence at BRPM (optimisingvolumes and reducing costs)

• Styldrift 1 expansion• BRPM cost reduction and operational flexibility

• Become BEE partner of choice

• Mining Charter compliance key in 2014

• Bring Styldrift II Merensky forward as an expansionproject

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0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Meren

sky : U

G2 %

RBPlat Merensky: UG2 Ratio 2013 ‐ 2022

Merensky UG2 Industry Merensky Levels

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

kt

Production Profile

BRPM Merensky BRPM UG2 Styldrift

Styldrift 1 Merensky Ave mining depth = 640m

BRPM Merensky Ave mining depth = 400m

BRPM UG2 Ave mining depth = 350m

Page 14: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Styldrift I

Description• 230 ktpm Merensky mine and concentrator

• Dual shaft access: main shaft, services shaft

• Mechanised mining – bord & pillar (shallow dip 4-6º)

• Average mining depth 640m

• Will increase BRPM JV PGM output in excess of 600koz (4E)

• Steady state operating cost R687/t

• 36 month ramp-up – commencing July 2015

Project Progress

• Project on schedule - 34% complete

• Operational management team in place

• Shaft sinking operations progressing well• Merensky reef intersection 15 August (600 L)

• Initial 600 L station establishment completed

• Main and service shafts have reached the 642L (top of silo) position

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Underground infrastructure view

Project expenditure (Q3 2012)

• Committed = R2.21 billion

• Expenditure = R1.71 billion

• R 323 million savings accrued to date

• Estimate at completion R11.48 billion (Budget R11.8 billion)

Page 15: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

RBPlat is uniquely positioned

• Excellent credentials for doing business in SA

• Well positioned for leveraging regional synergies

• Has high quality assets

• Large, shallow, high grade Merensky resource• Favourable PGM prill split

• Has a proven management team

• Is pursuing an active sustainable growth path

• Styldrift I expansion – double PGM output by 2018

• Long-term Merensky biased production• Styldrift II study program

• Actively engaging with :

• Local communities• Government and DMR• Organised labour

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Page 16: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Conclusion – Shared growth the way forward

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Investment growth

• National policy and impact on investment sentiment

RBPlat investing R11.8bn in Styldrift for growth

Profitability growth

• Multifactor productivity & cost containment

• Skills level available

RBPlat efficiency improvement agreement with labour

Government

Business LabourProfitability growth

Employment growth

• Labour policy framework and impact on employment creation

Styldrift project will create ca3000 new jobs

RSA Economy

Sweet spot?

Resulting in stunted growth & response to societal needs....potential vs

performance

Page 17: RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry€¦ · RBPlat – Status of the Platinum Industry GMP African Mining Jamboree 2nd February 2013. Disclaimer The information presented in

Contact detailsLindiwe MontshiwagaeInvestor Relations ManagerRoyal Bafokeng PlatinumNo.1 Monte Casino BoulevardBlock C, The Pivot, FourwaysTel: +27 (0) 10 590 4517Mobile: +27 (0) 82 920 7803Email: [email protected]